the DON JONES INDEX…

 

 

GAINS POSTED in GREEN

LOSSES POSTED in RED

 

11/12/22...     15,026.33

  11/5/22...     15,016.92

   6/27/13…    15,000.00

 

 

(THE DOW JONES INDEX: 11/12/22…33,747.86; 11/5/22…32,403.22; 6/27/13… 15,000.00)

 

LESSON for November 12, 2022 – “THE SHOUTING!”

 

As the clock crossed midnight on Election Day, 2022, Americans as chose to stay up (or were too anxious to get to sleep) were greeted by a Blood Moon, the last for three more years.  Partisans chose to interpret this as God’s approval of a blood-red tide of new, largely unqualified, state and federal officeholders; the rest of us feared this would be an augur of a Second Civil War.

 

The shouting keynote incident might have been Joe Biden giving a victory “Yelp!” or Donald Trump, uttering one of his favorite curses.  Then too, no agency screamed and either gloated or blamed more than America’s mass and crass media... Institutional, Left or Right.  They did so with vigor or venom, with proud or cowering ources... with timelines and takeaways, charts and graphs and the hubris to pivot from earlier wrong prophecies.

Starting from the top...

On the morning after, the New York Times called the Senate Race dead even... 49  DEM. WON OR FAVORED, 49 REP. WON OR FAVORED with two tossups.  In House Races, Democrats were won or favored in 206, Republicans 219 and there were ten tossups.  (See details and particulars as Attachment One.)

The NORmally partisan Breitbart actually run firm but far listings with the first a half hour before midnight on Election Day, the second in the dead of night thereafter.  (Attachment Two)  This was just one of several timelines and takeaways, and, like most, the timing was calculated backwards from the close.

That’s how they did it.

Anyway, some of the Breitbarts most significant dispatches included...

UPDATE 6:50 p.m. ET:

A former Obama staffer is warning Florida Democrats that they must reset or “go extinct” after what is expected to be a historic drubbing in that state:

UPDATE 6:43 p.m. ET:

The left is cannibalizing itself:

UPDATE 6:42 p.m. ET:

It is looking really bad for Democrats in the exit polls. Their claims of “Democracy” being at risk are non-existent, sending CNN into a tailspin:

UPDATE 6:20 p.m. ET:

Things are looking bleak for Democrats based off turnout numbers reporting so far per partisan breakdowns in states like Florida and Nevada:

UPDATE 6:15 p.m. ET:

Exit polls look horrendous for Democrats:

 

More timelines and takeaways appeared Election night and into Wednesday, including Politico (Attachment Three) and NBC (Attachment Four)... slightly more optimistic than Breitbart.

Montana, the latter reported,  rejected a ballot measure that would have required health care providers in the state to take “reasonable actions” to save an infant who is born alive, including after an attempted abortion, or face felony criminal charges.

“The measure would have made clear that infants who are born alive — meaning with a heartbeat, breath or definite voluntary muscle movement — are legal persons, who require “necessary actions” by medical providers to preserve their lives.

“The proposed punishments for convicted health care providers were up to 20 years behind bars and a maximum $50,000 fine.”

And by 1:45 PM Wednesday, they could report...

President Joe Biden appears to have pulled off something few of his recent predecessors managed — a midterm election that wasn’t a clear shellacking for his party, providing a sense of vindication for the White House

NBC exit polling noted the diversity of the winners... Courtney Kennedy declaiming that: “While crime and gun policy trailed inflation as key concerns for many voters, those issues were relatively important to Black voters, the NBC News Exit Poll found.

Over one-third of Black voters cited either crime (20%) or gun policy (17%) as mattering most to their vote this year. Only 20% of white voters, by contrast, cited either crime or gun policy. About one-quarter of Latino voters cited either issue.

While the potential erosion of Black voters’ support was a concern for Democrats this fall, the exit poll did not find significant evidence of that. The share of Black voters identifying as Democrats this year was similar to the share in the previous midterm election in 2018 while Matt Lavietes remarked that The contest marked the first time two openly gay congressional candidates had gone head to head in a general election.

Santos will succeed Democrat Tom Suozzi, who left Congress last year in an unsuccessful bid for governor.

He will also become the first openly LGBTQ non-incumbent Republican elected to Congress. All 11 current LGBTQ members of Congress — two senators and nine representatives — are Democrats.”

But that did not extend to Dr. Mehmet Oz who, Wednesday morning, conceded to John Fetterman in Pennsylvania.   "I wish him and his family all the best, both personally and as our next United States senator," Oz said in a statement, in which he thanked his supporters and called the campaign "the honor of a lifetime."

“We are facing big problems as a country, and we need everyone to put down their partisan swords and focus on getting the job done," Oz said.

Also conceding was Michigan’s candidate for governor, Tudor Dixon.

On Thursday, the AP... which had quoted Rep. Kevin McCarthy, the Republican poised to be House speaker if the GOP takes control of the chamber, as being “optimistic the GOP would take control, telling supporters, “When you wake up tomorrow, we will be in the majority,” now called the results “uplifting” for Democrats, tho’ the ‘Pubs remained ahead in enough Congressional seats to flip.

They cited exit polls saying that voters would give Biden a break on inflation, but found no such rationalization for abortion.

“Biden didn’t entirely shoulder the blame for inflation, with close to half of voters saying the higher-than-usual prices were more because of factors outside of his control. And despite the president bearing criticism from a pessimistic electorate, some of those voters backed Democratic candidates.

Overall, 7 in 10 voters said the ruling overturning the 1973 decision enshrining abortion rights was an important factor in their midterm decisions.”

