GAINS POSTED in GREEN

                                                                                                                                                                                   LOSSES POSTED in RED


                                                                                                                                                                              9/9/20…  14,907.86

                                                                                                                                                                            9/2/20…  14,831.84

                                                                                                                                                                              6/27/13…  15,000.00


LESSON for September 23, 2020 – STATE of the STATES!


The October surprise arrived early this year… not that there won’t be another, or many more, apocalyptic developments before November third… but the sudden (tho’ expected) death of Ruth Bader Ginsburg on Friday and the prospect for an inviolate conservative (nay, alt-right) majority for decades to come looms larger than the weather, the riots… almost as large as the plague.

Ginsburg died after a long battle with pancreatic cancer.  Despite his stalling of the Obama appointment of Merrick Garland ten months before the end of his term, Senate Majority leader Mitch McConnell swore, before Ginsburg’s body had even cooled, that the President would make the “right” kind of appointment and the Senate would rush to confirm, perhaps even before the election, certainly by the time a lame Donald Duck leaves office on January 4th.

Who would ultimately approve such a midnight appointment if the Senate concurs.  Why… the Supremes (with or without the new justice).

Ginsburg’s death arrived at the best of all possible times… for Donald Trump.  While most politicians opted for a weekend respite of tributes and kindly words, leaving the serious pressure to begin rising Monday, the media, per usual, showed no such discretion.  But confirmation of her passing did not take place until after the evening news and the late night talkshow mouths, almost exclusively liberal, were muzzled by reason of their practice of taking Fridays (as well as Mondays) off.

Before the corpse was in the ground at Arlington, the President declared he had a Big, Big List of 45 potential replacements which, within hours, shrank to three after Djonald Unashamed agreed with the mob that the next Supreme ought to be a woman.  Maybe not Diana Ross, nor Oprah or Ivanka – more like the three finalists who made the cut, all of whom could have found work as auto show models a decade ago and are still… to use a sexist term… lookers.  Looker lawyers.  Then POTUS pared the field down to finalists… Amy Coney Barrett, from Indiana, and Florida’s Barbara Lagoa.  In keeping with the game show circus around the replacements, one will be nominated, the other will hear… “You’re fired!”  (Unless and until the 6-3 court somehow throws the election to Trump, whereupon any of the surviving three liberals might kick the bucket… Steven Breyer through age, Justices Kagan and/or Sotomayor through “misadventure”.)

None had better drink tea offered by strange, smiling strangers for the next four years.

It could have been worse.  Mister Trump punted out of bounds, blew the opportunity like the Atlanta Falcons watching the Cowboys’ onside kick wobble past them, Sunday last, until the Dallas team picked it up and let their field kicker win the game.  What he should have done… and still may do, depending on the calendar… well, take a look below.

The stakes… already elevated… could not be higher.  A post-RBG SCOTUS will almost assuredly repeal Roe v. Wade and may even confirm a Federal statute that would criminalize abortions, whether individual states wished so or not.  And then they would move on to outlawing contraception.  Gay marriage would be flushed down the toilet; numerous employee protections against bigotry (to call them “discrimination” is a slur against common decency and conscientious decision making) would be repealed… pro (monkey) business decisions would be confirmed and expanded.  Science, including the war on plague and climate change, would be shelved in favor of Biblical superstition; marijuana possession would be recriminalized as felonious, earning a kid with a joint ten or even twenty years’ hard time, police brutality lawsuits would be summarily dismissed and prosecution of the half-century war on labor rights would be accelerated.  Confederate monuments would be raised again, gun prohibitions erased, free speech (while restored to some) and the free press ,ay well be shackled by libel and slander laws similar to those in the U.K. (at best) or in Russia (at worst).

If Mitchy can get the job done before January 4th, we are likely to see a manic two months as ex-President Trump rests his tweeting fingers and starts churning out Executive Orders that sad sack sucker Joe Biden will find impossible to rescind.   Trump has stated that he will make his choice on Friday or Saturday – which would have the side benefit of stealing such thunder as might resound during Ginsburg’s funeral.  The last words of the justice, reportedly, were: “My fervent wish is that there will be no appointment before the election.”  Trump’s alleged response, more or less accusing the granddaughter who transcribed this bequest as a dirty little liar in the pay of mastermind Joe Biden, the Deep State or some even darker potentate, was: “Rot in Hell, Notorious RBG!”



