THE DON JONES INDEX…

 

GAINS POSTED in GREEN

  LOSSES POSTED in RED

 

          1/8/18…  15,711.02

          1/1/17…  15,680.47

    {12/30/16…  15,469.62}

        6/27/13…  15,000.00

      

(THE DOW JONES INDEX: 1/8/18… 25,295.87; 1/1/17… 24,829.05; {12/31… 19,762.60}; 6/27/13… 15,000.00)

 

 

LESSON for January 8, 2018 – BIGGER BUTTONS and GOLDEN GLOBES!

 

As noted last week, we began the Don three and one half years ago, plus one installment.  It had been running for awhile, but June 29, 2013 was the first installment in which we totaled up the whole of indices (and yes, there have been some changes in the interim – some adjustments and consolidations.)

On that first date, the Dow and the Don were unified – fifteen thousand points each.  The majority of the composite, sixty percent, was economic; the remainder was social.  The so-called “misery index”… inflation and unemployment… played and still plays a dominant role, as does the Dow.

Remember, Don Jones is every American.  Rich, middle-class and the bipartisanly neglected poor (who, however, will intrude into America’s consciousness over the next few weeks, or months, as Republicans in the Congress seek to finance Mister Trump’s tax cuts for the rich by shredding the safety net.  But don’t expect too much outcry from Chuck and Nancy and their minions; the Democratic Party is as deep into identity politics and political correctness as the Donald now claims America is really ruled by a “deep state”… unknown, unelected and shadowy figures as populated the imagination of Joe McCarthy and Dick Nixon.  But they were drunks.  Trump is a teetotaler, McConnell and Ryan are, for the most part, sober.  Prominent Democrats are already saying that, if the government is to be shut down in less than a fortnight weeks, it will be over the Dreamers and the Wall (self-martyring stances that POTUS is willing, if not eager, for them to assume).

If they can stoke their self-righteousness by persuading the President not to search out and deport a bunch of illegal aliens… mostly Mexicans and the such… at a cost of throwing the poor, the old and the sick under the bus, well, so be it.

The wheels on the bus go round and around.

And now let’s take a look at the whole taco – piece by piece by piece… repeating, first, the economic ups and downs of the last 3½ years, then adding the social figures and, finally, the summing up.

(Of course, again bearing in mind that these figures were averages, meaning they included the economic year for Jeff Bezos and Mark Zuckerberg as well as for Billy, the burger flipper, and Harriet, the home health care aide.)

 

AMERICAN ECONOMIC INDEX  (Private Sector)

 

On the economic side, we encounter three main factors… income, outgo and debt.

 

INCOME…

 

Wages (hourly, per capita)    

This has been a favorite whipping-boy of the complaining classes; that horrible bosses (say alt-left populists… aka Socialists or outright Communists) and blue, meanie bureaucrats conspiring with greasy, criminal Mexicans (alt-right populism) are driving the wages of hard-working Americans down, down, down into a bottomless pit of degradation.  Actually, and on the whole, wage growth has pulled slightly ahead of inflation.  Of course, as noted above, there are plenty of caveats.

Median Income (yearly)

Like wages, yearly incomes have edged upwards slightly, although it actually fell in 2017 – perhaps because so many of the new jobs that Don Jones took were part time, temporary or a part of that shadowy under-the-table “independent contractor” work.  Unfortunately, neither DebtClock nor federal agencies have calculated the yearly increase in elite earnings like investment income, hedge-fund hedges or golden parachutes and such.  Perhaps somebody else has, and the DJI will ferret them out!

Unempl. (BLS – in millions)

The precipitous drop in unemployment has been touted as the greatest (next to the Dow) achievement of the Trump administration by… of course, Mister Trump, himself.  The numbers are impressive but, aside from the dodgy nature of some of the new jobs created, unemployment fell by 11½% per year since Djonald’s inauguration, but more than twice that over the three and a half years since foundation of the Index.  Who’s to credit/blame?  That wicked Obama with his expensive suits and his tongue and his… fingers… or, perhaps, Dubya, for steering the ship of state onto that iceberg in 2008 and ratcheting up the jobless rate to a stratospheric status that it could be lowered by a reality-show contestant, let alone host?