The AP closed out Wednesday by following Trump, “who inserted himself into races across the country, endorsing more than 300 candidates,” who he had hoped would precipitate “a red wave that he could ride to the 2024 Republican presidential nomination, but his picks lost high-stakes contests in Pennsylvania, Michigan and New Hampshire. After summoning reporters and his most loyal supporters to a watch party at his Mar-a-Lago club, he ended the night without a triumphant speech. Nonetheless, he took to his social media platform to insist he’d had “A GREAT EVENING.”

Biden, the AP contrasted, “spent the night calling Democrats to congratulate them on their wins.”

 

CNN’s timeline determined that the results “were neither the "thumping" George W. Bush described during his own post-midterms press conference in 2006 nor the "shellacking'" Barack Obama said Democrats endured in 2010.”

Still, as the losses piled up, the rats fled S.S. Donald.  "As powerful as Trump is in the Republican party, we learned that he cannot anoint anyone a winner. You still need candidates who have the fundamentals," said Bryan Lanza, a longtime Trump adviser.

“Others were more blunt in their assessment of Tuesday's known outcomes.

“Rep. Troy Nehls, a Texas Republican who won reelection and was endorsed by Trump, appeared to cast the former president as a drag on other GOP candidates in a radio interview Wednesday.

"There's just a lot of negative attitudes about Trump," Nehls said.

Rep. Tom Emmer, the chair of the National Republican Congressional Committee, declined to pinpoint specific reasons for why House Republicans did not perform as well as expected when pressed by CNN’s Manu Raju over what the shortfall can be attributed to and if it had to do with candidate quality, abortion, or former President Donald Trump.

Emmer responded that “no one said this was going to be easy,” but defended the election results and said that House Republicans accomplished their goal by taking back the majority. CNN has not yet projected control of the House.

“We delivered on our goal which was retaking the majority and as I’ve told many of you who I’ve spoken with over the last two years, no one said this was going to be easy,” Emmer said. “You ask the questions about specific issues, Manu, I’ve already said we’ve got a lot of votes that are outstanding. Once those have been counted and we can start doing the data I can answer those questions in more detail.”

 

ON the RIGHT...

FIrst, the good news, which will not take long to deliver, stated the conservative but MAGAdenialist National Review. “Nancy Pelosi’s reign as speaker of the House likely is coming to an end, and, with it, the Democrats’ partisan legislative ambitions. Florida seems to have become a red bastion, and Charlie Crist will go wherever chameleons retire. Stacey Abrams was moved to concede, albeit four years too late. Beto O’Rourke’s biggest win will continue to be the cover of Vanity Fair.”

But then the bad – and blame was cast squarely on the poor quality of candidates.  “ Republicans fell far short of their expected gains in the House and Senate. They may yet lose a seat in the latter. They narrowly lost governorships they could have won, and lost big in governors’ races that could have been competitive.

“Worse, they forfeited winnable races by nominating novices, cranks, and candidates whose primary qualifications were belligerence and fealty to Donald Trump.”

Even craven MAGA fanboys like the Washington Times could not find silver linings in Djonald’s playbook. “Expectations exceeded performance and a midterm election that should have been triumphant turned inexplicably into a disappointment.”  (Attachment Eight)  Newsmax defaulted to reprints and curiosities like the Pennsylvania Voters who Reelected a Deceased State Rep or the rejection of slavery on  (Some) States' Ballots.

Even at Fox News, the king of the MAGA boosters, a plethora of unknown and anonymous “sources” carried the discouraging news to the hearts of the heartland Americans as follow them.

“Knives are out,” one told the Fox, regarding... perhaps... the 2024 Presidential race (or, on the other hand, the task of the Big Macs of the House and Senate to retain their authority.  (Attachment Ten)

"We will be in the majority," said one Republican. "And that’s nothing to mope about."

"It’s not going to be the majority everyone had hoped," said another member of the House GOP leadership brass to Fox News. placeholder

Fox News has heard there could be an effort to throw National Republican Congressional Committee Chairman Rep. Tom Emmer, R-Minn., under the bus along with the Big Macks. “Emmer was in charge of House GOP re-election efforts. He is also trying to become the House majority whip and is locked in a battle with Reps. Jim Banks, R-Ind., and Drew Ferguson, R-Ga.”

 

The despair and scheming on the right was countered by jubilation on the left... strange, since they will probably lose the House by a small margin, leading to two years of gridlock and finger-pointing.  But it could have been worse.

“The Red Wave Isn’t Coming” declared the grateful lefties at Slate (Attachment Eleven), whose correspondent, Nitish Pahwa, surveyed the Trumpscape as election eve turned to post-election morning,  Just out of curiosity, I made a Truth Social account to check how Donald Trump is faring as some of his endorsed candidates lose out and the once-projected “red wave” dissolves into mist. Gauging from my unscientifically curated feed of Truths, it appears as though the former president and his friends are very much in cope mode.

Notably, all these “Truths” came in between “Sponsored Truths” that advertised: a $100 Trump gold bar that you could win for FREE, something about how “Diabetes Is Not From Sweets,” and red hat reading “Truth Social” that’s presented as “the Official Hat of Truth Social.” Good stuff!”

It’s still about the merch.

Slate’s superhero teen (well, twenty-something)?  That would be the pride of Florida 10th Congressional District, which is sending Maxwell Alejandro Frost, a 25-year-old progressive activist, to Congress to serve as the ruling body’s first (and so far, only) Gen Z member. It’s a historic moment for young Americans, who are appropriately celebrating Frost’s election party by bumping the Kendrick Lamar anthem “Alright.”

“Frost will also be the first Afro-Cuban American elected to Congress, and he’ll likely find a welcome place among left-leaning House Dems like Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Ilhan Omar. Not to mention, he’ll be an extremely refreshing youthful face in Congress in a sea of … very, very, very old people who aren’t even on TikTok. Losers!”

