THE DON JONES INDEX…

 

GAINS POSTED in GREEN

LOSSES POSTED in RED

   1/22/20…  16,567.60

                  (14,988.72)

   1/15/20…  16,567.85

                  (14,994.40)

    6/27/13…  15,000.00

 

 

(THE DOW JONES INDEX:  1/22/20…29,196.04; 1/15/20…28,905.05; 6/27/13… 15,000.00)

 

 

LESSON for January 22, 2020 – THE DIRTY DOZEN!

Holidays over… isn’t Martin Luther King day the last gasp of the celebratory season?... and now it’s back to work.  Back to work for Don Jones, for those who represent him in the three branches of government, and those who aspire to the former (or, in the majority of cases, to upgrade their status).  Four of these will be working overtime, sitting in judgment of President Trump as part of their day job and moonlighting as Presidential candidates… Senators Bernie Sanders, Elizabeth Warren, Amy Klobuchar and… uh, that other guy?  Cory Booker?  No, he dropped out over Kris Kringle’s season of debauchery.  Kamala Harris?  No… same fate.  Ah… it’s Tony, no, Michael Bennet with, we think, two n’s and one “t”.  The gentleman from Colorado.  Him, too.

The fortunate one hundred, beginning yesterday, won… as part of their Senatorial accession… an undisclosed number of days where they must sit silently at their desks like children in detention for chewing gum in the hallway.  They will serve eight, twelve or sixteen hour sentences… the exact terms are still negotiable… be permitted no phones or other bleeping devices, no outside media, no conversation, no passing notes or audible giggling, no whiskey, no coffee!  They may or may not be permitted bathroom breaks and/or meal breaks at the discretion of… well, Chief Justice John Roberts is ostensibly running the show but Senate Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky) is the actual shot caller.  And if you think that he’d be squeamish about refusing either until Richard Blumenthal or Dianne Feinstein pees their pants… or worse… you’ll probably believe the testimony of the House Impeacher-ers (all Democrats) or their equal and opposite members of Team Trump across the aisle (all... uh, lawyers).

Our modest prediction is that it’ll be the no-coffee rule that busts the proceedings wide open of an hour after midnight or so.  The Senators will be allowed milk (no cookies)… perhaps the guiding, compassionate Christian hand of Mike Pence had something to do with this… and it has not been confirmed whether the “enhanced screening” now in effect in seven airport to detect contagious Chinese nationals and returning tourists for the coronavirus (where have we heard that word “enhanced” before… oh yeah… “enhanced interrogations”!) will be established at the door to interdict vials of methamphetamine or, as has already been discovered, books of crossword puzzles.  As our Index has noted, the bookmakers in London have been furiously jacking their odds on American Presidential candidates up and down and up again… it won’t be long before Don Jones can go online and bet the rent money on which Senator will be first to be caught snoozing, or downright snoring, at his or her desk as the proceedings wind their way on and on into the night and towards the hour of wolves.

Yesterday, we endured a two, three AM rassle over the rules of procedure in the form of eleven Amendments proffered by Senate Minority Leader (but not one of those minorities), Adam Schiff, all of which were tabled on the same 53-47 party-line vote.  Surprise?  No… even the three ostensibly liberal Republicans in search of a fourth hand to vote thumbs-up on witnesses (Susan Collins of Maine, Alaska’s Lisa Murkowski and…wonder of wonders… Utah’s Mitt Romney) had said they would not support any amendments until the official proceedings were proceeded, probably as a carrot to the tired and bleary Senators squirming at their desks in what would, by ten, be a close and foul-smelling Chamber.  But they did lobby McConnell to maybe, please maybe, limit the length of the testimony (if not the proceedings) to three eight-hour instead of two twelve-hour days.

Maybe the moribund labor movement can rise up and strike another blow for the working stiff by starting petition drives in the Senate and… why not?... in the House, too!

(Little known and less recorded was the solid Democratic minority wall of resistance, which included the two Senators deemed most likely to defect somewheres and, in doing so, save their jobs.   Said profiles in courage (at least for the time being) include Joe Manchin of West Virginia and Doug Jones of Alabama.  Nancy Pelosi thanks them for their service.