       Official (DC - in millions)

     Unofficl. (DC - in millions)

The Debtclock official and unofficial figures differ slightly from, but tend to reflect the slower, but perhaps more accurate figures from the Bureau of Labor Statistics.  One may note that, until the dawn of 2017, official unemployment figures were decreasing faster than the ranks of the jobless in the unofficial “shadow economy”.

Workforce Participation

      Percentage (DebtClock)

Despite the reported aging of America, participation figures changed little over the years since the DJI began.  Slightly more Americans have found or are looking for work since Trump took office.

WP Percentage (ycharts)

 

OUTGO…

The unofficial DebtClock and official ycharts (they tout themselves as “the premier cloud-based investment decision-making platform”) were almost identical, although the former remained about a percentage point higher consistently over the 3½ year period.

 

 

Total Inflation (aggregate)

 

(Food, Gasoline, Medical

  Costs and Shelter)

Overall inflation, as we have already noted, was low to moderate, offsetting the slow wage growth.  Price increases for almost every service and commodity were modest, with all those singled out actually lower than income appreciation (with the exception of medical care, as exploited by both sides in the ongoing partisan wrangling).  The exception was gasoline and, in fact, all fuel-related products which jumped up or fell back almost from week to week, depending on the whims of producers and circumstances in the MidEast.  After rising through 2016, the cost at the pump fell back to where it stands now… less than a quarter of a percentage point lower than in mid-2013.

Dow Jones Index

As President Trump has consistently noted (and taken sole credit for) the Dow has been on a roll since the bleak days of 2008-9, when it bottomed out at under 7,000.  Now, it is more than thrice that, and lunging for the 25,000 brass ring owing, in no little part, to the rocketing high-tech and mail-order sectors.  NASDAQ and most other indices are also thriving.

Housing  (Sales) 

                (Prices)

 

 

 

 

 

 

DEBT…

 

A key factor in the recovery is the bounceback in housing sales and prices, which also tanked in 2008 when the mortgage bubble was pricked.  Housing valuations have actually exceeded the performance of the Dow over the past 3½ years, although the growth has been scattershot… prices (and rents) soaring past the moon in the coastal cities and a few high-tech hubs like Austin and Boston, but stagnant in rural America and the old rust belt.  A key issue in whether economic recovery can continue is whether Mr. Jones can be persuaded to leave his now-worthless communities and migrate to where the jobs are… and whether his children will acquire the skills necessary to better their lives.  (See Education, Science and Technology)

 

 

Personal Debt

Unfortunately, Don and family are still spending more than they earn, and the credit companies are all-too-willing to subsidize the private spree with MasterCard, VISA and innumerable imitators, payday and title loans and queer tax refund manipulations – just as Wall Street and Beijing are subsidizing the government’s blithe heedlessness.  The question of if and when creditors will tighten their grasp on the throats of America and Americans, and how high interest rates will go, will be paramount over the next 3½ years.

 

AMERICAN ECONOMIC INDEX  (Public Sector)

 

Like Don Jones, the government has been on a spending spree… limits and regulations imposed by more conservative (in the fiduciary, if not ethnocentric sector0 and smarter people of a simpler era are being trashed and trampled.  China is happy.  Don Jones remains clueless.

Revenues (in trillions – tr.)

Expenditures (in tr.)

The government is actually collecting more in revenues (taxes) than it has been spending (at least on the books).  Both have fallen somewhat since Trump took office, but recall the maneuverings and black holes that kept the debt ceiling from being exceeded and the deficit barely under 20 trillion for weeks.  Economists, almost without exception (the President’s term for them is probably fake economists – unless he wants to bring back the old voodoo black magic) say that much touted growth will not cover the cost of the tax cuts.  What will Congress do?  We’ll find out in less than three weeks (or perhaps not, if they remain deadlocked and decide to punt again).

National Debt (tr.)

Thanks to creative accounting, the Cabinet Mnuchkins were able to sing away catastrophe for weeks last year until throwing in the towel.  The good news is that we are not borrowing quite so fast as in the Obama years.  The bad news is that our creditors are watching.

Aggregate Debt (tr.)

If the DebtClock numbers are to be believed, Don Jones has actually been more thrifty than the politicians… although that isn’t saying much.  Low interest rates (seldom passed on to consumers by the credit companies) are starting to rise, and while most households are not in crisis mode yet, the examples of Greece and, now, Iran, are ominous.

