the DON JONES INDEX…

 

 

GAINS POSTED in GREEN

LOSSES POSTED in RED

 

  8/27/22...      14,954.56

  8/20/22...      14,962.90

   6/27/13…     15,000.00

 

 

(THE DOW JONES INDEX:  8/27/22… 32,283.40 ; 8/20/22… 33,706.74; 6/27/13… 15,000.00)

 

 

LESSON for August 27, 2022 – “INFLATION ESCALATION!”

 

With no great surprises in Tuesday’s primaries, November’s matches are more or less settled in place – Don Joneses from sea to shining sea will cast their ballots for shiny (or somewhat slimy) candidates for Congress, (some) Senators and statehouses and a pandemical panoply of downballot offices... all of which should matter to the constituents involved and some of which (primarily Secretary of State choices and a few other offices as will have the power to determine whether entire elections are legitimate or fraudulent) may be more hotly contested than the marquee matches.  (The remainder are noted as Attachment One, final tallies from New York and Florida as Attachment Two.)

Weighty issues seem to have sunk into their own blend of inertia.  The plague (and monkeypox, polio, West Nile, superflu, Lyme Disease, brain eating amoebas and Jewish space lasers) are somewhat quiescent, grist for the vaxxing researchers in their laboratories and healthcare workers in the trenches.  The Ukrainian war has also settled into a sort of stalemate (barring the explosion at the dysfunctional, but still dangerious, nuclear plant being used by Lootin’ Putin as a global shield), China continues to fire rockets around (but not on) Taiwan as Xi, like Putin, gratifies his ego and dreams of achieving Presidency For Life status (which dictatorial ambitions tend to backfire, as witness Saddam and Qadaffi).  Terrorists are more hunted than hunters, crime is more a matter of local concern (largely in neighborhood nobody really care about), the most recent wannabe active shooters and mass murderers have been quietly foiled by the FBI and only a few rabid MAGAnauts still talk about defunding or eliminating the FBI.  The Inquisition is on hiatus, Djonald Trump is preoccupied with three major state (New York, Georgia and Federal) threats and numerous minor legal mosquitoes and, just yesterday, the much-anticipated unveiling of the DOJ Mar-a-Lago affidavit proved a redacted bust, talking heads dismissing it as a “sea of black”.

So what will be the dominant issue of the midterms?

EZ breezy... it’s inflation.

Democrats will trot out promises and prognostications of better times to come, as well as the usual roster of excuses.  Republicans will stand and shriek and deny the reality of the criminality of their leading lights.

Democrats will point to a lessening of pain at the pump as the price of oil falls to eighty-eight dollars per barrel and, besides, it’s the fault of those gouging Alis and Achmeds behind the counter at the local Zelmo’s and Zippo’s.  Republicans will answer that prices are still exalted far beyond those of the glory days of their once and future King Trump.

Both will beg for money and selling shoddy (but not cheap) merch to the faithful... the better for which to purchase print, electronic and social media advertising (either of the bathetic or nugatory species) that will overwhelm (if not just plain disgust) the Jones family for the next ten weeks.

Yes, gas prices are down and there are bargains to be had as those thousands of cargo containers lost at sea during the supply chain crisis finally make it to port, to warehouses and, finally, to the local Target, WalMart and Kohl’s; but the cost of food, shelter and medical attention (for the time being, until President Joe’s IRA kicks in) will continue to escalate.

And there’s always the weather.

Inflation, though, remains on the minds of the Joneses, and will probably determine the course of the next two years, and the decades after.  With its August report just around the corner, the genially tardy Bureau of Labor Statistics (see select items on the chart below) reported that July’s numbers were unchanged on a seasonally adjusted basis after rising 1.3 percent in June as a consequence of gas prices falling 7.7 percent to offset increases in the food and shelter indexes,resulting in the all items index being unchanged over the month.

Over the last 12 months, the all items index increased 8.5 percent before seasonal adjustment.

Consequently, Pew Research asserted that “... (t)he public views inflation as the top problem facing the United States – and no other concern comes close.”  (See a summary as Attachment Three, the full report with all its nifty charts and graphs here.)

Their “dirty dozen” bummer factors... broken down by the usual survey chimp chimp categories of “A Very Big Problem”, “A Moderately Big Problem”, “A Small Problem” and/or “Not a Problem At All” found that 70% of the Joneses called Inflation “very big”.  A distant second was claimed by the affordability of health care (55% very big)... in and of itself a sort of sub-category of inflation (although vexing vaxxed and refusenik Americans for a long, long time, dating back to Obamacare and before.

Violent crime and the Federal budget deficits followed.  Due to the “booming” economy (perhaps more a consequence of a lack of workers due to a mismatch in skills, aging out of experienced employees and the lingering Long Covid problem), the second component of the fabled Misery Index... Unemployment... bothered only 23 percent of the Joneses, finishing next to last on Pew’s list, leading only the plague itself.

How the mighty quandaries have fallen!

Although the survey was conducted in late April and early May, the war in Ukraine... fingered by many as a cause of inflation, at least for gas and, perhaps, food... was not mentioned (this week’s near Chernobyl due to the shelling of the shut down Zaporizha nuclear plant being used as an arms depot in Putin’s War could perhaps alter future Pew findings), nor were foreign affairs in their entirety.

Broken down by respondents’ political leanings, inflation remained atop the worry list although more Democrats (84% t0 57%) stated that the problem was Very Big.  While it also led the list of G.O.P. concerns, Republicans... as a group... were far more inclined to practice a “don’t worry, be happy” approach to life.

“Democrats are nearly four times as likely as Republicans to rate climate change as a very big problem (63% vs. 16%). Republicans, by contrast, are far more likely than Democrats to view illegal immigration as a very big problem (65% vs. 19%).

“A much narrower majority of Democrats and Democratic leaners (57%) view inflation as a very big problem. Among Democrats, larger shares see gun violence (70%), the affordability of health care (65%) and climate change (63%) as very big problems.

“Neither Republicans nor Democrats widely view the quality of public schools as a major problem. Four-in-ten Republicans (41%) and a similar share of Democrats (36%) say this is a very big problem for the country,” the respondents stated.

The YouGov researchers determined inflation to be a slightly lesser problem to Americans... 64% calling it a “very serious” (as opposed to “very big”) problem in the United States, with Democrats more concerned by an identical margin to the Pewsters (85% to 58%).

In a further sign of a negative outlook on the economy, most Americans also continue to see the U.S. as currently in a recession (58% say that this week). Americans are also about three times as likely to say the economy is shrinking (49%) as growing (16%) and that: “...(a)bout one in three Americans see Biden as having a lot of responsibility for movement of the stock market, and about the same proportion say he has a lot of responsibility for the change in joblessness, with slightly more saying he has a lot of responsibility for inflation. In general, the worse a person sees the situation in each of these three economic areas, the more likely the person is to give Biden the lion’s share of responsibility.”  (See Attachment Four)

CNBC’s July 18th autopsy of the American economy augurs a similar disaster for the donkeys in November.   With Americans feeling crushed beneath the weight of rising prices, Biden’s economic approval dropped 5 points from the prior survey in April to just 30%. The president’s economic record is supported by just 6% of Republicans, 25% of independents and 58% of Democrats, a very low number for his own party.

Americans are employing a variety of means to make ends meet amid high inflation, the network noticed.

“Some 65% of those polled say they are cutting back on entertainment, such as eating out or going to movies and concerts. Among participants, 61% report driving less and 54% say they are reducing travel. More than 4 out of 10 are spending less on groceries. A third are using credit cards more often, which could mean higher interest payments if they don’t pay off balances. The survey found 47% of the participants say they are taking at least four of these measures.

“With gas prices high, 50% of the public say they support relaxing environmental rules to ease prices at the pump with 42% opposing, and 58% favor a tax on oil company profits rebated back to consumers.”  (See excerpts of their programming as Attachment Five, and the complete survey at...

 https://fm.cnbc.com/applications/cnbc.com/resources/editorialfiles/2022/07/18/FI14255b_CNBC_AAES_Q2_Topline.pdf

 

As ever, the racial justice activists have been hopping, according to NPR (Attachment Six).

“Having enough money for even basic necessities is a challenge for many households,” the public programmers concluded.  “About a third of Black and Latino adults say they are having serious problems affording food, compared with 21% of (lower case) white adults. It's highest for Native Americans,” NPR noted, “(n)early 40% are struggling to put food on the table.”

"It reminds me of a statistic I'd read from the 1800s," said Mary Findling, assistant director of the Harvard Opinion Research Program at Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health.

"That's a lot of people who can't afford to eat in America in 2022."

national poll — from NPR, the Robert Wood Johnson Foundation and the Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health — poll did not find the same disparities between Asians and white adults as it did among Black, Latino and Native Americans. However, when just lower-income Asians were included — people who earn under $50,000 a year — 46% said they are facing serious financial problems. Specifically, nearly a third of that subpopulation had serious problems paying the rent or mortgage and 28% had serious problems affording food. About half say that a lack of good jobs is a serious problem in their community.

NPR also cited evictions, medical care and declining educational achievements and public safety as being a part of the post-pandemic plagues plaguing American minorities.

“Taken together, the poll makes it clear that racial and ethnic minorities are struggling to keep up while navigating the increasingly tenuous economic situation and the aftershocks of the social upheaval brought on by the COVID-19 pandemic.

"When you think about where we are compared to the beginning of the pandemic, so many people are not better — they're actually even worse off than we were 2 1/2 years ago," says Findling.

 

More and more Joneses as took the sixth grade math are looking at the the grocery and big box prices, ponder the falling gas prices and re-linked supply chain causing a surplus of foreign goods (like almost-autumn garden gnomes with the faces of... pick one: President Joe or the Bern, Mike Pence or Paul Gosar... back-to-school clothes no self-respecting kid would want to be caught dead in or cheap pirate CDs of that Korean boy band BTS, but titled BTK) and come to a certain un-American conclusion...

Somebody’s gouging us!

A few astute and opportunistic politicians are themselves taking advantage of the fear and loathing... a distinguished gentleman from Gotham, Rep. Jamaal Bowman (guess from which party) proposes that “a subgroup of the existing Supply Chain Disruptions Task Force (advise) the White House on how to respond to high costs and volatility, and would empower President Biden to recommend setting ceilings and floors on prices.”   (See Attachment Seven)

Advise?  Well, it is Congress after all... where five balky donkeys or one rogue Senator can zip lips and sink ships (even though the price, if not wage controls, are straight out of 1969... Nixon’s 1969).

 

          Sing along with us... “Na na hey hey! Kiss him (or, in the case of Liz Cheney, last week) her Goodbye!”

 

Bowman wants the sub-task force to “be granted subpoena power to examine corporate earnings and expenses, focusing on five sectors: housing, health care, food, energy, and transportation.”

He’s been a busy fellow… back in January Bowman and Sen. Ed Markey (D-Ma) introduced the Heating and Cooling Relief Act, with the specific purpose of ending energy poverty in the United States for low and moderate income families. The intent of the bill is simple: lower income families would no longer have to struggle to pay unaffordable home energy bills. The bill would also establish a “just transition” grant program to ensure lower income households do not get left behind during the clean energy transition by helping them move away from fossil fuels through home retrofits, decarbonization, and renewable energy.

“Energy is simply unaffordable for lower income families,” according to Mark Wolfe of The Hill (1/29/22. See Attachment Seven)

Last month the Census Bureau reported that for families with incomes of less than $35,000 a year, about 51 percent said that they reduced or went without basic household necessities, such as medicine or food, in order to pay an energy bill. There is nothing surprising about this data. Low income families struggle to pay for basic needs, including energy. They cannot afford to have their power shut off and will go without food and medicine in order to pay the bill.

 

The Low Income Home Energy Assistance Program (LIHEAP) is the primary federal effort designed to help families pay their home heating and cooling bills, but the program has been underfunded for years and reaches fewer than one out of six eligible households. As a result of limited funding, we have watched families fall further and further behind on their home energy bills during the pandemic. And even with supplemental funding for LIHEAP, outstanding energy arrearages have remained stubbornly high, at about $22 billion.

 

The Markey/Bowman bill would increase funding for LIHEAP, with a goal of reaching all eligible households by setting the authorized funding level at $40 billion a year, up from a current authorization level of $5.1 billion and an appropriation level of about $3.8 billion. The additional funding would increase the eligibility ceiling from the greater of 150 percent of the federal poverty level or 60 percent of state median income to 250 percent of the federal poverty level or 80 percent of state median income, thereby increasing coverage to low and moderate income families, not just to the poorest families in the country.

Existing legislation like the Heating and Cooling Relief Act or national rent controls are deemed unlikely to pass Congress, but housing groups say they could be a useful tool to push for rent relief.  “We need people in the president’s administration talking about the rent,” Tara Raghuveer, the director of Kansas City Tenants, told the American Prospect of her group’s support for the bill. (See Attachment Eight and next Lesson’s Labor Day special on wage, price and rent controls.)  “I’m not holding my breath that Congress is going to act quickly on this, or much else, right now,” Raghuveer admits, “but we’re going to use this as part of our organizing strategy to push for additional vision and creativity among members of the Biden administration, to explore every avenue they have to institute rent regulation.”

Food, even more than rent, is on the minds of not only poor but working and middle-class Americans, and prices on the shelf... perhaps more importantly than at the pump, given the slow, but welcome normalization of prices for oil by the barrel in November will determine whether government controls have any chance in Washington or whether a red tide will allow the market to do as it wishes.

The Don Jones Index has been using select items from the monthly statistics compiled and issued by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (see below and an expanded listing from http://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm as Attachment Nine,)

Other determnants include the FAO Food Price Index (FFPI), which is a measure of the monthly change in international prices of a basket of food commodities. It consists of the average of five commodity group price indices calculated monthly and averaged 140.9 points in July 2022, down 13.3 points (8.6 percent) from June, marking the fourth consecutive monthly decline. Nevertheless, it remained 16.4 points (13.1 percent) above its value in the corresponding month last year.

“The July decline was the steepest monthly fall in the value of the index since October 2008, led by significant drops in vegetable oil and cereal indices, while those of sugar, dairy and meat also fell but to a lesser extent.”  FAO.org... see yearly indices since 2004 as Attachment Ten and, alternately, the numbers from Trading Economics as Attachment Eleven.

Food prices, like those of shelter, gasoline and other commodities, vary from state to state, locality to locality and nation to nation depending on a number of factors including transportation and related costs, access, taxes, government regulations (or their absence) and geopolitical considerations.

A comparison of the best and worst states for inflation was made by NewsNation in mid-July.  Not surprisingly, the states that are managing inflation the best, according to financial writer Nick Smith (July 15th, See Attachment Twelve) are “the states where it is least expensive to live because historically, inflation has been the cheapest in those states. That’s due to a combination of factors, including regional inflation rates from the federal government to the cost of living index.”

Perhaps coincidentally, perhaps not, the top ten states (see also CNBC’s exclusive America’s Top States for Business study two days earlier with more statistical details) are all red to deep red, the worst states are blue (with the exception of Alaska which... like Hawaii, the worst state... is impacted by geographical factors).

This is a rise of 3 percentage points from May. The growing concern about inflation comes during a global cost of living crisis and surging inflation in many economies around the world

 

Internationally, food price hikes are far exceeding overall inflation, “with low- and middle-income countries getting hit hardest — though prices are high across the globe” according to an August first food security update by the World Bank that, said devex.com, “included a list of nations seeing the worst price increases,”.... the steepest of which was Lebanon, where prices jumped by a whopping 122% over the course of the year.

“About 94% of low-income countries, 89% of lower-middle-income countries, and 89% of upper-middle-income countries have nominal food inflation levels above 5% compared with the previous year,” declared the World Bankers.

War was predominant in the worst cases... either directly as in Lebanon’s civil war or conflicts in Afghanistan, Somalia or Yemen... or as a consequence of the cutoff of Ukrainian grain supplies that have kept drought-ravaged economies (particularly in Africa) from descending into mass chaos and starvation.

“Eastern and southern Africa will likely see conditions worsen in the coming months. South Sudan and Sudan face the risk of famine, and the Democratic Republic of Congo and Ethiopia are also seeing food security deteriorate,” predicted the World Bankers surveyed by Devex.  (See Attachment Thirteen)

They advocated that “richer nations” (meaning the taxpayers therein) should increase handouts to the worst cases... perhaps saving lives, but also reducing their populations to a perhaps permanent status of beggars.  Fortunately, their survey took place before a (partial) resumption of grain shipments as brokered by the United Nations, which resumption might bring (partial) relief to those afflicted with the famine.

Otherwise, it’s “pray for rain”.

(Although, as drought-ravaged Texans found out this week, sometimes answered prayers bring worse outcomes than the unanswered kind!)

We have also included year by year stats from the Consumer Price Index (Attachment Fourteen) and global inflation rates from Trading Economics (Attachment Fifteen) for obsessive compulsives.  Some places are doing better than America, others doing worse.  Things look bleak for Lebanon, Turkey, Venezuela and a few other places.  (No data was collected for Afghanistan because anybody trying to collect data would probably have been shot.)