Now, back to the campaign trail and the eight remaining heads in a duffel bag gladhanding voters, begging for money, hovering up celebrity endorsements (See Attachment Three).  Warren campaigned with the former housing secretary Julián Castro while Sanders paraded Alexandra Ocasio-Cortez of the Squad and Buttigieg’s campaign rolled out a coveted endorsement from Dave Loebsack, one of three Democratic members of Congress from Iowa.  Mayor, now ex-Mayor Pete, Biden and the billionaires were working the Iowa caucuses with fiendish glee at the two most liberal candidates missing in action (as if there were still Hawkeyes without a clue as to what Liz and Bernie represent and what they would do as President).

There are now so few Democratic presidential candidates chasing so many more debates (not to mention the Iowa caucuses, not to mention the impeachment hearings) that it can be hard to keep track of who’s in and who’s out. So here’s the facts, Jack.

Only six candidates, so far, have qualified for the next debate, which will be held on Feb. 7 in Manchester, N.H. The D.N.C. has not yet released its requirements for the following two debates, which will take place later in February.  Requirements for the February Debate are…

          Contributions from 225,000 unique donors.

And one of two polling requirements:

          Two polls at 7 percent or more in New Hampshire, Nevada and South Carolina, the three early nominating          states after Iowa; or

          Four polls at 5 percent or more in those early nominating states or national surveys.

Only polls released between Dec. 13 and Feb. 6 will count. Candidates can also qualify by earning at least one delegate in the Iowa caucuses on Feb. 3.  (This is a potential loophole, since forty-some Super-Delegates chosen by party insiders might qualify one of those excluded from the Iowa standown, a dropped-out Democrat or, even, somebody who hasn’t entered the lists.  Oprah?  Hillary?  Somebody’s Mom?

Mischief still dwells within the largely congested hearts of Hawkeye staters?  Not likely!

Here’s how the leaders stand at present…

Met donor threshold?

State polls with 7% or more

State or national polls with 5% or more

Qualified?

Joseph R. Biden Jr.

yes

5

11

Yes

Bernie Sanders

yes

5

11

Yes

Elizabeth WarrenWarren

yes

5

11

Yes

Pete Buttigieg

yes

3

10

Yes

Michael R. Bloomberg

no

0

4

No

Amy Klobuchar

yes

1

4

Maybe

Andrew Yang

yes

0

2

No

Tulsi Gabbard

no

0

0

No

Tom Steyer

yes

3

3

Maybe

Michael Bennett

no

0

0

No

Deval Patrick

no

0

0

No

John Delaney

no

0

0

No

 

The December debate… there was no confrontation in November, perhaps in hope in the salvation of or honor at the memory of the two White House turkeys (the former!)… had all of the appeal and aroma of stray cats hissing and clawing at one another in a dumpster.

Here was to be found the inevitable showdown between Liz and Bernie and, wouldn’t you know, it had to do with intersectionalism (gender, not race inasmuch as all the unwanted candidates of color… even the Yang gang… failed to make it through the velvet rope at the door) and old gender slurs dredged up from (where else?) social media. 

American social media, in fact, not even Ukrainian!

Speaking of social media, Socialism and anti-social behavior. January’s catfight was of interest inasmuch as longstanding alliances of ideology began crumbling under the cannonades of opportunity.

Principle among these was the scratch and claw brawl between liberal Warren and Socialist Sanders over… what else on the left… intersectionalism.  Not race… all the nonwhite candidates having been cleared out by the DNC’s debate rules like so much construction debris… but gender.  And, like so many other examples of the so-called “cancel culture”, it derived from old statements dredged up and weaponized to fit the politically correct strictures of 2020 and hyped up by publicity-thirsty moderators.

Rolling Stone, in fact, called CNN’s moderation of the debate “villainous and shameful”!  (See Attachment Five)

When asked directly about the explosive claim that he told the Massachusetts senator in a private meeting in 2018 that he did not believe a woman could win the presidency, the Bern clearly appeared eager to deescalate the hostilities, according to the L.A. Times.

 “As a matter of fact, I didn’t say it,” Sanders said. “I don’t want to waste a lot of time on this, because this is what Donald Trump and some of the media want.”

Warren was not nearly as ready to let Sanders off the hook, and her response led to what the Times called “the night’s most memorable exchange.”

While Sanders had insisted that everyone knows a woman can beat Trump, Warren said persistent sexism is undeniable.

“Bernie is my friend, and I am not here to try to fight with Bernie,” she said. “But, look, this question about whether or not a woman can be president has been raised, and it’s time for us to attack it head-on.

