the DON JONES INDEX… |
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GAINS POSTED in GREEN LOSSES POSTED in RED 6/12/23…
15,022.11 6/5/23… 15,072.36 |
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6/27/13… 15,000.00 |
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(THE DOW JONES
INDEX: 6/12/23... 33,876.78; 6/5/23... 33,762.76; 6/27/13… 15,000.00)
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LESSON for June 12, 2023 – “HERE
COMES EVERYBODY”
With the debt ceiling default
crisic can kicked off into 2025, Don Jones breathed a sigh of relief... the
occasional nihilist showing a snarl of discontent, many more on the far Left
and Right of their parties also snaring (but falsely, just to show that they
regretted what they saw as an unpleasant compromise – tho’ without the cojones to do anything about liket... oh... start an insurrection – and the
Republic, thus, went back to its Republican and Democratic grind and grimacing
over the issues of the day: war and inflation, disease and pollution and green
M&M’s everywhere while several more gators, frogs and possums jumped into the
swamp.
If there could be such a thing as
the end of one micro-era and transition to the next, Saturday’s signing of the
Fiscal Reponsibility Act was just that.
No sooner was the blood dried on the document than a couple of
never-Trumps who’d been hanging around (former Jersey Governor and talkshow
icon Chris Christie and, literally, former Vice President and noose escapee
Mike Pence) declared their intent to enter the lists. So did the Governor of North Dakota.
More bodies are expected to drop
and plop into the political East River of 2024 within the next week or two,
fulfilling the dreams of the obsessives, the dread of progressives and the
agenda of Donald Trump, the exiled sovereign again seeking his Restoration.
Matters got complicated on Friday afternoon
when Special Counsel Jack Smith (the one assigned to the former President’s
Mar-a-Lago documents alleged criminality: as opposed to the Stormy Daniels
case...indicted and awaiting trial... the Georgia election tampering and the
One Six insurrection itself... both still awaiting indictments). Mr. Smith (who bear a striking resemblance to
Don Junior) made a rare television appearance to state that he had issued a 49
page, 37 count indictment of Djonald UnLawful and that the Exile (still
campaigning hard and raising money for his 2024 Restoration) would be ordered
to Miami on Tuesday afternoon, where he would be arrested and processed to face
trial before Judge Aileen Cannon (viewed widely as a Trump appointee and
possible stooge). “Read the indictment!”
Mister Smith commended Mister Jones and all the Joneses in all the homes across
America. So we’ll do our part and
unspool the spiderthreads and threats from the Trumpiverse as Attachment One,
below (June 9th) plus, as an extra added attraction, commentary
(frequently biased) and explanations (less biased) from the New York Times.
In his press conference announcing
the bust, Mr. Smith (his nomenclature still rather iffy, but his authority...
in this case... rock solid) mentioned a few of the specific charges against Ol’
45... conspiracy and espionage being prominent.
Espionag-ing? For whom and of what?
Apparantly, the hundreds of
classified documents found in Trump’s storage locker and at various places in
his Florida estate... closets, the garage, scattered over the floor in a
unspecified room, (see website link in Attachment One) the shower
(shower??!!??)... included critical information about foreign policy (like a
planned, but not carried out attack on Iran and multiple listings of helpful
foreign sources in foreign places ranging from the Mideast to Russia, all of
whom were put in harm’s way from bad guys like Putin, the sheikhs of Arabi,
Africa, Cuba, NoKo, etcetera etcetera).
The indictment(s), duly preceded by
a Letter of Warning as the law in such cases advises have, as we noted, further
complicated the already strange Presidential race now “only” eighteen months
and change off into the future. Wince as
they might, the donor class is opening their checkbooks to lay down their bets
and the wise guys in London or Vegas can give you the odds on November 2024
(hint: Biden leads, but the indictment helped,
not hurt The Donald). See the Las Vegas
Review and Draft Kings (Attachments Two A and Two B)
Prior to Mister Trump’s indictment,
the high or lowlights of the week were otherwise inclusive of more hats being tossed into the ring... those
of never-Trumpers like Mike Pence, the former Veep whom Djonald plucked out of
obscurity in Indiana, offering prestige, power and, perhaps, his own road to
the White House in 2024, circumstances (a 2020 re-election, notably) allowing,
which, of course, they were not. So
after Mike had the audacity and disloyalty to fail to declare the election
rigged and Constitution voided on One Six (that
indictment still pending, or pencing, as it may be), Trump motivated a mob to
haul his treacherous colleague dragged out of the Capitol and hanged.
Also declaring his candidacy was
the former New Jersey Governor, failed Presidential candidate and Sunday
talkshow talking head Chris Christie.
Another of the legion of former sycophants pivoting after the debacle of
the One Six, Christie has openly admitted that he’s in the race to fork the
former POTUS up, with little, if any, hope that a Republican base that has
veered so far off to the right that Ron DeSantis, among others, can contend,
with some evidence supporting, that Trump is, really, just another degenerate
liberal.
And the week offered up a smidgen
of welcome comic relief... Doug Burgum, the Governor of North Dakota, also
launched his 2024 campaign.
After disposing of the indictment
and the chatter ensuing, we’ll run through a list of the dirty dozen most
serious Republican candidates – their hopes and aspirations, their dreams and
odds for or against surviving, let alone winning, in 2024.
But surprises have happened
before... out of the woods have come candidates like Jimmy Carter, now resting
comfortably in hospice care as he looks forward to his 99th
birthday, a couple of Democratic obscurities like Bill Clinton and Barack
Obama, who clawed their way to the top of the heap in their day, and Trump
himself – a game show host with no political experience.
What have all these noteworthy
newshounds had to bark about with the second official incrimination of the man
who leads them all in the polls... by miles?
Not much.
Prior to indictment, the pollsters
and the pundits were busy running their own Vegas-ish handicapping of the 2024
G.O.P. race (Attachments Two, A and B).
The Las Vegas Review-Journal (April 4th, Attachment Two A) declared that President Joe Biden remained
the 2-1 favorite to win re-election in 2024 (with a Vegas ranking of +200).
Trump was the +295 second choice. DeSantis was third at +440.
(A positive number represents how much you would profit on a $100 bet. In
this case, a bettor would win $295 on a $100 bet on Trump to win the 2024
election. With Biden the heavy -250
favorite to be the Democrat nominee, you would have to risk $250 to win $100...
a rather good bet, so long as President Joe’s health holds up.)
Trump climbed from a -120 favorite on March 27 to -128 on Tuesday after
notice of his indictment at rival site Betfair to win the nomination, while
Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis saw his odds worsen from +200 to +245.
“Remarkably, Donald Trump hasn’t lost any support in the 2024 US election
betting markets since news broke of his indictment,” Betfair spokesperson Sam
Rosbottom told the R-J. “In fact, he’s even gained some backing and improved
his chances of being on the ballot in 2024.”
(The Vegas R-J covered its ass with the gumment bounty hunters by adding:
“Betting on politics isn’t permitted at U.S. sportsbooks.”)
By late May... given the settling of the default crisis and pending (but
pre- ) indictment of Trump, Biden’s odds had risen to +150 according to another
gambling guesstimate from Draft Kings (May 23rd, Attachment Two B). A few days before indictment rumours became
reality, Trump was holding more or less steady at +240, while DeSantis had slid
down to +450 (based on his disastrous announce and the growing perception that
his take on the issues was just wannabe Trumpism – and who needed that when the
real deal was available and, for now, unincarcerated?).
(Haley, by the way, was +3,500 and Scott was off the DK charts at
something greater than 100-1 for those willing to bet the rent on a dark
horse... no ethnic connotations intended... and Mike Pence was hanging round at
+5,000 – also a pretty good bet, assuming that an angry Djonald UnHorsed didn’t
start breaking furniture, eat two triple-cheese, side order of fries and then
laungh his third (or fourth, fifth) party suicide challenge. Hint: the sobriquet “Conservative Party” is
still available (sort of... one “Dennis Mulins” has squatted on the FEC’s
no-fault nominating registration process, but how much money would it take to
get rid of him?).
In Olde England, where the
Conservative Party is a legitimate and sometimes ruling entity, the BBC glanced
over the pond, cast its nets and hauled up a juicy net of crabs and cuttlefish,
including most of the major declared candidates, some pondering declaration and
some of the notable declinations.
(Attachment Three)
For a sample of their powers of
prophecy, lets choose a name from among what most handicappers believe to be
the so-called Second Tier... a politician of some repute and experience who’s
polled at least one percent, if not yet being a menace to the Dynamic Duo.
Let’s take... oh... perhaps the
nearest contender to Trump and DeSantis (and a “woke” choice, too, being female
and otherly-skinned)... that might be the former Governor and Ambassador Nikki
Haley?
Go.com,
a subsidiary of the ABC news raptor, proffered an even larger field of sporting
horses, including some Democrats, Independents and a larger list of the maybes
and neverbees. (go.com, Attachment Four,
June 5th) Again, sticking with our
friend, la femme Nikki, we are informed that she is “...the daughter of
immigrants, highlighted her heritage as a South Asian woman and touted her
hopeful view of what America can offer.”
Grasping for the youth vote, the 51
year old Haley “underscored her credentials as a former leader of
the Palmetto State, stressing its resilience, but most of all she said there
was a major need for change in the GOP's candidates.
"Republicans
have lost the popular vote in seven of the last eight presidential elections. …
It's time for a new generation of leadership," go.com quoted her.
And the customarily exhausting
Wikipedia/Ballotpedia combine published its latest list of potentials – an
exhaustive roster of bees, wanna-s, may-s and (for now) never-s with
biographical links. (Attachment
Five) Here, too, Haley comes in for a
slice of the pie... profiled as a “former U.N. Ambassador and South Carolina Governor (who) announced she would
run on February 14, 2023,” with biographical notes here.
Back in March, Politico
published not only a list of the prospects, but included brief notes on how they
could walk off with the nomination and election as well as how, and why, all
but one will not. (Politico, Updated
June 6, Attachment Six)
Dividing the
candidacies into the customary tiers... the first a dynamic duo of DeSantis and
Trump; the second a listing of trailing candidates who, nonetheless, have
demonstrable political accomplishments to their resume and third a countdown of
newcomers, perennials, wannabees and the such with enough recognition to merit
at least token media notice, Haley, standing atop the dogpile of second tier
candidates, was profiled in Politico as a spokesperson for youth, justice and
the American Way – contending, without exactly mocking, President Joe and
former President Donald as old and decrepit in body, mind and spirit.
Politico cited her
native South Carolina primary... third in the nation after as the former Governor and Ambassador... as
her pathway to the Presidency, as well as her status as the “most politically
accomplished woman” — a twice-elected governor and cabinet member — to enter a
Republican presidential primary field.
“Despite the gender gap between the parties, women make up nearly half
of the GOP primary electorate.”
But failure to
triumph in her home state, Politico added, would risk “getting drowned out in a
primary where Trump and DeSantis suck up most of the oxygen. And Haley’s
seemingly shifting views of Trump after the Jan. 6 riot threaten her
credibility in taking on her former boss.”
Other
media profiles served up other profiles largely corroborative of the
above. The Guardian U.K. noted that she
had underscored her credentials as a
former leader of the Palmetto State, stressing its resilience, but most of all
emphasizing the “major need” for change in the GOP's candidates.
"Republicans have lost the popular vote in seven of the last eight
presidential elections,” she said… swiping at Biden’s age and Trump’s failed
midterm putsch. “It's time for a new
generation of leadership," she said.
And that brings us to a
few media munchies regarding more crullers in the baker’s dozen of the likely
first, second and third-tier contenders as of this week in descending order of
viability – from The Donald, through Ms. Haley and Mister Laffey (“laugh,
laugh... I thought I’d cried?); all the way down to Burgum (but no
further). First and foremost (as well as
usually earliest, given the transatlantic time differential) is the the staid
and stolid British Broadcastiing Company, not afraid to poke its long nose into
Colonial politics (Attachments Seven... A through M with, as an afterthought to
Seven N – a short treatise on the money and why Burgum, a billionaire, might be
undervalued as a candidate – or then again, a failure on the order of Forbes or
Bloomberg or Tom Steyer who has, at least, filed again.)
As regards the highers-up and lowers-down, the BBC provided thumbnail
sketches of the viable candidates and other media chimed in – so we assembled
an assortment of assho... well, communicators... commenting upon them as
Attachment Seven, subsections A (Trump) through M (Burgum) and, because of the
financial resources of the mysterious latter, a Subsection N dealing with the
money. These subsections are further
sub-subsectioned by the publications (with the marginal having little to bring
to the table).
Nonetheless, here’s what some had to say about these – prior to the Indictment.
The leaders of the Pack
TRUMP (A)
Much mentioned elsewhere, the BBC
simply explained the former President’s lead upon formally launching his third
bid for the White House on Nov. 15,
"America's comeback starts right now," he said, describing the
U.S. as "in decline" and touting his administration as a "golden
age."
DeSANTIS (B)
The BBC noted that he was Re-elected to the Governorship of Florida with
Trump’s endorsement and won a spectacular victory. Time noted his dependance on “woke rhetoric”
and the Guardian UK charged that he was billing the taxpayers for his “culture
war lawsuits.”
The Contenders
HALEY (C)
The BBC noted that she would be the first female and South Asian
President – and also remarked on her remarks upon the old men (Biden, Trump) in
the lead. Vox cited her copycat culture
war statements – “trending more MAGA than moderate”.
PENCE (D)
His announcement speech, according to the BBC, was “his most forceful
repudiation of Donald Trump to date, accusing the ex-president of being
unfaithful to the US constitution and of abandoning conservative values.” The New York Times documented his One Six
break with his boss and, in another article, the BBC highlighted his
Christianity… and hopes to capture that demographic for himself.
SCOTT (E)
The BBC noted the obvious: Scott is a rare
black Republican, grandson of cotton field workers and an optimist; a nice guy
well respected by even those who differ with him. NPR cited his insistence that America is not
a facist country, saying: "We need to stop cancelling our founding
fathers and start celebrating them for the geniuses that they were. They weren't
perfect, but they believed that we could become a more perfect union."
HUTCHINSON (F)
The former Governor of Arkansas cited achievements over ideology (CBS
News) and warned that the U.S. must secure its southern border and must
not yield to China, pledging to “stand with our friends” (presumably in support
of Ukraine). He has argued that the
Republican Party has to have "someone different than Donald Trump running
for president."
CHRISTIE (G)
Like Hutchinson, he has opened up on Trump as “a TV star, nothing more,
nothing less:. (BBC) The leftier GUK focused on a pardon he sought
and received for a Jersey crony, as well as the scandals during his
administration, The New York Times
opined that his intent is to wreck Trump’s nomination train, a vengeful agenda
despised by TV conservative Sean Hannity who accuses him of wanting to
“bludgeon” Trump. (GUK)
The Pretenders
RAMASWAMY (H)
Speaking of right wing TV talkers,
he BBC calls him regular fixture on Fox host Tucker Carlson's daily
programme who “argues the country is in the midst of a national identity crisis
driven by a decline in faith, patriotism and meritocracy.” NPR cites his self-designation as a Hindu who
is also a “Christian Nationalist” and who scorns notions like “diversity” and
“identity” and will campaign on the Hunter Biden laptop scandal if
nominated. He will also raise the voting
age to 25.
YOUNGKIN (I)
Still basking in the glow of his surprise victory in the Virginia
governor’s race, he has promoted bipartisanship but also, says the BBC has
vigoriously prosecuted the cultural wars and plague mask/vaxxing mandates,
ELDER (J)
Like Scott, the conservative talk show host rejects preferential
treatment and calls himself "an American who is Black" rather than
African American, telling The Hill in a 2019 interview: "The idea that
there's systemic racism against Black people is a lie." (Reuters)
He also pledged to repeal mask and vaxxing requirements (BBC).
JOHNSON (K)
The little known 75 year old businessman
is promoting “a plan to reignite the economy by shaving 2% in
federal spending every year.” (BBC)
LAFFEY (L)
The former Mayor of Cranston, RI is vague on issues but insists “we must directly
confront our problems." BBC notes
his “lack of name recognition or statewide or federal experience” and failed
2006 campaign for the Senate.
BURGUM (M)
Governor of a cold and obscure state, Burgum has an ace up his sleeve…
lots and lots of money. (Like Batman
answering a question on what his super power was and saying “I’m rich.”) He is also “hard to pin down
ideologically” (538) and promises to focus “less on culture war grievances and
more on the economy, energy policy and national security.” (NBC)
and, apropos the last and, in fact the others...
THE MONEY (N)
Early filings show that Trump, usurprisingly, leads in fundraing but
Ramaswamy and Johson are surprisingly solvent.
The candidate with the most “cash on hand” is Scott, And, reports 538, Burgum could pour as much
as $50 million into the campaign, which makes him “a candidate to watch”.
A somewhat shorter list
was provided by the New York Times as Attachments Eight (A) and (B)... A: a
“who’s running” tease featuring the Dynamic Duo plus four Second Tierers (Pence,
Christie, Haley, Scott) with Hutchinson, Ramaswamy & Elder briefly noted,
and B: a “run up” confined to Trump and DeSantis.
And then there is the
aforementioned round-up of the whole f***ng elephant herd (as well as a bunch
of donkeys, some outliers, cockroaches, jagged edges and Donald Junior...
wielding his elephant gun) rampaging through the politiverse – as provided by
Ballotpedia (back again as Attachment the Last - below).
The Polls...
The usual suspects in this
corner... Five Thirty Eight, Real Clear Politics and the numerous fair and
unfair polls from the likes of Quinnipiac and Monmouth to the right-leaning
Rasmussen... have been hard at work for months now, almost since Biden’s twenty
twenty election and the One Six that followed.
RCP’s most recent poll of polls
(Attachment Nine A) showed the former President stronger after indictment, well
ahead of DeSantis and the rest and close to (or in a few cases leading)
President Joe. Pence was starting to
move up.
And Over at Five Thirty Eight (Attachment
Nine B) more of the same.
The Indictment...
Sick and tired as they might be of
The Donald and his recent penchant for losing ventures (the 2022 Congressional
contests where Trump’s handpicked outsiders like Kari Lake in Arizona, Herschel
Walker in Georgia and the irrepressible Doctor Oz in Pennsylvania all exploded
like a Chinese blimp, were it filled with combustible hydrogen instead of dull
old helium),
his challengers... even Pence and DeSantis... have been reticient about the
frontrunner’s legal troubles, Only
former Arkansas Governor Asa Hutchinson has dared defy the Donald... and more
significantly, his base – speaking at the Georgia Repulican convention in
defiance of the base-liness of the base and the dictate “we don’t talk about
Donald”.
The old adage about not attempting
to strike at a King unless you succeed in killing him, has never been more
prescient.
President Joe was reported to be
“staying mum” by the U.S. News and World Report (June 9th,
Attachment Ten).
“I have no
comment," Biden told reporters while visiting a community college in North
Carolina.
Biden also said he
hasn’t spoken with Attorney General Merrick Garland about the case.
“And I’m not going
to speak with him,” Biden added.
On the flight to the
state, principal deputy press secretary Olivia Dalton said the White House
won't comment out of respect for the independence of the Justice Department and
to protect "the integrity of their processes."
Biden was asked at a
news conference Thursday how he would convince Americans they can trust the
independence of the Justice Department when Trump repeatedly attacks it.
“Because you notice
I have never once − not one single time − suggested to the Justice
Department what they should do or not do, relative to bringing a charge or not
bringing a charge,” Biden said. “I'm honest.”
Christie finally ventured that Ol’
45’s conduct had been “irresponsible”.
Michael UnHanged, while stopping
short of an “I told you so!” moment despite his own exoneration on charges of
document dipping after apologizing and donning the dunce cap to wheedle his way
into prosecutorial clemency, did go so far as to say that he did not believe
Djonald UnWanted should ever be President again. (Who should, he inferred, was obvious.)
The others took the dark and cloudy
road of obscure euphamisms and detours - mindful of the fact that pre-indictment
polls showed Biden’s 2024 rematch with The Donald (DeSantis, too) to be a
toss-up and that laying down the martyr card was already paying dividends to
The Exile in the form of support amongst the base, cold, hard cash (and more
promises of more and the same to come) and even a few intimations of
overcharging from some of the normally anti-Trump media.
Trump not only called the
indictment by his usual accusation... “the witch hunt”... he added that Jack’s
case amounted to political warfare, prosecuted by “Them”. Whether they
were the Democrats, jealous Republicans, the Deep Space or the pizza parlour
pedophiles wielding Jewish space lasers was not specified; the hint of
persecution has always served him well with the base, and the base remains
large enough to secure him the nomination, even if election would be harded
task and managing a second Presidency from a jail cell harder even.
No matter. Trump tweeted, he ranted and raved awhile,
they he went down to New Jersey to play golf – leaving the details to his
trusty new attorney (literally, in fact, his being James Trusty) who proposed
that the persecution had put the stamp of reality upon a situation that “was
not real.”
Then he went to Columbus GA for the
Republican state convention where he looked forward to squaring off against his
nemesis... well, one of his nemesii... Gov. Kemp in the third of his four legal
matters; except that the Guv (perhaps on the advice of Georgia Prosecutor Fani
Willis in the wake of Alvin Bragg and Jack Smith) chose not to attend. There, he delivered what the liberal Daily
Beast called a “bonkers” speech.
He called
Special Counsel Jack Smith “deranged”, Georgia prosecutor Fani Wallis “a
lunatic Marxist” and Mike Pence “nasty”… ending his discourse with what
Isabella Ramirez called “a bizarre and far from
inspirational” remark; “Everybody’s being murdered and beat up and mugged.
We’re not going to let it happen. Thank you very much everybody, it’s a great
honor to be here,” he concluded. (June 10th,
Attachment Eleven
The Columbus Convention Center,
coincidentally, was to host the Miss Georgia beauty pageant as soon as the
Republicans left, or said they did... during the overlapping registration
period, long-legged lovelies were sprouting everywhere, much to the delight of
dirty old elephants. Much to the dismay
of Melania,
who undoubtedly wagged a finger at her still-husband as soon as she learned of
the intersection. Trump spoke his mind…
his fabulous mind!... then, after stopping off at a Waffle House, hastened to
fly off to North Carolina where he’d do the same thing all over again,
Deny the election, deny the angry
women – well, why not deny
reality? Don Jones, likely as not, will
view the whole kerfluffle as one of those doctored dramas dreamt up by the AI
people, putting words never spoken into people’s mouths, and showing people
doing things they never did. All that
the former President has to do, in the cause of keeping the base happy (and
angry) and the money flowing.
For those obsessives or Joneses
merely disgusted with the likeliest candidates, here and now, at this
transition between King Deficit (who has not really been slain nor even
banished at all, simply sent upon a secret mission between now and the end of
2024) the Indictment proceedings and the upcoming months-long Run For the
Republican Rush, here are a few hundred candidates for the White House
Occupancy, with perhaps a dozen undercored as more likely to obtain their
Residency and, then, the handful deemed capable of earning their full, first
class, presorted notices.
For your consideration:
Ballotpedia’s list of all the wishers and hopers who have filed with the
Federal Elections Commission – hundreds of the hopeful, the hopeless and the
just plug-ugly (those being the ones whom other media sources have given at
least a Chi... well, to be PC, a Xi-tistic’s... chance). See their names and parties at Attachment the
Last. Joe Biden is on that cattle call
(adjacent to a mysterious “Joe Exotic”... BP admitting that some of the filers
used stage names, pseudonyms or just plain lied – but if the FEC accepted their
filing… no problemo). So are Donald
Trump and Ron DeSantis – and so are some Greens and Libertarians and
Independents as well as, for the nostalgic, a handful of Peace and Freedoms,
American Independents and one... only one?... Reform – as well as candidates
from an assortment of political parties that exist, like Mister Trump’s
definition for declassification, only in
their minds.
Toss in repeat
billionaire liberal Tom Steyer (not even noted in the polls this time round), a
“Barak” (Zilbergerg, not Obama), an Arthur (but not Leslie) Van Houten, a
Franklin Delano (but Rutherford, not Roosevelt), a Michael (but not Steve)
Bannon, and a Robert (no “E”) Lee. The
population of obviously joke-ish names has dropulated considerably (have they
raised their fees or getting “woke”?) but there is still an I. Curious, a “Sexy
Vegan”, some royalty: a (purportedly genuine) Princess Khadijah M. Pres Jacob-Fambro, and, for the religious, a
Christianm tho’ Democratic “Saint Jermaine Endeley” to accompany Saint Ron and,
for the from-India Indians suspicious of Nikki and Ramaswamy, there’s Shiva
(the Hindi Destroyer) Ayyadurai.
He’s a registered Independent, because Destroyers don’t suck up to anybody. Not
even Transformers (not yet a registered party – but wait!).
We’ll take a further
look at these aspiring aspirants in the near or far future, when things that
really matter to Don Jones... like more Trump indictments, Fed interest rate
hikes or polluted orange skies... cut the DJI some summer slack.
June Fifth through
Eleventh, 2023 |
|
|
Monday, June 5, 2023 Dow: 33,562.86 |
It is (was) Default Day. Also, begins National Dairy Month. The battle
of the budget settled ‘til whomever coaxes the voters is elected and prepared
to take office in 2025 is revealed, Don and Ron have more competition... the
former applauding, the later quaking.
There’s bad news for Trump... Special Counsel Jack Smith confers with
attorneys on the docs case (as opposed to the riot case, the Georgia ballot
case and Stormy)... and more bad news for DeSantis (California DA Rob Bonta
calls his transfer of migrants to the Golden State a crime, making the top
two Republican office-seekers likely to have to pardon themselves to get out
of the Big House and serve their term in the White House). And what have they got on Nikki? Autopsy
Annies and Arnies seek and ponder on last week’s disasters... the building
collapses in Connecticut and Iowa, the DC plane and, in India, the killer
trainwreck. Bad Mommas summoned to
face the music... the parent of unnamed six year old school shooter arrested,
as is the other who let her kids die in a car fire at the mall while she was
inside, shoplifting. They’ll need
lawyers... but not the corporate attorney extradited from Wall Street, New
York, to Boston for at least four old rapes. |
|
Tuesday, June 6, 2023 Dow:
33,573.28 |
It’s the 79th
anniversary of D-Day. Also, for whatever
reason given, Gay Pride night. Somebody (Bad Vlad and Old Volod trade
accusations) blows up Ukrain’s largest dam, flooding the land west of the
Dnipro as Russian snipers pick off rescue workers trying to save drowning
civilians. Nukrainers say that the
battered Zaporizha atomic plant is safe... for now. First Lady Olena Zelenska warns the West:
“Don’t get used to our pain.”
Candidate Ramaswany agrees, promising to cut off all aid and let Putin
take Kyev, then Moldova, Poland, the Baltics... and on to Berlin. Apple’s Tim Cook cites his new Vision Pro
glasse that allow you to step into any streaming scenario from the Metaverse,
whether the soldiers fighting and dying on TV or actors in old movies want you
there or not. “You’ll step into tomorrow
today,” he promises purchasers of the $3,500 glasses... rich, lonely men are
also plotting to invade old porn movies. Speaking of Hollywood and AI, the
Directors’ Guild settles their strike but actors join the writers on the
picket line. So, with neither side
budging on the issue of robotic replacements, maybe Don Jones will do as
predicted in “Savage Saturday” and read books
with his entertainment options cut to game shows and cartoons, voiced by
foreign actors. (Speaking of which,
the live to toon Spiderman spears the toon to live Litle Mermaid to capture
box office honors.) In the real world, a Graduation Day gunman
shoots seven, kills two in Richmond, including a teen graduate twenty minutes
after receiving his diploma. Maybe the
Metaverse is a better place, after all. |
|
Wednesday, June 7, 2023 Dow:
33,666.02 |
Anniversaries rock! Pence (Mike) turns 64, Prince (Posthumous)
turns 65. Prince Harry takes the stand
and complains that the British tabloids ruined his pre-Meghan love life by
publicizing his predilection for lap dancing. Mike is
only the first of two new Trump-hating candidates (above), saying he should
never be President again while ex-Jersey Guv and TV talking head Chris
Christie saying that Djonald is “obsessed” with the mirror. There’s also mysterious Don Burgum (from
North Dakota!) joining the race. Dangerous
air quality from Canadian wildfires drifts down into Detroit and New York
City, turning the skies as orange as the old song by Love. Air quality
controllers ranking pollution on a scale of 1 to 500 say NYC’s index is
484... worst in the world, leading even (Old) Delhi at 160 and Shanghai at
125. People who spent two years
wearing masks indoors now wear them indoors.
President Joe blame (surprise!) climate change as the toxic smoke
drifts south towards Washington. More
media and tech troubles as Twitter is accused of spying on Saudi dissidents
and ratting them out to the hit squads, Reddit cuts its staff by 5% and CNN purges now-unwanted CEO
Chris Licht. Hey... Tucker Carlson’s
available. |
|
Thursday, June 8, 2023 Dow:
33,833.61 |
Toxic smoke drifts
down to D.C. causing respiratory distress and bringing back the masking all
the way West to Chicago. Weatherpeople
blame the Omega Block – cool air on the coasts, warm in the middle. Harrisburg PA tops NYC’s record pollution
index of 484 (above) with 491.
President Joe sends firepeople and
gear to Canada to fight the wildfires. Jack Smith sends Trump a “warning letter”
that the talking heads say is a precursor to indictment. And so it is. Djonald UnBowed reiterates that he is an
innocent man because former Presidents, like current ones, can declassify any
documents they wish. And he can even
do it with his mind. In landmark voting rights case, Justice
Bret “Beerman” Kavanaugh joins Chief Justice Roberts and the three liberals
to overturn Alabama’ s gerrymandered Congressional districts as
disenfranching black voters. And RIP to preacher and politician Pat
Robertson who ran for President on a platform of making America a theocracy
and blaming God’s anger at tolerance of gays for Nine Eleven. |
|
Friday, June 9,
2023 Dow:
33,876.78 |
Special Counsel
Smith indicts Trump in a 49 page document citing 37 charges including
espionate and conspiracy (see above).
Trump denies it all, pens some angry tweets on social media and then
goes off to play golf, leaving the details to his trusted attorney, James
Trusty. Wahington DC declares Code Purple on toxic
air quality as NYC slowly improves, losing its “burnt orange eclipse” TV weatherman Sam Champion declares: “We
are not going to get those fires out.” Children are in crisis as more childcare
centers are closing due to the lingering effects of the plague and the low
wages that are causing caregivers to seek better jobs. A good Samaritaness contributes money to
help pay off student lunch debts, which had left many kiddies hungry. And in more good juvenile news, four kids
(13, 9, 7 and 1) survive forty days wandering the jungle in Colombia after a
plane crash kills their parents. Mom
died on the fourth day, telling them to be strong and so they ate local
fruits and vegetables, drank rainwater and were found three miles from the
crash site. |
|
Saturday, June 10th, 2023 Dow:
(Closed) |
Cloud Code Purple and
its orange skies drift slowly southwards, provoking air quality alerts in
twenty states and cancellations at workplaces, schools, outdoor events and
sports. Not helping are a few health
care providers including clinics and hospitals who kick clients with
outstanding debts out into the streets to deal with whatever on their own, or
die. Crime is not impacted. Mass shooter targets three in San
Francisco, more target six at Houston nightclub. Colorado cops kill teenager shoplifting
vape cartridges who displayed a pellet gun.
“Pellet guns are dangerous,” say police spokesmen. In next door Utah, white homeowner who
killed black mom with noisy kids is arrested after reports circulate that she
told neighborhood children that they were “slaves”. Strike one off the list – Unabomber Ted
Kaczynski found dead in prison.
Officials agree that it was suicide and never is heard a discouraging
word. And another... Soviet (that’s the
old Russia, before Putin) spy Robert Hansen also kicks the bucket, plunging
down to join Ted on a bench while the Devil figures out what to do with
them. (This assumes, of course, that
Heaven and Hell are uniquely and partisanly American.) |
|
Sunday, June 11th, 2023 Dow:
(Closed) |
Sunday talkshows feature Sunday Trumpbros (Sen.
Lindsey Graham and former NY Congressman Lee Zelkind) and a few more
Trump-nos (the usual suspects). See
above. Less speculation about the
details of Tuesday’s arrest... the perp walk, the handcuffs, the mugshot, the
merch. Latest intelligence has the
former President being “driven underground” at the Miami courthouse, where he
will be taken into custody in abasement.
(A basement.) Waiting
for arrest, Don Jones muses old cold cases: remembers Unabomber Ted and his
manifesto, ponders the murderous fentanyl wife in Utah, this guy in Idaho,
that other guy in Virginia, the Vanderpumps, the Van der Sloot and all the
rest on Justice’s island.
Ukrainians said to have begun spring offensive, driving Russian troops
out of villages in the south and the east, but the destruction of the
gigantic Kakhovka Dam has flooded the West Bank of the Dnipro, causing a
shortage of potable water, destroying crops and creating 700,000 more
refugees. Putin also shells Odessa
with Iranian missiles and transports nukes to Belarus. President Joe hosts a Gay Pride party at
the White House. Russians
aren’t the only grizzlies on the march... a black bear joins the swimmers
(and sharks) at a Destin, Florida beach, another prowls Washington D.C. –
perhaps looking for votes, or garbage. |
|
The Don fell back
again, almost sliding to parity with our debut nearly ten years ago – solely
on the catastrophic balance of trade for May.
Don Jones bought foreign stuff – foreign roses for Mother’s Day,
foreign fireworks for Memorial Day (and stocking up for July Fourth) while
American factories, exporters and biznessmen slacked off. Blame the orange skies, blame the Democrats
or Congress, blame the indictments (two now set, two more pending) of Donald
Trump or Trump, or the donkeys before and after; or, as ever, those damn
Chinese for making so much stuff that Americans can’t resist shoving into
their shopping carts... whatever the cause, the United States is in decline
and, as there is no debt ceiling on credit card bills, it’ll only get worse. The Debtclock
index of individual per capita consumer debt is up to about $75,000 (some of
that in mortages, as those rates are rising too with the money disappearing
into the pockets of Dark Finance) and the collective tab is nearing $100
billion. That’ll be a glass ceiling (or basement floor) whose shattering
will be an historic (if unpleasant) event. (As to that
future, with Hollywood entertainmen exports shut down by one strike and the
West Coast ports shut down by another (container ships bearing imports still
swarming in but, like roaches to a bait trap, nothing going out again... the
prospects of anything better for a while seem bleak. Until the furriners cut off our credit.) |
|
CHART of CATEGORIES w/VALUE ADDED to EQUAL
BASELINE of 15,000 (REFLECTING… approximately… DOW JONES INDEX
of June 27, 2013) See
a further explanation of categories here… ECONOMIC INDICES (60%) |
CATEGORY |
VALUE |
BASE |
RESULTS |
SCORE |
OUR SOURCES and COMMENTS |
|
||||||||||||||
INCOME |
(24%) |
6/17/13 & 1/1/22 |
LAST |
CHANGE |
NEXT |
LAST WEEK |
THIS WEEK |
|
||||||||||||
9% |
1350 points |
6/5/23 |
+0.42% |
6/23 |
1,434.50 |
1,434.50 |
|
|||||||||||||
Median Inc. (yearly) |
4% |
600 |
6/5/23 |
+0.28% |
6/19/23 |
607.99 |
608.16 |
http://www.usdebtclock.org/ 35,880 |
|
|||||||||||
Unempl. (BLS – in mi) |
4% |
600 |
5/8/23 |
nc |
6/23 |
616.52 |
616.52 |
|
||||||||||||
Official (DC – in mi) |
2% |
300 |
6/5/23 |
+0.11% |
6/19/23 |
289.62 |
289.94 |
http://www.usdebtclock.org/ 5,492 |
|
|||||||||||
Unofficl. (DC – in mi) |
2% |
300 |
6/5/23 |
+0.29% |
6/19/23 |
335.52 |
336.51 |
http://www.usdebtclock.org/ 9,505 |
|
|||||||||||
Workforce Particip. Number Percent |
2% |
300 |
6/5/23 |
+0.031% -0.014% |
6/19/23 |
303.29 |
303.25 |
In 162,450 Out 99,971 Total: 262,421 http://www.usdebtclock.org/ 61.904 |
|
|||||||||||
WP %
(ycharts)* |
1% |
150 |
2/27/23 |
nc (3 mos.) |
5/23 |
151.19 |
151.19 |
https://ycharts.com/indicators/labor_force_participation_rate 62.60 |
|
|||||||||||
|
||||||||||||||||||||
15% |
Biggest jump: used cars |
|
|
|||||||||||||||||
Total Inflation |
7% |
1050 |
5/22/23 |
+0.4% |
6/23 |
991.90 |
991.90 |
http://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm +0.4 |
|
|||||||||||
Food |
2% |
300 |
5/22/23 |
nc |
6/23 |
278.78 |
278.78 |
http://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm +0
0 |
|
|||||||||||
Gasoline |
2% |
300 |
5/22/23 |
+3.0% |
6/23 |
246.77 |
246.77 |
http://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm +3.0 |
|
|||||||||||
Medical Costs |
2% |
300 |
5/22/23 |
-0.1% |
6/23 |
296.67 |
296.67 |
http://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm
-0.1 |
|
|||||||||||
Shelter |
2% |
300 |
5/22/23 |
+0.4% |
6/23 |
278,25 |
278,25 |
http://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm +0.4 |
|
|||||||||||
WEALTH |
6% |
|
|
|
||||||||||||||||
Dow Jones Index |
2% |
300 |
6/5/23 |
+0.34% |
6/19/23 |
277.44 |
278.38 |
https://www.wsj.com/market-data/quotes/index/ 33,876.78 |
|
|||||||||||
Home (Sales) (Valuation) |
1% 1% |
150 150 |
5/1/23 |
-3.60% +3.49% |
6/23 |
134.58 283.40 |
134.58 283.40 |
https://www.nar.realtor/research-and-statistics Sales (M): 4.28 Valuations (K): 388.8 |
|
|||||||||||
Debt (Personal) |
2% |
300 |
6/5/23 |
+0.092% |
6/19/23 |
273.96 |
273.71 |
http://www.usdebtclock.org/ 74,328 |
|
|||||||||||
|
|
|||||||||||||||||||
NATIONAL |
(10%) |
|
|
|
||||||||||||||||
Revenue (trilns.) |
2% |
300 |
6/5/23 |
+0.04% |
6/19/23 |
391.29 |
391.46 |
debtclock.org/ 4,670 |
|
|||||||||||
Expenditures (tr.) |
2% |
300 |
6/5/23 |
+0.10% |
6/19/23 |
334.45 |
334.12 |
debtclock.org/ 6,152 |
|
|||||||||||
National Debt tr.) |
3% |
450 |
6/5/23 |
+0.05% |
6/19/23 |
424.07 |
423.87 |
http://www.usdebtclock.org/ 31,840 (The debt ceiling... now kicked forward to 1/1/25... had been 31.4) |
|
|||||||||||
Aggregate Debt (tr.) |
3% |
450 |
6/5/23 |
+0.09% |
6/19/23 |
418.42 |
418.04 |
http://www.usdebtclock.org/ 96,513 |
|
|||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||||
GLOBAL |
(5%) |
|
|
|
||||||||||||||||
Foreign Debt (tr.) |
2% |
300 |
6/5/23 |
+0.069% |
6/19/23 |
344.48 |
344.72 |
http://www.usdebtclock.org/ 7,269 |
|
|||||||||||
Exports (in billions) |
1% |
150 |
5/22/23 |
-2.41% |
7/23 |
159.13 |
154.66 |
https://www.census.gov/foreign-trade/current/index.html 249.0 |
|
|||||||||||
Imports (bl.) |
1% |
150 |
5/22/23 |
-6.725% |
7/23 |
170.48 |
159.02 |
https://www.census.gov/foreign-trade/current/index.html 343.5 |
|
|||||||||||
Trade Deficit (bl.) |
1% |
150 |
5/22/23 |
+13.94% |
7/23 |
308.61 |
265.59 |
https://www.census.gov/foreign-trade/current/index.html 74.6 |
|
|||||||||||
SOCIAL
INDICES (40%) |
|
|||||||||||||||||||
ACTS of MAN |
12% |
|
|
|
||||||||||||||||
World Affairs |
3% |
450 |
6/5/23 |
-0.2% |
6/19/23 |
450.37 |
449.47 |
Manly Russians send nukes
to Belarus and Chinese chicken fighters provoke and threaten WW3; wimpy
President Joe and NSAs Jake Sullivan counsel diplomacy. With French retirement strikes still going
on, unions promise a “Day of Action” – set les flics on fire. Deposed
and disgraced BoJo further humiliated by having to resign his seat in
Parliament for throwing those plague parties. |
|
|||||||||||
Terrorism |
2% |
300 |
6/5/23 |
-0.4% |
6/19/23 |
291.32 |
290.15 |
Ukrainian dam blown up,
causing massive flooding – Russian snipers shoot first responders trying to
save drowning victims. President Joe
promises $2B more in aid to the Ukes.
“Bob’s Burgers” actor Jay (Jimmy Pesto) Johnston arrested as One Six
rioter. |
|
|||||||||||
Politics |
3% |
450 |
6/5/23 |
nc |
6/19/23 |
480.15 |
480.15 |
House Repubs, diverting
attention from Trump doc debacle, threaten to indict FBI Director Wray over
one Biden document, but fizzle out.
Joe, meanwhile, hosts a Gay Pride party and signs a bill enhancing
bennies for military spouses. Blacktivist Cornel West announces 3rd
party run for President, Trump smile grows even broader as the pre-arrest
martyr-money pours in. |
|
|||||||||||
Economics |
3% |
450 |
6/5/23 |
-0.2% |
6/19/23 |
430.48 |
429.62 |
TV writers and actors
still on strike, now Barnes & Noble bookstore employees walk off
too. Spotify and Reddit slash
jobs. CEOs purged, Chris Licht of CNN,
Matthew Furlong of GameStop, Mortgage rates slide down for
the first time in months; ending of plague moratoria causes spike in
foreclosures and evictions (as well as homelessness). |
|
|||||||||||
Crime |
1% |
150 |
6/5/23 |
+0.1% |
6/19/23 |
257.10 |
257.36 |
Stand Your Ground woman
accused of killing neighbor because of her noisy kids. FTC cracks down on crypto-crooks. Mass stabbing of children on French
playground and shooters shooting – although fewer than in past weeks. |
|
|||||||||||
ACTS of GOD |
(6%) |
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||
Environment/Weather |
3% |
450 |
6/5/23 |
-0.5% |
6/19/23 |
413.51 |
411.44 |
Canadian wildfires send
toxic smoke south over America create killer Code Purple Alerts and
hyper-toxic readings of 484 in New York (more than three times any other
world smogtown like Delhi or Shanghai), only to be topped by a 491 in
Harrisburg, Pa. |
|
|||||||||||
Disasters |
3% |
450 |
6/5/23 |
+0.7% |
6/19/23 |
436.37 |
439.42 |
Four children from 13 down
to one rescued by Colombian searchers after plane crash and forty days
wandering the jungle. 20 fairgoers
rescued after Delaware carnival ride malfunctions. |
|
|||||||||||
LIFESTYLE/JUSTICE INDEX |
(15%) |
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||||||||
Science, Tech, Educ. |
4% |
600 |
6/5/23 |
nc |
6/19/23 |
626.59 |
626.59 |
Airlines roll out new
seating configurations – wider seats for wheelchair users and First Classers,
double, even triple decker cramptoriums for the peasants. Apple’s Tim Cook pimps weird and expensive
new glasses that help you escape this worldly Kakiverse and enter his new Somethingverse. MicroSoft settles suit for children’s
privacy violations. Twitter accused of
spying on Saudi dissidents. |
|
|||||||||||
Equality (econ/social) |
4% |
600 |
6/5/23 |
+0.5% |
6/19/23 |
612.40 |
615.46 |
SCOTUS surprise: Alabama
gerrymandering overturned. Arcangelo
wins the Belmont States making Jena Antonucci the first female Triple Crown
trainer. |
|
|||||||||||
Health |
4% |
600 |
6/5/23 |
+0.2% |
6/19/23 |
470.15 |
471.09 |
Pope Frank undergos
successful intestinal surgery.
Northest air quality tanks w/ Canadian fires. TV docs predict a new, mutated virus for
summer. 125 get plain old norovirus on
a cruise ship. Ford recalls 125K trucks with fiery engines. TVdocs and victims’ parents say marijuana
KILLS. |
|
|||||||||||
Freedom and Justice |
3% |
450 |
6/5/23 |
+0.2% |
6/19/23 |
465.00 |
466.83 |
Bad sex raps follow a NY
corporate lawyer from New York to Boston, actor Cuba Gooding Junior and J. P.
Morgan (he’s long dead but his company, having had something to do with
Jeffrey Epstein, pays off victims),
NBC pollsters report declines in American’s patriotism, religious
belief and confidence in the future. |
|
|||||||||||
MISCELLANEOUS and TRANSIENT INDEX |
(7%) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||
Cultural incidents |
3% |
450 |
6/5/23 |
+0.2% |
6/19/23 |
494.90 |
495.89 |
Jokers run wild as Novak
Djokovic wins French Open and Nikola Jokic leads Denver to a 3-1 lead over Miami in the NBA. Vegas leads
Florida in the NHL PGA and
Saudi LIV in surprise merger... golfers conflicted over the human rights
thingy. Soccer star Lionel Messi to
play “normal football” for Miami. Rose Zhang wins LPGA match in her
professional debut, 13 year old loses, but is congratulated anyway. Taylor
Swift eats a bug onstage in Chicago and Billy Joel says that he’ll retire (in
a year or so). Transgenders (2) rule
the Tonys, and Transformers (164 or
something overtakes) Spidertoon and fishy girl at the Box Office Boffies. RIP Astrid Gilberto, the Girl from
Ipanema; WWE rassler Iron Shiekh; track star Jim Hines; pianist George
Winston; religious right leader Pat Robertson. RIHell
Robert Hansen, FBI traitor and Ted Kaczynski, Unabomber. |
|
|||||||||||
Misc. incidents |
4% |
450 |
6/5/23 |
+0.3% |
6/19/23 |
479.75 |
481.39 |
Dadeville shooting victim
goes home to learn to walk and talk again after two months in hospital; one
month in coma. Black bears take a swim
in Destin, Fl. and mosey through neighborhood
in Washington DC (above) without incident.
