the DON JONES INDEX…

 

 

GAINS POSTED in GREEN

LOSSES POSTED in RED

 

    11/6/23...     14,884.15

  10/30/23...     14,879.89

     6/27/13…    15,000.00

 

(THE DOW JONES INDEX: 10/30/23... 34,031.66; 10/30/23... 32,417.28; 6/27/13… 15,000.00)

 

LESSON for November 6th, 2023 – “IN THE JOB... 

 

 

The wheels of justice ground... and not, per usual, grinding the proletariat beneath the vehicles of privilege – Hollywood may be holding out but the largest strike to date, the United Autoworkers’ jihad against Detroit, ended in settlements with the three American giants on terms that most view as favorable to the workers.

If you want to understand why the United Auto Workers union has evidently won its strikes against Detroit’s Big Three, it helps to return to the work of a 20th-century economist named Richard Lester, advised David Leonhardt of the New York Times.

Lester, a longtime Princeton professor, coined a phrase to describe wage negotiations between an employer and a worker: the “range of indeterminacy.” It captures the fact that wages are not a reflection simply of market forces, like a worker’s productivity or a company’s profits. In the real world, similar workers often earn different wages... (c)ompanies employ many workers, and losing one of them is usually manageable. For most workers, by contrast, quitting over a pay dispute can create financial hardship.”

Over the past week, the Big Three — General Motors, Ford and Stellantis (which owns Chrysler) — have each agreed to wage increases that workers, Leonhardt points out, “ surely could not have received by asking nicely..”  (NYT, Attachment Two)

After adjusting for inflation, many workers seem set to receive roughly a 10 percent raise over the next four and a half years. By 2028, when the contract expires, many workers will make between $30 an hour and $42 an hour, or between $60,000 and $84,000 a year for full-time work.

“The pay increases are the largest that autoworkers have received in decades,”

Biden had multiple conversations with the automakers and Fain before the Sept. 15 strike deadline. When it became clear that a targeted strike would occur at a select number of plants, according to the Associated Press (November 4th, Attachment Three), “Biden had multiple conversations with the automakers and Fain before the Sept. 15 strike deadline. When it became clear that a targeted strike would occur at a select number of plants,” Biden showed his support for the UAW. He issued a statement that borrowed UAW language and said that Gene Sperling, the White House liaison for the strike talks and acting Labor Secretary Julie Su would go to Michigan to help with talks.

But, according to AP reporters Josh Boak and Joey Cappelletti, the UAW “did not want administration officials to come during the first week of the strike, Sperling said, because of the message it might send about the status of negotiations. By that point, there was enough trust that the misunderstanding did little from the White House perspective to hurt the relationship. Sperling and Su met twice in-person that next week with the negotiators.”

Biden’s Sept. 26 visit to a Michigan picket line — a presidential first — garnered praise from Fain, “but little else,” the AP reported. Fain said that Biden “has chosen to stand up with workers” and added that “we know the president will do right by the working class and when we do right by the working class.”

Still, President Joe has to be given some credit for going to Detroit, as opposed to Hollywood where, reported CBS (Attachment Four, Novenber 3rd), the Screen Actors’ Guild described its TV/Theatrical Negotiating Committee as being on "standby" Thursday awaiting a response from the Alliance of Motion Picture and Television Producers, which represents the studios.

The major sticking point remains that the union is “seeking to place limitations on the use of AI to re-create actors' likenesses and performances, while the AMPTP has advocated for informed consent and fair pay in situations where performers are digitally replicated, according to the Los Angeles Times.”

CBS also pointed out that “unless a deal is reached this week to end the strike which has reached 113 days, the longest in history, it will be impossible for the broadcasters to salvage half a season of scripted television, according to the entertainment trade newspaper Variety.”

Here, the cracks are within the union as activists accuse each other of ratting and scabbing under the complicated arrangement between SAG and “independent” companies and the liberal HuffPost (Attachment Five) reported that the infighting had reached its nadir when "Abbott Elementary" and "The Parent Trap" star Lisa Ann Walter had “some choice words for Megan Fox after she went against SAG-AFTRA guidance and wore a "Kill Bill" Halloween costume.”

With the srike rolling and lolling along, the union announced its Halloween guidelines. “In essence, it recommended that members refrain from dressing as specific characters from struck studios (i.e. most TV shows and movies). And when Fox took to Instagram this weekend to show off her Gogo Yubari costume, Walter, who is a member of the SAG-AFTRA negotiating committee, took to Twitter to sarcastically write, "What a rebel. Keep posturing for stupid shit, pretty lady."

"Meanwhile we’ll be working 10 hours a day — unpaid — to get basic contract earners a fair deal," she continued, adding, "PS the post responded members questions. No one cares about kids’ costumes. Just high pros at fancy parties. Like Megan."

Meoww!

The spat was mocked by some, such as Ryan Reynolds, who tweeted, "I look forward to screaming ‘scab’ at my 8-year-old all night. She’s not in the union, but she needs to learn."

"But sure — shit on (union rules and regulations) over nonsense. This goes for Ryan Reynolds, too," Walter spat back, admitting that it was "dumb" for SAG-AFTRA to have posted its Halloween guidelines as they were, and added, "It was only meant for grownups who would get photographed by the press to not promote struck work."

In a serious message to union members on Friday night, reported the Hollywood Reporter (Attachment Six), “the SAG-AFTRA negotiating committee added that it would be meeting Saturday morning to prepare for discussions” with the producers’ lobby AMPTP that afternoon.

 “The negotiating committee will be meeting saturday morning to prepare for across the table talks with the amptp in the afternoon,” the union said in its message to members. (variety, attachment seven)

After a week of “cautious optimism,” the latest developments suggest that a deal could be close. The agreements with the directors guild of america and the writers guild of america were finalized on a saturday in june and a sunday in september, respectively.

In an instagram message on friday, union president fran drescher said she hoped the studios’ response would “seal the deal.”

“let’s hope the amptp ceo’s resurface with a seal the deal counter!,” she wrote.

 

The UAW, contrastingly, played down the drama and split the opposition – first to settle was the venerable Ford Motor Company.  On the Day of the Dead (November second, Attachment Nine), the AP reported that UASW members had voted 81% in favor of the four year-and-eight month deal, according to Facebook postings by local members on Thursday.

Two union officials confirmed the accuracy of the percentage Thursday. Neither wanted to be identified because the vote totals had not been made public.

 

 

With Ford in their pocket, the Union then turned to its Number Two... sealing the deal with Stellantis (as reported by the Detroit Free Press, Attachment Ten) during a Facebook Live session Thursday night as the fate of the deal shifts to union members for voting.

UAW President Fain said the Stellantis agreement represents a major win for workers at the automaker, which owns the Jeep, Ram, Chrysler, Dodge and Fiat brands/

It also brings a midsize truck to the idled Belvidere Assembly Plant in Illinois, and the addition of a battery plant and "megahub" for parts distribution in Belvidere. The deal promises $19 billion in investments by the end of the agreement.

'We squeezed every dime possible' out of Stellantis, Fain gloated.

With two down and one to go, “General Motors (GM.N) and the United Auto Workers (UAW) struck a tentative deal on Monday, ending the union's unprecedented six-week campaign of coordinated strikes that won record pay increases for workers at the Detroit Three automakers.”  (Reuters, Attachment Twelve)

Workers having begun their strikes with targeted walkouts at all three automakers that escalated during a six-week period in an effort to pressure the companies into a deal. GM was the last company to settle early Sunday morning.

Repurposing his post-Stellantis boast, Fain said "We wholeheartedly believe our strike squeezed every last dime out of General Motors," UAW President Shawn Fain said in a video address. "They underestimated us. They underestimated you."

Like the deals at Ford and Stellantis, the tentative agreement at GM would provide 25% wage hikes over four and a half years, as well as cost-of-living adjustments.  (Azioa, Attachment Thirteen)

With COLA, the top wage is estimated to rise to over $42 an hour by 2028.

It also eliminates a despised two-tiered wage scale for newer hires, provides permanent jobs for temp workers and boosts retirement income, including 401(k) contributions.

“Like the other carmakers, GM agreed to provide a path for workers at electric vehicle battery plants to earn the same high wages under the national bargaining agreement that other UAW members earn.”

There will also be money for GM retirees, the UAW statement said. "Many thought GM would never put more money on the table for their hundreds of thousands of retirees. In this agreement, however, GM has agreed to make five payments of $500 to current retirees and surviving spouses, the first such payments in over 15 years."

“The pact includes 25% pay increases over the terms of the agreement. The raises and benefits such as cost-of-living adjustments cumulatively raise the top wage to more than $42 an hour, including an increase of 70% for starting wages to over $30 an hour, the union said. That increase would be at least two percentage points higher than the Ford and Stellantis deals,” reported CNBC (Attachment Fourteen).

A GM spokesman confirmed the tentative agreement but declined to discuss specifics of the deal.

“GM is pleased to have reached a tentative agreement with the UAW that reflects the contributions of the team while enabling us to continue to invest in our future and provide good jobs in the U.S.,” GM CEO Mary Barra said in a statement. “We are looking forward to having everyone back to work across all of our operations, delivering great products for our customers, and winning as one team.” 

GM had previously told Axios that the strike was costing $200 million a week, “adding to the challenges it's already facing in its biggest strategic bets like electric vehicles and self-driving taxis.

“Meanwhile, Ford said the work stoppage cost the company about $1.3 billion in lost production.

Stellantis is expected to share the strike impact when it reports third-quarter results later this week.”

What's next: Axios reported that he tentative agreements still need to be ratified by UAW members at their respective companies, including 57,000 at Ford, 43,000 at Stellantis and 46,000 at GM. Ratification is likely, but not guaranteed.

The pay increases are the largest that autoworkers have received in decades… the raises are also a reminder that organized labor has an unmatched record in reducing economic inequality.

A large academic study, using Gallup surveys covering millions of workers over decades, found that unionized workers typically made 10 percent to 20 percent more than similar non-unionized workers.

"Terrified auto executives across the country are rushing to give their own employees raises in the hopes of fending off the UAW," Fain has said. "Toyota's future won't be determined in the boardrooms. It'll be determined on the plant floor."  (Reuters, Attachment Fifteen)

The UAW has tried and failed for years to organize nonunion U.S. auto factories, most of them built by Asian and European legacy automakers in southern U.S. states where so-called "right to work" labor laws make it optional for workers to pay union dues.