 “And I think the best way to talk about who can win is by looking at people’s winning record. So, can a woman beat Donald Trump? Look at the men on this stage. Collectively, they have lost 10 elections. The only people on this stage who have won every single election that they’ve been in are the women. (Minnesota Sen.) Amy (Klobuchar) and me.”

Further, the Times noted, “(r)elations between the two longtime friends and allies in progressive causes do not appear to have been mended: They conspicuously did not shake hands at the end of the debate and appeared to exchange testy words.

“Tension between the two was, perhaps, inevitable. Sanders’ hopes of consolidating the support of the party’s left wing ultimately depends on winning over voters who currently back Warren. He has only a limited amount of time to accomplish that goal because Sanders’ path to the nomination turns heavily on a strong showing in Iowa and New Hampshire.”

A post-debate New York Times autopsy reported that Mr. Sanders had emphatically insisted that he did not make the comment that Ms. Warren has attributed to him: That a woman could not be elected president.

“Well, as a matter of fact, I didn’t say it,” he said. “And I don’t want to waste a whole lot of time on this, because this is what Donald Trump and maybe some of the media want.”

Ms. Warren said she disagreed with Mr. Sanders but, opined the Times, “sought to defuse the conflict.”

“Bernie is my friend and I’m not here to fight with Bernie,” she said.  And then she picked up the dynamite and re-lit the fuse.

“The only people on this stage who have won every single election that they’ve been in are the women: Amy and me,” she said. “And the only person who has beaten an incumbent Republican any time in the past 30 years is me.”

The clash between Ms. Warren and Mr. Sanders veered, briefly, into unusual territory: math.  Not the lapel pins of the excluded Yang Gang, nor Warren’s fishy reconciliation of her tax cuts for the middle class and spending on education, health and whatnot, but more hoary history.

The disagreement unfolded after Ms. Warren said that “the only person on this stage who has beaten an incumbent Republican anytime in the past 30 years is me.”

“Well, just to set the record straight, I defeated an incumbent Republican running for Congress,” Mr. Sanders said.

“When?” Ms. Warren asked, appearing puzzled. Mr. Sanders said that in 1990, he beat a Republican congressman.

Ms. Warren pressed him again on the timing.” I said, “I was the only one who’s beaten an incumbent Republican in 30 years,” Ms. Warren said. “Well, 30 years ago is 1990, as a matter of fact,” Mr. Sanders replied.

And then Uncle Joe chimed in, according to the Times, seeking to “bridge the divide about whether a woman can win by bemoaning the factionalism that he said could prevent Democrats from defeating President Trump.”

“The real issue is who can bring the party together and represent all elements of the party,” he said. “African-American, brown, black, women, men. Gay, straight. (He’ll catch hell, no doubt, from Asians, transgenders and Native American and/or Pacific Islander intersectionalists… oh wait, he’s already experienced the Wrath of Tulsi.)  “The fact of the matter is, I would argue that, in terms of endorsement around the country, endorsements where ever we go, I have the broadest coalition of anyone running up where in this race.”

Running up where?  Huh?

Sanders could take solace that he raised $34.5 million in the fourth quarter of 2019, the largest haul of any Democratic candidate in any quarter last year. “Given the broad-based, low-dollar nature of his fundraising model, there is plenty more to come in quarters future,” predicted Slate, a liberal bellweather in what now appears to be an inter-ideological struggle with Warren… whom Slate dropped down to fifth place behind even Donald Trump, deriding her “fancy-ass speech in Boston on New Year’s Eve in a fancy-ass Revolution-era-ass building”… coinciding with the extra-ideological showdown between the two and moderate alternatives Biden and wine-caveman Buttigieg.  Noting that Mayor Pete was no longer even a Mayor anymore, just “another 37-year-old nomad in the “gig economy” with no obvious next career step, unless he becomes the most powerful person in the world in a year,” Slate also scourged him for being unable to connect with Millenials (and whomever comes between Millenials and Gen. X) and obsessing over “six or seven socialists blog(ging) mean things about him.”

Knives out!

Jennifer Rubin of the WashPost leaped to Warren’s defense, declaring: “Nearly as bad as the debate and post-debate snarling, Sanders’s supporters, known for their particular ferocity in social media, went after Warren with hammer and tongs,” and citing a CNN repticular sighting...