 

AND… OH, YES… THERE WAS AN ELECTION on TUESDAY…

Incumbents in New York and Florida cruised to victory... in the only contested races, a gerrymandered “Seinfeld” district on Gotham’s Upper West Side sent the liberal Jerrold Nadler back to Washington, despite allegations by former comrade Carolyn Maloney that the gentleman was “senile”.  Both, as befits liberal Democrats, ran on identity: Nadler threatened that, if he were defeated, New York would have... gasp!... NO Jewish Congressmen while Maloney, besides accusing Nadler of senility, ordered constituents to vote for her because she was a woman.

They didn’t.  Strike up the have-a-tequila, Carol.

And down in the (humid as opposed to dry) Sunshine State, former Republican Governor Charlie Crist won the Democratic nomination to square off against unopposed incumbent and potential Trump challenger in 2024, Ron deSantis.

 

 

 

August 20th – August 26th, 2022

 

 

Saturday, August 20th, 2022

Dow:  33,706.34

 

 

It’s World Honeybee Day.

   Senate Minority (numerical not racial) Leader Mitchy Mac de-escalates his midterm optimism and pours vinegar, not honey, over MAGAdreams by implicating Oz, Vance, Herschel and perhaps others in his contention that control of the House and the Senate will rest on “the quality of the candidates.”  Uh-oh!

   The DoJ, FBI and other gumment gumshoes block release of unredacted Mar-a-Lago search and seizure affadavits on the grounds that public knowledge would compromise the national security and law enforcement personnel targeted by MAGAmurderers.  Trump’s new legal team (including old hands Dan Scavino and Lynn Patton as well as new faces Alan Futurfas, Drew Findling, the sanguinary Alina Habba and Christina Bobb as well as optimistically monikered Donald Trusty... no Rudy however, he’s got problems of his own!) contend the usual contention - that Ol’ 45 is being persecuted by the liberal witch hunters. 

   The Taliban “celebrate” their first year in power, but without food, they have to settle for just torturing more women and complaining about the even more savage savages at ISIS-K who aim to overthrow them as a bunch of pro-American, anti-Islamic pussies. 

 

 

 

Sunday, August 21st, 2022 Dow: Closed

 

 

Now, it’s National Senior Citizens’ Day.  Inspirational media morsels highlight old people doing young people things with cut grand and great grandchildren, parties and puppies.  (The 79 year old grandfather shot while walking his dog and 88 year old grandma mauled to death by different dogs while walking home are not among these.)

   Putin’s war in Ukraine “celebrates” its six-month-anniversary with stalemate at the front, attacks on the homeland as his inner circle suffers from sanctions and worse... a car bomb incinerates the daughter of the manifesto machine Alexander Dugin – the spook described as the canker in Mad Vlad’s “brain”... and more American money promised for things and stuff to kill more Russians.  Zelensky denies responsibil – claims it was either a hit by the Russian mob for its own reasons, or a false flag to excuse more atrocities against Uke civilians,

   Mother Nature’s terror against the planet continues – flash floods trap 150 tourists in Carlsbad Caverns NM, Dallas experiences the most rain in a century – six inches in an hour cutting its yearly deficit from ten to four inches as an Uber driver is swept away and drowned while on the phone saying goodbye to her family.  Eurodrought continues and spreads across the South Atlantic to Brazil to destroy the coffee crop, leading the world to lose its morning wake-up drug.  Try meth?

 

 

 

Monday, August 22, 2022

Dow:  33,063.71

 

 

   More Mar-a-Lago lawyering as the Inquisitors remain deep in sleep until fall... Rep. (and failed Presidential candidate) Eric Swalwell (D-Ca) exhumes video of Trump rally Russo/rabble-rousing speeches while Republicans counter by asking whether publicizing the affidavit is in the”imminant” national interest or just chow for the tabloids.  Experts predict the redacting reductions of document contents will allow Don Jones to see only “a sea of black.”

   Speaking of which, ships of Ukraine grain

   Monkeypox in New York said to be hitting blacks, Latinos and gay men (93% but down from 97%) the hardest.  The Last Monkee, Mickey Dolenz, goes on tour with a “tribute band” as The Monkee and tells those hungry tabloids that he and the dead Monkees were paid only a flat $400 a week during their career... concert (and vinyl?) revenues included).  And a Monk is hired to officiate at Bennifer’s second (third?) hitchup at a ritzy White Wedding at Ben’s Georgia estate.

 

 

 

 

Tuesday, August 23, 2022

Dow:  32,909.59

 

 

 

 

 

It’s Election Day in Florida and New York and not only the former’s population of Castro Un-convertables but partisan pimps promote downballot issues like a repeal of rent control in the Sunshine state, which Linked-In lobbyists call Communist (or at least “socialized”)... see Lesson above and Attachment x8, 9.  Up in Gotham’s gerrymandered West Side (“Seinfeld” territory back in the days when comedians, mailmen and whatever George and Elaine were working at at the time could afford rents), old-times East Sider Rep. Carolyn Maloney (76) calls her younger comrade Rep Jerrold Nadler (75) “senile.”

   The CDC surveyors find that life expectancy in America is down by 2 years over the last two years.  They blame the plague and drugs, but pass over gun violence... even though different survey surveyors from Surveyland say that domestic violence is up over 30% over the same period.  TV coroners complain that they are so swamped with killings... intimate and other... that “we’re just shuffling bodies around.”

   Corrections communicators allege that pot use among 20-somethings is up to 43%... the highest since the Eighties, and resulting in deaths as pot is the “gateway” drug to fentanyl and users are bringing back rave-ish large gatherings that promote plague and attract active shooters like the troubled 31 year old boy, Jonathan Moody, who loaded up his arsenal and slithered up to the Bass Canyon festival in Washington State

   And Parkland school shooter Nicholas Cruz, according to his lawyers, was traumatized by his childhood by a drunk (and presumably pot-smoking) mother so he should be released back into the wild to go wilding again.

 

 

 

Wednesday, August 24, 2022

Dow:  32,969.33

 

 

 

 

 

 

It’s National Waffle Day.  Pour some honey on it while you still can.

It’s also Ukrainian Independence Day and the six month anniversary of Putin’s war... the Russian dictator, still steamed over the assassination attempt on his brain, Dugan that killed, instead, his daughter (or perhaps smiling at the false flag fakery that will permit Russia to commit more atrocities against civilians and ruin the party).

Record rainfall (that sweeps a Uber driver to her death while she’s on the phone saying goodbye to the family) pounds bone-dry Texas but not before discovery of dinosaur traces (not bones, yet, but footprints) in dry riverbottoms that are an estimated 100+ million years old.  Mob hit?  Scientists say we’ll probably never know because the deluge will wash them away.

Educators worry about lowered reading scores among the Youth of America.  TV bookwriter Maya Payne Stewart (“Reading for Your Lives”) points the finger of shame at parents so busy with their own devices that they lack time to teach 3 year olds how to read.

Ballot counters count the ballots and read the results...Nadler wins his primary in New York, Crist in Florida and on towards November they go with nary a hint of fraud and conspiracy.  Then again, both are Democrats.  Democrats know how to lose.

 

 

 

Thursday, August 25, 2022

 Dow:  33,291.78

 

 

 

 

 

Not OK Brandon (Ms) with ten inches of rain in two days & an overflowing Pearl River.  Opposite bad weather... scorching heat in the normally cool Northwest.

Death from above strikes Ukrainian Independence Day and six month anniversary of the start of Putin’s War... 25 killed in bombing of train station and Mad Vlad calls up 137,000 more soldiers to replace those killed by Ukes, who shut off Zappo nuke plant 19 minutes from Chernobyl Two.  On our side, U.S. air strikes obliterate more Iranian-backed Syrian militia terrorists.  President Joe makes a speech denouncing Republicans as “semi-fascists”.  (Their concentration camps have comfortable pillows and high cuisine. – DJI)

And terror at home strikes voters lined up at NY polling place... woman hit, shooter and his or her partisan affiliation unknown.  (It was you, Nadler...don’t deny it! – DJI)  Presumably apolitical (or not?) gunmen kill two at Kentucky homeless shelter, four (including a cop) in Tucson.  Always ready to protect and serve... Alabama police arrest black pastor for watering his neighbor’s garden and not showing ID... when his wife brings it out, the brave cops say: “We can’t un-arrest him.”

 

 

 

Friday, August 26, 2022

Dow:  32,283.40

 

 

 

It’s National Dog Day.  Harry and Meghan adopt one of the 4,000 beagles rescued from a medical research breeding lab (3,000 already saved).  But it’s a Dog Day Afternoon for the economy when Fed Chair Powell speaks “tough words” and promises “pain” to fight inflation (and doesn’t even raise the interest rate!)... the Dow, nonetheless, drops over a thousand points.

The other bombshell is more of a dud... the DOJ releasing its Mar-a-Lago search and seizure affidavit; more than half redacted in order to, as they say, protect “clandestine human sources” in Trump’s inner circle (aka spies and rats).  Those “fruits of crime” include 184 documents, exactly half of which (92) are classified “secret” and 25 of which are “top secret”.  Djonald Unashamed says that anything criminal was planted by the FBI.

It’s a large day for the law... Moderna suing Pfizer for allegedly stealing their vaxxing formulae and whining that they made only half the profits (1.8B) off the plague that the P-people did (3.6B).  Vanessa Bryant wins judgment against L.A. for circulating gruesome pix of Kobe’s crash and donates it to charity.  Other athletes face rape charges: George Foreman, now in his 70’s back in the 70’s and the Buffalo Bills’... punter?... while tennis star Djokovic banned from U.S. Open where Serena is playing her final match on Monday (unless she wins – she’s down to 418th).  And Church Police in Louisiana prohibit a pregnant woman carrying a dead baby from life-saving abortion. 

Deep in the heart of Texas, next door, Uvalde fires despised Chief Arredondo (who calls it a lynching) and the U. of T. celebrates President Joe’s college debt forgiveness by offering courses on Taylor Swift.

 

 

 

The Dow so close to record heights.  The Don so close to parity with 2013.  All hope flown as Fed Chair Powell growls and both go down.  His snarling is allegedly meant to fight inflation, but inflation keeps rising.  We reiterate:   Isn’t it time for national wage and price and rent controls?  I mean... if f***ing Nixon could do it, why can’t President Joe (who does, at least for the next few months, have a legislative majority?)  See Bowman/Markey legislation, above.

 

 

 

 

 

THE DON JONES INDEX

 

CHART of CATEGORIES w/VALUE ADDED to EQUAL BASELINE of 15,000

(REFLECTING… approximately… DOW JONES INDEX of June 27, 2013)

 

See a further explanation of categories here

 

ECONOMIC INDICES (60%)

CATEGORY

VALUE

BASE

RESULTS

SCORE

OUR SOURCES and COMMENTS

 

INCOME

(24%)

6/17/13 & 1/1/22

LAST

CHANGE

NEXT

8/20/22

8/20/22

SOURCE

 

Wages (hrly. per cap)

9%

1350 points

8/20/22

+0.44%

9/22

1,381.63

1,381.63

https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/wages   27.57

 

Median Inc. (yearly)

4%

600

8/20/22

+0.03%

9/3/22

603.59

603.77

http://www.usdebtclock.org/   35,979 990

 

Unempl. (BLS – in mi)

4%

600

8/20/22

+2.86%

9/22

651.46

651.46

http://data.bls.gov/timeseries/LNS14000000/  3.5%

 

Official (DC – in mi)

2%

300

8/20/22

-0.15%

9/3/22

303.60

304.07

http://www.usdebtclock.org/      5,856 847

 

Unofficl. (DC – in mi)

2%

300

8/20/22

-0.02%

9/3/22

295.33

295.38

http://www.usdebtclock.org/    11,466 464

 

Workforce Particip.

   Number

   Percent

2%

300

8/20/22

 

-0.004%           +0.007%

9/3/22

 

 

299.65

 

 

299.67

In 158,167 176  Out  99,909  925 Total: 258,101

 

http://www.usdebtclock.org/ 61.28

 

WP %  (ycharts)*

1%

150

8/20/22

+0.16%

8/20/22

149.76

149.76

https://ycharts.com/indicators/labor_force_participation_rate  62.10

 

 

OUTGO

15%

 

 

 

Total Inflation

7%

1050

8/22

 nc

9/3/22

1010.64

1010.64

http://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm     +0.0

 

Food

2%

300

8/22

+1.1%

9/3/22

289.34

286.15

http://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm     +1.1

 

Gasoline

2%

300

8/22

-7.7%

9/3/22

221.46

238.50

http://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm      -7.7

 

Medical Costs

2%

300

8/22

+0.4%

9/3/22

293.45

292.28

http://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm     +0.4

 

Shelter

2%

300

8/22

+0.5%

9/3/22

293.46

291.99

http://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm     +0.5

 

 

WEALTH

6%

 

 

 

Dow Jones Index

2%

300

8/20/22

-4.22%

9/3/22

280.81

268.95

https://www.wsj.com/market-data/quotes/index/   32,283.40

 

Home (Sales)

(Valuation)

1%

1%

150

150

8/20/22

-6.05%             -2.93%

9/3/22

154.06

309.58

154.06

309.58

https://www.nar.realtor/research-and-statistics

Sales (M):  4.81 Valuations (K):  403.8

 

Debt (Personal)

2%

300

8/20/22

+0.13%

9/3/22

290.69

290.32

http://www.usdebtclock.org/    70,770 859

 

 

NATIONAL

(10%)

 

 

 

Revenue (trilns.)

2%

300

8/20/22

+0.23%

9/3/22

324.61

325.34

debtclock.org/       4,430 440

 

Expenditures (tr.)

2%

300

8/20/22

+0.35%

9/3/22

330.07

331.24

debtclock.org/       5,961 940

 

National Debt tr.)

3%

450

8/20/22

+0.27%

9/3/22

443.46

442.28

http://www.usdebtclock.org/    30,656 738

 

Aggregate Debt (tr.)

3%

450

8/20/22

+0.18%

9/3/22

438.19

437.40

http://www.usdebtclock.org/    92,118 284

 

 

 

 

GLOBAL

(5%)

 

 

 

Foreign Debt (tr.)

2%

300

8/20/22

+0.08%

9/3/22

322.30

322.04

http://www.usdebtclock.org/   7,482 488

 

Exports (in billions)

1%

150

8/20/22

+1.60%

9/22

163.46

163.46

https://www.census.gov/foreign-trade/index.html  260.0

 

Imports (bl.)

1%

150

8/20/22

+0.29%

9/22

153.99

153.99

https://www.census.gov/foreign-trade/index.html  340.4

 

Trade Deficit (bl.)

1%

150

8/20/22

-7.41%

9/22

210.77

210.77

https://www.census.gov/foreign-trade/index.html    79.6

 

 

 

SOCIAL INDICES  (40%) 

 

 

 

ACTS of MAN

12%

 

 

 

World Affairs

3%

450

8/20/22

  -0.2%

9/3/22

466.44

465.51

France now bribing drivers to trade their cars for E-Bikes.  Ooh La Lousy idea!  Eurodrought termed worst in 500 years, early harvest of champagne grapes recommended or no New Years’ bubbly.

 

Terrorism

2%

300

8/20/22

+0.3%

9/3/22

296.30

297.19

Taliban find more radical ISIS-K denouncing them as TINOs (terrorists in name only).  21 killed as gunmen storm hotel in Mogadishu.  Nobody killed after mass murder wannabe busted at Washington State festival (see above) and San Antonio man arrested before he can shoot up a GOP youth conference in Florida.  Wonderers wonder if Russian car bomb killing Putin’s brain’s daughter  (also above) was a false flag fraud.

 

Politics

3%

450

8/20/22

+0.1%

9/3/22

465.52

465.99

Nadler and Crist win their Dem primaries (above). Latest Trump lawyer Trusty (also above) calls for a Special Master to deal with his own Master’s unwanted affidavit redactions and reductions as heavily redacted copies hit the public with... uh, boredom.

 

Economics

3%

450

8/20/22

 +0.2%

9/3/22

438.83

439.71

President Joe offers $10K student loan rebates to graduates making under $125K/yr., gets it from both sides... Republicans complain about debt, Democrats about fairness.  Wife Dr. Jill just gets it (rebound plague).  Overstocked retailers start early Labor Day sales.  As do striking Ohio and Washington teachers, Omaha railworkers and Minnesota nurses.  FDIC cracks down on crypto scams.

 

Crime

1%

150

8/20/22

   -0.2%

9/3/22

288.78

288.20

The usual round of shootings, stabbings and stealings enhanced by Bad Cops... Deputy Dawg screams at and handcuffs pregnant woman in front of horrified kiddies, Alexandria VA blue meanies bust pastor for watering flowers while black and Church Police in Louisiana (above) force pregnant woman to carry, despite medical evidence that the foetus has no skull (see both above).

 

ACTS of GOD

(6%)

 

 

 

Environment/Weather

3%

450

8/20/22

    -0.2%

9/3/22

440.27

439.39

California enacts ban on all gasoline powered cars by 2035... 17 other states (guess which color) promise to follow.  Too late for the killer floods that sweep over drought and fire destinations.  EPA bans “forever chemicals” as... ready?... hazardous!