Florida oceanic researcher emerges after 100 days underwater, having
survived sharkless and bearless. |
|
|||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||||||
The
Don Jones Index for the week of June 5th through June 11th,
2023 was DOWN 50.25 points
The Don Jones Index is sponsored by
the Coalition for a New Consensus: retired Congressman and Independent
Presidential candidate Jack “Catfish” Parnell, Chairman; Brian Doohan,
Administrator. The CNC denies,
emphatically, allegations that the organization, as well as any of its officers
(including former Congressman Parnell, environmentalist/America-Firster Austin
Tillerman and cosmetics CEO Rayna Finch) and references to Parnell’s works,
“Entropy and Renaissance” and “The Coming Kill-Off” are fictitious or, at best,
mere pawns in the web-serial “Black Helicopters” – and promise swift, effective
legal action against parties promulgating this and/or other such slanders.
Comments, complaints, donations
(especially SUPERPAC donations) always welcome at feedme@generisis.com or: speak@donjonesindex.com.
ATTACHMENT ONE – From the New York Times
TEXT of the FEDERAL
INDICTMENT AGAINST DONALD TRUMP
(With commentary by
the NYT)
The
Justice Department on Friday unveiled an indictment charging former President
Donald J. Trump with 37 criminal counts. They relate to Mr. Trump’s hoarding of
sensitive government documents after he left office and his refusal to return
them, even after being subpoenaed for all remaining records in his possession
that were marked as classified.
Related
to withholding national defense information
One count against Mr. Trump for each document
he was alleged to have kept in his possession.
5 counts
Related
to concealing possession of classified documents
Among them are counts of conspiracy to
obstruct justice and withholding documents and records, levied against both Mr.
Trump and an aide, Walt Nauta.
2 counts
False
statements
Related to statements to the F.B.I. by Mr.
Trump and an aide, Walt Nauta.
A list of charges
against Donald Trump.
The
New York Times annotated the indictment.
Download
the original PDF to access notes, updates and photographs
1.
New York Times Analysis
Next »
1 Although law enforcement officials conducted most of the investigation using
a grand jury in Washington, the special counsel chose to bring the case in
Florida. That avoided a potential legal fight over venue, but it carried the
risk that the case would be assigned to Judge Aileen M. Cannon, who was
appointed by former President Donald J. Trump and who has issued a series of
rulings unusually favorable to him. Judge Cannon will indeed take the case,
according to people familiar with the matter.
2.
New York Times Analysis
« Previous
Next »
2 The indictment lays out the potential danger of the classified
information in the documents Mr. Trump kept at his Mar-a-Lago estate.
3.
4.
5.
New York Times Analysis
« Previous
Next »
3 As has been recently reported, the special counsel, Jack Smith, has
apparently obtained an audio recording of Mr. Trump acknowledging that he knew
a document in his possession was still classified. That stands at odds with Mr.
Trump’s public claims that he had declassified all the materials he took from
the Oval Office. (No credible evidence has emerged to support that claim, which
his lawyers had declined to repeat in court, where there are professional
consequences for lying.)
4 This section of the indictment outlines another incident in which Mr.
Trump is accused of having shown a classified document to someone while
acknowledging that it was still secret. It does not refer to a recording,
raising the possibility that the unidentified representative of his political
action committee provided this account to investigators.
5 The indictment lays out five specific actions by Mr. Trump that it says
were illegal obstruction.
6.
New York Times Analysis
« Previous
Next »
6 Mr. Trump’s aide Walt Nauta was also indicted and is described in this
filing as a co-conspirator in the crimes.
7.
New York Times Analysis
« Previous
Next »
7 The indictment emphasizes how many people were wandering in and out of
Mr. Trump’s estate in Florida, implying that improperly storing classified
documents there risked their disclosure.
8.
New York Times Analysis
« Previous
Next »
8 The indictment uses Mr. Trump’s words from the 2016 campaign, attacking
his rival, Hillary Clinton, over her use of a private email server while she
was secretary of state, to show he understood the importance of protecting
classified information.
9.
New York Times Analysis
« Previous
Next »
9 The indictment includes a photograph showing that some of the boxes Mr.
Trump had taken from the White House were stored for a time in a ballroom in
Mar-a-Lago where guests had access.
10.
New York Times Analysis
« Previous
Next »
10 The indictment includes a photograph by Mr. Nauta that shows boxes
spilling classified documents onto the floor of a storage room.
11.
New York Times Analysis
« Previous
Next »
11 The existence of this recording came
to public light this month. Mr. Trump claimed the document was written by
Gen. Mark A. Milley, the chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff.
12.
New York Times Analysis
« Previous
Next »
12 In this recording, Mr. Trump acknowledged that he had a document that
was still classified and was showing it to three other people who did not have
security clearances and were not authorized to see it.
13.
14.
New York Times Analysis
« Previous
Next »
13 The indictment again uses Mr. Trump’s own words to condemn him.
14 Throughout the investigation, reporting suggested that investigators
were examining the movement of boxes in and out of the storage room at
Mar-a-Lago after Mr. Trump knew the government wanted the documents back.
15.
New York Times Analysis
« Previous
Next »
15 The indictment accuses Mr. Nauta of lying to the F.B.I. about moving the
boxes.
16.
17.
18.
New
York Times Analysis
« Previous
Next »
16 The details of this description of Mr. Nauta
moving a box from the storage room, after a subpoena in May requested the
return of the documents, most likely come from Mar-a-Lago security camera
footage. Investigators also subpoenaed that footage.
17 Trump Attorney 1 remains unnamed in the document,
but the designation appears to refer to Evan Corcoran, who played a key role in
handling Mr. Trump’s responses to the government over its repeated requests for
the return of the documents. Mr. Corcoran made
a lengthy and detailed voice memo about his conversations with Mr. Trump.
Mr. Smith fought a legal battle to obtain that material, and a federal judge
ruled that the so-called crime-fraud exception to attorney-client privilege
applied.
18 The indictment inserts this anecdote,
apparently about personal emails on Mrs. Clinton’s private server that her
lawyer had destroyed, without comment. The insinuation may be that Mr. Trump
was implying, without directly asking, his lawyer to destroy classified
documents he found problematic.
19.
New York Times Analysis
« Previous
Next »
19 The special counsel appears to be connecting phone records and
surveillance footage to show a link between Mr. Trump’s and Mr. Nauta’s
actions.
20.
New York Times Analysis
« Previous
Next »
20 The indictment suggests that Mr. Trump and Mr. Nauta hid boxes of
documents from Mr. Corcoran, who would soon tell the Justice Department that
there were no other files responsive to the subpoena — which was not true.
21.
New York Times Analysis
« Previous
Next »
21 Here is another instance presented as Mr. Trump asking, without directly
asking, for Mr. Corcoran to destroy classified documents rather than turn them
over to the government.
22.
New York Times Analysis
« Previous
Next »
22 The lawyer who signed
a statement stating that a diligent search had been conducted and that all
known classified information had been returned to the government was Christina
Bobb, who was serving as the formal custodian of records for Mr. Trump’s office.
The indictment makes clear she did not know the statements in the attestation
were false.
23.
New York Times Analysis
« Previous
Next »
23 The narrative ends with the F.B.I. search that turned up 103
classified documents.
24.
25.
26.
New York Times Analysis
« Previous
Next »
24 Trump has been charged with violating a provision of the
Espionage Act, a 1917 law that makes it a crime to hold onto secret
government documents without authorization. This provision was enacted before the
advent of the modern classification system, and it does not require prosecutors
to prove that the secret documents had been deemed classified. Trump has
claimed that he declassified everything that he took from the White House,
although no credible evidence has emerged to support that claim. The penalty is
up to 10 years per offense.
25 Only Mr. Trump – not Mr. Nauta – is charged with violations of the
Espionage Act.
26 The indictment lists 31 documents, each of which is the subject of a
separate count of Espionage Act violation.
27.
New York Times Analysis
« Previous
Next »
27 Mr. Trump has been charged with violating a law that makes it
a crime to corruptly impede an official proceeding. The penalty is up to 20
years per offense.
28.
New York Times Analysis
« Previous
Next »
28 Mr. Trump has been charged with violating a law that makes it
a crime to conceal records to obstruct an official effort. The penalty is up to
20 years per offense.
29.
30.
New
York Times Analysis
« Previous
29 Mr. Trump and Mr. Nauta have each been
charged with one count of violating a law that makes it
a crime to issue false statements to federal investigators. Although Trump said
little directly to law enforcement officials — instead communicating through
his lawyers — people can be held liable for a crime if they induce other people to
commit the action. The penalty is up to five years per offense.
30 Trump Attorney 3 appears to refer to Ms.
Bobb. Mr. Trump is charged as the principal for the false statements made to
the government in Ms. Bobb’s certification because he is accused of having
induced them.
Correction:
June 9, 2023
An earlier of an
annotation on this page misstated the number of documents listed in the
indictment that are subject to Espionage Act violations. There are 31 listed,
not 38.
ATTACHMENT TWO (A) – From the Las Vegas
Review
DONALD TRUMP’S 2024 ELECTION BETTING ODDS IMPROVE AMID INDICTMENT
By Todd Dewey Las Vegas
Review-Journal April 4, 2023 - 12:50 pm
Donald Trump surrendered to authorities Tuesday at a
Manhattan courthouse after he became the first former U.S. president to be
indicted last week.
But the indictment hasn’t hurt Trump’s betting odds
to be the Republican 2024 presidential nominee. In fact, his odds have improved
at United Kingdom-based Betfair Exchange since his indictment.
Trump has climbed from a -120 favorite on March 27
to -128 on Tuesday at Betfair to win the nomination, while Florida Gov. Ron
DeSantis has seen his odds worsen from +200 to +245.
“Remarkably, Donald Trump hasn’t lost any support in
the 2024 US election betting markets since news broke of his indictment,”
Betfair spokesperson Sam Rosbottom said in an email. “In fact, he’s even gained
some backing and improved his chances of being on the ballot in 2024.
“(Bettors) continue to side with Trump despite the
news and it’s had an impact on Ron DeSantis’ odds of becoming the candidate in
the red corner.”
Subtitles Off
President Joe Biden remains the 2-1 favorite to win
re-election in 2024. Trump is the +295 second choice. DeSantis is +440.
A positive number represents how much you would
profit on a $100 bet. In this case, a bettor would win $295 on a $100 bet on
Trump to win the 2024 election.
Biden is the heavy -250 favorite to be the Democrat
nominee. Vice President Kamala Harris is 13-1, and California Gov. Gavin Newsom
is 14-1.
A negative number represents how much a person would
need to bet to profit $100. In this case, a bettor would have to wager $250 to
win $100 on Biden to win the nomination.
Betting on politics isn’t permitted at U.S.
sportsbooks.
ATTACHMENT TWO (B) –
From Draft Kings
2024 ELECTION ODDS
Candidate (Party) |
Odds |
Joe Biden (Dem) |
+150 |
Donald Trump (GOP) |
+240 |
Ron DeSantis (GOP) |
+450 |
Robert Kennedy Jr (Dem) |
+1800 |
Kamala Harris (Dem) |
+2500 |
Michelle Obama (Dem) |
+2500 |
Nikki Haley (GOP) |
+3500 |
Gavin Newsom (Dem) |
+3500 |
Pete Buttigieg (Dem) |
+4000 |
Gretchen Whitmer (Dem) |
+5000 |
Mike Pence (GOP) |
+5000 |
Tucker Carlson (GOP) |
+6500 |
Hillary Clinton (Dem) |
+6500 |
Liz Cheney (GOP) |
+8000 |
Bernie Sanders (Dem) |
+10000 |
Dwayne Johnson (TBD) |
+10000 |
Tulsi Gabbard (Dem) |
+10000 |
Josh Hawley (GOP) |
+10000 |
Kristi Noem (GOP) |
+10000 |
Mike Pompeo (GOP) |
+10000 |
Amy Klobuchar (Dem) |
+10000 |
Andrew Yang (Dem) |
+10000 |
Elizabeth Warren (Dem) |
+10000 |
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
(Dem) |
+10000 |
Odds as of May 23, 2023, at DraftKings Sportsbook.
ATTACHMENT THREE – From the British
Broadcasting Company
US PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION 2024: TRUMP'S TOP REPUBLICAN CHALLENGERS
Donald Trump is the
front-runner - but for how long?
By Sam
Cabral BBC News, Washington
The race for the
2024 Republican White House nomination is about to heat up as two long-tipped
contenders enter the fray.
Former US
Vice-President Mike Pence has officially joined the increasingly crowded field.
Ex-New Jersey Governor Chris Christie is poised to follow.
It places a big
political target on the back of the current front-runner, former President
Donald Trump, setting the stage for what promises to be an acrimonious contest.
The eventual winner
looks likely to challenge President Joe Biden, a Democrat, in the election of
November next year.
Mr Pence officially
launched his campaign with a speech on 7 June, putting him on a collision
course with his former boss.
The speech offered
his most forceful repudiation of Donald Trump to date, accusing the
ex-president of being unfaithful to the US constitution and of abandoning
conservative values.
It was a far cry
from his role as a loyal deputy to Mr Trump as his vice-president for four
years - until 2021's Capitol riot splintered their relationship.
The son of a Korean
War veteran, Mr Pence began his career in conservative politics as a talk radio
host.
He was elected to the
House in 2000 and served until 2013, describing himself as a "principled
conservative" and aligning with the Tea Party movement.
He also served as
governor of Indiana from 2013-17. In that role, he passed the largest tax cut
in state history, and signed bills to restrict abortion and protect religious
freedom.
Mr Pence, 64, is a
born-again evangelical Christian and his addition to the 2016 presidential
ticket is credited with helping mobilise the crucial voting bloc on behalf of
Mr Trump.
Calm and soft-spoken,
he was seen as an effective surrogate to the bombastic president. But Mr Trump
turned on him for lacking "courage" after he refused to help overturn
the 2020 election results.
Pro-Trump rioters
stormed the US Capitol in January 2021 and were heard chanting "Hang Mike
Pence!". At one point, they were reportedly within 40ft (12m) of the
vice-president.
Chris Christie
According to
multiple sources, the former New Jersey governor plans to announce his
candidacy on 6 June at a town hall event in New Hampshire, where the first
Republican primary election will be held.
After his own 2016
presidential bid failed, Mr Christie allied himself with Mr Trump, leading the
incoming president's transition team and preparing him for debates against Mr
Biden in 2020.
But he has become a
vociferous critic of Mr Trump since the US Capitol riots.
The sharp-tongued Mr
Christie previewed an attack line on Mr Trump at a New Hampshire town hall in
April, saying: "Donald Trump is a TV star, nothing more, nothing less. Let
me suggest to you that in putting him back in the White House, the re-runs will
be worse than the original show."
Mr Christie served
two terms as New Jersey governor from 2010-18. His time in office was
overshadowed by a political scandal involving bridge lane closures - part of an
alleged political vendetta against a Democratic mayor.
Before being elected
as governor, Mr Christie served as New Jersey's top prosecutor under President
George W Bush from 2002-08.
Ron DeSantis
Florida Governor Ron
DeSantis has worked hard to emulate Mr Trump, and is viewed as the candidate
most capable of defeating him in a head-to-head race.
Boosted to the
governorship by Mr Trump's endorsement, he romped to re-election in last year's
midterms by more than 1.5 million votes, the largest margin in the state in
more than four decades. Under his tenure, Republican voters outnumber Democrats
in the state for the first time.
At 44 years old, the
Harvard and Yale-educated lawyer is still a relative newcomer in US politics.
He once served in
the US Navy, including a tour in Iraq. He was also a little-known member of the
House of Representatives from 2013 to 2018.
But Mr DeSantis has
seen his star rise considerably since he became governor in 2019, a role in
which he has positioned himself as an enthusiastic culture warrior.
·
Six ways it's harder for Trump this time
·
WATCH: Five things to know about Ron DeSantis
He has backed
legislation to defund diversity and inclusion programmes, to ban teaching on
gender identity in public schools, ban drag shows and gender-affirming care for
minors, and restrict abortions and loosen gun laws. He is also mired in an
escalating legal battle with Walt Disney World.
The governor has
touted his record as a "blueprint" for conservative leadership, and
supporters have touted him as a drama-free alternative to re-nominating the
former president.
Mr Trump appears to
be paying very close attention and has attacked him almost daily on social
media.
Tim Scott
Senator Tim Scott
has a decades-long career in South Carolina politics and entered the race in
May with nearly $22m (Ł18m) - more than his rivals - in cash on hand.
The only black man
to ever serve in both chambers of Congress, the 57-year-old has represented
South Carolina in the Senate since 2013.
Mr Scott is the
grandson of a cotton field worker and the son of a single mother, and he has
often spoken of how his family rose "from cotton to Congress" in a
lifetime.
He launched his 2024
bid vowing to turn around "a nation in retreat" and revive America's
"culture of greatness".
Well-liked among his
colleagues, he quickly earned endorsements from two fellow senators, including
John Thune, the chamber's second highest-ranking Republican.
But he's not the
only top South Carolina Republican with a hat in the ring.
Nikki Haley
Nikki Haley
announced her bid for the presidency in mid-February, becoming the first major
Republican candidate to commit to taking on Mr Trump.
Once considered one
of the Republican Party's brightest young prospects, Ms Haley, 51, has kept a
lower profile in recent years.
Born in South
Carolina to Punjabi Sikh immigrants, Ms Haley became the youngest governor in
the country in 2009.
She earned national
attention in 2015 after calling for the removal of the Confederate flag from
the South Carolina Capitol.
Despite saying she
was "not a fan" of Mr Trump in 2016, she later accepted his
nomination to be the US ambassador to the United Nations, a tenure marked by
her dramatic exit from a UN Security Council meeting as a Palestinian envoy was
speaking.
Her campaign, which
includes a call for mandatory mental competency tests for politicians over 75
years old, stresses the need for "a new generation" of US leaders.
Vivek Ramaswamy
Vivek Ramaswamy, 37,
launched his dark-horse White House bid during a late February appearance on
the Fox News channel.
An Indian-American
biotech entrepreneur with no previous political experience, he was a regular
fixture on Fox host Tucker Carlson's daily programme, formerly the most-watched
cable news show in the US.
The Harvard and Yale
graduate argues the country is in the midst of a national identity crisis
driven by a decline in faith, patriotism and meritocracy.
He ran a
pharmaceutical company from 2014 to 2021, then co-founded Strive Asset
Management, which shirks the "divisive" environmental, social and
corporate governance (ESG) framework and offers itself as an alternative to
large firms like Blackrock.
Mr Ramaswamy is also
the author of Woke, Inc.: Inside Corporate America's Social Justice Scam.
Asa Hutchinson
Former two-term
Arkansas Governor Asa Hutchinson announced his run for president during an
April interview with ABC News just days after Mr Trump was indicted on criminal
charges in New York.
Mr Hutchinson, 72,
called the case "a sideshow and distraction" that should prompt Mr Trump
to withdraw from the race.
The former attorney
and businessman was the youngest federal prosecutor in the nation under the
Ronald Reagan administration.
He also served two
terms in the US House of Representatives, including as a prosecutor in Bill
Clinton's impeachment trial, and was George W Bush's Drug Enforcement
Administration (DEA) chief.
Presenting himself
as a "non-Trump" candidate with experience and a record of leadership
across multiple roles, he has vowed to lean into "common sense, consistent
conservatism".
Larry Elder
The conservative
talk radio host launched an unsuccessful campaign for California governor in
2021, pledging to repeal mask and vaccine mandates.
A lawyer who grew up
in Los Angeles' South Central neighbourhood, Mr Elder, 71, has slammed
Democrats' "woke" agenda and the idea of systemic racism.
He announced his
long-shot bid by tweeting: "America is in decline, but this decline is not
inevitable."
Glenn Youngkin
Glenn Youngkin
thrilled the Republican Party when he won the governor's race in Virginia in
2021. A political novice who spent 25 years at the Carlyle Group private equity
firm, he beat a man who had been in Democratic politics since the 1980s.
In a state that has
trended toward Democrats in recent years, Mr Youngkin criticised partisan
politics as "too toxic" and campaigned on a tone of bipartisanship.
But the 55-year-old
has waded into hot-button topics since his first day in charge, from revoking
the state's Covid-19 restrictions to banning the teaching of critical race
theory in schools.
After saying he
would not join the 2024 presidential race, Mr Youngkin is reportedly
reconsidering a run amid donor interest in a non-Trump candidate.
Perry Johnson
Perry Johnson, a
75-year-old businessman who tried to run for Michigan governor last year but
was disqualified, joined the race in March.
He is touting a plan
to reignite the economy by shaving 2% in federal spending every year.
Doug Burgum
The former software
executive and current North Dakota governor confirmed a run for the White House
on 7 June saying: "If you want more small-town common sense in Washington
and our big cities, we'll make that happen."
The New York
Times assessed his candidacy: "As the leader of his
deep-red state, Mr Burgum has overseen a period of significant economic
expansion, but he has also assented to staunchly conservative social policies,
even as he has downplayed his role in them."
Others who could run
Francis Suarez: Miami's Cuban-born mayor, the first US politician
to take their salary in cryptocurrency, is mulling a bid and has described
himself as "someone who needs to be better known by this country".
Will Hurd: The former Texas congressman, who retired from the
US House of Representatives in 2021, says a 2024 rematch between Mr Trump and
President Joe Biden is a "rematch from hell" that few Americans want
to see.
Liz Cheney: The daughter of former vice-president Dick Cheney
was once a rising star in the party but lost her seat in the House of
Representatives in 2021 over her fierce opposition to Mr Trump.
Greg Abbott: The Texas governor has routinely waded into
national debates on immigration, abortion and gun rights.
Who is not running?
Chris Sununu: The moderate Republican, who has been a popular
governor for the state of New Hampshire since 2017, said he will not seek his
party's nomination.
Larry Hogan: The moderate former governor of Democrat-friendly
Maryland said he did not want to be part of a crowded field that helps elect Mr
Trump again.
Ted Cruz: The Texas senator placed second in the Republican
primary for the 2016 presidential election behind Mr Trump but has said he will
run for re-election to the Senate in 2024.
Rick Scott: The Florida senator has frequently exchanged
vitriol with President Biden but says he too will run for re-election to the
Senate.
ATTACHMENT FOUR – From go.com (A
subsidiary of ABC)
WHO'S RUNNING FOR PRESIDENT IN 2024 AND WHO MIGHT RUN
The list of candidates includes Joe Biden, Donald
Trump, Ron DeSantis and more.
ByABC NEWS
June 5, 2023, 3:38 PM
The 2024 presidential race is taking shape, with
former President Donald Trump mounting a comeback bid for the White House, facing
GOP competition from former South Carolina Gov. Nikki
Haley, former Arkansas Gov. Asa Hutchinson, South Carolina Sen. Tim Scott and others.
Here's an updated list of who is running for
president in 2024 and a brief look at the potential contenders who have not yet
confirmed their plans.
This list also includes those politicians who have
definitively ruled out a campaign.
President Joe Biden
announces he's running again
President Joe Biden has announced he will seek a second term in office,
confirming a reelection bid he has long previewed -- as he faces a possible
rematch with Trump next November.
Biden announced his 2024 campaign in a pre-recorded
video on April 25, the four-year anniversary of his 2020 announcement.
"The question we are facing is whether in the
years ahead we have more freedom or less freedom. More rights or fewer,"
he said in the video, titled "Freedom," which was posted to his
social media account.
"This is not a time to be complacent. That's
why I'm running for reelection."
Biden, 80, has repeatedly said he intended to run in
2024 barring some major issues such as his health.
"[M]y intention has been from the beginning to
run. But there's too many other things we have to finish in the near term
before I start a campaign," he told ABC News anchor David Muir at the White House in
February.
Biden told Muir in December 2021 that the possibility of a
rematch with Trump wouldn't dissuade him.
"Why would I not run against Donald Trump for
the nominee? That'll increase the prospect of running," he said.
Donald Trump,
Republican
Trump, 76, formally launched his third bid for the White House on Nov. 15,
following the 2022 midterms, which did not meet Republican expectations.
Trump announced his campaign from his Mar-a-Lago
estate in Palm Beach, Florida. It didn't come as a surprise, given that Trump
had been hinting for months that he would make a run.
"America's comeback starts right now," he
said, describing the U.S. as "in decline" and touting his
administration as a "golden age."
However, Trump's third run for the White House comes
as he faces multiple investigations -- he denies wrongdoing -- and has become
increasingly estranged from some other leading figures in the GOP in the wake
of Jan. 6, his 2020 election lies and other controversies and scandals.
While polling shows he remains popular with many
voters in the party, others say they want another nominee.
Ron DeSantis,
Republican
Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis on May 24 filed paperwork with the Federal Election
Commission to run for president.
DeSantis, 44, was reelected to second term by a near
20-point margin in November. He enters the GOP primary field as Trump's biggest
rival, according to observers and voter surveys, though Trump has still led in
early polling.
A recent ABC News/Washington Post poll found that among the six
best-known candidates, Trump clinched 51% support from Republicans and
GOP-leaning independents while DeSantis garnered 25%. Still, a majority of
those voters said they'd be satisfied with either Trump (75%) or DeSantis (64%)
as their presidential nominee.
MORE: DeSantis' brand as a 'fighter' on the line as Trump throws
haymakers
Robert F. Kennedy
Jr., Democrat
Kennedy, 69, announced his bid for the 2024
Democratic presidential nomination at the Boston Park Plaza in Boston on April
19.
"I've come here today to announce my candidacy
for the Democratic nomination for President of the United States," he
during his campaign launch, noting that the aim of his campaign, and
presidency, would be to "end the corrupt merger of state and corporate
power."
As the child of Robert and Ethel Kennedy, the
younger Kennedy, an attorney and activist, has been discussing the possibility
of a run with the benefit of built-in name recognition, given his family's
legacy within the Democratic Party.
However, he is also likely to bring a dose of
controversy to the campaign trail given his well-documented efforts to
discredit vaccine use. Online, he has fueled conspiracies regarding vaccine
mandates throughout the COVID-19 pandemic and publicly voiced polarizing
positions at an anti-vaccine mandate rally in Washington, D.C.
The candidate has espoused vaccine hesitancy since
the 2000s, has become one of the most prominent voices in the anti-vaccine movement,
according to experts, as the founder of Children's Health Defense, a nonprofit
organization known mainly for its anti-vaccine efforts.
Nikki Haley,
Republican
Haley, 51, announced her presidential bid in a video released on
Feb. 14, a day ahead of a formal kickoff on Feb. 15 in Charleston.
Haley, who also served as a U.S. ambassador to the
U.N. in the Trump administration, is the first high-profile Republican to
challenge Trump.
In her announcement video, Haley, the daughter of
immigrants, highlighted her heritage as a South Asian woman and touted her
hopeful view of what America can offer.
"My mom would always say, 'Your job is not to
focus on the differences but the similarities.' My parents reminded me and my
siblings every day how blessed we were to live in America," Haley said.
She underscored her credentials as a former leader
of the Palmetto State, stressing its resilience, but most of all she said there
was a major need for change in the GOP's candidates.
"Republicans have lost the popular vote in
seven of the last eight presidential elections. … It's time for a new
generation of leadership," she said.
Haley was elected as the first female governor of
South Carolina in 2010, stepping down in 2017, during her second term, to serve
as a Trump ambassador until 2018.
Vivek Ramaswamy,
Republican
Ramaswamy, a 37-year-old multimillionaire
entrepreneur who founded a major biotech company, announced on Feb. 21 that he
is running for president as a Republican.
"We are in the middle of this national identity
crisis, Tucker, where we have celebrated our diversity and our differences for
so long that we forgot all the ways we're really just the same as Americans,
bound by a common set of ideals that set this nation into motion 250 years
ago," Ramaswamy told Fox News' Tucker Carlson.
When asked what his message to voters will be,
Ramaswamy said that "we need to put merit back into America in every
sphere of our lives" -- which includes immigration policy and affirmative
action, the latter of which he argued was "a national cancer."
In a campaign video shared on Twitter, he said: "We
still agree on our nation's most fundamental principles, at least most of us
do. Yet the goal of the ruling party in this country is to convince us that we
are divided."
The Indian-American entrepreneur is also the author
of "Woke, Inc.: Inside Corporate America's Social Justice Scam."
Chris Christie,
Republican
Former New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie plans on announcing a 2024 Republican bid for the
presidency on June 6.
Christie allies launched a super PAC to support his
bid ahead of his planned announcement at St. Anselm College on June 6 at 6:30
p.m. during a town hall event.
Christie, who also ran in 2016, has made the
argument that he might very well be the only Republican willing and able to
bring the force needed to knock off Trump, who is enjoying a sizable lead in
the race for the nomination.
"In American politics, if you want to beat
somebody, you've got to go get them, and you got to make the case,"
Christie told a group of New England voters in April. "So what I'm saying
tonight, I think, is the beginning of the case against Donald Trump. And that's
the first task for Republican primary voters -- decide who we're going to
nominate. And if we are willing to put up with that level of policy, and
character failure, then we're going to get what we deserve."
Larry Elder,
Republican
Edler, 70, a conservative talk radio host, announced
on April 20 that he was seeking the Republican nomination for president.
The long shot candidate first ran for elected office
in 2021 in the recall election to replace California Democratic Gov. Gavin
Newsom. Newsom survived the recall effort by a wide margin, but Elder placed first
among the replacement candidates.
In a tweet, Elder said, "America is in decline,
but this decline is not inevitable. We can enter a new American Golden Age, but
we must choose a leader who can bring us there. That's why I'm running for
president."
Marianne Williamson,
Democrat
Williamson, 70, first wrote in an email to donors on
Feb. 26 that would formally announce on March 4 that she is running for president as a Democrat, in a long
shot primary challenge to Biden.
Williamson is a bestselling self-help book author
who first ran for president in 2020 on a pacifist and progressive platform.
She dropped out of that race before any primaries
were held, but she outlasted several other serious contenders with impressive
electoral resumes, including now-Vice President Kamala Harris, who at the time
was a senator from California.
Williamson has advocated for solving foreign
conflicts without military intervention and embraced progressive platforms like
so-called "Medicare for All" and a $15 minimum wage.
She also became a viral sensation for infusing her
campaign with language from her career as an author, warning Trump in 2020 that
"I'm going to harness love for political purposes. I will meet you on that
field, and sir, love will win."
"We're all here because we care about this
country. But we're all here, or at least many of us are, because we are upset
about this country, we're worried about this country," she said in her
launch speech. "It is our job to create a vision of justice and love that
is so powerful, that it will override the forces of hatred and injustice and
fear."
Williamson also noted the conventional wisdom that
she will face a nearly impossible task of unseating Biden in a primary, casting
herself as a fighter against the establishment.
"I'm not naive about the forces which have no
intention of allowing anyone into this conversation who does not align with
their predetermined agenda," she said.
Asa Hutchinson,
Republican
Hutchinson, 72, announced he would run for president
on April 2 during an interview on ABC's "This Week" but
said an official launch would not take place until later in April in his home
state.
"I am going to be running. And the reason is,
I've traveled the country for six months, I hear people talk about the leadership
of our country. I'm convinced that people want leaders that appeal to the best
of America, and not simply appeal to our worst instincts," Hutchinson told
"This Week" co-anchor Jonathan Karl.
The former governor has emerged as a Trump skeptic
within the Republican Party, and indicated to Karl that he would seek to veer
away from culture wars and return to a party centered around the idea of small
government -- though he insisted he's not "anti-Trump," despite
calling on the former president to drop out of the race over his indictment in New York City.
"When I say 'non-Trump', I want to be able to
speak to the Trump voters. I want to be able to speak to all of the party and
say, 'This is the leadership that I want to provide, and I think that we need
to have border security. I think we need to have a strong America; we need to
spend less at the federal level.' These are the values that I represent,"
Hutchinson said.
Hutchinson expressed hope that his personal style in
early primary states could pay dividends.
"It's still about retail politics in many of
these states and also, this is one of the most unpredictable political
environments that I've seen in my lifetime. So my message of experience, of
consistent conservatism and hope for our future in solving problems that face
Americans, I think that that resonates," Hutchinson told Karl.
Tim Scott,
Republican
Scott, 57, formally announced his candidacy on May
22 at his alma mater Charleston Southern University.
Scott, South Carolina's first Black senator and the
Senate's sole Black Republican, shared an optimistic message of faith in the
American dream as he launched his campaign.
MORE: Tim Scott joins the 2024 Republican race for president
"We live in the land where it is possible for a
kid raised in poverty by a single mother in a small apartment to one day serve
in the People's House and maybe even the White House," Scott said.
He joined the race with more cash on hand than all
his Republican competitors, but was polling in the low single digits.
Perry Johnson,
Republican
A 75-year-old Michigan businessman, Johnson launched
his presidential campaign for the 2024 Republican nomination amid the 2023
Conservative Political Action Conference that began on March 1.
Johnson took third in CPAC's straw poll for
presidential picks, with nearly 5% of the vote. While he polled behind Trump
and Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, he was ahead of Haley and others.
While Johnson has no experience in elected office,
he has a long career in business in Michigan. with almost 30 years of
experience in the quality standards field. Two of his companies -- Perry
Johnson Registrars, and Perry Johnson, Inc. -- both can certify businesses as
meeting certain industry standards.
Before CPAC, his most notable political bid was when
he ran for governor in Michigan in 2022 but was removed from the ballot before
the Republican primary due to what state officials found to be fraudulent and
invalid petition signatures.
Steve Laffey,
Republican
The former mayor of Cranston, Rhode Island, Steve
Laffey announced his candidacy for president on Feb. 2.
In a statement, he said he wanted to confront the
country's issues.
"Our country has done the equivalent of using
Band-Aids in place of major surgery. Somehow, we have 'gotten by,'" he
said. "For the first time in a generation, we must directly confront our
problems."
Laffey is a long shot for the Oval Office, given his
relative lack of name recognition or statewide or federal experience.
He previously made a run for Senate in 2006 in Rhode
Island, against Republican Lincoln Chafee, who was ultimately defeated by
Democrat Sheldon Whitehouse.
Cornel West, third
party
Philosopher and political activist Cornel West, 70,
announced on June 5 that he's running for president with the left-wing,
populist People's Party.
While he acknowledged that his bid is a long shot,
he said in a Twitter announcement video that "I have decided to run for
truth and justice."
"I enter in the quest for truth. I enter in the
quest for justice. And the presidency is just one vehicle to pursue that truth
and justice, what I've been trying to do all of my life," he said.
West's major issues include broadening
government-provided health care under "Medicare-for-all" and ending
foreign military aid.
A look at potential
and expected presidential candidates
Former Vice President Mike Pence has filed paperwork
to run for president ahead of an expected announcement on June 7.
Pence broke with Trump over his ability to overturn
the 2020 election results. Pence told ABC News' Muir last year that he was
thinking about a bid and has been traveling to early primary states with a
message focused largely on social issues.
"I think the American people long for
leadership at the highest level that's focused on the issues that are affecting
their lives. And also, I think they longed for leadership that will keep faith
with our highest traditions," Pence told ABC "This Week"
co-anchor Jonathan Karl in March.
Meanwhile, North Dakota Gov. Doug Burgum is teasing
his own candidacy, which is set to be announced on June 6.
Another Republican in Florida is also angling to possibly join the 2024 race, along with
Trump and DeSantis: Miami Mayor Francis Suarez is weighing a bid for the White
House, recently telling ABC affiliate WMUR that he would be making a decision
"shortly" on whether to run.
Suarez has visited multiple early nominating states,
including a visit last week to New Hampshire where he spoke at the Institute of
Politics at Saint Anselm College, a staple venue for many mulling a
presidential campaign.
As he takes some of the typical early steps before
running for president, Suarez is previewing his case to occupy a potential
third lane in a Republican primary that has so far largely featured Trump and
DeSantis' conservative styles.
Who isn't running
Maryland Gov. Larry Hogan on March 5 became the
first major Republican mulling a presidential bid to say he will not run in
2024.
Hogan said in a statement that he would not
"risk being part of another multicar pileup that could potentially help
Mr. Trump recapture the nomination," as Trump did in 2016 when he won the
GOP nomination amid a splintered field.
Former Secretary of State Mike Pompeo on April 14 became another high-profile Republican to
announce he wouldn't be seeking the party's nomination.
"It is simplest, and most accurate, to say that
this decision is personal," Pompeo said in a statement. "This is not the right time for me and my
family."
"There remain many more opportunities for which
the timing might be more fitting as presidential leadership becomes even more
necessary," he continued.
And on June 5, New Hampshire Gov. Chris Sununu said
he will not run -- in order to keep the field of Republican candidates less
crowded so Trump is less likely to win.
"The stakes are too high for a crowded field to
hand the nomination to a candidate who earns just 35 percent of the vote, and I
will help ensure this does not happen," Sununu wrote in a column in The
Washington Post.
ATTACHMENT FIVE –
From Ballotpedia
The Whole f*@#ing
elephant herd...
2024
Presidential Election |
Presidential candidates • Electoral College in the 2024 presidential election • PredictIt markets • Presidential
debates • Timeline of announcements • Important dates • Presidential
election by state • Campaign
finance • Endorsements • Logos and slogans • Key
staffers |
Democratic
National Convention, 2024 • Delegate
rules |
Republican
National Convention, 2024 • Delegate
rules • Campaign
travel |
Use the dropdown menu below to read more about
noteworthy candidates Submit |
Ballotpedia's presidential election coverage |
The
United States will hold a presidential election on November 5, 2024. This will
be the 60th presidential election in United States history, and the first to be
held after the reallocation of electoral college votes following the 2020
redistricting cycle.[1]
As
of June 2023, Ballotpedia has identified three noteworthy Democratic
presidential candidates and 10 noteworthy Republican candidates. We identify
noteworthy primary candidates based on previous or current officeholder status,
previous presidential ballot access, media coverage, and primary debate polling
and fundraising thresholds. To read more about our noteworthy candidate
criteria, click here.
In
addition to noteworthy candidates, this page also provides the names of all
candidates who have filed with the Federal Election Commission and the names of
politicians and public figures discussed as potential presidential contenders
in 2024 by national media outlets.
Click
the links below to navigate to:
· A timeline of presidential candidate announcements
· Comparison of announcement timelines in previous cycles
· Possible Democratic presidential candidates
· Possible Republican presidential candidates
· List of registered 2024 presidential candidates
Timeline
· June
6, 2023: Former New Jersey Governor Chris Christie (R)
filed to run for president.[2]
· June
5, 2023: Former U.S. Vice President Mike Pence (R) filed to run for
president.[3]
· May
24, 2023: Florida Governor Ron DeSantis (R)
announced his candidacy.[4]
· May
22, 2023: Senator Tim Scott (R-S.C.)
announced his candidacy.[5]
· May
1, 2023: Virginia Governor Glenn Youngkin (R)
said he did not plan to declare a presidential candidacy in 2023.[6]
· April
25, 2023: President Joe Biden (D)
announced his re-election campaign.[7]
Click here to view more events through November 2022
Notable declared candidates and
exploratory committees
See also: Defining noteworthy presidential candidates (2024), How
we order candidate lists
The following noteworthy candidates have filed to run
for president with the Federal
Election Commission (FEC) or announced exploratory
committees. Click here to view a full list of all candidates who
have filed with the FEC.
Democratic
candidatesList of Democratic candidates
· Joe Biden (D), incumbent president of the
United States, announced he would run for re-election on April 25, 2023.[7]
· Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (D),
a lawyer and author, announced he would run on April 5, 2023.[11]
· Marianne Williamson (D), 2020
presidential candidate and author, announced she would run on February 23,
2023.[14]
Republican
candidates
List
of Republican candidates
· Chris Christie (R),
former governor of New Jersey, filed to run for president on June 6, 2023.[2]
· Ron
DeSantis (R), the governor of Florida, announced his candidacy
on May 24, 2023.[4]
· Larry
Elder (R), a talk radio host and 2021 California gubernatorial candidate,
announced his candidacy on April 20, 2023.[8]
· Nikki
Haley (R), former U.N. Ambassador and South Carolina Governor,
announced she would run on February 14, 2023.[16]
· Asa
Hutchinson (R), former Arkansas Governor, announced he would
run on April 2, 2023.[12]
· Mike
Pence (R), former vice president of the United States, filed to
run for president on June 5, 2023.[3]
· Vivek
Ramaswamy (R), entrepreneur and political commentator,
announced his campaign on February 21, 2023.[15]
· Tim
Scott (R), a United States senator from South Carolina,
announced his candidacy.[5]
· Corey
Stapleton (R), former Montana Secretary of State, announced he
would run on November 11, 2022.[19]
· Donald
Trump (R), former U.S. President, announced he would run on
November 15, 2022.[18]
Comparison of announcement
timelines in previous cycles
The chart below shows
noteworthy presidential campaign announcements in the odd years before the 2016,
2020, and 2024 presidential elections.
Possible Democratic
presidential candidates
As of June 2023, the following
politicians and public figures had been discussed in the media as potential
candidates for the 2024 Democratic presidential nomination.
Democratic
politicians
· Stacey Abrams, former Georgia state
representative and 2022 gubernatorial candidate[20]
· Eric Adams, mayor of New York City, New York[21]
· Michael Bennet, U.S. senator from Colorado[22]
· Andy Beshear, governor of Kentucky[20]
· Cory Booker, U.S. senator from New Jersey[22]
· Sherrod Brown, U.S. senator from Ohio[23]
· Pete Buttigieg, U.S. Secretary of
Transportation[22]
· Hillary Clinton, 2016 presidential candidate[24]
· Roy Cooper, governor of North Carolina[25]
· Andrew Cuomo, former governor of New York[20]
· Kamala Harris, vice president of the United
States[22]
· Jay Inslee, governor of Washington[26]
· Joe Kennedy, former U.S. representative from
Massachusetts[22]
· Ro Khanna, U.S. representative from California[23]
· Amy Klobuchar, U.S. senator from Minnesota[22]
· Mitch Landrieu, former mayor of New Orleans[25]
· Michelle Lujan
Grisham, governor of New Mexico[26]
· Joe Manchin, U.S. senator from West Virginia[27]
· Chris Murphy, U.S. senator from Connecticut[28]
· Phil Murphy, governor of New Jersey[29]
· Gavin Newsom, governor of California[20]
· Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez,
U.S. representative from New York[20]
· J.B. Pritzker, governor of Illinois[26]
· Gina Raimondo, U.S. Secretary of Commerce[29]
· Nina Turner, former Ohio state representative
and 2021 congressional candidate[30]
· Elizabeth Warren, U.S. senator from
Massachusetts[25]
· Gretchen Whitmer, governor of Michigan[26]
Independent
politicians
· Bernie Sanders, U.S. senator from Vermont[31]
Democratic
business executives and public figures
· Joe
Sanberg, entrepreneur and investor[30]
· Oprah
Winfrey, philanthropist and media executive[22]
· Andrew Yang, entrepreneur and philanthropist[32]
· Michelle Obama, former first lady of the
United States[33]
Possible Republican
presidential candidates
As of June 2023, the following
politicians and public figures had been discussed in the media as potential
candidates for the 2024 Republican presidential nomination.
Republican
politicians
· Greg Abbott, governor of Texas[34]
· Doug Burgum, governor of North Dakota[35]
· Liz Cheney, former U.S. representative from
Wyoming[36]
· Bob Corker, former U.S. senator from Tennessee[37]
· Tom Cotton, U.S. senator from Arkansas[38]
· Daniel Crenshaw, U.S. representative from
Texas[39]
· Ted Cruz, U.S. senator from Texas[40]
· Doug Ducey, former governor of Arizona[37]
· Mike DeWine, governor of Ohio[26]
· Joni Ernst, U.S. senator from Iowa[39]
· Josh Hawley, U.S. senator from Missouri[20]
· Adam Kinzinger, former U.S. representative
from Illinois[41]
· Mike Lee, U.S. senator from Utah[34]
· Kristi Noem, governor of South Dakota[42]
· Rand Paul, U.S. senator from Kentucky[43]
· Rick Perry, former governor of Texas and 2016
Republican presidential primary candidate[44]
· Mitt Romney, U.S. senator from Utah[45]
· Marco Rubio, U.S. senator from Florida[46]
· Ben Sasse, former U.S. senator from Nebraska[34]
· Rick Scott, U.S. senator from Florida[47]
· Elise Stefanik, U.S. representative from New
York[39]
· Glenn Youngkin, governor of Virginia[48][49]
Republican
business executives and public figures
· Tucker
Carlson, Fox News anchor[50]
· Candace
Owens, conservative activist[39]
· Donald Trump Jr., businessman and political
adviser[20]
· Ivanka Trump, businesswoman and political
adviser[38]
Did
not run for the Republican nomination
· Larry Hogan, former governor of Maryland[13]
· Mike Pompeo, former secretary of state[9]
· Chris Sununu, governor of New Hampshire[51]
And see ATTACHMENT
the LAST for the cattle call of registered wannabees!
ATTACHMENT SIX – From Politico
THE 2024 GOP FIELD: HOW THEY WIN, HOW THEY LOSE
By STEVEN
SHEPARD | March 20, 2023, 4:00 a.m.
EDT | Updated June 6, 2023, 3:19 p.m. EDT
The race for the GOP presidential nomination has a
set of historic firsts: a criminally indicted former president seeking an Oval
Office comeback, a vice president who refused to go along with a plot to steal
the last election, the most politically accomplished woman ever to run as a
Republican — and an already-popular governor waiting in the wings.