“As of Wednesday morning, the hashtag “#neverWarren” was trending as Bernie allies took to Twitter to attack the Massachusetts senator as a lying snake. (Not kidding; snake emojis were everywhere in the anti-Warren tweets.) “Lie or mischaracterize your ‘friend’s’ comments, double down, refuse to shake his hand,” tweeted Kyle Kulinski, a prominent liberal and YouTube host. “Are you watching America?” tweeted liberal activist and Sanders supporter Shaun King: “When @BernieSanders beat a Republican to win his congressional seat 29 years ago, Elizabeth Warren was still a Republican. One reason she never lost to a Republican is that she was a Republican for the first 47 years of her life.”

This, of course, makes the accusation of sexism even more problematic for Sanders, deduced Rubin, adding that while he certainly cannot be held responsible for every fan, his campaign’s own hires are known for “uber-aggressiveness.”  The candidate inevitably gets accused of setting a certain tone and then tarred with his supporters’ antics.

Conseqently, Rubin mused, Sanders with some “help” from his fervent supporters may do real damage to his own standing with female voters. “Meanwhile, the risk for Warren is that the attack on Sanders may well freeze any defections from his camp that she might have been hoping to obtain. In the context of the Iowa caucuses, this has real-world effects. If any candidate does not get 15 percent, his or her supporters are free to reshuffle and choose another candidate. Should Warren, for example, draw 14.99 percent, her released delegates might not be so eager to join with Sanders.”

Ironically, Sanders’s comments to Warren in private and the fight that has ensued “may have the effect of damaging a male candidate who is perceived as doubting the viability of a female candidate. This would be the ultimate rebuttal to the “women aren’t electable” argument.”

A contrarian viewpoint may have been expressed in the New York Times’ survey of smart people, included in our poll of polls, putting the warring Warren and Sanders at the top of the pile.  (See here.)  A last gasp before the pair are off to the Swamp and the futile Impeachment charade?  Or a changing of the guard… among old white people.

It has fallen to… of all media mouthpieces!... the old Moonie-spawned Washington Times to bring up the racial issue otherwise lamented only by sub one-percenter Deval Patrick.

Mr. Patrick, the only black candidate remaining in the presidential race, is not be participating in Tuesday’s debate, and, noted the New York Times on Tuesday, was not taking his exclusion quietly.

“Tonight, six candidates will take the debate stage, all remarkable public servants,” Mr. Patrick, a former governor of Massachusetts, said in a statement. “Yet tonight America will not see herself in full.”

Calling the seventh debate “indistinguishable from the previous six” save for the racial component of its participants, the Moonies… after noting that “the only person of color taking part in the debate (was) Abby Phillips of CNN, one of the three moderators,” they struck a blow for or against colorblindness… depending on your perspective.

“While we seldom rise to the defense of the Democratic National Committee, it’s right in defending the rules it established,” they said of the “debate debacle”. Apart from having to winnow the field somehow to keep out candidates with no real chance of winning the party’s presidential nomination — much less the general election — “the rules were set in advance so everyone knew them, were applied evenhandedly and are colorblind.”

Calling the contrast between the “exuberance” of Mr. Trump’s competing Milwaukee rally and the “pessimism that pervaded the Democrats’ Des Moines debate” stark, the Moonies cited Van Jones, a CNN commentator and self-described “progressive” who called the debate as unappetizing as “cold oatmeal.”

“Tonight, for me, was dispiriting. Democrats got to do better than what we saw tonight,” he said. “There was nothing I saw tonight that would be able to take Donald Trump out, and I want to see a Democrat in the White House as soon as possible.”

It’s looking increasingly likely that that won’t be until January 2025 at the earliest, the Moonies predicted.

Yes, there was also some comments on the issues in the Iowa debate… healthcare, money, war… not many, but a few. Some parts of the Democratic primary electorate may feel that beating Trump and getting him and his cronies out of power is enough for one year; actually accomplishing anything is gravy. But that’s a sad and defensive posture to have, scolded MSN (implying, but not naming, at least one candidate) “and one that voters are not likely to reward, either. Values are essential and vision can be inspiring in a president. But if that’s all a candidate offers, we need to know the next four years could become a huge disappointment and a lost opportunity.” 

Then again, values and vision (and victory) might prevent the sort of nuclear showdown (with Iran, China… Canada?) as motivated the atomic scientists union to advance their doomsday clock from 120 to 100 seconds and would allow RBG a dignified retirement.

For the final statements of the select six, see Attachment Four.