Critical as it would appear, November’s Presidential election is only half the battle.  Discounting the state and local races; discounting, also, the Congress (which seems firmly in the hands, or hooves, of Democrats barring some hitherto unexpected incident) control of the 33 Senatorial seats up for grabs is paramount to the agendas of each of the contending factions.

Consider a Biden victory on November third.  Not a squeaker (that would likely induce a lengthy ballot counting and re-counting marathon, followed by a waterfall of lawyers pushing the day of decision further and further back into November, into December, possibly 2021 – racing the eventual production and distribution of an effective vaccine), but not a blowout either, as Uncle Joe’s coattails would carry a Democratic majority into the upper house, and enable him to enact his Socialist agenda, if such exists.  A close and competitive, but unpreventable victory.  Do the liberals break out the white wine while MAGA’s whites whine and whine and whine (and lock and load)?

Hardly.  If the Senate remains under the thumb of majority leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky), our previous four years of insanity will be followed by at least two of stagnation… a calm as may prove a balm to the weary Joneses of that great and muddled middle of the bird between hard left and right wings.  But the progressive agenda (pardon the cussing) will be stymied as the die-hard Trump loyalists manage to block critical elements and promises of the Democratic activists… no Green New Deal (or even Green normalcy), no War on Poverty, no healthcare for all.  We will kick back to 2015 and plenty of us will be satisfied with that.

Or what if the incumbent makes fools of the pollsters again (through his own wicked genius, a surfeit of blunders from the Biden – Harris ticket or, most likely, a well-organized and diabolical assault on the electoral process itself, resulting in massive cheating, voter intimidation… or disgust… and the collusion of Chief Justice Roberts on the outcome – if and when it’s dropped in the laps of the Supremes, whether they like it or not) or simply diabolical intervention.  But the Republican Senate majority, lacking the cynical self-serving (and the funding) of the Chief Executive, is overturned… likely as a consequence of local issues, whose malign influence can not be blamed on either Q-Anon or the Deep State.

Give the Democrats a close, but distinct advantage… 52-47-1 (that rascal, Bernie!) or 53-45-2 (another independent climbs the greasy poll, somewhere) and the result, again, will be gridlock.  There is no way in Hell or Honolulu that the donkeys will post a veto-proof majority, so they will legislate and consense, an isolated but angry Djonald Trump will veto anything and everything… even to the extent of pulling Federal funding for plague protection, infrastructure and unemployment relief from states, cities and counties that voted against him.  And that will mean more lawyers lawyering and cashing their paychecks on a increasingly insolvent Federal treasury, more leaks, more tweets and more outraged partisans on either side blowing off the media to write their own books, detailing their own vision for America… as will not be realized.  Or simply blowing off each others’ heads, period.

So the Senatorial races, while perhaps not as important as that on the top of the ticket, will determine the direction (or drift) as will whirl America around in a Sargasso Sea of bitterness for at least two years while Russia (victors in the down-ballot races) and China (perhaps satisfied with the ascension of their champion who, at least, might give them a break on soybean tariffs).

Hence this little detour from the main tent of the electoral circus to a sideshow with all of the appurtenances of the Really Big Shew… bearded ladies, strong men, trained bears and jackals, dwarves, clowns and Senators performing high wire tricks and being shot out of cannons.

And peeking and peering out of every one of those tattered, threadbare tents, sweaty fingers flying as their tweets soar into the twitterverse… more lawyers!

David Blaine will likely feel gratified by these campaigns as he soars above the plaguescape on his fifty two balloons.  Don Jones, maybe not.