Other foreign automakers are reviewing recent auto sector wage hikes. Honda told Reuters it was evaluating the recent UAW deals with the Detroit Three automakers and would remain competitive.

Yet, this is the core of what those on strike aspire to. As historian Erik Baker details, Fain’s vision is ultimately about recapturing a sense that class-based organizing can make lasting change. That spirit will be essential as UAW thinks about how to organize the nonunion Tesla, a goal that’s critical to ensuring that EV-manufacturing can supply good jobs long into the future.

To be clear, unions sometimes do win pay increases so large that wages exceed a reasonable range and hobble an employer. (NYT, Attachment Two above)  Unions can also block necessary changes in a company’s operations. Such overreach happened in parts of the auto industry during the 1970s, contributing to Detroit’s decline. Today, auto executives warn of a similar risk. The unions counter that the recent raises make up for years of wage stagnation — and that Detroit’s executives have received even larger raises recently.”

“The production losses have likely cost the automakers billions of dollars. But the damage it’s done to the broader economy carries an even heftier price tag,” sontended CNN on Halloween (Attachment Sixteen).

Whether the costs will be passed on to consumers remains to be seen.  “You’d think people in the market for a new car would pay the price, by way of higher car prices, given all the added costs the Big Three will face if the tentative deals go into effect.

“But, according to CNN’s Chris Isidore, there’s a good chance cars won’t get more expensive because of all this.  Citing changes in the supply and demand rates, a preference to use “lower quality or less aesthetically appealing interiors, wheels or tires” and pressure from nonunion and foreign automakers, Isidore predicts that the Big Three will eat their labor cost increases and “see their profits decline one way or another.”

Next up for Fain and the UAW... drives to organize U.S. workers at those nonunion and foreign plants like Tesla, Toyota, Honda and BMW?

There is certainly a wind blowing as raises the head of the hounds, the people and sheeple... most of whom are anti-union based on perceptions of corruption or plain dog-envy... because strikes are popping up all over.

Now, former Labor Secretary Robert Reich predicted in the Guardian U.K. (November 1st, Attachment Seventeen) that this month’s contracts negotiated by the UAW, Hollywood writers, UPS workers, Kaiser Permanente healthcare workers and even university employees, among others, “providing significant pay increases and more job security,” will provoke a change in attitude among the low, minimum and sub-minimum wage earners across America.

“Most Americans are solidly behind the workers. Polls show that the public supported autoworkers over the companies by large margins.

“Confidence in big business is at its lowest point in decades while approval of labor unions is near its highest.”

Reich blames... or credits... this more favorable view of unions to a number of factors:: stresses caused by inflation and the plague, a rise in populist politics ranging from Bernie Sanders on the left to Donald Trump on the right but, principally, the union victories that have “animated a virtuous cycle – encouraging more workers to join unions and more unions to flex their muscles and demand wage hikes.

“And then there’s the tight post-pandemic labor market, in which consumers are spending like gangbusters, the economy is surging, and employers worry about getting and keeping the workers they need.”

This tightness has loosened somewhat over October, and Reich fears that Fed chair, Jerome Powell, and his colleagues “continue to believe – wrongly – that inflation is being pushed by wage increases rather than by corporate profits.

“If they succeed in slowing the economy to the point where workers lose whatever bargaining leverage they now have, it’s far from clear that populist politics or more vivid inequalities or a string of labor victories will be enough to put organized labor on the path to where it was four decades ago.”

Perhaps government will intervene in a more positive way, perhaps not.  Unionized and non-unionized workers are pressing on... teachers in Portland, Oregon are entering their second week’s walkout,

 

If not, then international pressure may also manifest.  A GUK article two days later cited the United Nations... blasting “Amazon, Walmart, DoorDash for ‘shameful’ wages and union-busting  (Attachment Eighteen) for paying such low wages “that they trap workers in poverty, forcing them to rely on government-assistance programs to survive.”

UN special rapporteur Olivier De Schutter has written to the three major US corporations and the US government, requesting responses to numerous allegations. They include a 2020 US Government Accountability Office report that found Amazon and Walmart were listed among the top 25 employers with workers relying on the supplemental nutrition assistance rogram (Snap), formerly known as food stamps, or Medicaid in nine states studied, with Walmart ranked first and Amazon ranked sixth.

De Schutter said that his major concerns were the US minimum wage, wage theft by employers, unpredictable yet inflexible working schedules, the plight of undocumented workers, the violation of union rights and automation.  The corporations aggressively denied his contentions.

Nonetheless, DeSchuttier claimed that wages in the United States “have really not been keeping up with the increased cost of living. In many countries, wages are systematically aligned with increases in the cost of living. This is not true in the US,” said De Schutter. “I was very surprised to see that workers with a high school diploma today make 2.7% less in real terms than they did in 1979, almost 50 years, which is really amazing and this is of course during a period where the productivity of workers has doubled.”

“The billionaire class,” Fain said recently, has “spent decades” convincing workers that “we are weak,” that “it’s futile to fight” and that workers “should be grateful for the scraps that they decide to give us.” Fain relentlessly argues that this strike is about defeating an idea, that what’s good for the wealthy is synonymous with what’s good for our country because it showers benefits on everyone else. (WashPost, Attachment Nineteen)

“The labor movement has been most successful when it embodies the larger aspirations and values of working people throughout society,” Damon Silvers, the former political director for the AFL-CIO, told me. He said Fain made the strike about “inequality, wage stagnation, the rich getting everything — the fundamental problem that has been growing in the U.S. economy for 50 years.”

 

it would be a mistake to assume that the executives are automatically correct that the wage increases are excessive. (from NYT, Attachment Two, above),  Wages make up less than 5 percent of the cost of many vehicles. And company executives in almost every industry often claim that wages are too high. They prefer it when wages are on the low end of the range of indeterminacy — partly because it leaves more money for the executives to take home.?

One might think that the working class... who, after all, comprise a majority of the American electorate... would regard this as their victory and enhance the working capital of UAW’s supporters on the job, in business and in Washington.

The AP, however, confirmed what most recent polls have augured... President Joe is falling further and further behind former President Trump.

The White House was determined to build trust with UAW President Shawn Fain and “look past his occasional slights of Biden.” That approach, which included Biden meeting with workers on the picket line in Michigan, helped to resolve the nearly 45-day set of strikes and produced significant pay raises for workers.

“But even as Biden’s sympathies publicly shifted toward union workers during the standoff, there are few signs that the UAW fully warmed to the Democratic president. Biden has yet to receive the union’s endorsement as he seeks reelection with the message that he has delivered for blue-collar workers.

“The UAW declined to talk about its relationship with the White House. No final decision on the endorsement is expected to come until after contracts with the automakers are finalized, which probably will happen later this month.”

The politics were “thorny” (AP,above) as the president has suffered from low ratings on his economic leadership. U.S. adults have largely overlooked the healthy 3.9% unemployment rate to focus instead on inflation, including the 20% jump in new vehicle prices since he became president.

Polls today showed Trump with a wide and widening lead in 2024.  The exception would be if he were convicted… a significant number of “purple” (or just plain disgusted voters) would hold their noses and re-elect President Joe should Ol’45 be governing from the Big House, not the White House.

 

Which leads us into next week’s Lesson… politics, economics and The Law, as being interpreted in several key court cases,

 

 

Our Lesson: October 30th through November 5th, 2023

 

Monday, October 30, 2023

Dow:  32,928.96

Mobs rule, inciting anti-Semitic and anti-Islamic violence worldwide.  Presidential spokesman John Kirby reports on Russian neo-Nazis storming the Dagestan airport looking for Jewish refugees (who made a bad choice of refuge) to kill.  Terror suspects hunted at Cornell as partisan students shout and march (but don’t kill yet)... an elderly landlord does, murdering a six year Muslim boy.

   On the battlefield, Israeli tanks rumble through Gaza, closing in on Gaza City while rockets continue killing civilians and Hamas beheads a hostage.  38 trucks of food and medicine cross the border at Rafah while a captured Israeli soldier is rescued after three weeks in Hamas’ tunnels.

   “Five Nights at Freddy’s” dethrones “Barbie” at the box office in the spirit of the season.  Coroners say Matthew Perry’s cause of death is “inconclusive” but Friends recall and his own video statements focus on at least 65 detoxes and confessions that he’d visit Open Houses to steal pills from the medicine cabinets.  Pop icons Josh Groban and Barry Manilow will hit Broadway while New Kids on the Block (no longer new, no longer kids) begin a revival tour.

 

 

Tuesday, October 31, 2023

Dow:  33,062.87

It’s Halloween – and in the aftermath of Maine’s gobbin’ ghoul Bob Card, authorities end the shelter in place laws so the funerals of his victims can begin.  And authorities in Lahaina release bodycam footage of the fires and rescues of 8/8.

  The Jewish Anti-defamation League reports a 400% increase in hate crimes and asks: “who will ride to our rescue.”  Virginia Governor and candidate-who-is-not-a-candidate Glenn Youngkin steps up and declares he will declare war on left wing college professors and gun control nuts.  (The next Republican debate is Wednesday, but Christ’s emissary Mike Pence won’t be onstage... he’s run out of money and dropped out.)

   The second crazy co-pilot meltdown in two weeks occurs as the perp threatens to shoot the pilot and crash the aeryoplane before being tackled and subdued by the rest of the crew and passengers.  Another fright night is averted when a “heavily armed man” is found dead at an amusement park in Colorado... police argue over whether he accidentally blew himself up, committed suicide or God intervened and struck him down.

 

Wednesday, November 1, 2023

Dow:  33,274.98

Halloween is over and now and to Hell with Thanksgiving... its time for Two Black Months of marching and Mariah Carey emerges from hibernation with another Christmas album.  Rememberers will remember all the weird costumes of the 2023 Joneses and celebrities are manifesting on mass, social and anti-social media.  Heidi Klum (a worm in 2022) dresses up as a peacock.  NBC is gratified.  On CBS, George Stephanopolous debuts his costume – eyeglasses.

   Back in the real world, FBi director Link... er, Chris... Wray says that the terrorists are coming and they will KILL YOU ALL!  An assassin targets the Jewish Senator Jacky Rosen (D-Nv) and, in the interest of fairness, brings up the anti-Islamic boy stabber.  By the way, he adds, “don’t panic.”