Over the pond, the uber-liberal Guardian UK had some rather moderate remarks from moderate correspondents in its scrutiny of the colonials’ confab in Iowa.

“Here’s the problem in Iowa right now: any of the top four could finish in any of the top four,” said Steve Elmendorf, a veteran Democratic strategist. “And there’s a big difference between first and fourth. So if you’re Joe Biden, do you want to go after Bernie, do you want to go after Elizabeth? I mean there’s a lot of permutations here – a lot of strategic decisions you’ve got to make.”

Jim Messina, manager of Barack Obama’s 2012 re-election campaign, warned the sparring between the two liberal senators could hurt both with Iowa voters.

“Warren and Sanders are competing for the same voters,” Messina said in an email. “It’s inevitable as we get closer to actual voting that the campaigns will draw contrast with each other. That said, I’m skeptical that traditional negative campaigning works with these voters. These are ‘Hope’ voters who want a better world. That tends to make negative lines of attack more difficult.”

The beneficiary, according to the Guardian’s sources?

“Joe Biden is the candidate who can beat Donald Trump and repair the damage this president has done to our nation and the world,” Biden’s campaign manager, Greg Schultz, wrote in a memo to donors obtained by the Guardian.

The former secretary of state John Kerry, who won the Iowa caucuses in the 2004 presidential race, warned during an appearance with local Democrats in Grundy county that Trump wanted Democrats to engage in an extended primary and pointed to the large amount of polling that shows Biden as the most formidable candidate in a head-to-head matchup against Trump.

“Let’s get real here: who’s going to beat Donald Trump? Every poll that you look at today of the nation shows that Joe Biden’s the only person that consistently beats him in every state except for a couple where he’s tied,” Kerry said. “Nobody else does that.”

 

Our poll of polls finds Joe Biden back riding tall in the saddle (by a smidgen, over Bernie).  If this trend holds up through the first two primaries, will Pocahontas drop out and throw her support to Sanders.  Quite possible, last week… less so, now.  Curiously, this will impact Biden negatively because, if both remain in the race, the likelihood of a brokered convention increases. 

The gamblers still have Hillary on their boards… in sixth place… as well as Michelle Obama, Oprah and a few others.  But, of course, things change.  And consider the dread of the conservative National Review only two short years ago!  (See Attachment Six)

 

As for Don Jones, a sharp rise in unofficial (uncompensated) unemployment and a modest gain for the Dow cancelled each other out, leading to a virtual deadlock.  Next week we will publish only the revised value, to set our findings back to the base.

 

 

 

 

 

 

THE DON JONES INDEX

 

CHART of CATEGORIES w/VALUE ADDED to EQUAL BASELINE of 15,000

 

(REFLECTING… approximately… DOW JONES INDEX of June 27, 2013)

 

See a further explanation of categories here

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CATEGORY

VALUE

BASE

 

RESULTS

 

SCORE

 

 

SCORE    

OUR SOURCE(S) and COMMENTS

 

INCOME

(24%)

6/27/13

LAST

CHANGE

NEXT

  1/15/20

 

 

1/22/20    

        SOURCE

 

 

Wages (hourly, per capita)

9%

1350 pts.

1/8/19

  -0.17%

Feb. 2020

1,551.51

(1,347.73)

1,551.51

(1,347.73)

 

http://www.tradingeconomics.com/united-states/wages  23.79

 

Median Income (yearly)

4%

600

1/15/20

 +0.07%

1/15/20

715.18

(601.20)

715.68

(601.56)

 

debtclock.org/    33,703

 

Unempl. (BLS – in millions

4%

600

12/17/19

  -2.86%

Jan. 2020

1,337.66

(600.00)

1,337.66

(600.00)

http://data.bls.gov/timeseries/LNS14000000   3.5 nc

 

Official (DC – in millions)

2%

300

1/15/20

  -1.19%

1/15/20

583.71

(300.75)

590.55

(304.06)

http://www.usdebtclock.org/ 5,723

 

Unofficl. (DC – in millions)

2%

300

1/15/20

  +3.63%

1/15/20

631.59

(301.83)

609.82

(290.97)

http://www.usdebtclock.org/    10,557

 

Workforce Participation

Number (in millions)

Percentage (DC)

2%

300

1/15/20

 

 +0.065%

 +0.007%

1/15/20

285.61

(300.08)

285.84

(300.28)

In 158,916 Out 95,616 Total: 254,532

http://www.usdebtclock.org/  62.43%

 