Foreign Debt (tr.)

Here, again, is another game of three-card monte.  Our IOUs to the rest of the world were rather static over the past 3½ years, and actually went down a smidgen… despite those other indicators indicating something deeper and more troubling at work.

Exports (in billions – bl.)

Imports (bl.)

Exports weren’t very bad, unless you are a disciple of the Church of Growth, in which case they were anaemic.  A little over one percent a year, but on the positive side, at least.  Imports, however, that was the problem.  We bought cars and televisions from Japan, oil from the Saudis, fresh produce from South America and most everything else from China.

 

Trade Deficit (bl.)

Consequently, our trade deficit has become alarming, subject to wild swings every week which – were the category more weighted – would make the Don every bit as volatile as the Dow.  In fact, having lost more than a third of its value since recorded time began, we are going to prevent the potentiality of a complete meltdown by doubling the value of the category, as well as that of our exports and imports.  The President has, time and again, talked about reforming our trade policy and negotiating new deals… the time for talk has passed,

 

AMERICAN SOCIAL INDEX 

 

The business of America might be business, but the business of Americans seems to hope, fear and omnipresent opportunities for fun!

 

LIBERTY and SECURITY INDEX:

 

World Peace

 

 

Believe it or don’t, Trump’s praise of Putin and even the cozy relationship between some of his staff  and the no-longer Evil Empire has slightly improved the prospects for Peace on Earth over those of the Obama years.  Even liberals more or less allow that negotiations with Iran over nukes and Syria have failed, that the destruction and dispersal of the ISIS Caliphate is a good thing (even if some of its fighters return home), that it might be helpful if the rest of the world fears us (just a little) rather than scoffing, and that a harder line on trade policies with Mexico and China were long overdue (even if mostly rhetorical, to date).  And nobody knows what to do with the North Koreans, then as well as now.

 

Terrorism

More, but lesser, incidents have proliferated during both Administrations.  The targeting of huge, 9/11-like targets has greatly lessened (without the financial backing of an Osama to support them) but incidents of less-ambitious attacks against “soft targets”, often undertaken by lone wolves who have no formal ISIS training but are following instructions gleaned off the Internet are having their desired effect, which is to generate fear and make the U.S. (as well as other countries) more authoritarian and less free.  Additionally, glorification in both the mainstream media and obscure Internet sites have gained the attention of mad (angry) and mad (crazy) non-Islamists who desire to affix some value to their existence by killing a lot of people.  These people can be ideological (Dylan Roof) or just disgruntled (Stephen Paddock) and there will be more of them in years to come.

 

Private/public Corruption 

 

Dirty deeds dipped slightly over the last 2½ years of Obama’s reign, but seem to have bounced back with the election and inauguration of Djonald Unchained… although not yet to the extent predicted and feared by trembling, cringing liberals.  (This is probably more a response to the incompetence of official and corporate vice than a surfeit of virtue.)  Russiagate drags on but, except for the occasional “gotcha” of a Trump sycophant or family member, appears increasingly irrelevant to Don Joneses worried about their jobs, homes and safety.

 

Crime

 

Unfortunately, there is plenty to worry about on the home front.  After years of decline, ordinary street crime has started rising again… not everywhere, but in enough places (Chicago, Baltimore, our televisions) to cause citizens to lock their doors and buy more ammunition.  Some is gang and drug-related… Trump has issued strong words about cracking down on pill-prescribing pharmacists but his Attorney General seems more interested in overriding state anti-marijuana laws.  New technologies have engendered new crimes… identities are stolen, bank accounts “liberated” and personal dossiers have been hacked and held for ransom or blackmail.  Meanwhile, the shrinking world has bolstered a new generation of global criminality… the erstwhile Nigerian princes have been largely replaced by Russian mobsters and Dutch trolls.

 

Environment/Weather

 

Parisian climate changes notwithstanding, the oceans were rising, species were dying off, the summers were getting hotter and the winters colder long before the Trump administration, and things will probably be getting worse long after he’s gone.  Hurricanes, floods and blizzards have always occurred, just not quite so many of them, and more and more polar glaciers are calving off icebergs of the sort that sank the Titanic.