Who ultimately wins out will take on President Joe
Biden — and potentially secure the White House.
There are also other candidates and would-be
candidates, too. We've put the entire field into three categories — based
roughly on their chances to capture the nod — along with full scouting reports
for everything that could go right or wrong along the road to the 2024
convention in Milwaukee.
THE FAVORITES
The most likely nominee(s). The Favorites have
established major campaign infrastructure — plenty of money, staff in key
states, outside groups ready to bombard the airwaves with advertising — built
broad coalitions in polling and garnered endorsements from party leaders.
DECLARED
Ron DeSantis
Since his election as Florida's governor in 2018,
DeSantis has positioned himself as a national figure by championing far-right
causes — and successfully turned the nation's largest swing state a distinct
shade of red.
🏆 WINNING PATH
DeSantis doesn’t want to be the anti-Trump, but
rather a more effective (and less scandalous) continuation of the former
president’s political movement. By the numbers, it could be a winning primary
coalition to combine Trump fans with loyal Republicans who are skeptical about
a third straight Trump nomination. But it requires DeSantis to go at Trump
directly — without alienating too many of his supporters — and position himself
as a more electable alternative.
❌ LOSING PATH
His pre-launch struggles have exposed some of his
liabilities: There’s the perception that he’s an awkward campaigner, and his
efforts to sell Trump Lite to voters who want the full-calorie version have
fizzled so far. Trump has attacked him from the left on abortion and
entitlements, a strategy meant to undermine DeSantis’ electability arguments.
DECLARED
Donald Trump
The former president — who has refused to accept his
2020 defeat — is seeking to become only the second man in history to return to
the Oval Office after his ouster.
🏆 WINNING PATH
Trump remains popular among the Republican base
despite numerous scandals and the Jan. 6, 2021 riot at the Capitol that
punctuated his turbulent presidency. His false claim that he was the rightful
winner of the 2020 election has given his comeback bid a patina of grievance to
add to his appeal to return to the policies of his administration. With only a
few exceptions, Trump's likely rivals have refrained from criticizing his time
in office or behavior outside of it.
❌ LOSING PATH
Trump fatigue. Trump has dominated American politics
— in both parties — since he first became a candidate in 2015. Unlike his first
campaign, when the field against him was split, Trump could face a single
competitor who serves as a counterweight in DeSantis. And legal jeopardy on
multiple fronts — including criminal charges in New York — could convince
enough GOP primary voters to turn the page and look to the future, even if they
like Trump and his record as president.
THE CONTENDERS
In the ballgame, but not top-tier candidates. The
Contenders are running credible campaigns, with enough money and staff to be
competitive, but haven’t gained as much traction. Still, a Contender has enough
support in a key early state or among a segment of the GOP electorate to build
upon as the primaries approach — or potentially play king- (or queen-) maker
down the road.
DECLARED
Nikki Haley
Haley combines executive experience, foreign policy
chops, a tie to Trump’s administration, home-field-advantage in an early state
and a historic candidacy.
🏆 WINNING PATH
As the alternative to a months-long Trump-DeSantis
food fight. A win in South Carolina’s primary — third after Iowa and New
Hampshire — would go a long way to vaulting Haley into the top tier. Already,
Haley is the most politically accomplished woman — as a twice-elected governor
and cabinet member — to enter a Republican presidential primary field. Despite
the gender gap between the parties, women make up nearly half of the GOP
primary electorate.
❌ LOSING PATH
Like all of the candidates below the top tier, Haley
risks getting drowned out in a primary where Trump and DeSantis suck up most of
the oxygen. And Haley’s seemingly shifting views of Trump after the Jan. 6 riot
threaten her credibility in taking on her former boss.
DECLARED
Mike Pence
Pence spurned Trump when he honored the results of
the 2020 election, and the former vice president has been persona non grata
with Trump since.
🏆 WINNING PATH
He probably doesn’t. But if he can survive the early
caucuses and primaries as the candidate of choice of the GOP’s small but real
“never-Trump” bloc, he could be a powerbroker in the heart of primary season to
steer his voters toward an alternative.
❌ LOSING PATH
The danger for Pence is being a non-factor in the
race. Other candidates will hit Trump, too, though perhaps not with the
solemnity of the former vice president. And those in that group — DeSantis,
Haley, among others — won’t have Pence’s low ceiling.
RULED OUT
Ted Cruz
The 2016 runner-up is foregoing another campaign,
instead choosing to seek a third term in the Senate.
ADVERTISEMENT
THE LONG SHOTS
Not a factor — at least not yet. The Long Shots
barely register in polling, nationally and in the early states. There’s always
the possibility of catching fire, especially in one of the early states, to
propel you into the next tier. But there’s an even greater likelihood of an
ignominious, early dropout.
DECLARED
Ryan Binkley
A Dallas-area businessman and non-denominational
pastor, Binkley is concentrating his early efforts in Iowa, where he went up
with TV ads in early May 2023.
🏆 WINNING PATH
Binkley's opening ad hit inspirational notes,
promising to renew a country that is "strong, unified and reconciled to
God and each other."
❌ LOSING PATH
A first-time candidate with little national profile,
Binkley is betting big on an Iowa-first strategy that could easily flame out.
DECLARED
Chris Christie
Once a Trump ally, the former New Jersey governor
wants to be the field's leading (and loudest) critic of the former president.
🏆 WINNING PATH
A successful Christie campaign probably hinges on
Republican primary voters making a hard turn on the Trump era. He is clearly
hoping to engineer that himself, by attacking the former president directly and
clearing the path for an alternative. Christie did effectively end Marco
Rubio's 2016 campaign on the debate stage, but Trump commands a much more loyal
base.
❌ LOSING PATH
In 2012, Christie seemed to to have a real shot at
the nomination during his first term as governor — but he missed his moment
when he decided not to run. By the 2016 race, he was unpopular at home and
never gained traction. This time, it's dubious whether GOP primary voters want
to hear Christie's version of truth-telling about Trump's conduct and
personality.
DECLARED
Larry Elder
The former conservative media personality, who first
took the plunge when he campaigned to replace California Gov. Gavin Newsom in a
failed 2021 recall effort, is going national.
🏆 WINNING PATH
Elder worked for decades as a talk-radio host, and
he could be a strong communicator, including on a debate stage. Despite African
Americans making up a very small slice of the Republican primary electorate,
each of the past two contested primaries have seen Black candidates surge to
the top tier (Herman Cain and Ben Carson, respectively), though subsequently
decline before the voting began.
❌ LOSING PATH
A lot of ink was spilled about Elder’s effort to
topple Newsom mid-term, but the 2021 recall failed spectacularly, 62 percent to
38 percent. Elder was also accused by his ex-fiancee of abuse during their
relationship last decade.
DECLARED
Asa Hutchinson
After a lengthy career in public office — as a U.S.
attorney, congressman (and Bill Clinton impeachment manager), DEA administrator
and two-term Arkansas governor — Hutchinson says he’s mounting an underdog
presidential bid.
🏆 WINNING PATH
Hutchinson has expressed misgivings about the GOP’s
direction during the Trump era, but selling a return to the conservativism of
the 1990s and 2000s is an uphill climb. He says Trump should drop out of the
race following his indictment in New York — far from a majority opinion in the
party.
❌ LOSING PATH
He could end up like two of Trump’s 2016 rivals —
former New York Gov. George Pataki or another former Arkansas governor, Mike
Huckabee — who barely register after their political moments have already
passed them by.
DECLARED
Perry Johnson
Johnson failed to qualify for the ballot in his last
campaign — for Michigan governor in 2022 — but the businessman and
self-described “quality guru” has already been running cable-TV ads in Iowa.
🏆 WINNING PATH
Actually getting on the ballot would be a good
start. Johnson was disqualified in 2022 due to signature fraud — he blamed a
vendor — rendering the more than $7 million he loaned his campaign wasted. His
early-state advertising could get him on a debate stage, however, if he starts
to register in polls.
❌ LOSING PATH
Like other self-funding long shots, there's a limit
to how much of their own money someone would spend if they aren't going
anywhere.
DECLARED
Vivek Ramaswamy
The investor and former pharmaceutical company CEO
has launched an outsider campaign based largely on a critique of “wokeness”
among corporations and other institutions.
🏆 WINNING PATH
If his pet issue is vaulted to the fore, especially
in primary debates, where it will compete with a more traditional GOP issue set
of the economy, crime, foreign policy and immigration. But he also won’t be the
only loud voice against “wokeness” if DeSantis is in the race. He’s wealthy and
can afford to jump-start his campaign out of his own checkbook.
❌ LOSING PATH
Self-funding candidates often tire of spending
millions of dollars if they aren’t catching on among the electorate.
DECLARED
Tim Scott
The South Carolina senator is a favorite of the
party’s donor class and hails from an early-primary state.
🏆 WINNING PATH
By selling primary voters on a sunnier vision for
the country than Trump’s “retribution” tour or DeSantis’ war on liberalism.
Scott won’t have to worry about money — he’s one of the Senate GOP’s strongest
fundraisers and has connections to well-heeled conservatives like Oracle’s
Larry Ellison and the Koch network. And showing strength in South Carolina
could vault him into contention elsewhere.
❌ LOSING PATH
If Republican voters are more attracted to the
bellicose rhetoric from the current frontrunners. And if both Scott and Haley
are still on the ballot in South Carolina, it could dilute their favorite-son
and -daughter candidacies.
MAYBE
Doug Burgum
Only three states have a smaller population than
North Dakota, which has elected Burgum, a former tech executive, to two terms
as governor.
🏆 WINNING PATH
Burgum has a reputation as a conservative
technocrat, a profile typically more sought after among governors than
presidential candidates. If he can turn the focus to governing, he may get some
traction in a field otherwise mostly focused on Trump.
❌ LOSING PATH
Without any national profile, Burgum is counting on
making an impression in the party's primary debates — if he qualifies. While
North Dakota voters enacted term limits on the ballot in 2022, a grandfather
clause would still allow Burgum to seek a third term in 2024 if a presidential
bid doesn't work out.
MAYBE
Mike Rogers
Rogers gave up the gavel of the House Intelligence
Committee in 2014 to become a talk-radio personality. Now he says he’s
considering a political comeback.
🏆 WINNING PATH
The Michigan Republican is a frequent cable-news
guest, so he has a slightly higher profile than anyone else who hasn’t been on
a ballot in more than a decade. In addition to being a former intel chair in
Congress, he was an FBI agent before running for office — an interesting
profile in today’s GOP.
❌ LOSING PATH
As a TV pundit and all-around Republican wise man,
Rogers has occasionally been critical of Trump, even though he served on
Trump’s 2016 transition time and was briefly mentioned as a possible James
Comey replacement as FBI director in 2017.
UNLIKELY
Greg Abbott
Abbott was just elected to a third term as Texas
governor and has been one of Republicans’ top fundraisers anywhere in the
country.
UNLIKELY
Kristi Noem
UNLIKELY
Marco Rubio
Since being hailed as the potential future of the
GOP eight years ago, Rubio has been eclipsed by a fellow Floridian in DeSantis.
UNLIKELY
Glenn Youngkin
The term-limited Virginia governor is sometimes
floated as an electable conservative candidate.
RULED OUT
Tom Cotton
The Arkansas senator said in November 2022 he
wouldn’t run for president.
RULED OUT
Larry Hogan
The former Maryland governor — one of Trump’s top
GOP critics — chose not to enter the race.
RULED OUT
Mike Pompeo
After a monthslong flirtation, Trump’s former CIA
director and secretary of state announced in April that "the time is not
right" for him to launch a presidential campaign in 2024.
RULED OUT
Rick Scott
After an eventful four years in the Senate — including
a fruitless cycle as NRSC chairman and an unsuccessful effort to topple
Minority Leader Mitch McConnell — Scott chose a bid for a second term over a
presidential campaign.
RULED OUT
Chris Sununu
The popular governor of the first-in-the-nation
primary state of New Hampshire made the rounds in the national media,
dismissing Trump as the GOP’s leader, before announcing he wouldn't run.
ATTACHMENT SEVEN – From Various (as
listed)
Donald
Trump ATTACHMENTS 7A
1) From the BBC
7A1
Much noticed and referenced her, the BBC simply
explained the former President’s lead upon formally launching his
third bid for the White House on Nov. 15,
"America's comeback starts right now," he
said, describing the U.S. as "in decline" and touting his
administration as a "golden age."
Ron
DeSantis ATTACHMENTS
7B 1) From the BBC 7B1 FLORIDA
GOVERNOR RON DESANTIS HAS WORKED HARD TO EMULATE MR TRUMP, AND IS VIEWED AS
THE CANDIDATE MOST CAPABLE OF DEFEATING HIM IN A HEAD-TO-HEAD RACE. Boosted
to the governorship by Mr Trump's endorsement, he romped to re-election in
last year's midterms by more than 1.5 million votes, the largest margin in
the state in more than four decades. Under his tenure, Republican voters
outnumber Democrats in the state for the first time. At
44 years old, the Harvard and Yale-educated lawyer is still a relative
newcomer in US politics. He
once served in the US Navy, including a tour in Iraq. He was also a
little-known member of the House of Representatives from 2013 to 2018. But
Mr DeSantis has seen his star rise considerably since he became governor in
2019, a role in which he has positioned himself as an enthusiastic culture
warrior. He
has backed legislation to defund diversity and inclusion programmes, to ban
teaching on gender identity in public schools, ban drag shows and gender-affirming
care for minors, and restrict abortions and loosen gun laws. He is also mired
in an escalating legal battle with Walt Disney World. The
governor has touted his record as a "blueprint" for conservative
leadership, and supporters have touted him as a drama-free alternative to
re-nominating the former president. Mr
Trump appears to be paying very close attention and has attacked him almost
daily on social media. |
|
From Guardian
UK 7B3
FLORIDA TAXPAYERS PICK UP
BILL FOR RON DESANTIS’S CULTURE WAR LAWSUITS
Governor’s Disney
battle and extremist policies are met with costly lawsuits covered by ‘blank
check’ from Republican legislature
By Maya Yang
Sun 4 Jun 2023 06.00 EDT
Since Florida’s
governor, Ron DeSantis, took office in 2019 and embarked
on his culture wars, lawsuits from various communities whose rights have been
violated have been stacking up against the far-right Republican.
As DeSantis fights
the lawsuits with what critics have described as a blank check from the state’s
supermajority Republican legislature, the mounting legal costs have come
heavily at the expense of Florida’s taxpayers.
Ron DeSantis thanks then attacks heckler who called him a
fascist
In recent years,
DeSantis’s ultra-conservative legislative agenda has drawn ire from a slew of
marginalized communities as well as major corporations including Disney. The
so-called “don’t say gay” bill, abortion bans and prohibition of African American studies are just a few
of DeSantis’s many extremist policies that have been met with costly lawsuits in
a state where residents are already struggling with costs of living.
“The list of legal
challenges precipitating from DeSantis’s unconstitutional laws is endless,” the
Democratic state senator Lori Berman said.
“We’ve seen
Floridians rightly sue many if not all of the governor’s legislative
priorities, including laws that restrict drag shows for kids, prohibit Chinese
citizens from owning homes and land in Florida, suppress young and Black and
brown voters, ban gender-affirming care and threaten supportive parents with
state custody of their children, and of course, all the retaliatory legislation
waged against Disney for coming out in support of the LGBTQ+ community,” she
said.
As a result of the
mounting lawsuits against DeSantis, the governor’s legal costs, which the Miami
Herald reported last December amounted to at
least $16.7m, have been soaring.
In DeSantis’s legal
fight against Disney following the corporation’s condemnation of his
anti-LGBTQ+ laws, it is going to cost the governor and his handpicked board
nearly $1,300 per hour in legal fees as they look into how the corporation
discovered a loophole in DeSantis’s plan to acquire governing rights over
Disney World, Insider reports.
“Disney is a perfect
example. It doesn’t hurt any Floridians. There is nothing. It’s creating a
legal issue out of nowhere and now Disney sued so they have to respond and that
is going to cost taxpayers’ money. The whole Disney case is just because of
DeSantis’s ego and his hurt feelings,” the Democratic state senator Tina Polsky
said.
“Taxpayers are
paying to foot the bills to pass unconstitutional bills and to keep up with his
petty vengeance,” she said, adding: “I don’t think they’re aware at all …
They’re too brainwashed at this point that they wouldn’t even care.”
Meanwhile, in
another case covered by the Orlando Sentinel,
DeSantis’s administration has turned to the elite conservative Washington
DC-based law firm Cooper & Kirk to defend the governor against his slew of
“anti-woke” laws. The firm’s lawyers charge $725 hourly, according to contracts
reviewed by Orlando Sentinel. As of June 2022, the state authorized nearly
$2.8m for legal services from just Cooper & Kirk alone, the outlet reports.
With mounting
taxpayer-funded legal costs against DeSantis’s legislative agenda, critics
ranging from civil rights organizations to the state’s
Democratic lawmakers have lambasted DeSantis’s policies as unconstitutional and
mere political stunts designed to propel him to the frontlines of the GOP
primary.
“DeSantis went to
Harvard for his [law degree]. This is someone who should understand the
constraints placed on him and the state by the United States constitution and
the Florida constitution. He knows those constraints, but he doesn’t care. His
goal is to intentionally pass unconstitutional laws and set up legal challenges
in order for the conservative supreme court to overturn long-held protections,”
Berman said.
Bob Jarvis, a law
professor at Nova Southeastern University, echoed similar sentiments, comparing
DeSantis to his main competition and current GOP frontrunner Donald Trump, both
of whom he said are cut “from the same cloth”.
Ron DeSantis
says he will ‘destroy leftism’ in US if elected president
“Ron DeSantis is a
Harvard law school graduate. He is a lawyer. Whereas Donald Trump at least
could make the argument, ‘I’m just the layperson, I don’t know’ if … something
is deemed illegal or unconstitutional … DeSantis does not have that defense,”
Jarvis said.
Nevertheless,
DeSantis appears unfazed.
“DeSantis knows very
well that … what he is doing is unconstitutional and illegal … Lawyers by
training are very cautious so this is quite remarkable to have a
lawyer-politician who not only knows better, but does not care,” said Jarvis.
To DeSantis, it does
not matter whether he wins or loses the legal battles as he knows he
“ultimately controls the Florida supreme court”, according to Jarvis.
“He is playing a
‘heads, I win, tails, you lose’ game. If he gets one of these crazy policies
passed and they’re challenged and the court upholds him … he can say to the
press and to the public, ‘I was right and the proof is in the pudding because
the courts agreed with me,’” he explained.
“But even better for
DeSantis when they rule against him … DeSantis is able to stand up and say,
‘These crazy judges want our children to watch drag shows, they want our
children to be taught to be gay, they want Disney to be this terrible company.
That’s why you need a strong governor and why you will benefit from having me
as president because I will make sure to get rid of these judges and replace
them with judges that have traditional American morals,’” Jarvis added.
As DeSantis
continues to fight his costly legal battles, the state’s supermajority
Republican legislature appears to encourage him wholly.
“We’re in a
litigious society,” the state senate president, Kathleen Passidomo, told the Tallahassee Democrat while the
senate budget chair, Doug Broxson, told the outlet: “We want the governor to be
in a comfortable position to speak his mind.”
With Republicans
rushing to DeSantis’s defense, perhaps the most glaring example of the
legislature’s endorsement of his legal wars is the $16m incorporated into the state’s $117bn
budget to be used exclusively for his litigation expenses.
Speaking to the
Guardian, the state’s Democratic house leader, Fentrice Driskell, called the
budget a “carte blanche” from Republicans and
the result of zero accountability.
DeSantis’s limp
start to 2024 race delights Trump but battle is not over
“The legislature is
supposed to be a check on executive power. By giving him a carte blanche to go
and fight these wars in court, it’s basically just saying that there are no
checks and balances when it comes to the state government in Florida,” said
Driskell.
“It’s a waste … They
are just allowing this single person to impose his will on the state of Florida
and they’re willing to waste taxpayer dollars to do it,” she said, adding:
“Most Floridians can’t afford their rent and property insurance rates are
through the roof. We could have redirected that money towards affordable
housing.”
Driskell went on to
describe Medicaid iBudget Florida, a waiver that provides disabled Floridians
with access to certain services and which currently has a waitlist of more than 22,000 residents.
“It’s very difficult
for them to get off that waitlist because the Republicans underfund Medicaid.
We could put that money towards funding the waitlist and getting people off of
it. I think there’s only $2m that was put in the budget for that this year. If
we added the $16m that was added for these culture wars, my goodness, that’s
$18m. Presumably we could help get nine times more people off of the waitlist,”
said Driskell.
As DeSantis remains
embroiled in his legal woes at the expense of Florida taxpayers, there is
perhaps a single group of people that have benefited the most out of all the
legal drama, Jarvis told the Guardian.
“The lawyers who got
that $16.7m, that’s money from heaven. That’s money that fell into their laps …
Anytime there’s a loser, and the loser here is the Florida taxpayer, there is a
winner. The winners here are the lawyers who are collecting those enormous
fees. The more that plaintiffs file lawsuits and the more they fight these
crazy policies, you know that’s just money in the bank for these lawyers,”
Jarvis said.
“DeSantis has been
God’s gift to lawyers,” he added.
The contenders...
Nikki Haley
From the BBC
(Attachment 7C1)
Haley, 51, announced her presidential bid in a video released on
Feb. 14, a day ahead of a formal kickoff on Feb. 15 in Charleston.
Haley, who also served as a U.S. ambassador to the
U.N. in the Trump administration, is the first high-profile Republican to
challenge Trump.
In her announcement video, Haley, the daughter of
immigrants, highlighted her heritage as a South Asian woman and touted her
hopeful view of what America can offer.
"My mom would always say, 'Your job is not to
focus on the differences but the similarities.' My parents reminded me and my
siblings every day how blessed we were to live in America," Haley said.
She underscored her credentials as a former leader
of the Palmetto State, stressing its resilience, but most of all she said there
was a major need for change in the GOP's candidates.
"Republicans have lost the popular vote in
seven of the last eight presidential elections. … It's time for a new
generation of leadership," she said.
Haley was elected as the first female governor of
South Carolina in 2010, stepping down in 2017, during her second term, to serve
as a Trump ambassador until 2018.
From Vox (Attachment 7C2)
NIKKI HALEY’S NEW STRATEGY TO TAKE DOWN TRUMP AND DESANTIS
Haley is a political “chameleon.” Will Republican
voters respond?
By Nicole Narea Jun 5, 2023, 2:50pm EDT
Republican presidential candidate Nikki Haley may
look like a long shot for the nomination next to former President
Donald Trump and Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis: Together, the two
men have the support of more than two-thirds of GOP primary
voters. Now, as she tries to distinguish herself from the two frontrunners,
Haley has increasingly been trying to carve out her own lane by leaning into
culture wars.
In a CNN town hall Sunday night, Haley staked out a
distinct approach to issues including Ukraine, the January 6, 2021 insurrection
at the US Capitol, and federal benefits programs. And on the campaign trail
recently, she’s started talking about her anti-abortion stance
and embracing anti-trans rhetoric,
seemingly moving away from her initial strategy of running as a moderate in a bid
to meet Republican primary voters where they are right now.
“Nikki’s a professional chameleon. She is whatever
she needs to be at that moment in time,” said Boyd Brown, a South Carolina
Democratic strategist who previously served with Haley in the state
legislature. “She’ll do whatever it takes to win an election, even if it’s
selling out her true self, who might be a mainstream Republican.”
Nikki Haley’s presidential campaign is a throwback to the
pre-Trump GOP
It’s still early in the 2024 campaign season, and
Haley’s resume as Trump’s US ambassador to the United Nations and a former
South Carolina governor gives her a weighty record to run on. Still, she has a
lot of ground to make up: She’s polling at about 4 percent on average, in a distant
third place behind Trump and DeSantis.
How Haley is
contrasting herself with Trump and DeSantis
Like former Vice President Mike Pence, who entered the presidential
race Monday, Haley is in the difficult position of having to distance herself
from her former boss while refraining from alienating Republican voters who
still overwhelmingly approve of him.
On Sunday, she did so by breaking with Trump on the
Ukraine war, which he pledged to end within 24 hours of taking
office if elected. Her stance puts her on firm footing with the grassroots.
According to a May University of Chicago/NORC poll, 69 percent of Republican voters believe
that Russia’s
actions are an unjustified attempt to gain territory. She said in the town hall
that this is a war “about freedom and it’s one we have to win” or else suffer
even greater geopolitical consequences. She also said that the war is not a
mere “territorial dispute,” referencing comments
from DeSantis that he later walked back.
She also drew a red line on January 6. She called it
“a terrible day” while dispelling Trump’s false conspiracy theories about 2020
election fraud, declaring that “President Biden is the
president.”
All the Republicans running for president in 2024,
explained
She criticized Trump and DeSantis’s promises not to
slash funding for Medicare and Social Security, claiming that they were not
being realistic about cuts she deems necessary to keep the programs solvent. Haley’s position on
the issue seems to be more about putting some distance between herself and the
frontrunners than winning over voters: cuts are broadly unpopular, with 84
percent of Republicans against them, according to a March Axios/Ipsos poll. She supports reducing
benefits for Americans currently in their 20s and limiting payouts for the
wealthy.
However, she joined with Trump in criticizing
DeSantis’s approach to his long-running feud with Disney over
its opposition to his “Don’t Say Gay” law, which prevents teachers from talking
about LGBTQ+ issues
or people. She accused him Sunday of squandering public funds to take the fight
to court. DeSantis has suffered loss after loss after loss in that fight, and his opponents on
both the left and the right will likely continue to target him for it.
Haley is embracing
the culture wars
Haley has historically eschewed culture wars, which she once said
have “done nothing but to divide America.” And when she launched her campaign
in February, she portrayed herself as a moderate who can win in a general
election amid concerns about both Trump and DeSantis’s electability, calling
for a “new generation of leadership.”
But recently, she’s been trending more MAGA than
moderate. At a campaign event in May, she went on a rant
against a trans influencer who partnered with Bud
Light. That collaboration ultimately resulted in a widespread conservative
boycott of the brand. Repeating anti-trans rhetoric during the town hall,
she asked, “How are we supposed to get our girls used to the fact that
biological boys are in their locker room? And then we wonder why a third of our
teenage girls seriously contemplated suicide last year.”
Will there be any presidential debates in 2024?
She has also declared herself to be “unapologetically pro-life,” leaning into a
hardline position that many Republicans believe caused them to underperform in the midterms and that
Democrats predict will continue to prove potent in 2024. At the town hall,
Haley suggested banning late-term abortions, incentivizing adoption, expanding
access to contraceptives, and ensuring that women who have abortions are not
criminalized. However, she has not committed to banning abortions after any
particular point in pregnancy.
Brown expects that Haley will continue to turn to
the right as she tries to siphon off some of Trump and DeSantis’s supporters.
“I bet she’s going to get in the far right lane at
some point in the near future, just because she’s going to try to be relevant
in the primary before she runs out of money,” he said. “She might not be in the
Trump lane, but she’s probably going to be closer to Trump than Asa
Hutchinson,” he added, referencing the former Arkansas governor and vocal Trump
critic who announced his 2024 campaign in April.
Mike Pence
From the BBC
(Attachment 7D1)
Mr Pence officially
launched his campaign with a speech on 7 June, putting him on a collision
course with his former boss.
The speech offered
his most forceful repudiation of Donald Trump to date, accusing the
ex-president of being unfaithful to the US constitution and of abandoning
conservative values.
It was a far cry
from his role as a loyal deputy to Mr Trump as his vice-president for four
years - until 2021's Capitol riot splintered their relationship.
The son of a Korean
War veteran, Mr Pence began his career in conservative politics as a talk radio
host.
He was elected to
the House in 2000 and served until 2013, describing himself as a
"principled conservative" and aligning with the Tea Party movement.
He also served as
governor of Indiana from 2013-17. In that role, he passed the largest tax cut
in state history, and signed bills to restrict abortion and protect religious
freedom.
Mr Pence, 64, is a
born-again evangelical Christian and his addition to the 2016 presidential
ticket is credited with helping mobilise the crucial voting bloc on behalf of
Mr Trump.
Calm and
soft-spoken, he was seen as an effective surrogate to the bombastic president.
But Mr Trump turned on him for lacking "courage" after he refused to
help overturn the 2020 election results.
Pro-Trump rioters
stormed the US Capitol in January 2021 and were heard chanting "Hang Mike Pence!".
At one point, they were reportedly within 40ft (12m) of the vice-president.
From the New York
Times (Attachment 7D2)
MIKE PENCE FORMALLY ENTERS 2024 RACE, CHALLENGING TRUMP
Mr. Pence, who filed paperwork declaring his
candidacy, was once a stalwart supporter and defender of Donald J. Trump, but
split with his former boss after the Jan. 6 attack on the Capitol.
June 5, 2023
Former Vice President Mike Pence filed paperwork on
Monday declaring his presidential candidacy, embarking on a long-shot campaign
against the former president he served under, Donald J. Trump.
Mr. Pence, who filed the necessary papers to run
with the Federal Election Commission, has polled in the single digits in every
public survey taken so far, well behind Mr. Trump, who has reshaped the
Republican Party over the last seven years.
The former vice president is expected to formally
announce his campaign at a rally outside Des Moines on Wednesday, a day
after former
Gov. Chris Christie is expected to enter the race and the same day
Gov. Doug Burgum of North Dakota is set to join.
Mr. Pence is planning to campaign extensively in
Iowa, the first nominating state and a place where his hard-line conservative
positions on issues like abortion could appeal to evangelical voters.
Advisers to Mr. Pence, a former governor of Indiana,
see Iowa as geographically hospitable to the brand of conservatism he practiced
before the Trump era. And he is making the bet that enough vestiges of the old
Republican Party remain to give his message broad appeal.
Mr. Pence, whom the celebrity-obsessed Mr. Trump
used to refer to as “out of central casting,” was a stalwart supporter and
defender of Mr. Trump over the latter half of the 2016 presidential campaign as
his running mate, at a time when Mr. Pence was facing a difficult re-election
effort in Indiana.
He was Mr. Trump’s most loyal advocate throughout
their time in office together.
But Mr. Trump began a pressure campaign on Mr. Pence
to thwart Joseph R. Biden Jr.’s Electoral College victory from being certified
after Mr. Trump lost the 2020 election. Mr. Pence refused to use his ceremonial
role overseeing the certification at the Capitol on Jan. 6, 2021, to advance
Mr. Trump’s aims.
That day, a pro-Trump mob attacked the Capitol, with
some of Mr. Trump’s supporters chanting, “Hang Mike Pence!” Since then, the
split between the two has become irrevocable.
Maggie Haberman is a
senior political correspondent and the author of “Confidence Man: The Making of
Donald Trump and the Breaking of America.” She was part of a team that won a
Pulitzer Prize in 2018 for reporting on President Trump’s advisers and their
connections to Russia.
From the BBC
(Attachment 7D3)
THE ONE THING MIKE PENCE NEEDS TO BEAT HIS OLD BOSS IN 2024
How Mike Pence
became a villain in Trump world
By Anthony Zurcher
& Sam Cabral
In a traditional
American political world, Mike Pence's 2024 presidential campaign would have a
lot going for it.
A politician with
experience in both Congress and as a state governor. A former vice-president
who had multiple high-profile administration roles and four years to build
connections with his party's grass-roots. A methodical but reasonably
charismatic public speaker who has a track record of strong debate performances
and a stint as a popular conservative radio host.
This is not,
however, a normal political world anymore - and it hasn't been since Donald
Trump barrelled his way to the Republican presidential nomination and the White
House in 2016.
Instead, 2024 will
be yet another precedent-setting moment in modern American politics - the first
time a former vice-president and his former president will compete for their
party's presidential nomination.
·
Ex-Vice-President Mike Pence joins White House race
"Pence is a
traditional conservative," says David Oman, former chair of the Iowa
Republican Party. "He's just not a loud one."
For the moment, Mr
Pence's former boss has almost all the advantages. He has a massive campaign
war chest, high approval ratings among Republican voters and unwavering support
from roughly 30% of his party's voters.
That loyal Trump
base also views Mr Pence with scepticism that veers toward animosity. They
consider his decision not to back the former president's attempt to overturn
their 2020 electoral defeat an error at best and, frequently, as a betrayal.
Last month, Mr Pence
was compelled to testify before a federal grand jury investigating the former
president's role in the January 6th attack on the US Capitol and efforts to
reverse the 2020 results.
And in March, Mr
Pence said that Mr Trump's "reckless words" put his family in danger
on that day, adding that "history will hold Donald Trump
accountable".
For the moment,
however, it appears Mr Trump's supporters are the ones passing judgement on Mr
Pence.
Pence's narrow path to the White House
To succeed in his
presidential bid, Mr Pence will need the former president to falter. But if
that happens it is much more likely that his supporters go to someone like
Florida Governor Ron DeSantis.
There is an area
where Mr Pence has an edge over his former running mate, however.
As a devout
Christian, the Indiana politician has a long history of close ties to the US
evangelical community. One of the reasons Mr Trump chose him for his 2016
ticket was because his campaign advisers believed Mr Pence would assuage the
concerns of Christian voters who might be reluctant to support the
thrice-married New Yorker with considerable personal baggage.
Mr Pence was
effectively the Trump administration's ambassador to the Christian right,
touting wins on high-profile cultural issues like abortion and religious
freedom.
Now he hopes to
capitalise on that history and peel away the former president's evangelical
voters. That's particularly important in Iowa, the state that holds the first
Republican presidential nomination contest and where Christian conservatives
hold considerable sway.
"It's a good
bloc of 30 plus percent of the Republican voters who will show up on caucus
night in early 2024," says Mr Oman. "So it's a bloc that candidates
have to take seriously."
·
Who are the Republican hopefuls not named Trump?
·
Can Ron DeSantis really beat Donald Trump?
The challenge for Mr
Pence is there will be other candidates also competing for the evangelical
vote. They include Mr DeSantis - who has championed conservative cultural
issues in Florida - and South Carolina Senator Tim Scott. The more the field is
crowded and divided, the greater the chance that no one will be able to defeat
Mr Trump.
"Pence starts
off with a decent part of a Republican base that will not support him," Mr
Oman says. "He has to talk about the kind of governor he was, be among
those who talk about ideas for the future, someone who can show some common
sense and give people a credible alternative to his former partner, Donald
Trump."
Mr Pence has been
manoeuvring for a presidential bid for more than a year - well before Mr Trump
made his White House ambitions clear. And given that another former
vice-president currently sits in the Oval Office, his presidential dreams are
not unimaginable - even if the path he would have to take to get to the White
House is without precedent.
Tim Scott
From the BBC
(Attachment 7E1)
Senator Tim Scott
has a decades-long career in South Carolina politics and entered the race in
May with nearly $22m (Ł18m) - more than his rivals - in cash on hand.
The only black man
to ever serve in both chambers of Congress, the 57-year-old has represented
South Carolina in the Senate since 2013.
Mr Scott is the
grandson of a cotton field worker and the son of a single mother, and he has
often spoken of how his family rose "from cotton to Congress" in a
lifetime.
He launched his 2024
bid vowing to turn around "a nation in retreat" and revive America's
"culture of greatness".
Well-liked among his
colleagues, he quickly earned endorsements from two fellow senators, including
John Thune, the chamber's second highest-ranking Republican.
But he's not the
only top South Carolina Republican with a hat in the ring.
From NPR (Attachment
7E2)
REPUBLICAN SEN. TIM SCOTT IS
OFFICIALLY RUNNING FOR PRESIDENT
By Don Gonyea
Updated May 22, 20234:08 PM ET
South Carolina Sen. Tim Scott announced his run for
the Republican presidential nomination Monday morning in North Charleston, S.C.
The senator, who has
represented South Carolina in the Senate since 2013, portrays himself as a true
conservative with a positive story to tell.
"We need a
president who persuades not just our friends and our base," he told
supporters in his hometown. "We have to have a compassion for people who
don't agree with us. We have to believe that our ideas are so strong and so
powerful and so persuasive that we can actually take it to the highest points
in the world and be successful but we also have to be able to take it all the
way down to places that today are hopeless and prove that who we are works for
all Americans."
As for his own
upbringing, being raised by a single mother, Scott says they found strength in
faith and family and a determination to succeed — all things he accused
Democrats of working to destroy.
"From the time
the sun goes down until the sun comes up, Joe Biden and the radical left are
attacking every single rung of the ladder that helped me climb. And that's why
I'm announcing today that I am running for president of the United States of
America," he said.
In his 40-minute
announcement speech, Scott highlighted his rise from poverty to prosperity and
said that America is not a racist country. Scott is the only Black Republican
senator in the U.S. Senate.
In defending the
founding fathers of this country, Scott told his audience: "We need to
stop cancelling our founding fathers and start celebrating them for the geniuses
that they were. They weren't perfect, but they believed that we could become a
more perfect union."
Despite his stature in the Senate, Scott enters this
race with little name recognition nationally
In recent polling he
ranks well back in the pack of current and potential candidates, earning
support in the low single digits. In contrast, former President Donald Trump's
support sometimes tops 40 or even 50 percent.
The first caucuses
and primaries are still more than eight months away, so candidates looking to
gain on Trump have some time. But in his announcement speech, Scott chose not
to even mention Trump or any of his other rivals. He has said Americans want to
hear from a candidate who expresses a positive and optimistic view of America.
Presumably that won't preclude launching political attacks, but there were no
such broadsides Monday.
Scott also unveiled
what will be one of the recurring applause lines in his campaign stump speech.
With the focus for now squarely on Biden and the Democrats, he's not shy about
entering into the culture war battles that have been so prominent in recent
years.
"I will lead a
revolution for excellence in our schools. Less C-R-T and more ABCs,"
adding a pitch for school choice for parents. "No child and no child
should be forced to attend failing schools simply because they live in the
wrong zip code."
2024 Republican presidential
candidates: A list of who is or may be running
He is the second South Carolina Republican to enter
the race for the GOP nomination
Scott joins former
South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley, who declared her candidacy in February. It was
Haley who just over a decade ago appointed him to the Senate to fill a vacancy.
Both are very popular in their home state, which is a pivotal early voting
state for both Republicans and Democrats. The South Carolina primary is the
first in the South and often sets a candidate on a path for the nomination.
Even so, an April poll by Winthrop University shows
both Haley and Scott doing better than they do nationally, but even in South
Carolina both still trail Trump by a wide margin.
Scott did pick up
one key endorsement as he begins his campaign. Sen. John Thune of South Dakota
— the No. 2 Republican in the chamber — is backing his friend and colleague.
Thune also appeared at the kickoff rally in North Charleston.
Asa Hutchinson
From CBS News
(Attachment 7F1)
ASA HUTCHINSON, EX-ARKANSAS GOVERNOR, LAUNCHES BID FOR 2024 GOP
PRESIDENTIAL NOMINATION
BY KATHRYN WATSON, FIN GÓMEZ APRIL 26, 2023 / 12:19 PM / CBS NEWS
Former Arkansas Gov. Asa Hutchinson formally
launched his long-shot bid for the Republican Party's 2024 presidential
nomination on Wednesday, making the case that his "mettle has been
tested" and he's ready to take on President Biden.
The former governor, congressman, administrator of
the Drug Enforcement Administration (DEA) and border security official had
previously said he would run for president, and formally launched his campaign
with a speech in Bentonville, Arkansas, his birthplace.
"Today, I am announcing that I am a candidate
for president of the United States," Hutchinson told supporters. "In
this campaign for president, I stand alone in terms of my experience, my record
and leadership. From Congress to the DEA to Homeland Security, I have served
our country in times of crisis. As governor of Arkansas, we cut taxes and
created record surpluses. We increased pay for teachers. We reduced
regulations; recruited industry, and the private sector grew by over 100,000
jobs. My mettle has been tested."
Hutchinson, 72, focused his remarks on his and Mr.
Biden's records, rather than taking aim at potential and declared GOP
candidates. His campaign faces a steep uphill climb given Republican voters'
continued support for former President Donald Trump. Hutchinson did not mention
Trump in his remarks on Wednesday, but has been one of the few Republicans
willing to criticize the former president, who enjoys a large lead in GOP
primary polls.
As the governor of Arkansas during the COVID-19
pandemic, Hutchinson said he demonstrated how to lead without shuttering all
businesses and schools, and knows how to balance a budget. He also argued the
U.S. must secure its southern border and must not yield to China, pledging that
the U.S. will "stand with our friends" and allies around the world
under his leadership.
"Isolation only leads to weakness, and weakness
leads to war," Hutchinson said, adding that the best way to secure peace
is to have the best military in the world.
Hutchinson said he doesn't want an
"unending" war in Ukraine, and the best way to avoid that is to help
Ukraine "today."
He also vowed to support law enforcement, while
saying he wants to scale back the FBI to focus on counterterrorism. And he
emphasized the need to put Social Security and Medicare on a more sustainable
path.
Hutchinson said "the United States of America
has been challenged in every generation from threats abroad to civil unrest at
home. And when we are tested, we grow stronger."
"We have learned that in times of turmoil,
uncertainty, and division, America has always benefited from leaders who
challenge us and give us hope," Hutchinson continued. "I am confident
that America is ready to seek new frontiers; and that we are ready to channel
the restless waves of our democracy into more freedom and more prosperity for
those who follow after us."
Hutchinson's formal announcement comes one day after
Mr. Biden announced he's running for a second
term. In an interview with CBS News over the weekend, Hutchinson
said Mr. Biden would be "a very tough opponent" in the general
election if Trump is the nominee. He argued that the Republican Party has to
have "someone different than Donald Trump running for
president."
"Well, he would be a very tough opponent, if
Donald Trump is the nominee. That's [Democrats'] best wish, is that you have a
repeat of 2020," Hutchinson said. "So our best opportunity is to have
a new face, someone with consistent conservative leadership that's go
experience in a broad arena that can appeal to the working class of America.
And so, that's our opportunity."
Still, Hutchinson said Mr. Biden as an incumbent is
a "formidable opponent" and "you'd have to take that
seriously."
"While we see all of the fractures in his
leadership and his vision for the future as a weak America, both energy, both
security and globally, we have to make our case every day and we have to
present a candidate that can attract independents and suburban voters in the
fall," Hutchinson said.
Chris Christie
From the BBC
(Attachment 7G1)
According to
multiple sources, the former New Jersey governor plans to announce his
candidacy on 6 June at a town hall event in New Hampshire, where the first
Republican primary election will be held.
After his own 2016
presidential bid failed, Mr Christie allied himself with Mr Trump, leading the
incoming president's transition team and preparing him for debates against Mr
Biden in 2020.
But he has become a
vociferous critic of Mr Trump since the US Capitol riots.
The sharp-tongued Mr
Christie previewed an attack line on Mr Trump at a New Hampshire town hall in
April, saying: "Donald Trump is a TV star, nothing more, nothing less. Let
me suggest to you that in putting him back in the White House, the re-runs will
be worse than the original show."
Mr Christie served
two terms as New Jersey governor from 2010-18. His time in office was
overshadowed by a political scandal involving bridge lane closures - part of an
alleged political vendetta against a Democratic mayor.
Before being elected
as governor, Mr Christie served as New Jersey's top prosecutor under President
George W Bush from 2002-08.
From the Guardian U.K. (Attachment 7G2)
CHRIS CHRISTIE SAYS HE’S
ANTI-TRUMP – BUT DID HE SECURE A PRESIDENTIAL PARDON FOR A CRONY?
Ethics expert says
ex-New Jersey governor must answer questions over George Gilmore, pardoned on
Trump’s last day in office
By Martin Pengelly Thu 8 Jun 2023 08.00 EDT
A leading US ethics
expert said the former New Jersey governor Chris Christie, who this week launched a presidential campaign aimed at
taking down Donald Trump, owes the American public an explanation of why and
how he secured a pardon for a powerful New Jersey Republican, issued on Trump’s
last day in the White House.
“We just don’t know
the answer to that,” Noah Bookbinder, president of Citizens
for Responsibility and Ethics in Washington (Crew), said. “And
I think we should.”
Trump is the clear Republican frontrunner to face Joe
Biden next year. But Christie says Trump is not fit to return to the White
House, given his scandal-plagued time in office and his incitement of the
January 6 Capitol attack.
Christie has said he has not spoken to Trump since
before 6 January 2021, the day Trump sent supporters to the Capitol in a deadly
attempt to stop the certification of his defeat by Biden.
But 14 days after
the attack, on Trump’s last day in power, a 143-strong list of pardons and
commutations included a name supported by Christie.
Alongside Trump
allies Steve Bannon and Ken Kurson, and the rapper Lil Wayne, was George
Gilmore, a lawyer and Republican party chair in Ocean county, New Jersey.
Gilmore was indicted on federal tax charges in January 2020. He
denied wrongdoing, his attorney claiming his lavish spending on collectibles
was evidence of a hoarding disorder. Nonetheless, Gilmore was sentenced to a year and a day in prison
and three years of supervised release, a conviction upheld on appeal that December.
Gilmore avoided
prison time. Announcing his pardon, the White House saluted his “important
civic contributions over his career in New Jersey”. It also listed his
supporters. The first two named were Christie and Bill Stepien.
Stepien managed
Trump’s re-election campaign. Before that, he worked in New Jersey for
Christie, including when Christie narrowly won in 2009 and during his landslide
re-election in 2013.
By the time Christie
left office, though, he and Stepien were under the shadow of the Bridgegate scandal, concerning political
payback against a Democratic mayor.
Notably, Christie
ran for president in 2016 but failed to make an impact. Swiftly endorsing Trump, he stuck with him even
after being fired from Trump’s transition, which Christie says was due to bad
blood with Jared Kushner, Trump’s son-in-law and adviser.