So let’s take a closer look at the chosen thirty-three (plus aspirants for the seats of retiring Senators) and their challengers, and assess the likelihood of victory, defeat or stalemate

To prepare the chart below, we consulted numerous national local soothsayers as contributed to Wikipedia, the Cook think tank… which merely uttered a yes (probably yes, maybe yes), no (same) or “tossup” designation to the races… the Council for a Livable World (which is “A nonpartisan nonprofit promoting policies to reduce and eventually eliminate nuclear weapons, and to minimize the risk of war through lobbying and by helping elect and support Members of Congress who share our goals”).

(We’re not going to do this for Congress.  It would take a bolt from below for Republicans to recapture the House, and while there have been plenty of surprising surprises over the last four years, this would be jumping the shark while, on the table, the debates, the SCOTUS Senate hearings, Q-Anon, Ellen’s on-set tantrums, campaign financial disclosures… or the hiding of same… the Breonna Taylor cop indictments (dragged on past Tuesday), some more polls, some riots and wildfires and maybe enough hurricanes to exhaust even the Greek alphabet.)






(with Wikilinks to individual summaries)


Margin (2014)


Comments, polls and professional intelligence






Doug   Jones      (D)

50.0% D
(2017 special)

Tommy Tuberville (R)

Jones's win was in part due to sexual assault allegations against Moore during the special election. Most analysts expect the seat to flip back to GOP control as Jones faces much stronger opposition from Tuberville. Despite some competitive polling, many in the Democratic establishment see Jones's seat as a lost cause.

Cook – Lean Republican

CLW: The most vulnerable Democratic incumbent in 2020 is Sen. Doug Jones (D). In 2017, Jones won a stunning upset victory 50%-48% over former state Supreme Court Justice Roy Moore (R) in this usually solid Republican state.  Sen. Jeff Sessions (R) comeback attempt was smacked down by Tommy Tuberville (R), who is now favored over Sen. Doug Jones (D), but don’t count out Jones just yet.


Dan Sullivan  (R)

48.0% R

Al          Gross        (D)

On July 2, 2019, Al Gross, an orthopedic surgeon and fisherman, declared his candidacy as an Independent.[97] He went on to win the nomination.

Cook – Likely Republican

CLW:  Orthopedic surgeon Al Gross, an independent who is seeking the Democratic nomination to face Sen. Dan Sullivan (R) and has unified the Democratic Party behind his campaign. In late April, Sabato’s Crystal Ball upgraded the race from Sure Republican to Likely Republican.



Martha McSally  (R)


Mark     Kelly         (D)

Incumbent Republican Martha McSally was appointed to the late John McCain's seat two months after losing the 2018 Arizona U.S. Senate election to Democrat Kyrsten Sinema. Her Democratic opponent, astronaut Mark Kelly (who is married to former representative Gabrielle Giffords), has raised significantly more money and generally leads her by 5-15 points in the polling. McSally is also suffering from low approval ratings due to her strong allegiance to Trump, who is unpopular in Arizona despite winning the state by 3.5 points in 2016.

Cook – Lean Democratic

Martha McSally (R), after losing a close election in 2018 to Sen. Kyrsten Sinema (D) by 50%-48%, was appointed to take the seat of late Sen. John McCain (R), and has to run again in 2020. Mark Kelly (D), astronaut and husband of former Rep. Gabrielle Giffords, is her challenger. Kelly is leading in fundraising and the polls.


Tom   Cotton (R)

56.5% R

Ricky Harrington (L)

No other Democrats filed within the filing deadline.

Christian missionary Ricky Dale Harrington, Jr., is running as a Libertarian,[107] and progressive activist Dan Whitfield is running as an independent.[108] Whitfield has been unable to qualify for the ballot, pending an appeal to the United States Court of Appeals for the Eighth Circuit.[109]

Cook – Solid Republican


Cory Gardner (R)



(See below)

48.2% R

John Hickenlooper (D)

Gardner is Colorado's only Republican statewide officeholder, and the once purple state has trended increasingly Democratic since Gardner's narrow win in 2014. Gardner also has low approval ratings due to his strong allegiance to President Donald Trump, who is unpopular in Colorado.