If nothing else, Congress will have an excuse to go wild in the streets!

Frost said he wants to push for gun violence legislation, including universal background checks.

When asked about Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis winning a resounding reelection victory, Frost said, "What we saw was not a red wave. ... What we saw is there was a blue deficit. Democrats did not turn out the way they needed to. And I think as Democrats, we need to have year-round organizing."

 

Vox asked the question: Why the red wave didn’t come, and answered in one word: Trump.

“Trump exerted his influence in getting flawed candidates, like Mehmet Oz in Pennsylvania and Herschel Walker in Georgia, nominated in key contests this year.” (Attachment Twelve) He also returned to the headlines in the second half of 2022 as he faced legal problems, continued to disparage the legitimacy of Biden’s victory over him, and geared up for a repeat presidential run. The GOP also made unmistakably clear that it remained the party of Trump — in contrast to, say, Virginia’s governor’s contest, where Glenn Youngkin tried to appeal to moderate voters by presenting a new face of the Republican Party (whilst making fun of Paul Pelosi’s hammering – for which gaffe he had to crawl to ask for Nancy’s forgiveness.

And the Huffposters mocked (without apology) the “red whimper” (Attachment Thirteen), focusing on the role of Republican (RINO) governors who polled far ahead of the true believers failing to punch their ticket to Washington... Youngkin (yup, he’s a RINO), Sununu in New Hempshire, Kemp in Georgia.  The local/national disparaity also extended to winners like Ohio’s Vance, whose margin was well below that of Gov. Mike deWine... even Democrats like Wisconsin Gov. Tony Evers (D), a far more low-key politician than either Republican, who also ran ahead of Mandela Barnes, the party’s Senate candidate.

 

The foreign press... most of it, that is, except for places like Russia and Iran, maybe China... applauded the decision of the voters to reject the election denialists.

The BBC’s Washington bureau scurried out to scour the hinterlands, finding six colonials willing to talk about their choices, on the record... (Election night, Attachment Fourteen)... three Republicans (two of whom are with the religious right) and three Democrats.

Jim Sullivan, a "dedicated Republican" from Indiana and is feeling hopeful for the Republicans to win these midterm races.

I think the Republicans can pick up the Senate, too, though. It would be a boost to win both chambers. This election is about President Joe Biden and about the Democrats' beliefs and policies that a lot of us feel are wrong. If Republicans do win the House and Senate that'll be the synergy and momentum needed for 2024.

The pro-lifers were Noah Slayter from Virginia Kathleen McClellan, who admitted she did not agree with the entire Republican platform, but said there are some non-negotiable issues for her. If Democrats were anti-abortion, she would consider voting for them.  “I'm not a diehard Republican, but I cannot in good conscience vote Democrat when I'm pro-life.”  Slayter is diehard... predicting “I think we'll have a strong pro-life, conservative majority to curtail what Biden wants to do. He has said he wants to codify Roe [have a federal law granting a right to abortion] and for that reason alone I'd be happy to have the majority to prevent that from happening.

The Democrats were Alex Heide of Georgia, a sort of lukewarm liberal frightened by MAGA and its true believers.  If Republicans win, what does that mean for things that are important to me? Like immigration, the war in Ukraine... Lots of crazy things that can happen.

Nuha Nazy, an immigrant who said democracy, women's rights and gay rights were her top priorities, declared that: “Because I'm an immigrant, I've lived in places where democracy wasn't a thing. I wonder if Americans have gotten complacent protecting democracy. If women's rights aren't solidified, gay rights definitely are not safe.”

And Zulfikar Jafferu is a soldier, but also a “woke” Dem. pessimist.  “I'm a privileged cisgender, heterosexual male, but for others the ramifications of this will be lot starker. There was some hope and there still is - even after this election it's still my country. I fought for it. We're in a downward trajectory in terms of democracy and freedom.”

 

“I just feel uneasy and anxious about Republicans taking both the Senate and the House,” said Heide. “I'm worried about changes it will create. It will lead to dysfunction, indecision and wasted time. That's one thing that I hate about a split federal government - having a Democratic president and Republican Congress. Literally nothing will get done if Republicans have both. We'll spend two years where we don't get things done.”

As it appears, the split is on... though only in the house... and, yes, we'll probably spend two years where we don't get things done, until others force us to do so.

 

Others like President Xi, whose Foreign Ministry Spokesperson Zhao Lijian spoke at the “Regular Press Conference” on November 9, 2022 and then, appeared at a press conference to Chinese and Western media – transcribed and reported upon by MFA China (11/9 Attachment Fifteen).

China Review News: The US held its 2022 midterm elections on November 8 as scheduled, and the election results are coming out. Does the foreign ministry have any comment on this?What’s China’s view of China-US relations after the elections?

Zhao Lijian: I won’t comment on this, as the US midterm elections are its internal affairs, and the election results are to be decided by the US voters. As for China-US relations, our position is consistent and clear. We believe that a sound and steady China-US relationship serves the fundamental interests of the two peoples. It is also the common aspiration of the international community. We hope the US will work with China to find the right way for our two countries to get along with each other in the new era on the basis of the principles of mutual respect, peaceful coexistence and win-win cooperation,and bring bilateral relations back to the right track of sound and steady development.

 

The French themselves (France24, 9/11 Attachment Sixteen) cluck-clucked at America’s “election day glitches and slow vote counts feed(ing) disinformation claims” with detailed dirt on Arizona, Pennsylvania and other states.  “People were looking for things to go wrong to prove their preconceived notions that the election was rigged,” they quoted Bret Schafer, a senior fellow at the Alliance for Securing Democracy, a Washington, D.C.-based nonpartisan organization that tracks misinformation, who added: ”And there are always things that go wrong.”