   Mother Nature is out for scalps too... a massive cold snap from the Canadian to Mexican border brings heavy snow to Chicago and record freezes in places that had record high only days ago.

   Speaker Johnson starts his regime off with a bang! legislating aid to Israel but nothing for Ukraine or for humanitarian aid to starving and dying Gaza civilians.  “I cannot believe the world is so ugly,” says a teenage girl.  Crusader Rabbit will pay for it by cutting IRS agents (which will make the fraudulent members of the donor class really, really happy). 

 

Thursday, November 2, 2023

Dow:  3

It’s the Day of the Dead... and planes full of dead snakes are departing Phoenix for various homebound destinations after the Rangers slaughter the Diamondbacks four games to one.  Indoors, college ballers in Indiana and elsewhere remember the famously competent (and angry) Coach Bobby Knight.

   Scary scares as other-directed construction workers plow through a gas main and incinerate homes in  upstate New York, injuring fifteen, while police remain baffled by ginormous warehouse fire in Reading, PA.  Health scares emerge and are put down for Drew Barrymore, Missy Elliott and Mary Lou Retton.

  Fresh off their acquittal of national embarrassment George Santos (“Thank you!” say grateful latenite comedians), even fellow Republicans are enraged as Sen. Tommy Tubervile (sic) blocks military promotions for heroes of multiple wars so as to fight abortion. 

  Under new speaker Johnson, the House approves the measure to aid Israel while stiffing Ukraine and Palestinian civilians... President Joe says he will veto it, but it’s likely to be deep-sixed by the Senate.

 

Friday, November 3, 2023

Dow:  34,031.66

It’s National Sandwich Day.  Biden travels to Maine to attend funerals and visit survivors of Mr. Card’s rampage (and maybe enjoy a little lobster salad grinder).

   SecState Blinkin begins his Fool’s Tour of the Mideast, stopping off in Israel where he gently suggests that Netanyahu declare a “humanitarian pause” in his bombing and invasion of Gaza City civilians in order to scoop up a few Hamas terrorists.  Bibi kicks him out, but Egypt allows 79 Americans across the Rafah station into sanctuary in Cairo.  Hundreds remain stuck in Gaza plus, of course, the Gazans.

   FBI Director Christopher Wray warns that peaceful protests in the U.S.A. give cover to terrorists and pro-Hamas demonstrator block traffic in, of all places, Durham N.C. (just up the road from Mayberry).  Then, the FBI raids the home of NYC Mayor Eric Adams’ fundraiser, alleging corruption.  (Think what you will, but Wray can’t be accused of partisanship.)

   Outrage grows among even quarrelsome Republicans as Sen. Tommy Tuberville (R-Al) continues to block military promotions to protest abortion policies.  Soldiers, sailors, veterans and committee chairs rise up and warn that Tubby is rendering our military leaderless and that the Messrs. Xi and Putin are watching us and looking for opportunities.  Tuberville says he’ll keep blocking the appointments and national security can go to Hell.

 

Saturday, November 4, 2023

Dow:  Closed

Evicted from Israel, Blinken hitchhikes to Jordan where he meets with leaders of five Arab states, all of whom give him hell from the other direction as he pleads for a “humanitarian pause” in the war (which he calls a “semantic substitute”) for a cease fire.  Hamas offers a counterproposal – hostages will be releaed if its fighters are exiled to Egypt.  America and Israel reject this... Egypt is not consulted.

   The bombing, shelling and ground invasion continues.  A Palestinian child says: “This is what a world without mercy looks like.”

   President Joe’s comfort crusade collapses when survivors and families of the victims whose funerals he’s been crashing demand that he do something about banning assault weapons.  He blames Republicans in Congress but is not believed, ducks and covers and runs away.

   Security geeks freek out when an Arkansas man drives his Toyota through the security gate of a nuclear plant, but is arrested before he can do what he came to do,  “There was something that was not right about this individual,” say police.

   At least the auto strikes are nearing their end and there’s even some good news on the economy... according to the Fed.  A jobs report even weaker than the 170K openings and unemployment rising to 3.9% means that they won’t raise any more interest rates for another month.  Investors love this – the Dow gains over a thousand points.  The unemployed and homeless... not so much.

 

Sunday, November 5, 2023

Dow: Closed

President Joe (by phone), SecState Blinken (in person) and assorted humanitarian lobbies try and fail to stop Israel’s attacks on civilians.  Doctors Without Borders call the war a “new low in unconscionable violence.”  ABC reporter Ian Pannell compares the destruction in Gaza City to Mosul during the Iraqi War.  Hamas contends that the shellings have already killed sixty hostages and that the death toll in Gaza is 9,400.  Blinken meets PA/PLO* leader Abbas, then heads to Baghdad, then Turkey while, in America, anti-Muslim and anti-Jewish protesters (most peaceful, some not) take to the global streets, accusing Blinken of having blood on his hands while Face the Nation’s Mahmoud al-Ghoul says the horror is driving Paltestinians to “desperation.”

   Republican candidates (but not Trump) head to Florida in advance of Wednesday’s debate.  Iowa Gov. Kim Reynolds enrages The Donald with surprise endorsement of Ron DeSantis.  The family Trump heads back to court for more testimony (above) and maybe jail for contempt?

   Sunday talksters include Rep. Steve Scalise (R-La), defending the House bill to fund arms to Israel financed by cutting more IRS agents to investigate billionaire tax cheats like Sam Bankman-Fried (above), but zilch to Ukraine or humanitarian aid while deputy National Security Agent Jon Finer opposes.  Gov. Glen Youngkin (R-Va) is coy about jumping into the Presidential race (a year from Tuesday).  ABC This Week trots out former GOP chair Reince Priebus who says that Trump’s crushing Biden in polls comes from angry Americans who want to give “a middle finger” to the status quo, while author Jonathan Karl believes Djonald UnHinged is becoming “increasingly detatched from reality.”

   In Cincinnati, someone guns down six children on the street, killing one.  Authorities have no suspects nor motive, but do not believe it as a terrorist attack (at least not a political one).

 

 

 *As a public relations gesture, the once formidable Palestinian Liberation Organization changed its name to the Palestinian Authority after being out-fringed by the fringier Hamas and Hezbollah.

   The weak jobs report was bad news to unemployed Don Joneses, but catnip to the Fed which kicked the can of more interest rate increases to December, just as the busy, busy Congress tackles the debt crisis with Crusader Johnson admitting that more can-kicking might be up nest.  This delighted investors and the Dow recovered most of what it lost over the gloomy occurrances of October.  Consequently, the Don slogged through another more or less even (up 4.26 points) index going into stormier weeks of economic and political volatility to come.

 ** (below)  Positive index – except for Arizonans.

 

 

THE DON JONES INDEX

 

CHART of CATEGORIES w/VALUE ADDED to EQUAL BASELINE of 15,000

(REFLECTING… approximately… DOW JONES INDEX of June 27, 2013)

 

See a further explanation of categories here

 

ECONOMIC INDICES (60%)

CATEGORY

VALUE

BASE

RESULTS

SCORE

OUR SOURCES and COMMENTS

 

INCOME

(24%)

6/17/13 & 1/1/22

LAST

CHANGE

NEXT

LAST WEEK

THIS WEEK

 

Wages (hrly. Per cap)

9%

1350 points

10/9/23

+0.62%

11/23

1,470.14

1,470.14

https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/wages   29.20 nc

 

Median Inc. (yearly)

4%

600

10/30/23

+0.03%

11/13/23

611.91

612.09

http://www.usdebtclock.org/   36,081 092

 

Unempl. (BLS – in mi)

4%

600

9/4/23

+2.56%

11/23

600.32

584.93

http://data.bls.gov/timeseries/LNS14000000   3.8 3.9

 

Official (DC – in mi)

2%

300

10/30/23

 +0.20%

11/13/23

248.96

248.38

http://www.usdebtclock.org/      6,406 419

 

Unofficl. (DC – in mi)

2%

300

10/30/23

 +0.41%

11/13/23

294.61

295.83

http://www.usdebtclock.org/      10.916 871

 

Workforce Particip.

   Number

   Percent

2%

300

10/30/23

 

+0.035%+0.012%

11/13/23

302.42

302.46

In 161,784 841 Out 99,479 474 Total: 262,263 315

http://www.usdebtclock.org/   61.697

 

WP %  (ycharts)*

1%

150

9/4/23

 -0.16%

11/23

151.67

151.43

https://ycharts.com/indicators/labor_force_participation_rate  62.80 .70

 

OUTGO

15%

 

 

Total Inflation

7%

1050

10/9/23

+0.4%

11/23

974.11

974.11

http://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm     +0.4

 

Food

2%

300

10/9/23

+0.2%

11/23

276.00

276.00

http://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm      -0.2

 

Gasoline

2%

300

10/9/23

+2.3%

11/23

221.96

221.96

http://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm     +2.3

 

Medical Costs

2%

300

10/9/23

+0.3%

11/23

296.97

296.97

http://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm     +0.3

 

Shelter

2%

300

10/9/23

+0.6%

11/23

270.82

270.82

http://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm     +0.6

 

WEALTH

6%

 

 

 

Dow Jones Index

2%

300

10/30/23

+4.98%

11/13/23

264.71

277.89

https://www.wsj.com/market-data/quotes/index/    32,417.28 4,031.66

 

Home (Sales)

(Valuation)

1%

1%

150

150

10/30/23

 -1.98%

 -3.14%

11/23

123.94

291.91

123.94

291.91

https://www.nar.realtor/research-and-statistics

Sales (M):  3.96  Valuations (K):  394.3

 

Debt (Personal)

2%

300

10/30/23

 +0.03%

11/13/23

271.21

271.13

http://www.usdebtclock.org/    74,675 696

 

NATIONAL

(10%)

 

 

Revenue (trilns.)

2%

300

10/30/23

 -0.09%

11/13/23

376.29

375.95

debtclock.org/       4,426 422

Expenditures (tr.)

2%

300

10/30/23

 +2.05%

11/13/23

327.01

333.70

debtclock.org/       6,285  159

National Debt tr.)