 

Disasters

3%

450

8/20/22

  -0.3%

9/3/22

443.60

442.27

32 killed in Turkish car and bus crashes.  Five hurt in Jersey roller coaster crash.  Six year old girl escapes kidnapper on the street.  Brazilian drought will lead to coffee shortage and higher prices, and soon!  Hoard now!

 

LIFESTYLE/JUSTICE INDEX

(15%)

 

 

Science, Tech, Educ.

4%

600

8/20/22

  +0.2%

9/3/22

618.52

619.76

Twitter admits its workers were stealing and selling Big Data on users... Trump?  Musk?  “Space Dragon” full of ISS gear lands safely in Florida; NASA releases more “oh wow!” Webb pix of Jupiter and plans Artemis “Dark Side of the Moon” launch on Monday.  Ohio teachers go out on strike while Missouri schools bring back corporal punishment.

 

Equality (econ/social)

4%

600

8/20/22

  +0.3%

9/3/22

591.60

593.37

“Moral” Gravity CEO Dan Price accused of multiple rapes.  Not so moral after all!  Q-Anon’s MTG swatted by cops, presumably called by transgender teenagers she’s been denouncing.  Proud Boys lost in the wilderness after expulsion from FaceBook.  (But who will admire my swastika patterned petunias?)

 

Health

4%

600

8/20/22

nc

9/3/22

488.92

488.92

Wendy’s pulls e-colic lettuce, Kia and Hyundai recall vehicles with the bad habit of catching fire.   Dr. Fauci turns 81, says he will not retire, but will “step down”.  Lesser doctors say that half of all plague victims never realize they have it as Pfizer fights off Moderna lawyers and promises to ship “bivalent” (works on all strains) vaxxes by fall.  16M now said to have long Covid, 4M of whom can’t work.  And 13 (thirteen!) kids now have monkeypox.  Other hardworking docs from the Amer. Assn. of Dermatologists say Minoxiden blood pressure medicine will cure baldness while Stem Cellars grow closer and closer to creating artificial mice.

 

Freedom and Justice

3%

450

8/20/22

+0.3%

9/3/22

452.19

453.55

The ISIS Beatle (named for his British accent) gets 8 life terms for murders in Virginia.  Two wannabe kidnappers of Mich. Gov. Whitmer convicted and locked up, but Harvey Weinstein is seeking freedom with a new round of appeals.  Vanessa Bryant donates Kobe crash settlement to charity.

 

 

MISCELLANEOUS and TRANSIENT INDEX

 

 

(7%)

 

 

 

Cultural incidents

3%

450

8/20/22

+0.2%

9/3/22

465.62

466.55

Dennis Rodman’s mission to Moscow to free Britney (Griner) annoys diplomats.  Sir Elton and Britney (Spears) remake “Tiny Dancer”.  Finnish PM’s dancing disdained.  Actor Gary Buesey charged with unspecified “sex crimes” at Monster Mania Con.  Japanimation’s “Dragon Ball” leads box office, but with only 20M and Regal Cinemas declares bankruptcy.  Revenues should pick up soon with Black Panther Two (plot hint subtitle: “The Woman King”).  Game of Thrones prequel (“Fire and Blood”) streams to mixed reviews.  RIP: coach Gary Gaines (the real life model for “Friday Night Lights”),  KC QB Len Dawson (who lost first Superbowl, but won 4th), actor Joe E. Tata (90210).

 

Misc. incidents

4%

450

8/20/22

  -0.1%

9/3/22

460.52

460.06

Experts say lifetime cost of raising a child is $300,000.  Less if he or she drops out of school and runs away.  Dozens of dead dogs in Michigan contacted mystery virus – vets vetting vaxxes.  Spice guy eats 17 ghost peppers in one minute.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

The Don Jones Index for the week of August 20th through August 26th, 2022 was DOWN 8.34 points

 

The Don Jones Index is sponsored by the Coalition for a New Consensus: retired Congressman and Independent Presidential candidate Jack “Catfish” Parnell, Chairman; Brian Doohan, Administrator.  The CNC denies, emphatically, allegations that the organization, as well as any of its officers (including former Congressman Parnell, environmentalist/America-Firster Austin Tillerman and cosmetics CEO Rayna Finch) and references to Parnell’s works, “Entropy and Renaissance” and “The Coming Kill-Off” are fictitious or, at best, mere pawns in the web-serial “Black Helicopters” – and promise swift, effective legal action against parties promulgating this and/or other such slanders.

Comments, complaints, donations (especially SUPERPAC donations) always welcome at feedme@generisis.com or: speak@donjonesindex.com.

 

 

ATTACHMENT ONE – from Ballotpedia

REMAINING 2022 PRIMARIES...

 

Massachusetts

Massachusetts statewide primary

September 6, 2022

Delaware

Delaware statewide primary

September 13, 2022

New Hampshire

New Hampshire statewide primary

September 13, 2022

Rhode Island

Rhode Island statewide primary

September 13, 2022

Louisiana

Louisiana statewide primary election

November 8, 2022

 

 

ATTACHMENT TWO – Election Results from New York and Florida from the New York Times and the Associated Press

 

By Hiroko Masuike  Aug. 24, 2022, 7:52 a.m. Eastern time

 

From fiercely contested House races in New York to the battle in Florida to take on Gov. Ron DeSantis, pillars of the Democratic establishment prevailed in a series of late-August elections in both states on Tuesday.

In the Hudson Valley in New York, another theme emerged: The political power of abortion rights in the post-Roe era.

 

FLORIDA  @FIX WITH PASTE A if possible

 

 

 

Governor

 

Democratic Primary

 

CANDIDATE

VOTES

PCT.

Charlie Crist

903,030

59.7%

Nikki Fried

534,521

35.3%

Cadance Daniel

38,120

2.5%

 

 

See detailed race results

 

 

U.S. House

 

1st District Republican Primary

 

CANDIDATE

VOTES

PCT.

Matt Gaetz*

73,015

69.7%

Mark Lombardo

25,560

24.4%

Greg Merk

6,123

5.8%

* Incumbent

 

See detailed race results

 

 

7th District Republican Primary

 

CANDIDATE

VOTES

PCT.

Cory Mills

27,734

33.8%

Anthony Sabatini

17,314

21.1%

Brady Duke

11,212

13.7%

 

 

See detailed race results

 

 

10th District Democratic Primary

 

CANDIDATE

VOTES

PCT.

Maxwell Frost

19,271

34.7%

Randolph Bracy

13,711

24.7%

Alan Grayson

8,531

15.4%

 

 

See detailed race results

 

 

13th District Republican Primary

 

CANDIDATE

VOTES

PCT.

Anna Luna

37,133

44.5%

Kevin Hayslett

28,088

33.6%

Amanda Makki

14,156

17.0%

 

 

 

NEW YORK

 

U.S. House

10th District Democratic Primary

 

CANDIDATE

VOTES

PCT.

Dan Goldman

16,686

25.8%

Yuh-Line Niou

15,380

23.7%

Mondaire Jones

11,777

18.2%

 

 

See detailed race results

 

 

12th District Democratic Primary

 

CANDIDATE

VOTES

PCT.

Jerrold Nadler*

45,545

55.4%

Carolyn Maloney*

20,038

24.4%

Suraj Patel

15,744

19.2%

* Incumbent

 

See detailed race results

 

 

17th District Democratic Primary

 

CANDIDATE

VOTES

PCT.

Sean Patrick Maloney*

21,525

66.7%

Alessandra Biaggi

10,752

33.3%

* Incumbent

 

See detailed race results

 

 

19th District Special Election

 

CANDIDATE

PARTY

VOTES

PCT.

Pat Ryan

Democrat

68,807

51.9%

Marc Molinaro

Republican

63,846

48.1%

 

 

See detailed race results

 

 

23rd District Special Election

 

CANDIDATE

PARTY

VOTES

PCT.

Joseph Sempolinski

Republican

38,749

53.3%

Max Della Pia

Democrat

34,001

46.7%

 

 

See detailed race results

 

 

23rd District Republican Primary

 

CANDIDATE

VOTES

PCT.

Nick Langworthy

24,275

52.1%

Carl Paladino

22,283

47.9%

 

 

See detailed race results

 

 

 

Source: Election results and race calls from The Associated Press.

Results as of 7:46 a.m. E.T.

 

 

Selected Results from Oklahoma

 

U.S. Senate

 

Republican Special Primary Runoff

 

CANDIDATE

VOTES

PCT.

Markwayne Mullin

183,034

65.1%

T.W. Shannon

98,215

34.9%

 

 

 

ATTACHMENT THREE – from Pew Research

BY A WIDE MARGIN, AMERICANS VIEW INFLATION AS THE TOP PROBLEM FACING THE COUNTRY TODAY

BY CARROLL DOHERTY AND VIANNEY GÓMEZ. May 12, 2022

 

The public views inflation as the top problem facing the United States – and no other concern comes close.

Seven-in-ten Americans view inflation as a very big problem for the country, followed by the affordability of health care (55%) and violent crime (54%).

About half say gun violence and the federal budget deficit are very big problems (51% each), according to a Pew Research Center survey conducted April 25-May 1 among 5,074 U.S. adults. More than two years into the coronavirus pandemic, just 19% of Americans rate the coronavirus outbreak as a very big problem for the country, the lowest share out of 12 issues included in the survey. In June 2020, in the early stages of the outbreak, 58% rated it as a very big problem, placing it among the top concerns at the time.

 

With few exceptions, Republicans and Democrats differ over what they see as major national problems. Inflation is by far the top concern among Republicans and Republican-leaning independents, 84% of whom say it is a very big problem in the country today.

A much narrower majority of Democrats and Democratic leaners (57%) view inflation as a very big problem. Among Democrats, larger shares see gun violence (70%), the affordability of health care (65%) and climate change (63%) as very big problems.

Democrats are nearly four times as likely as Republicans to rate climate change as a very big problem (63% vs. 16%). Republicans, by contrast, are far more likely than Democrats to view illegal immigration as a very big problem (65% vs. 19%).

Neither Republicans nor Democrats widely view the quality of public schools as a major problem. Four-in-ten Republicans (41%) and a similar share of Democrats (36%) say this is a very big problem for the country.

While the coronavirus has receded as a major problem over the past two years, so too has unemployment. In the new survey, just 23% of Americans rate unemployment as a very big problem, down from 41% a year ago and 50% in June 2020. The decline has come among members of both parties.

The share of adults who say racism is a very big problem for the country has declined by 10 percentage points since last April, from 45% to 35%. Most of the change has come among Democrats: 49% now view racism as a major problem, down from 67% about a year ago. Republicans’ views are largely unchanged (14% today, 19% then).

Note: Here are the questions used for this report, along with responses, and its methodology.

 

 

ATTACHMENT FOUR – from YouGov.com

INFLATION IS THE ELECTION ISSUE NAMED VERY IMPORTANT BY THE MOST REPUBLICAN VOTERS

By Linley Sanders and Kathy Frankovic July 15, 2022, 10:55 AM GMT-4

 

Data released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics on Wednesday showed that inflation remains at a 40-year high. The latest Economist/YouGov poll shows that most Americans are concerned about inflation: 64% call it a “very serious” problem in the United States, virtually unchanged (63%) from when this question was asked in June.

Inflation likely dominates perceptions because of its personal impact. Nearly three-quarters of Americans (72%) say that changes in the inflation rate have impacted them negatively – including majorities of Democrats (59%), Independents (74%), and Republicans (83%). 

The issue of inflation and prices is “very important” to registered voters when looking at November's midterm elections. More than three in five registered voters (63%) call this issue very important, including 58% of Democrats and 85% of Republicans.

But the issues that registered voters who are Democrats are most likely to call “very important” when deciding how to vote in the November elections are civil rights (78%), health care (75%), guns (73%), abortion (71%), and civil liberties (71%) — not inflation. Registered voters who are Republicans are more likely to call inflation very important in deciding their vote. Their top issues for the election are inflation/prices (85%), national security (75%), crime (73%), and jobs and the economy (73%).

About half of Americans (49%) expect an even higher rate of inflation over the next six months. Republicans (65%) are more likely than Democrats (30%) to believe inflation will rise. Americans with a household income under $50,000 (56%) are more likely to expect higher inflation than are households earning between $50,000 to $100,000 (45%) or $100,000 or more (41%).

In a further sign of a negative outlook on the economy, most Americans also continue to see the U.S. as currently in a recession (58% say that this week). This number has remained steady since the first 2022 Economist/YouGov Poll to ask this question, in May. This week’s number is within the margin of error of last week’s poll (57%) as well as when the question was asked in May (55%).

Why do so many Americans believe the country is in a recession? When asked the best indicator of an economic recession, people are twice as likely to say the prices of goods and services you buy (44%) as to say it's whether the economy is shrinking or growing (22%).

Americans are about three times as likely to say the economy is shrinking (49%) as growing (16%). Democrats are divided roughly evenly on how the economy's size is changing: 28% say it’s shrinking, while 26% say it’s growing. Most Republicans say the economy is shrinking (72%), while just 10% say it’s growing. (The country's Gross Domestic Product fell in the first quarter from a year earlier.)

When the economy is troubled, presidents can be blamed – and in the case of inflation, President Joe Biden is seen as having responsibility for it by most Americans who think inflation has risen. Among Americans who say the inflation rate has gone up since January 2021, 73% give Biden a lot of (49%) or some (24%) responsibility.

Presidents do not often get the same level of credit for positive economic news. Just two in five Americans say that unemployment has gone down (38%) since January 2021 — the month when Biden became president. (It has gone down.) Among people who think unemployment has declined, 65% give Biden a lot of (25%) or some (40%) of the responsibility.

About one in three Americans see Biden as having a lot of responsibility for movement of the stock market, and about the same proportion say he has a lot of responsibility for the change in joblessness, with slightly more saying he has a lot of responsibility for inflation. In general, the worse a person sees the situation in each of these three economic areas, the more likely the person is to give Biden the lion’s share of responsibility.

- Carl Bialik and Taylor Orth contributed to this article

This poll was conducted on July 9 - 11, 2022 among 1,500 U.S. adult citizens. Explore more on the methodology and data for this Economist/YouGov poll.

 

 

ATTACHMENT FIVE – from  CNBC

ALL-AMERICA ECONOMIC SURVEY

BIDEN’S ECONOMIC APPROVAL RATING FALLS TO NEW LOW ON FEAR ABOUT INFLATION, CNBC SURVEY FINDS

 

By Steve Liesman PUBLISHED MON, JUL 18 20227:01 AM EDTUPDATED MON, JUL 18 20226:51 PM EDT

·          

·         President Joe Biden’s overall and economic approval numbers dipped to the lowest levels of his presidency, according to CNBC’s All-America Survey.

·         His economic approval rating dropped 5 points from April’s survey to 30%, lower than the nadirs for President Donald Trump and President Barack Obama.

·         Americans are taking a variety of steps to contend with higher prices. Some 65% of those polled said they’re cutting back on entertainment. More than 4 in 10 are spending less on groceries.

 

President Joe Biden’s overall and economic approval numbers have reached the lowest levels of his presidency and fallen further than that of either of his two predecessors, according to the latest CNBC All-America Economic Survey.

With Americans feeling crushed beneath the weight of rising prices, Biden’s economic approval dropped 5 points from the prior survey in April to just 30%. The president’s economic record is supported by just 6% of Republicans, 25% of independents and 58% of Democrats, a very low number for his own party.

In comparison, President Donald Trump’s economic approval bottomed out at 41%, and President Barack Obama’s at 37%.

Biden’s approval on his overall handling of the presidency came in at 36%, 1 point lower than Trump’s worst rating. Among survey participants, 57% disapprove of Biden’s handling of the presidency.

The poll of 800 people across the nation found that 51% believe the president’s efforts to combat inflation are making no difference, and 30% think they are actually hurting. Just 12% say they are helping. The poll, which took place from July 7 to July 10, has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.5%.

A rocky economic outlook

The president’s dismal numbers come amid the worst economic outlook measures CNBC has recorded in the 15-year history of the survey.

Of the participants, 52% believe the economy will get worse over the next year, and just 22% believe it will improve. Both are survey records, and they are worse than those found during the great financial crisis. More than 6 out of 10 of those polled expect a recession in the next 12 months. Another 6% believe the country is already in one. Such levels have only been found during actual recessions.

Just 38% of the public believe their home prices will rise in the next year, the lowest since the Covid pandemic.

The poll found that inflation is by far the top concern in the country, garnering twice as many votes as the next response: abortion, which was presented as a survey option for the first time. That was followed by crime, immigration and border security, jobs, and climate change. The coronavirus, which led the list for most of the past several years, ranked last.

Taking steps to stretch a dollar

Americans are employing a variety of means to make ends meet amid high inflation.

Some 65% of those polled say they are cutting back on entertainment, such as eating out or going to movies and concerts. Among participants, 61% report driving less and 54% say they are reducing travel. More than 4 out of 10 are spending less on groceries. A third are using credit cards more often, which could mean higher interest payments if they don’t pay off balances. The survey found 47% of the participants say they are taking at least four of these measures.

With gas prices high, 50% of the public say they support relaxing environmental rules to ease prices at the pump with 42% opposing, and 58% favor a tax on oil company profits rebated back to consumers.