The French denounced social media posts Monday and Tuesday claiming Democrats would use delays in vote tallying to rig elections throughout the country, according to the SITE Intelligence Group, a firm that tracks disinformation, and the influence of “Trump supporters and adherents of the baseless QAnon conspiracy theory.”

But they also interviewed front-line poll watchers. “We have never certified an election on election night,” said Sheryl Albert, director of elections for Common Cause, a non-profit group that has been tracking election misinformation. “This is nothing new. It's just people trying to undermine faith in elections.”

The false claims seen in 2022 are likely to stick around and become part of the misinformation facing voters in the presidential election, said Morgan Wack, a University of Washington disinformation researcher and part of the Election Integrity Partnership, a collaborative research group focused on election misinformation.

“We will almost certainly see this again in 2024,” Wack said.

The French singled out Kari Lake, the ubiquitous MTC and Twitter’s new owner, Elon Musk, “a self-described free speech absolutist who has spread misinformation himself.”  Not to mention foreign actors...

Russia, China and Iran have all mounted disinformation operations targeting U.S. politics and will likely increase their efforts ahead of 2024, according to Craig Terron, director of global issues at Insikt Group, a division of the Massachusetts-based cybersecurity firm Recorded Future.

Terron said the Kremlin likely sees such meddling as justified, given U.S. support for Ukraine following Russia's invasion.

“Immediately after the US midterm elections, and into 2023 and beyond, the Russian government will very likely attempt to plan and execute malign influence efforts,” Terron wrote in an email to the AP. “In particular, we expect to see campaigns aimed at undermining the next two years of President Biden’s term.”

 

To the east, Germany played down  the disinfo dirt and focused on the shrinking roster of close races – the usual House, Senate and Gubernatorial nailbiters, but also some of the down-ballot races and state propositions as might enhance or obstruct the honesty and integrity of future races.

“In California, Michigan, and Vermont, voters strongly backed ballot initiatives — questions for citizens so they take a more active role in the direction in which laws are passed in either the state or the country —  that guarantee the right to have an abortion.

“Voters in Kentucky, a Republican stronghold, also rejected a proposed amendment to the state's constitution that would have declared that there was no right to abortion. The development is especially significant as the state outlawed abortion in the aftermath of the Supreme Court decision to overturn constitutional abortion rights in June.

“In Montana, the fifth state abortion was on the ballot, initial counts suggest voters rejected proposed legislation to curb access to the procedure.

The Germans claimed it wsa a lucrative (although not victorious) week for the denialists and also a great leap forward for diversity.

“US voters have elected a number of women, Black and LGBT candidates to positions of power, marking several historic firsts as representatives of communities that have been underrepresented,” DW noted, with an emphasis upon...

“12 women governors for the first time...” The last time there were as many women as governors was in 2004 when 9 women held the top state job, according to the Center for American Women and Politics.

“Maura Healey, the first woman elected as governor in Massachusetts, and also the first openly lesbian candidate to be elected to the top office...

“Wes Moore, who will be the Maryland's first Black governor.

Becca Balint the first woman and first LGBT person that Vermont has elected to Congress.

James Roesener of New Hampshire, the first out trans man to win election to a state legislature in US history, according to the LGBTQ Victory Fund.

"It was a good day I think for democracy, and I think it was a good day for America," said President Joe.

In a post on Twitter, he thanked "the poll workers and officials that worked into the night to safeguard our sacred right to vote," as well as the "millions who made their voices heard."

"Democracy doesn't happen by accident," he tweeted. "We have to defend, strengthen, and renew it."

Top Republican Kevin McCarthy, who hopes to become the House's next speaker, countered by telling his supporters in the early hours of Wednesday: "It is clear that we are going to take the House back."

 

While Russian reporters remained silent on the results, the U.K.’s Reuters (Attachment Eighteen) noted their hope that the outcome “could slow military aid to Ukraine.”  Putin’s pals reportedly “savoured preliminary U.S. midterm election results which they cast as a humiliating and overdue blow to Democratic President Joe Biden,” but their optimism proved baseless as their excuses for invading their neighbors.

“The Kremlin said it expected no improvement in battered U.S.-Russia ties.

Pro-Kremlin hawks also hope the election will deepen domestic U.S. political divisions, thus weakening the foundations of a country they see as their main geopolitical foe whose dominance they believe is drawing to a close.

"The first U.S. election results... are confirmation that Grandfather Biden's familiar world is flying away," former president Dmitry Medvedev wrote on the Telegram messaging service.

Medvedev, now deputy head of the Security Council, is a close ally of President Vladimir Putin.

Vyacheslav Volodin, chairman of the lower house of parliament, revelled in what he said was the Democrats' loss of their majority in the House of Representatives.

"President Biden's supporters are suffering a defeat in the U.S. elections. Nancy Pelosi's trips to Taiwan and Armenia ended in the loss of the speaker's chair," said Volodin.

"These elections are important, but it's not necessary to exaggerate their importance in the short and medium-term for our relations," Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov was quoted by the RIA news agency as saying.

"These elections cannot change anything essential. Relations are, and will remain, bad," said Peskov.

 

On Thursday the Japan Times noted that the Republican 'red wave' had fizzled.  (Attachment Nineteen) as control of the Senate hinged on three races that remained too close to call on Wednesday afternoon. (Subsequently turning blue)

The Japanese noted “(p)oor performances by some candidates backed by Donald Trump” as led to “exhaustion with the kind of chaos fomented by the former Republican president, raising questions about the viability of his possible run for the White House in 2024.”

“I think his ego is just too big to handle,” Yvonne Langdon, 75, told the Japanese as she cast her ballot for Republican candidates in Michigan on Tuesday.

Fears of violence or disruption by far-right poll watchers at voting stations did not materialize. Jen Easterly, head of the U.S. Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency, said she saw no evidence any voting system was compromised.