Cook – Toss-up  (DJI – Solid Democratic)

CLW: Sen. Cory Gardner (R) is considered one of the most vulnerable Republicans in the 2020 election. In 2018, Democrats won the governorship in Colorado and picked up one House seat, and Hillary Clinton carried the state in 2016. In August, former Governor John Hickenlooper dropped his candidacy for President and announced he will run for this Senate seat. Hickenlooper was hurt by self-inflicted wounds, but survived the primary 59%-41%. This remains one of the best opportunities for a Democratic pickup.

His Tuesday decision to vote for whatever female American His President fingers as the next SCOTUS… even if it’s Stormy Daniels, makes his return to the private sector even more likely (and probably more lucrative).


Chris Coons (D)

55.8% D


Cook – Solid Democratic

Georgia (a)

David Perdue    (R)

52.9% R

Jon       Ossoff       (D)

The incumbent of the regular election, Republican David Perdue, will face Jon Ossoff, who won name recognition after losing the most expensive House race in U.S. history.

Cook – Toss-up  (DJI – Lean Republican) CLW: The state has been moving towards a purple status; Stacey Abrams (D) lost her 2018 race for governor in a very close contest by only 50%-49%.  On June 9, former House candidate Jon Ossoff (D) defeated two major foes for the Democratic nomination in a June 9 primary and avoided an August 11 runoff. Polls show a close general election against Sen. Davie Purdue (R).

Georgia (b)

Kelly Loeffler  (R)


Jungle Primary!

A "jungle primary" will be held November 3, 2020; a candidate earning a majority of votes cast will win, but if no candidate wins a majority, a runoff election between the top two finishers will be held January 5, 2021.[117] The winner of the special election will serve until the expiration of Isakson's term on January 3, 2023.

   As in the regular election, there is a crowded field of Democratic candidates, but there is also a bitter contest on the Republican side between incumbent Kelly Loeffler, a businesswoman appointed to the seat after Isakson's resignation, and Doug Collins, a well-known U.S. representative. Collins remains close to Loeffler in the polls due to allegations of insider trading against Loeffler.

Cook – Lean Republican

CLW: Kelly Loeffler (R), a businesswoman and co-owner of the Atlanta Dream in the Women’s National Basketball Association, has been named Sen. Johnny Isakson’s (R) replacement by Georgia Gov. Brian Kemp. Loeffler will hold the seat until the November 2020 special election, creating two elections then. She is challenged by Rep. Doug Collins (R), Matt Lieberman (D),  and Rev. Dr. Raphael Warnock (D) in an open primary. If no candidate wins 50% of the vote in November, there will be a runoff vote in January, which could mean Senate control is in doubt long after the November election.


James Risch      (R)

65.3% R

Paulette Jordan      (D)

Former gubernatorial nominee and former Coeur d’Alene Tribal Councilwoman Paulette Jordan won the Democratic nomination in a primary against retired cop Jim Vandermaas.

Cook – Lean Republican


Dick Durbin    (D)

53.5% D

Mark Curran      (R)

Mark Curran, who served as sheriff of Lake County from 2006 to 2018, won the Republican primary with 41.55% of the vote and will face Durbin in the general election.[131]

Cook – Solid Democratic


Joni     Ernst      (R)

52.1% R

Theresa Greenfield (D)

Greenfield, a first-time candidate backed by the Democratic establishment, defeated admiral Michael Franken, attorney Kimberly Graham, and businessman Eddie Mauro in the primary. She and Ernst are polling neck-and-neck in the general election, but Greenfield lacks name recognition, despite raising more money than Ernst.

Cook – Toss-up  (DJI – Lean Republican)

CLW: Iowa Sen. Joni Ernst (R) is running for reelection. National Democrats, including the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee and Emily’s List, have rallied around real estate executive and former congressional candidate Theresa Greenfield (D), who won her June 2 primary handily. Ernst is considered a narrow favorite.


Roger Marshall (R)

53.1% R

Barbara Bollier        (D)

Four-term Republican Pat Roberts is retiring and will not run for reelection. U.S. representative Roger Marshall and former Republican turned Democratic state senator Barbara Bollier won their primaries and will face off in the general election.