Chris Christie endorses Donald Trump for president Guardian
Stepien, Politico
said, saw his own career threatened by Bridgegate but “kept a lifeline of income from the
[Republican] super pac GOPAC, thanks to Gilmore’s help. That connection helped
secure Gilmore the Trump pardon.”
Stepien also worked
in the Trump White House. He is now a founding partner of a consultancy, National
Public Affairs, whose website features Trump allies including
Markwayne Mullin, an Oklahoma senator; Harriet Hageman, who defeated Liz Cheney
in 2022 for her Wyoming House seat; and Ronny Jackson, a White House doctor
turned Texas congressman.
In February,
Politico described Gilmore’s own political resurrection, including a return as Ocean county Republican chair
made possible, the site said, because Gilmore “had … a key connection to Trump
world”.
Stepien told Politico that Gilmore would once
again play a key role in elections in New Jersey: “One out of every seven votes
will come out of Ocean county in the next statewide primary. So if you’re not
spending time trying to build a relationship with George and his team, I have
to question your strategy.”
Christie, who became
an analyst for ABC and wrote two books, has made his political strategy clear:
he is going to take the game to Trump.
Bookbinder said: “I think it’s a good
thing that Christie is calling out Donald Trump on his role in inciting an
insurrection and on his undercutting of democracy. For that to be coming from
people who were insiders is powerful.
“That said, I
think Chris Christie needs to answer for his [having
been] someone who was close to Trump when Trump’s abuses were very much
apparent, really from the beginning, and from before Donald Trump became
president, and in carrying through to the end of the presidency.
“We don’t know when
Christie made [or supported the pardon] request [for Gilmore]. It certainly may
be that all contacts were before January 6, when Christie at least says that he
cut off Trump completely. But we just don’t know the answer to that,” he added.
“And I think we
should, because to the extent that he is saying he was outraged by Trump’s
anti-democratic abuses and had nothing to do with them, that would not be
consistent with continuing to ask for favours that might seem to go around the
normal pardon process. And that’s something that I think it’s appropriate for
the public to have answers to.”
The pardon power,
Bookbinder said, is “meant to be broad, as a check on runaway prosecutorial
power”. Pardons and acts of clemency as a president leaves office are common.
But Trump’s pardons
proved as controversial as his presidency, amid reports of aides including Rudy
Giuliani seeking to profit and with those pardoned
including the likes of Bannon and Roger Stone, who might otherwise have
testified against Trump.
Pointing to the need
to lessen abuse of the pardon power, Bookbinder
said: “You can’t see Donald Trump as an existential threat to democracy, which
I believe he is, while also still having dealings with him and his circle. You
can’t do both at once.
“And so it is
reasonable to ask Chris Christie if that’s what he is doing, or if that’s what
he has been doing – [if he has] a good answer to that. We should, at least,
have a right to know that answer.”
A Christie
spokesperson did not respond to a request for comment.
From NY Times (Attachment 7G3)
FOR CHRISTIE, WINNING WOULD BE GREAT. BEATING TRUMP WOULD BE A CLOSE
SECOND.
The former New Jersey governor’s presidential bid is
a long shot. But if he takes out Donald J. Trump along the way, Chris Christie
may consider it a victory.
By Shane Goldmacher June 6, 202
Updated 5:35 p.m. ET
Chris Christie is
embarking on a mission that even some of his fiercest allies must squint to see
ending in the White House.
But Mr. Christie, the former governor of New Jersey
who is now 60 and more than five years removed from holding elected office, has
been undeterred, talking up an undertaking that he frames as almost as
important as winning the presidency: extricating the Republican Party from the grip
of Donald J. Trump.
“You need to think about who’s got the skill to do
that and who’s got the guts to do it because it’s not going to end nicely no
matter what,” Mr. Christie said in March at the same New Hampshire
college where he plans to announce his long-shot bid on Tuesday.
“His end,” he said of the former president, “will
not be a calm and quiet conclusion.”
Mr. Christie, who
filed the paperwork for his campaign on Tuesday afternoon, has cast
himself as the one candidate unafraid to give voice to the frustrations of
Republicans who have watched Mr. Trump transform the party and have had enough
— either of the ideological direction or the years of compounding electoral
losses.
For Mr. Christie — who lent crucial legitimacy to
Mr. Trump’s then-celebrity campaign by endorsing him after his own 2016
presidential campaign failed — it is quite the reversal. After helping to fuel
Mr. Trump’s rise, Mr. Christie has now set out to author his downfall.
The question is whether there is any market for what
he is selling inside a Republican Party with whom Mr. Trump remains overwhelmingly
popular.
“Just being like ‘I’m the kamikaze candidate’ — I’m
not sure that’s going to play,” said Sean Spicer, the former White House press
secretary to Mr. Trump. “For those people who don’t like Trump because of the
mean tweets, are they going to like the guy who is mean about Donald Trump?”
Mr. Christie’s flaws as an anti-Trump messenger are
manifest. For almost all of Mr. Trump’s four years in the White House, Mr.
Christie stood by the president — even catching a near-fatal
Covid-19 infection during debate preparations in the fall of 2020 —
only breaking with him over his stolen election lie and then the violence of
Jan. 6, 2021.
The coming campaign, then, is expected to be
something of a redemption tour. Pulled by the allure of the presidency for more
than a decade — his decision not to run in 2012 at the peak of his popularity
has been the subject of widespread second-guessing — he begins another run
unburdened by expectations.
Yes, he is trying to win. He has said he would not
run unless he saw a pathway to victory. (“I’m not a paid assassin,” he
told Politico.) But he also wants to turn the party from Mr.
Trump.
“He won’t
like it, but he’s a loser. It’s that simple,” Mr. Christie said of Mr. Trump in
an interview last year, shortly after the disappointing midterm election for
Republicans.
It’s the kind of quotable line and anti-Trump
message that has turned a number of breakaway Republicans into CNN commentators
or MSNBC stars and also made them former elected officials.
Central to Mr. Christie’s pitch to disaffected
Republicans is his debating skill. The most memorable achievement of his 2016
bid was his takedown of Senator Marco Rubio of Florida.
“You’d better
have somebody on that stage who can do to him what I did to Marco,” he said at
his March event, regaling the crowd with the story of his bruising
confrontation with Mr. Rubio. “Because that’s the only thing that’s going to
defeat Donald Trump.”
The first challenge for Mr. Christie, however, won’t
be facing Mr. Trump. It will be qualifying for the debate stage. The Republican
National Committee’s threshold of 40,000 donors across 20 states could prove
especially arduous for a candidate without a small-donor following and whose
anti-Trump message seems more likely to lure Democratic contributors than
conservative ones.
So far, Mr. Trump, Gov. Ron DeSantis of Florida and
Vivek Ramaswamy, a self-funding businessman, have announced that they have hit
that threshold. (There is also a 1 percent polling requirement.)
Mr. Spicer, who later hosted a program on Newsmax,
the right-wing cable network, noted that Mr. Christie “hasn’t exactly been on
conservative media” to maintain a following on the right. “He’s hanging out on
ABC,” Mr. Spicer said of the mainstream news network where Mr. Christie has
been a paid commentator.
Quick with a quote and savvy about the media — Mr.
Christie turned snapping at reporters into a selling point for the G.O.P. base
a decade before Mr. DeSantis — he may be banking on the thirst of news
organizations for a frontal and colorful fight with Mr. Trump.
After Mr. Trump’s recent town hall on CNN, when he
would not say whether he was hoping Ukraine would win the war against Russia,
Mr. Christie slashed him as “a puppet of Putin.”
Yet even the relatively small faction of Republicans
opposed to returning Mr. Trump to power may be leery of Mr. Christie. He not
only provided a key early endorsement in 2016, he led his presidential
transition, and was passed over for some top jobs while serving as an informal
adviser and debate coach through the 2020 election.
“Now you found Jesus?” questioned Rick Wilson, who
was an outspoken Republican critic of Mr. Trump before leaving the party
entirely. “And now you’re going to be the guy to take the fight to Trump?”
“The credibility factor of Christie as a Trump
antagonist is somewhere around zero,” Mr. Wilson said.
Early polling shows that Mr. Christie faces perhaps
an even steeper uphill climb than other candidates who are polling with low
single-digit support. He received 2 percent in a late May CNN poll, for instance, tied for fifth place
with Senator Tim Scott of South Carolina.
But of all the Republican candidates in the poll,
the highest share — 60 percent — said Mr. Christie was someone they would not
support under any circumstance. That figure was 15 percent for Mr. DeSantis and
16 percent for Mr. Trump.
“You look at it objectively, it’s hard to see a
clear lane for Chris Christie, being a Trump opponent and then a Trump acolyte
and now a Trump opponent again,” said Neil Newhouse, a Republican pollster who
is unaligned in the 2024 race, though some partners at his firm are working with
Mr. DeSantis. “There’s not a lot of room in the Republican electorate for that
right now.”
Still, in an increasingly crowded field of
Republicans — former Vice President Mike Pence and Gov. Doug Burgum of
North Dakota are also expected to join the race this week — the Christie team
sees opportunity by being the lone candidate interested in breaking so clearly
with Mr. Trump.
Other lower-polling candidates have avoided
criticizing the former president aggressively, in an attempt not to turn off
his supporters. Some, like Nikki Haley, the former United Nations ambassador
and governor of South Carolina, have preferred to take shots at Mr. DeSantis,
vying to emerge as the leading Trump alternative by tackling him first. But Mr.
Christie’s advisers see the path to the nomination running through Mr. Trump.
His supporters have organized
a super PAC, Tell It Like It Is, led by a number of veteran
Republicans operatives. And Mr. Christie’s decision to begin in New Hampshire
is a sign of the state’s central role in his political calculus, where he also
based much of his 2016 campaigning, when he held more than 100 town halls. On
Tuesday, he is expected to flesh out his vision for the nation in greater
detail.
But there are widespread doubts about how far Mr.
Christie’s designs go beyond knocking down Mr. Trump. In an editorial on the
eve of his kickoff, The Wall Street Journal’s editorial board wondered if the
candidate might have an unintended impact on the race.
“If Mr. Christie isn’t a guided missile aimed at Mr.
Trump, is he an unguided one, liable to blow up, say, Florida Gov. Ron
DeSantis?” the editorial board wrote.
Sean Hannity, the influential Fox News host,
recently questioned whether he even wanted to give Mr. Christie airtime.
“You’re only getting in this race because you hate Donald Trump and want to
bludgeon Donald Trump,” Mr. Hannity said on air. “I don’t see Chris Christie
actually wanting to run and win the nomination. He views it as his role to be
the enforcer and to attack Trump.”
Mr. Trump posted the clip on his social media site,
Truth Social.
Maggie Haberman contributed reporting.
Shane Goldmacher is
a national political reporter and was previously the chief political
correspondent for the Metro desk. Before joining The Times, he worked at
Politico, where he covered national Republican politics and the 2016
presidential campaign.
From the Guardian
U.K. (Attachment 7G4)
CHRIS CHRISTIE JUST WANTS TO
‘BLUDGEON’ TRUMP, FOX NEWS’S HANNITY COMPLAINS
Sean Hannity says
ex-New Jersey governor lacks ‘inspiring agenda’ as he prepares new presidential
run
By Martin Pengelly in New York Sun 4
Jun 2023 01.00 EDT
Chris Christie has
promised to take the fight to Donald Trump when he launches a long-shot
Republican presidential campaign next week, but he seems likely to have to do
so without help from one key voice at Fox News.
The former New
Jersey governor just wants to “bludgeon” Trump, the prime-time host and close
Trump ally Sean Hannity said on Friday, adding that he did not want to
give Christie any airtime.
“I have no problem
giving airtime to any of the candidates who want to come on and give their
point of view,” Hannity said.
“But I’m looking at
Chris Christie, he left office as governor of New Jersey, 13% approval rating,
14% in another poll, and I’m looking at this and I’m saying, ‘OK, you’re only
getting in this race ’cause you hate Donald Trump and want to bludgeon Donald
Trump.’
“I don’t see Chris
Christie actually wanting to run and win the nomination. He views it as his
role to be the enforcer and to attack Trump.
“That’s not a very
inspiring agenda, and I don’t even know if I’m interested in facilitating or
listening to him babble on when he left office with nobody in New Jersey even
liking him.”
Hannity
facilitated a friendly hearing for Trump this week,
hosting a recorded Iowa town hall.
As broadcast, the
event did not reference Trump’s $5m penalty for sexual abuse and defamation of
the writer E Jean Carroll or his lies about electoral fraud, the broadcast of
which cost Fox $787.5m in a suit brought by Dominion Voting Systems and which
remains at issue in a suit from Smartmatic, another election machines company.
Christie took office
in New Jersey in 2009 but suffered in Republican eyes first when he was seen to
be too close to Barack Obama after Superstorm Sandy, then when he became
ensnared in the “Bridgegate” scandal over political payback.
On leaving office in
2015, Christie’s approval ratings were at historic lows. He ran for president
in 2016 but only made an impact with a debate-stage destruction of the Florida
senator Marco Rubio.
Quick to endorse
Trump, Christie stayed loyal even after he was fired from
planning the White House transition which Christie has said was over bad blood with Jared
Kushner, Trump’s son-in-law whose father Christie helped jail.
Christie became an
ABC analyst and wrote two books, a memoir and a prescription for how Republicans could
win back power. He broke from Trump after the deadly January 6 Capitol attack,
which Trump incited in service of his lie that the 2020 election was stolen.
In his second book,
Republican Rescue, Christie said his party needed to “renounce the conspiracy
theories and truth deniers, the ones who know better and the ones who are just
plain nuts”.
Republicans have not
done so. Trump dominates polling despite unprecedented legal jeopardy including
criminal charges in New York, over a hush-money payment, and potential
indictments in state and federal investigations of his election subversion.
Though Christie
has denied he is a “paid assassin”, aiming to
take Trump down, he has made plain that he hopes to put his pugilistic
political skills to good use.
Trump,
Christie told Politico, “can’t be a credible figure on
the world stage; he can’t be a credible figure interacting with Congress; he
will get nothing done”.
Trump’s
vulnerabilities, Christie said, needed to be “called out … by somebody who
knows him. Nobody knows Donald Trump better than I do.”
An unnamed former
Republican candidate said: “No one else has the balls to do it.”
The pretenders...
Vivak Ramaswamy (H)
From the BBC
(Attachment 7H1)
Vivek Ramaswamy, 37,
launched his dark-horse White House bid during a late February appearance on
the Fox News channel.
An Indian-American
biotech entrepreneur with no previous political experience, he was a regular
fixture on Fox host Tucker Carlson's daily programme, formerly the most-watched
cable news show in the US.
The Harvard and Yale
graduate argues the country is in the midst of a national identity crisis
driven by a decline in faith, patriotism and meritocracy.
He ran a
pharmaceutical company from 2014 to 2021, then co-founded Strive Asset
Management, which shirks the "divisive" environmental, social and
corporate governance (ESG) framework and offers itself as an alternative to
large firms like Blackrock.
Mr Ramaswamy is also
the author of Woke, Inc.: Inside Corporate America's Social Justice Scam.
From the NPR
(Attachment 7H2)
WHO IS VIVEK RAMASWAMY, THE
37-YEAR-OLD ENTREPRENEUR AND GOP PRESIDENTIAL HOPEFUL?
By Susan Davis and Asma Khalid May 19, 20235:00
AM ET
Vivek Ramaswamy, a
political newcomer and former pharmaceutical executive, describes himself as a
nationalist who believes that America needs to rebuild its sense of civic
pride.
"I will
unapologetically embrace and advance the ideals that this nation was founded
on," Ramaswamy said in a conversation with The NPR Politics Podcast. "That is
distinct from an opposite movement in this country, which increasingly wishes to
apologize for a nation founded on those ideals, to apologize or moderate free
speech or meritocracy or the rule of law evenly applied, or the idea that
citizens can be trusted to sort out their differences on questions like climate
change or racial equity."
"Maybe you
would classify me as a nationalist," he said. "I think it's a label
I'm willing to wear. I don't think that that has to be a bad word. As long as
it's a nationalism built around the ideals that set a nation into motion, that
can actually unite us as a country."
Here are some key
takeaways from the conversation, which has been edited for length and clarity.
Interview Highlights
Born and raised in
Ohio to parents who emigrated from India, Ramaswamy says seeking the presidency
is about reviving a sense of national identity.
I'm not looking at
this as building my own career. I'm looking at a need in our country and a job
that needs to be done that I see very few people stepping up to actually
deliver, which is to answer what it even means to be an American today — to
revive our missing national identity, especially in the next generation of
Americans.
We have completely
lost our sense of civic pride, civic identity, civic duty, what it means to be
a citizen of this nation. We have lost all sense of that. And I think a lot of
our economic struggles and our foreign policy struggles start from that loss of
American identity, that loss of civic pride. And so the reason I'm running for
president is I do have a vision of what it means to be a citizen of this
country. I've lived the full arc of the American dream.
2024 Republican presidential candidates: A list of who is or may be
running
He rejects the
notion that "diversity is our strength" and believes that society has
become too focused on race and sexual identity.
The thing about
American identity that's beautiful to me is that it calls upon our distinctive
humanity. The thing that makes us a human being rather than an animal is the
fact that we can embrace ideals. I think that this alternative worldview of
identity — grounded not in the ideals that we share in common, but rather in
the genetic attributes we inherit on the day we're born — causes us to see
ourselves as less than human, as just the sum total of those genetic
attributes. And I just believe that — for us as human beings, for us as
Americans — there is more to us.
The most interesting
part of us is not our gender identity or the shade of melanin that we have on a
given day. It is the set of values that unite us together as a people. And so I
grew up into a generation where I was taught — we were all taught, I think — to
believe that diversity is our strength. I reject that vision. I don't think our
diversity is our strength. I think our strength is what unites us across that
diversity. That is not America to me. And it's the America I see sometimes
today. But it's not the America I know. It's not the America that I learned to
pledge allegiance to as a kid.
Ramaswamy
acknowledges that racist policies have existed at times in American history and
he's "open to discussing" what role the government should play in
addressing enduring social and racial inequality.
You'd have to have
your head in the sand to read our history and not understand that there have
been many points in our national history when we have been less than perfect
and living up to our ideals. I mean, we had slavery in this country, right? We
had even a period after slavery in the Reconstruction Era where voting rights
weren't fully secured for Black Americans, for women, until, you know, that was
constitutionally ordained in the later amendment. So, of course. I mean, this
is obvious. I don't think there's an American today who believes these things
to be false. I think that we all agree on this.
However, I think
that at some point we're going to have to decide how we move on as a nation.
And I think something peculiar has happened in the last few years in particular
— it's when we get closest to the promised land that we become even more
vehement in our claims that somehow we're systemically racist and misogynistic
and homophobic and transphobic, right?
If you went back to
1860, if you went back to 1960 and then fast forwarded to a state of affairs
today where no matter what your skin color is, who you marry, if you marry,
whatever you choose to wear, whether you're a man or a woman, you can still
vote in this country. You can still enjoy civil rights in this country. They
would say we have reached the promised land.
He says as a
practicing Hindu, he shares a set of Judeo-Christian values with evangelical
voters.
I'm not here to
convince you that I'm a Christian because I'm not. But what I am here to
convince you of is the truth that we still share those same Judeo-Christian
values in common. And I live my life accordingly.
I was raised in a
two-parent household with the focus on education, with a focus on God, with a
nuclear family, as the unit of governance that mattered most to us. That showed
us that the love of family opens you, opens your heart up to the love of God.
And we raise our two children, my wife and I do, in the same way. We live our
lives according to Christian values.
And I'm not running
to be somebody's pastor. I'm running to be the president. But I'm running to be
a president who recognizes that we are one nation under God, that recognizes
the Judeo-Christian values on which this country was founded. Values that I
also deeply share.
More than half of Republicans support Christian nationalism, according to
a new survey
I can stand up for
those values without anybody accusing me of being a Christian nationalist or
whatever labels one might use. I think that that actually puts me in a better
position to represent the values that undergird this country, including
Judeo-Christian values that we share in common better than someone who's shy
about it or feels pressure to apologize for it, because it's not popular in our
culture to be a Christian.
What I tell people
is that actually I think I can make it cool to revive those values, those
Christian values, family values in our culture again, because even as a
religious Hindu, we grew up subscribing to those same values grounded in what
it means to be a member of a family, a father and a household.
He acknowledges that
President Biden was lawfully elected, but he is upset about information
censored by social media companies ahead of the election.
I think that in the
technical sense of that word, [Joe Biden is] obviously the lawfully elected
president.
Facebook And Twitter Limit Sharing 'New York Post' Story About Joe Biden
I'm deeply bothered
by the Hunter Biden laptop story suppression that really was in the name of
suppressing misinformation, actually created misinformation across the news
media. I have a lot of issues with the suppression of information by social
media companies and internet companies that led up to that election.
But in the technical
sense of, you know, do I think that there was large-scale ballot fraud or
whatever that changed the election outcome based on how the votes were counted?
I have seen no evidence of that.
No federal abortion
restrictions — the self-described "pro-life" candidate says it is an
issue for the states.
I would not [sign
federal abortion restrictions into law]. But I am pro-life.
For years, I was an
opponent of Roe v. Wade. I think it was constitutionally wrongly
decided. I think Dobbs was correct to overturn it because the
federal government has no business here. Murder laws are governed by the
states. So if abortion is a form of murder, which is the pro-life position, and
I am pro-life, then it would make no sense for that to be the one law that was
still governed at the federal level.
But a federal ban
violates the constitutional principle that led us to actually overturn Roe
v. Wade, which is why I would not sign a federal abortion ban.
Ramaswamy is pushing
to amend the Constitution to increase the voting age to 25 – with earlier
ballot access in exchange for service and civic engagement
I think we have a
loss of civic pride in our country. I think people, young people included, do
not value a country that they simply inherit. I think we value a country that
we have a stake in building. And I think that asking a young person, asking any
citizen to know something about the country before voting, I think is a perfectly
reasonable condition.
We already ask
immigrants to know this, by the way, so it's not making up some new test — no
matter your skin color. If you've been a taxpaying green card holder for 10
years, you still have to pass that test to vote. I don't think it's
unreasonable to ask a young American to do the same thing, or else if they
don't want to do that, to at least serve for six months in the military or a
first responder role or else to have some life experience as an adult, at least
by the age of 25.
And the good news is
it requires a constitutional amendment which would require broad, widespread
national consensus to ever get passed which I think is appropriate. But I'm
looking to actually elevate that debate because our revival of civic pride and
civic duty isn't going to happen automatically. It's going to happen because we
make it so.
Will he support
another Republican nominee? Time will tell.
I have to think
about it. I want to see the conditions of who's under what commitments, you
know, the conditions for the debate stage. So I'm going have to think about
that.
He wants to expand
the "America First" movement beyond Donald Trump
I wouldn't call
myself a disciple of Donald Trump, no. I would embrace the label of
"America First" to point out that America first is bigger than Donald
Trump. It does not belong to Donald Trump. It doesn't belong to me. Ronald
Reagan used the phrase, others have used it throughout American history, too.
It's about reviving
the ideals that the country was founded on and to actually advance those in the
forms of policy. And so I think I am taking that far further than Trump did.
But I also expect and hope to unite the country in the process if we're doing
it based on principled footing rather than vengeance and grievance. And I just
truly do believe that we don't have to be a nation in inevitable national
decline. And we don't have to be Rome. We don't have to be Carthage.
I think we as a
nation are just a little young, actually going through our own version of
adolescence, figuring out who we're going to be when we grow up. So that
national identity crisis then becomes natural, unsurprising. You go through an
identity crisis when you go through adolescence, so too it is for our nation.
But when you view it that way, I think it just becomes obvious that I think
it's possible our best days can still truly actually be ahead of us, that we
might not be in decline.
This conversation
was edited by Eric McDaniel and Muthoni Muturi. It was produced by Elena Moore
and Casey Morell.
Larry Elder (I)
From the BBC
(Attachment 7I1)
The conservative
talk radio host launched an unsuccessful campaign for California governor in
2021, pledging to repeal mask and vaccine mandates.
A lawyer who grew up
in Los Angeles' South Central neighbourhood, Mr Elder, 71, has slammed
Democrats' "woke" agenda and the idea of systemic racism.
He announced his
long-shot bid by tweeting: "America is in decline, but this decline is not
inevitable."
From Reuters (Attachment 7I2)
RIGHT-WING RADIO HOST ELDER ANNOUNCES 2024 REPUBLICAN PRESIDENTIAL BID
April 21, 2023
9:22 AM EDT Updated 2 months ago
WASHINGTON, April 21 (Reuters) - Right-wing U.S.
radio host Larry Elder, a Black lawyer who has denied there is systemic racism
in America, has announced his candidacy for the 2024 Republican presidential
nomination.
"America is in decline, but this decline is not
inevitable. We can enter a new American Golden Age, but we must choose a leader
who can bring us there," Elder said in a Twitter post late on Thursday.
Elder emerged as
the most serious challenger in California's 2021 recall election with a message
that Democratic Governor Gavin Newsom had botched his response to the COVID-19
pandemic. Newsom handily beat back a Republican campaign to oust him from
office in the deeply Democratic state.
Elder defines himself as "an American who is
Black" rather than African American, telling The Hill in a 2019 interview:
"The idea that there's systemic racism against Black people is a
lie."
He has said his views grew out of his parents'
contention that he could overcome racism with hard work and determination.
Elder calls himself the "Sage from South
Central," referring to a largely African American district of Los Angeles.
He left Los Angeles after high school, attended Brown University in Rhode
Island and earned a law degree at the University of Michigan.
After practicing law in Cleveland, he returned to
Los Angeles in the 1990s and began his career as a radio host, later becoming
syndicated nationwide.
He joins a handful of Republicans who have announced
their candidacies as they seek to win the White House back from Democrat Joe
Biden, who is expected to
make a formal announcement on his re-election bid next week.
They include former President Donald Trump, Former
South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley, investor Vivek Ramaswamy and former
Arkansas Governor Asa Hutchinson. Tim Scott of South Carolina, the only Black
Republican serving in the U.S. Senate, has formed an exploratory committee.
Reporting by Doina Chiacu; Editing by Nick Macfie
Glenn Youngkin (J)
From the BBC
(Attachment 7J1)
Glenn Youngkin
thrilled the Republican Party when he won the governor's race in Virginia in
2021. A political novice who spent 25 years at the Carlyle Group private equity
firm, he beat a man who had been in Democratic politics since the 1980s.
In a state that has
trended toward Democrats in recent years, Mr Youngkin criticised partisan
politics as "too toxic" and campaigned on a tone of bipartisanship.
But the 55-year-old
has waded into hot-button topics since his first day in charge, from revoking
the state's Covid-19 restrictions to banning the teaching of critical race theory
in schools.
After saying he
would not join the 2024 presidential race, Mr Youngkin is reportedly
reconsidering a run amid donor interest in a non-Trump candidate.
Perry Johnon (K)
From the BBC
(Attachment 7K1)
Perry Johnson, a
75-year-old businessman who tried to run for Michigan governor last year but
was disqualified, joined the race in March.
He is touting a plan
to reignite the economy by shaving 2% in federal spending every year.
Steve Laffey (L)
From the BBC
(Attachment 7L1)
The former mayor of Cranston, Rhode Island, Steve
Laffey announced his candidacy for president on Feb. 2.
In a statement, he said he wanted to confront the
country's issues.
"Our country has done the equivalent of using
Band-Aids in place of major surgery. Somehow, we have 'gotten by,'" he
said. "For the first time in a generation, we must directly confront our
problems."
Laffey is a long shot for the Oval Office, given his
relative lack of name recognition or statewide or federal experience.
He previously made a run for Senate in 2006 in Rhode
Island, against Republican Lincoln Chafee, who was ultimately defeated by
Democrat Sheldon Whitehouse.
Doug Burgum (M)
From 538 (Attachment
7M1)
WHY DOUG BURGUM COULD
SURPRISE IN THE 2024 REPUBLICAN PRIMARY
By Nathaniel Rakich JUN. 7, 2023, AT 10:39 AM
It’s high season for
glossy campaign videos and American flag bunting. In the last 16 hours, three
Republicans have announced they’re running for president —
an unfortunate syzygy for candidates whose meticulously crafted messages are
now in danger of getting drowned out. And with his virtually nonexistent
national profile, North Dakota Gov. Doug Burgum likely
has the most to lose from sharing the news cycle with former Vice President
Mike Pence and former New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie. On the other hand, he may
not care too much: Thanks to his deep pockets (and
the other candidates’ lackluster prospects), Burgum may have the most upside of
the three.
You could be forgiven
for never having heard of Burgum before. He’s governor of the nation’s
fourth-smallest state by population, and until a couple weeks ago,
virtually no one outside of North Dakota was talking about him as a potential
future president. (Those reading in-state media, though,
were hip to it as early as March.) The first polls to
include him as an option in the primary were released on May 24 (he received 1
percent in one and 0 percent in the other), and Morning Consult’s latest poll found
that only 23 percent of potential Republican primary voters knew enough about
him to form an opinion of him.
So why does Burgum
think he has a shot at the White House? Maybe because he’s gone from anonymous
dark horse to Republican primary winner once before. In 2016, everyone assumed
that then-North Dakota Attorney General Wayne Stenehjem would be the state’s
next governor. He led Burgum 59 percent to 10 percent in a February poll of the GOP primary,
and he received the official endorsement of
the North Dakota Republican Party at the party convention in April. But in the
June primary, Burgum defeated Stenehjem 59 percent to 39 percent.
How did he pull it
off? A big part of it was money. Burgum is a software executive — and a very
successful one. He was an early investor in Great Plains
Software, which he sold to Microsoft in 2001 for $1.1 billion. With
the help of one William Gates of Seattle, Washington, he outraised Stenehjem at
least $966,000 to $752,000 in
that 2016 primary. And we say “at least” because that number doesn’t include
whatever Burgum self-funded — at the time, North Dakota law didn’t require
candidates to disclose contributions they made to their own campaign.
Burgum is reportedly
going to use the same playbook in 2024: A source told ABC News that he will
self-fund his presidential campaign. Considering that his net worth as of last
year was reportedly more than $1 billion, he
could probably pump several million dollars into the race without breaking a
sweat. And that would immediately make him one of the primary’s top
fundraisers. It was a couple months ago, but as of March 31, only two
Republicans had raised more than $12 million or had at
least that much money in the bank.1
(See Attachment 7N1, On The Money below)
Who Is Doug Burgum, The North
DakotaGovernor Running For President?
According to
political science research, the connection between spending money and winning elections isn’t
automatic — just ask former New York City mayor and 2020 presidential candidate
Michael Bloomberg. But one of the contexts in which campaign cash can be
very helpful is early on in a primary when the candidate is not very well
known. This, of course, is exactly Burgum’s situation. His lack of name
recognition is actually an asset when paired with his fat wallet; it will allow
him to define himself however he wants for a national audience. As governor,
Burgum has been a bit hard to pin down ideologically, and it will be
interesting to see how he defines himself once he enters the GOP race. Will we
get the wonky, temperate Burgum who geeks out over energy policy and once called an
anti-LGBTQ+ resolution “hurtful and divisive”? Or the rock-ribbed conservative Burgum
who signed multiple pieces of anti-transgender legislation and one of the strictest abortion bans in the country?
Now, let’s not get
carried away: Burgum is very unlikely to win the actual nomination. (As you may
have heard, there’s this guy named Donald Trump who has a dominant lead in
both polls and endorsements, both of which have historically been pretty predictive.) But Burgum could spend
enough to have a meaningful impact on the race.
Let’s say Burgum
really commits to the bit and kicks in $50 million of his own money before the
end of the year. The list of presidential candidates who have raised the
equivalent of $50 million in 2023 dollars by that point in the cycle is full of
notable names. If they didn’t win the nomination, most of them were at least an
important part of the narrative of the election cycle in which they ran.
From
NBC (Attachment 7M2)
A NORTH DAKOTA GOVERNOR RUNNING FOR PRESIDENT? YOU BETCHA
North Dakota Gov. Doug Burgum is close to launching
a campaign for president. And while he doesn't speak ill of Donald Trump or Ron
DeSantis, he offers sharp contrasts.
By Henry J. Gomez May 26, 2023, 5:00 AM EDT
ARTHUR, North Dakota — The last time Doug
Burgum took such a colossal risk, the software company he bought into
by borrowing money against his family’s farm eventually turned into a
billion-dollar deal with Microsoft that would seed his venture into politics.
Now a two-term North Dakota governor, Burgum has
something even more audacious in mind: running for president in a Republican
primary field that this week gained another
popular two-term governor — one with a much higher profile,
Florida’s Ron
DeSantis.
Burgum, who is expected to launch his campaign in the coming weeks,
would enter the race somewhere between afterthought and asterisk. One poll this
week placed him at 1%, far behind DeSantis and front-running former President
Donald Trump.
The challenges and doubts he faced 40 years ago when
he bet the farm on software aren’t unlike those Burgum, 66, faces today. Back
then, there were more competitors and fewer customers than he had realized.
Burgum wrestled with those parallels this week before leading a tour to the
small rural town in which he grew up where his family has operated a grain
elevator since 1906.
“The number of competitors in some ways was noise,
because some were good, some were bad, some were whatever,” Burgum, riding
shotgun in an SUV, said in an interview with NBC News — his first since his
interest in a White House bid became known. “The signal was that software was
going to change the world. So I had the signal right.”
Burgum’s probable candidacy — an
announcement is scheduled for June 7 in Fargo, a source familiar with the plan
said Friday — follows DeSantis’ struggles to
assert himself as the GOP’s strongest alternative to Trump. Undeterred by a
field that could
soon grow even wider, Burgum has begun assembling a staff and collecting
video footage that could be used for ads that the multimillionaire said he is
prepared to self-fund.
“I’ve always had my own skin in the game,” Burgum
said. “I’ve always felt like I would never ask others to invest if I weren’t
always investing.”
Though he sidestepped questions about his would-be
rivals, he made clear his message would differ from theirs and that he sees a
path for himself by focusing less on culture war grievances and more on the
economy, energy policy and national security.
“Everything else,” he said, “gets better if we solve
those problems.”
And Burgum — who hands out medallions bearing the
seal of North Dakota and a promise of gratitude and humility — consciously or
not presented several sharp contrasts with the combative DeSantis.
Both governors recently signed legislation limiting
abortion — North Dakota’s bill, a near-total ban with exceptions for
rape and incest up to six weeks and for health of the mother after that, is
more restrictive than Florida’s — and the
rights of transgender people. Both also have veto-proof GOP majorities in
their legislatures. But Burgum doesn’t ordinarily emphasize such topics, while
DeSantis championed a bill that banned teaching gender identity and sexual
orientation in classrooms up to third grade. Critics branded it the “Don’t Say Gay” bill.
“Cultural issues can be handled by states, and they
can be handled by school boards and local libraries and city commissions,”
Burgum said. “And there are certain things that the federal government has to
focus on, and that’s what our campaign is going to be about.”
At another point, Burgum recalled his defense
of masks during the height
of the pandemic as a plea for empathy at a time when the country had
“devolved into a little bit of neighbors fighting neighbors.” (DeSantis
once mocked students
for wearing masks at a news conference.) Burgum also bragged about North
Dakota’s youthful population gains — a testament, he said, to young
families finding opportunity in the state. (DeSantis often brags about Florida being the warm-weather destination
of choice for older retirees.)
Burgum prefers fashionably dark jeans to slacks and
talks passionately about architecture and urban planning. From the rooftop
patio of the Fargo development firm he founded, he offered a virtual tour of
the city’s downtown, pointing out where power lines had been moved underground
and how parking areas could be built to make better use of retail and
residential space.
While riding between Fargo and Arthur, he described
himself as the kind of traditional pro-business, anti-regulation Republican
that thrived more before Trump’s takeover of the party. Even so, he resisted
any urge to draw more explicit distinctions and over nearly four hours never
mentioned Trump.
“You wouldn’t enter a market as someone with 0%
market share and lead off with criticism of the others,” he said, acknowledging
his lack of name recognition. “You basically have to make the case as to why
people should pay attention, why people should invest some time in getting to
understand what the alternatives are.”
'What's software?'
Arthur, population 328,
is little more than a half-hour drive from Fargo and takes up but a dusty 1.5
square miles.
Burgum’s family has controlled the grain elevator
that towers over Main Street since Theodore Roosevelt’s presidency. It remains,
after all these years, the centerpiece of a business portfolio that has ranged
from the area’s first electric company to the modern advent of Big Green Egg
grills and smokers.
Early on, Burgum shared his family’s entrepreneurial
spirit while also asserting his independence. Drawn by the mystique of the
outdoors, he spent two months hitchhiking to and around Alaska in the summer
after his sophomore year at North Dakota State University.
Senior year, with energy costs rising, he borrowed a
friend’s red 1947 Chevy pickup and started a chimney-sweeping service that
brought in at least $40 per job. A local newspaper published photos of him
scrambling around rooftops in a top hat and tuxedo, looking like Dick Van Dyke
in “Mary Poppins.” Impressed by his hustle, one of Burgum’s professors
encouraged him to apply to business schools.
A family photo with Doug Burgum standing in front of
his mother, Katherine Kilbourne Burgum, who had served on the Republican
National Committee in the late 1960s; Burgum hitchhiking solo from Arthur to
Alaska; and Burgum playing basketball.Courtesy Doug Burgum
“I did not know what an MBA was,” Burgum said.
“Like, in February of my senior year, I never had heard of it.”
Each of the six schools he applied to accepted him,
Burgum added. He recalled choosing Stanford University because “the brochure
had palm trees on it,” and he later learned that the photos of him cleaning
chimneys that he had included in his application packet had clinched his
admission.
It was there, in the gateway to Silicon Valley,
where he met Steve Ballmer, who would soon drop
out of Stanford to join Microsoft, where he would later become CEO and
preside over the company’s 2001
acquisition of Burgum’s Great Plains Software Inc.
Few could see that $1.1 billion stock deal coming in
the early 1980s when Burgum made his initial investment in the Fargo-based
company, which specialized in accounting software for small businesses.
“What’s software?” cousin Rick Burgum, a longtime
executive with the family’s Arthur-based companies, recalled wondering at the
time.
Burgum plowed ahead. Soon other relatives, flush
from the recent sale of a seed company, joined him as investors and bought out
Great Plains from the original owners. Skeptics remained, and Burgum received
plenty of puzzled looks as he worked to grow his business in Fargo — a
backwater compared to the bubbling tech scenes in Seattle and Silicon Valley.
“You sound like an oyster fisherman trying to get a
loan in Kansas City,” Burgum recalled Alan Greenspan, then the chairman of the
Federal Reserve, telling him at a conference.
Over time, the location became an easier icebreaker.
“Fargo” — the 1996 film by Ethan and Joel Coen — became an instant classic with
regional colloquialisms like “You betcha” and darkly comic beats that included
the use of a wood chipper to dispose of a body. The movie landed around the
same time that Burgum was preparing to take Great Plains through an initial
public stock offering, and he couldn’t get through a meeting with prospective
investors without someone asking whether it had accurately captured life in the
upper Midwest.
It got to the point where “one of us would say,
‘Yeah we don’t even have paper shredders in the office — we just use wood
chippers,’” Burgum said.
But the meetings were successful. Great Plains
enjoyed a strong
stock market debut. And by the time Ballmer and Microsoft swooped
in a few years later, Great Plains had annual revenue of about $195
million and a staff of more than 2,000, Marino Eccher wrote in “Vistas and
Visions: Microsoft in Fargo,” an e-book published in 2011 by The Forum, a local
newspaper. Burgum stayed with the company for several years as a senior vice
president. The company still maintains a large campus in Fargo.
“People said you cannot build a software company in
Fargo,” Burgum said. “So many times in my life … the risk that I’ve taken has
been something where people said it can’t be done.”
Defying conventional
wisdom
Until he began angling to be governor, politics had
been more of a behind-the-scenes game for Burgum. His late mother, Katherine
Kilbourne Burgum, was Republican National Committee member in the late 1960s,
and Burgum recalls passing out her buttons — “K’s OK” — at a 1968 convention.
He also served as student government president at North Dakota State.
Many doubted that Burgum would succeed. He entered
the 2016 race a severe long shot, trailing
badly in polls and watching the GOP establishment coalesce around a
sitting attorney general. But he spent big time on the trail — making
efforts to visit any town of more than 1,000 people — and big money
on his campaign, easily winning the primary and general election. He was
re-elected by 40
points in 2020, beating his Democratic opponent by a larger margin
than Trump beat President Joe Biden in the state.
Now eyeing a presidential race already dominated by
Trump, himself a wealthy businessman, and DeSantis, who has strayed from
traditional GOP orthodoxy by picking
fights with private-sector giants like Disney, Burgum chose his words
carefully when asked about both.
“I am not in a position to pass judgment on what
other governors are doing or not doing,” Burgum said when asked about how
DeSantis has talked about building a prison near Disney’s Florida theme park and
other forms of retribution in a clash over LGBTQ issues. “I would say from my
perspective, in North Dakota, coming from a business background, the folks that
are willing to invest capital in our state, the folks that are creating the
jobs in our state, the innovators and the entrepreneurs — that’s what’s driving
our country forward.”
Burgum reserved his most pointed attacks for Biden,
whom he called a “career politician for 50 years” and whose policies he
directly criticized as anti-business. He dodged, though, when asked why he
doesn’t believe Trump should be nominated again in 2024.
“The cool thing about elections in America is voters
get to decide that,” he said. He added that he would back Trump if the former
president wins the nomination.
“I will support anyone who’s not Joe Biden,” Burgum
said.
While he has acknowledged self-funding his campaigns
for governor, North Dakota filings available online don’t provide a full
picture of how much Burgum contributed or loaned to the efforts. He also
declined to say how much he might spend on a White House bid or how hard he
plans to work a network of wealthy tech executives he’s known for years.
Leaning into those connections carries risk, given that Burgum made his fortune
in a Big Tech industry that today's Republican Party has vilified. (Ballmer,
who now owns the Los Angeles Clippers, and Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella, who
has spoken
fondly of his relationship with Burgum, did not respond to requests
for comment.)
“It might be a little early to talk about campaign
finance questions,” Burgum said, noting that he is not an officially declared
candidate.
He seemed eager, though, to once again test his
entrepreneurial confidence.
“I’ve just gotten used to the idea of people saying,
‘Well, if you’re from North Dakota, if you’re from a rural state, if you’re
from someplace where it isn’t the conventional wisdom, it can’t be done,’”
Burgum said. “But conventional wisdom often is not the predictor of the future
that’s coming next.”
Show Us the Money
(N)
From 538 (Attachment
7N1)
Only a few presidential candidates are flush with
cash
Fundraising total
receipts and cash on hand for Republican presidential candidates as of March
31, 2023
CANDIDATE |
TOTAL RECEIPTS |
CASH ON HAND |
Donald Trump |
$18,272,903 |
$13,931,948 |
Vivek Ramaswamy |
11,418,449 |
9,367,288 |
Nikki Haley |
5,125,431 |
4,069,549 |
Perry Johnson |
3,763,396 |
2,036,476 |
Tim Scott |
1,646,202 |
21,912,915 |
Asa Hutchinson and
Ron DeSantis have not yet reported raising any money to the FEC.
SOURCE: FEDERAL
ELECTION COMMISSION
Free-spending candidates do well in presidential
primaries
Democratic and
Republican candidates who have raised at least $50 million (in 2023 dollars) in
incumbent-less presidential primaries before Jan. 1 of election years since
2000 and where they eventually finished in the primary, based on delegates won
CANDIDATE |
PARTY |
YEAR |
TOTAL RECEIPTS |
SELF-FUNDED |
FINISH |
Tom Steyer |
D |
2020 |
$244.8m |
$240.3m |
T-8th |
Michael Bloomberg |
D |
2020 |
237.7 |
237.5 |
4th |
Hillary Clinton |
D |
2008 |
173.1 |
0.0 |
2nd |
Barack Obama |
D |
2008 |
151.9 |
0.0 |
1st |
Hillary Clinton |
D |
2016 |
147.9 |
0.5 |
1st |
Mitt Romney |
R |
2008 |
131.8 |
0.1 |
3rd |
Steve Forbes |
R |
2000 |
129.8 |
120.3 |
4th |
Bernie Sanders |
D |
2020 |
129.0 |
0.0 |
2nd |
George W. Bush |
R |
2000 |
125.0 |
0.0 |
1st |
Elizabeth Warren |
D |
2020 |
97.3 |
0.0 |
3rd |
Bernie Sanders |
D |
2016 |
96.0 |
0.0 |
2nd |
Rudy Giuliani |
R |
2008 |
90.2 |
0.0 |
T-8th |
Mitt Romney |
R |
2012 |
77.0 |
0.0 |
1st |
Joe Biden |
D |
2020 |
72.4 |
0.0 |
1st |
Ben Carson |
R |
2016 |
69.2 |
0.0 |
5th |
Howard Dean |
D |
2004 |
68.2 |
0.0 |
3rd |
John Edwards |
D |
2008 |
64.8 |
0.0 |
3rd |
John McCain |
R |
2008 |
61.6 |
0.0 |
1st |
Ted Cruz |
R |
2016 |
60.3 |
0.0 |
2nd |
Al Gore |
D |
2000 |
52.7 |
0.0 |
1st |
Marco Rubio |
R |
2016 |
50.6 |
0.0 |
3rd |
Bill Bradley |
D |
2000 |
50.6 |
0.0 |
2nd |
Dollar figures are
adjusted for inflation. Steyer and Giuliani tied for 8th place with zero
delegates each.
SOURCES: FEDERAL
ELECTION COMMISSION, DAVE LEIP’S ATLAS OF U.S. PRESIDENTIAL ELECTIONS
The 2024 Republican
primary already has a clear front-runner in Trump and a clear main alternative
in Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis.