3%

450

10/30/23

 +0.07%

11/13/23

400.73

400.49

http://www.usdebtclock.org/    33,681 703

(The debt ceiling... now kicked forward to 1/1/25... had been 31.4.  Of late, there have been rumblings and mutterings from Congress, that it should be addressed sooner… like now?)

Aggregate Debt (tr.)

3%

450

10/30/23

+0.72%

11/13/23

388.43

385.62

http://www.usdebtclock.org/    102,910 3,055

 

 

 

 

GLOBAL

(5%)

 

Foreign Debt (tr.)

2%

300

10/30/23

 +0.064%

11/13/23

317.93

317.73

http://www.usdebtclock.org/   7,760 765

Exports (in billions)

1%

150

11/23

 +1.71% 

11/23

159.01

159.01

https://www.census.gov/foreign-trade/current/index.html  256.0

Imports (bl.)

1%

150

11/23

 +0.76%

11/23

174.24

174.24

https://www.census.gov/foreign-trade/current/index.html  314.3

 

Trade Deficit (bl.)

1%

150

1123

 +11.49% 

11/23

361.74

361.74

https://www.census.gov/foreign-trade/current/index.html    58.3

 

 

SOCIAL INDICES  (40%)

ACTS of MAN

12%

 

 

World Affairs

3%

450

10/9/23

+0.1%

11/13/23

450.29

450.74

Trickle down trickles of relief trucks cross Rafah into Gaza with tricks and treats of food and medicines (but no fuel); handfuls of foreign nationls allowed to cross out.  Washington worries what to do... why not put Senator and Egyptian spy Bob Menendez in charge?

War and terrorism

2%

300

10/30/23

-0.4%

11/13/23

288.51

287.36

Anti-Semitic mobs storm Russian airports in search of Jews to kill as both the Gaza and Ukraine wars rumble on like tanks through Gaza City.  The Jewish Defense League cites a 400% rise in US hate crimes as Cornell and Stanford students arrested for plotting to bomb kosher dining hall or otherwise kill Jews, and pro-Hamas mobs invade Congress (legally) to shout down DefSec Austin and SecState Blinken, sending him scurrying off to the Mideast for more abuse from all parties concerned.  FBI director Wray warns wave of wicked terroriss entering America via the southern border, but adds; “Don’t panic!”

Politics

3%

450

10/30/23

+0.1%

11/13/23

480.92

481.40

Off-year elections Tuesday feature abortion ballot measures and Governorships in Kentucky and Mississippi.  Voters say President Joe is too strong or too weak on gun control – he blames Congress.  Congress blames the voters and SCOTUS promises to decide the issue.  Several states seek to keep Donald Trump off the 2024 ballot, citing Civil War provisions of the 14th Amendent banning political campaigns by insurrectionists. 

Economics

3%

450

10/30/23

+0.1%

11/13/23

428.74

429.17

Economy adds only half as many new jobs in October as in September... causing the Fed to postpone rate hikes and the stock market to surge.  Thanksgiving meal foodies find turkey and raw cranberry prices down, canned sauce up.  Shutdown day creeps closer as Congressional partisans bicker... America is “on a collision course with reality,” warns Rep. Ken Buck (R-Co),

Crime

1%

150

10/30/23

+0.3%

11/13/23

247.25

245.51

Nasty nurse Heather Pressker arrested - murdering nineteen patients by injecting them with insulin.  Jersey janitor poisons food in school cafeteria.  Memphis cop rats out four colleagues for murdering traffic violater killed for DWB.  Funerals in Maine begin for Bob Card’s 18 shooting victims.

ACTS of GOD

(6%)

 

 

Environment/Weather

3%

450

10/30/23

+0.1%

11/13/23

398.20

398.60

Record summer heat turns to record winter cold as autumn disappears. Chicago and Denver snowed in.  But by the weekend, the East is warm again while heavy rain pelts Seattle.

Disasters

3%

450

10/30/23

nc

11/13/23

422.56

422.56

Nepal earthquakes kill hundreds.  Lahaina police release bodycam footage of Maui wildfires that killed 99.  Crazy co-pilot tries to shoot pilot, crash plane; send such incident in two weeks.  Comedian Colbert says New York deposed to only America’s third rattiest city.  New champ: Chicago

LIFESTYLE/JUSTICE INDEX

(15%)

 

 

Science, Tech, Educ.

4%

600

10/30/23

+0.1%

11/13/23

639.86

640.50

President Joe cracks down on “junk fees” and signs an Executive Order requiring Artificial Intelligence transparency as AI morphs old tapes into new Beatles’ song.  California grounds San Francisco crashtastic robotaxiss while Toyota recalls 1.8M Rav Fours that catch fire and a lawyer calls Tesla “driverless car” advertising false because the vehicles need “a driver.”

Equality (econ/social)

4%

600

10/30/23

+0.2%

11/13/23

634.27

635.54

Black female overcomes Tubervillee roadblock to join the National Security Council.  Mayor of Smith’s Station, AL exposed as trannie and commits suicide.

Health

4%

600

10/30/23

-0.1%

11/13/23

472.49

472.02

Doctors say cell phone use lowers male sperm counts.  FDA warns of toxic eyedrops and baby food and proposes ban on soda flavoured with BVOs (brominated vegetable oils).

Freedom and Justice

3%

450

10/30/23

nc

11/13/23

469.63

469.63

Lawyers argue whether Trump calling Chris Christie a “fat pig” violates the gag order terms of his civil suit as he migrates from the New York courtroom to Iowa, calling Sioux City Sioux Falls Melania says his golden showers weren’t true..  @ installs a golden toilet.

MISCELLANEOUS and TRANSIENT INDEX

(7%)

 

 

 

 

Cultural incidents

3%

450

10/30/23

 +0.4%**

11/13/23

507.55

509.58

Texas rattles Diamondbacks to win world series four games to one.  Ohio State upends Georgia in first college football bowl poll (conflicted Michigan 3rd, Florida State 4th).  NYC marathon draws 50K runners, 2M spectators, no mad bombers.   Tamirat Tolan of Ethiopia wins the men’s race, Kenya’s Helen Obin the women’s.  Celebrities and talking heads remember Matthew Perry.  Halloween is over and to Hell with Thanksgiving; Mariah Carey’s Christmas songs are out of hibernation.  (Cher tries to compete,)  Awards season rocks and rolls, inducting Missy Elliott, Sheryl Crow and Chaka Khan (see full list here) and CMAs on tap Wednesday.

   RIP: Indiana basketball coach Bobby Knight, soap star Tyler Christopher, astronaut Ken Mattingly,

Misc. incidents

4%

450

10/30/23

 +0.1%

11/13/23

487.18

487.67

Spooks shell out the swag on Halloween pet costumes... Spider Man and Barbie are the favorites (as for people, too).  Teenage techies apply AI to teenage concerns... i.e. creating pornography.  170 cocaine hippos escape El Chapo’s mansion and frolick in Colombian swamps while authorities debate sterilizing or exterminating them.  (Why not eat them?)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

The Don Jones Index for the week of October 30th through November 5th, 2023 was UP 4.26 points

 

The Don Jones Index is sponsored by the Coalition for a New Consensus: retired Congressman and Independent Presidential candidate Jack “Catfish” Parnell, Chairman; Brian Doohan, Administrator.  The CNC denies, emphatically, allegations that the organization, as well as any of its officers (including former Congressman Parnell, environmentalist/America-Firster Austin Tillerman and cosmetics CEO Rayna Finch) and references to Parnell’s works, “Entropy and Renaissance” and “The Coming Kill-Off” are fictitious or, at best, mere pawns in the web-serial “Black Helicopters” – and promise swift, effective legal action against parties promulgating this and/or other such slanders.

Comments, complaints, donations (especially SUPERPAC donations) always welcome at feedme@generisis.com or: speak@donjonesindex.com.

 

ATTACHMENT   From the New York Times 

By David Leonhardt

 

Good morning. We’re covering the autoworkers’ victories — as well as the invasion in Gaza, artificial intelligence and Halloween.

 

Moving up the range

 

If you want to understand why the United Auto Workers union has evidently won its strikes against Detroit’s Big Three, it helps to return to the work of a 20th-century economist named Richard Lester.

Lester, a longtime Princeton professor, coined a phrase to describe wage negotiations between an employer and a worker: the “range of indeterminacy.” It captures the fact that wages are not a reflection simply of market forces, like a worker’s productivity or a company’s profits. In the real world, similar workers often earn different wages. Their wages fall somewhere in Lester’s range of indeterminacy.

 

Why? Most workers don’t know exactly how valuable their contributions are and therefore what their true market wage should be.

Company executives typically don’t know either, but the executives do have more information — about how much money different workers make and how productive each is. Employers also have more leverage. Companies employ many workers, and losing one of them is usually manageable. For most workers, by contrast, quitting over a pay dispute can create financial hardship.

 

For these reasons, workers’ pay often settles at the low end of the range of indeterminacy. In the relationship between an employer and an individual employee, the employer has more power. But there is an important adjective in that previous sentence: individual.

When employees band together, they can reduce the power imbalance. They can share information with one another and exert some leverage of their own on the bargaining process. A business that can afford to lose one worker over a pay dispute may not be able to lose dozens.

 

Of course, there is a term for a group of workers who come together to increase their bargaining power: a labor union.

Is Tesla next?

 

Over the past week, the Big Three — General Motors, Ford and Stellantis (which owns Chrysler) — have each agreed to wage increases that workers surely could not have received by asking nicely. The G.M. deal, announced yesterday, was the last of the three.

After adjusting for inflation, many workers seem set to receive roughly a 10 percent raise over the next four and a half years. By 2028, when the contract expires, many workers will make between $30 an hour and $42 an hour, or between $60,000 and $84,000 a year for full-time work.

 

The pay increases are the largest that autoworkers have received in decades, my colleagues Neal Boudette and Jack Ewing explain. The raises are also a reminder that organized labor has an unmatched record in reducing economic inequality.

A large academic study, using Gallup surveys covering millions of workers over decades, found that unionized workers typically made 10 percent to 20 percent more than similar non-unionized workers. The extra pay generally does not harm economic growth, the economists found. It instead often comes out of executive salaries and business profits, reducing inequality. Unions alter the division of the economic pie more than the pie’s size.

 

Or to put the idea in Lester’s terms, unions shift wages out of the low end of the range of indeterminacy.