Upcoming congressional elections loom

When it comes to pocketbook issues, the survey found Republicans have a decided edge in the upcoming congressional elections. But the question is whether other issues, such as climate change and abortion, could give Democrats a boost.

Respondents who say immigration and border security, jobs, and, most importantly, the cost of living are their top concerns have a decided preference for Republican congressional control. For example, those most worried about jobs, prefer GOP control by a 54% to 31% margin. Those most concerned about the cost of living, prefer GOP congressional control by 47% to 38%. However, abortion ranks as the second-biggest concern, and those respondents prefer Democratic control of congress 67% to 24%.

Overall, Americans prefer Republican congressional control by a 44% to 42% margin, but that actually narrowed from a 10-point gap in the prior poll. Both the Republican and Democratic pollsters for the survey say this could be attributed in part to the emergence of abortion as a major issue, though both were skeptical it could have a significant impact on the outcome.

It remains to be seen if intensity on abortion or other social issues remains in place by November, and if inflation continues to be the leading concern.

Check out the full survey. 

 

 

ATTACHMENT SIX – from NPR

POLL: BLACK, NATIVE AMERICAN AND LATINO FAMILIES FACE SERIOUS PROBLEMS FROM INFLATION

By Will Stone  August 8, 2022 5:00 AM ET

 

Fears of eviction. Trouble affording groceries. Unmet medical needs.

national poll — from NPR, the Robert Wood Johnson Foundation and the Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health — finds those are all too common experiences for high proportions of Black, Latino and Native American adults as the U.S. weathers a grueling stretch of high prices and economic uncertainty.

In fact, more than half of Black and Latino households report the recent price increases driven by inflation have caused them "serious financial problems." It's even higher among Native Americans, with that number rising to more than two-thirds of those surveyed.

The poll's findings, released in a report on Monday, include data from the five largest racial and ethnic groups in the U.S. Altogether, more than 4,100 adults were interviewed between mid May and mid June of this year.

The data underscores that racial and ethnic minorities are having a tough time compared to their white counterparts in some key spheres of American life, particularly with finances, affordable housing, neighborhood safety, education and health care.

Survey shows "acute" financial troubles

While some of the results clearly relate to long-term barriers and inequities, the disparities uncovered in the survey also point to a handful of short-term, pressing problems that are deeply concerning, says Robert J. Blendon, co-director of the survey and emeritus professor at the Harvard T.H. Chan School.

"We've been looking at disparities for many years, but the acute needs caught us a bit off guard," he says. "In this period when we're all suffering from inflation, people are at high risk for either being homeless or actually not being able to feed their families."

In a sense, the impact of economic insecurity is the connective tissue for many of the survey's findings: 55% of Black and 48% of Latino adults say they are currently facing serious financial problems. For white adults, it's 38%.

A majority of Black and Latino households say they don't have emergency savings to cover at least one month of expenses. White adults are also more likely to receive significant financial support from older relatives — help that is usually not available to racial and ethnic minorities.

The poll finds that just about 14% or Black adults and 16% of Latino adults say they have ever received gifts or loans worth $10,000 or more from parents or older relatives.

"People are telling us from their own experiences that a really wide share are just barely making it," says Mary Findling, assistant director of the Harvard Opinion Research Program at Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health.

From housing to food, high prices take a toll

The concerns about housing are especially striking.

Across all groups, more than 60% of adults say the lack of affordable housing that's available for them to buy is a serious problem in their neighborhoods. The numbers are not all that different for affordable rental housing.

But when it comes specifically to evictions, the burden is falling heavily on Black renters: 16% say they have either been evicted or threatened with eviction, whereas 9% of white renters who were surveyed reported similar experiences.

Along with housing insecurity, financial problems often mean people have trouble making payments on credit cards or loans or face other serious issues; more than 40% of Black and Native American adults, and 36% of Latinos, say this is the case for them.

Having enough money for even basic necessities is a challenge for many households.

In fact, about a third of Black and Latino adults say they are having serious problems affording food, compared with 21% of white adults. It's highest for Native Americans: Nearly 40% are struggling to put food on the table.

"It reminds me of a statistic I'd read from the 1800s," says Findling. "That's a lot of people who can't afford to eat in America in 2022."

Generally, the poll did not find the same disparities between Asians and white adults as it did among Black, Latino and Native Americans. However, when just lower-income Asians were included — people who earn under $50,000 a year — 46% said they are facing serious financial problems. Specifically, nearly a third of that subpopulation had serious problems paying the rent or mortgage and 28% had serious problems affording food. About half say that a lack of good jobs is a serious problem in their community.

Some still struggle to get medical care

Perhaps unsurprisingly, the high cost of health care in the U.S. is straining family budgets.

More than 20% of Black and Native American adults say affording medical care or prescription drugs is a serious problem for them.

The COVID-19 pandemic profoundly disrupted health care and left many Americans sicker. Routine health care was interrupted, and chronic illnesses often went unmanaged.

Even though the worst of the pandemic has subsided for the health care system, delays in receiving medical care persist for some groups.

Among U.S. households where anyone has been seriously ill, 24% of Black, 18% of Latino and 18% of white households say they were unable to get medical care for serious illnesses when they needed it in the past year. It's even higher, 35%, for Native Americans.

Education and neighborhood safety

Despite the financial troubles, the poll suggests many families still have aspirations for their kids' futures.

The overwhelming majority of households with children who are under 18 believe their children will graduate from college. It's over 80% for every group surveyed.

Yet there are differences that emerge from the data about how parents view the K-12 schools that their children attend. About a third of Black parents of school-age children rate the quality of education in their schools as only fair or poor. That's compared to 24% for white and 22% for Latino households.

"There are lots of surveys and studies that show, because of COVID, the schools closed and kids of all races are really lagging behind educationally," says Blendon. "What our finding shows is that, as kids went back, a substantially higher number of Black parents are saying that their kids' schools are not doing a good job."

When Americans think about their communities, it's not only the quality of schools on their minds, but also safety.

Neighborhood crime is a concern across all racial and ethnic groups, but it's particularly pronounced for minority communities. Of note, more than a third of Black, Latino and Native American adults say crime is currently a serious problem in their own neighborhoods.

Respondents say they are falling behind

There's a broad sense across all groups — but especially Black and Latino adults — that they are not on track in their life. For both groups, half of those polled say they are falling behind in terms of achieving life goals over the past year, compared to 40% of white Americans.

"When you think about where we are compared to the beginning of the pandemic, so many people are not better — they're actually even worse off than we were 2 1/2 years ago," says Findling.

Taken together, the poll makes it clear that racial and ethnic minorities are struggling to keep up while navigating the increasingly tenuous economic situation and the aftershocks of the social upheaval brought on by the COVID-19 pandemic.

"There is a crisis of inflation and also in the public schools," says Blendon. "It's more than just 'We're narrowing gaps' or 'We're not narrowing gaps.' It's that people could really get hurt unless they can get some help here in the next short-term period."

 

ATTACHMENT SEVEN – from The Hill

NEW BILL WOULD END ENERGY POVERTY IN THE US AND HELP FAMILIES ADJUST TO RISING TEMPERATURES

BY MARK WOLFE, OPINION CONTRIBUTOR - 01/29/22 6:00 PM ET

Last week Sen. Ed Markey (D-Mass.) and Rep. Jamaal Bowman (D-N.Y.) introduced the Heating and Cooling Relief Act, with the specific purpose of ending energy poverty in the United States for low and moderate income families. The intent of the bill is simple: lower income families would no longer have to struggle to pay unaffordable home energy bills. The bill would also establish a “just transition” grant program to ensure lower income households do not get left behind during the clean energy transition by helping them move away from fossil fuels through home retrofits, decarbonization, and renewable energy. 

“Energy is simply unaffordable for lower income families.”

Last month the Census Bureau reported that for families with incomes of less than $35,000 a year, about 51 percent said that they reduced or went without basic household necessities, such as medicine or food, in order to pay an energy bill. There is nothing surprising about this data. Low income families struggle to pay for basic needs, including energy. They cannot afford to have their power shut off and will go without food and medicine in order to pay the bill.

The Low Income Home Energy Assistance Program (LIHEAP) is the primary federal effort designed to help families pay their home heating and cooling bills, but the program has been underfunded for years and reaches fewer than one out of six eligible households. As a result of limited funding, we have watched families fall further and further behind on their home energy bills during the pandemic. And even with supplemental funding for LIHEAP, outstanding energy arrearages have remained stubbornly high, at about $22 billion.

The Markey/Bowman bill would increase funding for LIHEAP, with a goal of reaching all eligible households by setting the authorized funding level at $40 billion a year, up from a current authorization level of $5.1 billion and an appropriation level of about $3.8 billion. The additional funding would increase the eligibility ceiling from the greater of 150 percent of the federal poverty level or 60 percent of state median income to 250 percent of the federal poverty level or 80 percent of state median income, thereby increasing coverage to low and moderate income families, not just to the poorest families in the country.

The bill would set a cap on the percentage a family would need to spend on home energy.  Low income families currently spend an average of 8.6 percent of their income on home energy. The bill would ensure that no family spent more than 3 percent of their income on home energy, which is the same percentage spent by other higher income families. It would also provide states with the flexibility to use program funds to weatherize up to one million units per year.

LIHEAP was passed 40 years ago when the nation was more concerned about helping families pay for high winter heating costs rather than rising temperatures due to climate change. The Markey/Bowman bill would directly address the concern raised by rising temperatures by providing sufficient funds for cooling as well as provide an additional $1 billion in additional assistance to families during periods of extreme heat. Why is that important? Because extreme heat waves are occurring more often. The EPA found that the average heat wave season across 50 cities is now 47 days longer than it was in the 1960s. In addition, EPA reported that extreme heat can be an underlying cause for heat stroke, heart attacks and stroke, especially among the elderly.

The bill would also provide families that are behind on their energy bills with additional protections by requiring utilities that accept program funds to agree to waive late fees and interest charges. Furthermore, such utilities would agree not to shut off a family from power for one year after receiving program funds. The bill would also simplify the application process by allowing families to self-certify for eligibility.

The Heating and Cooling Relief Act deserves the full support of Congress. Low income families need to be protected from rising temperatures and they shouldn’t have to choose between paying for home energy, on the one hand and on the other hand, food, medicine and other essentials of daily living.

Mark Wolfe is an energy economist and serves as the executive director of the National Energy Assistance Directors’ Association (NEADA), representing the state directors of the Low Income Home Energy Assistance Program. He specializes in energy and housing affordability and related finance issues.

 

ATTACHMENT EIGHT – from the American Prospect

BOWMAN PROPOSES BILL TO RECOMMEND PRICE CONTROLS

New legislation would study corporate profits and give President Biden the authority to impose targeted price controls in sectors like housing and health care.

 

BY LEE HARRIS  AUGUST 4, 2022

 

A bill set to be introduced in the House tomorrow would create a task force on emergency price stabilization, intended to recommend strategic price controls.

The proposal, led by Rep. Jamaal Bowman (D-NY), would charge a subgroup of the existing Supply Chain Disruptions Task Force with advising the White House on how to respond to high costs and volatility, and would empower President Biden to recommend setting ceilings and floors on prices.

The sub-task force would be granted subpoena power to examine corporate earnings and expenses, focusing on five sectors: housing, health care, food, energy, and transportation. In an interview with the Prospect, Bowman argued that oversight and regulation of the private sector, including preventing runaway prices in strategically important sectors, is part of a healthy democracy.

“This is not about controlling prices across the entire economy. It’s really looking at where price-gouging is happening, where supply chain shortages are happening,” Bowman said. “Giving the American people a look at corporate books.”

Bowman added that he already supports measures to contain costs, including national rent control and the Heating and Cooling Relief Act, a measure to cap utility bills. While the legislation on emergency price stabilization is unlikely to pass, housing groups said it could be a useful tool to push for rent relief.  (See above)

“We need people in the president’s administration talking about the rent,” Tara Raghuveer, the director of Kansas City Tenants, told the Prospect of her group’s support for the bill. “I’m not holding my breath that Congress is going to act quickly on this, or much else, right now. We’re going to use this as part of our organizing strategy to push for additional vision and creativity among members of the Biden administration, to explore every avenue they have to institute rent regulation.”

It would not be the first time an American president enacted price controls. During the Second World War, of course, virtually all prices were subject to strict controls under the Office of Price Administration. As economist John Kenneth Galbraith (who worked in the OPA) explained years later, the controls worked well and indeed were central to successful wartime mobilization.

In the 1970s, Congress gave Republican President Richard Nixon the authority to freeze wages and prices through an amendment to the Defense Production Act. The policy was carried out by no less a figure than Dick Cheney, under the supervision of Donald Rumsfeld, as economics researcher Nathan Tankus recently observed. (Responding to criticisms of that policy, and a subsequent jump in inflation, Tankus writes, “To me, the lesson of the Nixon ‘price control’ experience is that you don’t put Richard Nixon, Donald Rumsfeld and Dick Cheney in charge of the economy.”)

Those powers expired in 1974. Bowman’s bill would give Biden new authority to implement strategic price controls. (A subsection would also study whether the president could creatively use existing authorities to manage prices.)

There are competing diagnoses of the recent price increase in food, fuel, and other basic goods. Corporate profits surged as consumer demand recovered after the pandemic, setting off some of the current rise in prices. Many companies have pocketed windfall earnings for shareholders, rather than reinvesting them in greater production. After posting its highest-ever profits for the second quarter in a row last week, Shell announced that it would speed up its share buyback program this year. But it did not increase its capital expenditure plans for 2022.

The government’s principal tool used so far in response has been a blunt instrument: interest rate hikes by the Fed.

Biden voiced criticisms of that capital discipline, jawboning high profits at oil refineries in a letter to fossil fuel executives earlier this summer. The Federal Reserve, meanwhile, has fingered the hot labor market as a culprit for inflation. Chair Jerome Powell said in June that the number of job openings indicates a “real imbalance in wage negotiating.”

Liberal economists have questioned whether labor market power is really driving the high costs, pointing out corporate profits and supply chain shocks due to the war in Ukraine and related trade restrictions. Progressive analysts, including those at the think tank Employ America, also emphasize the role of long-term underinvestment stemming from the weak post-2008 recovery, which they examine in their paper The Physical Capacity Shortage View of Inflation.”

The government’s principal tool used so far in response has been a blunt instrument: interest rate hikes by the Fed. An emerging debate among policymakers asks whether dampening demand through higher rates will actually alleviate inflation caused by supply shortages—and whether it is fair to make workers bear the pain of an economy stretched thin by war and a pandemic.

“Let’s use a scalpel rather than a sledgehammer,” said Mark Paul, an economist at Rutgers University, who helped write the price controls bill. Isabella Weber, an economist at University of Massachusetts, Amherst whose case for price controls set off a firestorm of debate earlier this year, also advised Bowman’s office closely on the design of the legislation.

“Putting a lid on price is not gonna unblock the Port of L.A. It’s not going to end the war in Ukraine. But at the same time, an exploding price is not going to unblock the port of L.A.,” Weber told the Prospect. “You can prevent prices from shooting up at a time when the price explosion will not have a supply reaction, because there’s an actual, physical barrier, or because you have issued political sanctions, or because the Suez is blocked by a big ship.”

Addressing price hikes driven by supply shortages, in other words, takes time. And if the past few months have shown that a price run-up won’t necessarily persuade executives to invest in more production, the same logic holds in the other direction: Blunting the price signal will not necessarily hold back investments in supply. For instance, Paul said, rent regulation can be designed so that it does not inhibit supply, by renting new construction at fair market value, before price control kicks in.

In Paul’s view, the housing market—where various price regulations already exist in many cities—is the clearest candidate for government involvement to stabilize costs. On price controls for oil, he said, “the jury’s still out.”

Bowman’s bill also states that the task force could recommend establishing price floors, including through purchasing, procurement, and price supports, and could “promote the expansion of relevant productive capacity and, as appropriate, of stockpiles and reserves.”

Raghuveer, the tenant organizer in Kansas City, described a shortage of truly affordable housing, but said that supply problems will take at least three to five years to fix. “That does nothing for the tenant who couldn’t pay rent yesterday,” she said. “Anyone who tells you that a supply-side intervention right now is going to be the answer to the current inflation crisis is lying to you.”

Tax reform, such as corporate taxes proposed in the Inflation Reduction Act, a new compromise between Sens. Chuck Schumer and Joe Manchin, could also help ease inflation. Democratic co-sponsors of the price controls bill include Jan Schakowsky of Illinois, Jerry Nadler of New York, and Rashida Tlaib of Michigan.

Bowman said he was inspired by history to introduce the measure. “The Great Depression and World War II was a time when the American people were going through compounding crises at the same time. In response to that, we did not just implement a windfall profits tax, we also implemented price controls. And we’re going through a similar time right now,” he said.

Bowman acknowledged that calling for price controls could be controversial, but said, “I like ideas that are out there. I think the orthodoxy has left a lot to be desired.”

 

 

ATTACHMENT NINE – from the Bureau of Labor Statistics

CONSUMER PRICE INDEX SUMMARY

 

Transmission of material in this release is embargoed until                                       

8:30 a.m. (ET) August 10, 2022                 USDL-22-1625         

           

Technical information: (202) 691-7000  *  cpi_info@bls.gov  *  www.bls.gov/cpi

Media Contact:         (202) 691-5902  *  PressOffice@bls.gov

 

CONSUMER PRICE INDEX - JULY 2022  @fix w/ paste A?