WP Percentage (ycharts)*

1%

150

12/24/19

 +0.16%

Feb. 2020

152.02

(149.76)

152.02

(149.76)

http://ycharts.com/indicators/labor_force_participation_rate  63.20

 

 OUTGO

(15%)

 

 

 

 

Total Inflation

7%

1050

12/24/19

 +0.2%

Feb. 2020

943.49

(1047.90)

943.49

(1047.90)

http://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm     +0.2

 

Food

2%

300

12/24/19

 +0.2%

Feb. 2020

271.77

(299.40)

271.77

(299.40)

http://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm     +0.2

 

Gasoline

2%

300

12/24/19

 +2.8%

Feb. 2020

249.60

(291.60)

249.60

(291.60)

http://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm     +2.8

 

Medical Costs

2%

300

12/24/19

 +0.4%

Feb. 2020

248.67

(298.80)

248.67

(298.80)

http://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm       nc

 

Shelter

2%

300

12/24/19

 +0.2%

Feb. 2020

269.83

(299.40)

269.83

(299.40)

http://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm     +0.2

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

WEALTH

 

(6%)

 

 

Dow Jones Index

2%

300

  1/15/20

+0.97%

1/15/20

487.19

(303.78)

491.92

(306.74)

https://quotes.wsj.com/index/DJIA  29,186.27

 

Sales (homes)

Valuation (homes)

1%

1%

150

150

11/26/19

11/26/19

 -2.06%

+0.15%

Jan. 2020

Jan. 2020

195.69

241.09

(150.00)

(150.00)

195.69

241.09

(150.00)

(150.00)

http://www.realtor.org/research-and-statistics

Sales (M):  5.35 Valuations (K):  271.3 nc

 

Debt (Personal)

2%

300

  1/15/20

+0.01%

Feb. 2020

239.28

(300.00)

239.26

(299.97)

http://www.usdebtclock.org/    61,358

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

AMERICAN ECONOMIC INDEX (15% of TOTAL INDEX POINTS)

 

 

NATIONAL

(10%)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Revenues (in trillions)

2%

300

1/15/20

+0.03%

1/29/20

404.60

(300.45)

404.73

(300.54)

debtclock.org/       3,510

 

Expenditures (in tr.)

2%

300

1/15/20

+0.08%

1/29/20

228.44

(299.32)

228.26

(299.07)

debtclock.org/       4,561

 

National Debt (tr.)

3%

450

1/15/20

+0.08%

1/29/20

315.74

(448.98)

315.49

(448.63)

http://www.usdebtclock.org/    23,201

 

Aggregate Debt (tr.)

3%

450

1/15/20

- 0.10%

1/29/20

339.09

(446.51)

338.75

(446.08)

http://www.usdebtclock.org/    75,489

 

 

GLOBAL

 

(5%)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Foreign Debt (tr.)

2%

300

1/15/20

+0.57%

1/29/20

286.07

(299.53)

287.70

(301.23)

http://www.usdebtclock.org/   6,861

 

Exports (in billions – bl.)

1%

150

1/8/20

+0.72%

Feb. 2020

162.26

(150.36)

162.26

(150.36)

https://www.census.gov/foreign-trade/Press-Release/  208.6

 

Imports (bl.)

1%

150

1/8/20

-1.03%

Feb. 2020

131.30

(152.55)

131.30

(152.55)

https://www.census.gov/foreign-trade/Press-Release/  251.7

 

Trade Deficit (bl.)

1%

150

1/8/20

-9.51%

Feb. 2020

115.97

(150.00)

115.97

(150.00)

https://www.census.gov/foreign-trade/Press-Release/   43.1 nc

 

 

 

SOCIAL INDICES (40%)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

ACTS of MAN

(12%)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

World Peace

3%

450

1/15/20

 -0.5%

1/29/20

383.55

(434.42)

383.55

(434.42)

 

Impeached, Trump trots off to Switzerland.  Iran’s Khameini calls him a “clown” (although clearly un-pennywise).   Add Beirut (with a failing economy) to the list of usual riot suspects. 

 

 

Terrorism

2%

300

1/15/20

+0.1%

1/29/20

208.43

(299.38)

208.22

(299.08)

 

Before leaving, Trump walks back his “no injuries” claim – admits 11 soldiers concussed by Iranian rocket attack.  Domestic Iraqkets rain down on miscellaneous targets – no American casualties reported.