To be clear, unions sometimes do win pay increases so large that wages exceed a reasonable range and hobble an employer. Unions can also block necessary changes in a company’s operations. Such overreach happened in parts of the auto industry during the 1970s, contributing to Detroit’s decline. Today, auto executives warn of a similar risk. The unions counter that the recent raises make up for years of wage stagnation — and that Detroit’s executives have received even larger raises recently.

 

I don’t pretend to know whether these wage increases will look reasonable in hindsight. It will depend partly on whether Chrysler, Ford and G.M. make more appealing vehicles in the years ahead than they did in the 1970s.

But it would be a mistake to assume that the executives are automatically correct that the wage increases are excessive. Wages make up less than 5 percent of the cost of many vehicles. And company executives in almost every industry often claim that wages are too high. They prefer it when wages are on the low end of the range of indeterminacy — partly because it leaves more money for the executives to take home.

 

A hat tip: I learned about Lester’s work from Lawrence Katz, a leading labor economist today. You can read The Times’s 1998 obituary of Lester.

The U.A.W. leader Shawn Fain and President Biden.Evan Vucci/Associated Press

 

More on the deals

  • President Biden — who risked political capital by picketing with striking G.M. workers last month — called the deals “a testament to the power of unions.”
  • The agreements include commitments by the companies to expand or reopen Midwestern factories that employ unionized workers.
  • Shawn Fain, the president of the U.A.W., signaled that the union could soon begin drives to organize U.S. workers at Tesla, Toyota, Honda and BMW.
  • Three young labor activists — who never worked in an auto factory — helped the union become more media savvy, The Wall Street Journal reports.

 

 

ATTACHMENT THREE – From the Associated Press

During Strike Talks, Biden Worked To Build Ties To The UAW’s Leader. They Have Yet To Fully Pay Off

FILE - President Joe Biden joins striking United Auto Workers on the picket line, Sept. 26, 2023, in Van Buren Township, Mich. (AP Photo/Evan Vucci, File)

BY Josh Boak and Joey Cappelletti  Updated 10:31 AM EDT, November 4, 2023

 

WASHINGTON (AP) — President Joe Biden called the head of the United Auto Workers union to congratulate him this past week on getting a new contract with General Motors and to wish him a happy 55th birthday — a sign of how the relationship had evolved since their first get-to-know-you meeting in the Oval Office on July 19.

UAW President Shawn Fain launched the strike against GM, Ford and Chrysler-owner Stellantis with a willingness to force political leaders to choose between backing unions or corporations. Biden had long straddled this line. He proclaimed in speeches that unions built the middle class, but he also heralded his credentials as a former senator from the “corporate capital of the world,” also known as Delaware.

The White House was determined to build trust with Fain and look past his occasional slights of Biden. That approach, which included Biden meeting with workers on the picket line in Michigan, helped to resolve the nearly 45-day set of strikes and produced significant pay raises for workers.

But even as Biden’s sympathies publicly shifted toward union workers during the standoff, there are few signs that the UAW fully warmed to the Democratic president. Biden has yet to receive the union’s endorsement as he seeks reelection with the message that he has delivered for blue-collar workers.

The UAW declined to talk about its relationship with the White House. No final decision on the endorsement is expected to come until after contracts with the automakers are finalized, which probably will happen later this month.

The relationship between Fain and Biden could be crucial to the outcome of the 2024 election. More than 380,000 UAW members are scattered in states that include Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, places where narrow margins have decided the overall winner of the past two presidential contests.

Gene Sperling, the White House liaison for the strike talks, was in daily contact with executives at the UAW and the three automakers. Biden tasked the economic adviser who has served in three Democratic White Houses to develop a bond with the UAW but also preserve connections with the automakers that are helping to deliver on Biden’s electric vehicle agenda.

Sperling told The Associated Press that he followed a set of principles in communicating with all sides: “We’re not here to intervene. We’re not here to mediate. But we want to be in touch. We want to be helpful.”

As the weeks stretched on, though, Biden and his team did less straddling and publicly stepped ever closer to the union.

At one point, Sperling stressed to the automakers the UAW’s position that new contracts needed a built-in cost-of-living adjustment, so that wages could be adjusted for inflation. That adjustment became part of the tentative agreement, which for GM workers also includes a 30% pay bump through April 2028, when the contract would expire.

Biden staked out his position that the autoworkers had made sacrifices during the 2008 financial crisis to keep their employers afloat. Now that automakers were pulling in billions of dollars in profits, the president said, those same workers should share in the rewards.

The politics were thorny as the president has suffered from low ratings on his economic leadership. U.S. adults have largely overlooked the healthy 3.9% unemployment rate to focus instead on inflation, including the 20% jump in new vehicle prices since he became president.

But union households have also been a decisive constituency for Democrats. They represent only 16% of voters nationwide, but Biden won the group by a solid 56% in 2020, according to AP VoteCast, a national survey of the electorate.

While organized labor has overwhelmingly backed Biden, the UAW remains a key holdout. Fain has criticized Donald Trump, the front-runner for the Republican presidential nomination in 2024, yet in the weeks leading to the strike and afterward, the labor leader could be out of sync at times with Biden.

When Fain went to the White House on July 19 to meet with senior officials, Biden insisted on a 30-minute meeting in the Oval Office without aides, Sperling said.

But Labor Day showed cracks in relations between the union and the White House. Asked by reporters about prospects for a strike that had yet to be declared, Biden tried to play down the risk.

“I’m not worried about a strike until it happens,” Biden said on Sept. 4. ”I don’t think it’s going to happen.”

Fain responded to a separate group of reporters by suggesting that Biden was misguided: “He must know something we don’t know. Maybe the companies plan on walking in and giving us our demands on the night before. I don’t know, but he’s on the inside on something I don’t know about.”

Sperling said the president was trying to be supportive of the unions with his comment. When the president saw how his remarks were interpreted, he called Fain directly to clarify.

Biden had multiple conversations with the automakers and Fain before the Sept. 15 strike deadline. When it became clear that a targeted strike would occur at a select number of plants, Biden showed his support for the UAW. He issued a statement that borrowed UAW language and said that Sperling and acting Labor Secretary Julie Su would go to Michigan to help with talks.

But the UAW did not want administration officials to come during the first week of the strike, Sperling said, because of the message it might send about the status of negotiations. By that point, there was enough trust that the misunderstanding did little from the White House perspective to hurt the relationship. Sperling and Su met twice in-person that next week with the negotiators.

Yet Fain took umbrage at Biden publicly suggesting that the negotiations had broken down and that this had led to the strike.

“We agree with Joe Biden when he says ‘record profits mean record contracts.’ We don’t agree when he says negotiations have broken down,” Fain said in a statement.

UAW officials told Sperling that Fain really wanted Biden to visit the picket lines, not as a political event but as a show of support for workers. Biden liked the idea. After that invitation was accepted, Sperling relayed to the automakers that Biden would meet with striking workers. The companies were unhappy but it did not derail talks.

Biden’s Sept. 26 visit to a Michigan picket line — a presidential first — garnered praise from Fain, but little else. Fain said that Biden “has chosen to stand up with workers” and added that “we know the president will do right by the working class and when we do right by the working class.”

But the UAW president declined to endorse the president who had engaged in the historic outreach.

“We’ll just see how things proceed,” Fain told The Associated Press at the time. “That’s up not just to me. It’s up to our leadership and our membership. And we have our process we follow. So as I said we’ll do that when it’s time.”

Still, the White House saw itself as building trust with the UAW as the talks progressed. Ford reached a tentative deal on Oct. 25, followed by Stellantis on Oct. 28, and GM was on the verge of a deal.

Sperling, boarding an unrelated red-eye flight, texted GM CEO Mary Barra and a UAW official to message him in case there was an agreement while he was midair. As soon as a tentative agreement was in place, Barra told the gathered negotiators that she needed to text the White House.

___

 

ATTACHMENT FOUR – From CBS

UNION REPORTS NO PROGRESS ON EFFORTS TO END ACTORS' STRIKE

UPDATED ON: NOVEMBER 3, 2023 / 9:30 PM PDT / KCAL NEWS

The actors' union is awaiting a response Friday from the studios on their comprehensive counter-proposal and counter-proposal on artificial intelligence.

"Our team looks forward to continuing bargaining with the companies tomorrow," the Screen Actors Guild-American Federation of Television and Radio Artists said in a statement released Thursday night.

The union described its TV/Theatrical Negotiating Committee as being on "standby" Thursday awaiting a response from the Alliance of Motion Picture and Television Producers, which represents the studios.

The union is seeking to place limitations on the use of AI to re-create actors' likenesses and performances, while the AMPTP has advocated for informed consent and fair pay in situations where performers are digitally replicated, according to the Los Angeles Times.

The studios have warned that unless a deal is reached this week to end the strike which has reached 113 days, the longest in history, it will be impossible for the broadcasters to salvage half a season of scripted television, according to the entertainment trade newspaper Variety.

 

ATTACHMENT FIVE – From Huffpost

"ABBOTT ELEMENTARY" AND "THE PARENT TRAP" STAR LISA ANN WALTER HAD SOME CHOICE WORDS FOR MEGAN FOX AFTER SHE WENT AGAINST SAG-AFTRA GUIDANCE AND WORE A "KILL BILL" HALLOWEEN COSTUME.

 

Earlier this month, the actors' union — which is currently on strike — announced its Halloween guidelines. In essence, it recommended that members refrain from dressing as specific characters from struck studios (i.e. most TV shows and movies). It was a move that was mocked by some, such as Ryan Reynolds, who tweeted, "I look forward to screaming ‘scab’ at my 8-year-old all night. She’s not in the union, but she needs to learn."

The union subsequently said in a statement that the guidelines were in response to members' questions about honoring the strike during Halloween, noting, "It does not apply to anyone’s kids. We are on strike for important reasons, and have been for nearly 100 days. Our number one priority remains getting the studios back to the negotiating table so we can get a fair deal for our members, and finally put our industry back to work."

However, when Fox took to Instagram this weekend to show off her Gogo Yubari costume, she even went as far as to tag SAG-AFTRA in her caption.

Fox appears to have not made any statements over the strike or have gone to the picket line.

 

Walter, who is a member of the SAG-AFTRA negotiating committee, subsequently took to Twitter to sarcastically write, "What a rebel. Keep posturing for stupid shit, pretty lady."