Cook – Lean Republican

Incumbent Sen. Pat Roberts (R) will retire after this term, his fourth. The state has not elected a Democratic Senator since 1932, and although a Democrat captured the governorship in 2018, Republicans had been favored to hold the seat.  Prospects for the Democratic candidate state senator Barbara Bollier, a former Republican, have picked up. Her opponent is U.S. Rep. Roger Marshall (R) after a very bitter Republican primary.


Mitch McConnell (R)

56.2% R

Amy McGrath  (D)

Incumbent Republican Senator Mitch McConnell, who has been Senate Majority Leader since 2015 and senator from Kentucky since 1985, is running for reelection to a seventh term. He faces the Democratic nominee, U.S. Marine fighter pilot Amy McGrath, and Libertarian Brad Barron.

Cook – Solid Republican

CLW: Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R) surmounted a tough challenge in 2014, 56%-41%. But he is facing a difficult election because of his close connection to President Trump and his lukewarm ratings in the state. . Former fighter pilot and House candidate Amy McGrath (D)  had key endorsements, a bucketful of money and the momentum, until a few weeks before the primary when Democratic opponent Charles Booker suddenly caught fire, with newspaper backing, his own key endorsements and national attention. McGrath survived, but barely 45%-43%. She was wounded by the primary, but has the resources and time to make it a close general election.


Bill  Cassidy   (R)

55.9% R

Adrian Perkins     (D)

The Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee has endorsed Shreveport mayor Adrian Perkins.[162]

Louisiana primary (a form of jungle primary) will be held November 3; if no candidate wins a majority of the vote in the primary, a runoff election will be held.

Cook – Solid Republican

CLW: In July, Shreveport Mayor Adrian Perkins launched a campaign against Republican Sen. Bill Cassidy, and was immediately endorsed by the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee.


Susan Collins    (R)

68.5% R

Sara    Gideon       (D)

Considered one of the most liberal Republicans, her vote against impeaching Trump has made this race very competitive.  State House speaker Sara Gideon has raised over three times as much money as Collins.

Cook – Toss-up  (DJI – Lean Democrat) CLW: Sen. Susan Collins (R) has been a highly popular incumbent in the state, but alienated many moderate voters with some votes, particularly to confirm Judge Kavanaugh. In 2018, Democrats picked up the governorship from a retiring Republican and won both House seats in the state. In late June, state House Speaker Sara Gideon’s jumped into the race, and immediately was endorsed by the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee and EMILY’s List. Gideon easily won her primary, has produced strong fundraising numbers and is now in a toss up race.


Ed    Markey  (D)

61.9% D

Kevin O’Connor (R)

Joe Kennedy III, four-term U.S. representative for Massachusetts's Fourth District and grandson of former U.S. senator and U.S. attorney general Robert F. Kennedy, unsuccessfully challenged Markey for the Democratic nomination.[169]

Noted conspiracy theorist Shiva Ayyadurai, an independent candidate for U.S. Senate in 2018, unsuccessfully ran against attorney Kevin O'Connor for the Republican nomination.[170][171]

On August 24, 2020, perennial candidate Vermin Supreme launched a write-in campaign for the Libertarian nomination.

Cook – Solid Democratic

CLW: Sen. Edward Markey (D) easily turned back the primary challenge from Rep. Joseph Kennedy III (D) 55%-45%.


Gary   Peters     (D)

54.6% D

John     James       (R)

James came unexpectedly close to unseating Michigan's other Democratic senator, Debbie Stabenow, in 2018. Stabenow is a longtime senator whose name recognition Peters lacks, but Republicans are growing more unpopular in Michigan after the state narrowly voted for Trump in 2016, then switched back to Democrats in all statewide races in 2018. Peters generally leads James by 8-12 points in the polls.

Cook – Leans Democratic

CLW: Army veteran John James (R), who lost in 2018 to Sen. Debbie Stabenow, is challenging Democratic incumbent Gary Peters. James lost by a fairly close 52%-46% to Stabnow, and raised $12 million for his race. Peters is one of only two Democratic incumbents at all vulnerable, but he appears to have surged into a solid although not unbeatable lead.