 

Natural/Unnatural Disasters

 

Our scores could have been much worse if not for the restraint exercised on running up the score on this category… words like “disaster” leave little room for positive developments, and we were consequently more attuned to incidents of heroism, bravery or just plain luck in the face of adverse circumstances, even if the death toll  augured a darker view.

 

LIFESTYLE and JUSTICE INDEX:

 

Science, Tech. & Education

After dipping slightly during the end of the Obama years, American ingenuity has rebounded with bold ventures in space, infrastructure and medicine.  Ed Scc. deVos has so far been unable or unwilling to shut down the public school system, the various agencies charged with innovation and productivity have continued to score gains, even despite the prospect of funding cuts and new technologies are gaining widespread approval and appreciation in Don Jones’ homes – whether justified or not.  Healthcare, specifically its cost (below) may be the exception…

 

Equality (economic/social)

 

Although flatlining in 2017, there was enough of a boost since the DJI began issuing these reports to continue a positive (except to alt-righers) trend of inclusivity.  Even now, as government appears to be recoiling from its previous activism, ordinary (if, in some case, rather privileged – as in the case of the Hollywood feminists) Americans are standing up against ancient injustices.  But will the benefits trickle down to middle and low-income and status people?  (How about that minimum wage thingy?)

 

Health

Innovation up, access down has been the norm regardless of the partisan affiliation of the movers and shakers.  The United States remains in the basement of healthcare effectiveness per dollar (or euro or whatever) for all of the developed and much of the under-developed world; new lifestyle issues like drug, food, alcohol and videogame addictions are lowering life expectancy, as are gun violence and suicide.  The fake media touts some cataclysmic discovery every other week, or even more often… much of it obvious, much of it contradictory.  Time and resources wasted.  And, in the background, looms the spectre of public debt cutting off many of the programs and services that keep poor people alive.

 

Freedom and Justice                        

No big surprise – conditions improved through the end of 2016, retreated last year.  There have been some overall gains… women can serve in the military, as (soon enough) can transgenders (if that is their wish, otherwise they can just go to the toilet); the mass deportation of dreamers and illegals has not yet begun (perhaps more as a quiet petitioning of employers loathe to raise wages); hot-button social issues like gay marriage have lost some of their steam.  Outrageous legal decisions remain few, if widely exploited, O.J. is free and partying in Vegas, Charles Manson is dead.  Lawyers, as ever, are busy and prosperous.

 

MISCELLANEOUS and TRANSIENT INDEX:

 

 

All Miscellaneous Incidents

 

Left or right, rich or poor, black or white, either/or… Americans love to be entertained, and they had plenty of that in 2017 as the Index, up since 2013, nearly doubled in the first year of the Trumpocracy.  Perhaps Djonald is losing (or firing) his mojo… entertaining clowns like Tony Pudzer, Sean Spicer, the Mooch and, of course, Stephen Bannon have left the building, but there are still those midnight tweets to amuse and baffle.  Bread and circuses are particularly rich these days, what with the holidays, the close of the football season and the Hollywood award season, and if the trend continues… how doesTrump v. Oprah sound for 2020?

 

As above, the Don Jones Index was up about two hundred points per year (about 1½ percent, the same anaemic growth rate conservatives hope that the tax cuts will lift) while the Dow was up five thousand points in 2017 alone (25%).  So, apparently, there was a bit of cognitive dissonance between Wall Street and Main Street.

At least, both indices finished the year on a positive (green) note as opposed to a negative (red) one.  But perhaps, as we noted last week:

“The DJI was rather quiet, as was… uncharacteristically… the Dow.  The entirety of its increase… more than that, actually, came in the usually-placid “median income” category which, being a DebtClock estimate, contained projected gains due to the tax cuts and, for a few, some of the year end and special bonuses paid to corporate employees.  This augurs a rise in the BLS/trading economics wage figures, which will be updated later in the month.  Moreover, there was an actual decrease in personal debt… a tiny one, only two one-hundredths of a point… but a rare occurrence all the same.  Could this be a sign that economic recovery will continue into 2018, despite all the signs of stormy weather ahead?”

The first week of 2018 found the American economy continuing to hum along – the official trading economics/BLS figures catching up to the unofficial DebtClock gains and the Dow and employment stats also posting advances.  Even the National Debt showed a miniscule decline, still, a rarity.