 

 

Politics

3%

450

1/15/20

+0.2%

1/29/20

437.80

(452.25)

438.61

(453.15)

Virginia gun rally ends peacefully as Nazis locked up and Antifa busy getting new piercings and tattoos.  Impeachment and Dem. Primaries proceed apace (as above).  Senators (especially presidential candidates) grumble at prospect of long hours and long weeks away from Iowa.  Massive Puerto Rican aid corruption disclosed.

 

 

 

Economics

3%

450

1/15/20

+0.2%

1/29/20

436.12

(454.96)

436.99

(455.87)

Delta air shares some of its profits with workers… 2 months bonus!  Near-bankrupt Boeing, however, suspends stock transactions and seeks 10B loans… from Russia?  BMW and Tesla face recalls.  Netflix thrives, I Heart Radio dives.  Son of NAFTA proceeds while Chinese growth falls to 6.1 GDP (Awww!).  Starbucks to bring their $7 coffees into the hood?

 

 

 

 

Crime

1%

150

(300)

1/15/20

 -0.3%

1/29/20

224.13

(150.00)

(300.00)

224.80

(150.56)

(300.90)

Angry neighbors, lead by “James Bond” rescue teen from kidnappers.  2 more children rescued from demented Alabama parents’ cage. Stolen painting recovered from Italian basement.  Gun fun in Florida where road rager shoots Trump sticker sucker, in Chicago barbershop and an evicted tenant knifes landlord and shoots 2 cops before being terminated.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

ACTS of GOD

(6%)

 

(with, in some cases, a little… or lots of… help from men, and a few women)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Environment/Weather

3%

450

1/15/20

+0.2%

1/29/20

286.08

(453.60)

286.65

(454.51)

 

Aussies cry Salvation! and dance in the rain.  Global warming killing off penguins but bad blizzards rage coast to coast, even freezing Miami.  China plans to ban plastic bags.

 

 

Natural/Unnatural Disaster

3%

450

1/15/20

+0.1%

1/29/20

330.81

(450.90)

330.48

(450.45)

 

Truck hits Illinois Starbucks and Jesus-take-the=wheeler crashes, but students escape Mississippi bus fire.  Domestic Tahoe avalanche kills skier while seven perish in Nepal.  8 more die in Czech mental asylum fire.  Biblical-class locust invasion in East Africa.

 

 

 

LIFESTYLE/JUSTICE INDEX   (15%)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Science, Tech, Educatioo

4%

600

1/15/20

 -0.1%

1/29/20

655.60

(602.70)

654.94

(602.10)

Pentagon unveils new snazzy Space Force camo uniforms.  (Camo?  In space?)  Killer Saudi prince, angered over WashPost reports of Khashoggi decapitation, hacks Jeff Bezos’ phone. 

 

 

 

Equality (econ./social)

4%

600

1/15/20

+0.1%

1/29/20

682.30

(598.19)

682.98

(598.79)

Womens arches in NY and Wash. after ERA approved (but invalid due to expiration date?) and SF Giants hire first female coach. Actor quits Simpeons’ job as Apu, claiming stereotyping and racism.  Investigators marvel at Epstein’s fantasy pedophile estate on his private Virgin Island.  Richest 2,000 people reportedly have as much wealth as the bottom 4.6B.

 

 

 

Health

4%

600

1/15/20

+0.2%

1/29/20

509.82

(598.80)

508.80

(597.60)

Chinese coronavirus spreads.  Doctors say binge drinkers drinking more often.  Trump tears up Michelle Obama’s nutrition guidelines for school lunches, replacing them with… gruel?  Ozzy reveals he has Parkinson’s.

 

 

 

Freedom and Justice

3%

450

1/15/20

+0.1%

1/29/20

544.78

(450.00)

545.32

(450.45)

Harvey Weinstein trial opens.  SC woman guilty of poisoning hubby with eyedrops.  Corrupt Chris Collins (R-NY) quits.  Demented dentist guilty – faces ten years for pulling a tooth while on his hoverboard.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

MISCELLANEOUS and TRANSIENT INDEX        (7%)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Cultural incidents

3%

450

1/15/20

+0.1%

1/29/20

453.47

(451.82)

453.93

(452.27)

 