Tina    Smith      (D)

53.0% D
(2018 special)

Jason    Lewis        (R)

Incumbent Democrat Tina Smith was appointed to the U.S. Senate to replace Al Franken in 2018 after serving as lieutenant governor, and won a special election later in 2018 to serve the remainder of Franken's term. On August 11, she won the Democratic nomination to serve a full term.

Former congressman Jason Lewis is the Republican nominee, having defeated minor candidates Cynthia Gail, John Berman, Bob Carney and James Reibestein in the primary election.

Cook – Solid Democratic

CLW: Sen. Tina Smith (D), appointed to replace Sen. Al Franken, won in 2018 by 53%-42% over former state senator Karen Housley for the last two years of Franken’s term. Smith faces another election this year for a full six-year term. Jason Lewis, who served as U.S. representative for one term before being ousted by Rep. Angie Craig in 2018, is running against Sen. Smith.


Cindy Hyde-Smith (R)

53.6% R
(2018 special)

Mike       Espy         (D)

Hyde-Smith won the November 2018 special election to fill the remainder of Thad Cochran's term, which ends in January 2021. Hyde-Smith is running for a full term.  She was unopposed in the Republican primary.

Former U.S. secretary of agriculture and 2018 Senate candidate Mike Espy won the Democratic primary with 93.1% of the vote.

Cook – Solid Republican

CLW: Democrat Mike Espy, a former Congressman and Secretary of Agriculture, who held Republican Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith to a 54%-46% win for the last two years of Sen. Thad Cochran’s (R) seat, is running against her again. Hyde-Smith is the overwhelming favorite.


Steve Daines    (R)

57.9% R

Steve Bullock      (D)

Daines's seat is now competitive due to Bullock's last-minute entry. Bullock leads Daines by single digits in the most recent polling and has also raised more money than Daines. But Montana is expected to be safely Republican in the presidential election, meaning that Bullock is relying on Montana's history of ticket splitting, as he did in 2016 when he was reelected to a second gubernatorial term by 4 points despite Trump winning the state by 20 points.

Cook – Toss-up  (DJI – Lean Democrat) CLW:  In March 2020, popular Gov. Steve Bullock (D) made a late entry into the contest. Incumbent Sen. Steve Daines (R) is still favored, but this is likely to be a close contest, with some polls showing Bullock in the lead.


Ben Sasse (R)

64.5% R

Chris Janicek (D)

Sasse defeated businessman and former Lancaster County Republican Party chair Matt Innis in the Republican primary with 75.2% of the vote.

Businessman and 2018 U.S. Senate candidate Chris Janicek won the Democratic primary with 30.7% of the vote, defeating six other candidates.

Cook – Solid Republican

New Hampshire

Jeanne Shaheen (D)

51.5% D

Corky Messner    (R)

Two-term Democrat Jeanne Shaheen was narrowly reelected in 2014. She is seeking a third term.

Cook – Solid Democratic

CLW:  Sen. Jeanne Shaheen (D) will is the overwhelming favorite over lawyer Corky Messner (R), who won a September primary.

New Jersey

Cory Booker   (D)

55.8% D

Rik      Mehta       (R)

The party ultimately nominated pharmacist, Georgetown University law professor, and attorney Rik Mehta.

Green Party candidate Madelyn Hoffman and two independent candidates will also appear on the general election ballot.

Cook – Solid Democratic

New Mexico


(open seat)

Ben Ray Lujan (D)

55.6% D

Mark Ronchetti (R)

Two-term Democrat Tom Udall is the only incumbent Democratic U.S. senator retiring in 2020.[194]

U.S. representative Ben Ray Luján[195] was unopposed for the Democratic nomination.

Among Republicans, former U.S. Interior Department official Gavin Clarkson and executive director for the New Mexico Alliance for Life Elisa Martinez ran. They lost in the primary to former KRQE chief meteorologist Mark Ronchetti.

Cook – Solid Democratic

CLW: Sen. Tom Udall (D) has announced his retirement at the end of this term. While Democrats have dominated elections in recent years, Republicans are still competitive.  Rep. Ben Ray Luján (D) is the Democratic candidate and the clear favorite.