On the other hand, our balance of payments problem was worsening and worsening as import and export figures caught up to Don Jones and his Christmas spree, loading up on foreign goods.  Exports were actually up a bit, but not nearly so much as imports, and the advance for the week was, consequently, much lower than it could have been.

But hey!... it’s a New Year.  Might be cold, but the college football finals are tonight and women are wearing little black dresses.  The ranks of celebrity mopers and gropers is falling, the two Koreas are going to start talking rather than risk another Munich-like Olympic catastrophe and two Dons cashed in on a near-billion dollar lottery jackpot.

Maybe the politicians will even come to some sort of accord rather than shutting the government down and disappointing little Donna Jones who wanted to visit a National Park or soon-to-be-sold-off Monument.

 

 

 

THE DON JONES INDEX

CHART of CATEGORIES w/VALUE ADDED to EQUAL BASELINE of 15,000

(REFLECTING… approximately… DOW JONES INDEX of June 27, 2013)

See a further explanation of categories here

 

ECONOMIC INDICES (60%)

                                                                                                                                              

DON JONES’ PERSONAL ECONOMIC INDEX (45% of TOTAL INDEX POINTS)

 

 

INCOME

 

(24%)

BASE

6/27/13

      RECKONINGS

       LAST            CHANGE

 

NEXT

DON

1/1/18

DON

1/8/18

 

OUR SOURCE(S) and COMMENTS

 

 

 

Wages (hourly, per capita)    

9%

1350 points 

      12/18/17

+0.27%

Jan. 18

     1,466.17

 

     1,470.13

 

http://www.tradingeconomics.com/united-states/wages   22.30

Median Income (yearly)

4%

600

1/8/18

+2.38%

1/15/18

654.22

        669.79

debtclock.org/    31,523

Unempl. (BLS – in millions

4%

600

12/11/17

-2.44%

Jan. 18

     1,110.17

     1,110.17

http://data.bls.gov/timeseries/LNS14000000     4.1 nc

   Official (DC - in millions)

2%

300

1/8/18

-0.34%

1/15/18

524.46

526.23

http://www.usdebtclock.org/      6,532

   Unofficl. (DC - in millions)

2%

300

1/8/18

-0.43%

1/15/18

508/33

510.50

http://www.usdebtclock.org/    12,648

Workforce Participation

     Number (in millions)

     Percentage (DC)

2%

300

1/8/18

 

+0.25%

+0.017%

1/15/18

286.18

286.23

Americans in/not in workforce (mil.) 

In: 154,101 Out 95,453 Total 249,554

http://www.usdebtclock.org/  61.75% nc

WP Percentage (ycharts)*

1%

150

12/11/17

nc

Jan. 18

149.37

149.37

http://ycharts.com/indicators/labor_force_participation_rate   62.70% nc

 

 

OUTGO

    (15%)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total Inflation (aggregate)

7%

1050

12/18/17

+0.4%

1/15/18

981.13

981.13

http://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm    +0.4 nd

 

Inflation – Food

2%

300

12/18/17

nc

1/15/18

279.82

279.82

http://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm     nc

 

               - Gasoline

2%

300

12/18/17

+7.3%

1/15/18

296.96

296.96

http://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm    +7.3

 

               - Medical Costs

2%

300

12/18/17

+0.6%

1/15/18

266.75

266.75

http://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm    +0.6

 

               -  Shelter

2%

300

12/18/17

+0.2%

1/15/18

285.96

285.96

http://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm    +0.2

 

 

WEALTH

(6%)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Dow Jones Index

2%

300

1/8/18

  +1.33%

1/15/18

437.12

429.05

Dow – 25,295.87

Homes – Sales

             -  Valuation

1%

1%

150

150

1/8/18      1/8/18

Sales   +7.79%    Valu.   +1.18%

1/15/18

212.65         225.87

212.65         225.87

http://www.realtor.org/research-and-statistics

Sales (M):  5.81 Valuations (K):  248.0

Debt (Personal)

2%

300

1/8/18

   +0.01%

1/15/18

261.31

261.28

http://www.usdebtclock.org/    57,312

 

 

AMERICAN ECONOMIC INDEX (15% of TOTAL INDEX POINTS)

 

 

 

          NATIONAL

(10%)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Revenues (in trillions – tr.)