But after that, the field is wide open; according to FiveThirtyEight’s polling average,
the third-place candidate nationally right now is former Vice President Mike
Pence with only 5 percent support. Burgum would need his money to give him only
about a 5-percentage-point boost to become the main alternative to the main
alternative. And given that DeSantis has faced questions about his awkwardness and political skills —
coinciding with his national polling average falling from 30 percent on March
21 to 21 percent today — that could be a valuable place to be.
That, to be clear,
is Burgum’s best-case scenario. He may not spend $50 million — and even if he
does, he may not surpass DeSantis, or even Pence. But his first barrage of
spending — whether it comes immediately or in several months — will be worth
watching closely. In politics, candidates who spend a ton of money eventually encounter diminishing
returns — in other words, Burgum’s first $20 million spent will
get him further than dollars 100-120 million. Once we see how much he is
willing to spend and where he ends up once he has spent the first wave of it,
we’ll know a lot more about whether Burgum is a candidate to watch.
ATTACHMENTS
EIGHT (A and
B) – From the New York Times
A:
WHO’S RUNNING FOR PRESIDENT IN 2024?
The race begins. Four years after a
historically large number of candidates ran for president, the
field for the 2024 campaign is starting out small and is likely to be
headlined by the same two men who ran last time: President Biden and Donald
Trump. Here’s a look at some of the contenders who have entered the race
so far:
President Biden. The president has cast himself
as a protector of democracy and a stabilizing force after the upheaval of the
Trump administration. Biden is running
for re-election as the oldest person ever to hold the
presidency, a
subject of concern among many Democrats, though the party has
publicly set
aside those worries and rallied around him.
Donald Trump. The former president is running
to retake the office he lost in 2020. Though somewhat
diminished in influence within the Republican Party — and facing several
legal investigations — he retains a large and committed base of
supporters, and he could be aided in the primary by multiple challengers splitting
a limited anti-Trump vote.
Ron DeSantis. The combative governor of
Florida, whose official entry into the 2024 race was spoiled by a glitch-filled
livestream over Twitter, has championed conservative causes and thrown a
flurry of punches at America’s left. DeSantis is Trump’s strongest Republican
challenger since 2016.
Mike Pence. The former vice president filed
paperwork on June 5 declaring his candidacy, embarking on a long-shot
campaign against Trump, his former boss. Pence was once a stalwart supporter
and defender of Trump but split with him after the Jan. 6 attack on the
Capitol.
Chris Christie. The former governor of New
Jersey filed
paperwork on June 6 saying that he would seek the Republican
nomination, setting up a rematch with Trump. In making a second run for the
presidency, Christie has positioned himself as the G.O.P. hopeful who is most
willing to attack the former president.
Nikki Haley. The former governor of South
Carolina and U.N. ambassador under Trump has presented herself as a member
of “a
new generation of leadership” and emphasized her life experience as a
daughter of Indian immigrants. She was long seen as a rising G.O.P. star
but her
allure in the party has declined amid her on-again,
off-again embrace of Trump.
Tim Scott. The South Carolina senator, who
joins a growing number of Republicans running
as alternatives to Trump, is the first Black Republican elected to the
Senate from the South since Reconstruction and has been one of his
party’s most
prominent voices on matters of race.
More candidates. On the G.O.P. side, Asa Hutchinson, Vivek
Ramaswamy and Larry
Elder are also making a run for the White House, while Marianne
Williamson and Robert
F. Kennedy Jr. have launched campaigns for the Democratic
nomination. Cornel
West announced a third-party bid. Read
more about the 2024 candidates.
B: THE RUN-UP TO
THE 2024 ELECTION
Ron DeSantis
· Following his ill-fated
presidential debut on Twitter, the Florida governor carried out a far more
traditional campaign tour in Iowa, New Hampshire and South Carolina. Here
are five takeaways from his trip.
· After absorbing months of attacks from former
President Donald Trump, DeSantis is beginning
to fire back — but carefully.
Donald Trump
· The rapidly
ballooning Republican field represents a grave threat to DeSantis’s
ability to consolidate the non-Trump vote. But for the former president, the
more candidates the better.
· Trump used a raucous
town hall meeting broadcast live on CNN to sketch out a
provocative vision for what his second term in office would be like.
ATTACHMENT NINE (A) - from RCP
Latest Polls
Election Polls | GOP 2024 Polls | Dem 2024 Polls | Senate Polls | House Polls | Governor Polls | State of Union Polls
Tuesday, June 13 |
Race/Topic (Click
to Sort) |
Poll |
Results |
Spread |
Trump +25 |
|||
Trump 53, DeSantis 19, Pence 10, Cheney, Haley 6, Scott
4, Ramaswamy 2, Christie 2, Burgum 1 |
Trump +34 |
||
Biden +55 |
|||
Disapprove +10 |
|||
Disapprove +14 |
|||
Wrong Track +45 |
Monday, June 12 |
Race/Topic (Click
to Sort) |
Poll |
Results |
Spread |
Trump +21 |
|||
Trump +36 |
|||
Biden +56 |
|||
Biden +43 |
|||
Schiff +1 |
|||
Wrong Track +29 |
Sunday, June 11 |
Race/Topic (Click
to Sort) |
Poll |
Results |
Spread |
Trump +38 |
|||
Disapprove +18 |
Thursday, June 8 |
Race/Topic (Click
to Sort) |
Poll |
Results |
Spread |
Trump 39, DeSantis 24, Haley 4, Pence 4, Scott 5,
Christie 2, Ramaswamy 1, Hutchinson 0 |
Trump +15 |
||
Trump 41, DeSantis 25, Pence 8, Haley 5, Scott 5,
Ramaswamy 2 |
Trump +16 |
||
Clarke +20 |
Wednesday, June 7 |
Race/Topic (Click
to Sort) |
Poll |
Results |
Spread |
Trump 59, DeSantis 27, Cheney 10, Pence 5, Haley 3,
Ramaswamy 1 |
Trump +32 |
||
Trump 27, DeSantis 26, Cheney 7, Haley 5, Pence 5,
Ramaswamy 4, Scott 3, Hutchinson 1 |
Trump +1 |
||
Disapprove +13 |
Tuesday, June 6 |
Race/Topic (Click to Sort) |
Poll |
Results |
Spread |
Trump 48,
DeSantis 28, Pence 7, Haley 7, Youngkin, Scott 1, Elder 1, Hutchinson 1 |
Trump +20 |
||
Trump 50,
DeSantis 21, Pence 10, Cheney 7, Haley 3, Scott 2, Noem 2, Ramaswamy 1,
Christie 1 |
Trump +29 |
||
Biden +33 |
|||
Biden +16 |
|||
Disapprove +9 |
Monday, June 5 |
Race/Topic (Click to Sort) |
Poll |
Results |
Spread |
Tie |
|||
Disapprove +11 |
|||
Wrong Track +27 |
Friday, June 2 |
Race/Topic (Click to Sort) |
Poll |
Results |
Spread |
Trump 53,
DeSantis 21, Haley 3, Scott 2, Ramaswamy 2, Pence 1, Hutchinson 0, Sununu 0 |
Trump +32 |
||
Tie |
Wednesday, May 31 |
Race/Topic (Click to Sort) |
Poll |
Results |
Spread |
Biden +3 |
|||
Disapprove +12 |
|||
Disapprove +43 |
|||
Wrong Track +46 |
Tuesday, May 30 |
Race/Topic (Click to Sort) |
Poll |
Results |
Spread |
Trump 54,
DeSantis 9, Pence 5, Scott 4, Haley 3, Ramaswamy 2, Hutchinson 2 |
Trump +45 |
||
Justice +41 |
|||
Justice +22 |
|||
Mooney +1 |
Monday, May 29 |
Race/Topic (Click to Sort) |
Poll |
Results |
Spread |
Wrong Track +39 |
Sunday, May 28 |
Race/Topic (Click to Sort) |
Poll |
Results |
Spread |
Trump 44,
DeSantis 26, Pence 4, Cheney 4, Haley 3, Scott 1, Noem 1, Ramaswamy 2,
Christie 1 |
Trump +18 |
Friday, May 26 |
Race/Topic (Click to Sort) |
Poll |
Results |
Spread |
Trump 43,
DeSantis 18, Haley 10, Scott 12, Pence 1, Sununu 1, Hutchinson 1, Ramaswamy 1 |
Trump +25 |
||
Biden +40 |
|||
Recommendedre from Real Clear |
|||
Disapprove +16 |
|||
Disapprove +18 |
|||
Disapprove +57 |
Thursday, May 25 |
Race/Topic (Click to Sort) |
Poll |
Results |
Spread |
Trump 62,
DeSantis 20, Haley 5, Pence 5, Ramaswamy 2, Scott 3, Hutchinson 1, Sununu 1 |
Trump +42 |
||
Biden +58 |
|||
Trump +33 |
|||
Biden +46 |
|||
Trump +21 |
|||
Biden +41 |
|||
Trump +5 |
|||
DeSantis +4 |
|||
Trump +11 |
|||
DeSantis +7 |
|||
Early +1 |
|||
Robinson +1 |
|||
Stein +2 |
|||
Stein +5 |
|||
Disapprove +20 |
|||
Disapprove +48 |
Wednesday, May 24 |
Race/Topic (Click to Sort) |
Poll |
Results |
Spread |
Trump +27 |
|||
Trump +31 |
|||
Biden +2 |
|||
DeSantis +1 |
|||
Disapprove +19 |
|||
Disapprove +12 |
|||
Disapprove +2 |
|||
Disapprove +26 |
|||
Disapprove +56 |
|||
Wrong Track +58 |
|||
Wrong Track +30 |
Polling Data
Date |
Trump |
DeSantis |
Haley |
Pence |
Ramaswamy |
Scott |
Youngkin |
Sununu |
Christie |
Elder |
Hutchinson |
Spread |
|
RCP Average |
5/8 - 5/22 |
53.2 |
22.4 |
4.4 |
3.8 |
2.6 |
1.6 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
Trump +30.8 |
5/19 - 5/22 |
53 |
20 |
4 |
5 |
4 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Trump +33 |
|
5/18 - 5/22 |
56 |
25 |
3 |
2 |
1 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
1 |
0 |
Trump +31 |
|
5/17 - 5/20 |
53 |
26 |
6 |
6 |
1 |
2 |
-- |
1 |
2 |
0 |
1 |
Trump +27 |
|
5/17 - 5/18 |
58 |
16 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
1 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
1 |
Trump +42 |
|
5/8 - 5/18 |
46 |
25 |
5 |
2 |
3 |
1 |
-- |
1 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
Trump +21 |
|
5/11 - 5/15 |
62 |
17 |
5 |
6 |
2 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
3 |
Trump +45 |
|
5/9 - 5/15 |
49 |
21 |
4 |
5 |
4 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
-- |
0 |
Trump +28 |
|
5/3 - 5/5 |
55 |
17 |
4 |
6 |
4 |
2 |
-- |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
Trump +38 |
|
4/28 - 5/3 |
53 |
25 |
6 |
6 |
-- |
4 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
1 |
Trump +28 |
|
4/27 - 4/29 |
58 |
22 |
4 |
5 |
5 |
1 |
-- |
-- |
2 |
2 |
1 |
Trump +36 |
|
4/24 - 4/25 |
62 |
16 |
3 |
7 |
3 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
2 |
-- |
2 |
Trump +46 |
|
4/21 - 4/24 |
53 |
21 |
4 |
6 |
3 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
0 |
Trump +32 |
|
4/21 - 4/24 |
49 |
23 |
3 |
6 |
2 |
-- |
-- |
1 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
Trump +26 |
|
4/18 - 4/20 |
46 |
26 |
5 |
5 |
2 |
2 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
1 |
Trump +20 |
|
4/18 - 4/19 |
55 |
20 |
4 |
7 |
2 |
1 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
0 |
Trump +35 |
|
4/14 - 4/18 |
46 |
31 |
3 |
6 |
2 |
3 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
3 |
Trump +15 |
|
4/11 - 4/17 |
48 |
24 |
5 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
1 |
1 |
0 |
-- |
0 |
Trump +24 |
|
4/5 - 4/6 |
58 |
21 |
1 |
4 |
1 |
-- |
1 |
0 |
0 |
-- |
1 |
Trump +37 |
|
3/31 - 4/3 |
48 |
19 |
6 |
5 |
-- |
-- |
0 |
1 |
2 |
-- |
-- |
Trump +29 |
|
3/31 - 4/2 |
56 |
23 |
4 |
4 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
0 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Trump +33 |
|
3/31 - 4/1 |
57 |
24 |
5 |
4 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
-- |
-- |
Trump +33 |
|
3/30 - 3/31 |
52 |
21 |
5 |
3 |
1 |
-- |
0 |
-- |
2 |
-- |
-- |
Trump +31 |
|
3/29 - 3/31 |
47 |
23 |
4 |
5 |
1 |
-- |
-- |
0 |
1 |
-- |
-- |
Trump +24 |
|
3/26 - 3/27 |
42 |
29 |
4 |
6 |
1 |
1 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Trump +13 |
|
3/24 - 3/27 |
54 |
24 |
3 |
6 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
-- |
1 |
Trump +30 |
|
3/23 - 3/27 |
47 |
33 |
4 |
5 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
-- |
0 |
Trump +14 |
|
3/22 - 3/23 |
50 |
24 |
5 |
7 |
0 |
2 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Trump +26 |
|
3/22 - 3/25 |
44 |
30 |
5 |
5 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
0 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Trump +14 |
|
3/12 - 3/22 |
40 |
35 |
5 |
5 |
-- |
0 |
-- |
1 |
0 |
-- |
0 |
Trump +5 |
|
3/16 - 3/20 |
44 |
36 |
6 |
7 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Trump +8 |
|
3/16 - 3/20 |
44 |
28 |
5 |
4 |
-- |
-- |
2 |
-- |
1 |
-- |
-- |
Trump +16 |
|
3/14 - 3/20 |
44 |
30 |
3 |
5 |
-- |
-- |
1 |
0 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Trump +14 |
|
3/14 - 3/19 |
44 |
32 |
5 |
5 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Trump +12 |
|
3/9 - 3/13 |
46 |
32 |
5 |
3 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
-- |
0 |
Trump +14 |
|
3/8 - 3/12 |
37 |
39 |
7 |
6 |
-- |
2 |
1 |
2 |
-- |
-- |
1 |
DeSantis +2 |
|
3/1 - 3/3 |
51 |
22 |
4 |
7 |
1 |
-- |
-- |
0 |
0 |
-- |
-- |
Trump +29 |
|
2/23 - 2/27 |
45 |
29 |
4 |
2 |
-- |
-- |
0 |
-- |
0 |
-- |
-- |
Trump +16 |
|
2/24 - 2/25 |
55 |
25 |
5 |
8 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
0 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Trump +30 |
|
2/19 - 2/26 |
29 |
27 |
10 |
6 |
-- |
1 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Trump +2 |
|
2/19 - 2/22 |
43 |
28 |
7 |
7 |
-- |
1 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
0 |
Trump +15 |
|
2/15 - 2/16 |
46 |
23 |
6 |
7 |
-- |
1 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Trump +23 |
|
2/9 - 2/14 |
42 |
36 |
5 |
4 |
-- |
1 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
0 |
Trump +6 |
|
2/6 - 2/13 |
43 |
31 |
4 |
7 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Trump +12 |
|
2/4 - 2/7 |
42 |
32 |
5 |
8 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Trump +10 |
|
2/2 - 2/6 |
37 |
35 |
5 |
4 |
-- |
-- |
1 |
-- |
2 |
-- |
-- |
Trump +2 |
|
2/1 - 2/3 |
50 |
27 |
1 |
7 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
0 |
1 |
-- |
-- |
Trump +23 |
|
1/19 - 1/21 |
55 |
29 |
3 |
6 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Trump +26 |
|
1/18 - 1/19 |
48 |
28 |
3 |
7 |
-- |
1 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Trump +20 |
|
1/14 - 1/17 |
44 |
32 |
4 |
5 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Trump +12 |
|
1/12 - 1/16 |
37 |
36 |
1 |
5 |
-- |
-- |
0 |
-- |
3 |
-- |
-- |
Trump +1 |
|
12/12 - 12/14 |
40 |
35 |
4 |
7 |
-- |
1 |
-- |
-- |
1 |
-- |
-- |
Trump +5 |
|
12/14 - 12/15 |
48 |
25 |
4 |
6 |
-- |
1 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Trump +23 |
|
11/26 - 11/29 |
36 |
30 |
3 |
8 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Trump +6 |
|
11/18 - 11/20 |
45 |
30 |
2 |
7 |
-- |
0 |
-- |
-- |
0 |
-- |
-- |
Trump +15 |
|
11/18 - 11/19 |
55 |
25 |
3 |
8 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Trump +30 |
|
11/16 - 11/17 |
46 |
28 |
2 |
7 |
-- |
1 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Trump +18 |
|
11/10 - 11/14 |
47 |
33 |
1 |
5 |
-- |
0 |
-- |
-- |
0 |
-- |
-- |
Trump +14 |
|
10/28 - 10/31 |
49 |
24 |
3 |
9 |
-- |
0 |
-- |
-- |
1 |
-- |
-- |
Trump +25 |
|
10/12 - 10/13 |
55 |
17 |
2 |
7 |
-- |
1 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Trump +38 |
|
10/9 - 10/12 |
49 |
26 |
3 |
6 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Trump +23 |
|
9/16 - 9/18 |
52 |
19 |
2 |
8 |
-- |
1 |
-- |
-- |
1 |
-- |
-- |
Trump +33 |
|
9/7 - 9/9 |
54 |
15 |
2 |
8 |
-- |
1 |
-- |
-- |
0 |
-- |
-- |
Trump +39 |
|
9/7 - 9/8 |
59 |
17 |
2 |
9 |
-- |
1 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Trump +42 |
|
8/19 - 8/21 |
57 |
18 |
3 |
8 |
-- |
1 |
-- |
-- |
1 |
-- |
-- |
Trump +39 |
|
8/10 - 8/10 |
56 |
18 |
2 |
8 |
-- |
1 |
-- |
-- |
1 |
-- |
-- |
Trump +38 |
|
8/2 - 8/4 |
53 |
17 |
1 |
10 |
-- |
0 |
-- |
-- |
2 |
-- |
-- |
Trump +36 |
|
7/27 - 7/28 |
52 |
19 |
5 |
7 |
-- |
1 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Trump +33 |
|
7/22 - 7/25 |
43 |
34 |
3 |
7 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
1 |
-- |
-- |
Trump +9 |
|
7/15 - 7/17 |
53 |
23 |
2 |
7 |
-- |
1 |
-- |
-- |
0 |
-- |
-- |
Trump +30 |
|
7/8 - 7/10 |
52 |
21 |
3 |
8 |
-- |
0 |
-- |
-- |
1 |
-- |
-- |
Trump +31 |
|
7/5 - 7/7 |
49 |
25 |
6 |
6 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Trump +24 |
|
6/28 - 6/29 |
56 |
16 |
4 |
7 |
-- |
2 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Trump +40 |
|
6/28 - 6/29 |
55 |
20 |
3 |
9 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Trump +35 |
|
6/24 - 6/26 |
51 |
23 |
2 |
8 |
-- |
0 |
-- |
-- |
1 |
-- |
-- |
Trump +28 |
|
6/4 - 6/5 |
51 |
18 |
4 |
12 |
-- |
1 |
-- |
-- |
1 |
-- |
-- |
Trump +33 |
|
5/18 - 5/19 |
41 |
12 |
4 |
7 |
-- |
1 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Trump +29 |
|
4/4 - 4/6 |
49 |
15 |
3 |
13 |
-- |
1 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Trump +34 |
|
4/20 - 4/21 |
58 |
13 |
3 |
8 |
-- |
1 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Trump +45 |
|
3/23 - 3/24 |
59 |
10 |
3 |
11 |
-- |
2 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Trump +48 |
|
3/18 - 3/21 |
54 |
14 |
5 |
10 |
-- |
0 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Trump +40 |
|
2/21 - 2/22 |
47 |
20 |
3 |
5 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Trump +27 |
|
1/22 - 1/23 |
49 |
14 |
2 |
13 |
-- |
1 |
-- |
-- |
1 |
-- |
-- |
Trump +35 |
|
1/19 - 1/20 |
57 |
12 |
-- |
11 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Trump +45 |
|
12/13 - 1/17 |
54 |
11 |
4 |
8 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
2 |
-- |
-- |
Trump +43 |
|
12/1 - 12/4 |
60 |
11 |
3 |
9 |
-- |
1 |
-- |
-- |
1 |
-- |
-- |
Trump +49 |
|
11/30 - 12/2 |
67 |
8 |
4 |
9 |
-- |
1 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Trump +58 |
|
10/27 - 10/28 |
47 |
10 |
6 |
9 |
-- |
3 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Trump +37 |
|
10/8 - 10/11 |
47 |
12 |
3 |
12 |
-- |
1 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Trump +35 |
|
9/15 - 9/16 |
58 |
9 |
3 |
13 |
-- |
1 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Trump +45 |
|
8/30 - 9/1 |
67 |
10 |
7 |
6 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Trump +57 |
|
5/14 - 5/17 |
48 |
8 |
4 |
13 |
-- |
2 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Trump +35 |
|
2/23 - 2/25 |
42 |
-- |
8 |
18 |
-- |
3 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Trump +24 |
|
2/14 - 2/15 |
53 |
-- |
6 |
12 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Trump +41 |
|
1/8 - 1/11 |
42 |
-- |
5 |
16 |
-- |
1 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Trump +26 |
|
11/21 - 11/23 |
54 |
-- |
4 |
12 |
-- |
1 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Trump +42 |
ATTACHMENT NINE (B) - from Five Thirty Eight
Polls ending yesterday
1,500 |
LV |
|
Approve |
44% |
54% |
Disapprove |
|
Disapprove |
+10 |
President: Republican primary, 2024
337 |
A |
|
Trump |
43% |
22% |
DeSantis |
More |
Trump |
+21 |
June 11, 2023
President: general election, 2024
6,000 |
RV |
|
Biden |
43% |
39% |
DeSantis |
|
Biden |
+4 |
||
6,000 |
RV |
|
Biden |
42% |
42% |
Trump |
|
EVEN |
President: Republican primary, 2024
3,419 |
RV |
|
Trump |
59% |
19% |
DeSantis |
More |
Trump |
+40 |
June 10, 2023
2,480 |
A |
|
Approve |
41% |
59% |
Disapprove |
|
Disapprove |
+18 |
President: Republican primary, 2024
586 |
LV |
|
Trump |
61% |
23% |
DeSantis |
More |
Trump |
+38 |
910 |
A |
|
Favorable |
31% |
56% |
Unfavorable |
|
Unfavorable |
+25 |
June 9, 2023
1,000 |
RV |
|
Approve |
40% |
54% |
Disapprove |
|
Disapprove |
+14 |
President: general election, 2024
1,000 |
RV |
|
Biden |
33% |
26% |
DeSantis |
|
Biden |
+7 |
||
1,000 |
RV |
|
Biden |
34% |
32% |
Trump |
|
Biden |
+2 |
President: Democratic primary, 2024
293 |
LV |
|
Biden |
58% |
15% |
Kennedy |
More |
Biden |
+43 |
President: Republican primary, 2024
245 |
LV |
|
Trump |
48% |
23% |
DeSantis |
More |
Trump |
+25 |
June 8, 2023
President: general election, Washington, 2024
773 |
LV |
|
Biden |
51% |
39% |
DeSantis |
|
Biden |
+12 |
||
773 |
LV |
|
Biden |
53% |
36% |
Trump |
|
Biden |
+17 |
President: Republican primary, 2024
2,476 |
RV |
|
Trump |
59% |
19% |
DeSantis |
More |
Trump |
+40 |
800 |
LV |
|
Democrat |
42% |
47% |
Republican |
|
Republican |
+5 |
1,500 |
LV |
|
Approve |
45% |
54% |
Disapprove |
|
Disapprove |
+9 |
June 4, 2023
President: general election, 2024
6,000 |
RV |
|
Biden |
43% |
40% |
DeSantis |
Biden |
+3 |
|||
6,000 |
RV |
|
Biden |
43% |
41% |
Trump |
Biden |
+2 |
President: Republican primary, 2024
3,545 |
RV |
|
Trump |
56% |
22% |
DeSantis |
More |
Trump |
+34 |
June 2, 2023
1,358 |
A |
|
Approve |
40% |
51% |
Disapprove |
Disapprove |
+11 |
June 1, 2023
1,496 |
RV |
|
Approve |
36% |
58% |
Disapprove |
Disapprove |
+22 |
|||
1,911 |
A |
|
Approve |
33% |
57% |
Disapprove |
Disapprove |
+24 |
President: general election, 2024
1,012 |
LV |
|
Biden |
44% |
44% |
DeSantis |
EVEN |
||||
1,496 |
RV |
|
Biden |
39% |
38% |
DeSantis |
Biden |
+1 |
|||
1,911 |
A |
|
Biden |
35% |
36% |
DeSantis |
DeSantis |
+1 |
|||
1,496 |
RV |
|
Biden |
42% |
44% |
Trump |
Trump |
+2 |
|||
1,911 |
A |
|
Biden |
38% |
44% |
Trump |
Trump |
+6 |
President: Democratic primary, 2024
706 |
RV |
|
Harris |
24% |
17% |
Sanders |
More |
Harris |
+7 |
||
850 |
A |
|
Harris |
26% |
16% |
Sanders |
More |
Harris |
+10 |
President: Republican primary, 2024
|
Trump |
58% |
30% |
DeSantis |
Trump |
+28 |
|||||
2,476 |
RV |
|
Trump |
57% |
23% |
DeSantis |
More |
Trump |
+34 |
||
563 |
RV |
|
Trump |
72% |
15% |
T. Scott |
Trump |
+57 |
|||
686 |
A |
|
Trump |
73% |
14% |
T. Scott |
Trump |
+59 |
|||
563 |
RV |
|
Trump |
60% |
31% |
DeSantis |
Trump |
+29 |
|||
686 |
A |
|
Trump |
63% |
28% |
DeSantis |
Trump |
+35 |
|||
563 |
RV |
|
Trump |
54% |
23% |
DeSantis |
More |
Trump |
+31 |
||
686 |
A |
|
Trump |
57% |
20% |
DeSantis |
More |
Trump |
+37 |
President: Republican primary, Nevada, 2024
500 |
LV |
|
Trump |
53% |
21% |
DeSantis |
More |
Trump |
+32 |
1,012 |
LV |
|
Favorable |
49% |
43% |
Unfavorable |
Favorable |
+6 |
May 31, 2023
1,500 |
RV |
|
Approve |
37% |
51% |
Disapprove |
Disapprove |
+14 |
|||
1,313 |
RV |
|
Approve |
42% |
54% |
Disapprove |
Disapprove |
+12 |
|||
1,500 |
A |
|
Approve |
40% |
54% |
Disapprove |
Disapprove |
+14 |
President: general election, 2024
1,207 |
LV |
|
Harris |
42% |
43% |
Trump |
Trump |
+1 |
|||
1,207 |
LV |
|
Biden |
48% |
33% |
DeSantis |
Biden |
+15 |
|||
1,207 |
LV |
|
Biden |
45% |
41% |
Trump |
Biden |
+4 |
|||
1,500 |
RV |
|
Harris |
38% |
39% |
Trump |
Trump |
+1 |
|||
1,500 |
RV |
|
Biden |
43% |
30% |
DeSantis |
Biden |
+13 |
|||
1,500 |
RV |
|
Biden |
40% |
37% |
Trump |
Biden |
+3 |
|||
1,313 |
RV |
|
Biden |
43% |
40% |
Trump |
Biden |
+3 |
|||
1,500 |
A |
|
Biden |
39% |
39% |
Trump |
EVEN |
President: Republican primary, 2024
397 |
A |
|
Trump |
52% |
27% |
DeSantis |
Trump |
+25 |
1,313 |
RV |
|
Favorable |
40% |
57% |
Unfavorable |
Unfavorable |
+17 |
|||
1,500 |
A |
|
Favorable |
40% |
56% |
Unfavorable |
Unfavorable |
+16 |
1,313 |
RV |
|
Favorable |
32% |
37% |
Unfavorable |
Unfavorable |
+5 |
|||
1,500 |
A |
|
Favorable |
31% |
35% |
Unfavorable |
Unfavorable |
+4 |
1,313 |
RV |
|
Favorable |
41% |
48% |
Unfavorable |
Unfavorable |
+7 |
|||
1,500 |
A |
|
Favorable |
38% |
46% |
Unfavorable |
Unfavorable |
+8 |
Polls from firms that are banned by FiveThirtyEight are not shown. Pollsters
that did not release any horse-race polls within three weeks of an election
since 1998 do not have a grade and are treated as a C+ by the grade filter.
When the dates of tracking polls from the same
pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown.
Notice any bugs or missing polls? Send us an email.
Design and development by Ryan Best, Aaron Bycoffe, Christopher Groskopf, Ritchie King, Ella Koeze, Dhrumil Mehta, Jasmine Mithani, Mary Radcliffe, Anna Wiederkehr and Julia Wolfe. Andrea Jones-Rooy, Dhrumil Mehta, Mary Radcliffe, Nathaniel Rakich, Derek Shan and Julia Wolfe contributed research. Editing by Sarah Frostenson. Copy editing by Jennifer Mason, Andrew Mangan and Curtis Yee.
Why Is Biden Moving To The Political Center?
The Polls Got It Right In 2022. Here Are The Pollsters To Trust.
The Polls Were Historically Accurate In 2022
Will Democrats Rally Behind President Biden In 2024?
The Model Always Had Its Doubts About The Red Wave
ATTACHMENT TEN - from USA Today
BIDEN STAYING MUM ON TRUMP INDICTMENT OVER CLASSIFIED DOCUMENTS
By Maureen Groppe
USA TODAY
WASHINGTON − President Joe Biden on Friday
declined to weigh in on the federal indictment of Donald Trump, Biden's
predecessor and the front runner for the GOP nomination to challenge his
re-election bid.
“I have no comment," Biden told reporters while
visiting a community college in North Carolina.
Biden also said he hasn’t spoken with Attorney
General Merrick Garland about the case.
“And I’m not going to speak with him,” Biden
added.
On the flight to the state, principal deputy press
secretary Olivia Dalton said the White House won't comment out of respect for
the independence of the Justice Department and to protect "the integrity
of their processes."
"Look, the rule of law is a bedrock principle
of our democracy, and we're going to respect that," she said.
Dalton said Biden and his top aides had no advance
notice of the indictment and found out about it from news reports.
Trump declared his innocence in a video statement
and in posts on social media.
More than 300 classified documents were recovered more
than a year after Trump left the White House, most under subpoena in June 2022
or during an FBI search in August 2022. Justice Department special counsel Jack Smith has
been investigating the potential mishandling of national defense records.
A special counsel is still investigating the
handling of classified documents found at a
former office space used by Biden and at his home in Wilmington, Delaware.
In Biden's case, the White House has maintained that
the documents, numbering about 10, were returned to the archives the day after
they were discovered by the president's lawyers.
By contrast, Trump repeatedly resisted efforts by
the National Archives to recover his material, including failing to fully
respond to a subpoena issued for the records by federal law enforcement
authorities. That prompted the FBI to lead an unprecedented search of Trump's
Mar-a-Lago estate, resulting in the seizure of the classified documents and
thousands of other government records.
The indictment steps up the extraordinary situation
of the Justice Department of a president seeking re-election trying to convict
the current front-runner for the GOP nomination.
Biden was asked at a news conference Thursday how he
would convince Americans they can trust the independence of the Justice
Department when Trump repeatedly attacks it.
“Because you notice I have never once − not
one single time − suggested to the Justice Department what they should do
or not do, relative to bringing a charge or not bringing a charge,” Biden said.
“I'm honest.”
Contributing: Bart Jansen
ATTACHMENT ELEVEN – From the Daily Beast
TRUMP LASHES OUT AT ‘NASTY’ PENCE IN BONKERS POST-INDICTMENT SPEECH
“Every time I fly over a blue state, I get a
subpoena,” he said.
By Isabella
Ramirez Published Jun. 10, 2023 7:38PM ET
For a twice-indicted man with mounting
legal woes, Donald Trump does not know how to keep his mouth shut.
In his first public appearance since
his latest
indictment, the former president bounced from his typical Trumpisms to
ramblings on the numerous investigations against him as the Georgia Republican
Convention crowd erupted in cheers on Saturday.
The federal probes, which permeated
his whole speech, seemed to serve as political leverage to rally voters ahead
of a packed race for the 2024 GOP presidential nomination.
“Everytime I fly over a blue state, I
get a subpoena,” Trump joked. “We want him before the grand jury!”
Trump faces a 37-count
indictment for seven different federal crimes over his alleged
mishandling of classified documents, which were found in “a ballroom, a
bathroom and shower, an office space, his bedroom, and a storage room” at
Mar-a-Lago, according to the indictment.
He did not skip a beat in calling the
indictment “fake” and “a political hit job,” describing the Espionage Act—one
of the feds’ seven accused violations—as something that “sounds terrible”
because “I’ve got a box.” As for Jack Smith, the special counsel behind the
indictment, Trump labeled him “deranged” and “a thug who is in charge.”
“I was impressed. It looked so orderly
and nice,” Trump said, referring to the stacks of boxes found all over his
estate. “Somehow somebody turned over one of the boxes. Did you see that? I
wonder who did that, did the FBI do that? Because they also did something where
they put documents all over the floors and they took pictures. And they tried
to pretend like I did it.”
On the 34-count
indictment in Manhattan for his alleged hush-money payment to porn
star Stormy Daniels, he claimed “there is no crime” and “they just want to get
Donald Trump”—before going on a rant about the “Deep State” and “Communists.”
The 2024 contender also turned to the
very state of his speech, Georgia, where federal prosecutors could
slam him with a third indictment for meddling
with the state’s 2020 presidential election votes. In a phone
call, Trump allegedly pressed Georgia’s secretary of state to miraculously
“find 11,780 votes” so he could overtake President Joe Biden’s lead.
Trump described the district attorney
presiding over the case, Fanni
Willis, as “a lunatic Marxist” who is “coming after me over a perfect phone
call.”
“I had every right to complain that the
election in Georgia was in my opinion rigged, that the election in Georgia was
a disaster,” Trump declared as the crowd let out claps and cheers.
The election ramble ended when he
summoned Georgia Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene to the stage, calling her “a
warrior” and “beautiful” before she gave brief fawning remarks about the 2024
Republican top-runner.
He also took a few swipes at his GOP
opponents Ron DeSantis and Mike Pence. “These are sick, sick, sinister people,”
Trump said of his foes. “No wonder the swamp is getting truly desperate.”
“Pence has gone down [in the polls], …
sadly, because he’s a nice person, he’s trying to get nasty though so we may
have to fight a different way,” Trump said of his former vice president. “All
of a sudden he got a little bit nasty, Mike.”
After hopping through every cultural
flashpoint possible, from “illegal aliens” to “transgender insanity” to
“concealed carry,” Trump ended his speech on a bizarre
and far from inspirational remark.
“Everybody’s being murdered and beat up and mugged. We’re not going to
let it happen. Thank you very much everybody, it’s a great honor to be here,”
he concluded.
ATTACHMENT TWELVE - From Time
DONALD TRUMP WAS JUST INDICTED IN THE CLASSIFIED DOCUMENTS CASE. HERE'S
WHAT TO KNOW
BY BRIAN BENNETT UPDATED: JUNE 8, 2023 9:30 PM
EDT | ORIGINALLY PUBLISHED: JUNE 8, 2023 8:05 PM EDT
Former President Donald Trump has been indicted on
federal charges for his handling of classified documents and told to appear in
federal court in Miami on Tuesday afternoon, he said on his Truth Social
account Thursday night. ABC News broke into regular TV programming shortly
after 7 p.m. to report that a grand jury in Florida had voted to indict Trump
on multiple federal charges.
It is the first time a former president has faced
federal charges. In a separate case, Trump is facing local charges in a
Manhattan court for hush money payments to adult film star Stormy Daniels made
during his 2016 campaign. Trump has been told he is facing seven charges in the
federal case, according to a source in contact with him. The exact charges were
unclear.
Trump, who is running for another term as president
and remains the frontrunner for the Republican nomination, wrote on his social
media site at 7:21 pm on Thursday that he has been summoned to appear at the
federal courthouse in Miami on Tuesday at 3 p.m.
“The corrupt Biden Administration has informed my
attorneys that I have been Indicted, seemingly over the Boxes Hoax,” Trump
wrote on Truth Social. “I AM AN INNOCENT MAN!”
Attorney General Merrick Garland appointed Jack
Smith as a special counsel in November to oversee the investigation into
whether Trump broke the law by taking sensitive national-security documents
when he moved out of the White House in January 2020, or obstructed the
government’s efforts to retrieve them.
The FBI obtained a search warrant in August to enter
Mar-a-Lago and found more than 100 classified documents. The discovery came
after Trump’s advisors had said they had already conducted a “diligent search”
of the property and turned over “any and all” papers marked classified. Federal
officials had been negotiating with Trump for more than a year by then over the
return of government documents he had taken with him to his Mar-a-Lago Club.
The federal indictment is the latest addition to
Trump’s mounting legal troubles. Smith is also overseeing a separate
investigation into Trump’s role in trying to overturn the 2020 election results
and encourage a violent mob of supporters to enter the Capitol Building on Jan.
6, 2021, to interrupt the certification of the election results.
In Georgia, Fulton County District Attorney Fani
Willis is moving forward with a case looking at Trump’s effort to reverse his
2020 loss in Georgia by encouraging state election officials to “find” votes.
New York Attorney General Letitia James sued Trump in November, alleging he
fraudulently overvalued his properties to insurers and bank lenders. And in
Manhattan court, District Attorney Alvin Bragg, has charged Trump with 34
felony counts of falsification of business records that Bragg says were
designed to hide payments intended to keep quiet his alleged affair with
Daniels in the weeks before the 2016 election. Trump has called all of the
investigations against him hoaxes designed to hurt him politically.
Trump has made claims that he is the victim of a
politically-motivated conspiracy to keep him from returning to office an
animating force of his political movement. Both while in office and in the
years afterward, he used two impeachments and Special Counsel Robert Mueller’s
investigation into Russia’s effort to help Trump win the 2016 election to
energize his supporters. The top of his social media feed on Truth Social
reads: “THEY’RE NOT COMING AFTER ME, THEY’RE COMING AFTER YOU—I’M JUST STANDING
IN THEIR WAY!” When he was indicted in Manhattan in April, Trump raised more
than $1 million in campaign funds off the news.
Within minutes of the news breaking Thursday
evening, Trump’s campaign was fundraising off his latest indictment. “This is
nothing but a disgusting act of Election Interference by the ruling party to
ELIMINATE its opposition and amass total control over our country,” read one
campaign email with the subject line “BREAKING: INDICTED” and paid for by Trump
Save America Joint Fundraising Committee.
Trump’s allies were quick to defend the former
President, and claim that the federal indictment was a play by President Joe
Biden to torpedo Trump’s campaign. Earlier Thursday, Biden was asked at a press conference how he can restore Americans’ trust
in the Department of Justice with Trump attacking it. “Because you’ll notice,
I’ve never once, not one single time, suggested to the Justice Department what
they should do or not do relative to bringing a charge or not bring a charge.
I’m honest.” Biden tapped the podium twice for emphasis and walked out.
A trial date for the Manhattan case has been set for
March 2024, right in the middle of the presidential campaign season. That means
that Trump, who announced his intention to take back the White House in November,
will be campaigning across the country while defending himself in court against
two ongoing criminal cases.
Some legal experts have argued Trump is particularly
vulnerable to prosecution in the documents case. “I think this one is the most
damaging because not only is there so much evidence, but it goes directly to
the heart of his ability to be the leader of our country,” Jessica Levinson, a
professor at Loyola Law School, recently told TIME. “It’s truly a complete undermining of his
job if he really took government documents that don’t belong to him, if he
showed people government documents that could have put our country at risk, and
if he obstructed justice by not complying with a subpoena.”
Even if Trump is convicted by the special counsel,
the charges against him won’t disqualify him from the presidency, according to
legal experts. Under the Constitution, all natural-born citizens who are at least
35 years old and have been a resident of the U.S. for 14 years can run for
president. There is no legal impediment to Trump continuing his presidential
campaign while facing criminal charges—even if he were jailed.
“Indictment is absolutely no legal bar to him
running,” says Levinson. “And a conviction is not a legal bar to him serving.”
At least two candidates with criminal convictions
have run for president in the past, albeit unsuccessfully. In 1920 a candidate
named Eugene Debs ran for president while
in a federal prison in Atlanta as the nominee of the Socialist Party. Debs was
convicted of violating the Espionage Act over an anti-war speech, and won more
than 3% of the vote nationally. Lyndon LaRouche ran for president in
every election between 1976 and 2004. LaRouche, a fringe candidate who embraced
conspiracy theories, was convicted of tax and mail fraud in 1988 and ran his
1992 campaign from prison.
But the legalities become murkier if Trump were to
win the presidency while facing impending charges or a conviction. Mishandling
of classified government materials is a felony crime punishable up to 10 years
in prison. Obstruction of justice is also a felony crime, with a maximum prison
sentence of 20 years.
The general view among constitutional scholars is
that the need for a duly elected president to fulfill the duties of their
office would take precedence over a criminal conviction and require the prison
sentence to at least be put on hold. Trump could even try to pardon himself
immediately upon taking office.
Trump is scheduled to appear at the Georgia
Republican Convention in Columbus on Saturday. He is expected to still attend.
-With reporting from Eric Cortellessa and Nik Popli
ATTACHMENT thirteen - from the Associated Press
WHAT TO KNOW ABOUT THE TRUMP CLASSIFIED DOCUMENTS PROBE AS CHARGING
DECISION NEARS
BY NIK POPLI JUNE 7, 2023 2:08 PM EDT
The Justice Department may be nearing an end to its
long-running investigation into former President Donald Trump’s handling of
classified documents after he left the White House. A decision about whether to
seek charges is expected in the coming days or weeks, former Department
officials and legal experts say.
Trump’s lawyers on Monday met with Justice
Department officials after requesting a meeting to discuss their concerns about
the investigation. Following the visit, Trump posted a message on his social
media platform, Truth Social, inveighing against a possible indictment. “How
can DOJ possibly charge me, who did nothing wrong,” he wrote in all capital
letters.
00:10 / 00:15
The probe, led by Justice Department Special Counsel
Jack Smith, focuses on whether Trump broke the law by mishandling sensitive
national-security documents after his election defeat or obstructed the government’s investigation
into the matter.
In recent months, Smith’s team has reportedly
concentrated on several key pieces of evidence, including an audio recording in
which Trump allegedly acknowledged he kept a classified Pentagon document about
a potential attack on Iran, and notes from one of his lawyers about their
private interactions, which a federal judge ordered be given to investigators.
A federal grand jury is expected to meet this week in Florida to hear the
evidence, NBC reported.
...
It’s not clear whether prosecutors have made a
decision about whether to seek a federal indictment of Trump, an unprecedented
step to take against a former President. Trump is currently facing four
separate criminal investigations, including another inquiry by Smith’s team
into attempts by Trump and his allies to overturn his 2020 election loss, as
well as his role in the events that led to the storming of the Capitol on Jan.
6, 2021. In Georgia, Fulton County District Attorney Fani Willis is exploring
Trump’s efforts to overturn Joe Biden’s 2020 election win in the state, where
Trump and his allies made unfounded allegations of voter fraud.
In April, Trump became the first former President in
U.S. history to face criminal charges after Manhattan District Attorney Alvin
Bragg charged him with 34 felony counts of falsifying business records, in connection
with hush-money payments to a porn star designed to suppress information that
could damage his electoral prospects in 2016. Trump has denied wrongdoing in
each of the matters.
Some legal experts believe Trump is particularly
vulnerable to prosecution in the documents case. “I think this one is the most
damaging because not only is there so much evidence, but it goes directly to
the heart of his ability to be the leader of our country,” says Jessica
Levinson, a professor at Loyola Law School. “It’s truly a complete undermining
of his job if he really took government documents that don’t belong to him, if
he showed people government documents that could have put our country at risk,
and if he obstructed justice by not complying with a subpoena.”
Here’s what to know about the inquiry:
What is the Justice
Department investigating?
The Justice Department is investigating how
classified documents got to the Florida home of former President Trump, and
whether he sought to impede the government’s efforts to secure those documents
after a subpoena was issued in May 2022 demanding their return.
The Justice Department has moved in recent months to
develop a fuller picture of how the documents were stored, who had access to
them, and what Trump told aides and his lawyers about the material he had and
where they were kept.
The investigation stems from the discovery of more
than 100 classified documents at Mar-a-Lago after Trump’s advisers said they
had conducted a “diligent search” of the property in response to a subpoena and
had turned over “any and all” documents with classified markings. Some of the
documents seized by the FBI in a raid of his home reportedly contained extremely sensitive information.
At the heart of the investigation are two potential
crimes: Possible obstruction of justice for not complying with the Justice
Department’s subpoena, and possible mishandling of national security secrets
for keeping classified documents in an unauthorized location.
Read More: Inside Trump’s Strategy To Turn Legal Woes Into
Political Advantage.
The Washington Post reported in May that two of Trump’s
employees moved boxes of papers at Mar-a-Lago the day before FBI agents and a
prosecutor arrived to retrieve the documents collected in response to the
subpoena.
Trump has argued repeatedly that he could take
records with him after leaving the White House, even though the Presidential
Records Act gives ownership to the National Archives and Records
Administration. He has also claimed, without evidence, that he had
“automatically” declassified the documents he took with him. “I took the
documents; I’m allowed to,” Trump said at a recent CNN town hall. “I have the
absolute right to do whatever I want with them.”
What evidence does
the Justice Department have?