The White House seized on the lighter-than-expected losses. “Never underestimate how much Team Biden is underestimated,” White House Chief of Staff Ron Klain said on Twitter.

(But the J.T. also noted that Democrats had their share of embarrassments, as New York Rep. Sean Patrick Maloney, the chairman of the committee charged with re-electing House Democrats, conceded he had lost his own race.)

“While in certain ways yesterday’s election was somewhat disappointing, from my personal standpoint it was a very big victory,” Donald Trump said on Truth Social, his online platform.

Meanwhile Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, who could challenge Trump in 2024, won re-election by nearly 20 percentage points, Edison projected.

 

Subsequently, the hot-button electoral issues like abortion and the economy began receding in the wake of the red ripple, but defenders of democracy could not help taking a victory lap.

Exuberence has been tempered with caution as, for example, the Los Angeles Times (Attachment Twenty) warned that “(t)his election offers some signs that Trump’s influence on American politics is waning, but his toxic legacy remains enmeshed in our nation’s governance. It’s scary to think about how that power could still be exploited to determine who wins the presidency in 2024.”

 

As to the two years, less a six days, in the future, President Joe lapped over the seas – to Egypt, Cambodia and Bali, Indonesia.  (NPR, Attachment Twenty One) feeling better than he had felt a week ago.

 Big losses for Democrats in the midterms would have likely raised concerns among allies about Biden's staying power — and fears about a quick return of the isolationist foreign policy of former President Donald Trump.

The outcome should allow Biden to focus more of his energy abroad on his own objectives — and less on answering questions about whether he has the support of the American people.

Ivo Daalder, who served as a U.S. ambassador to NATO in the Obama administration, said world leaders have a sophisticated understanding of how American elections normally fare.

"So, while the American voters don't vote on foreign policy issues, there's no doubt that this result will help Biden in his relations with the rest of the world," said Daalder, who is now the president of the Chicago Council on Global Affairs.

Climate... the orphan issue of the campaigning... will rise anew as foreign leaders question Biden on his agenda.  Not that Ukraine, Taiwan... he’ll confer with Xi... and the world economy will be forgotten, it’s just that climate will be garnering the most pressure, whether in sunny Egypt or paradisical Bali.

No such holidays in the sun await the losers.

 

Midterm election losses are raising questions about the lasting power of a handful of well-known figures and their political futures.

Both parties suffered high-profile losses on Election Day that tested the ability of perennial candidates and celebrities alike to turn their name recognition into votes and ultimately raised questions about whether some candidates are poised to exit the political stage after their latest defeats according to the Los Angeles Times (Attachment Twenty Two).  These include Stacey Abrams, who lost to Georgia’s Brian Kemp (twice!), Beto O’Rouke, also a two-time Texas loser, telling a crowd during his concession speech that it “may be one of the last times I get to talk in front of you all.”

But the list wasn’t exclusive to Democrats.

Sarah Palin, the first female governor of Alaska and the first woman on a Republican Party vice presidential ticket, appears poised to lose her bid for Alaska’s lone congressional seat and likely near the end of her political career.  Mehmet Oz, who is widely known for his “Dr. Oz” daytime talk show, failed to secure a Senate seat in Pennsylvania despite his well-known name and highly publicized contest.

And Donald Trump's disappointment was palpable inside the gilded ballroom at his Mar-a-Lago estate, where he gathered with dozens of aides, allies and donors to watch returns on Tuesday evening. When he returned to the party halfway through the night following a private dinner, his mood had visibly shifted. 

"Interesting evening," he shouted to reporters before taking the stage for brief and unenthused remarks.

But The Exile was "livid” and “screaming at everyone” after last night’s disappointing GOP results in the midterms, a Trump adviser who has been in contact with Trump’s inner circle told CNN (Attachment Twenty Three). 

“Candidates matter,” the Trump adviser said. “They were all bad candidates,” the adviser continued, critiquing many of Trump’s handpicked contenders in key battleground states. 

He not only had to contend with an ass-whupping from the voters, but a nasty lady named Nicole blew into Mar-a-Lago and ruined daughter Tiffany’s wedding according to the Independent U.K. (Attachment Twenty Four).

Trump refused to evacuate, despite the very real risk of being blown out to see while downed power lines and road collapsed killed several Floridians.  The Daily Mail (Attachment Twenty Five) reported that Tiffany was 'flipping out' ahead of her lavish wedding to billionaire heir Michael Boulous this weekend as her father's plush Mar-A-Lago resort was forced to send staff home

An adviser said it’s unlikely Trump would delay his expected presidential announcement because “it’s too humiliating to delay.” But the adviser said there are too many unknowns at this point. 

Trump’s evening was particularly bad when viewed through the lens of Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis’ romp of a night.

DeSantis, Trump’s clearest rival for the 2024 Republican presidential nomination, overwhelmingly won reelection on Tuesday, crushing Democrat Charlie Crist by nearly 20 percentage points, continuing to consolidate Latino support in Florida and even by winning populous counties like Miami-Dade.

The headline in Trump’s one-time hometown paper, the New York Post, said it all: “DeFUTURE,” the headline blared, showing the Florida Republican on stage with his family.

A different Floridian future was expressed in the triumph of Gen Z’s Frost, who said he wants to push for gun violence legislation, including universal background checks.

When asked about Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis winning a resounding reelection victory, Frost said, "What we saw was not a red wave. ... What we saw is there was a blue deficit. Democrats did not turn out the way they needed to. And I think as Democrats, we need to have year-round organizing."

 

Former Trump aide Sarah Matthews says the way 2022 Election Night went indicates that Donald Trump is costing Republicans winnable seats. In the walkup to midterm elections, the Republicans had hoped that they would have clear majority in the House of Representatives on Election Night.