2%

300

1/8/18

 +0.12%

1/15/18

384.36

384.70

debtclock.org/       3.372

 

Expenditures (in tr.)

2%

300

1/8/18

 +0.05%

1/15/18

262.27

262.14

debtclock.org/       4.031

 

National Debt (tr.)

3%

450

1/8/18

 +0.06%

1/15/18

354.33

354.53

http://www.usdebtclock.org/    20,601

 

Aggregate Debt (tr.)

3%

450

1/8/18

+0.11%

1/15/18

371.86

371.45

http://www.usdebtclock.org/    69,099

 

 

 

 

           GLOBAL

(5%)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Foreign Debt (tr.)

2%

300

1/8/18

+0.31%

1/15/18

305.78

305.78

http://www.usdebtclock.org/   6.404

 

Exports (in billions – bl.)

1%

150

11/13/17

-0.46% 

1/15/18

156.62

160.06

http://www.census.gov/foreign-trade/statistics/highlights/congressional.html 200.2

 

Imports (bl.)

1%

150

11/13/17

-1.76%

1/15/18

132.87

132.87

http://www.census.gov/foreign-trade/statistics/highlights/congressional.html 250.7

 

Trade Deficit (bl.)

1%

150

11/13/17

-10.68% 

1/15/18

99.66

99.66

http://www.census.gov/foreign-trade/statistics/highlights/congressional.html  50.5

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

                                                                                                                 SOCIAL INDICES (40%)

                       LIBERTY and SECURITY INDEX           (15%) 

      ACTS of MAN

(9%)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

World Peace

3%

450

1/8/18

  -0.2%

1/15/18

426.36

425.51

Trump disses Kim by alleging that he has a bigger button (it’s still a button!) and tries to worm himself in, but North/South Korea Olympic talks still on for tomorrow.  Iran crushes democracy dissenters.

 

Terrorism

2%

300

1/8/18

   -0.1%

1/15/18

223.70

223.92

ISIS declares war on Iran-backed Hamas.  Does somebody have to win this one?

 

Private/Public Corruption 

2%

300

1/8/18

    +0.1%

1/15/18

306.82

306.51

Trump dissolves voter fraud commission, claims states sabotaged it (as in the United States of America).  Clinton Foundation back under the microscope – the cameras were literal at Motel 6, accused of peeping and blackmailing.

 

Crime

1%

150

1/8/18

  +0.1%

1/15/18

237.00

236.76

Tonya Harding back in the news after biopic debut.  Diamond encrusted vodka bottle worth 1.3 million is stolen, then found.  Vodka gone.

 

 

      ACTS of GOD             

(6%)

(with, in some cases, a little… or lots of… help from men, and a few women)

 

 

 

Environment/Weather

3%

450

1/8/18

    +0.1%

1/15/18

344.04

344.38

Coral reefs found to be bleaching and dying off.  Cruel blizzard hits Northeast… “polar vortex” apparently retired in favor of “bomb cyclone”, which beats “frozen disaster” for weatherman catchphrase (tho’ both are reportedly trademarked by fast food cold drink outlets next summer).  Warmth seekers could’ve flocked to Sydney, Australia where it was 117º, but didn’t.

 

Natural/Unnatural Disasters

3%

450

1/8/18

    +0.3%

1/15/18

357.51

356.44

Airport agony… massive bomb cyclone cancellations, runway near-misses, water pipes freeze, explode, flood terminals, jet fuel leaks.  No better luck for cruise ships which sail into the storms and just miss becoming Titanic.  Volcano erupts in New Guinea and 4.4 earthquake hits San Francisco, setting dogs to barking and natives to sneering “Pussy!

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

                         LIFESTYLE and JUSTICE INDEX          (15%)

Science, Tech. & Education

4%

600

1/8/18

-0.1%

1/15/18

628.77

628.14

Apple iPhone slowdown escalates to meltdowns… both physical and hacker-inspired… and parents, comparing the devices to child-addictive opioids; call for more self-censorship or, why not, just plain government censorship.