 

The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) was unchanged in July on a seasonally adjusted basis after rising 1.3 percent in June, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today.  Over the last 12 months, the all items index increased 8.5 percent before seasonal adjustment.

 

The gasoline index fell 7.7 percent in July and offset increases in the food and shelter indexes,

resulting in the all items index being unchanged over the month. The energy index fell 4.6 percent

over the month as the indexes for gasoline and natural gas declined, but the index for electricity

increased. The food index continued to rise, increasing 1.1 percent over the month as the food at

home index rose 1.3 percent. 

 

The index for all items less food and energy rose 0.3 percent in July, a smaller increase than in

April, May, or June. The indexes for shelter, medical care, motor vehicle insurance, household

furnishings and operations, new vehicles, and recreation were among those that increased over the

month. There were some indexes that declined in July, including those for airline fares, used cars

and trucks, communication, and apparel.

 

The all items index increased 8.5 percent for the 12 months ending July, a smaller figure than the

9.1-percent increase for the period ending June. The all items less food and energy index rose 5.9

percent over the last 12 months. The energy index increased 32.9 percent for the 12 months ending

July, a smaller increase than the 41.6-percent increase for the period ending June. The food index

increased 10.9 percent over the last year, the largest 12-month increase since the period ending

May 1979.

 

Table A. Percent changes in CPI for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U): U.S. city average

Seasonally adjusted changes from preceding month

Un-
adjusted
12-mos.
ended
Jul. 2022

Jan.
2022

Feb.
2022

Mar.
2022

Apr.
2022

May
2022

Jun.
2022

Jul.
2022

All items

0.6

0.8

1.2

0.3

1.0

1.3

0.0

8.5

Food

0.9

1.0

1.0

0.9

1.2

1.0

1.1

10.9

Food at home

1.0

1.4

1.5

1.0

1.4

1.0

1.3

13.1

Food away from home(1)

0.7

0.4

0.3

0.6

0.7

0.9

0.7

7.6

Energy

0.9

3.5

11.0

-2.7

3.9

7.5

-4.6

32.9

Energy commodities

-0.6

6.7

18.1

-5.4

4.5

10.4

-7.6

44.9

Gasoline (all types)

-0.8

6.6

18.3

-6.1

4.1

11.2

-7.7

44.0

Fuel oil(1)

9.5

7.7

22.3

2.7

16.9

-1.2

-11.0

75.6

Energy services

2.9

-0.4

1.8

1.3

3.0

3.5

0.1

18.8

Electricity

4.2

-1.1

2.2

0.7

1.3

1.7

1.6

15.2

Utility (piped) gas service

-0.5

1.5

0.6

3.1

8.0

8.2

-3.6

30.5

All items less food and energy

0.6

0.5

0.3

0.6

0.6

0.7

0.3

5.9

Commodities less food and energy commodities

1.0

0.4

-0.4

0.2

0.7

0.8

0.2

7.0

New vehicles

0.0

0.3

0.2

1.1

1.0

0.7

0.6

10.4

Used cars and trucks

1.5

-0.2

-3.8

-0.4

1.8

1.6

-0.4

6.6

Apparel

1.1

0.7

0.6

-0.8

0.7

0.8

-0.1

5.1

Medical care commodities(1)

0.9

0.3

0.2

0.1

0.3

0.4

0.6

3.7

Services less energy services

0.4

0.5

0.6

0.7

0.6

0.7

0.4

5.5

Shelter

0.3

0.5

0.5

0.5

0.6

0.6

0.5

5.7

Transportation services

1.0

1.4

2.0

3.1

1.3

2.1

-0.5

9.2

Medical care services

0.6

0.1

0.6

0.5

0.4

0.7

0.4

5.1

Footnotes
(1) Not seasonally adjusted.

 

Food  @go back to x1 and recalibrate... use A?

 

The food index increased 1.1 percent in July; this was the seventh consecutive monthly increase of 0.9 percent or more. The food at home index rose 1.3 percent in July as all six major grocery store food group indexes increased. The index for nonalcoholic beverages rose the most, increasing 2.3

percent as the index for coffee rose 3.5 percent. The index for other food at home rose 1.8 percent,

as did the index for cereals and bakery products. The index for dairy and related products

increased 1.7 percent over the month. The index for meats, poultry, fish, and eggs rose 0.5 percent

in July after declining in June. The index for fruits and vegetables also increased 0.5 percent

over the month.

 

The food away from home index rose 0.7 percent in July after rising 0.9 percent in June. The index

for limited service meals increased 0.8 percent and the index for full service meals increased 0.6

percent over the month.

 

The food at home index rose 13.1 percent over the last 12 months, the largest 12-month increase

since the period ending March 1979. The index for other food at home rose 15.8 percent and the

index for cereals and bakery products increased 15.0 percent over the year. The remaining major

grocery store food groups posted increases ranging from 9.3 percent (fruits and vegetables) to 14.9

percent (dairy and related products).

 

The index for food away from home rose 7.6 percent over the last year. The index for full service

meals rose 8.9 percent over the last 12 months, and the index for limited service meals rose 7.2

percent over the last year.

 

Energy

 

The energy index fell 4.6 percent in July after rising 7.5 percent in June. The gasoline index fell

7.7 percent over the month following an 11.2-percent increase in June. (Before seasonal adjustment,

gasoline prices fell 7.7 percent in July.) The index for natural gas declined in July after sharp

recent increases, falling 3.6 percent. However, the electricity index increased in July, rising 1.6

percent, its third consecutive monthly increase of at least 1.3 percent.

 

The energy index rose 32.9 percent over the past 12 months. The gasoline index increased 44.0

percent over the span and the fuel oil index rose 75.6 percent. The index for electricity rose 15.2

percent, the largest 12-month increase since the period ending February 2006. The index for natural

gas increased 30.5 percent over the last 12 months.

 

All items less food and energy

 

The index for all items less food and energy rose 0.3 percent in July after increasing 0.7 percent

in June. The shelter index continued to rise but did post a smaller increase than the prior month,

increasing 0.5 percent in July compared to 0.6 percent in June. The rent index rose 0.7 percent in

July and the owners' equivalent rent index rose 0.6 percent. The index for lodging away from home

continued to decline, falling 2.7 percent in July after a 2.8-percent decrease in June.

 

The medical care index rose 0.4 percent in July after rising 0.7 percent in June as major medical

care component indexes continued to increase. The index for hospital services increased 0.5 percent

over the month, while the indexes for physicians' services and for prescription drugs both

increased 0.3 percent in July.

 

The index for motor vehicle insurance continued to increase, rising 1.3 percent in July after

increasing 1.9 percent in June. The index for household furnishings and operations rose 0.6 percent

after increasing 0.4 percent in June. The new vehicles index also increased 0.6 percent in July,

and the recreation index rose 0.3 percent over the month. Other indexes that increased in July

include personal care (+0.4 percent), alcoholic beverages (+0.5 percent), tobacco (+0.3 percent),

and education (+0.1 percent).

 

The index for airline fares fell sharply in July, decreasing 7.8 percent. The index for used cars

and trucks also declined over the month, falling 0.4 percent after rising in May and June. The

communication index fell 0.4 percent in July, and the apparel index fell 0.1 percent after rising

the prior two months.

 

The index for all items less food and energy rose 5.9 percent over the past 12 months, the same

increase as the period ending June. The shelter index rose 5.7 percent over the last year,

accounting for about 40 percent of the total increase in all items less food and energy. Several

transportation indexes also rose notably over the last year, including new vehicles (+10.4 percent),

used cars and trucks (+6.6 percent), motor vehicle insurance (+7.4 percent), and airline fares

(+27.7 percent).

 

Not seasonally adjusted CPI measures

 

The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased 8.5 percent over the last 12

months to an index level of 296.276 (1982-84=100). For the month, the index was unchanged prior to

seasonal adjustment. 

 

The Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (CPI-W) increased 9.1 percent

over the last 12 months to an index level of 292.219 (1982-84=100). For the month, the index

declined 0.1 percent prior to seasonal adjustment. 

 

The Chained Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (C-CPI-U) increased 8.0 percent over the

last 12 months. For the month, the index increased 0.1 percent on a not seasonally adjusted basis.

Please note that the indexes for the past 10 to 12 months are subject to revision.

_______________

The Consumer Price Index for August 2022 is scheduled to be released on Tuesday, September 13, 2022 at 8:30 a.m. (ET).

 

Technical Note

 

Brief Explanation of the CPI

 

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the change in prices paid by consumers for goods

and services. The CPI reflects spending patterns for each of two population groups: all

urban consumers and urban wage earners and clerical workers. The all urban consumer group

represents about 93 percent of the total U.S. population. It is based on the expenditures

of almost all residents of urban or metropolitan areas, including professionals, the self

-employed, the poor, the unemployed, and retired people, as well as urban wage earners

and clerical workers. Not included in the CPI are the spending patterns of people living

in rural nonmetropolitan areas, farming families, people in the Armed Forces, and those

in institutions, such as prisons and mental hospitals. Consumer inflation for all urban

consumers is measured by two indexes, namely, the Consumer Price Index for All Urban

Consumers (CPI-U) and the Chained Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (C-CPI-U).

The Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (CPI-W) is based on

the expenditures of households included in the CPI-U definition that meet two requirements:

more than one-half of the household's income must come from clerical or wage occupations,

and at least one of the household's earners must have been employed for at least 37 weeks

during the previous 12 months. The CPI-W population represents about 29 percent of the

total U.S. population and is a subset of the CPI-U population.

 

The CPIs are based on prices of food, clothing, shelter, fuels, transportation, doctors'

and dentists' services, drugs, and other goods and services that people buy for day-to-day

living. Prices are collected each month in 75 urban areas across the country from about

6,000 housing units and approximately 22,000 retail establishments (department stores,

supermarkets, hospitals, filling stations, and other types of stores and service

establishments). All taxes directly associated with the purchase and use of items are

included in the index. Prices of fuels and a few other items are obtained every month in

all 75 locations. Prices of most other commodities and services are collected every month

in the three largest geographic areas and every other month in other areas. Prices of most

goods and services are obtained by personal visit, telephone call, or web collection by the

Bureau's trained representatives.

 

In calculating the index, price changes for the various items in each location are

aggregated using weights, which represent their importance in the spending of the

appropriate population group. Local data are then combined to obtain a U.S. city average.

For the CPI-U and CPI-W, separate indexes are also published by size of city, by region of

the country, for cross-classifications of regions and population-size classes, and for 23

selected local areas. Area indexes do not measure differences in the level of prices among

cities; they only measure the average change in prices for each area since the base period.

For the C-CPI-U, data are issued only at the national level. The CPI-U and CPI-W are

considered final when released, but the C-CPI-U is issued in preliminary form and subject

to three subsequent quarterly revisions.

 

The index measures price change from a designed reference date. For most of the CPI-U and

the CPI-W, the reference base is 1982-84 equals 100. The reference base for the C-CPI-U is

December 1999 equals 100.  An increase of 7 percent from the reference base, for example,

is shown as 107.000. Alternatively, that relationship can also be expressed as the price

of a base period market basket of goods and services rising from $100 to $107.

 

Sampling Error in the CPI

 

The CPI is a statistical estimate that is subject to sampling error because it is based

upon a sample of retail prices and not the complete universe of all prices. BLS calculates

and publishes estimates of the 1-month, 2-month, 6-month, and 12-month percent change

standard errors annually for the CPI-U. These standard error estimates can be used to

construct confidence intervals for hypothesis testing. For example, the estimated standard

error of the 1-month percent change is 0.03 percent for the U.S. all items CPI. This means

that if we repeatedly sample from the universe of all retail prices using the same

methodology, and estimate a percentage change for each sample, then 95 percent of these

estimates will be within 0.06 percent of the 1-month percentage change based on all retail

prices. For example, for a 1-month change of 0.2 percent in the all items CPI-U, we are 95

percent confident that the actual percent change based on all retail prices would fall

between 0.14 and 0.26 percent. For the latest data, including information on how to use

the estimates of standard error, see www.bls.gov/cpi/tables/variance-estimates/home.htm.

 

Calculating Index Changes

 

Movements of the indexes from 1 month to another are usually expressed as percent changes

rather than changes in index points, because index point changes are affected by the level

of the index in relation to its base period, while percent changes are not. The following

table shows an example of using index values to calculate percent changes:

 

                                         Item A                  Item B                      Item C

     Year I                      112.500                 225.000                     110.000

     Year II                     121.500                 243.000                     128.000

Change in index points        9.000                   18.000                        18.000

Percent change              9.0/112.500 x 100 = 8.0  18.0/225.000 x 100 = 8.0   18.0/110.000 x 100 = 16.4

 

Use of Seasonally Adjusted and Unadjusted Data

 

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) produces both unadjusted and seasonally adjusted data.

Seasonally adjusted data are computed using seasonal factors derived by the X-13ARIMA-SEATS

seasonal adjustment method. These factors are updated each February, and the new factors are

used to revise the previous 5 years of seasonally adjusted data. The factors are available

at www.bls.gov/cpi/tables/seasonal-adjustment/seasonal-factors-2022.xlsx. For more

information on data revision scheduling, please see the Factsheet on Seasonal Adjustment at

www.bls.gov/cpi/seasonal-adjustment/questions-and-answers.htm and the Timeline of Seasonal

Adjustment Methodological Changes at

www.bls.gov/cpi/seasonal-adjustment/timeline-seasonal-adjustment-methodology-changes.htm.

 

For analyzing short-term price trends in the economy, seasonally adjusted changes are usually

preferred since they eliminate the effect of changes that normally occur at the same time and

in about the same magnitude every year-such as price movements resulting from weather events,

production cycles, model changeovers, holidays, and sales. This allows data users to focus on

changes that are not typical for the time of year. The unadjusted data are of primary interest

to consumers concerned about the prices they actually pay. Unadjusted data are also used

extensively for escalation purposes. Many collective bargaining contract agreements and pension

plans, for example, tie compensation changes to the Consumer Price Index before adjustment for

seasonal variation. BLS advises against the use of seasonally adjusted data in escalation

agreements because seasonally adjusted series are revised annually.

 

Intervention Analysis

 

The Bureau of Labor Statistics uses intervention analysis seasonal adjustment (IASA) for some

CPI series. Sometimes extreme values or sharp movements can distort the underlying seasonal

pattern of price change. Intervention analysis seasonal adjustment is a process by which the

distortions caused by such unusual events are estimated and removed from the data prior to

calculation of seasonal factors. The resulting seasonal factors, which more accurately represent

the seasonal pattern, are then applied to the unadjusted data.

 

For example, this procedure was used for the motor fuel series to offset the effects of the 2009

return to normal pricing after the worldwide economic downturn in 2008. Retaining this outlier

data during seasonal factor calculation would distort the computation of the seasonal portion

of the time series data for motor fuel, so it was estimated and removed from the data prior to

seasonal adjustment. Following that, seasonal factors were calculated based on this "prior

adjusted" data. These seasonal factors represent a clearer picture of the seasonal pattern in

the data. The last step is for motor fuel seasonal factors to be applied to the unadjusted data.

 

For the seasonal factors introduced for January 2022, BLS adjusted 72 series using intervention

analysis seasonal adjustment, including selected food and beverage items, motor fuels, electricity,

and vehicles.

 

Revision of Seasonally Adjusted Indexes

 

Seasonally adjusted data, including the U.S. city average all items index levels, are subject to

revision for up to 5 years after their original release. Every year, economists in the CPI

calculate new seasonal factors for seasonally adjusted series and apply them to the last 5 years

of data. Seasonally adjusted indexes beyond the last 5 years of data are considered to be final

and not subject to revision. For January 2022, revised seasonal factors and seasonally adjusted

indexes for 2017 to 2021 were calculated and published. For series which are directly adjusted

using the Census X-13ARIMA-SEATS seasonal adjustment software, the seasonal factors for 2021 will

be applied to data for 2022 to produce the seasonally adjusted 2022 indexes. Series which are

indirectly seasonally adjusted by summing seasonally adjusted component series have seasonal

factors which are derived and are therefore not available in advance.

 

Determining Seasonal Status

 

Each year the seasonal status of every series is reevaluated based upon certain statistical

criteria. Using these criteria, BLS economists determine whether a series should change its

status from "not seasonally adjusted" to "seasonally adjusted", or vice versa. If any of the 81

components of the U.S. city average all items index change their seasonal adjustment status from

seasonally adjusted to not seasonally adjusted, not seasonally adjusted data will be used in the

aggregation of the dependent series for the last 5 years, but the seasonally adjusted indexes

before that period will not be changed. For 2022, 22 of the 81 components of the U.S. city

average all items index are seasonally adjusted.

 

Contact Information

 

For additional information about the CPI visit www.bls.gov/cpi or contact the CPI Information and

Analysis Section at 202-691-7000 or cpi_info@bls.gov.

 

 

And see further data at these...