However, as of Wednesday morning, the results are still coming and the control of Congress still hangs in the balance.

"I think last night was the biggest indicator that Donald Trump should not be the Republican nominee in 2024. He cost Republicans winnable seats by boosting poor quality candidates," said Matthews, former deputy White House press secretary under President Trump.

She added: "You have record inflation, increased fears over crime, the worst border crisis in history, an unpopular president and Republican performance was still underwhelming. And that was in large part due to the candidates that Trump backed. They weren't up to quality. I think this is lessons learned for Republicans that a, Trump is not a national winner, and, b, candidate quality matters."

CNN analyst Harry Enten explained this through the numbers... and drew an amazing conclusion...

"Donald Trump is not a well-liked politician," he said Wednesday, pointing to Trump's favorability standing at 39%.

And it took the odd couple of Breitbart and comedian Bill Maher to close the door on the midterms. “We don’t have this kind of system now where the returns come in on the night of,” Maher said. “Well, I was reading about Brazil. They — very similar, they had a guy, Bolsonaro, who was very similar to Trump, saying it’s rigged…but the election was over in three hours. They had all the votes counted.”  (Attachment Twenty Six)

 

MONDAY’S UPDATES

Morning Joe will get his Senate majority without even securing a win in Georgia, while Republicans fume and Don Jones will mourn at the two more wasted years as America’s enemies circle.

The New York Times called Arizona’s govenor’s race for Katie Hobbs over arch-denialist Kari Lake and The Hill (See Attachment Twenty Seven) wrote that “With less than 10 percent of the estimated vote left to count in Arizona’s governor race, Democrat Katie Hobbs leads Republican Kari Lake by 24,772 raw votes as of Monday afternoon — just 1 percentage point.

Lake is expected to further close Hobbs’s lead, but the Republican’s path to victory looks increasingly narrow after recent batches of results.

Presdictably, Kari intends to amount legal challenges, and then...

Maricopa County Board of Supervisors Chairman Bill Gates disputed incompetence in the 2022 election process, as levied by Arizona Republican gubernatorial candidate Kari Lake, he told CNN Wednesday afternoon. 

“I do not believe that what happened yesterday can fairly be called incompetence or corruption in any way,” Gates said. “Did we have some issues? Yes," he continued. 

 

Also in the Hill, Sen. Mark Kelly (D-Ariz.) was projected to win reelection to the Senate, defeating Republican Blake Masters in one of the preeminent battleground contests on the midterm map this year and putting Democrats one step closer to securing their majority.  (Attachment Twenty Eight)

Kelly, a retired astronaut and husband of former Rep. Gabrielle Giffords (D-Ariz.), was buoyed throughout by a juggernaut of a fundraising operation. According to his Federal Election Commission filing on Oct. 19, the final financial snapshot of his campaign, Kelly raised more than $80 million for the run, a number that allowed him to flood the airwaves throughout the three-plus month stretch between the primary and Tuesday’s election.

Republican donors, meanwhile, squabbled and cursed... notably in three way chickenfight between Senate (still) Minority Leader McConnell, strange technocrat Peter Thiel and the conservative Club for Growth.  Masters ended up raising only eight million.

 

And in Nevada, Catherine Cortez Masto, one of Democrats’ most vulnerable senators, eked out a win according to the New York Tmes  (Attachment Twenty Nine)..

Democrats sealed control of the Senate on Saturday as Senator Catherine Cortez Masto of Nevada narrowly defeated Adam Laxalt, a Republican former state attorney general, a decisive moment in an extraordinary midterm election in which Democrats defied historical patterns and predictions of major losses.

Ms. Cortez Masto, who became the first Latina senator six years ago, had to come from behind to beat Mr. Laxalt, who was backed by Mr. Trump.

Her victory was sealed Saturday night when 22,323 mail-in ballots were recorded from Clark County. The Democrat’s 14,084 votes were enough to vault her into a large enough lead to ensure her victory.

 

 

And finally, from an Angry Peanut in the Breitbart gallery…

In Brazil, if there is cheating suspected, the Military takes over, verifies the counts and names the true winner and steps back out of the way.

So Bill says we need to do it like Brazil: Junta Time!!!!!!!!!

 

And from a religious responder…

God can fix this. We won’t like how though.

 

 

 

 

November 5th – 11th, 2022

 

 

Saturday, November 5, 2022

Dow:  32,861.80

 

 

Candidates drag out the celebrities for the final weekend before the midterms – and their on-ramps have dwindled down to a precious few.  President Joe, Barry O. and Oprah stump for Fetterman in Pennsylvania; Donald Trump rallies for Oz (but talks, mostly, about himself).  Election denialists buoyed by IPSOS polls that find only 20% of the Joneses believe elections are free and fair.

   Workers revolt at FoxComm’s Chinese labor camp after 200,000 caged as a precaution after one (ONE!) found with the plague.  Apple is terrified... their new iPhone might be delayed for want of a chip.  (There is a solution, but Apple has joined Twitter and Amazon in firing workers or replacing them with cheap foreign subcontractors.)

  Add to inflation and shrinkflation... skimpflation, which is using cheaper ingredients to produce the same not-so-goods at the same cost, if not price.  Water is big, here.

   It’s cloudy in Philadelphia after the home team loses on penalty kicks to Los Angeles in MLS final, while the Astros win the World Series in six.

 

 

 

Sunday, November 6, 2022

Dow: Closed

 

 

City of Brotherly Love does take one title – most murders per capita, assisted by unknown gunmen who take down nine.  But crime waits for no man and permeates America from coast to coast – politicians consider it to be Number Three on the voters’ minds; trailing the economy and inflation, but well ahead of abortion, climate and, of course, gun control.  But, at least, a baby is rescued from a fleeing drug/gun carjacker and the New York marathon goes off without any more rapes or assaults in Central Park (but with a lot of heat).