 

 

Equality (economic/social)

4%

600

1/8/18

-0.2%

1/15/18

732.33

732.33

Government shutdown likely as partisans rassle over deporting dreamers and building beautiful wall (which Don Jones, not Mexico, will pay for).  Women wear black at Golden Globes to protest men exposing their tiny buttons and ungolden globes; Oprah takes time out from her freestyle taco fiestas to receive a Cecil B. DeMille award, promise new days on the horizon and, maybe, run for President in 2020.

 

 

Health

4%

600

1/8/18

 -0.1%

1/15/18

539.43

538.89

Administration invokes Goldwater rule (no psychoanalyzing a President) after publication of scandalous “Fire and Fury” questions Trump’s sanity. Djonald Unchain retorts that he’s a “stable genius” and the book is “tabloid gossip” (like his pet National Enquirer?).  Widespread flu panic and romain lettuce contamination, but doctors do say that cancer deaths are down.

 

 

Freedom and Justice                         

3%

450

1/8/18

  +0.1%

1/15/18

500.41

500.41

Fiery and furious Trump/Bannon and Mueller/Manafort feuds slowly sinks into a swamp of lawyers, poisoning many alligators.  AG Sessions is otherwise occupied, announcing a witch hunt (or weed hunt) and promises to shut down state-legalized pot shops and jail customers. 

 

                     

                       MISCELLANEOUS and TRANSIENT INDEX        (10%)

All miscellaneous incidents

 (transient and cultural)

10%

1000

1/8/18

+0.2%

1/15/18

1069.52

1071.66

Supermoon presides over more dying Sears, Macy’s and K-Marts.  Cleveland Browns celebrate 0-16 season by donning paper bags and chanting “Why are the Browns so bad?  Because God hates us!”  God smiles on two big lottery winners and Golden Globes victors “Three Billboards…”, “Big Little Lies” and “Ladybird”.  Alex Trebek recovering from brain surgery.  RIP to actor Jerry van Dyke (“Coach”) and moonwalker John Young.  Elvis celebrates 83rd birthday quietly.  Yesterday was “No pants on the subway” Day, but participation petered out due to precipitation and to public pressure preventing publicizing perverts’ pubic privates.

 

 

The Don Jones Index for the week of December 25th through December 31st, 2017 was UP 30.55 points. 

The Don Jones Index is sponsored by the Coalition for a New Consensus: retired Congressman and Independent Presidential candidate Jack “Catfish” Parnell, Chairman; Brian Doohan, Administrator/Editor.  The CNC denies, emphatically, allegations that the organization, as well as any of its officers (including former Congressman Parnell, environmentalist/America-Firster Austin Tillerman and cosmetics CEO Rayna Finch) and references to Parnell’s works, “Entropy and Renaissance” and “The Coming Kill-Off” are fictitious or, at best, mere pawns in the web-serial “Black Helicopters” – and promise swift, effective legal action against parties promulgating this and/or other such slanders.

Comments, complaints, donations (especially SUPERPAC donations) always welcome at feedme@generisis.com or: speak@donjonesindex.com

 

ATTACHMENT ONE – Trends (yearly and over 3½ years)

 

ECONOMIC INDICES (60%)

                                                                                                                                              

DON JONES’ PERSONAL ECONOMIC INDEX (45% of TOTAL INDEX POINTS)

 

     INCOME  (24%)

 

 

BASE

6/27/13

DON

12/30/16

DON

12/25/17

% over

2016

% over

Base

  Yearly

  Avg. %

CURRENT

RECKONING

 

 

Wages (hourly, per capita)    

9%

1350 points 

    1,431.68

 

1,466.17

 

101.04%

  107.79%

(+2.23)

 22.24

 

Median Income (yearly)

4%

600

650.32

650.01          99.95%

 

108.32%

(+2.38)

30,592

 

Unempl. (BLS – in millions

4%

600

995.92

1,110.17     111,46%

1

185.02%

(+24.29)

 4.1

 

   Official (DC - in millions)

2%

300

481.80

523.90        108.81%

 

174,63%

(+21.32)

6,561

 

   Unofficl. (DC - in millions)

2%

300

451.47

507.65        112,44%

 

169.21%

(+19.77)

12,719

 

Workforce Participation

    

          Percentage (DC)

2%

300

284.69

286.17        100.52%

  

  95.38%

(-1,32)

In 154,034 (millions): Out 95,441    

Total 249,475

% in  61.74%

 

WP Percentage (ycharts)