"Meanwhile we’ll be working 10 hours a day — unpaid — to get basic contract earners a fair deal," she continued, adding, "PS the post responded members questions. No one cares about kids’ costumes. Just high pros at fancy parties. Like Megan."

She then cited existing SAG-AFTRA rules around rest periods (at least 10 hours from time dismissed to first call) and relocation fees (ensuring that performers are compensated for having to relocate for shoots); she continued, "Bet she likes turnaround rules and relocation fees and our ongoing battle for AI protections & streaming residuals… The union did that."

"But sure — shit on them over nonsense. This goes for Ryan Reynolds, too," Walter continued.

She then said that it was "dumb" for SAG-AFTRA to have posted its Halloween guidelines as they were, and added, "It was only meant for grownups who would get photographed by the press to not promote struck work."

And then, when someone said that they would call Fox "wack" if she "showed up on the picket line," Lisa Ann replied, "Please don’t hold your breath — we want you healthy."

ATTACHMENT SIX – From the Hollywood reporter

SAG-AFTRA NEGOTIATIONS SET TO CONTINUE INTO WEEKEND AFTER STUDIOS DELIVER LATEST OFFER

Both sides met on Friday as talks move forward on a deal that could end the 113-day actors' strike.

BY KATIE KILKENNY, PAMELA MCCLINTOCK  NOVEMBER 3, 2023 9:51PM

 

SAG-AFTRA and Hollywood studios will be working into the weekend in an attempt to reach a new three-year contract deal after the companies delivered their latest offer to the union on Friday.

Both sides met on Friday as the negotiations continue over a deal that could end the 113-day actors’ strike, which has become the longest TV/theatrical strike in the union’s history. One studio-side source said the meeting between the two parties seemed to go well, and that the ball is now in SAG-AFTRA’s court.

In a message to union members on Friday night, the SAG-AFTRA negotiating committee added that it would be meeting Saturday morning to prepare for discussions with the AMPTP that afternoon.

Anonymous Strike Diary: A Writer's Back-to-Work Hangover

The talks have haltingly progressed all week, and how the contract will tackle AI has been a focal point. SAG-AFTRA offered the studio side a new AI proposal on Wednesday as the union sought to close any potential loopholes that could jeopardize the work of its members. As the labor group’s negotiating committee told members on Thursday night, the union also spent several days awaiting responses to a “comprehensive” proposal package that touched on multiple issues that they delivered to companies on Saturday.

Still, hopes have generally been high that the two sides are at least nearing a denouement to the negotiations saga, if slowly. On Tuesday, SAG-AFTRA’s chief negotiator Duncan Crabtree-Ireland told members that he was “cautiously optimistic” about the negotiations, after his negotiating committee one day earlier said that they and management were “far apart on key issues.” On Tuesday, multiple sources told THR that they felt a deal was at least in sight.

By Wednesday, a studio-side source said, “Things are still moving but slow.”

SAG-AFTRA president Fran Drescher posted a photo of herself on Instagram on Friday with a friend at an engagement party, noting that it was taken after a “long day at the office.” She wrote, “Finding balance is important. TGIF! Let’s hope the amptp ceo’s resurface with a seal the deal counter!” Time will tell if SAG-AFTRA negotiators believe that Friday’s proposal will do just that.

ATTACHMENT SEVEN – From Variety

HOLLYWOOD STUDIOS DELIVER OFFER THEY HOPE WILL END SAG-AFTRA STRIKE

By Gene Maddaus and Michael Buckner

UPDATED with SAG-AFTRA statement: Hollywood’s major studios made an offer to SAG-AFTRA on Friday that they hope will end the 113-day actors strike.

 

The Alliance of Motion Picture and Television Producers had previously warned the actors union that if a deal could not be reached by the end of this week, the networks would have to cancel certain TV shows and there would be further delays in 2024 summer theatrical releases. Late Friday, SAG-AFTRA released a short message to its members confirming that it will meet again with AMPTP representatives Saturday afternoon.

The CEOs of four studios — Warner Bros. Discovery, NBCUniversal, Disney and Netflix — are expected to rejoin the talks, after more than weeklong absence from the bargaining table.

“The Negotiating Committee will be meeting Saturday morning to prepare for across the table talks with the AMPTP in the afternoon,” the union said in its message to members.

After a week of “cautious optimism,” the latest developments suggest that a deal could be close. The agreements with the Directors Guild of America and the Writers Guild of America were finalized on a Saturday in June and a Sunday in September, respectively.

In an Instagram message on Friday, union president Fran Drescher said she hoped the studios’ response would “seal the deal.”

“Let’s hope the amptp ceo’s resurface with a seal the deal counter!,” she wrote.

So far, the AMPTP has not communicated to the union that its counter will be a “last, best and final” offer. That is a term of art in labor negotiations, which is meant to indicate that the employer will make no further concessions of any significance. But given that SAG-AFTRA is already on strike, the union could simply refuse to accept it and remain on strike.

Though they have not invoked the phrase “last, best and final,” the studios have communicated that the offer presented on Friday is intended to bring the negotiations to a close. SAG-AFTRA is expected to review the proposal before giving its response.

SAG-AFTRA has said that it made a counteroffer last Saturday, and has been waiting since then for a response. The union also gave a three-hour presentation on Wednesday on its latest proposals on artificial intelligence.

The union has been holding out for certain items — including on AI — that it considers to be “existential” for actors. The studios have grumbled that the actors are conjuring up more and more AI scenarios, and are not progressing toward an agreement.

The negotiation has also featured more than a dozen other items, which are the subject of the Saturday counter from SAG-AFTRA.

This story has been updated with the outcome of the meeting.

ATTACHMENT EIGHT – From the Huffington Post

 

"Abbott Elementary" and "The Parent Trap" star Lisa Ann Walter had some choice words for Megan Fox after she went against SAG-AFTRA guidance and wore a "Kill Bill" Halloween costume.

Earlier this month, the actors' union — which is currently on strike — announced its Halloween guidelines. In essence, it recommended that members refrain from dressing as specific characters from struck studios (i.e. most TV shows and movies). It was a move that was mocked by some, such as Ryan Reynolds, who tweeted, "I look forward to screaming ‘scab’ at my 8-year-old all night. She’s not in the union, but she needs to learn."

The union subsequently said in a statement that the guidelines were in response to members' questions about honoring the strike during Halloween, noting, "It does not apply to anyone’s kids. We are on strike for important reasons, and have been for nearly 100 days. Our number one priority remains getting the studios back to the negotiating table so we can get a fair deal for our members, and finally put our industry back to work."

However, when Fox took to Instagram this weekend to show off her Gogo Yubari costume, she even went as far as to tag SAG-AFTRA in her caption.

Fox appears to have not made any statements over the strike or have gone to the picket line.

Walter, who is a member of the SAG-AFTRA negotiating committee, subsequently took to Twitter to sarcastically write, "What a rebel. Keep posturing for stupid shit, pretty lady."

"Meanwhile we’ll be working 10 hours a day — unpaid — to get basic contract earners a fair deal," she continued, adding, "PS the post responded members questions. No one cares about kids’ costumes. Just high pros at fancy parties. Like Megan."

She then cited existing SAG-AFTRA rules around rest periods (at least 10 hours from time dismissed to first call) and relocation fees (ensuring that performers are compensated for having to relocate for shoots); she continued, "Bet she likes turnaround rules and relocation fees and our ongoing battle for AI protections & streaming residuals… The union did that."

"But sure — shit on them over nonsense. This goes for Ryan Reynolds, too," Walter continued.

She then said that it was "dumb" for SAG-AFTRA to have posted its Halloween guidelines as they were, and added, "It was only meant for grownups who would get photographed by the press to not promote struck work."

And then, when someone said that they would call Fox "wack" if she "showed up on the picket line," Lisa Ann replied, "Please don’t hold your breath — we want you healthy."

 

ATTACHMENT NINE – From the Associated Press

UAW MEMBERS AT THE FIRST FORD PLANT TO GO ON STRIKE VOTE OVERWHELMINGLY TO APPROVE NEW CONTRACT

BY TOM KRISHER  Updated 10:52 AM EDT, November 2, 2023

 

DETROIT (AP) — Autoworkers at the first Ford factory to go on strike have voted overwhelmingly in favor of a tentative contract agreement reached with the company.

Members of Local 900 at the Michigan Assembly Plant in Wayne, Michigan, west of Detroit voted 81% in favor of the four year-and-eight month deal, according to Facebook postings by local members on Thursday.

Two union officials confirmed the accuracy of the percentage Thursday. Neither wanted to be identified because the vote totals had not been made public.

About 3,300 United Auto Workers union members went on strike at the plant Sept. 15 after the union’s contract with Ford expired. They remained on the picket lines until Oct. 25, when the union announced the tentative deal with Ford.

Autoworkers are the latest to spotlight the power of US labor. What is the state of unions today?

Production workers voted 81% to ratify the deal, while skilled trades workers voted 90% in favor. Voting at Ford will continue through Nov. 17.

Local union leaders from across the country at Jeep maker Stellantis are meeting in Detroit Thursday to get an explanation of the company’s tentative agreement from UAW President Shawn Fain and Vice President Rich Boyer. If they endorse the contract, Fain and Boyer will explain it to members in an online presentation Thursday evening.

General Motors local leaders will meet on Friday, with another contract explanation likely on Friday evening. Dates for voting at GM or Stellantis were not yet clear.

Marick Masters, a business professor at Wayne State University in Detroit who follows labor issues, said the vote at the Ford factory is a positive sign for the union. “These workers are deeply in the know about the overall situation,” he said. “I think that they responded to it with such high levels of approval it is perhaps reflective of how the broader workforce represented by the UAW feels about this contract.”

Masters says union officials still have to make their cases to the membership, but “certainly this would appear to be a harbinger of good news.”

The deals with all three companies are generally the same, although there are some differences. All give workers 25% general pay raises with 11% upon ratification. With cost of living pay, the raises will exceed 30% by the time the contracts end on April 30, 2028.

Workers began their strikes with targeted walkouts at all three automakers that escalated during a six-week period in an effort to pressure the companies into a deal. GM was the last company to settle early Sunday morning.