Federal prosecutors reportedly possess a recording
from 2021 of the former President allegedly discussing a sensitive military
document he claimed to have kept after leaving the White House. On the audio
tape, Trump signaled that he was aware of his inability to declassify the
document because he had already left office, according to CNN, which cited anonymous sources
familiar with the investigation.
The special counsel’s office also has notes from
Trump’s former lawyer, Evan Corcoran, who recorded recollections of his legal
work for the former President, The New York Times has reported. The notes,
which were shared with the Special Counsel, provide the Justice Department with
a rare look into a lawyer’s private dealings with their client. Such
interactions are typically shielded by attorney-client privilege, but a federal
judge ordered Corcoran to hand over the notes because prosecutors claimed they
had sufficient evidence of a crime.
Read More: The Major Investigations Into Donald Trump.
Smith’s team has other evidence at its disposal. A
maintenance worker told federal prosecutors that he helped move boxes into a
storage room at Mar-a-Lago a day before a Justice Department official came
seeking the return of classified material, according to The New York Times. Prosecutors also
subpoenaed a software company that handles all of the surveillance footage for
the Trump Organization to hand over tapes from Mar-a-Lago after footage from a
storage camera was found missing or unavailable.
“The leaked evidence in the hands of Special Counsel
Jack Smith is pretty extraordinary,” says Kim Wehle, a professor at the
University of Baltimore School of Law and former assistant U.S. attorney. “And
the foregoing is just some of what we know publicly.”
Why this matters for
Trump
Mishandling classified information is a federal
crime that could lead to prison time. Any charges, if filed, would likely come
at a politically inopportune time for Trump, who leads the pack of contenders
in the 2024 Republican presidential primary.
The documents case is no slam dunk, legal experts
say. To win a conviction on an obstruction-related crime, the law states that prosecutors would have to prove that
Trump or his aides intentionally mishandled the material and that he did so to
impede the official work of a federal investigation, which carries a high legal
bar.
“Intent and knowledge on Trump’s part is what’s hard
to prove,” Wehle says. “His defense would have to poke holes in the case by
arguing, for example, that his employees did it without his knowledge or
consent or that he believed he could declassify in his mind, possibly even
after leaving office.”
Read More: The Historic—And Entirely Predictable—Indictment of
Donald Trump.
The Justice Department has also alleged that Trump
may have violated part of the Espionage Act—a criminal statute that protects
national defense information—by keeping classified documents at Mar-a-Lago.
Trump, writing on Truth Social, called the
investigation a “hoax” and claimed he did “nothing wrong.” He also compared his
case with that of President Biden, who was also found to have had classified
documents in his possession from his time as vice president. (A separate
special counsel has been investigating how and why classified documents ended
up at Biden’s home and office.)
Could Trump still
run for President if convicted?
Even if Trump is convicted by the special counsel,
the charges against him won’t disqualify him from the presidency, according to
legal experts. Under the Constitution, all natural-born citizens who are at
least 35 years old and have been a resident of the U.S. for 14 years can run
for president. There is no legal impediment to Trump continuing his
presidential campaign while facing criminal charges—even if he were jailed.
“Indictment is absolutely no legal bar to him
running,” says Levinson, the law professor. “And a conviction is not a legal
bar to him serving.”
At least two candidates with criminal convictions
have run for president in the past, albeit unsuccessfully. In 1920 a candidate
named Eugene Debs ran for president while
in a federal prison in Atlanta as the nominee of the Socialist Party. Debs was
convicted of violating the Espionage Act over an anti-war speech, and won more
than 3% of the vote nationally. Lyndon LaRouche ran for president in
every election between 1976 and 2004. LaRouche, a fringe candidate who embraced
conspiracy theories, was convicted of tax and mail fraud in 1988 and ran his
1992 campaign from prison.
But the legalities become murkier if Trump were to
win the presidency while facing impending charges or a conviction. Mishandling
of classified government materials is a felony crime punishable up to 10 years
in prison. Obstruction of justice is also a felony crime, with a maximum prison
sentence of 20 years.
The general view among constitutional scholars is
that the need for a duly elected president to fulfill the duties of their
office would take precedence over a criminal conviction and require the prison
sentence to at least be put on hold. Trump could even try to pardon himself
immediately upon taking office.
ATTACHMENT FOURTEEN – from Guardian U.K.
WHAT IS THE TRUMP MAR-A-LAGO
CASE ABOUT AND WHY IS IT SIGNIFICANT?
Former president for
the first time faces federal criminal charges over his handling of classified
documents
By Sam Levine
Thu 8 Jun 2023 21.34 EDT
Donald Trump has been
criminally charged over his handling of classified documents at
Mar-a-Lago, one of the most significant legal developments for the former
president since leaving the White House.
The case marks the
first time the justice department has charged Trump and adds to the mounting
legal troubles Trump faces as he seeks to return to the presidency. Here’s a
breakdown of where things stand:
What is this case about?
When Donald Trump
left the White House, he took documents related to his presidency with him to
Mar-a-Lago, his residence in Florida. Federal law requires presidential
documents to be turned over to
the National Archives and Records Administration (Nara). In May of 2021, Nara
discovered it was missing records from Trump’s presidency and began requesting
that the former president return them. Trump’s attorneys later turned
over 15 boxes of records that included 184 documents that were
classified in some way. Nara referred the matter to the justice department, and
the FBI began investigating in February of 2022.
Over the next few
months, the FBI and justice department went about trying to retrieve additional
classified documents from Mar-a-Lago. In June of 2022, Trump’s lawyers turned
over 38 additional
documents with classified markings. In August of 2022, the FBI
conducted a raid on Mar-a-Lago and found more than 100 documents with
classified markings.
The justice
department has been investigating whether classified material was mishandled
and whether there was obstruction of its investigation in the matter.
What is Trump charged with?
Trump is charged
with wilful retention of national defense information, conspiracy to obstruct
justice, withholding a document, corruptly concealing a document, concealing a
document in a federal investigation, engaging in a scheme to conceal and false
statements, people familiar
with the matter told the Guardian.
Why are these charges significant?
This is the first
time that Trump has faced federal criminal charges. The other criminal matters
pending against Trump are in state courts.
The justice department
is generally extremely careful when it chooses to bring cases and so the fact
that prosecutors felt confident enough to indict Trump, knowing the political
maelstrom that would result, is a signal of the strength of the case against
him.
Where do the other criminal cases and investigations
against Trump stand?
Trump was indicted
by a Manhattan grand
jury in March and also faces criminal charges in New York over
hush money payments to Stormy Daniels.
The district
attorney in Fulton county, Georgia, is also investigating Trump’s efforts to
overturn the election there and has signaled charges could come this summer.
What’s some of the strongest evidence in the
classified documents case?
Prosecutors obtained
a 2021 recording of Trump in which he discusses a classified document in his
possession dealing with a military confrontation with Iran, CNN
reported earlier this month. On the recording, Trump reportedly
acknowledges that the document is classified. That admission is significant
because it could undercut a key defense from Trump’s team – the idea that he
declassified the documents while he was president.
Prosecutors have
also obtained roughly 50 pages of dictated notes from Evan Corcoran, one of
Trump’s attorneys, that shed light on Trump’s response to a justice department
subpoena demanding the return of any classified documents. In one instance,
Corcoran recounted warning Trump that he was obligated to return every
classified document in his possession.
The notes also
detail Corcoran’s attempt to locate the documents at Mar-a-Lago. As he
recounted, Trump employees suggested that he search the storage room at the
property. When Corcoran asked if he should look anywhere else, the Guardian has
reported, he was told that should be sufficient – advice that turned out to be
flawed when the FBI later found classified material also in Trump’s office.
How has Trump responded?
Trump has decried
the investigation as politically motivated and downplayed the significance of
handling the documents. He has said he had the right to take some documents
from office and did nothing different than Joe Biden and Mike Pence, both of
whom had classified documents in their possession after leaving office. A
separate special prosecutor is looking into Biden’s handling of classified material
and justice department officials have said they
will not charge Pence.
Who is leading the investigation?
The attorney
general, Merrick Garland, appointed a special counsel, Jack Smith, to take over
the investigation in November. Smith is a former chief prosecutor of the Hague.
He is also the former head of the justice department’s public integrity section
and a former federal prosecutor with experience
in public corruption cases.
Is this related to January 6?
No. Smith is
separately overseeing an investigation into Trump’s efforts to overturn the
2020 election.
Does a federal indictment prevent Trump from running
for president?
No. Neither the
indictment itself nor a conviction would prevent Trump from running for or
winning the presidency in 2024.
And as the New York
case showed, criminal charges have historically been a boon to his fundraising.
The campaign announced that it had raised over $4m in the 24 hours after that
indictment became public, far smashing its previous record after the FBI search
of Trump’s Mar-a-Lago resort.
Associated Press
contributed reporting
ATTACHMENT FIFTEEN – from Time
WHAT’S IN THE TRUMP CLASSIFIED DOCUMENTS INDICTMENT?
BY BRIAN BENNETT JUNE 9, 2023 5:59 PM EDT
The staff at Mar-a-Lago called them his “beautiful
mind boxes.”
When Donald Trump lost re-election and left the White House in
January 2021, he took to his home in Palm Beach, Florida an assortment of boxes
stuffed with a hodgepodge of personal mementos mixed in with the country’s
closest held secrets, prosecutors alleged in a 44-page federal indictment
against Trump unsealed Friday.
Trump kept hundreds of classified documents in the
cardboard boxes, including information on “defense and weapons capabilities” of
the U.S. military and foreign militaries, “United States nuclear programs”,
“potential vulnerabilities” of the US and allies to military attack, and “plans
for possible retaliation in response to a foreign attack,” the indictment
states.
Trump stored boxes with classified documents in “a
ballroom, a bathroom and shower, an office space, his bedroom and a storage
room,” the indictment states. When federal officials tried to get all the
government documents back, Trump allegedly refused. That set off a chain of
events that led to Trump becoming the first former President to be indicted on
federal charges.
Trump now faces 37 counts including charges for 31
separate instances of the “willful retention of national defense information”.
He is also charged with conspiracy to obstruct justice, and multiple counts
related to withholding or concealing documents from a federal investigation,
and a charge of making “false statements and representations.” Also charged
with Trump is his long time U.S. Navy valet, Walt Nauta, who prosecutors
described as a “co-conspirator”
The federal indictment includes photographs of
apparently classified documents spilled on the floor at the Mar-a-Lago Club,
allegations of showing secret war plans to visitors at his New Jersey club, and
detailed descriptions of him allegedly working with others to hide papers from
federal investigators.
Trump faces maximum sentences adding up to at least
100 years in prison and millions of dollars in fines, if convicted of the
charges.
After news of the indictment broke, Trump said he is
innocent and, in a message on his social media site Truth Social, called the
charges part of “Greatest Witch Hunt of all time.”
Special Counsel Jack Smith made a rare appearance in front of reporters
on Friday to address the unsealed charging document. He said that the decision
to indict Trump was voted on by a grand jury of citizens in the Southern
District of Florida, and he invited “everyone to read it in full to understand
the scope and gravity of the crimes charged.”
Smith said that violations of laws protecting
national defense information “put our country at risk.” Smith pointed to the
fact that Trump’s status as a former president shouldn’t factor into a decision
to bring a charge, saying, “We have one set of laws in this country and they
apply to everyone.”
The indictment alleges that when he moved out of the
White House, Trump “caused scores of boxes, many of which contained classified
documents, to be transported to The Mar-a-Lago Club” in Palm Beach, Florida
where he lived. Prosecutors describe Mar-a-Lago as “an active social club” that
“hosted events for tens of thousands of members and guests” in the year and a
half after Trump left the White House.
The documents were produced by some of the most
secretive agencies in all of government, including the CIA, the National
Security Agency, the National Geospatial Intelligence Agency that analyzes
images generated by the country’s most closely guarded satellite capabilities,
and the Department of Energy that is responsible for safeguarding the country’s
nuclear weapons stockpile.
A text exchange between two Trump employees in April
2021 appears to show that Trump had employees moving the boxes around his
Mar-a-Lago Club in an apparently ad hoc and haphazard way. One employee asked
if some boxes could be moved out of the Mar-a-Lago business center to make room
for staff to use the room as an office. “There is a little room in the shower
where his other stuff is,” wrote one Trump employee. “Anything that’s not the
beautiful mind paper boxes can definitely go to storage,” wrote another
employee. In December 2021, a photo allegedly taken by Nauta shows documents
marked secret spilled out of the boxes on the floor of a storage room.
In one of the most potentially damning sections of
the indictment, prosecutors allege that Trump showed classified documents to
others on two occasions, and appeared to know that what he was showing off were
government secrets. An audio recording from July 2021, has Trump telling a
writer and publisher meeting with him at Trump National Golf Club in
Bedminster, New Jersey, that he was showing them a plan of attack prepared by
the Department of Defense. Trump says that plan is “secret” and “highly
confidential.” During the conversation, Trump says “as president I could have
declassified it” and “Now I can’t, you know, but this is still a secret.”
The indictment also describes a moment in August or
September 2021 at Trump’s Bedminster club when Trump let a political supporter
look at a classified military map. Trump showed a “representative of his
political action committee a classified map related to a military operation and
told the representative that he should not be showing it to the representative
and that the representative should not get too close,” the indictment states.
Prosecutors also lay out details of how Trump
allegedly tried to hide the documents once federal officials started to take
steps to get them back, including allegedly moving some to keep them out of
reach from his own lawyers looking to retrieve classified material, and
allegedly causing false statements about the documents to be submitted to the
FBI and grand jury.
After a grand jury issued a formal subpoena to Trump
in May 2022 to produce all classified documents, the indictment describes a
Trump attorney finding 38 documents marked classified after spending two and a
half hours in early June 2022 sorting through boxes in a Mar-a-Lago storage
room. The attorney then sealed what was found into a Redweld file folder with
clear duct tape. But Trump had directed Nauta to move many boxes before the
attorney’s June search, the indictment alleges.
In his remarks to reporters Friday, special counsel
Smith said that the “defendants in this case must be presumed innocent until
proven guilty beyond a reasonable doubt in a court of law.”
“My office will seek a speedy trial on this matter,
consistent with the public interest and the rights of the accused,” Smith said.
ATTACHMENT SIXTEEN – From Time
The Trump Classified Documents Investigation: A Timeline
BY ZOE TILLMAN / BLOOMBERG JUNE 9, 2023 1:00 AM EDT
The indictment brought by Special Counsel Jack Smith
against Donald Trump marks the culmination of a two-year effort to figure out
what government documents went with the former president when he left the White
House — and whether any crimes were committed.
Filed under seal in federal court in Miami, the
indictment was announced by Trump in a post on his Truth Social platform
Thursday evening and confirmed by people familiar with the matter.
The unprecedented FBI search of Trump’s Mar-a-Lago
home on Aug. 8, 2022, came after National Archives officials spent months
trying to claw back records still in his possession. Trump’s lawyers and the
U.S. Justice Department then wrangled in court over whether prosecutors could
use the seized materials at all. A federal appeals court ended the fight in
December, siding with the government.
Trump’s campaign filing in November signaling a
third White House run prompted Attorney General Merrick Garland to appoint
Smith as special counsel that month. As Smith settled in, the first half of
2023 saw a procession of grand jury witnesses, sealed subpoena fights and
shakeups on Trump’s legal defense team.
Here are key milestones leading up to the indictment
filed in federal court in Miami Thursday, as documented in public court filings
and previous reports by Bloomberg News:
2021
Jan. 20
President Joe Biden is sworn in and Donald and Melania Trump depart Washington
for their Mar-a-Lago resort home in Palm Beach, Florida.
May 6
The National Archives notifies former Trump White House lawyers of
missing presidential records.
December
Trump representatives inform the National Archives that at least a dozen boxes
of documents are ready to be picked up.
2022
Jan. 18
National Archives staff receives 15 boxes of White House records from
Mar-a-Lago.
Feb. 9
A National Archives official alerts the Justice Department that documents
marked as classified are mingled with other files in the boxes.
Feb. 18
The Archivist of the United States David Ferriero notifies the House Oversight Committee of
the discovery of classified records.
April 12
The National Archives tells a Trump representative of its intent to share
records with FBI.
April 29
Trump attorney Evan Corcoran requests the National Archives delay providing
material to the FBI.
May 10
The National Archives rejects the request by Trump’s
counsel to postpone producing records to the FBI.
May 11
Trump, through his attorney Corcoran, accepts service of a federal grand
jury subpoena seeking any classified material in his possession.
May 16-18
FBI agents conduct a preliminary review of the 15 boxes retrieved from
Mar-a-Lago in January, identifying 184 documents with classified markings.
May 25
Trump lawyer Corcoran writes a letter to a DOJ official
defending the former president’s “good faith” effort to work with National
Archives and disputing the grounds for a criminal investigation.
Read More: Classified Documents Get Misplaced All the Time. A
Former National Archives Official Explains Why
June 3
Jay Bratt, the Justice Department’s counterintelligence chief, arrives at
Mar-a-Lago with three FBl agents to retrieve a folder containing 38 more
classified documents. They also tour a storage room, but aren’t allowed to look
in boxes.
June 8
Bratt sends a letter to Trump’s counsel asking that the storage room holding
the documents be secured.
June 24
The Trump Organization Inc., the former president’s company, receives a federal
grand jury subpoena for surveillance camera footage from Mar-a-Lago.
Aug. 5
The Justice Department applies to U.S. Magistrate Judge Bruce Reinhart in
Florida for a warrant to search Mar-a-Lago.
Aug. 8
FBI agents execute the warrant at Mar-a-Lago,
removing 27 boxes and several other document collections containing 11 sets of
classified materials.
Aug. 22
Trump files a request in federal court in
Florida for a third-party special master to review the seized materials.
Sept. 5
U.S. District Judge Aileen Cannon in Florida enters an order temporarily barring DOJ from
using the seized materials and granting Trump’s request for an outside review.
U.S. District Judge Raymond Dearie in New York is later named special master.
Sept. 21
The 11th Circuit partially lifts Cannon’s injunction,
allowing federal investigators to regain access to the classified documents but
not the rest of the seized material.
Nov. 15
Donald Trump formally announces he is running for
president in the 2024 election.
Read More: A Defiant Donald Trump Enters the Arena for Another
Fight
Nov. 18
Attorney General Garland announces the appointment of Jack
Smith as special counsel to lead the classified documents probe and a separate
federal investigation into efforts to overturn the 2020 election.
Dec. 1
The 11th Circuit reverses Judge Cannon’s
appointment of a special master and lifts the remaining injunction on DOJ’s use
of the material seized from Mar-a-Lago.
December 2022/January 2023
Trump attorneys discover more documents with
classified markings and turn them over to the Justice Department.
2023
January
Trump attorney Corcoran appears before a federal grand jury in
Washington in connection with the classified documents probe.
Jan. 12
Following the discovery of classified records in Joe Biden’s Washington office
and Delaware home, Garland announces the appointment of Robert
Hur as another special counsel.
Read More: What to Know About the Special Counsel Investigation Into Biden
Over Classified Documents
March 22
The D.C. Circuit rejects efforts by Trump and Corcoran
to block the special counsel’s requests for Corcoran’s testimony and written
work product.
March 24
Corcoran appears again before a federal grand
jury in Washington. He recuses himself from work for Trump
related to the criminal probe of alleged mishandling of classified documents.
April 26
Trump’s attorneys send a letter to the House
Intelligence Committee requesting legislative intervention to halt the Justice
Department investigation.
May 16
Trump attorney Tim Parlatore leaves the defense
team.
May 23
Trump shares a letter on his Truth Social
platform from his attorneys requesting a meeting with the attorney general.
Read More: Inside Trump’s Strategy to Turn Legal Woes Into a
Political Advantage
June 5
Three of Trump’s lawyers — James Trusty, John Rowley, and Lindsey Halligan — go
to the Justice Department headquarters in Washington for a meeting with senior officials, including
Special Counsel Jack Smith, to discuss the status of the classified documents
probe. Garland and Deputy Attorney General Lisa Monaco aren’t present.
June 8
Trump maintained his innocence in a Thursday night post on his Truth Social
platform and said that he’s been summoned to appear at the federal courthouse
in Miami on Tuesday.
“I never thought it possible that such a thing could
happen to a former President of the United States,” he wrote.
LATERAL PIVOTS and COLLATERAL DAMAGE
ATTACHMENT sevenTEEN – from GUK
LAWYER FOR TRUMP VALET IN
MAR-A-LAGO DOCUMENTS CASE ALLEGES MISCONDUCT
Exclusive: The
lawyer said in letter that prosecutors brought up his application to become
judge when seeking valet’s cooperation
By Hugo Lowell in Miami Thu 8 Jun 2023 16.38
EDT
The lawyer for Donald Trump’s valet,
under scrutiny in the Mar-a-Lago documents investigation, has submitted court
papers describing a meeting at which a top federal prosecutor brought up his application
to be a judge when they tried to gain the valet’s cooperation last year,
according to three people familiar with the matter.
The allegation,
described in a letter filed under seal with the chief US judge in Washington,
James Boasberg, could affect the investigation just as prosecutors are
considering whether to bring charges.
Even though
prosecutors have no control over the success of judicial applications, the fact
that it was raised in the context of trying to persuade a lawyer for a witness to
recommend cooperating could give the appearance of coercion in one of the
justice department’s most high-profile cases.
At issue is an
incident that took place last year, around November, when prosecutors were
trying to gain the cooperation of valet Walt Nauta, who has been under scrutiny
because prosecutors suspected he helped the former president conceal classified
documents that had been subpoenaed.
Nauta had already
spoken to prosecutors in the investigation when they called his lawyer Stanley
Woodward and summoned him to a meeting at justice department headquarters for
an urgent matter that they were reluctant to discuss over the phone, the letter
said.
When Woodward
arrived at the conference room, he was seated across from several prosecutors
working on the investigation, including the chief of the counterintelligence
section, Jay Bratt, who explained that they wanted Nauta to cooperate with the
government against Trump, the letter said.
Nauta should
cooperate with the government because he had given potentially conflicting
testimony that could result in a false statements charge, the prosecutors said
according to the letter. Woodward is said to have demurred, disputing that
Nauta had made false statements.
Bratt then turned to
Woodward and remarked that he did not think that Woodward was a “Trump guy” and
that “he would do the right thing”, before noting that he knew Woodward had
submitted an application to be a judge at the superior court in Washington DC
that was currently pending, the letter said.
The allegation, in
essence, is that Bratt suggested Woodward’s judicial application might be
considered more favorably if he and his client cooperated against Trump. The
letter was filed after Trump’s lawyers submitted a motion on Monday seeking
grand jury transcripts, because of what they viewed as potential misconduct.
The justice
department’s characterization of the meeting is unclear – a spokesperson
declined to comment – though a more innocent explanation for the exchange could
be, for instance, that Bratt was genuinely surprised to see the application and
raised it as an aside.
Prosecutors also
regularly collect background information about lawyers they meet with,
including prior interactions with the justice department and cases they have
argued, and it is not unusual for them to make small talk with defense lawyers
about other projects they are involved in.
The extent of any
potential impact to the case is similarly unclear, since it does not appear to
have directly affected any testimony Nauta gave to prosecutors, and Bratt would
not have the ability to influence such an application, which is handled by the
White House counsel’s office.
“Even if it’s true,
it would not rise to the level of prosecutorial misconduct,” former US attorney
Joyce Vance said. “Prosecutors don’t have any influence over judicial
applications and all the parties to the conversation would have known that.”
But the exchange is
said to have unnerved Woodward, who recounted the exchange to associates after
leaving the meeting. He also promptly informed the justice department at the
time they would have no further communications unless Nauta was getting charged
or an immunity deal.
The development
comes as prosecutors formally told Trump’s lawyers last week that the former
president had been designated a “target” in the criminal investigation into his
handling of national security information and obstruction of justice, the Guardian
previously reported.
The move – the
clearest sign yet that Trump is on course to be indicted – dramatically raises
the stakes for Trump, as the investigation nears its conclusion after taking
evidence before a grand jury in Washington and a previously unknown grand jury
in Florida.
Trump’s lawyers were
sent a “target letter” days before they met on Monday with the special counsel
and the senior career official in the deputy attorney general’s office, where
they asked prosecutors not to charge the former president in part because of
potential misconduct.
The development
comes as prosecutors have obtained evidence of criminal conduct occurring
at Mar-a-Lago and
decided that any indictments should be charged in the southern district of
Florida, where the resort is located, rather than in Washington, according to
people familiar with the matter.
To that end,
prosecutors last month started issuing
subpoenas to multiple Trump aides that compelled them to
testify before a new grand jury in Florida, impaneled around the time that the
grand jury in Washington stopped taking new evidence, the Guardian previously
reported.
ATTACHMENT eighTEEN – from Time
DETAILS IN MUELLER REPORT DRAW INTEREST OF SPECIAL COUNSEL IN TRUMP
CLASSIFIED DOCUMENTS CASE
BY BRIAN BENNETT JUNE 7, 2023 9:44 PM EDT
As Jack Smith, a special counsel for the Justice
Department, closes in on the end of an investigation into former President
Donald Trump’s possession of hundreds of classified documents, his team has made use of the work of
another special counsel who previously investigated Trump’s ties to Russia,
according to a person familiar with the investigation.
A lengthy section of the Mueller Report, which
examined ties between Russia and Trump’s 2016 presidential campaign, has been
instructive to the current inquiry’s prosecutors, who are viewing Trump’s
actions around federal requests to return the classified documents as part of a
broader pattern, the person said.
00:11 / 00:30
Robert Mueller, a former director of the FBI,
released his highly anticipated report in April 2019, shortly after
then-Attorney General William Barr released a short summary of the report that
was viewed by many in hindsight as downplaying the report’s findings.
Prosecutors have looked closely at Section II of the
Mueller report, titled “Factual Results of the Obstruction Investigation.” That
142-page section goes into vivid detail, with extensive footnotes and copies of
emails and text messages, about Trump taking steps to thwart the work of
federal prosecutors investigating Russia’s effort to influence the 2016
election.
That part of the report details how Trump tried to
get the FBI to drop its investigation of Michael Flynn, Trump’s first national
security advisor, for lying to FBI agents about meetings he had with Russia’s
Ambassador to the U.S. weeks before Trump took office. Flynn eventually pled
guilty to lying to the bureau and was later pardoned by Trump.
The section also showed Trump deciding to fire his
first FBI director, James Comey, who was overseeing the investigation into the
campaign’s ties to Russia, because Comey would not say publicly that Trump
himself wasn’t under investigation. But Trump instructed his press office to
falsely tell reporters that it was senior leaders at the Department of Justice
who had first recommended Comey be fired.
The report also detailed Trump’s efforts to fire
Mueller as special counsel after press reports showed that Mueller was
investigating whether Trump obstructed the investigation.
And it illustrated how Trump responded in June 2017
when he learned about an email from his 2016 campaign setting up a meeting for
Trump’s son Don Jr. with Russians. Those Russian nationals were claiming to
offer negative details about Hillary Clinton as “part of Russia and its
government’s support for Mr. Trump,” according to an email to Don Jr. As he
flew aboard Air Force One back to Washington from a summit in Germany, Trump
dictated a statement to his aide Hope Hicks to be attributed to Don Jr. saying
that the meeting was about Russia’s policy toward Americans adopting Russian
children.
It is unclear if the special counsel’s office has
decided to use any material from Mueller’s investigation in building their
case. There are limits to how prosecutors can use evidence from prior
investigations. Called 404(b) evidence, information from a previous criminal
investigation can be used to show a target’s motive, intent or that an action
wasn’t a mistake or accident. But, under the Federal Rules of Evidence,
prosecutors cannot submit evidence from previous bad actions in order to show
that a person acted consistent with certain character traits.
The Mueller investigation would be helpful for
prosecutors in learning how to deal with Trump, said a former federal
prosecutor who worked on a similar case, and requested anonymity to speak more
freely. But using evidence from the Mueller investigation or pointing out
sections of the Mueller Report to grand jurors could be an unnecessary tangent,
given how heated the political debate around Mueller’s investigation became.
“Any association with Mueller is not going to be helpful for Jack Smith,” the
former prosecutor said.
Even before the Mueller report was released, Trump’s
allies pointed to Barr’s summary of it to insist that Trump had done nothing
wrong. But Mueller did not rule out that Trump committed a crime in obstructing
his investigation. His report established that even a person who wasn’t guilty
of a crime being investigated could still have committed a criminal act by
interfering with the investigation.
Mueller’s report concluded that then-President Trump
“launched public attacks on the investigation and individuals involved in it
who could possess evidence adverse to the President, while in private, the
President engaged in a series of targeted efforts to control the
investigation.” Mueller also said his investigation “found multiple acts by the
President that were capable of exerting undue influence over law enforcement
investigations, including the Russian-interference and obstruction
investigations.”
A lawsuit seeking the unredacted version of the
Mueller report led a federal judge in 2020 to criticize Barr’s actions around the
report’s release. Judge Walton, an appointee of President George W. Bush, said
the differences between the report and Mr. Barr’s public description of it
raised questions as to “whether Attorney General Barr made a calculated attempt
to influence public discourse about the Mueller report in favor of President
Trump despite certain findings in the redacted version of the Mueller report to
the contrary.”
Trump currently faces four separate criminal
investigations. In addition to the classified documents case, Special Counsel
Smith is also running a separate investigation into Trump’s role in trying to
overturn his 2020 election loss and the violent siege of the Capitol Building
on Jan. 6.
Trump was indicted in April by the Manhattan
district attorney Alvin Bragg and pleaded not guilty to 34 felony counts
related to hush-money payments to adult film actress Stormy Daniels during his
2016 campaign. That trial is scheduled to begin in March 2024. Trump is also
being investigated by Fulton County District Attorney Fani Willis in Atlanta
over his alleged effort to pressure Georgia state officials to reverse his loss
in that state.
On top of that, New York Attorney General Letitia
James filed a lawsuit in September against Trump alleging he lied to insurers
and bank lenders by overvaluing his properties.
Trump has called these inquiries “scams and witch
hunts” and, without evidence, said they are part of a broad campaign of
“election interference” to hurt his effort to win back the White House in 2024.
Trump’s criticisms of the classified documents investigation and
others echo those he made during the Mueller investigation. In recent public court
filings, he has attacked the classified documents investigation as politically
motivated, contradicted his earlier statements, and seemingly admitted that he
withheld government documents when asked repeatedly by the federal government
to return them.
Read More: Inside Trump’s Strategy To Turn Legal Woes Into
Political Advantage.
Others have noted a similarity between Trump’s
pattern of actions responding to the classified documents investigation and how
he acted when he was under investigation by Mueller.
During an interview on CBS Mornings on Tuesday, Barr
said that Smith’s investigation “is the most dangerous legal risk” facing
Trump, and that risk has been compounded by Trump’s actions after federal
officials asked for the classified documents to be returned.
“This would have gone nowhere had the President just
returned the documents, but he jerked them around for a year and a half,” Barr
said. “The question is did he deceive them?”
Trump wants to feed his ego, Barr said, by
“conducting risky, reckless acts to show that he can sort of get away with it.”
“It’s part of asserting his ego and he’s done this
repeatedly at the expense of all the people who depend on him to conduct the
public’s business in an honorable way,” he added.
Trump’s actions have been in contrast to Mike
Pence’s response when classified documents were found in his possession. Pence
contacted authorities and allowed federal investigators to conduct a search
without a lengthy negotiation. The Department of Justice said in a statement in
May that Pence will not be charged.
President Biden is also under investigation for his handling of classified documents at
a University of Pennsylvania office he used in DC after he was Vice President,
and at his home in Wilmington, Del.
Smith is currently convening two separate grand
juries—one in Washington, D.C., and another in Florida—related to the Trump
classified documents investigation, according to The Washington Post. After a
separate report on Wednesday alleged that prosecutors had notified Trump that
he was a target of their investigation and was likely to be indicted soon,
Trump wrote on his Truth Social site, “No one has told me I’m
being indicted, and I shouldn’t be because I’ve done NOTHING wrong.”
ATTACHMENT NINETEEN
– From Atlanta Daily
World
DONALD TRUMP TO VISIT GEORGIA AS FANI WILLIS PREPS FOR POSSIBLE
INDICTMENTS IN ELECTION PROBE
By A.R. Shaw June 8, 2023
This weekend, Donald J. Trump will return to the
state of Georgia. The former U.S. President will arrive in Columbus, Georgia
via Trump Force One on June10 to attend the Georgia GOP State Convention.
Trump will serve as the headliner and deliver a
speech with the hopes of gaining more traction for a return to the White House.
The convention will feature several pro-Trump politicians including Rep.
Marjorie Taylor Greene.
Ironically, Georgia could be the state that hinders
Trump’s presidential run.
Ninety miles north of Columbus, Trump is facing a
legal issue spearheaded by Fulton County District Attorney Fani Willis.
For the past two years, Willis has investigated
Trump and several of his cohorts in connection to overturn the 2020
Presidential Election. And Willis could announce indictments in the upcoming
months.
Willis recently sent a letter to judges in Fulton
County and made indications that decisions to present charges in the probe
could come in August. She requested remote workdays for her staff and asked
judges to refrain from in-person hearings during that time.
“I respectfully request that judges not schedule
trials and in person hearings during the weeks beginning Monday, August 7 and
Monday, August 14,” Willis wrote in the letter.
Willis has pushed back the dates of announcing
charges to request more security and to grant immunity deals.
Trump is on record asking former Secretary of State
Brad Raffensperger and Gov. Brian Kemp to help overturn the election on
separate occasions. He asked Raffensperger during a phone call to help him
secure over 11,000 votes, the amount in which he trailed Joe Biden in Georgia.
During a recorded call that took place on Jan. 2, 2021, Trump told
Raffensperger, “All I want to do is this. I just want to find 11,780 votes,
which is one more than we have. Because we won the state.”
Willis is examining if suspects in the case are
guilty of criminal solicitation to commit election fraud, making false
statements to state and local governmental officials, involvement of violence
or threats related to election administration and racketeering.
If Willis chooses to charge Trump with a RICO
(Racketeer Influenced and Corrupt Organizations), he could face 20 years of
imprisonment.
Willis could present her findings to a panel at that
point and choose to indict the former president.
Trump will seek to inspire his base at the GOP State
Convention this weekend. But his next trip to the state of Georgia may not be
as encouraging.
ATTACHMENT TWENTY – From GUK
TRUMP EXPECTED TO SURRENDER
TO MIAMI AUTHORITIES ON TUESDAY AFTER INDICTMENT
Former president
prepares for his second arraignment after federal charges filed over
mishandling of classified documents
Joan E Greve in Washington and Hugo
Lowell in Miami Fri 9 Jun 2023
12.20 EDT
Donald Trump is
preparing for his second arraignment in two months after learning he
would face seven federal charges in connection to his mishandling of classified
documents.
The former US
president and current 2024 candidate is expected to surrender himself to
authorities in Miami on
Tuesday at 3pm ET, although the exact charges he will face are still unclear,
as the seven-count indictment remains under seal. On Fox News Digital on
Thursday night, he said he would plead not guilty.
It also emerged that
Trump’s valet and aide Walt Nauta was indicted alongside him. Nauta is a former
military valet who worked for Trump at the White House before accompanying him
to a job at his Florida resort of Mar-a-Lago after
Trump left office.
In a typically
punchy social media post Trump said: “They are trying to destroy his life, like
the lives of so many others, hoping that he will say bad things about Trump.”
Could Trump go
to prison? Federal charges over classified docs show momentum is building
After news of the
indictment broke, Trump’s allies rallied to his defense as the US braced for
the unprecedented spectacle of a former president forced to defend himself
against federal criminal charges.
The development
comes just two months after Trump pleaded not guilty to 34 counts of falsifying
business records in an unrelated case over hush-money payments during the 2016
election.
The charges filed by
the office of special counsel Jack Smith in federal district court in Miami
include the willful retention of national defense information, obstruction of
justice, conspiracy, false statements and concealment under title 18 of the US criminal
code, according to a person familiar with the matter.
Smith, appointed by
the attorney general, Merrick Garland, has been investigating for more than a
year whether Trump knowingly retained classified information at his Mar-a-Lago
resort and attempted to conceal those documents from the justice department
after authorities issued a subpoena for their return.
Trump himself
confirmed the indictment in a Thursday evening post on his social media
platform Truth Social, writing: “This is indeed a DARK DAY for the United
States of America.”
In a video posted to
the platform shortly afterwards, Trump denied any culpability and lashed out
against his political rivals. “I am an innocent man,” Trump said in the video.
“I did nothing wrong.”
Meanwhile, two lawyers
representing Trump, Jim Trusty and John Rowley, said they had quit working for
him. In a joint statement the pair said they had “tendered our resignations as
counsel to President Trump, and we will no longer represent him on either the
indicted case or the January 6 investigation”.
They added: “It has
been an honor to have spent the last year defending him, and we know he will be
vindicated in his battle against the Biden administration’s partisan
weaponization of the American justice system.”
Though the exact
nature of the charges remained unclear, Trump’s Republican allies on Capitol
Hill quickly rallied to his defense, attacking the investigation as a case of
political persecution. Many Republicans raced to note that Joe Biden is also
under investigation by a special counsel over the alleged mishandling of
classified papers, but they neglected to mention that Trump, unlike Biden,
received a subpoena for classified documents amid concerns that he had
willfully withheld some materials from federal authorities.
“Today is indeed a
dark day for the United States of America,” Kevin McCarthy, the Republican
House speaker, said on Twitter on
Thursday evening. “I, and every American who believes in the rule of law, stand
with President Trump against this grave injustice. House Republicans will hold
this brazen weaponization of power accountable.”
Trump’s most
competitive rival for the Republican ticket, Governor Ron DeSantis of Florida, also denounced
the justice department’s actions.
“The weaponization
of federal law enforcement represents a mortal threat to a free society,” he
said on Twitter. “We have for years witnessed an uneven application of the law
depending upon political affiliation. Why so zealous in pursuing Trump yet so
passive about Hillary or Hunter?”
But Democrats viewed
the news as confirmation that authorities were again seeking to hold Trump
accountable for his illegal conduct.
“Trump’s apparent
indictment on multiple charges arising from his retention of classified
materials is another affirmation of the rule of law,” Congressman Adam Schiff,
a Democrat from California, said on Twitter.
“For four years, he acted like he was above the law. But he should be treated
like any other lawbreaker. And today, he has been.”
Later on Friday
morning, it emerged that a federal judge appointed by Trump, who last year drew
scrutiny for a ruling that was seen as deferential to the former president, may
oversee proceedings in the case over his possession of classified documents, a
source familiar with the summons told the Guardian.
The US district
judge Aileen Cannon has been listed on the summons sent to Trump’s lawyers, the
source said. The Florida-based jurist last year granted a request from Trump’s
attorneys to appoint a special master to review the records federal agents
seized from Mar-a-Lago that
August, sparking uproar and disapproval among
some legal experts.
The special master
review delayed the justice department’s investigation into the materials and
how they ended up at Trump’s south Florida property, but in December, Cannon’s
decision was overturned by the unanimous decision of a federal appeals court.
Meanwhile, on Friday
morning CNN revealed
a transcript it had obtained of an audio tape in which Trump admits he had not
declassified a military document about Iran he had retained. The existence of
the tape in which he boasts about retaining the document emerged last month.
“As president, I
could have declassified, but now I can’t,” Trump says, according to the transcript
reported by CNN. The transcript offers further detail about the tape recording
the former president
talking at his Bedminster, New Jersey, golf club in July 2021
about his retention of national security papers. Federal prosecutors have the
tape.
The latest
indictment means Trump will face charges in at least two jurisdictions as he
seeks to return to the White House next year. Trump continues to
lead in polls of the Republican primary field, even after he
was indicted in the hush-money case earlier this year.
As of now, there is
no sign that Republican primary voters are prepared to abandon Trump en masse,
despite his many legal liabilities. The country will soon find out if the
threat of a federal conviction is enough to rob Trump of his status as the
frontrunner in the Republican primary.
ATTACHMENT TWENTY
ONE – From GUK
WHO IS AILEEN CANNON, THE
JUDGE ASSIGNED IN TRUMP’S MAR-A-LAGO CASE?
The Florida district
judge was appointed by the ex-president three years ago and there’s no
certainty she will remain on the case but her name is on the summons
By Richard Luscombe Sat 10 Jun 2023 06.00 EDT
·
·
·
Aileen Cannon, the
Florida district judge assigned to oversee Donald Trump’s classified documents
case, initially at least, was appointed to the federal bench by the former
president three years ago, and gave him a favorable ruling at an earlier
hearing last year.
But Cannon was
later rebuked by an
appeals court panel for granting Trump’s request for an
independent special master to review the documents. That action slowed the
justice department’s investigation and prompted questions over her
impartiality.
On Thursday,
Cannon’s name was listed on the summons sent to Trump’s lawyers announcing his
indictment, indicating she will be in charge of the timing and progression of
hearings.
There is no
certainty she will remain on the case. And next Tuesday’s first hearing in
Miami is expected to be held in front of magistrate judge Bruce Reinhart,
who signed the
original warrant authorizing an FBI search of Mar-a-Lago,
Trump’s Florida home.
But while she is the
assigned jurist, Cannon, 42, will have broad authority to control almost every
aspect, including which evidence is admissible, the ability to slow down or
speed up proceedings, and even the legal viability of the justice department’s
case.
Analysts will look
for clues in Cannon’s handling of the special master episode, which drew
criticism from many quarters, including Trump’s former attorney general William
Barr.
In calling the law “pretty
clear”, Barr said Cannon’s ruling to accede to the request from Trump’s lawyers
was “deeply flawed”
because it removed the ability of FBI and justice department investigators to
review the documents in question, at least until the 11th circuit court of
appeals struck down her decision in December.
Cannon, a member of
the conservative Federalist Society, had relatively little experience as a
lawyer when nominated by Trump and confirmed in November 2020 by the Senate,
which was then controlled by Republicans.
Born in Cali,
Colombia, in 1981, Cannon grew up in Miami and attended a private school in the
city. She graduated from the University of Michigan Law School in 2007.
Her appointment to
the federal bench came only 12 years after she was first admitted to practice
law, the minimum experience the American Bar Association requires nominees
should have.
Cannon was a clerk
for an appellate judge in Iowa after graduating law school, and was then an
associate at the Gibson Dunn law firm in Washington DC.
Between 2013 and her
nomination by Trump, she was federal prosecutor in Fort Pierce, Florida. The
New York Times spoke last year to
a defense lawyer in West Palm Beach who called her “thorough, meticulous and
often willing to rule against the government”.
Valentin Rodriguez
Jr told the newspaper: “The general feeling that I’ve gotten from her is, ‘I
don’t buy everything the government has to tell me.’
“You can’t expect
that if you and the government have some sort of agreement, over sentencing or
a plea, that that’s necessarily going to convince [her]. In that sense, you
could call her something of a freethinker.”
Cannon, who is
married with two children, is a registered Republican, according to the Times,
and donated $100 to Ron DeSantis’s political campaign in 2018 when he was
elected to his first term as governor of Florida.
Reuters contributed
reporting
ATTACHMENT TWENTY
TWO –
From GUK
Donald Trump uses his legal
woes to plead for money from supporters – again
Following his
indictment, Trump asked supporters to ‘make a contribution to peacefully defend
our movement from the neverending witch hunts’
By Mary Yang in Washington Sat 10 Jun 2023 06.00 EDT
Federally
indicted Donald Trump,
newly charged with multiple counts over his mishandling of classified
documents, is using his legal woes to plead for money – again.
The sweeping
37-count felony indictment paints a damaging portrait of Trump’s treatment of
sensitive documents, accusing him of defying justice department demands to
return papers he had taken to his Florida home of Mar-a-Lago, and even storing
some of them in a shower.
But the indictment’s
existence did not stop the Trump campaign pleading for money on the back of it.
In a series of
messages on Thursday night and Friday morning, Trump appealed to his supporters
by declaring the indictment an attack by “the Deep State” on the “forgotten,
hardworking men and women of this country”, and asking them to donate to his
campaign.
“Please make a
contribution to peacefully DEFEND our movement from the never-ending witch
hunts – and together, even during these darkest of times, we will prove that
our movement is truly UNBREAKABLE,” said in one email Trump sent to supporters
on Friday morning.
The barrage of
requests mirrors Trump’s
fundraising strategy following his first indictment at the end of March,
when a Manhattan court charged the former US president with falsifying business
records over hush-money payments to adult film actress Stormy Daniels in 2016.
Trump, who is set to
appear in a federal court in Miami on Tuesday, has maintained he is an
“innocent man” though he could face prison if convicted.
“Joe Biden’s
Department of Justice has INDICTED me even though I did NOTHING wrong,” said
another Friday morning email.
The email ended with
links asking supporters for donations of varying amounts, from $25 to $250,
pooled by the Trump Save America Joint Fundraising Committee, the main
fundraising arm of the ex-president’s 2024 campaign.
Those links directed
supporters to an online donation portal, which displays another message with
more pleas for donations.
“President Trump
will NEVER SURRENDER our mission to save America. And he knows you won’t
either!” reads part of the message online.
It adds: “(But if
you’re struggling – like far too many Americans are right now – please ignore
the rest of this message, don’t contribute, and take care of your family and
yourself.)”
Yet another request
immediately followed: “Please make a contribution to SAVE OUR COUNTRY – for
1,500% impact.”
The Trump campaign
raised $12m in the week following his first indictment, according to the
New York Times. About a quarter of those who donated in the two
weeks following it had never contributed to his campaign before, according to
Politico.
Special prosecutor
Jack Smith, who led the documents investigation, is also heading a federal
investigation into Trump’s role in the January 6 US Capitol attack.
Trump is also facing
charges in Georgia where prosecutors say they expect to reach a decision on the
former president and his allies’ interference with the 2020 election results in
the state.