1%

150

149.52

149.37           99,90%

 

  99.58%

(=0.12)

% in  62.70%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

    OUTGO    (15%)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total Inflation (aggregate)

7%

1050

998.86    

981.13

  98.22%

  93.44%

(=1.87)

    +0.4

 

Inflation – Food

2%

300

287.77

279.82

  97,24%

  93.27%

(=1.92)

     nc

 

               - Gasoline

2%

300

362.06

296.96

  82.02%

  98.99%

(=0.29)

    +7.3

 

               - Medical Costs

2%

300

271.68

266.75

  98.19%

  88.92%

(-3.17)

    +0.6

 

               -  Shelter

2%

300

292.90

285.96

  97.63%

  95.32%

(=1.34)

    +0.2

 

 

    WEALTH   (6%)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Dow Jones Index

2%

300

350.72

429.05

122,33%

143,02%     (+12,29)   

 24,754.06

 

Homes – Sales

             -  Valuation

1%

1%

150

150

202.10         209.97

212.65

225.87

105.22% 107.57%

141.77%     (+11.93)

150.58%     (+14.45)

Sales (M):  5.81

Valuations (K):  248.0

 

Debt (Personal)

2%

300

268.94

261.29

  86.00%

  87.10%     (- 3.69)

  57,310

 

 

 

 

               AMERICAN ECONOMIC INDEX (15% of TOTAL INDEX POINTS)

 

 NATIONAL  (10%)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Revenues (in trillions – tr.)

2%

300

378.41

383.33

 

101.30%

 

127.78%

(+7.94)

  3.364

 

Expenditures (in tr.)

2%

300

268.93

262.47

 

  97.60%   

        87.49%

(=3.57)

  4.027

 

National Debt (tr.)

3%

450

368.34

354.61

 

 96.27%

        78.80%

(-6.06)

 20,606

 

Aggregate Debt (tr.)

3%

450

386.13

372.38

 

 97.96%

 

  82.75%

(-4.93)

 68,991

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

    GLOBAL  (5%)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Foreign Debt (tr.)

   2%

300

317.70

306.93

  96.61%

 

102.30%

(=0.66)

 

   6.362

 

Exports (in billions – bl.)

   1%

150 3

149.32

156.62

104.88%

 

104.41%

(+1.26)

 

   195.9

 

Imports (bl.)

   1%

150 3

141.76

132.87

  93.73%       

 

  88.58%

(+3.26)

 

   244.6

 

Trade Deficit (bl.)

   1%

150 3

117.62

99.66

  84.73%

 

  66.44%

(+9.59)

 

 -   48.7

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

    SOCIAL INDICES

(40%)

 

 

 

 

 

 

                       LIBERTY and SECURITY INDEX         (15%) 

 

 

 ACTS of MAN  (9%)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

World Peace

3%

450

414.19

 

426.36

102.94%

  94.75%

(=1.50)

Terrorism

2%

300

235.02

 

223.70

95.18%

  74.57

(-7.27)

Private/Public Corruption 

2%

300

311.17

 

306.82

98.60%

102.27%

(+0.79)

 

Crime

1%

150

246.90

 

237.00

95.99%

  79.00%

(-11.99)

 

  ACTS of GOD  (6%) 

   

 

(with, in some cases, a little… or lots of… help from men, and a few women)

 

 

 

Environment/Weather

3%

450

395.27

344.04

87.04%

76.45%        (-6.73)

 

Natural/Unnatural Disasters

3%

450

386.58

357.51

92.46%

  79.45

(-5.87)

 

                         LIFESTYLE and JUSTICE INDEX          (15%)

Science, Tech. & Education

    4%

600

581.14

628.77

108.20%

104.80.%

(+1.37)

 

 

Equality (economic/social)

    4%

600

728.66

732.33

100.50%

122.06%

(+6.30)

 

 

Health

    4%

600

569.57

539.43

  94.71%

  89.91%

(-2.88)

 

 

Freedom and Justice                        

    3%

450

510.88

500.41

  97.95%

111.20%

(+3.18)

 

 

 

 

 

              MISCELLANEOUS and TRANSIENT INDEX        (10%)

 

 

All miscellaneous incidents

 (transient and cultural)

   10%

1000

1028.85

1069.52

103.95%

106.95%

(+1.99)