At its peak 46,000 union members had gone on strike at eight assembly plants and 38 parts warehouses across the nation. The union has about 146,000 members at all three of the Detroit auto companies.

ATTACHMENT TEN – From the Detroit Free Press

UAW'S FAIN: 'WE SQUEEZED EVERY DIME POSSIBLE' OUT OF STELLANTIS

By Eric D. Lawrence

 

UAW President Shawn Fain touted the record contract improvements in the union's tentative agreement with Stellantis during a Facebook Live session Thursday night as the fate of the deal shifts to union members for voting.

He also opened his speech with an offer to Toyota workers, who are being granted pay raises in light of the UAW's tentative agreements with the Detroit Three, to join the UAW.

Fain, who appeared via livestream along with UAW Vice President Rich Boyer and the union's National Stellantis Council, said the Stellantis agreement represents a major win for workers at the automaker, which owns the Jeep, Ram, Chrysler, Dodge and Fiat brands.

 

"Rich and I are bringing this contract to you because we wholeheartedly believe we squeezed every dime possible out of the company, but what happens next is up to all of you. You have the final say. So now is the time for debate and discussion, and no matter the outcome, we will move forward together as a united UAW," Fain said.

Stellantis spokeswoman Jodi Tinson declined to comment on the Facebook Live session.

The deal, announced by the union Saturday, marked the second agreement secured between the United Auto Workers union and members of the Detroit Three, and ended a 44-day strike against Stellantis. It followed an agreement with Ford Motor Co. and preceded one with General Motors.

The contract — which would be in effect through April 30, 2028, if ratified — follows the pattern set at Ford, but includes numerous additional items.

The agreement includes a 25% wage increase, with 11% upon ratification, the reinstatement of the cost-of-living allowance, a $5,000 ratification bonus, rules that prevent skilled trades from being forced into production roles, conversions of temporary (supplemental) workers who will also see a starting wage of $21 an hour, the addition of Juneteenth as a holiday, a right to strike over plant closures, a vehicle lease program, an outsourcing moratorium for salaried bargaining unit members, paid parental leave and other improvements, according to the union.

It also brings a midsize truck to the idled Belvidere Assembly Plant in Illinois, and the addition of a battery plant and "megahub" for parts distribution in Belvidere. The deal promises $19 billion in investments by the end of the agreement.

Boyer, who heads the union's Stellantis Department, said the union went into the negotiations "knowing that we had to save Belvidere."

A highlighter, posted on the UAW website, also references "Mopar heartburn," noting that the company gave the union the choice to consolidate Mopar parts facilities and gain jobs or close them and lose jobs. In return for agreeing to Mopar consolidation, the union said the lower wage tier there was eliminated and it got a guarantee of job security and the right to bargain for an expanded moving allowance beyond "the $37,500 we already won."

It was not immediately clear which Mopar facilities would be closed or consolidated.

 

 

ATTACHMENT ELEVEN – From CNBC

UAW-STELLANTIS DEAL INCLUDES $18.9 BILLION IN INVESTMENTS, NEW TRUCK FOR IDLED PLANT

By Michael Wayland PUBLISHED THU, NOV 2 20237:39 PM EDTUPDATED THU, NOV 2 20238:57 PM EDT

 

KEY POINTS

·         The United Auto Workers union said Chrysler parent Stellantis plans to invest $18.9 billion in the U.S. by April 2028.

·         The 4½-year tentative agreement must still be ratified by the roughly 43,000 UAW members covered by the deal at Stellantis.

·         The deal was reached after roughly six weeks of targeted labor strikes by the union against Stellantis, General Motors and Ford Motor.

DETROIT — The United Auto Workers union said Chrysler-parent Stellantis plans to invest $18.9 billion in the U.S. by April 2028, including $1.5 billion for new midsize pickup truck production at an idled factory in Belvidere, Illinois.

The investments are expected to be completed during the term of the 4½-year tentative agreement, which must still be ratified by the roughly 43,000 UAW members covered by the proposed contract at Stellantis.

Details of the tentative agreement were released Thursday night after local UAW leaders approved the pact, which UAW President Shawn Fain called the “most lucrative contract our union has won in decades.”

The tentative labor agreement was reached Saturday after roughly six weeks of targeted strikes by the union against StellantisGeneral Motors and Ford Motor. The work stoppages began Sept. 15 after the sides failed to reach deals covering 146,000 UAW members with the automakers by a strike deadline.

“For the first time in a long time, we’ve done the unthinkable: Reopened a plant,” Fain said during an online broadcast Thursday, referring to the Belvidere factory, which was idled in February 2022. “We didn’t do it by begging the company or agreeing to work terrible hours, or take a pay cut, or pursue a race to the bottom. We didn’t do it by giving back. We did it by fighting back.”

Heading into the talks, UAW Vice President Rich Boyer, who led the Stellantis talks, made product commitments a priority and stressed that the Belvidere plant was a make-or-break issue.

The details announced Thursday include $8.1 billion in product commitments secured by union negotiators from Stellantis, the UAW said.

In addition to Belvidere, other planned investments include $1.5 billion each to a Dodge-Jeep plant in Detroit and Jeep complex in Ohio; $1.4 billion at a Ram plant in Sterling Heights, Michigan; and $600 million for Stellantis’ Warren Truck plant in suburban Detroit.

The union said the company also plans to invest $3.2 billion in a new joint-venture battery plant in Belvidere that’s slated to open in 2028. The deal further lists previously announced battery investments of $6.2 billion for two joint-venture battery facilities in Kokomo, Indiana.

Fain said UAW members at the battery plant in Belvidere will be represented by the union through the company leasing the employees to the joint venture. It’s unclear if the already announced plants will be under the same terms. A UAW spokesman did not immediately comment following the announcement of the agreement details.

A Stellantis spokeswoman declined to comment on the union’s announcements.

The UAW said negotiators also secured a car-lease program for employees that mirrors that of company management. They said it includes discounted prices, unlimited miles, insurance and maintenance and repairs.

Like the UAW’s tentative agreement with Ford, the deal includes significant pay increases, bonuses and other enhanced benefits for autoworkers such as profit-sharing payments and a $5,000 ratification bonus.

The 25% raises include an 11% increase upon ratification, followed by a 3% bump-up the next three years and then a 5% increase in September 2027.

UAW members at Ford have already started voting on that tentative agreement: 82% of workers at Ford’s Michigan Assembly Plant voted in support of the pact this week. The suburban Detroit plant was among the first to strike alongside other assembly plants with GM and Stellantis.

UAW members with Stellantis and GM are expected to vote on the deals over the next couple weeks. A simple majority is needed to ratify the deals.

 

ATTACHMENT TWELVE – From Reuters

UAW REACHES DEAL WITH GM, ENDING LABOR STRIKE

By David Shepardson and Joseph White    October 30, 20239:33 PM EDT 

 

Oct 30 (Reuters) - General Motors (GM.N) and the United Auto Workers (UAW) struck a tentative deal on Monday, ending the union's unprecedented six-week campaign of coordinated strikes that won record pay increases for workers at the Detroit Three automakers.

The accord follows deals the union reached in recent days with Ford Motor (F.N) and Chrysler-owner Stellantis (STLAM.MI) - significant victories for auto workers after years of stagnant wages and painful concessions following the 2008 financial crisis.

"We wholeheartedly believe our strike squeezed every last dime out of General Motors," UAW President Shawn Fain said in a video address. "They underestimated us. They underestimated you."

The union officially suspended its strike against the Detroit Three. UAW local leaders will come to Detroit on Friday to consider the deal with GM, before taking terms to all union workers for ratification.

"We are looking forward to having everyone back to work across all of our operations," said GM CEO Mary Barra.

The new contracts will significantly raise costs for the automakers. The companies and some analysts have said the deals will make it harder for the Detroit Three to compete with electric-vehicle leader Tesla (TSLA.O) and nonunion foreign brands such as Toyota Motor (7203.T).

The UAW won from GM roughly the same package of wage increases agreed with the other two automakers. Pay for veteran workers will rise by 33% and GM will give $2,500 in five payments to retirees through 2028.

Sources have said pension benefits were a sticking point in the UAW's negotiations with GM, which has more retirees than Ford or Stellantis.

Fain said the union's move on Saturday to strike a key GM engine factory in Spring Hill, Tennessee, "landed the knockout blow" that got the deal.

The contract reverses years of efforts by GM to create lower-paid groups of UAW workers at units such as component plants, parts warehouses and electric vehicle battery operations. It puts workers at GM's battery joint-venture with South Korea's LG Energy under the national agreement.

Fain said some workers at GM's component operations will get pay increases of as much as 89%.

The contract also restricts use of lower paid temporary workers. "We have slammed the door on having a permanent underclass of temporary workers at GM," Fain said.

The UAW also gained more sway over the companies' investment decisions by securing the right to strike over future plant closures.

All three companies have said they do not plan to close existing factories as they shift to EVs. Yet the contract could force them to keep unprofitable plants open during a recession or period of slow sales for new models.

HIGHER COSTS

A series of walkouts began on Sept. 15, and nearly 50,000 workers out of nearly 150,000 UAW members at the Detroit automakers eventually joined. The strategy of escalating strikes cost the Detroit Three and suppliers billions of dollars.

UAW leaders called their contract fight part of a larger movement to reverse decades of economic setbacks for working-class Americans. Some analysts agreed.

"This is more than an auto industry story; it is a signal to the entire country that unionized workers can demand and get big wage increases," said Patrick Anderson of the Anderson Economic Group.

The new contract will cost GM $7 billion over 4.5 years in higher labor costs, two sources told Reuters. Ford said last week it would add $850 to $900 per vehicle in labor costs.

"Consumers will bear some of the cost burden over time ... automakers will not have an easy time passing along all of the costs ... and will have to seek efficiencies in other ways, or further limit production to more expensive vehicles that can absorb higher labor costs," Cox Automotive's chief economist, Jonathan Smoke, said.

PRAISE FROM BIDEN

U.S. President Joe Biden and politicians from both parties weighed in to support the UAW as the union's fight gained popularity with voters. Michigan will again be a crucial swing state in the 2024 presidential election, and Fain made support for the union's fight a condition of winning his endorsement. The UAW still has not formally endorsed Biden's re-election.

"This historic contract is a testament to the power of unions and collective bargaining to build strong middle-class jobs while helping our most iconic American companies thrive," Biden said in a statement. His aides had worried that a prolonged strike would damage the U.S. economy and the Democratic president's chances of re-election in 2024.