In a four-minute
video emailed to supporters and posted to Truth Social, Trump repeatedly called
the documents investigation a “boxes hoax” and “election interference” as he
seeks the 2024 Republican nomination.
Trump is the first
former American president to be charged with a federal crime by the government
he once oversaw.
“I AM AN INNOCENT
MAN. THE BIDEN ADMINISTRATION IS TOTALLY CORRUPT. THIS IS ELECTION INTERFERENCE
& A CONTINUATION OF THE GREATEST WITCH HUNT OF ALL TIME,” Trump said in the
post on Thursday night.
Trump also appears
to be using the indictment to criticize the press.
“During an
unprecedented moment like this, most politicians would give their first spoken
remarks to the Fake News Media. But not me. My loyalty lies with my fiercest
defenders like YOU,” Trump wrote supporters.
“Our country is
going to hell, and they come after Donald Trump, weaponizing the justice
department, weaponizing the FBI.”
Calling other
investigations against him, including two impeachments, as hoaxes.
“I’m an innocent
man. I did nothing wrong.”
SATURDAY’S MEET n’GREETS
ATTACHMENT TWENTY
THREE – From the San Diego
Tribune
TRUMP SET FOR FIRST PUBLIC APPEARANCES SINCE FEDERAL INDICTMENT WITH SPEECHES
TO GOP CONVENTIONS
BY BILL BARROW, JEFF AMY, JILL COLVIN AND MEG
KINNARD JUNE 10, 2023 11:10 AM PT
COLUMBUS, Ga. —
Former
President Donald Trump on Saturday is set to make his first
public appearances since
his federal indictment, speaking to friendly Republican audiences in
Georgia and North Carolina as he tries to rally supporters to his defense.
Trump, who remains the front-runner for the 2024 GOP
nomination despite his mounting
legal woes, is expected to use speeches at two state party
conventions to rail against the
charges and amplify his assertions that he is the victim of
a politically
motivated “witch hunt” by Democratic President Joe Biden’s
Justice Department.
The
indictment unsealed Friday charged him with 37 felony counts in
connection with his hoarding
of classified documents at his Mar-a-Lago estate in Florida.
Trump is accused of willfully defying Justice Department demands to return
classified documents, enlisting aides in his efforts to hide the records and
even telling his lawyers that he wanted to defy a subpoena for the materials
stored at his residence. The indictment includes allegations that he stored
documents in a ballroom and bathroom at his resort, among other places.
The most serious charges carry potential prison
sentences of up to 20 years each, but first-time offenders rarely get anywhere
near the maximum sentence and the decision would ultimately be up to the judge.
For all that, Trump can expect a hero’s welcome this
weekend as he rallies his fiercest partisans and aims to cement his status as
his party’s leading presidential candidate.
“Trump is a fighter, and the kinds of people that attend
these conventions love a fighter,” said Jack Kingston, a former Georgia
congressman who supported Trump’s White House campaigns in 2016 and 2020.
Trump has insisted he committed no wrongdoing,
saying, “There was no crime, except for what the DOJ and FBI have been doing
against me for years.”
The indictment arrives at a time when Trump is
continuing to dominate the primary race. Other candidates have largely attacked
the Justice Department — rather than Trump — for the investigation. But the
indictment’s breadth of allegations and scope could make it harder for
Republicans to rail against these charges compared with an earlier New York
criminal case that many legal analysts had derided as weak.
A Trump campaign official described the former
president’s mood as “defiant” before the state visits. But aides were notably
more reserved after the indictment’s unsealing as they reckoned with the
gravity of the legal charges and the threat they pose to Trump beyond the
potential short-term political gain.
The federal charging document alleges that Trump not
only intentionally possessed classified documents but also boastfully showed
them off to visitors and aides. The indictment is built on Trump’s own words
and actions as recounted to prosecutors by lawyers, close aides and other
witnesses, including his professing to respect and know procedures related to
the handling of classified information.
The indictment includes 31 counts that pertain to
the willful retention of national defense information. The others relate to
alleged conspiracy, obstruction and false statements.
Trump is due to make his first federal court
appearance Tuesday in Miami. He was charged alongside valet Walt Nauta, a
personal aide whom prosecutors say moved boxes from a storage room to Trump’s
residence for him to review and later lied to investigators about the movement.
A photograph included in the indictment shows several dozen file boxes stacked
in a storage area.
The case adds to deepening legal jeopardy for Trump.
In March, he was indicted in New York in a hush money scheme stemming from
payouts made to a porn actor during his 2016 campaign, and he faces additional investigations
in Washington and Atlanta that also could lead to criminal charges.
But among the various investigations he has faced,
the documents case has long been considered the most perilous threat and the
one most ripe for prosecution.
Trump’s continued popularity among Republican voters
is evident in how gingerly his primary rivals have treated the federal
indictment.
Mike
Pence, whose appearance in North Carolina marked the first shared
venue with his former boss since the ex-vice president announced
his own campaign this past week, condemned the “politicization”
of the Justice Department and urged Attorney General Merrick Garland “to stop
hiding behind the special counsel and stand before the American people” to
explain the basis for the federal investigation into Trump.
“A former president of the United States facing an
unprecedent indictment by a Justice Department run by the current president of
the United States and a potential political rival,” Pence said to loud
applause. Pence said it was important to hear Trump’s defense, “then each of us
can make our own judgment. ... Be patient. Know that we will soon know the
facts.”
Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, Trump’s leading GOP
rival, decried the “weaponization of federal law enforcement” and “an uneven
application of the law.” Without offering any specific allegation, DeSantis
took aim at two favorite Republican targets — Hillary Clinton and Hunter Biden
— and suggested they have escaped federal accountability because of such
“political bias.”
In remarks at the North Carolina convention Friday
night, DeSantis didn’t mention Trump by name but again made the comparison to
Clinton.
“Is there a different standard for a Democratic
secretary of state versus a former Republican president?” DeSantis asked. “I
think there needs to be one standard of justice in this country. ... At the end
of the day, we will once and for all end the weaponization of government under
my administration.”
Kari Lake, a Trump loyalist who lost the governor’s
race in Arizona last year, used her speech to Georgia Republicans on Friday night
to repeat Trump’s false claims of a rigged 2020 election and she suggested that
the indictment was another way to deny him the presidency.
“He’s doing so well in the polls that they decided
they can’t stop him. So what do they do? They indict him on completely bogus
charges,” Lake said. “The illegitimate Biden administration wants to lock our
beloved President Trump for more than 200 years. Wow.”
Among the declared Republican contenders, only
Arkansas Gov. Asa Hutchinson had explicitly called for Trump to end his
candidacy. Hutchinson did not mention Trump in remarks at a Georgia convention
breakfast Saturday, but told reporters afterward that the Republican Party
“should not lose its soul” in defending Trump and said the evidence so far
suggested that the former president treated national secrets “like
entertainment tools.”
ATTACHMENT TWENTY
FOUR – From
From the BBC
Donald Trump: Former president to make first speech since federal charges
announced
By Oliver Slow
BBC News
Former US President
Donald Trump will today make his first public appearance since being indicted
on federal charges for his handling of classified documents.
He will speak at a
Republican Party convention in Georgia on Saturday afternoon local time, then later
in North Carolina.
A 37-count
indictment made public on Friday accuses him of keeping sensitive documents at
his Mar-a-Lago property.
Mr Trump denies any
wrongdoing.
He has been charged
with mishandling hundreds of classified documents, including some about US
nuclear secrets and military plans.
The indictment
accused him of keeping the files at Mar-a-Lago, his Florida estate, in a
ballroom and a shower.
It alleges that he
lied to investigators and tried to obstruct the investigation into his handling
of the documents.
They are the
first-ever federal charges against a former US president.
Mr Trump, who is
running for the White House again in 2024, has reacted angrily to the
indictment, calling it a politically-motivated "scam".
He has also claimed
he "had nothing to hide" and supplied the documents
"openly".
In a series of
posts, as well as a video on his social media platform Truth Social, Mr Trump
repeatedly said he was innocent and described the indictment as "political
warfare" against him before the 2024 election.
Special counsel Jack
Smith, who oversaw the investigation, said: "We have one set of laws in
this country, and they apply to everyone."
·
Donald Trump
faces seven charges over secret files
·
Could Donald
Trump go to prison over secret files?
·
How Biden, Trump
and Pence secret files cases compare
As momentum starts
to build towards the 2024 election, Mr Trump will first speak at a Republican
Party convention in Columbus, Georgia at around 14:30 local time (18:30 GMT),
before moving onto another Republican Party event in Greensboro, North
Carolina, where he is scheduled to speak at 18:00 EDT (22:00 GMT).
Mr Trump is
currently the frontrunner for the 2024 Republican nomination.
His former vice
president Mike Pence - who this week was highly
critical of his former boss when announcing his own run for the presidency -
spoke earlier at the North Carolina event, although the pair are not expected
to cross paths.
Georgia is likely to
be a key battleground in the race for the White House, and is where Mr Trump
narrowly lost to current President Joe Biden in 2020 - it could also be the
scene of further legal jeopardy for the former president.
Officials in the
state are currently looking into whether Mr Trump broke the law when he asked
Georgia Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger to "find" the exact
number of votes he needed to flip the vote in his favour.
ATTACHMENT TWENTY
FIVE – From
From 11alive.com
Notes of discord start Georgia GOP convention
Former President Donald Trump will give a keynote
speech Saturday in Columbus.
Author: Doug Richards
Published: 6:37 PM EDT June 9, 2023
Updated: 8:20 PM EDT June 9, 2023
COLUMBUS, Ga. — Former President Donald Trump will
appear Saturday before a convention of Georgia Republicans with
a lot on its plate – not the least of which is the future of what’s now a very
divided party.
Republicans in Columbus will vote Saturday on its
state party leadership and will set the stage on how the party aims to try to
shape the 2024 presidential election.
"I’m here to yell at the Republicans 'get off
your behind and fight back.' The country’s in grave danger. What are you
doing?" said Bob Kunst, who was in Columbus to cajole Georgia Republicans
to support Trump and not
Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis.
It’s not a heavy lift in a convention that’s rife
with updated support for the embattled former president -- in a place
where Trump himself will give a keynote speech Saturday.
But some Republicans are saying, enough already.
"Really, Donald Trump doesn’t have anything I
need to hear him say," said former Cobb County Republican chair Jason
Shepherd, who was en route to Columbus where he plans to staff a booth for
DeSantis and then probably leave before Trump speaks.
"I think we’re seeing a party that’s moving to
the extreme," Shepherd said. "The fact of the matter is that Donald
Trump may be the only candidate running for president that Joe Biden can
beat."
Republicans Gov. Brian Kemp and Attorney General
Chris Carr are among the Republicans declining to appear at this weekend's convention.
Both successfully scuttled Trump's effort to change Georgia's electoral
votes in 2020 from Biden to Trump, saying the switch would be illegal after
Biden won the state's popular vote.
READ | Georgia
Republican Party’s state convention: Trump will be there, Kemp will not
Asked if this is a convention of extremists, GA GOP
chairman David Shafer noted "it’s the biggest (GA GOP) convention ever.
It’s got something for everybody."
Shafer will leave the chairman’s spot Saturday.
Shafer was a stout Trump backer in 2020 - and has been among those
targeted in a Fulton County criminal investigation into Trump’s effort to
overturn that election.
Former state senator Josh McKoon, also a fan of
Trump, is running to replace Shafer.
"I absolutely want this job," McKoon said.
"You can feel the energy in this crowd. People are really excited about
putting the adults back in charge in Washington D.C. And I’m excited to have a
role to play in doing that."
ATTACHMENT TWENTY
SIX – From
From GUK
Donald Trump heads to Georgia for first speech since federal indictment
Former president,
who faces 37 charges related to retention of secret documents, will also speak
later in North Carolina
Sat 10 Jun 2023 11.50 EDT
·
·
·
Donald Trump is set
to deliver his first public address on Saturday in Columbus, Georgia, following
the announcement of his federal indictment this week.
The former president
is scheduled to take the stage at the state GOP convention in Georgia in the
afternoon before heading to Greensboro, North Carolina,
for another address in the evening.
Trump’s two speeches
had been planned before the justice department indicted him on Thursday evening
with 37 criminal charges regarding his alleged illegal retention of classified
government documents after leaving office in 2021.
According to
advisers who spoke with
the Washington Post, Trump is expected to launch a tirade against the FBI and
the justice department over his prosecution, which he has repeatedly called a
“witch-hunt” and a “hoax”.
The sweeping
indictment which was unsealed on Friday accuses Trump of mishandling classified
documents as well as obstructing justice, making him the first US president to
be federally indicted.
According to the
indictment, Trump stored classified documents in “a ballroom, a bathroom and
shower, an office space, his bedroom, and a storage room” at his Mar-a-Lago resort in
Florida.
It also added that
Trump directed Walt Nauta, his valet and aide, to move boxes of records to
“conceal them from Trump’s attorney, the FBI, and the grand jury”. Nauta also
faces a count of conspiracy to obstruct justice, said the indictment.
The documents that
Trump allegedly possessed “included information regarding defense and weapons
capabilities of both the United States and foreign countries; United States
nuclear programs; potential vulnerabilities of the United States and its allies
to military attack, and plans for possible retaliation in response to a foreign
attack,” said the indictment.
Thursday’s
indictment comes just two months after a Manhattan grand jury indicted Trump
for his alleged role in a hush-money payment scandal involving the adult film
star Stormy Daniels.
Trump, who has
repeatedly maintained his innocence, lashed out against the latest indictment
on Thursday night. In a video released on his social media platform Truth
Social, the GOP’s most popular presidential candidate said, “It is election
interference at the highest level … I’m an innocent man, I’m an innocent person
… we’ll fight this out.”
He then turned to
his supporters for money, writing in an email on
Friday morning, “Please make a contribution to peacefully DEFEND our movement
from the never-ending witch hunts – and together, even during these darkest of
times, we will prove that our movement is truly UNBREAKABLE.”
Trump is expected to
appear in a federal court in Miami on Tuesday and may face prison if convicted.
ATTACHMENT TWENTY
SEVEN– From
From the Washington
Post
Trump to speak Saturday as he and allies escalate attacks on law
enforcement
The former president
is slated to address state GOP conventions in Georgia and North Carolina in the
wake of a federal indictment
By Isaac Arnsdorf and Hannah Knowles Updated June 10, 2023 at 11:43 a.m. EDT|
Published June 10, 2023 at 8:55 a.m. EDT
COLUMBUS, Georgia — Donald Trump, the only former president to ever face criminal
charges, will make his first public remarks Saturday since the release of
a federal indictment accusing him of mishandling classified information, as he
and his allies issue inflammatory calls to action and escalating attacks on law
enforcement.
Trump encouraged supporters to assemble on Tuesday
in Miami, where he is scheduled to appear in court. “SEE YOU IN MIAMI ON
TUESDAY!!!” he posted late Friday on his Truth Social platform. Specific plans
for that day are still being developed, according to a Trump campaign aide.
The former president did not elaborate on his
message. His social media messages have in the past inspired his supporters to
action. On Dec. 19, 2020, he tweeted, “Big protest in D.C. on January 6th. Be
there, will be wild!” Evidence presented by the House committee investigating the Jan. 6, 2021, attack on the U.S. Capitol showed that Trump’s
tweet inspired extremist groups to plan to disrupt the certification of
President Biden’s electoral victory. Leaders of the Oath Keepers and Proud Boys were later convicted of seditious conspiracy.
Trump’s call on his supporters to protest his
indictment in New York did not materialize in major demonstrations.
Advisers said the former president will use his
speech on Saturday, appearing before the Georgia state Republican convention,
to position himself as a victim and aggressively attack the FBI and the Justice
Department for prosecuting him but not President Biden’s son, Hunter, who is
under federal investigation on allegations of tax evasion and lying in the
purchase of a gun. The campaign’s goal, one adviser said, is to use the
indictment to solidify Trump’s political support among his base in coming
weeks. The advisers spoke on the condition of anonymity to describe strategy.
From Georgia Trump is set to travel to North
Carolina for that state’s GOP convention. He’ll address the gathering of party
activists hours after former vice president Mike Pence, who recently entered
the 2024 presidential race, challenging his former boss in the GOP primary
and arguing Trump is no longer qualified for the presidency.
The Trump campaign almost immediately started
soliciting donations as soon as Trump announced on Thursday that he
had been notified of the indictment, though a campaign official declined to
reveal how much had been raised.
Ahead of Trump’s speech here, Arizona Republican
Kari Lake delivered a keynote on Friday in which she suggested Trump’s
prosecution could be met with violence. Lake has said she will go to Miami to
“support” Trump on Tuesday.
“If you want to get to President Trump, you’re going
to have to go through me and you’re going to have to go through 75 million
Americans just like me,” Lake told the GOP convention on Friday to roaring
cheers and a standing ovation. “Most of us are card-carrying members of the
NRA,” the National Rifle Association gun lobby. “That’s not a threat, that’s a
public service announcement.”
The Secret Service, federal court marshals and Miami
law enforcement have met to discuss security around Trump. Local police
are preparing additional officers to deploy, amid the prospect of demonstration
and a crush of media descending on the city.
Earlier in the day, Rep. Marjorie Taylor
Greene (R-Ga.) told convention-goers that Trump’s indictment was meant to
distract from House Republicans’ claims that Biden and his son Hunter accepted
bribes from a Russian oligarch — allegations that the FBI already concluded investigating without bringing charges.
“I don’t care how you feel about President Trump,
you need to understand that what they’re doing to President Trump is exactly
what they will do to any one of us when they deem us a threat,” she said. On
Saturday Greene announced she was flying to the convention with Trump on his private
plane.
Long-shot presidential candidate Vivek Ramaswamy, who pledged that if elected he would pardon
Trump, also spoke on Friday to decry the charges.
“We are not some banana republic, where the party in
power uses the police to arrest its political opponents,” he said at the
convention. “We are finally going to end that corrupt administrative police
state in America, starting with the FBI.”
Trump picked up another congressional endorsement on
Saturday from Rep. Andrew Clyde (R-Ga.). “He will help save this nation from
the radical left-wing wackos, from the socialists and the corrupt bureaucrats
who want to eliminate our country,” Clyde said.
One Republican breaking ranks to call on Trump to
withdraw his candidacy was former Arkansas governor Asa Hutchinson. Speaking to a breakfast here on Saturday,
Hutchinson did not mention Trump, a tacit acknowledgment of his audience’s
tilt.
The convention was notable for the absence of Gov.
Brian Kemp and Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger, who split with Trump over
his demands to overturn the 2020 election results in Georgia. That pressure
campaign is now the subject of a separate criminal probe by an Atlanta-area
district attorney.
Though Trump’s team had practice at responding to an
indictment from the charges earlier this year in New York, arising from hush
money payments to an adult film actress in 2016, and the campaign was expecting
charges in the documents case after the former president’s lawyers met with
prosecutors on Monday, advisers acknowledged surprise at the level of detail of
the evidence against him in Friday’s indictment.
Some Trump supporters here also said they were
rethinking their initial dismissiveness of the charges based on the specific
allegations. Laurie Webster from Hull, Ga., said she grew more concerned after
hearing some of the details on conservative host Erick Erickson’s radio show.
“It sounded worse than what they were saying last
night,” she said. “If he runs and is more popular I’m going to vote for him and
support him. If not Trump, we need somebody like Trump,” she said, explaining
that she’s now deciding between him and Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis.
DeSantis and other rivals for the GOP presidential
nomination have joined Trump in denouncing the alleged “weaponization” of the Justice
Department but they’ve steered clear of the specifics of the case or
commitments to pardon Trump.
“The weaponization of these agencies strikes at the
heart of what it means to have a free society. It’s not just affecting people
at the top, it’s affecting people all throughout our country,” DeSantis told
the North Carolina GOP Convention on Friday night in Greensboro, repeating his
promise to oust the FBI director right away if elected. DeSantis, who runs
second to Trump in early primary polling, said presidents have long been
“derelict in their duty” to rein in the federal bureaucracy.
Pence similarly accused the Justice Department of years-long
“politicization” and told reporters on Friday that he still found officials’
search of Trump’s Mar-a-Lago estate last year “deeply troubling.”
Former U.N. ambassador Nikki Haley made a vague statement on Friday that
criticized the prosecution and called to “move beyond the endless drama and
distractions.”
The other presidential hopeful who more forcefully
criticized Trump was recent entrant Chris Christie, the former New Jersey
governor and Trump adviser. Christie said blaming the prosecutors is to ignore
Trump’s behavior at issue in the case.
“These facts are devastating,” he said in a CNN interview on Friday, drawing on his own experience as
a federal prosecutor. “Is this the type of conduct that we want from someone
who wants to be president of the United States? … This is irresponsible
conduct.”
Knowles reported from Greensboro, N.C. Josh Dawsey
in Washington contributed to this report.
ATTACHMENT TWENTY
EIGHT – From
From the Associated
Press
Trump set for first public appearances since federal indictment with
speeches to GOP conventions
By BILL BARROW, JEFF AMY, JILL COLVIN and MEG
KINNARD14 minutes ago
COLUMBUS, Ga. (AP) — Former President Donald Trump on
Saturday is set to make his first public appearances since his
federal indictment, speaking to friendly Republican audiences in
Georgia and North Carolina as he tries to rally supporters to his defense.
Trump, who remains the front-runner for the 2024 GOP
nomination despite his mounting legal
woes, is expected to use speeches at two state party conventions to
rail against the charges and
amplify his assertions that he is the victim of a politically
motivated “witch hunt” by Democratic President Joe Biden’s
Justice Department.
The indictment unsealed
Friday charged him with 37 felony counts in connection with his hoarding of
classified documents at his Mar-a-Lago estate in Florida. Trump
is accused of willfully defying Justice Department demands to return classified
documents, enlisting aides in his efforts to hide the records and even telling
his lawyers that he wanted to defy a subpoena for the materials stored at his
residence. The indictment includes allegations that he stored documents in a
ballroom and bathroom at his resort, among other places.
·
Trump campaigns after
indictment unsealed | Live updates
·
Trump's GOP defenders in
Congress leap into action on charges after months of preparation
·
A timeline of events leading
to Donald Trump's indictment in the classified documents case
·
Indictment takeaways: Trump's
alleged schemes and lies to keep secret papers
The most serious charges carry potential prison
sentences of up to 20 years each, but first-time offenders rarely get anywhere
near the maximum sentence and the decision would ultimately be up to the judge.
For all that, Trump can expect a hero’s welcome this
weekend as he rallies his fiercest partisans and aims to cement his status as
his party’s leading presidential candidate.
“Trump is a fighter, and the kinds of people that
attend these conventions love a fighter,” said Jack Kingston, a former Georgia
congressman who supported Trump’s White House campaigns in 2016 and 2020.
Trump has insisted he committed no wrongdoing,
saying, “There was no crime, except for what the DOJ and FBI have been doing
against me for years.”
The indictment arrives at a time when Trump is
continuing to dominate the primary race. Other candidates have largely attacked
the Justice Department — rather than Trump — for the investigation. But the
indictment’s breadth of allegations and scope could make it harder for
Republicans to rail against these charges compared with an earlier New York
criminal case that many legal analysts had derided as weak.
A Trump campaign official described the former
president’s mood as “defiant” before the state visits. But aides were notably
more reserved after the indictment’s unsealing as they reckoned with the
gravity of the legal charges and the threat they pose to Trump beyond the
potential short-term political gain.
The federal charging document alleges that Trump not
only intentionally possessed classified documents but also boastfully showed
them off to visitors and aides. The indictment is built on Trump’s own words
and actions as recounted to prosecutors by lawyers, close aides and other
witnesses, including his professing to respect and know procedures related to
the handling of classified information.
The indictment includes 31 counts that pertain to
the willful retention of national defense information. The others relate to
alleged conspiracy, obstruction and false statements.
Trump is due to make his first federal court
appearance Tuesday in Miami. He was charged alongside valet Walt Nauta, a
personal aide whom prosecutors say moved boxes from a storage room to Trump’s
residence for him to review and later lied to investigators about the movement.
A photograph included in the indictment shows several dozen file boxes stacked
in a storage area.
The case adds to deepening legal jeopardy for Trump.
In March, he was indicted in New York in a hush money scheme stemming from
payouts made to a porn actor during his 2016 campaign, and he faces additional
investigations in Washington and Atlanta that also could lead to criminal
charges.
But among the various investigations he has faced,
the documents case has long been considered the most perilous threat and the
one most ripe for prosecution.
Trump’s continued popularity among Republican voters
is evident in how gingerly his primary rivals have treated the federal
indictment.
Mike Pence,
whose appearance in North Carolina marked the first shared venue with his
former boss since the ex-vice president announced his
own campaign this past week, condemned the “politicization” of
the Justice Department and urged Attorney General Merrick Garland “to stop
hiding behind the special counsel and stand before the American people” to
explain the basis for the federal investigation into Trump.
“A former president of the United States facing an
unprecedent indictment by a Justice Department run by the current president of
the United States and a potential political rival,” Pence said to loud
applause. Pence said it was important to hear Trump’s defense, “then each of us
can make our own judgment. ... Be patient. Know that we will soon know the
facts.”
Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, Trump’s leading GOP
rival, decried the “weaponization of federal law enforcement” and “an uneven
application of the law.” Without offering any specific allegation, DeSantis
took aim at two favorite Republican targets — Hillary Clinton and Hunter Biden
— and suggested they have escaped federal accountability because of such
“political bias.”
In remarks at the North Carolina convention Friday
night, DeSantis didn’t mention Trump by name but again made the comparison to
Clinton.
“Is there a different standard for a Democratic
secretary of state versus a former Republican president?” DeSantis asked. “I
think there needs to be one standard of justice in this country. ... At the end
of the day, we will once and for all end the weaponization of government under
my administration.”
Kari Lake, a Trump loyalist who lost the governor’s
race in Arizona last year, used her speech to Georgia Republicans on Friday
night to repeat Trump’s false claims of a rigged 2020 election and she
suggested that the indictment was another way to deny him the presidency.
“He’s doing so well in the polls that they decided
they can’t stop him. So what do they do? They indict him on completely bogus
charges,” Lake said. “The illegitimate Biden administration wants to lock our
beloved President Trump for more than 200 years. Wow.”
Among the declared Republican contenders, only
Arkansas Gov. Asa Hutchinson had explicitly called for Trump to end his
candidacy. Hutchinson did not mention Trump in remarks at a Georgia convention
breakfast Saturday, but told reporters afterward that the Republican Party
“should not lose its soul” in defending Trump and said the evidence so far
suggested that the former president treated national secrets “like
entertainment tools.”
___
Colvin and Kinnard reported from Greensboro, North
Carolina. Associated Press writers Eric Tucker in Washington; Thomas Beaumont
in Marshalltown, Iowa; and Holly Ramer in Derry, New Hampshire, contributed to
this report.
ATTACHMENT TWENTY
NINE – From
From WTVM, Columbus
Georgia
By Josiah Berry
Published: Jun. 10, 2023 at 12:54 PM
EDT|Updated: 8 minutes ago
COLUMBUS, Ga. (WTVM) - Former president Donald Trump
arrived in Columbus just before 1:30PM ET.
President Trump spent 10 minutes with fans who had
crowded at the airport prior to departing for the Columbus Trade Center.
The former president is scheduled to speak later at
the Georgia GOP convention at 2:30 p.m.
This is the first time Trump will speak at a
convention since his indictment.
News Leader has crews on location at the Trade
Center, and will be livestreaming the former president’s speech on Facebook and
our website.
ATTACHMENT THIRTY –
From
From the New York
Post
Trump set to speak live in
Georgia in first appearance since indictment
By
June 10,
2023 12:33pm
MORE ON:DONALD TRUMP
·
Newsom
gushes over ‘incredible relationship’ with Trump during pandemic
·
Secret Service will not seek
‘special accommodations’ for Trump’s Miami court appearance
·
Donald Trump’s indictment case
has a looming 2024 end date
·
Trump faces a maximum of 400
years in prison, $9M fine over federal indictment
Former President
Donald Trump was set to take the stage in Georgia Saturday for his first live
comments since the unsealing
of a 49-page, 37-count federal indictment accusing him of
mishandling classified documents.
More than 3,500
Republican state party delegates and guests are expected to pack the Columbus
Convention and Trade Center in Columbus, Ga. to hear Trump speak at their
annual GOP convention — sans Gov. Brian Kemp, a longtime Trump critic.
It is the first of
two campaign-style stops for Trump, who remains the front-runner in the Republican
presidential primary race despite his cascading
legal woes.
The federal case
unsealed in Miami on Friday came after a federal grand jury heard evidence that
Trump illicitly retained classified documents and kept them at his Mar-a-Lago
home.
The charges,
including the willful retention of national defense documents and conspiring to
obstruct justice, follow Manhattan District Attorney Alvin Bragg’s April
indictment for Trump’s alleged falsification of business records.
Those two cases may
soon be joined by additional indictments: in Georgia over accusations of
election interference, and in Washington, D.C. for the former president’s
actions surrounding the Jan. 6 Capitol riot.
In messages to
supporters Saturday, Trump sought to use the prosecutions as fuel for his quest
to win the Republican presidential nomination once again.
“I could throw in
the towel tomorrow, close down my 2024 presidential campaign, and all charges
against me would magically be dropped!” he wrote in a fundraising email.
Doing so, he added,
“would be turning my back on our country” — casting his expected
Tuesday arraignment as an attack on America itself.
Meanwhile, Trump
made a string of posts on social media, including one all-caps missive claiming that
“AMERICA WENT TO SLEEP LAST NIGHT WITH TEARS IN ITS EYES” over the indictment,
which some Republicans
have denounced as a politically motivated power grab.
But Kemp’s pointed
absence signaled rifts within the Republican Party over Trump’s candidacy,
particularly in the must-win swing state of Georgia, which the former president
narrowly lost to President Biden in 2020.
A poll released Friday by Kemp’s Hardworking
Americans PAC found that Trump would have the support of just 42% of likely
Georgia voters in a rematch against Biden — fully six points less than the 48%
support that a generic Republican candidate would receive in such a race.
The statewide survey
of 600 voters, taken before news of the indictment dropped, found that Trump
would barely edge out Biden 42% to 41% if the presidential election was held
today, while any other GOP candidate would beat the incumbent by 10 points, 48%
to 38%.
See the Post Peanut Gallery here
The poll had a 4%
margin of error.
After the Georgia
speech, Trump was scheduled to head to North Carolina to campaign at that
state’s annual Republican convention.
ATTACHMENT THIRTY
ONE – From
From WRBL, Columbus Georgia
COLUMBUS, Ga.
(WRBL)— Two days after former president Donald Trump was indicted with
federal charges, he flew into Columbus to speak to delegates and
supporters from across the state of Georgia.
Several hours before
his speech, leaders from local and state levels of the NAACP spoke out against
Donald Trump’s appearance in the Fountain City.
“On behalf of the
3.3 million black people and all of the people of color in this state, we have
one message for Donald Trump. Get out of Georgia,” Georgia State NAACP
President Gerald Griggs said.
The 37-count
indictment accuses the former president, and current presidential candidate, of
mishandling classified documents. Some of which were marked ‘top secret,’ with
information relating to nuclear weapons and military planning.
“We speak up on
behalf of people of color around this state who believe that is important, that
people have good moral values, that individuals abide by the law, that
individuals do not incite violence, that individuals do not keep sensitive
government documents in bathrooms,” Griggs said.
Members of the
local, state, and national board of the NAACP joined together on the steps of
the Government Center just hours ahead of Trump’s speech, condemning city
leaders for allowing the former president to address Columbus, and the state of
Georgia.
“Let’s be clear we
are not talking politics. We are talking about character. By allowing Trump an
individual under indictment with questionable character to speak at a community
event sends a message that the community tolerates and even condones unhealthy
behaviors and unethical actions,” Columbus NAACP President Wane Hailes said.
“We have to stand strong and stand up and say for our African-American
community, we are 48% of this community. So, we are saying that this is not
right and that we do not condone his behavior or the fact that he’s coming to
our community.”
The NAACP believes
by allowing the former president to speak freely, city leaders are placing
economic benefits above morality and ethics.
“Are we a city that
really wants to embrace persons who have a lack of character, a person who has
actually shown a lack of integrity, a person who is basically shown a lack of
honesty throughout this country?” President of the Interdenominational
Ministerial Alliance Rev. J. H. Flakes, III asked. “Is that what we truly want
to be associated with, Columbus?”
Trump plead not guilty
to 34 criminal counts of falsifying business records to conceal
a hush money payment to an adult entertainment star earlier this year.
“An individual that
has now suffered a civil verdict for sexual assault is not welcome in Georgia,”
Griggs said. “And an individual that potentially is a threat to our national
security is not welcome in Georgia.”
Now he is facing an
additional 37 federal criminal charges of mishandling classified documents
after he left office.
“Those are very
serious allegations,” Griggs said. “We should take a step back, allow the
criminal justice process to play itself out and not invite somebody on a
political podium to speak to the people of Georgia.”
While Trump has not
been convicted of any wrongdoing thus far, members still believe allowing his
presence will have lasting negative impacts in our community.
“We must stand up
and have the courage to bring this to the forefront, to raise the awareness so
that our children do not get the mixed message that it’s okay to incite
violence when we are reeling and rocking within our own city with crime,” Rev.
Flakes said.
Griggs says he
believes the Fulton County District Attorney will be speaking soon on the investigation into
Trump’s alleged efforts to undermine the presidential election in 2020.
Trump is the first
former president to be facing criminal charges in history.
ATTACHMENT THIRTY
TWO – From
the Columbus Ledger Enquirer
Marjorie Taylor
Greene and Georgia GOP convention goers sound off about Trump indictment BY
MARK RICE UPDATED JUNE 10, 2023 8:10 AM Trump indictment hot topic at GA GOP
convention in Columbus As the Georgia Republican Party 2023 State Convention
opened Friday in the Columbus Convention & Trade Center, the first speaker
set the scene. “We’re not living in normal times,” U.S. Rep. Marjorie Taylor
Greene told the delegates. “We’re not living in a just country run by a just
government. We’re living in very dangerous times.” That summarizes the
viewpoint the Ledger-Enquirer heard from a sampling of Georgia Republicans
attending the convention when they were asked about Trump. Here are highlights
from those interviews: As the Georgia Republican Party 2023 State Convention
opened Friday in the Columbus Convention & Trade Center, the first speaker
set the scene. “We’re not living in normal times,” U.S. Rep. Marjorie Taylor
Greene told the delegates. “We’re not living in a just country run by a just
government. We’re living in very dangerous times.” Greene was referring to the
federal indictment of former President Donald Trump, who leads polls among GOP
candidates for the 2024 election, compared to the FBI investigation of alleged
bribery scheme involving President Joe Biden. U.S. Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene,
R-GA., speaks Friday afternoon at the Georgia GOP state convention in Columbus,
Georgia. 06/09/2023 Mike Haskey mhaskey@ledger-enquirer.com “I don’t care how
you feel about President Trump,” Greene said. “You need to understand that what
they’re doing to President Trump is exactly what they will do to any one of us
when they deem us a threat.” TOP VIDEOS Top Videos 00:27 01:30 First female
Muscogee GOP chairhelps host Georgia convention That summarizes the viewpoint
the Ledger-Enquirer heard from a sampling of Georgia Republicans attending the
convention when they were asked about Trump. Here are highlights from those
interviews: CLIFF RHODES, 45, PHARMACIST, BREMEN, GEORGIA Cliff Rhodes.
06/09/2023 Mike Haskey mhaskey@ledger-enquirer.com Reaction to the Trump indictment:
“I think it’s the wrong thing. I think a lot of people are waking up to the
fact that we have a two-tiered system of government. We’re starting to realize
that a lot of institutions in America like the DOJ, the FBI, CIA, IRS — I could
go on with the entire alphabet with our agencies and how they’ve been
weaponized towards conservatives. . . . Our government has been overthrown by
people that do not like us. A lot of people are saying it’s a Marxist
revolution, and I believe it.” How the Trump indictment will affect his
candidacy: “I think it will only help him. A lot of people are seeing that when
Trump speaks, he’s speaking the truth. … Especially with conservatives, he’s
had our best interests – and everybody’s best interests, including the radical
left. Look at his policies. Actions speak louder than words. … Look at his
actions instead of what he says. We had lower gas prices. We had a secure
border, which is a huge issue with Fentanyl and MS-13. You’ve got human sex
trafficking. It’s a mess.” What he wants to hear from Trump’s speech: “I think
it’s a witch hunt. I hope he does touch on that a little bit. … I’d like for
him to go into some of his policies too because I think they’re really strong.”
PATRICIA KANI, 67, RETIRED FROM IT SERVICES, NEWNAN, GEORGIA Reaction to Trump
indictment: “When you can indict a former sitting president for nothing, things
have got to change, and you need somebody who’s going to fight, and Trump will
fight. … The documents that he declassified already, that every president
before him has had possession of, is that a crime? No, it isn’t.” Get unlimited
digital access Try 1 month for $1 CLAIM OFFER Why she continues to support
Trump: “Results. When he was president, he delivered results. … I loved his
foreign policy. He had China in their box. He had North Korea in their box. He
had Russia in their box. I love his tax cuts. I loved his trade deals. I loved
the way he stood up to NATO. I loved the way he was securing the border. I’m
trying to think of something he did that I didn’t like, and it hasn’t hit my
brain yet. The economy was great. I mean, what’s to complain about? I don’t
care about his personality. I care about results, and Trump delivered.” KARON
FICKEY, 66, RETIRED HIGH SCHOOL PSYCHOLOGY TEACHER, RABUN COUNTY, GEORGIA Karon
Fickey. 06/09/2023 Mike Haskey mhaskey@ledger-enquirer.com How the Trump
indictment affects her opinion about him: “I still feel the same about him. I
feel like he’s been treated unfairly. I’m not a Trumper necessarily, but it’s
so obvious that the system is treating him extremely – there’s a double
standard. … When you have a sitting president right now that has done the exact
same thing, and yet he is excused, excused, excused. It is like a witch hunt.”
Her concerns about Trump: “If he does win the nomination, we all need to be
behind him 100%. Don’t allow someone’s disdain or dislike for Trump be more
important than your love for this country. … I think his personality turns
people off, a little brash.” Why she might support another candidate: “I think
there’s some really good people running I don’t know that (Trump) will be able
to unite the Republican Party. That’s my biggest concern. . . . Tim Scott’s
excellent, Ron DeSantis. I want to see who’s out there.” JONATHAN LEDWELL, 43,
WORKS FOR BOILER TUBE MANUFACTURER, CHATOOGA COUNTY, GEORGIA Reaction to Trump
indictment: “It’s all a hoax. Look at it from the beginning. They tried to jam
him up on everything. So far it’s all turned out to be false. They just keep
jamming him. They don’t want him to run again.” Why he thinks that: “Because
he’s not the establishment. He don’t play by the rules. He don’t go along. He’s
not part of the bird. Right wing, left wing -- same bird. He’s not with it.”
Impact of Trump indictment: “I’m going to vote for Trump. … Anything the news
comes out with ain’t going to change my mind because I don’t believe nothing
that’s on the news anyway.” What he likes about Trump: “Let’s start with the
gas prices. Let’s start with the grocery prices. When he was in there, you can
go on down the line. Our country was doing real good. My bank account looked
pretty good, and I wasn’t make as much money then as I’m making now, and my
bank account is shorter because my grocery bill is higher and my gas bill is
higher.” Today’s top headlines Sign up for the Afternoon Update and get the
day’s biggest stories in your inbox. SIGN UP This site is protected by
reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply. On biggest
mistake Trump has made: “He let Fauci talk him into shutting our country down
during COVID. They used that as a weapon against us. It affected our economy. …
Don’t force me to do anything. I’m an American.” JIMMY FISHER, 84, DAHLONEGA,
GEORGIA Jimmy Fisher Mike Haskey mhaskey@ledger-enquirer.com Why he supports
Trump: “There’s nobody else that can do what he can do. Our country is in bad
shape right now.” Reaction to Trump indictment: “It’s fake. … He is so
innocent, and they hate him for it.” What he wants to hear from Trump’s speech:
“Just be honest. … Don’t say anything you can’t do. If he wants to win, he will
win. … He’s become a Christian, but he won’t admit it now or tell people about
it because they’ll put him down; they’ll kill him. All the Christians are being
killed today.” DONNA EVATT, 57, SEMI-RETIRED FROM HUSBAND’S HVAC COMPANY,
ROSSVILLE, GEORGIA Why she supports Trump: “He made people realize that we had
the power. It’s not just the elites up in Washington. … Don’t sugarcoat it.
Don’t beat around the bush. Just tell me the truth. That’s pretty much what he
does.” Reaction to the Trump indictment: “The indictment shows me that he
scares them because the indictment came down the same day there’s proof that
there’s Biden was taking bribes from Burisma (Ukranian natural gas firm). It’s
just unprecedented that they would attack a political opponent like that. It’s
very sad.” This story was originally published June 9, 2023, 5:38 PM.
Read more at:
https://www.ledger-enquirer.com/news/politics-government/article276270541.html#storylink=cpy
SUNDAY’S MEAN (and sometimes
meaningful) TWEETS and TALK SHOW CHATTER
The Week brought out Sen. Lindsey
Graham (R-SC) who called the indictment “overcharging” and said what the
Clintons had done was worse (citing Hunter Biden and Anthony Weiner). “You may hate his guts,” he told liberal
moderator (and Slick Willie factotum) George Stephanopolous, “but Donald Trump
is not a spy.”
And then Chris Coons, from President
Joe’s home state of Delaware, said that Trump “had nobody to blame but himself”
and then launched into a protracted listing of Biden’s virtues and
accomplishments.
ATTACHMENT the LAST – From Ballotpedia
The Whole f#@%ing
elephant herd... all the Donkeys in the stable... and a smattering of unpartied
participants.
Click here for
June 6 election results
Presidential
candidates, 2024
2024
Presidential Election |
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candidates • Electoral College in the 2024 presidential election • PredictIt markets • Presidential
debates • Timeline of announcements • Important dates • Presidential
election by state • Campaign
finance • Endorsements • Logos and slogans • Key
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National Convention, 2024 • Delegate
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Use the dropdown
menu below to read more about noteworthy candidates Submit |
Ballotpedia's
presidential election coverage |
The United States
will hold a presidential election on November 5, 2024. This will be the 60th
presidential election in United States history, and the first to be held after
the reallocation of electoral college votes following the 2020
redistricting cycle.[1]
As of June 2023, Ballotpedia
has identified three noteworthy Democratic presidential candidates and 10
noteworthy Republican candidates. We identify noteworthy primary candidates
based on previous or current officeholder status, previous presidential ballot
access, media coverage, and primary debate polling and fundraising thresholds.
To read more about our noteworthy candidate criteria, click here.
In addition to
noteworthy candidates, this page also provides the names of all candidates who
have filed with the Federal Election Commission and the names of politicians
and public figures discussed as potential presidential contenders in 2024 by
national media outlets.
Click the links
below to navigate to:
·
A timeline of presidential candidate announcements
·
Comparison of announcement timelines in previous cycles
·
Possible Democratic presidential candidates
·
Possible Republican presidential candidates
·
List of registered 2024 presidential candidates
Timeline
·
June 6, 2023: Former New Jersey Governor Chris Christie (R)
filed to run for president.[2]
·
June 5, 2023: Former U.S. Vice President Mike Pence (R) filed to run for president.[3]
·
May 24, 2023: Florida Governor Ron DeSantis (R) announced his candidacy.[4]
·
May 22, 2023: Senator Tim Scott (R-S.C.)
announced his candidacy.[5]
·
May 1, 2023: Virginia Governor Glenn Youngkin (R) said he did not plan
to declare a presidential candidacy in 2023.[6]
·
April 25, 2023: President Joe Biden (D)
announced his re-election campaign.[7]
Click here to view more events through November 2022
Notable declared candidates and
exploratory committees
See also: Defining noteworthy presidential candidates (2024), How
we order candidate lists
The following noteworthy candidates have filed to run
for president with the Federal
Election Commission (FEC) or announced exploratory
committees. Click here to view a full list of all candidates who
have filed with the FEC.
Democratic candidatesList of Democratic candidates
·
Joe Biden (D), incumbent president of the
United States, announced he would run for re-election on April 25, 2023.[7]
·
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (D),
a lawyer and author, announced he would run on April 5, 2023.[11]
·
Marianne Williamson (D),
2020 presidential candidate and author, announced she would run on February 23,
2023.[14]
Republican candidates
List of Republican candidates
·
Chris Christie (R),
former governor of New Jersey, filed to run for president on June 6, 2023.[2]
·
Ron
DeSantis (R), the governor of Florida, announced his candidacy
on May 24, 2023.[4]
·
Larry
Elder (R), a talk radio host and 2021 California gubernatorial candidate,
announced his candidacy on April 20, 2023.[8]
·
Nikki
Haley (R), former U.N. Ambassador and South Carolina Governor,
announced she would run on February 14, 2023.[16]
·
Asa
Hutchinson (R), former Arkansas Governor, announced he would
run on April 2, 2023.[12]
·
Mike
Pence (R), former vice president of the United States, filed to
run for president on June 5, 2023.[3]
·
Vivek
Ramaswamy (R), entrepreneur and political commentator,
announced his campaign on February 21, 2023.[15]
·
Tim
Scott (R), a United States senator from South Carolina,
announced his candidacy.[5]
@get?
·
Corey
Stapleton (R), former Montana Secretary of State, announced he
would run on November 11, 2022.[19]
·
Donald
Trump (R), former U.S. President, announced he would run on
November 15, 2022.[18]
Comparison of announcement timelines
in previous cycles
The chart below shows noteworthy presidential
campaign announcements in the odd years before the 2016, 2020, and 2024
presidential elections.