 

 Table 1. Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U): U. S. city average, by expenditure category

 Table 2. Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U): U. S. city average, by detailed expenditure category

 Table 3. Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U): U. S. city average, special aggregate indexes

 Table 4. Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U): Selected areas, all items index

 Table 5. Chained Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (C-CPI-U) and the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U): U.S. city average, all items index

 Table 6. Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U): U.S. city average, by expenditure category, 1-month analysis table

 Table 7. Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U): U.S. city average, by expenditure category, 12-month analysis table

 HTML version of the entire news release

 

 

ATTACHMENT TEN – From fao.org 

FAO FOOD PRICE INDEX

 

The FAO Food Price Index (FFPI) is a measure of the monthly change in international prices of a basket of food commodities. It consists of the average of five commodity group price indices weighted by the average export shares of each of the groups over 2014-2016. A feature article published in the June 2020 edition of the Food Outlook presents the revision of the base period for the calculation of the FFPI and the expansion of its price coverage, to be introduced from July 2020. A November 2013 article contains technical background on the previous construction of the FFPI.

Monthly release dates for 2022: 6 January, 3 February, 4 March, 8 April, 6 May, 3 June, 8 July, 5 August, 2 September, 7 October, 4 November, 2 December.

 

FAO Food Price Index registered a steep drop in July

Release date: 05/08/2022

» The FAO Food Price Index* (FFPI) averaged 140.9 points in July 2022, down 13.3 points (8.6 percent) from June, marking the fourth consecutive monthly decline. Nevertheless, it remained 16.4 points (13.1 percent) above its value in the corresponding month last year. The July decline was the steepest monthly fall in the value of the index since October 2008, led by significant drops in vegetable oil and cereal indices, while those of sugar, dairy and meat also fell but to a lesser extent.

 

@conform chart

 

https://www.fao.org/fileadmin/templates/worldfood/images/index_table_aug580.jpg

 

ATTACHMENT ELEVEN – World Food Price Index

From TradingEconomics July 2022 Data - 1990-2021 Historical - August Forecast

 

The FAO Food Price Index declined 8.6% month-over-month to 140.9 points in July 2022, the steepest fall since October 2018. Prices of cereals dropped 11.5%, led by a 14.5% decrease in wheat cost as seasonal availability from ongoing harvests increased and the agreement has been reached between Ukraine and the Russian Federation to unblock Ukraine’s main Black Sea ports. Also, the vegetable oil price index was 19.2% lower due to falling prices across palm, soy, rapeseed, and sunflower oils. At the same time, the cost of sugar went down 3.8%, the third consecutive monthly decline and reaching a five-month low. Looking further, prices of dairy decreased by 2.5% with quotations for skim milk powder declining the most, followed by those of butter and whole milk powder, principally reflecting lackluster market activities in Europe due to the summer holidays. The meat index went down 0.5%, the first month-on-month decline following six consecutive monthly increases. source: Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations




Calendar

GMT

Reference

Actual

Previous

2022-07-08

08:00 AM

Jun

154.2

157.9

2022-08-05

08:00 AM

Jul

140.9

154.3

2022-09-02

08:00 AM

Aug

140.9

 

 

 

Related

Last

Previous

Unit

Reference

Sugar Price Index

117.30

120.40

Index Points

Jun 2022

Oils Price Index

211.80

229.20

Index Points

Jun 2022

Meat Price Index

124.70

122.70

Index Points

Jun 2022

Dairy Price Index

149.80

143.90

Index Points

Jun 2022

Cereals Price Index

166.30

173.50

Index Points

Jun 2022

 

 

World Food Price Index

The FAO Food Price Index (FFPI) is a measure of the monthly change in international prices of a basket of food commodities. It consists of the average of five commodity group price indices weighted by the average export shares of each of the groups over 2014-2016. The FFPI is calculated as the trade-weighted average of the prices of food commodities spanning the key agricultural markets for cereals, vegetable oils, sugar, meat and dairy products. While these commodities represent about 40 percent of gross agricultural food commodity trade (FAOSTAT), they are chosen for their high and strategic importance in global food security and trade.

Actual

Previous

Highest

Lowest

Dates

Unit

Frequency

140.90

154.30

159.70

50.50

1990 - 2022

Index Points

Monthly

2014-2016=100

 

Food Prices Fall the Most since 2018

The FAO Food Price Index declined 8.6% month-over-month to 140.9 points in July 2022, the steepest fall since October 2018. Prices of cereals dropped 11.5%, led by a 14.5% decrease in wheat cost as seasonal availability from ongoing harvests increased and the agreement has been reached between Ukrai... more

2022-08-05

World Food Prices Continue to Ease

The FAO Food Price Index continued to decline for a third month running to 154.2 in June of 2022 from an upwardly revised 157.9 in May. Prices of cereals fell 4.1%, with wheat cost sinking 5.7% on seasonal availability from new harvests in the northern hemisphere, improved crop conditions in some ma... more

2022-07-08

World Food Prices Slow for 2nd Month

The FAO Food Price Index dropped 0.6% mom to 157.4 in May of 2022, the second month of declines, but still remained close to a record high of 159.7 points hit in March. Main decreases were seen in the vegetable oil index (-3.5%), amid lower prices across palm, sunflower, soy, and rapeseed oils, due ... more

2022-06-03

 

 

ATTACHMENT TWELVE – from News Nation

@ expand and, if possible, update

 

BEST AND WORST US STATES TO LIVE IN AS INFLATION KEEPS RISING

By Nick Smith  Posted: JUL 14, 2022 / 10:46 AM CDT Updated: JUL 15, 2022 / 07:56 AM CDT

 

CHICAGO (NewsNation) — From the grocery store to the gas pump, inflation is nearly impossible to escape. Yet, as it continues to climb, some states are faring a little bit better than others.

The states that are managing inflation the best are the states where it is least expensive to live because historically, inflation has been the cheapest in those states. That’s due to a combination of factors, including regional inflation rates from the federal government to the cost of living index.

Inflation: Which prices have risen the most? 

Here are the top 10 cheapest states to live in as inflation surges, according to CNBC’s exclusive America’s Top States for Business study, which ranks the states based on an index price for a broad range of goods and services.

1.    Mississippi

2.    Kansas

3.    Alabama

4.    Georgia

5.    Tennessee

6.    Missouri

7.    Iowa

8.    West Virginia

9.    Indiana

10.     Arkansas

NewsNation’s Nick Smith compared the cost of living in two cities with the same name but have nothing in common — Manhattan, Kansas and Manhattan, New York.

The cost of an average home in Manhattan, Kansas is $176,000, while the average rent is $860. Compare that to Manhattan, New York, the average home price is $1.4 million, and if you’re lucky, you can find an apartment for $4,200.

Meanwhile, inflation is hitting these 10 states the hardest:

1.    Hawaii

2.    New York

3.    California

4.    Massachusetts

5.    Oregon

6.    Alaska

7.    Maryland

8.    Connecticut

9.    Rhode Island

10.     Vermont

 

 

ATTACHMENT THIRTEEN – from devex.com

WORLD BANK DATA SHOWS WHERE FOOD INFLATION IS HITTING HARDEST

By Shabtai Gold // 01 August 2022

 

Food price hikes are far exceeding overall inflation, with low- and middle-income countries getting hit hardest — though prices are high across the globe, the World Bank said Monday in a new food security update that included a list of nations seeing the worst price increases.

Bottom of Form

Lebanon topped the ranking with 122% food inflation in real terms, compared with the same period last year. This was followed by Zimbabwe with 23%. A wide range of countries defined as middle-income also made the list, such as Sri Lanka, Turkey, and Iran.

The bank said that seven countries face a particular risk of overlapping food and debt crises — including Afghanistan, Mauritania, Somalia, Tajikistan, and Yemen — highlighting how the dual concern is affecting multiple regions.

How bad is it?: About 94% of low-income countries, 89% of lower-middle-income countries, and 89% of upper-middle-income countries have nominal food inflation levels above 5% compared with the previous year.

Eastern and southern Africa will likely see conditions worsen in the coming months. South Sudan and Sudan face the risk of famine, and the Democratic Republic of Congo and Ethiopia are also seeing food security deteriorate.

So far, East Asian and Pacific countries have been more insulated from the crisis, but elevated energy prices may cause trouble in the second half of the year, increasing concerns over social risks. Potential problems around rice outputs are being closely watched.

What richer nations can do: The bank said aid can be a solution, providing governments in stricken countries with the ability to get cash transfers to the most vulnerable.

Export bans: The war in Ukraine has made the food security situation worse — so far, just one ship has left Ukraine’s ports with grain under a United Nations deal — and also led to a surge in trade restrictions. The bank tracked 18 countries that implemented 27 food export bans, while seven imposed export limits.

 

ATTACHMENT FOURTEEN – from rateinflation.com

 

AMERICAN INFLATION RATES: 1914 TO 2022 

 See updates at:  https://www.rateinflation.com/inflation-rate/usa-historical-inflation-rate/

 