   Despite their bad reputation, the FBI is called in to headquarters of Arizona candidate for Governor and deep Trump loyalist Kari Lake to investigate reports of a mysterious “white substance” being found.  Wags contend it’s a young Caucasian liberal.

   Critics contend that a weakened America is pressuring UkePresident Zelenskyy to capitulate to Russia (or at least talk to them).  The Z-man says Hell, no!  Iran, tired of the charade, now admits... even boasts... of selling drones to Russia.  The West responds with more ineffectual sanctions.

 

 

 

Monday, November 7, 2022

Dow:  32,827.00

 

 

The final push finds President Joe in Maryland, Trump in Ohio.

Russian oligarch Yevgeny Prigozin boasts of spreading mis- and dis-information to confuse American voters, but nobody will tell these voters whom he (and Mad Vlad) are working for.  Speculation abounds.

Twittering insiders and outsiders promise to crack down on false tweets and social media posts as the company keeps losing followers and $4M per day in cancelled advertising.  And an embarrassed Elon Musk caught bare-assed as his systems crash and he has to call some of those cruelly fired workers back to work,  Their responses run a gambit from grateful to scatological.

 

 

 

Tuesday, November 8, 2022

Dow:  33,159.85

 

 

 

 

 

And the Blood Moon ushers in Election Day.  Republicans talk hopefully of the “red wave” that the pollsters are prognosticating; the Fed is not helping Biden by raising interest rates again and warning that they’ll go even higher... perhaps as high as five percent.  (Which the banks and credit card companies take to be license to raise their rates on debtos to twenty, even thirty percent... not to mention skyrocketing fees.)

   Those who comply with Fed. campaign ontribution reportings report that $116M has been spent in Nevada alone.  Other experts assert that 261 of the 552 candidates for significant office in significant communities are election denialists. 

   There’s other news as the ballots are cast and counted... the U.N. states that global warming has put the planet on the “Highway to Hell.”  And, on a more local issues, Dr. Fauci surfaces to warm of the trifecta of death (plague, flu and RVS) while the revolt of the machine ensnares a school bus driver whose defective (or pernicious) GPS directs him to drive over the state line – which he obediently does.

 

 

 

Wednesday, November 2, 2022

Dow:  32,513.94

 

 

 

 

 

 

The Morning After... Election Day.  Print, electronic, social and anti-social influencers try to outdo each other with words to explain the Republican debacle (even though they’ll probably win the House and may take the Senate if tired Georgians don’t show up to vote for the runoff)... the “red tide” receding to a “red mist”, a red ripple, a purple ripple, a purple nipple and on and on

   One thing the influencers... right and left... agree upon is that it was a bad night for Djonald UnBrained.  The Democrats say this meant a good night for President Joe.  The Republicans... for Ron deSantis (who crucified Charlie Crist by 20 points).  More winners: Fetterman (D-Pa), 25 year old Gen. Z. Max Frost changes the shape of things to come, many icons and trolls of diversity.  Losers (besides Trump and his lineup of strange beings like Dr. Oz) include putin-tive Governors Kari Lake (Az.) and Doug Mastriano (Pa.) who threatens armed insurrection to overthrow the steal.

  Only minimal violence at the polls is reported as heavy security dissuades the crazies.

   In other news, Nicole... Florida’s latest hurricane in 37 years, takes aim at Mar-a-Lago; Djonald UnAfraid vows to stay put and may well be washed out by some tide or other.  Britney Griner is transferred to a Soviet, er, Russian labor gulag, and an unknown person in Los Angeles declared winner of 2B Powerball.  (Prob’ly some rich, famous actor who doesn’t need the money.)

 

 

Thursday, November 10, 2022

 Dow:  33,715.37

 

 

 

 

 

While partisans rassle over the few Congressional and Senate seats still undecided... astronaut Kelly leads in Arizona, legacy heir Laxalt in Nevada, meaning that it’ll all come down to Georgia’s December 6th runoff... President Joe gets some belated good news as inflation eases down to 7.9 percent.  Still more than wages, up around 5% for some, zippo for many, but it sends the Dow up 1,200 pointsa after Wednesday’s decline/

  No such good news for crypto – funny money flops like a dead rabbit.  Twitter remains chaotic, and now META, having lost billions, fires more employees (11 to 13,000 depending) and, because most were imported from cheap labor places like India, summons La Migra to kick them out of America if they don’t find another job within a few weeks.  Can you say “Mickey D”?

   Biden to join other politicians at G-20 summit, which Putin announces intent to boycott (probably out of fear that the rest of the world will do a Julius Caesar on him).  Over in Egypt, neglected climate change activists try to gain attention, U.N. boss António Guterres downgrades expectations to saving the 1.5% carboniferous goal.

 

 

 

Friday, November 4, 2022

Dow:  32,403.23

 

 

 

It’s Veterans’ Day.  Centenarian combatants in the Great War tell and retell their stories about participating in the war to defeat the Nazis and the Fascists.

   It’s becoming clearer that democracy didn’t flush the Fascists on Tuesday, but neither did it submit.  It does appear that Republicans will capture the Congress, but only by a few members... leading to shaky times for would-be Speaker Kevin Mac.  The Senate remains suspenseful with three seats yet to be decided – Arizona and Nevada next week, maybe, Georgia in a December 6th runoff.  Optimists are relieved that so many MAGAdenialists were sent packing and hope for a new era of bipartisan negotiations, pessimists assume two years of gridlock and stagnation.