Awards everywhere…  Brad and Jennifer reunited as SAG actor awardees while Korea’s “Parasite” becomes first foreign film winner.  Derek Jeter elected to baseball Hall of Fame (one “no” troll prevents unanimity); the Notorious B.I.G, T. Rex and… Whitney Houston? To the Rock and Roll H.O.F.  Next, the Grammys – where head of the RIAA is ousted and accuses the Board of corruption.  Aerosmith drummer sues to get back into the band.  Chiefs and Niners in Superbowl on 2/2, Odell Beckham arrested, then exonerated, for slapping a security guard’s butt.  Bucks’ 25 year old “Greek Freak” scores 10,000th point.  Tim Tebow ties the knot.  Betty White turns 98.  RIP to Rocky Johnson (Rock’s father) and RIV (Vallhalla?) to a 100 year old Nazi who thus escapes Israeli extradition plea.

 

 

Miscellaneous incidents

4%

450

1/15/20

+0.1%

1/29/20

457.53

(449.65)

457.99

(450.10)

 

Endangered koala born in American zoo.  National Archives accused of altering photographs.  Meghzit” (“Prexit?”) for Prince Harry and Megahan as they fly off to Canada and civilian life and paparazzi follow to photograph them walking the dog.  No alterations reported.

 

 

 

 

 

The Don Jones Index for the week of January 8th through 14th, 2020 was DOWN 0.25 points.  (OR, in revision, 5.68)

 

The Don Jones Index is sponsored by the Coalition for a New Consensus: retired Congressman and Independent Presidential candidate Jack “Catfish” Parnell, Chairman; Brian Doohan, Administrator/or.  The CNC denies, emphatically, allegations that the organization, as well as any of its officers (including former Congressman Parnell, environmentalist/America-Firster Austin Tillerman and cosmetics CEO Rayna Finch) and references to Parnell’s works, “Entropy and Renaissance” and “The Coming Kill-Off” are fictitious or, at best, mere pawns in the web-serial “Black Helicopters” – and promise swift, effective legal action against parties promulgating this and/or other such slanders.

Comments, complaints, donations (especially SUPERPAC donations) always welcome at feedme@generisis.com or: speak@donjonesindex.com

 

BACK

 

See further indicators at Economist – https://www.economist.com/economic-and financialndicators/2019/02/02/economic-data-commodities-and-markets    


Attachment One – from various

 

TIMELINE – Debates

 

February 7, 2020

Eighth Democratic Primary Debate

Watch On: ABC, WMUR-TV, and Apple News
Location: Manchester, New Hampshire
Sponsors: TBD
Moderators: TBD
Candidates: TBD

February 19, 2020

Ninth Democratic Primary Debate

Watch On: NBC News and MSNBC
Location: Las Vegas, Nevada
Sponsors: TBD
Moderators: TBD
Candidates: TBD

February 25, 2020

Tenth Democratic Primary Debate

Watch On: CBS News and Congressional Black Caucus Institute
Location: Charleston, South Carolina
Sponsors: TBD
Moderators: TBD
Candidates: TBD

March, 2020

Eleventh Democratic Primary Debate

Watch On: TBD
Location: TBD
Sponsors: TBD
Moderators: TBD
Candidates: TBD

April, 2020

Twelfth Democratic Primary Debate

Watch On: TBD
Location: TBD
Sponsors: TBD
Moderators: TBD
Candidates: TBD

 

December 31 – 4th quarter financial reports due (but some low money losers will drag the process out).

 

 

 

PRIMARIES

 

 

Feb. 3

Early voting begins in California

Registered voters in California can begin casting their ballots today. And those who have signed up to receive vote-by-mail ballots should start receiving them today. Early-voting centers will be open through Feb 25.

Feb. 3

Iowa caucuses*

Feb. 11

New Hampshire primaries*

Feb. 15

South Carolina primary*

Feb. 22

Nevada caucus

Feb. 25

Nevada caucus*

Feb. 29

South Carolina primary

 

March 3

 

Alabama primaries

SUPER TUESDAY!

 

 

Attachment Two – from the Don Jones Index and various named…

 

Our DJI poll of polls (from sources listed).  Note: In three instances, two polls took place since our last listing; in these instances the older poll is designated by italics.  The total for each candidate includes the more recent polling data.

 

The Polls

The Prognosticators

The Partisans         

The Gamblers

The Money

The Results

              Past DJI Rankings

 

 

Democrats

Econm. UGov

Politico/ Morng. Consult.

WHDH/ Emer. (NH)

Bost