North Carolina

Thom   Tillis        (R)

48.8% R

Cal Cunningham  (D)

Tillis has grown unpopular among both centrist and conservative Republicans due to his inconsistent support of Trump. He also suffers from low name recognition, and North Carolina is trending more purple, electing a Democratic governor in 2016. Tillis will face Democrat Cal Cunningham in the general election. Cunningham leads slightly in the polls.

Cook – Toss-up  (DJI – Lean Democrat) CLW: Sen. Thom Tillis (R-NC), who alienated President Trump and now is his best friend, is running for re-election. Former Democratic state Sen. Cal Cunningham won the contested Democratic primary and is running even in polls and fundraising.


James Inhofe     (R)

68.0% R

Abby Broyles     (D)

Democrats in the race included attorney Abby Broyles, perennial candidate Sheila Bilyeu, 2018 5th congressional district candidate Elysabeth Britt, and R.O. Joe Cassity Jr. Broyles won the nomination.

Libertarian candidate Robert Murphy and two Independents will also appear on the general election ballot.

Oklahoma is one of the most solidly Republican states and Inhofe is expected to be reelected with ease.

Cook – Solid Republican



Jeff Merkley (D)

55.7% D

Jo Rae Perkins      (R)

2014 U.S. Senate and 2018 U.S. House candidate Jo Rae Perkins is the Republican nominee, defeating three other candidates with 49.29% of the vote. She is a supporter of the QAnon conspiracy theory.[203]

Ibrahim Taher will also be on the general election ballot, representing the Pacific Green Party[204] and the Oregon Progressive Party. Gary Dye will represent the Libertarian Party.

Cook – Solid Democratic

Rhode Island

Jack    Reed       (D)

70.6% D

Allen   Waters      (R)

Four-term Democrat Jack Reed was easily reelected in 2014. He is seeking a fifth term and was unopposed in the Democratic primary.[

Investment consultant Allen Waters was unopposed for the Republican nomination.

Cook – Solid Democratic

South Carolina

Lindsey Graham  (R)

55.3% R

Jaime Harrison   (D)

After his primary opponents dropped out, former South Carolina Democratic Party chairman Jaime Harrison was unopposed for the Democratic nomination.

The Constitution Party will also field a candidate for the general election.

Cook – Lean Republican

CLW: Sen. Lindsey Graham (R) has gone from Trump opponent in 2016 to Trump critic to Trump ally. Democrats have rallied around former South Carolina Democratic Party Chair Jaime Harrison, former top aide to Rep. Jim Clyburn (D). The Cook Report has upgraded Harrison’s chances after a terrific fundraising first quarter of 2020 and some polls show a close race.

South Dakota

Mike Rounds   (R)

50.4% R

Dan     Ahlers       (D)

Republican Mike Rounds was elected in 2014 after serving two terms as governor of South Dakota. He faced a primary challenge from state representative Scyller Borglum.[206]

Former South Dakota state representative Dan Ahlers was unopposed in the Democratic primary.

Cook – Solid Republican



(open seat)

 Bill Hagerty  (R)

61.9% R

Marquita Bradshaw


James Mackler, an Iraq War veteran and Nashville attorney, ran for the Democratic nomination with support from the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee[ but was upset in the primary by environmental activist Marquita Bradshaw of Memphis.

Nine Independent candidates will also appear on the general election ballot.

Cook – Solid Republican

Tennessee Republican Sen. Lamar Alexander, who has served since 2003, announced his retirement at the end of this term. His replacement is likely to be a Republican; In 2018, Democrats thought they had a chance to win a Senate seat in this state, but ex-governor Phil Bredesen (D) won only 44% of the vote against then-Rep. Marsha Blackburn (R). Attorney and Iraq War Army veteran James Mackler (D), who ran in 2018 before dropping out when Bredesen entered the race, is running. Former Ambassador to Japan Bill Hagerty is favored to win the Republican nomination and the election.


John Cornyn   (R)

61.6% R

M. J.    Hegar       (D)