Possible Democratic presidential
candidates
As of June 2023, the following politicians and
public figures had been discussed in the media as potential candidates for the
2024 Democratic presidential nomination.
Democratic politicians
·
Stacey Abrams, former Georgia state
representative and 2022 gubernatorial candidate[20]
·
Eric Adams, mayor of New York City, New York[21]
·
Michael Bennet, U.S. senator from Colorado[22]
·
Andy Beshear, governor of Kentucky[20]
·
Cory Booker, U.S. senator from New Jersey[22]
·
Sherrod Brown, U.S. senator from Ohio[23]
·
Pete Buttigieg, U.S. Secretary of Transportation[22]
·
Hillary Clinton, 2016 presidential candidate[24]
·
Roy Cooper, governor of North Carolina[25]
·
Andrew Cuomo, former governor of New York[20]
·
Kamala Harris, vice president of the United
States[22]
·
Jay Inslee, governor of Washington[26]
·
Joe Kennedy, former U.S. representative from
Massachusetts[22]
·
Ro Khanna, U.S. representative from California[23]
·
Amy Klobuchar, U.S. senator from Minnesota[22]
·
Mitch Landrieu, former mayor of New Orleans[25]
·
Michelle Lujan
Grisham, governor of New Mexico[26]
·
Joe Manchin, U.S. senator from West Virginia[27]
·
Chris Murphy, U.S. senator from Connecticut[28]
·
Phil Murphy, governor of New Jersey[29]
·
Gavin Newsom, governor of California[20]
·
Alexandria
Ocasio-Cortez, U.S. representative from New York[20]
·
J.B. Pritzker, governor of Illinois[26]
·
Gina Raimondo, U.S. Secretary of Commerce[29]
·
Nina Turner, former Ohio state representative
and 2021 congressional candidate[30]
·
Elizabeth Warren,
U.S. senator from Massachusetts[25]
·
Gretchen Whitmer,
governor of Michigan[26]
Independent politicians
·
Bernie Sanders, U.S. senator from Vermont[31]
Democratic business executives and public figures
·
Joe Sanberg, entrepreneur and investor[30]
·
Oprah Winfrey, philanthropist and media executive[22]
·
Andrew Yang, entrepreneur and philanthropist[32]
·
Michelle Obama, former first lady of the
United States[33]
Possible Republican presidential
candidates
As of June 2023, the following politicians and
public figures had been discussed in the media as potential candidates for the
2024 Republican presidential nomination.
Republican politicians
·
Greg Abbott, governor of Texas[34]
·
Doug Burgum, governor of North Dakota[35]
·
Liz Cheney, former U.S. representative from
Wyoming[36]
·
Bob Corker, former U.S. senator from Tennessee[37]
·
Tom Cotton, U.S. senator from Arkansas[38]
·
Daniel Crenshaw, U.S. representative from
Texas[39]
·
Ted Cruz, U.S. senator from Texas[40]
·
Doug Ducey, former governor of Arizona[37]
·
Mike DeWine, governor of Ohio[26]
·
Joni Ernst, U.S. senator from Iowa[39]
·
Josh Hawley, U.S. senator from Missouri[20]
·
Adam Kinzinger, former U.S. representative
from Illinois[41]
·
Mike Lee, U.S. senator from Utah[34]
·
Kristi Noem, governor of South Dakota[42]
·
Rand Paul, U.S. senator from Kentucky[43]
·
Rick Perry, former governor of Texas and 2016
Republican presidential primary candidate[44]
·
Mitt Romney, U.S. senator from Utah[45]
·
Marco Rubio, U.S. senator from Florida[46]
·
Ben Sasse, former U.S. senator from Nebraska[34]
·
Rick Scott, U.S. senator from Florida[47]
·
Elise Stefanik, U.S. representative from New
York[39]
·
Glenn Youngkin, governor of Virginia[48][49]
Republican business executives and public figures
·
Tucker Carlson, Fox News anchor[50]
·
Candace Owens, conservative activist[39]
·
Donald Trump Jr.,
businessman and political adviser[20]
·
Ivanka Trump, businesswoman and political
adviser[38]
Did not run for the Republican nomination
·
Larry Hogan, former governor of Maryland[13]
·
Mike Pompeo, former secretary of state[9]
·
Chris Sununu, governor of New Hampshire[51]
@from ballotpedia
List of registered 2024 presidential
candidates
See also: List of registered 2024 presidential candidates
The following table lists candidates who filed
with the FEC to run for president. Some applicants used pseudonyms; candidate
names and party affiliations are written as they appeared on the FEC website on
the date that they initially filed with the FEC.[52][53]
This list was last updated on May 30, 2023. The list is sorted
alphabetically by first name. Scroll down in the table below to view the full list.
Candidates who have filed for the 2024
presidential election |
|
Candidate |
Party |
Aaron Avouris |
Libertarian Party |
Aaron Day |
Republican Party |
Aaron Grotta |
Nonpartisan |
Aaron M. He |
Democratic Party |
Aaron Taylor |
Nonpartisan |
A.C. Toulme |
One Earth Party |
Adam Charles Lewis |
Nonpartisan |
Adam Hennessey |
Independent |
Adam Hollick |
Green Party |
Adam McBride |
Independent |
Adam Michael Dunn |
Republican Party |
Adam Michael Hougland |
Republican Party |
Adam Nicholas Paul |
Independent |
Adam Ouariti |
Democratic Party |
Ade Oba Olukore |
American People's Freedom Party |
Ahmad Saide |
Nonpartisan |
Ajay Thaliath |
Democratic Party |
Alander Pulliam |
Independent |
Alan Huddleston |
Democratic Party |
Alan Spears |
Republican Party |
Albert Harshaw |
Republican Party |
Alec Jude Wilson |
Independent |
Alexander David Hooper |
Nonpartisan |
Alexander Joseph Sean
Heidenreich |
Independent |
Alexander Jule |
Nonpartisan |
Alex Barrella |
Independent |
Alexis Jean Cloute |
Nonpartisan |
Alice Yancy Teague |
Independent |
Alida Felton |
Democratic Party |
Amanda Dunavant |
Nonpartisan |
Amber Byers |
Independent |
Andreas Lerma |
Nonpartisan |
Andre Nero |
Independent |
Andrew Ashley |
Independent |
Andrew Heartdoc Chung |
Independent |
Andrew Joseph O'Donnell |
Unaffiliated |
Andrew Kantor |
Independent |
Andrew L. Everett |
Republican Party |
Andrew Robert Kwiatkowski |
Republican Party |
Andrew Smreker |
Independent |
Andrew Townsend |
Independent |
Angela Dwyer |
Independent |
Angela Glass |
Independent |
Angela Marie Walls-Windhauser |
Republican Party |
Angela Redovian |
Republican Party |
Angel Michael Crockford |
Republican Party |
Anita Belle |
Green Party |
Anna Marie Carter |
Nonpartisan |
Ann Yeager |
Nonpartisan |
Anthony Jason Hudson |
Republican Party |
Anthony Llanes |
Republican Party |
Anthony Primo Darpino |
Republican Party |
Antonio Gagnon |
Libertarian Party |
Antonio Marco Pantalo |
Democratic Party |
Antony Handal |
Unaffiliated |
Armando Perez-Serrato |
Democratic Party |
Arse Vincent Cysewski |
Democratic Party |
Arthur Van Houten |
Nonpartisan |
Asa Hutchinson |
Republican Party |
Ashaki Noni Nichols |
Nonpartisan |
Ashley Powell |
Democratic Party |
Audrey Conrad |
Republican Party |
Ava C. Solomon |
Republican Party |
Azeem Hussein |
Democratic Party |
Barak Zilberberg |
Republican Party |
Barbara Stone |
People's Party |
Beau Lindsey |
Libertarian Party |
Benjamin Garcia |
Democratic Party |
Benjamin Stewart |
Nonpartisan |
Bradley Scott Hartliep |
Republican Party |
Brandon Gonce |
Republican Party |
Brandon Hugh Parker |
Unaffiliated |
Brandon Jamal Shipman |
Nonpartisan |
Bret Popp |
Unaffiliated |
Brett Allen Dillon |
Independent |
Brian Cox |
Independent |
Brian Friend |
Republican Party |
Brian Jerral Wesson |
Republican Party |
Brian Korn |
Nonpartisan |
Brian Mannix |
Nonpartisan |
Brian Matthew Owen |
Democratic Party |
Brian Patrick Stack |
Republican Party |
Brittany A. Mckown |
Democratic Party |
Brittany Nichole Jones |
Unaffiliated |
Bruce Burbridge |
Independent |
Bruce John Kenneway |
Nonpartisan |
Bryan Daniel Procuk |
Nonpartisan |
Bryan James |
Democratic Party |
Byron K. Ross |
Republican Party |
Caleb James Guay |
Republican Party |
Caleb McKean |
Nonpartisan |
Carlos Antonio De Bourbon-Montenegro |
Independent |
Carmelo Pinnavaria |
Nonpartisan |
Carmine Marranzino |
Republican Party |
Carrie Mae Marcy |
Republican Party |
Carson Loveless |
Democratic Party |
Casey Hardison |
Other |
Chad Knight |
Independent |
Chad Lottenville |
Nonpartisan |
Chad S. Larkey |
Independent |
Chance Trahan |
Nonpartisan |
Charles Chun Pang |
Nonpartisan |
Charles Junior Hodge |
Independent |
Charles Moss |
Republican Party |
Charles Todd Sullivan |
Nonpartisan |
Chase Oliver |
Libertarian Party |
Cherunda Lynn Fox |
Republican Party |
Chez Mann |
Nonpartisan |
Chris Adam Valentine |
Nonpartisan |
Chris Merrill De La Torre |
Nonpartisan |
Christen Erika Johnson |
Unaffiliated |
Christian John DeMarco |
Nonpartisan |
Christina Greathouse |
Nonpartisan |
Christine Charyton |
Nonpartisan |
Christin Noel Powers |
Democratic Party |
Christopher Alan Selke |
American Independent Party |
Christopher Campbell |
Democratic Party |
Christopher Dennis Hull |
Unaffiliated |
Christopher Florquist |
Unaffiliated |
Christopher Garrity |
Nonpartisan |
Christopher Gillen |
American Independent Party |
Christopher Hansen |
Independent |
Christopher Johnson |
Independent |
Christopher J. Olkowski |
Republican Party |
Christopher Lee Dias |
Independent |
Christopher Pettenaro |
Republican Party |
Christopher Price Lytle |
Nonpartisan |
Christopher Robert Jones |
People Over Politics Party |
Christopher Robert Russell |
Republican Party |
Christopher Stried |
Independent |
Christopher Tillis |
Republican Party |
Chris Welton |
Republican Party |
Clayton Ressler |
Independent |
Clifford Griffin |
Independent |
Cody Hoover |
Republican Party |
Colton Hawk |
Independent |
Corey Stapleton |
Republican Party |
Craig Paxson |
Nonpartisan |
Crusificio Gambino |
Republican Party |
Dale Webb |
Republican Party |
Dana R. Bradley |
Unaffiliated |
Daniel Albert Ohlson |
Independent |
Daniel Behrman |
Unaffiliated |
Daniel Clark |
Independent |
Daniel Isler |
Independent |
Danielle Delouise Dixon |
Independent |
Daniel Louis Levine |
Nonpartisan |
Daniel Paul Francis |
Nonpartisan |
Daniel R. Schaller |
Republican Party |
Dan Knight |
Other |
Danny Ray Vasquez |
Nonpartisan |
Dantwan Samuel Watkins |
Democratic Party |
Darin Johnson |
Republican Party |
Darryl Cedric White |
Nonpartisan |
David Bardol |
Nonpartisan |
David Barnard |
Democratic Party |
David Bounds |
Independent |
David Cash |
Democratic Party |
David Dunlap |
Libertarian Party |
David Emerson |
Republican Party |
David Gibson |
American Independent
Conservative Party |
David Jon Sponheim |
Nonpartisan |
David Kay |
Nonpartisan |
David Klotzbuecher |
Independent |
David Lee Shoup |
Republican Party |
David Michael Darnell |
Independent |
David Murdock |
Peace and Freedom Party |
David Raphael |
Nonpartisan |
David Raphael Herz |
Republican Party |
David Reed DeSilva |
Libertarian Party |
David Terpening |
Republican Party |
David Tuxhorn |
Nonpartisan |
David Wayne Touchet |
Republican Party |
Dawn Wentworth |
Republican Party |
DC Jefferson |
Democratic Party |
Debbie Wilson |
Independence Party |
Debra Vanessa White |
Nonpartisan |
Dennis A. Diaz |
Independent |
Dennis Kevin Cox Jr. |
Nonpartisan |
Dennis Lory Lane |
Independent |
Dennis Mulins |
Conservative Party |
Dennis Torii Jr. |
Independent |
Dennis Vandusen-Torres |
Nonpartisan |
Deonna Dieter |
Republican Party |
Derek Chowen |
Republican Party |
Desmond Moore |
Republican Party |
Diana Chika |
Independent |
Donald Faulknor Jr. |
Republican Party |
Donald Frayer |
Republican Party |
Donald Mays Kjornes |
Republican Party |
Donald Trump |
Republican Party |
Donnis Griffin |
Independent |
Dorsey Porter |
Democratic Party |
Doug Jenkins |
Nonpartisan |
Douglas G. Hayward |
American Independent Party |
Dustin Arron Monroe |
Republican Party |
Dustin James Horst |
Independent |
Dustin James Mahurin |
Independent |
Dustin Rorex |
Democratic Party |
Dykeba Lecole Rogers |
Democratic Party |
Dylan Valenti |
Nonpartisan |
Dyron Marcus Wash |
American Independent Party |
Earl Davis |
Democratic Party |
Eduardo Uvalle |
Nonpartisan |
Edward Carlton Jewell Sr. |
Independent |
Edward Lee Brinkley |
Republican Party |
Edward Lee Nash |
Independent |
Efrain DeJesus |
Republican Party |
Eliud Resendez |
Other |
Emory Vaughn |
Independent |
Eric Atkinson |
Independent |
Eric Bolin |
Nonpartisan |
Eric Jatod Edmond |
American Independent
Conservative Party |
Eric Jon Boerner |
Republican Party |
Erick Cid |
Republican Party |
Eric Kryzenske |
Nonpartisan |
Erick Toks Ekundayo |
Independent |
Eric L. Mortimore |
Republican Party |
Eric Meiring |
Independent |
Eric Scott Cavanagh |
Republican Party |
Eric Walleck |
Republican Party |
Erik Leckner |
Democratic Party |
Ernest Deering |
Nonpartisan |
Ethan R. Richards |
Nonpartisan |
Ethan Witzling Hamby |
Democratic Party |
Eugene Hunt Jr. |
Republican Party |
Evette Rechelle Tippett |
Democratic Party |
Fareed Anderson |
Republican Party |
Felipe Rios |
Republican Party |
Flory Louis Seidel |
Republican Party |
Floyd Neal Petri |
Republican Party |
Francis Lorenz |
Nonpartisan |
Frank Castellucci III |
Nonpartisan |
Frank J. Lozada |
Democratic Party |
Franklin Deleno Rutherford III |
Nonpartisan |
Frederick Santiago |
Independence Party |
Frederick Taylor Patterson |
Independent |
Fuad Abdullahi |
American Independent Party |
Gary Davis |
Democratic Party |
Gary Lambert Jr. |
Nonpartisan |
Gavin Bonney |
Independent |
George Brucato |
Democratic Party |
George Wilson |
American Independent Party |
Georgia Juliette
Bartylla-Bernard |
Independent |
Gerald Defelice |
Republican Party |
Gerald John Jennings |
Republican Party |
Gerry Coleman |
Democratic Party |
Gibran Nicholas |
Democratic Party |
Glenda Jo Woodward |
Nonpartisan |
Glenn Scott Allistair Simpson |
Independent |
Glynndeavin von Fox |
Independent |
Gott Lally |
Independent |
Greg Litman Sembower |
Republican Party |
Gregory Litzenberg |
Independent |
Gregory Marcus Carter |
Independent |
Gregory Marquis Thomas |
Democratic Party |
Gregory Scott Van Huisen |
Republican Party |
Greg Walton |
Republican Party |
Halloran Leonard Yeah |
Nonpartisan |
Harold Demby |
Independence Party |
Harrison Reinbeck |
Republican Party |
Harvey Brown |
Nonpartisan |
Heather Alexandra Nunn |
Nonpartisan |
Heather Munoz |
Democratic Party |
Heath R. Gorney |
Nonpartisan |
Herbert Ezekiel Zeke Smyth |
Democratic Party |
Hope Dir |
American People's Freedom Party |
Howard Dotson |
Democratic Party |
Howard Russell Cohen |
Independent |
Howie Hawkins |
Other |
Hubert Sean Francisco |
Independent |
Hudson Theodore Zoller |
Democratic Party |
Hugo Aguilar |
Republican Party |
Hugo Valdez Garcia |
Libertarian Party |
Huhnkie Lee |
Independent |
Hung Huynh Chan |
Democratic Party |
Ian Netupsky |
Independent |
Insley Evans |
Nonpartisan |
Irina D'Amato |
Independent |
Isaiah Reid |
Democratic Party |
Islam Karam Mossaad |
Republican Party |
Ivory Patton |
Nonpartisan |
Jackie Knight |
Nonpartisan |
Jackie Tate |
Green Party |
Jackson Stewart |
Peace and Freedom Party |
Jack Sparks |
Republican Party |
Jacob Hornberger |
Libertarian Party |
Jacob Matthew Parker |
Independent |
Jacob Meiers |
Republican Party |
Jacob Stephen Levine |
Moderate Party |
Jacob Suarez |
Independent |
Jacob Taiwo Familoni |
Republican Party |
Jacob William McKenzie |
Republican Party |
Jade Velarde |
Nonpartisan |
Jaha Hughes |
Nonpartisan |
Jamall Ali Chestnut |
Republican Party |
James Altucher |
Nonpartisan |
James B. Bouton |
Republican Party |
James Bills |
Independent |
James Brandon Garretson |
Independent American Party |
James Earle Fudge |
Nonpartisan |
James Everett Aguilar |
Republican Party |
James Goodale |
Independent |
James J. Dunn |
Republican Party |
James Martinez |
Nonpartisan |
James Meroney |
Republican Party |
James Nixon |
Democratic Party |
James Orlando Ogle III |
Democratic Party |
James Paris Firmani |
Republican Party |
James Peterson |
Republican Party |
Janet Parker |
Nonpartisan |
Jaquan Curry |
Independent |
Jared Huffman |
Republican Party |
Jasen Lemar Edwards |
Nonpartisan |
Jasmine Sherman |
Nonpartisan |
Jason Alaniz |
American People's Freedom Party |
Jason Hershey |
Nonpartisan |
Jason J. Gambert |
Nonpartisan |
Jason John Juarez |
Nonpartisan |
Jason Michael Kidd |
Nonpartisan |
Jay P. Pridmore |
Republican Party |
Jease Gladden |
Concerned Citizens Party of
Connecticut |
Jeffory Heath |
Republican Party |
Jeff Paul |
Unaffiliated |
Jeffrey Magner |
Nonpartisan |
Jeffrey Wiebens |
Republican Party |
Jennifer Alameda |
Republican Party |
Jennifer Astello |
Democratic Party |
Jennifer Gillis |
Nonpartisan |
Jennifer Hidrogo |
Republican Party |
Jennifer Lee Ann Ney |
Democratic Party |
Jennifer McMurray |
Democratic Party |
Jeremiah Newman |
Republican Party |
Jeremy J. Kluesner |
Republican Party |
Jeremy Kelly |
Republican Party |
Jeremy Kinman |
Republican Party |
Jeremy Shane Bernheisel |
Independent |
Jerry Leon Carroll |
Nonpartisan |
Jesse Corson |
Independent |
Jesse Dwight Gladden |
Nonpartisan |
Jesse Streeter |
Republican Party |
Jessica Brown |
Republican Party |
Jesus B. Torres |
Republican Party |
Jesus Torres |
Republican Party |
Jim Alexander Norris |
Republican Party |
Jimmy Edward Harvey |
Nonpartisan |
Joanne Noto |
Independent |
Jodie Smithson |
Democratic Party |
Jody Daniel King |
Republican Party |
Joe Biden |
Democratic Party |
Joe D. Shepard |
Republican Party |
Joe Exotic |
Democratic Party |
JoeLarry Hunter |
Independent |
Joel Larson |
Republican Party |
Joe Schaufele |
Nonpartisan |
Johnathan Merkwan |
Communist Party |
John Brubaker |
Independent |
John Daly |
American Independent Party |
John Fischer |
Republican Party |
John Franklin Wadley |
Republican Party |
John Gabriel Dvorak |
Republican Party |
John Gagliardi |
Democratic Party |
John Gwin Jr. |
Independent |
John Keehner |
Independent |
John McGlover |
Independent |
John Philip Lograsso |
Nonpartisan |
John Roco |
Republican Party |
John Roy Brooks |
Independent |
John Schiess |
Republican Party |
John Washington III |
Democratic Party |
Jojo Camp |
Independent |
Jonathan Fitzpatrick |
Independent |
Jonathan Hardin |
Nonpartisan |
Jonathan Mitchell |
Republican Party |
Jonathan Rosen |
Republican Party |
Jonathan Thomas Bailey |
Nonpartisan |
Jonathan Tuan Tran |
Democratic Party |
Jonathan Wesberry |
Republican Party |
Jonathon Ramos |
Federalist Party |
Jon Castenada |
Independent |
Jon Edward Stasevich |
Independent |
Jon Stewart @him? |
Libertarian Party |
Joselito Santiago-Matias |
Republican Party |
Joseph Anthony Gervasio |
Republican Party |
Joseph Arthur Stetson |
Republican Party |
Joseph Collins |
Republican Party |
Joseph Foreman |
Independent |
Joseph Hoinski |
Republican Party |
Joseph Jay Manger |
Democratic Party |
Joseph Luis Gonzaga III |
Nonpartisan |
Joseph Martin |
Unaffiliated |
Joseph Zedan |
Independent |
Jose Santos Cortes |
Republican Party |
Joshua Aron Fritz |
Nonpartisan |
Joshua Chiartas |
Independent |
Joshua David Usera |
Other |
Joshua Gray |
Independent |
Joshua Rodriguez |
Libertarian Party |
Joshua R. Schmitz |
Republican Party |
Juan Rullan |
Nonpartisan |
Judah B. Wilson |
Unaffiliated |
Julian Bishop Lewis |
Independent |
Julie Jones |
Democratic Party |
Julie Meyer |
Republican Party |
Justin Byrd |
Republican Party |
Justin C. Robbins |
Republican Party |
Justin Don Phillips |
American Independent Party |
Justin Edward Hamilton |
Independent |
Justin Thompson |
Republican Party |
Kacey Nicole Samples |
Democratic Party |
Kandy Kaye Horn |
Republican Party |
Kanye Dewayne Wilkerson |
Democratic Party |
Karen Elaine Shafford |
Republican Party |
Katie Roedersheimer |
D.C. Statehood Green Party |
Keira Anne Walker |
Democratic Party |
Keith Charles Shaffer |
Republican Party |
Keith S. Jacobs |
Nonpartisan |
Keith Smith |
Democratic Party |
Kelan Farrell-Smith |
Democratic Party |
Kelvin Brewton |
Independent |
Kelvin Gerad Davis |
Independent |
Kerry Simmons |
Nonpartisan |
Kevin Alexander Davies |
Nonpartisan |
Kevin Babicz |
Libertarian Party |
Kevin Eugene St John |
Republican Party |
Kevin Gilroy |
Democratic Party |
Kevin Palmer Smith |
Independent |
Kevin Tucker |
Libertarian Party |
Kevin West |
Independent |
Khistina Dejean |
Independent |
Kristie Shaver |
Nonpartisan |
Kristopher Lee Davis |
Democratic Party |
Kurios I |
Independent |
Kurry John Seymour |
Republican Party |
Kwame Khary Boyd |
Republican Party |
Kyle Alexander Sherman |
Independent |
Kyle Kenley Kopitke |
Independent |
Kyle Kennedy |
Republican Party |
Lance Brookins |
Unaffiliated |
Lanormaya Williams |
People Over Politics Party |
La'Rasha Washington |
Independent |
Larry D. Azevedo |
Democratic Party |
Larry Elder |
Republican Party |
Larry Johnson |
Nonpartisan |
Larry Vanpool |
Nonpartisan |
Lars Mapstead |
Libertarian Party |
Lashondra Dionne Winters |
Nonpartisan |
Laurah Guillen |
Nonpartisan |
Lee Mercer Jr. |
Democratic Party |
Lee Rhodes |
Democratic Party |
Liam Sutman |
Republican Party |
Lincoln Chambers Adams |
Republican Party |
Lindsay Kelch |
Democratic Party |
Lisa Miel Matejka |
Independent |
Lonnie Wills |
Republican Party |
Loreal Richey |
Nonpartisan |
Loren Charles Janosky |
American Party |
Lori Ann Henriques |
Democratic Party |
Lucy Liao Master |
Republican Party |
Luis Jimenez |
Republican Party |
Malcolm Alexander-Neal |
U.S. Taxpayers Party |
Marc Rosenkrans |
People Over Politics Party |
Marcus Alexander Branch |
Democratic Party |
Marcus Eric Byrd |
Nonpartisan |
Marianne Williamson |
Democratic Party |
Mark Alan Eberwine |
Nonpartisan |
Mark Bamundo |
Unaffiliated |
Mark Charles Fitzgerald |
Independent |
Mark Duane Jacobs |
Republican Party |
Mark Grauwelman |
Republican Party |
Mark Robert Marcellini |
Nonpartisan |
Mark Stewart Greenstein |
Democratic Party |
Marlaina Whitney Gedes |
Nonpartisan |
Marte Cooksey |
Republican Party |
Martin Blake |
Independent |
Marty Errin Snider |
Nonpartisan |
Marty Moss |
Republican Party |
Mary Clement |
Democratic Party |
Mary Tadeshe |
Independent Conservative
Democratic Party |
Mary Villaverde Morse |
Republican Party |
Mason Vicent Cysewski |
Green Party |
Mathew Lee Tyler |
Independent |
Matt Guilland |
Unaffiliated |
Matthew Austin Imholte |
Nonpartisan |
Matthew Coe Buchanan |
Nonpartisan |
Matthew Dolan |
Independent |
Matthew D. Pinnavaia |
Nonpartisan |
Matthew Duane Rasey |
Republican Party |
Matthew Harding |
Independent |
Matthew Jackson |
Unaffiliated |
Matthew Joseph Murphy |
Republican Party |
Matthew Madsen |
Republican Party |
Matthew Walter Chandler |
Jewish/Christian National Party |
Mattie Joy Johnson |
Republican Party |
Mattie Preston |
Democratic Party |
Maximillian Hill |
Independence Party |
Melinda Daugherty |
Nonpartisan |
Melissa Biondi |
Libertarian Party |
Melissa Milhorn |
Independent |
Michael Alan Vivroux |
Republican Party |
Michael Anderson |
Nonpartisan |
Michael Banks |
Veterans Party of America Party |
Michael Bannon |
Republican Party |
Michael Bickelmeyer |
Republican Party |
Michael Busa |
Unaffiliated |
Michael Charles Stoll |
Republican Party |
Michael Clark |
American Independent Conservative
Party |
Michael Curtis |
Republican Party |
Michael David Anthony |
Independent |
Michael D'Ottavio |
Democratic Party |
Michael D. Swing |
Democratic Party |
Michael Edward Jorgensen |
Independent |
Michael Floyd |
Other |
Michael Gaul |
Conservative Party |
Michael Harbour |
Nonpartisan |
Michael Hood |
Independent |
Michael Jeffrey Ruoho |
Republican Party |
Michael Jenkins |
Nonpartisan |
Michael Landingham |
Democratic Party |
Michael Lemon |
Conservative Party |
Michael Matthew Gibbons |
Republican Party |
Michael Morini |
Nonpartisan |
Michael Palmer |
Republican Party |
Michael Robert Fusco |
Nonpartisan |
Michael Sigmon |
Progressive Party |
Michael Soetaert |
Democratic Party |
Michael Tillinghast |
Democratic Party |
Michael W. Barbine |
Nonpartisan |
Michael Zayas |
Independent |
Michele Lynn Jakubowski |
Republican Party |
Michelle A. Miser |
Independent |
Michelle Hudson Hale |
Democratic Party |
Miguel Rosales |
Nonpartisan |
Mike Ledbetter |
Republican Party |
Mike Martisko |
Other |
Mike Pence |
Republican Party |
Mike ter Maat |
Libertarian Party |
Mikey Lane |
Democratic Party |
Mitchell Ebata |
Nonpartisan |
Mohammad Kabir |
Other |
Monique Laurette Spalding |
Republican Party |
Morris Thompson |
Unaffiliated |
Mykal Anstrom |
Independent |
Nancy Elizabeth Rodriguez |
Democratic Party |
Naresh Vissa |
Freedom Party |
Natia Langston-Valenzuela |
Independent |
Nicholas Biller |
Nonpartisan |
Nicholas Gray |
Nonpartisan |
Nicholas Joseph Rains Anoai |
Republican Party |
Nicholas Lance |
Independent |
Nicholas Luppino |
Independent |
Nicholas Mantanona |
Other |
Nicholas Parham |
Independent |
Nicholas Samuel Gonzales |
Republican Party |
Nick Marks |
Nonpartisan |
Nicolae Bunea |
Democratic Party |
Nikki Haley |
Republican Party |
Nikolette Hastings |
Independent |
Nita Mildred Rice |
Democratic Party |
Obioku Bassey Obotette |
Republican Party |
Omar Jamil Boulos |
Nonpartisan |
Paij Boring |
Republican Party |
Pamela M. Pinkney Butts |
Other |
Pamela Rocker |
Independent American Party |
Patricia Nicklaus |
Republican Party |
Patrick Beck |
Nonpartisan |
Patrick Chapman |
Nonpartisan |
Patrick Dean Johnson |
Independence Party |
Patrick Henry Fourroux |
Republican Party |
Paul Alexander Bravo |
Republican Party |
Paul B. Collingwood |
Nonpartisan |
Paul Manion |
Independent |
Paul Matthew Brough |
Independence Party |
Paul Robert Miller |
Republican Party |
Pedro J. Velez |
Democratic Party |
Perry Johnson |
Republican Party |
Peter Quaglia |
Nonpartisan |
Peter Sharma |
Nonpartisan |
Phillip Drake |
Independent |
Phillip Emerson |
Independent |
President Boddie |
Independent |
Preston Tyler Struve |
Republican Party |
Princess Khadijah M. Pres
Jacob-Fambro |
Independent |
Quartterrio Morgan |
American People's Freedom Party |
Rachel Hannah Swift |
Republican Party |
Rafael Jones |
Republican Party |
Ralph Anthony Pelusi |
Republican Party |
Ralph Tingle |
Resource Party |
Ramon Navarro |
Nonpartisan |
Ramon William Tripp |
Nonpartisan |
Randall Wick |
Democratic Party |
Randy Gerber |
Republican Party |
Randy Toler |
Green Party |
Raoul Kennedy |
Nonpartisan |
Raymond Dude Wagner |
Libertarian Party |
Raymond Lynn Stahle |
Nonpartisan |
Rebecca Gail Abair |
Republican Party |
Regina D. DiSilvestro |
Independent |
Richard Blake Rogers |
Republican Party |
Richard C. Hoefer |
Republican Party |
Richard C. Mcsorley |
Republican Party |
Richard Curtiss |
Republican Party |
Richard Hale Nelson |
Democratic Party |
Richard James Casey |
Nonpartisan |
Richard John Walters |
Independent |
Richard Kale Fitzgerald |
Nonpartisan |
Richard Lee Matheson |
Nonpartisan |
Rico Cortez Dukes |
American Independent Party |
Riki Prado |
Democratic Party |
Robert Allen Weeks Jr. |
New Alliance Party |
Robert Chapman |
Nonpartisan |
Robert Cooke IV |
Green Party |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. |
Democratic Party |
Robert Francis Lungo |
Independent |
Robert Humphrey |
Independent |
Robert Ion Moldafsky |
Democratic Party |
Robert James Walker |
Communist Party |
Robert Lee |
Independent |
Robert Malone |
Republican Party |
Robert McMurrer |
Independence Party |
Robert Michael Duncan |
Republican Party |
Robert Sherwood |
Republican Party |
Robert Wells |
Independent |
Robert Wendell Smith |
Independent |
Robin Mitchell |
Independent |
Rocky Dean Crawford |
Nonpartisan |
Rodger Lee Roose |
Democratic Party |
Rod Mack |
Independent |
Rodney Lee Lammers |
Republican Party |
Rodolfo Pina Jr. |
Nonpartisan |
Roelin Lee Davis |
Nonpartisan |
Roger Lee Hughes |
Republican Party |
Roger Welton |
American Independent
Conservative Party |
Roland Kwadwo Dela Agorkle |
Democratic Party |
Rollan Roberts |
Republican Party |
Romero Awtro Crawford |
Independent |
Ronaliseya Renea Stoudemire |
Independent |
Ron DeSantis |
Republican Party |
Ron S. Bull |
Democratic Party |
Royce Marie Patton |
Nonpartisan |
Russell DeLeon |
Libertarian Party |
Ryan Binkley |
Republican Party |
Ryan David Novak |
Republican Party |
Ryan Kocak |
Nonpartisan |
Ryan McCarty |
Democratic Party |
Ryan P. Kirkpatrick |
Democratic Party |
Ryan Stephen Ehrenreich |
Republican Party |
Sae Hoon Park |
Democratic Party |
Sahmon Mustafa |
Democratic Party |
Saint Jermaine Endeley |
Democratic Party |
Sam Dependahl |
Unaffiliated |
Sammy Garret |
Independent |
Samuel B. Hoff |
Independent |
Samuel D'Amico |
Democratic Party |
Samuel Levi Hurt |
Republican Party |
Samuel Lyndell Powell |
Independent |
Saul Remi Hernandez |
Republican Party |
Saundra Lou Edgell |
Independent |
Scott Aiden Gardner |
Independent |
Scott Alan Stratman |
Republican Party |
Scott Allen Himrod |
Nonpartisan |
Scott Conroy Palmer |
Nonpartisan |
Scott Earnest Saunders |
American Independent
Conservative Party |
Scott Milam Townsend |
Republican Party |
Scott Preston Schafer |
Republican Party |
Scott Wayne Nelson |
Independent |
Sean McGuire |
Democratic Party |
Sebastian Stewart |
Republican Party |
Serrice Holman |
Republican Party |
Seth Stewart |
Democratic Party |
Sexy Vegan |
Nonpartisan |
Seymour Art Lee |
Libertarian Party |
Shabadjot Bharara |
Democratic Party |
Sharon E. Brooks |
Independent |
Shaun Savage |
Republican Party |
Shawna Lyn Mccallister |
Republican Party |
Shawn Asberry |
Republican Party |
Shayne Matthew Robinson |
Nonpartisan |
Shear'Ree Shear'Ree |
Independent |
Sheila Robinson |
Independent |
Shelley Faye Holy |
Republican Party |
Shiloh Shiloh |
American Independent Party |
Shinae Ahn |
Democratic Party |
Shiva Ayyadurai |
Independent |
Shmuel Goldstein |
Republican Party |
Shontrell Johnson |
Republican Party |
Simone Dickson |
Nonpartisan |
Skyles Fitzgerald McAuley |
Democratic Party |
Sorinne Ardeleanu |
Independent |
Spencer Brandkamp |
Nonpartisan |
Stanley Clint Beatty |
Republican Party |
Stefan Lowe |
Republican Party |
Stephanie Noelle Denny |
Republican Party |
Stephen Alan Leon |
Democratic Party |
Stephen Bradley Comley Sr. |
Republican Party |
Stephen Glass |
Republican Party |
Steve Laffey |
Republican Party |
Steven Fleck |
Democratic Party |
Steven Hudson |
Democratic Socialists of America |
Steven Kross |
Republican Party |
Stuart Farber |
Democratic Party |
Susan Resch |
Republican Party |
Suzzanna V. Tanner |
Independent |
Sykema Powell |
Democratic Party |
Talalupe Fonzie Vavao |
Republican Party |
Tamerlane Bey |
Independence Party |
Tamiko Powell |
Independent |
Tanya Pearson |
Independent |
Tara Frost |
Nonpartisan |
Taylor Sullivan |
Unaffiliated |
Temperance Lance-Council |
Nonpartisan |
Terrance Abraham |
Independent |
Terrance James Harvey |
Republican Party |
Tevin Handford |
Liberal Party |
Thomas Daly |
Democratic Party |
Thomas Edward Burton |
Independent |
Thomas Erickson |
Nonpartisan |
Thomas Francis Winterbottom |
Democratic Party |
Thomas James Kidd |
Independent |
Thomas Sheppard |
Republican Party |
Tiffany Gayle Keller |
Democratic Party |
Tiffany Shawn Ford |
Independent |
Timothy Michael Villari |
Republican Party |
Timothy Neil Rushing |
Constitutional Party |
Timothy Paul Jackson Jr. |
American Independent
Conservative Party |
Timothy Rachal |
Republican Party |
Tim Scott |
Republican Party |
Tina Jayne Hahn |
Republican Party |
Tina Rose |
Independent |
TJ Elgin |
Independent |
TJ Wallace |
Republican Party |
Toby Martini |
Independent |
Todd J. Ashcraft |
Democratic Party |
Tommie Lee Allen IV |
Nonpartisan |
Tonya Michelle Jennings |
Nonpartisan |
Tony Jones |
Reform Party |
Tony Zorc |
Independent |
Traci Ann Sandrick |
Republican Party |
Travis Keith Lang |
Republican Party |
Trenita Walker |
Democratic Party |
Tyler Gray |
Green Party |
Tyrone Jamison |
Republican Party |
Valentine Vidal |
Democratic Party |
Valerie Coleman |
Republican Party |
Valma Kitt Paul |
Republican Party |
Vanderelmo James Acevedo Diaz |
Nonpartisan |
Van Kent |
Independent |
Victoria Dawn Zieg |
Democratic Party |
Vincent Cordova |
Independent |
Vincent Wallace |
American Independent
Conservative Party |
Vivek Ramaswamy |
Republican Party |
Walter Douglas Clapp |
Republican Party |
Washington Blask |
Republican Party |
Wayne J. Villines |
Democratic Party |
Wayne Pope |
Democratic Party |
Wenona Gardner |
Independent |
Wesley Todd Inselman |
Independent |
Whitney Medearis |
Democratic Party |
William Anderson Beauford |
Republican Party |
William Anthony Fera |
Communist Party |
William Cody Nalbach |
Nonpartisan |
William Farms |
Independent |
William Gailey |
Democratic Party |
William G. Jackson |
Independent |
William Lambert |
Nonpartisan |
William Robert Connors |
Nonpartisan |
William Wallace |
Independent |
Willie Carter |
Democratic Party |
Willita Bush-Boyd |
Independent |
Wilson Jack |
Nonpartisan |
Wisdom Zerit Teklay |
Nonpartisan |
Wyatt Endres |
Independent |
Zachary Krueger |
Nonpartisan |
Zachary Michael Burell |
Unaffiliated |
Zane Baize |
Unaffiliated |
See also
·
List of registered 2024 presidential candidates
Footnotes
1.
↑ 270 to Win, "Historical Presidential Elections," accessed
January 17, 2023
2.
↑ Jump up to:2.0 2.1 The New York Times, "Chris Christie Formally Enters ’24 Race, as He
Takes Square Aim at Trump," June 6, 2023
3.
↑ Jump up to:3.0 3.1 FEC,
"Statement of Candidacy - Mike Pence," June 5, 2023
4.
↑ Jump up to:4.0 4.1 Federal Election Commission, "Statement of Organization," accessed May 24,
2023
5.
↑ Jump up to:5.0 5.1 C-SPAN, "Sen. Tim Scott Announces Presidential
Campaign," May 22, 2023
6.
↑ Politico, "Glenn Youngkin says he’s not running for
president ‘this year’," May 1, 2023
7.
↑ Jump up to:7.0 7.1 YouTube, "Joe Biden Launches His Campaign For President:
Let's Finish the Job," April 25, 2023
8.
↑ Jump up to:8.0 8.1 Associated Press, "Larry Elder announces bid for 2024 Republican
presidential nomination," April 20, 2023
9.
↑ Jump up to:9.0 9.1 The Hill, "Pompeo won’t run for president in 2024,"
accessed April 14, 2023
10.
↑ Twitter, "Tim Scott on April 12, 2023," accessed April
12, 2023
11.
↑ Jump up to:11.0 11.1 CNN, "Robert F. Kennedy Jr. files paperwork to run for
president as a Democrat," April 5, 2023
12.
↑ Jump up to:12.0 12.1 Politico.com, "Asa Hutchinson announces presidential bid, says
Trump should withdraw from race," April 2, 2023
13.
↑ Jump up to:13.0 13.1 Washington Post, "Larry Hogan, former Maryland governor and Trump
critic, won’t run for president," March 5, 2023
14.
↑ Jump up to:14.0 14.1 The Hill, "Marianne Williamson confirms she will run for
president in 2024," February 23, 2023
15.
↑ Jump up to:15.0 15.1 Politico, "Vivek Ramaswamy announces he will run for
president," February 21, 2023
16.
↑ Jump up to:16.0 16.1 Twitter, "Nikki
Haley on February 14, 2023," accessed February 14, 2023
17.
↑ The Post and Courier, "It’s official: Nikki Haley running for president.
Formal announcement Feb. 15," January 31, 2023
18.
↑ Jump up to:18.0 18.1 The New York Times, "Trump, ignoring the midterms’ verdict on him,
announces a 2024 run, November 15, 2022"
19.
↑ Jump up to:19.0 19.1 CBS 17, "Former Montana Secretary of State Corey Stapleton
Says 'Pay It Forward', Announces Bid for U.S. President 2024," November
11, 2022
20.
↑ Jump up to:20.0 20.1 20.2 20.3 20.4 20.5 20.6
21.
↑ The Washington Times, "NYC Mayor Eric Adams exemplifies the surge of the
‘anti-woke’ Democrat," May 22, 2022
22.
↑ Jump up to:22.0 22.1 22.2 22.3 22.4 22.5 22.6 Axios, "2024 lookahead poll: Democrats see diverse
future," January 5, 2020
23.
↑ Jump up to:23.0 23.1 The Hill, "Five under-the-radar Democrats who could run for
president in 2024," June 27, 2022
24.
↑ The Hill, "Hillary 2024? Given the competition, she may be
the Dems' best hope," December 15, 2021
25.
↑ Jump up to:25.0 25.1 25.2 The Washington Post, "The top 10 non-Biden Democrats for president in
2024, ranked," December 19, 2021
26.
↑ Jump up to:26.0 26.1 26.2 26.3 26.4 Politico, "How the coronavirus is shaping the 2024
presidential race," April 2, 2020
27.
↑ Lootpress,
"Joe Manchin for President 2024?" May 19, 2022
28.
↑ CNN, "Ranking the 2024 Democratic field," June 20,
2022
29.
↑ Jump up to:29.0 29.1 CNN, "11 Democrats who could replace Joe Biden in
2024," December 13, 2021
30.
↑ Jump up to:30.0 30.1 Politico, "The left is already looking to 2024. Some want to
see a Biden primary challenge.," January 1, 2022
31.
↑ Washington Post, "Sanders ‘has not ruled out another run for
president’ if Biden doesn’t," April 20, 2022
32.
↑ Rolling Stone, "Andrew Yang Is Already Talking About Running for
President in 2024," February 7, 2020
33.
↑ Atlanta Daily World, "Kamala Harris, Michelle Obama Emerge As Top
Candidates For 2024 Election," November 30, 2021
34.
↑ Jump up to:34.0 34.1 34.2 Twitter, "Perry Bacon Jr.," October 16, 2020
35.
↑ CBS News, "North Dakota Republican Gov. Doug Burgum likely
to run for president," May 18, 2023
36.
↑
37.
↑ Jump up to:37.0 37.1 Politico, "Diminished Trump leaves a vacuum for 2024
hopefuls," January 15, 2021
38.
↑ Jump up to:38.0 38.1 CNN, "The fight to be Trump's political heir is
on," June 9, 2020
39.
↑ Jump up to:39.0 39.1 39.2 39.3 Tucson.com, "24 possible GOP presidential candidates in
2024," March 31, 2021
40.
↑ The Hill, "Republicans give 2024 tryouts at CPAC,"
February 29, 2020
41.
↑ Independent, "Anti-Trump Republicans lining up for 2024 shadow
primary," March 14, 2022
42.
↑ Politico, "The GOP’s choice in 2024: Trump Ultra, Trump Lite
or Trump Zero," February 25, 2021
43.
↑ Fox News, "2024 watch: CPAC attendees choose favorite
presidential candidate as Trump, DeSantis remain popular," August 5, 2022
44.
↑ CNN, "Rick Perry teases possible presidential bid,
declines to support Trump campaign," May 15, 2023
45.
↑ Deseret News, "Perspective: Romney 2024 — The Third Time’s A
Charm?" March 10, 2022
46.
↑ Politico, "Marco Rubio finds his next act," April 6,
2020
47.
↑ Politico, "‘The starting gun for 2024’: Florida senator
drops Iowa bomb on Biden," January 28, 2020
48.
↑ Youngkin
said he did not plan to declare a presidential campaign in 2023, but did not
rule out a declaration in 2024.
49.
↑ Fox News, "Youngkin 2024 speculation swirls after stunning
Virginia election victory," November 3, 2021
50.
↑ Politico, "Tucker Carlson 2024? The GOP is buzzing,"
July 2, 2020
51.
↑ Politico, "Sununu passes on presidential campaign,"
June 5, 2023
52.
↑ FEC, "Candidates for President," accessed June 14,
2021
53.
↑ Candidates
with apparent fraudulent, fictitious, or duplicative filings are not included.
Only the first few references on this page are
shown above. Click to show more.