   Djonald UnDrowned rides out Hurricane Nicole in Mar-a-Lago and starts sharpening his knives with which to stab Florida Gov. Ron deSantis... a Republican.  President Joe goes to Egypt to talk about the neglected climate, thence to Cambodia to gab with China’s Xi.  Putin stays home, realizing that he can be assassinated if he sets foot out of the Kremlin (and maybe even if he doesn’t).

   The stock market goes up, then down, then way up today on better inflation and employment news.  Rich investors celebrate.  Most Don Joneses just wonder what Christmas will be like.  Stark and gloomy holidays loom for Twitter employees thrown out into the street by an increasingly MAGAlific Musk whose paywall policy invites trolls, comedians and criminals to hide their identities under a blue mask.

 

 

 

The elections may have had psychological impact on Don Jones but, commercially, it was all about the Fed and inflation.  Stocks dropped on the Fed’s decision, but rebounded significantly on the news that inflation had risen only 7.7% instead of 7.9%.

Still, the Jones’ Thanksgiving feast will cost significantly more this year... not only due to the supply chain and the inflation, but to the bird flu.  Hope it’s not human-transmissible!

 

 

 

THE DON JONES INDEX

 

CHART of CATEGORIES w/VALUE ADDED to EQUAL BASELINE of 15,000

(REFLECTING… approximately… DOW JONES INDEX of June 27, 2013)

 

See a further explanation of categories here

 

ECONOMIC INDICES (60%)

CATEGORY

VALUE

BASE

RESULTS

SCORE

 

OUR SOURCES and COMMENTS

 

INCOME

(24%)

6/17/13 & 1/1/22

LAST

CHANGE

NEXT

SOURCE

 

Wages (hrly. per cap)

9%

1350 points

10/8/22

+0.32%

11/22

1,396.64

1,396.64

https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/wages   27.86

 

Median Inc. (yearly)

4%

600

11/5/22

+0.06%

11/19/22

606.24

606.61

http://www.usdebtclock.org/   36,079 6,101

 

Unempl. (BLS – in mi)

4%

600

10/1/22

-6.67%

11/22

608.03

608.03

http://data.bls.gov/timeseries/LNS14000000/  3.75%

 

Official (DC – in mi)

2%

300

11/5/22

-0.07%

11/19/22

326.27

326.61

http://www.usdebtclock.org/      5,713 709 703

 

Unofficl. (DC – in mi)

2%

300

11/5/22

-0.13%

11/19/22

299.01

299.41

http://www.usdebtclock.org/    10,441 429 415

 

Workforce Particip.

   Number

   Percent

2%

300

11/5/22

 

+0.006%

  -0.0001%

11/19/22

299.708

299.705

In 158,979  988  Out 99,703 711 Total: 258,682

 

http://www.usdebtclock.org/  61.4573  4567

 

WP %  (ycharts)*

1%

150

10/1/22

+0.16%

11/22

150.72

150.72

https://ycharts.com/indicators/labor_force_participation_rate  62.30 2.20

 

 

OUTGO

15%

 

 

 

 

Total Inflation

7%

1050

10/15/22

+0.4%

12/22

1006.60

1002.57

http://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm     +0.4

 

Food

2%

300

10/15/22

+0.6%

12/22

283.86

282.16

http://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm     +0.8 0.6

 

Gasoline

2%

300

10/15/22

+4.0%

12/22

239.67

239.08

http://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm     -4.9  +4.0

 

Medical Costs

2%

300

10/15/22

-0.6%

12/22

289.36

291.10

http://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm     +1.0 -0.6

 

Shelter

2%

300

10/15/22

+0.8%

12/22

289.95

287.63

http://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm     +0.7 0.8

 

 

WEALTH

6%

 

 

 

 

Dow Jones Index

2%

300

11/5/22

+9.35%

11/19/22

257.73

281.83

https://www.wsj.com/market-data/quotes/index/   32,403.22

33,747.86  (See CNBC, Attachment Fourteen)

 

Home (Sales)

(Valuation)

1%

1%

150

150

10/8/22

-1.875%              -1.30%             

11/22

141.72

286.29

141.72

286.29

https://www.nar.realtor/research-and-statistics

Sales (M):  4.71 Valuations (K):  384.8

 

Debt (Personal)

2%

300

11/5/22

+0.14%

11/19/22

283.02

282.83

http://www.usdebtclock.org/    72,022 121

 

 

 

 

NATIONAL

(10%)

 

 

 

 

Revenue (trilns.)

2%

300

11/5/22

-0.08%

11/19/22

410.00

409.67

debtclock.org/       4,921 917

 

Expenditures (tr.)

2%

300

11/5/22

+0.02%

11/19/22

344.70

344.63

debtclock.org/       5,978   979

 

National Debt tr.)

3%

450

11/5/22

+0.05%

11/19/22

431.74

431.52

http://www.usdebtclock.org/    31,258 275

 

Aggregate Debt (tr.)

3%

450

11/5/22

+0.09%

11/19/22

429.09

428.70

http://www.usdebtclock.org/    92,928 3,061

 

 

 

 

GLOBAL

(5%)

 

 

 

 

Foreign Debt (tr.)

2%

300

11/5/22

+0.03%

11/19/22

328.82

328.92

http://www.usdebtclock.org/   7,496 495

 

Exports (in billions)

1%

150

10/8/22

-0.35%

11/22

164.35

164.35

https://www.census.gov/foreign-trade/index.html  258..0

 

Imports (bl.)

1%

150

10/8/22

-2.43%

11/22

163.74

163.74

https://www.census.gov/foreign-trade/index.html  331.3

 

Trade Deficit (bl.)

1%

150

10/8/22

+9.68%

11/22

288.11

288.11

https://www.census.gov/foreign-trade/index.html    71.3

 

 

 

ACTS of MAN

12%

 

 

 

World Affairs