Historical inflation rates for United States of America

Updated: August 10, 2022

Next update: September 13, 2022

Year

Jan

Feb

Mar

Apr

May

Jun

Jul

Aug

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

Annual

2022

7.480%

7.871%

8.542%

8.259%

8.582%

9.060%

8.525%

2021

1.400%

1.676%

2.620%

4.160%

4.993%

5.391%

5.365%

5.251%

5.390%

6.222%

6.809%

7.036%

4.698%

2020

2.487%

2.335%

1.539%

0.329%

0.118%

0.646%

0.986%

1.310%

1.371%

1.182%

1.175%

1.362%

1.234%

2019

1.551%

1.520%

1.863%

1.996%

1.790%

1.648%

1.811%

1.750%

1.711%

1.764%

2.051%

2.285%

1.812%

2018

2.071%

2.212%

2.360%

2.463%

2.801%

2.872%

2.950%

2.699%

2.277%

2.522%

2.177%

1.910%

2.443%

2017

2.500%

2.738%

2.381%

2.200%

1.872%

1.625%

1.720%

1.939%

2.233%

2.041%

2.203%

2.109%

2.128%

2016

1.373%

1.018%

0.853%

1.125%

1.022%

1.006%

0.835%

1.063%

1.464%

1.636%

1.693%

2.075%

1.263%

2015

-0.089%

-0.025%

-0.074%

-0.200%

-0.040%

0.124%

0.170%

0.195%

-0.036%

0.171%

0.502%

0.730%

0.119%

2014

1.579%

1.126%

1.512%

1.953%

2.127%

2.072%

1.992%

1.700%

1.658%

1.664%

1.322%

0.756%

1.622%

2013

1.595%

1.978%

1.474%

1.063%

1.362%

1.754%

1.961%

1.518%

1.185%

0.964%

1.237%

1.502%

1.465%

2012

2.925%

2.871%

2.651%

2.303%

1.704%

1.664%

1.408%

1.692%

1.991%

2.162%

1.764%

1.741%

2.069%

2011

1.632%

2.108%

2.682%

3.164%

3.569%

3.559%

3.629%

3.771%

3.868%

3.525%

3.394%

2.962%

3.157%

2010

2.626%

2.143%

2.314%

2.236%

2.021%

1.053%

1.235%

1.148%

1.144%

1.172%

1.143%

1.496%

1.640%

2009

0.030%

0.236%

-0.384%

-0.737%

-1.281%

-1.427%

-2.097%

-1.484%

-1.286%

-0.183%

1.838%

2.721%

-0.356%

2008

4.280%

4.027%

3.981%

3.937%

4.176%

5.022%

5.600%

5.372%

4.937%

3.655%

1.070%

0.091%

3.839%

2007

2.076%

2.415%

2.779%

2.574%

2.691%

2.687%

2.358%

1.970%

2.755%

3.536%

4.306%

4.081%

2.853%

2006

3.985%

3.597%

3.363%

3.546%

4.167%

4.319%

4.145%

3.819%

2.062%

1.305%

1.974%

2.541%

3.226%

2005

2.970%

3.008%

3.148%

3.511%

2.803%

2.530%

3.168%

3.641%

4.687%

4.348%

3.455%

3.416%

3.393%

2004

1.926%

1.693%

1.737%

2.285%

3.052%

3.266%

2.991%

2.654%

2.538%

3.189%

3.523%

3.256%

2.677%

2003

2.597%

2.981%

3.020%

2.225%

2.058%

2.112%

2.110%

2.158%

2.320%

2.041%

1.765%

1.879%

2.270%

2002

1.142%

1.138%

1.476%

1.639%

1.182%

1.067%

1.465%

1.803%

1.514%

2.026%

2.198%

2.377%

1.586%

2001

3.732%

3.534%

2.921%

3.269%

3.615%

3.248%

2.720%

2.720%

2.648%

2.126%

1.895%

1.552%

2.826%

2000

2.739%

3.222%

3.758%

3.069%

3.189%

3.730%

3.659%

3.411%

3.454%

3.448%

3.446%

3.387%

3.377%

1999

1.671%

1.606%

1.726%

2.277%

2.088%

1.963%

2.145%

2.264%

2.628%

2.561%

2.622%

2.685%

2.188%

1998

1.571%

1.441%

1.375%

1.436%

1.686%

1.684%

1.682%

1.617%

1.489%

1.485%

1.548%

1.612%

1.552%

1997

3.044%

3.034%

2.762%

2.495%

2.235%

2.297%

2.229%

2.225%

2.155%

2.085%

1.828%

1.702%

2.338%

1996

2.728%

2.651%

2.840%

2.897%

2.891%

2.754%

2.951%

2.878%

3.003%

2.993%

3.255%

3.322%

2.931%

1995

2.804%

2.863%

2.853%

3.053%

3.186%

3.041%

2.763%

2.617%

2.544%

2.809%

2.605%

2.538%

2.805%

1994

2.525%

2.516%

2.507%

2.361%

2.288%

2.493%

2.770%

2.901%

2.963%

2.608%

2.675%

2.675%

2.607%

1993

3.259%

3.247%

3.087%

3.226%

3.221%

2.996%

2.776%

2.768%

2.689%

2.750%

2.676%

2.748%

2.952%

1992

2.600%

2.819%

3.185%

3.180%

3.024%

3.088%

3.157%

3.148%

2.988%

3.202%

3.048%

2.901%

3.029%

1991

5.651%

5.313%

4.895%

4.888%

4.954%

4.696%

4.448%

3.799%

3.391%

2.921%

2.990%

3.064%

4.235%

1990

5.202%

5.263%

5.233%

4.712%

4.362%

4.674%

4.823%

5.618%

6.160%

6.290%

6.275%

6.106%

5.398%

1989

4.667%

4.828%

4.979%

5.124%

5.362%

5.169%

4.979%

4.706%

4.341%

4.493%

4.655%

4.647%

4.827%

1988

4.047%

3.943%

3.925%

3.904%

3.890%

3.965%

4.130%

4.021%

4.174%

4.250%

4.246%

4.419%

4.078%

1987

1.460%

2.104%

3.033%

3.775%

3.857%

3.653%

3.927%

4.284%

4.356%

4.533%

4.529%

4.434%

3.665%

1986

3.886%

3.113%

2.256%

1.590%

1.491%

1.766%

1.577%

1.574%

1.754%

1.472%

1.284%

1.098%

1.898%

1985

3.533%

3.516%

3.704%

3.686%

3.772%

3.761%

3.554%

3.349%

3.143%

3.229%

3.514%

3.799%

3.546%

1984

4.192%

4.597%

4.801%

4.564%

4.234%

4.221%

4.204%

4.291%

4.270%

4.257%

4.051%

3.949%

4.301%

1983

3.712%

3.488%

3.598%

3.899%

3.549%

2.577%

2.462%

2.559%

2.860%

2.851%

3.265%

3.791%

3.212%

1982

8.391%

7.622%

6.780%

6.510%

6.682%

7.064%

6.441%

5.850%

5.043%

5.139%

4.589%

3.830%

6.131%

1981

11.825%

11.407%

10.487%

10.000%

9.780%

9.553%

10.762%

10.804%

10.952%

10.142%

9.591%

8.922%

10.335%

1980

13.909%

14.182%

14.756%

14.731%

14.406%

14.385%

13.133%

12.873%

12.601%

12.766%

12.648%

12.516%

13.549%

1979

9.280%

9.857%

10.095%

10.485%

10.853%

10.890%

11.263%

11.818%

12.180%

12.072%

12.611%

13.294%

11.254%

1978

6.838%

6.430%

6.555%

6.500%

6.965%

7.414%

7.705%

7.843%

8.306%

8.929%

8.885%

9.018%

7.631%

1977

5.216%

5.914%

6.440%

6.952%

6.726%

6.866%

6.830%

6.620%

6.597%

6.390%

6.724%

6.701%

6.502%

1976

6.718%

6.286%

6.072%

6.049%

6.203%

5.970%

5.351%

5.709%

5.495%

5.464%

4.882%

4.865%

5.745%

1975

11.803%

11.229%

10.251%

10.208%

9.465%

9.388%

9.717%

8.600%

7.905%

7.436%

7.379%

6.936%

9.143%

1974

9.390%

10.023%

10.393%

10.092%

10.706%

10.860%

11.512%

10.865%

11.947%

12.061%

12.200%

12.338%

11.055%

1973

3.650%

3.874%

4.589%

5.060%

5.529%

5.995%

5.728%

7.381%

7.363%

7.801%

8.255%

8.706%

6.178%

1972

3.266%

3.509%

3.500%

3.491%

3.226%

2.709%

2.948%

2.941%

3.186%

3.423%

3.667%

3.406%

3.272%

1971

5.291%

5.000%

4.712%

4.156%

4.404%

4.639%

4.359%

4.615%

4.082%

3.807%

3.283%

3.266%

4.293%

1970

6.180%

6.145%

5.817%

6.061%

6.044%

6.011%

5.978%

5.405%

5.660%

5.630%

5.600%

5.570%

5.838%

1969

4.399%

4.678%

5.248%

5.523%

5.507%

5.476%

5.444%

5.714%

5.698%

5.666%

5.932%

6.197%

5.462%

1968

3.647%

3.951%

3.939%

3.927%

3.916%

4.204%

4.491%

4.478%

4.464%

4.748%

4.734%

4.720%

4.272%

1967

3.459%

2.812%

2.804%

2.477%

2.786%

2.778%

2.769%

2.446%

2.752%

2.432%

2.736%

3.040%

2.773%

1966

1.923%

2.564%

2.556%

2.866%

2.866%

2.532%

2.848%

3.481%

3.481%

3.785%

3.785%

3.459%

3.015%

1965

0.971%

0.971%

1.294%

1.618%

1.618%

1.935%

1.608%

1.935%

1.608%

1.929%

1.603%

1.923%

1.585%

1964

1.645%

1.645%

1.311%

1.311%

1.311%

1.307%

1.303%

0.977%

1.303%

0.974%

1.299%

0.971%

1.279%

1963

1.333%

0.997%

1.329%

0.993%

0.993%

1.325%

1.320%

1.320%

0.987%

1.316%

1.316%

1.645%

1.240%

1962

0.671%

1.007%

1.007%

1.342%

1.342%

1.342%

1.000%

1.338%

1.333%

1.333%

1.333%

1.333%

1.199%

1961

1.706%

1.361%

1.361%

1.017%

1.017%

0.676%

1.351%

1.014%

1.351%

0.671%

0.671%

0.671%

1.071%

1960

1.034%

1.730%

1.730%

1.724%

1.724%

1.718%

1.370%

1.370%

1.024%

1.361%

1.361%

1.361%

1.458%

1959

1.399%

1.049%

0.347%

0.346%

0.346%

0.692%

0.690%

1.038%

1.384%

1.730%

1.379%

1.730%

1.011%

1958

3.623%

3.249%

3.597%

3.584%

3.214%

2.847%

2.473%

2.120%

2.120%

2.120%

2.113%

1.761%

2.729%

1957

2.985%

3.358%

3.731%

3.717%

3.704%

3.309%

3.285%

3.663%

3.285%

2.909%

3.273%

2.899%

3.342%

1956

0.375%

0.375%

0.375%

0.749%

1.124%

1.873%

2.239%

1.866%

1.859%

2.230%

2.230%

2.985%

1.525%

1955

-0.743%

-0.743%

-0.743%

-0.373%

-0.743%

-0.743%

-0.372%

-0.372%

0.373%

0.373%

0.373%

0.375%

-0.279%

1954

1.128%

1.509%

1.128%

0.752%

0.749%

0.373%

0.373%

0.000%

-0.372%

-0.741%

-0.372%

-0.743%

0.311%

1953

0.377%

0.760%

1.141%

0.758%

1.136%

1.132%

0.375%

0.749%

0.749%

1.124%

0.749%

0.749%

0.816%

1952

4.331%

2.335%

1.938%

2.326%

1.931%

2.317%

3.089%

3.089%

2.299%

1.908%

1.136%

0.755%

2.279%

1951

8.085%

9.362%

9.322%

9.322%

9.283%

8.824%

7.469%

6.584%

6.967%

6.504%

6.883%

6.000%

7.860%

1950

-2.083%

-1.261%

-0.840%

-1.255%

-0.420%

-0.418%

1.688%

2.101%

2.092%

3.797%

3.782%

5.932%

1.085%

1949

1.266%

1.277%

1.709%

0.420%

-0.418%

-0.830%

-2.869%

-2.857%

-2.449%

-2.869%

-1.653%

-2.075%

-0.971%

1948

10.233%

9.302%

6.849%

8.676%

9.132%

9.545%

9.910%

8.889%

6.522%

6.087%

4.762%

2.991%

7.689%

1947

18.132%

18.785%

19.672%

19.022%

18.378%

17.647%

12.121%

11.386%

12.745%

10.577%

8.451%

8.837%

14.389%

1946

2.247%

1.685%

2.809%

3.371%

3.352%

3.315%

9.392%

11.602%

12.707%

14.917%

17.680%

18.132%

8.476%

1945

2.299%

2.299%

2.299%

1.714%

2.286%

2.841%

2.260%

2.260%

2.260%

2.260%

2.260%

2.247%

2.274%

1944

2.959%

2.959%

1.163%

0.575%

0.000%

0.571%

1.724%

2.312%

1.724%

1.724%

1.724%

2.299%

1.637%

1943

7.643%

6.962%

7.500%

8.075%

7.362%

7.362%

6.098%

4.848%

5.455%

4.192%

3.571%

2.959%

5.969%

1942

11.348%

12.057%

12.676%

12.587%

13.194%

10.884%

11.565%

10.738%

9.272%

9.150%

9.091%

9.032%

10.922%

1941

1.439%

0.714%

1.429%

2.143%

2.857%

4.255%

5.000%

6.429%

7.857%

9.286%

10.000%

9.929%

5.116%

1940

-0.714%

0.719%

0.719%

1.449%

1.449%

2.174%

1.449%

1.449%

-0.709%

0.000%

0.000%

0.714%

0.719%

1939

-1.408%

-1.418%

-1.418%

-2.817%

-2.128%

-2.128%

-2.128%

-2.128%

0.000%

0.000%

0.000%

0.000%

-1.301%

1938

0.709%

0.000%

-0.704%

-0.699%

-2.083%

-2.083%

-2.759%

-2.759%

-3.425%

-4.110%

-3.448%

-2.778%

-2.028%

1937

2.174%

2.174%

3.650%

4.380%

5.109%

4.348%

4.317%

3.571%

4.286%

4.286%

3.571%

2.857%

3.726%

1936

1.471%

0.730%

0.000%

-0.725%

-0.725%

0.730%

1.460%

2.190%

2.190%

2.190%

1.449%

1.449%

1.032%

1935

3.030%

3.008%

3.008%

3.759%

3.759%

2.239%

2.239%

2.239%

0.735%

1.481%

2.222%

2.985%

2.553%

1934

2.326%

4.724%

5.556%

5.556%

5.556%

5.512%

2.290%

1.515%

3.030%

2.273%

2.273%

1.515%

3.479%

1933

-9.790%

-9.929%

-10.000%

-9.353%

-8.029%

-6.618%

-3.676%

-2.222%

-1.493%

-0.752%

0.000%

0.763%

-5.192%

1932

-10.063%

-10.191%

-10.256%

-10.323%

-10.458%

-9.934%

-9.934%

-10.596%

-10.667%

-10.738%

-10.204%

-10.274%

-10.301%

 

1931

-7.018%

-7.647%

-7.692%

-8.824%

-9.467%

-10.119%

-9.036%

-8.485%

-9.639%

-9.697%

-10.366%

-9.317%

-8.932%

 

1930

0.000%

-0.585%

-0.588%

0.592%

-0.588%

-1.754%

-4.046%

-4.624%

-4.046%

-4.624%

-5.202%

-6.395%

-2.671%

 

1929

-1.156%

0.000%

-0.585%

-1.170%

-1.163%

0.000%

1.170%

1.170%

0.000%

0.581%

0.581%

0.585%

0.000%

 

1928

-1.143%

-1.724%

-1.156%

-1.156%

-1.149%

-2.841%

-1.156%

-0.581%

0.000%

-1.149%

-0.578%

-1.156%

-1.152%

 

1927

-2.235%

-2.793%

-2.809%

-3.352%

-2.247%

-0.565%

-1.143%

-1.149%

-1.143%

-1.136%

-2.260%

-2.260%

-1.930%

 

1926

3.468%

4.070%

2.890%

4.070%

2.890%

1.143%

-1.130%

-1.695%

-1.130%

-0.565%

-1.667%

-1.117%

0.903%

 

1925

0.000%

0.000%

1.170%

1.176%

1.765%

2.941%

3.509%

4.118%

3.509%

2.907%

4.651%

3.468%

2.433%

 

1924

2.976%

2.381%

1.786%

0.592%

0.592%

0.000%

-0.581%

-0.585%

-0.581%

-0.578%

-0.578%

0.000%

0.440%

 

1923

-0.592%

-0.592%

0.599%

1.198%

1.198%

1.796%

2.381%

3.012%

3.614%

3.593%

2.976%

2.367%

1.791%

 

1922

-11.053%

-8.152%

-8.743%

-7.735%

-5.650%

-5.114%

-5.085%

-6.215%

-5.143%

-4.571%

-3.448%

-2.312%

-6.162%

 

1921

-1.554%

-5.641%

-7.107%

-10.837%

-14.078%

-15.789%

-14.904%

-12.808%

-12.500%

-12.060%

-12.121%

-10.825%

-10.936%

 

1920

16.970%

20.370%

20.122%

21.557%

21.893%

23.669%

19.540%

14.689%

12.360%

9.945%

7.027%

2.646%

15.625%

 

1919

17.857%

14.894%

17.143%

17.606%

16.552%

14.966%

15.232%

14.935%

13.376%

13.125%

13.497%

14.545%

15.235%

 

1918

19.658%

17.500%

16.667%

12.698%

13.281%

13.077%

17.969%

18.462%

18.045%

18.519%

20.741%

20.438%

17.284%

 

1917

12.500%

15.385%

14.286%

18.868%

19.626%

20.370%

18.519%

19.266%

19.820%

19.469%

17.391%

18.103%

17.841%

 

1916

2.970%

4.000%

6.061%

6.000%

5.941%

6.931%

6.931%

7.921%

9.901%

10.784%

11.650%

12.621%

7.667%

 

1915

1.000%

1.010%

0.000%

2.041%

2.020%

2.020%

1.000%

-0.980%

-0.980%

0.990%

0.980%

1.980%

0.915%

 

1914

2.041%

1.020%

1.020%

0.000%

2.062%

1.020%

1.010%

3.030%

2.000%

1.000%

0.990%

1.000%

1.349%

 

American Consumer Price Index: 1913 to 2022

Historical CPI for United States of America

Updated: August 10, 2022

Next update: September 13, 2022

Base year: 1982-84=100

Year

Jan

Feb

Mar

Apr

May

Jun

Jul

Aug

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

Annual

2022

281.148

283.716

287.504

289.109

292.296

296.311

296.276

2021

261.582

263.014

264.877

267.054

269.195

271.696

273.003

273.567

274.310

276.589

277.948

278.802

270.970

2020

257.971

258.678

258.115

256.389

256.394

257.797

259.101

259.918

260.280

260.388

260.229

260.474

258.811

2019

251.712

252.776

254.202

255.548

256.092

256.143

256.571

256.558

256.759

257.346

257.208

256.974

255.657

2018

247.867

248.991

249.554

250.546

251.588

251.989

252.006

252.146

252.439

252.885

252.038

251.233

251.107

2017

242.839

243.603

243.801

244.524

244.733

244.955

244.786

245.519

246.819

246.663

246.669

246.524

245.120

2016

236.916

237.111

238.132

239.261

240.236

241.038

240.647

240.849

241.428

241.729

241.353

241.432

240.011

2015

233.707

234.722

236.119

236.599

237.805

238.638

238.654

238.316

237.945

237.838

237.336

236.525

237.017

2014

233.916

234.781

236.293

237.072

237.900

238.343

238.250

237.852

238.031

237.433

236.151

234.812

236.736

2013

230.280

232.166

232.773

232.531

232.945

233.504

233.596

233.877

234.149

233.546

233.069

233.049

232.957

2012

226.665

227.663

229.392

230.085

229.815

229.478

229.104

230.379

231.407

231.317

230.221

229.601

229.594

2011

220.223

221.309

223.467

224.906

225.964

225.722

225.922

226.545

226.889

226.421

226.230

225.672

224.939

2010

216.687

216.741

217.631

218.009

218.178

217.965

218.011

218.312

218.439

218.711

218.803

219.179

218.056

2009

211.143

212.193

212.709

213.240

213.856

215.693

215.351

215.834

215.969

216.177

216.330

215.949

214.537

2008

211.080

211.693

213.528

214.823

216.632

218.815

219.964

219.086

218.783

216.573

212.425

210.228

215.303

2007

202.416

203.499

205.352

206.686

207.949

208.352

208.299

207.917

208.490

208.936

210.177

210.036

207.342

2006

198.300

198.700

199.800

201.500

202.500

202.900

203.500

203.900

202.900

201.800

201.500

201.800

201.592

2005

190.700

191.800

193.300

194.600

194.400

194.500

195.400

196.400

198.800

199.200

197.600

196.800

195.292

2004

185.200

186.200

187.400

188.000

189.100

189.700

189.400

189.500

189.900

190.900

191.000

190.300

188.883

2003

181.700

183.100

184.200

183.800

183.500

183.700

183.900

184.600

185.200

185.000

184.500

184.300

183.958

2002

177.100

177.800

178.800

179.800

179.800

179.900

180.100

180.700

181.000

181.300

181.300

180.900

179.875

2001

175.100

175.800

176.200

176.900

177.700

178.000

177.500

177.500

178.300

177.700

177.400

176.700

177.067

2000

168.800

169.800

171.200

171.300

171.500

172.400

172.800

172.800

173.700

174.000

174.100

174.000

172.200

1999

164.300

164.500

165.000

166.200

166.200

166.200

166.700

167.100

167.900

168.200

168.300

168.300

166.575

1998

161.600

161.900

162.200

162.500

162.800

163.000

163.200

163.400

163.600

164.000

164.000

163.900

163.008

1997

159.100

159.600

160.000

160.200

160.100

160.300

160.500

160.800

161.200

161.600

161.500

161.300

160.517

1996

154.400

154.900

155.700

156.300

156.600

156.700

157.000

157.300

157.800

158.300

158.600

158.600

156.850

1995

150.300

150.900

151.400

151.900

152.200

152.500

152.500

152.900

153.200

153.700

153.600

153.500

152.383

1994

146.200

146.700

147.200

147.400

147.500

148.000

148.400

149.000

149.400

149.500

149.700

149.700

148.225

1993

142.600

143.100

143.600

144.000

144.200

144.400

144.400

144.800

145.100

145.700

145.800

145.800

144.458

1992

138.100

138.600

139.300

139.500

139.700

140.200

140.500

140.900

141.300

141.800

142.000

141.900

140.317

1991

134.600

134.800

135.000

135.200

135.600

136.000

136.200

136.600

137.200

137.400

137.800

137.900

136.192

1990

127.400

128.000

128.700

128.900

129.200

129.900

130.400

131.600

132.700

133.500

133.800

133.800

130.658

1989

121.100

121.600

122.300

123.100

123.800

124.100

124.400

124.600

125.000

125.600

125.900

126.100

123.967

1988

115.700

116.000

116.500

117.100

117.500

118.000

118.500

119.000

119.800

120.200

120.300

120.500

118.258

1987

111.200

111.600

112.100

112.700

113.100

113.500

113.800

114.400

115.000

115.300

115.400

115.400

113.625

1986

109.600

109.300

108.800

108.600

108.900

109.500

109.500

109.700

110.200

110.300

110.400

110.500

109.608

1985

105.500

106.000

106.400

106.900

107.300

107.600

107.800

108.000

108.300

108.700

109.000

109.300

107.567

1984

101.900

102.400

102.600

103.100

103.400

103.700

104.100

104.500

105.000

105.300

105.300

105.300

103.883

1983

97.800

97.900

97.900

98.600

99.200

99.500

99.900

100.200

100.700

101.000

101.200

101.300

99.600

1982

94.300

94.600

94.500

94.900

95.800

97.000

97.500

97.700

97.900

98.200

98.000

97.600

96.500

1981

87.000

87.900

88.500

89.100

89.800

90.600

91.600

92.300

93.200

93.400

93.700

94.000

90.925

1980

77.800

78.900

80.100

81.000

81.800

82.700

82.700

83.300

84.000

84.800

85.500

86.300

82.408

1979

68.300

69.100

69.800

70.600

71.500

72.300

73.100

73.800

74.600

75.200

75.900

76.700

72.575

1978

62.500

62.900

63.400

63.900

64.500

65.200

65.700

66.000

66.500

67.100

67.400

67.700

65.233

1977

58.500

59.100

59.500

60.000

60.300

60.700

61.000

61.200

61.400

61.600

61.900

62.100

60.608

1976

55.600

55.800

55.900

56.100

56.500

56.800

57.100

57.400

57.600

57.900

58.000

58.200

56.908

1975

52.100

52.500

52.700

52.900

53.200

53.600

54.200

54.300

54.600

54.900

55.300

55.500

53.817

1974

46.600

47.200

47.800

48.000

48.600

49.000

49.400

50.000

50.600

51.100

51.500

51.900

49.308

1973

42.600

42.900

43.300

43.600

43.900

44.200

44.300

45.100

45.200

45.600

45.900

46.200

44.400

1972

41.100

41.300

41.400

41.500

41.600

41.700

41.900

42.000

42.100

42.300

42.400

42.500

41.817

1971

39.800

39.900

40.000

40.100

40.300

40.600

40.700

40.800

40.800

40.900

40.900

41.100

40.492

1970

37.800

38.000

38.200

38.500

38.600

38.800

39.000

39.000

39.200

39.400

39.600

39.800

38.825

1969

35.600

35.800

36.100

36.300

36.400

36.600

36.800

37.000

37.100

37.300

37.500

37.700

36.683

1968

34.100

34.200

34.300

34.400

34.500

34.700

34.900

35.000

35.100

35.300

35.400

35.500

34.783

1967

32.900

32.900

33.000

33.100

33.200

33.300

33.400

33.500

33.600

33.700

33.800

33.900

33.358

1966

31.800

32.000

32.100

32.300

32.300

32.400

32.500

32.700

32.700

32.900

32.900

32.900

32.458

1965

31.200

31.200

31.300

31.400

31.400

31.600

31.600

31.600

31.600

31.700

31.700

31.800

31.508

1964

30.900

30.900

30.900

30.900

30.900

31.000

31.100

31.000

31.100

31.100

31.200

31.200

31.017

1963

30.400

30.400

30.500

30.500

30.500

30.600

30.700

30.700

30.700

30.800

30.800

30.900

30.625

1962

30.000

30.100

30.100

30.200

30.200

30.200

30.300

30.300

30.400

30.400

30.400

30.400

30.250

1961

29.800

29.800

29.800

29.800

29.800

29.800

30.000

29.900

30.000

30.000

30.000

30.000

29.892

1960

29.300

29.400

29.400

29.500

29.500

29.600

29.600

29.600

29.600

29.800

29.800

29.800

29.575

1959

29.000

28.900

28.900

29.000

29.000

29.100

29.200

29.200

29.300

29.400

29.400

29.400

29.150

1958

28.600

28.600

28.800

28.900

28.900

28.900

29.000

28.900

28.900

28.900

29.000

28.900

28.858

1957

27.600

27.700

27.800

27.900

28.000

28.100

28.300

28.300

28.300

28.300

28.400

28.400

28.092

1956

26.800

26.800

26.800

26.900

27.000

27.200

27.400

27.300

27.400

27.500

27.500

27.600

27.183

1955

26.700

26.700

26.700

26.700

26.700

26.700

26.800

26.800

26.900

26.900

26.900

26.800

26.775

1954

26.900

26.900

26.900

26.800

26.900

26.900

26.900

26.900

26.800

26.800

26.800

26.700

26.850

1953

26.600

26.500

26.600

26.600

26.700

26.800

26.800

26.900

26.900

27.000

26.900

26.900

26.767

1952

26.500

26.300

26.300

26.400

26.400

26.500

26.700

26.700

26.700

26.700

26.700

26.700

26.550

1951

25.400

25.700

25.800

25.800

25.900

25.900

25.900

25.900

26.100

26.200

26.400

26.500

25.958

1950

23.500

23.500

23.600

23.600

23.700

23.800

24.100

24.300

24.400

24.600

24.700

25.000

24.067

1949

24.000

23.800

23.800

23.900

23.800

23.900

23.700

23.800

23.900

23.700

23.800

23.600

23.808

1948

23.700

23.500

23.400

23.800

23.900

24.100

24.400

24.500

24.500

24.400

24.200

24.100

24.042

1947

21.500

21.500

21.900

21.900

21.900

22.000

22.200

22.500

23.000

23.000

23.100

23.400

22.325

1946

18.200

18.100

18.300

18.400

18.500

18.700

19.800

20.200

20.400

20.800

21.300

21.500

19.517

1945

17.800

17.800

17.800

17.800

17.900

18.100

18.100

18.100

18.100

18.100

18.100

18.200

17.992

1944

17.400

17.400

17.400

17.500

17.500

17.600

17.700

17.700

17.700

17.700

17.700

17.800

17.592

1943

16.900

16.900

17.200

17.400

17.500

17.500

17.400

17.300

17.400

17.400

17.400

17.400

17.308

1942

15.700

15.800

16.000

16.100

16.300

16.300

16.400

16.500

16.500

16.700

16.800

16.900

16.333

1941

14.100

14.100

14.200

14.300

14.400

14.700

14.700

14.900

15.100

15.300

15.400

15.500

14.725

1940

13.900

14.000

14.000

14.000

14.000

14.100

14.000

14.000

14.000

14.000

14.000

14.100

14.008

1939

14.000

13.900

13.900

13.800

13.800

13.800

13.800

13.800

14.100

14.000

14.000

14.000

13.908

1938

14.200

14.100

14.100

14.200

14.100

14.100

14.100

14.100

14.100

14.000

14.000

14.000

14.092

1937

14.100

14.100

14.200

14.300

14.400

14.400

14.500

14.500

14.600

14.600

14.500

14.400

14.383

1936

13.800

13.800

13.700

13.700

13.700

13.800

13.900

14.000

14.000

14.000

14.000

14.000

13.867

1935

13.600

13.700

13.700

13.800

13.800

13.700

13.700

13.700

13.700

13.700

13.800

13.800

13.725

1934

13.200

13.300

13.300

13.300

13.300

13.400

13.400

13.400

13.600

13.500

13.500

13.400

13.383

1933

12.900

12.700

12.600

12.600

12.600

12.700

13.100

13.200

13.200

13.200

13.200

13.200

12.933

1932

14.300

14.100

14.000

13.900

13.700

13.600

13.600

13.500

13.400

13.300

13.200

13.100

13.642

1931

15.900

15.700

15.600

15.500

15.300

15.100

15.100

15.100

15.000

14.900

14.700

14.600

15.208

1930

17.100

17.000

16.900

17.000

16.900

16.800

16.600

16.500

16.600

16.500

16.400

16.100

16.700

1929

17.100

17.100

17.000

16.900

17.000

17.100

17.300

17.300

17.300

17.300

17.300

17.200

17.158

1928

17.300

17.100

17.100

17.100

17.200

17.100

17.100

17.100

17.300

17.200

17.200

17.100

17.158

1927

17.500

17.400

17.300

17.300

17.400

17.600

17.300

17.200

17.300

17.400

17.300

17.300

17.358

1926

17.900

17.900

17.800

17.900

17.800

17.700

17.500

17.400

17.500

17.600

17.700

17.700

17.700

1925

17.300

17.200

17.300

17.200

17.300

17.500

17.700

17.700

17.700

17.700

18.000

17.900

17.542

1924

17.300

17.200

17.100

17.000

17.000

17.000

17.100

17.000

17.100

17.200

17.200

17.300

17.125

1923

16.800

16.800

16.800

16.900

16.900

17.000

17.200

17.100

17.200

17.300

17.300

17.300

17.050

1922

16.900

16.900

16.700

16.700

16.700

16.700

16.800

16.600

16.600

16.700

16.800

16.900

16.750

1921

19.000

18.400

18.300

18.100

17.700

17.600

17.700

17.700

17.500

17.500

17.400

17.300

17.850

1920

19.300

19.500

19.700

20.300

20.600

20.900

20.800

20.300

20.000

19.900

19.800

19.400

20.042

1919

16.500

16.200

16.400

16.700

16.900

16.900

17.400

17.700

17.800

18.100

18.500

18.900

17.333

1918

14.000

14.100

14.000

14.200

14.500

14.700

15.100

15.400

15.700

16.000

16.300

16.500

15.042

1917

11.700

12.000

12.000

12.600

12.800

13.000

12.800

13.000

13.300

13.500

13.500

13.700

12.825

1916

10.400

10.400

10.500

10.600

10.700

10.800

10.800

10.900

11.100

11.300

11.500

11.600

10.883

1915

10.100

10.000

9.900

10.000

10.100

10.100

10.100

10.100

10.100

10.200

10.300

10.300

10.108

1914

10.000

9.900

9.900

9.800

9.900

9.900

10.000

10.200

10.200

10.100

10.200

10.100

10.017

1913

9.800

9.800

9.800

9.800

9.700

9.800

9.900

9.900

10.000

10.000

10.100

10.000

9.883

 

ATTACHMENT FIFTEEN – from Trading Economics

FOOD INFLATION

 

See Food Inflation by continents at...

·          World

·          Europe

·          America

·          Asia

·          Africa

·          Australia

·          G20

Country

Last

Previous

Reference

Unit

Albania

13.9

13.2

Jul/22

%

Algeria

17.3

13.4

Jun/22

%

Angola

25.1

27.9

Jun/22

%

Argentina

70.6

66.4

Jul/22

%

Armenia

17.1

14.5

Jun/22

%

Aruba

11.1

9.7

Jun/22

%

Australia

5.9

4.3

Jun/22

%

Austria

12.2

11.34

Jul/22

%

Azerbaijan

20.3

18.4

Jul/22

%

Bahrain

7.3

11.6

Jun/22

%

Bangladesh

8.37

8.3

Jun/22

%

Barbados

18.6

18.3

Jun/22

%

Belarus

19.6

19.6

Jul/22

%

Belgium

9.71

8.6

Jul/22

%

Belize

7.56

7.41

Jun/22

%

Benin

-5.3

-9

Jul/22

%

Bermuda

6.4

5.4

May/22

%

Bhutan

3.52

3.72

May/22

%

Bolivia

1.13

0.9

Jun/22

%

Bosnia and Herzegovina

23.41

22.73

Jun/22

%

Botswana

9.6

8.3

Jun/22

%

Brazil

14.72

13.93

Jul/22

%

Brunei

5.4

4.7

May/22

%

Bulgaria

24.16

23.83

Jul/22

%

Burkina Faso

28.9

25.2

Jun/22

%

Burundi

24.4

21

Jul/22

%

Cambodia

6.5

5.53

Jun/22

%

Cameroon

9.8

9.7

Mar/22

%

Canada

9.2

8.8

Jul/22

%

Cape Verde

16.2

15.2

Jun/22

%

Cayman Islands

4.9

4.3

Mar/22

%

Chad

10.9

8.2

May/22

%

Chile

19.44

18.47

Jul/22

%

China

6.3

2.9

Jul/22

%

Colombia

24.6

23.6

Jul/22

%

Costa Rica

21.08

15.95

Jul/22

%

Croatia

18.3

16.9

Jul/22

%

Cyprus

7.52

7.94

Jul/22

%

Czech Republic

19.3

18

Jul/22

%

Denmark

14.6

13

Jul/22

%

Djibouti

25.7

11.1

Jun/22

%

Dominican Republic

12.3

13

Jul/22

%

East Timor

8

7.3

May/22

%

Ecuador

6.18

7.27

Jul/22

%

Egypt

22.4

22.3

Jul/22

%

El Salvador

14.37

13.28

Jun/22

%

Estonia

19.7

19.2

Jul/22

%

Ethiopia

35.5

38.1

Jul/22

%

Euro Area

11.5

10.4

Jul/22

%

European Union

12.82

11.57

Jul/22

%

Faroe Islands

6.2

2.6

Jun/22

%

Fiji

4.7

3.3

Jul/22

%

Finland

12.4

10.9

Jul/22

%

France

6.8

5.8

Jul/22

%

Gambia

13.72

14.16

Jun/22

%

Georgia

21.8

22

Jun/22

%

Germany

14.8

12.7

Jul/22

%

Ghana

32.3

30.7

Jul/22

%

Greece

13

12.6

Jul/22

%

Guatemala

12.71

10.65

Jul/22

%

Guinea

12.9

12.6

Jun/22

%

Guyana

7.3

11.5

Jun/22

%

Haiti

29.1

27.7

May/22

%

Honduras

7.18

6.13

Jul/22

%

Hong Kong

4.1

4

Jul/22

%

Hungary

28.8

23.1

Jul/22

%

Iceland

8.2

7.3

Jul/22

%

India

6.75

7.75

Jul/22

%

Indonesia

9.35

6.23

Jul/22

%

Iran

87

82.6

Jul/22

%

Iraq

6.87

8.54

Jun/22

%

Ireland

7.7

6.7

Jul/22

%

Israel

4.6

4

Jul/22

%

Italy

10

9

Jul/22

%

Ivory Coast

9

9.8

Jul/22

%

Jamaica

13.69

13.85

Jun/22

%

Japan

4.4

3.7

Jul/22

%

Jordan

3.8

4.1

Jul/22

%

Kazakhstan

19.2

19

Jun/22

%

Kenya

15.3

13.8

Jul/22

%

Kosovo

20

17.6

Jul/22

%

Kuwait

8.04

8.23

Jun/22

%

Kyrgyzstan

16

14.8

Jul/22

%

Laos

8.2

5.7

May/22

%

Latvia

24.3

22.1

Jul/22

%

Lebanon

332

364

Jun/22

%

Lesotho

8.4

7.4

Jun/22

%

Liberia

-2.39

2.58

Apr/22

%

Libya

5.53

4.88

Mar/22

%

Lithuania

29.9

28.5

Jul/22

%

Luxembourg

6.8

5.5

Jun/22

%

Macau

1.86

1.67

Jun/22

%

Macedonia

23.6

20.9

Jul/22

%

Madagascar

7.8

7.5

May/22

%

Malawi

31.2

25.5

Jun/22

%

Malaysia

6.1

5.2

Jun/22

%

Maldives

5.2

4.7

Jun/22

%

Mali

10.5

11

Feb/22

%

Malta

11.8

10.2

Jul/22

%

Mauritania

16

14.8

Jun/22

%

Mauritius

6.8

11.8

Jun/22

%

Mexico

14.16

13.6

Jul/22

%

Moldova

36.4

34.3

Jul/22

%

Mongolia

18

16.8

May/22

%

Montenegro

24.4

22.5

Jul/22

%

Morocco

12.4

11

Jul/22

%

Mozambique

17.24

15.9

Jul/22

%

Myanmar

15.4

12.8

Mar/22

%

Namibia

8.4

7

Jul/22

%

Nepal

7.43

7.13

Jun/22

%

Netherlands

12.2

11.1

Jul/22

%

New Caledonia

5.7

4.6

Jun/22

%

New Zealand

7.4

6.6

Jul/22

%

Nicaragua

18.3

15.5

Jul/22

%

Niger

9.7

8.7

Dec/21

%

Nigeria

22.02

20.6

Jul/22

%

Norway

10.42

4.95

Jul/22

%

Oman

6.09

4.97

Jun/22

%

Pakistan

28.8

25.92

Jul/22

%

Palestine

4.58

6.71

Jul/22

%

Panama

5.2

4.22

Jun/22

%

Papua New Guinea

6.2

5.2

Mar/22

%

Paraguay

16.7

18.6

Jul/22

%

Peru

11.59

11.91

Jul/22

%

Philippines

6.9

6

Jul/22

%

Poland

15.3

14.2

Jul/22

%

Portugal

13.9

13.2

Jul/22

%

Puerto Rico

6.4

8.5

May/22

%

Qatar

4.24

4.33

Jul/22

%

Romania

16.05

14.67

Jul/22

%

Russia

16.76

17.98

Jul/22

%

Rwanda

32.7

26.1

Jul/22

%

Saudi Arabia

3.9

4.4

Jul/22

%

Senegal

17.2

14.1

Jul/22

%

Serbia

18.8

16

Jun/22

%

Seychelles

0.6

0.2

Jun/22

%

Sierra Leone

23

23

Apr/22

%

Singapore

6.1

5.4

Jul/22

%

Slovakia

17.9

16

Jun/22

%

Slovenia

13.16

12.51

Jul/22

%

Somalia

16.86

14.74

Jun/22

%

South Africa

8.6

7.6

Jun/22

%

South Korea

7.99

6.54

Jul/22

%

South Sudan

1.66

2.3

Jul/22

%

Spain

13.53

12.95

Jul/22

%

Sri Lanka

90.9

80.1

Jul/22

%

Suriname

60.9

68.3

Apr/22

%

Swaziland

6.7

5.4

Jun/22

%

Sweden

13.5

11.2

Jul/22

%

Switzerland

1.9

1.9

Jul/22

%

Syria

39.1

23.1

Dec/19

%

Taiwan

7.18

7.29

Jul/22

%

Tajikistan

9.6

7.5

Jun/22

%

Tanzania

6.5

5.9

Jul/22

%

Thailand

8.02

6.42

Jul/22

%

Togo

10.2

13.7

Jun/22

%

Trinidad And Tobago

7.8

8.1

Jun/22

%

Tunisia

11

9.5

Jul/22

%

Turkey

94.65

93.9

Jul/22

%

Uganda

14.9

13

Jul/22

%

Ukraine

28.9

27.7

Jul/22

%

United Arab Emirates

3.71

3.65

Dec/21

%

United Kingdom

12.6

9.8

Jul/22

%

United States

10.9

10.4

Jul/22

%

Uruguay

11.51

10.85

Jul/22

%

Uzbekistan

14.3

17.2

Dec/21

%

Venezuela

155

193

May/22

%

Vietnam

2.82

2.87

Jul/22

%

Zambia

12

11.9

Jul/22

%

Zimbabwe

309

225

Jul/22

%