The UAW has said it is committed to organizing workforces at other carmakers, making negotiations in 2028 between the union and the "Big Five or Big Six."

Momentum toward deals accelerated over the past two weeks after UAW workers walked out at three of the most profitable factories in the world. The UAW eventually struck against nine plants.

"We have shown the companies, the American public and the whole world that the working class is not done fighting" Fain said. "In fact, we're just getting started."

Reporting by David Shepardson in Washington and Joseph White in Detroit Additional reporting by Shivansh Tiwary, Kannaki Deka and Richard Francis in Bengaluru Writing by Deepa Babington and Sayantani Ghosh Editing by David Gaffen, Alistair Bell, Peter Henderson, Matthew Lewis and David Gregorio

 

ATTACHMENT THIRTEEN – From Axios

UAW REACHES TENTATIVE DEAL WITH GM, LAST OF 3 AUTOMAKERS HIT BY STRIKE

 By Joann Muller

 

The United Auto Workers union on Monday announced a tentative contract agreement with General Motors, the last of the three U.S. automakers to settle a costly strike that lasted nearly seven weeks.

Why it matters: The proposed agreement, similar to deals struck in recent days with Ford and Stellantis, would provide big gains in wages and benefits plus increased job security.

        The deal must be ratified by GM's 46,000 UAW workers. In the meantime, UAW members at all three companies are going back to work immediately.

Details: Like the deals at Ford and Stellantis, the tentative agreement at GM would provide 25% wage hikes over four and a half years, as well as cost-of-living adjustments.

        With COLA, the top wage is estimated to rise to over $42 an hour by 2028.

        It also eliminates a despised two-tiered wage scale for newer hires, provides permanent jobs for temp workers and boosts retirement income, including 401(k) contributions.

        Like the other carmakers, GM agreed to provide a path for workers at electric vehicle battery plants to earn the same high wages under the national bargaining agreement that other UAW members earn.

        UAW leaders had feared the transition to EVs would mean fewer jobs, or lower-paying jobs.

        There's also money for GM retirees, the UAW statement said. "Many thought GM would never put more money on the table for their hundreds of thousands of retirees. In this agreement, however, GM has agreed to make five payments of $500 to current retirees and surviving spouses, the first such payments in over 15 years."

What they're saying: President Biden in a statement lauded the "historic contract, which he said "is a testament to the power of unions and collective bargaining to build strong middle-class jobs while helping our most iconic American companies thrive."

        GM Chair and CEO Mary Barra said the company "is pleased to have reached a tentative agreement with the UAW that reflects the contributions of the team while enabling us to continue to invest in our future and provide good jobs" in the U.S.

        "We are looking forward to having everyone back to work across all of our operations, delivering great products for our customers, and winning as one team," Barra said.

The big picture: The fallout from the contentious labor battle has been costly for all three companies.

        GM said last week the strike was costing $200 million a week, adding to the challenges it's already facing in its biggest strategic bets like electric vehicles and self-driving taxis.

        Meanwhile, Ford said the work stoppage cost the company about $1.3 billion in lost production.

        Stellantis is expected to share the strike impact when it reports third-quarter results later this week.

What's next: The tentative agreements still need to be ratified by UAW members at their respective companies, including 57,000 at Ford, 43,000 at Stellantis and 46,000 at GM. Ratification is likely, but not guaranteed.

What to watch: Carmakers should be able to make up lost production before the end of the year, but only if suppliers that were forced to lay off workers during the strike can get their own workforces back quickly to restart operations.

 

ATTACHMENT FOURTEEN – From CNBC

GM REACHES TENTATIVE DEAL WITH UAW, ENDING STRIKES AT DETROIT AUTOMAKERS AFTER SIX WEEKS

By Michael Wayland and Phil LeBeau   PUBLISHED MON, OCT 30 20239:31 AM EDTUPDATED MON, OCT 30 20235:00 PM EDT

DETROIT — The United Auto Workers and General Motors have agreed to a deal that will put an end to bargaining between the union and Detroit automakers following more than six weeks of targeted U.S. labor strikes, the sides confirmed hours after sources told CNBC about the deal.

GM is the final Detroit automaker to reach a deal with the union following historically contentious talks. Roughly a third of the union’s 146,000 workers with GM, Ford Motor and Stellantis went on strike after the sides failed to reach agreements by a Sept. 14 deadline.

The UAW said the tentative agreement, which still must be ratified by members, adds battery workers from GM’s Ultium Cells joint venture and a division know as “subsystems” into the union’s master agreement with the company.

GM is the only Detroit automaker with a joint venture battery plant in operation and unionized — making it the first in the country to face this particular negotiating dynamic and a landmark plant to set standards for the industry.

“Like the agreements with Ford and Stellantis, the GM agreement has turned record profits into a record contract,” the UAW said in a release. “The deal includes gains valued at more than four times the gains from the union’s 2019 contract.”

A GM spokesman confirmed the tentative agreement but declined to discuss specifics of the deal.

“GM is pleased to have reached a tentative agreement with the UAW that reflects the contributions of the team while enabling us to continue to invest in our future and provide good jobs in the U.S.,” GM CEO Mary Barra said in a statement. “We are looking forward to having everyone back to work across all of our operations, delivering great products for our customers, and winning as one team.” 

Two sources familiar with the GM-UAW talks said negotiations occurred Sunday night and into the early morning to reach an agreement. News of a deal was first reported Monday by Bloomberg.

Ford Motor was the first to reach a tentative agreement with the union, on Wednesday, followed by a deal with Chrysler parent Stellantis on Saturday.

The 4½-year tentative agreements must still be ratified by members at each of the automakers. The headline economics of the deals, such as 25% wage increases for most workers, were patterned off Ford’s initial deal.

The pact includes 25% pay increases over the terms of the agreement. The raises and benefits such as cost-of-living adjustments cumulatively raise the top wage to more than $42 an hour, including an increase of 70% for starting wages to over $30 an hour, the union said. That increase would be at least two percentage points higher than the Ford and Stellantis deals.

A UAW spokesman did not immediately respond for the difference in starting pay. However, it may be based off of cost-of-living adjustment estimates.

Those deals also reinstated cost-of-living adjustments, reduced an eight-year path to top wages to three years and allowed the right to strike over plant closures, among other significantly enhanced benefits.

The strikes have collectively cost GM, Ford and Stellantis billions of dollars in lost production. Ford said Thursday that the union’s strike has cost it $1.3 billion and the deal, if ratified by members, would increase labor costs by roughly $850 to $900 per vehicle produced.

GM said Tuesday the strike had cost it about $800 million.

The proposed agreements are record-setting for the union, which was far more confrontational and strategic during the talks than in recent history.

The union initiated negotiations with all three automakers at once. This was a break from recent history when UAW leaders would bargain with each automaker individually, select a lead company to focus efforts on and then pattern the remaining deals off a leading tentative agreement.

It’s not immediately clear how much the labor deals will increase labor costs for the companies, which had argued that giving in to all of the union’s demands would affect their competitiveness and even long-term viability.

Deutsche Bank recently estimated the overall cost increase of the agreement at Ford to be $6.2 billion over the term of the agreement, $7.2 billion at GM, and $6.4 billion at Stellantis.

President Joe Biden, meanwhile, applauded the deals across and said he spoke with UAW President Shawn Fain on Monday.

“These record agreements reward autoworkers who gave up much to keep the industry working and going during the financial crisis more than a decade ago,” Biden said at the White House. “These agreements ensure that the Big Three can still lead the world in quality and innovation.”

 

ATTACHMENT FIFTEEN – From Reuters

UAW GEARS UP TO ORGANIZE AT TOYOTA, OTHER NONUNION AUTOMAKERS

By Joseph White and David Shepardson  November 2, 20238:19 PM

 

DETROIT/WASHINGTON, Nov 2 (Reuters) - The United Auto Workers on Thursday signaled the next step in the union's campaign to capitalize on its success in bargaining with the Detroit Three: launching organizing drives at Toyota (7203.T), Tesla (TSLA.O) and other nonunion U.S. auto factories.

UAW President Shawn Fain began his video comments on the Stellantis (STLAM.MI) contract with an appeal to workers at Toyota, which on Wednesday offered pay and benefit increases after the Detroit Three contract talks concluded.

"They could have just as easily raised wages a month ago or a year ago," Fain said of Toyota. "They did it now because the company knows we're coming for 'em."

He said the UAW's new contracts were so good they had even led to nonunion auto workers getting raises.

"Terrified auto executives across the country are rushing to give their own employees raises in the hopes of fending off the UAW," Fain added. "Toyota's future won't be determined in the boardrooms. It'll be determined on the plant floor."

The UAW has tried and failed for years to organize nonunion U.S. auto factories, most of them built by Asian and European legacy automakers in southern U.S. states where so-called "right to work" labor laws make it optional for workers to pay union dues.

Other foreign automakers are reviewing recent auto sector wage hikes. Honda (7267.T) told Reuters it was evaluating the recent UAW deals with the Detroit Three automakers and would remain competitive.

 

Before Fain spoke, Toyota said working together with its plant workers had provided a history of stable employment and income for its employees.

"The decision to unionize is ultimately made by our employees," the Japanese automaker said in a statement.

Fain has used recent video addresses to telegraph the union's determination to organize workers at nonunion automakers after record wage increases won in tentative agreements with Stellantis, General Motors (GM.N) and Ford (F.N).

"One of our biggest goals coming out of this historic contract victory is to organize like we’ve never organized before," Fain said on Sunday. "When we return to the bargaining table in 2028, it won’t just be with the Big Three, but with the Big Five or Big Six."

UAW Region 8 director Tim Smith, whose territory covers many nonunion auto factories in the southern United States, said workers at those plants have been reaching out to the UAW.

"If (Toyota workers) come calling, which they have, we're going to educate them and be there for them," Smith told Reuters.

UAW staff are keeping track of the calls, many from Toyota's sprawling assembly operation in Georgetown, Kentucky. The Toyota complex is not far from one of the UAW's largest local unions, which represents Ford's Kentucky Truck and Louisville Assembly plants.

Smith said it was important workers consider the total wages and benefits and not just the wage rate.

Recently, the union tried and failed to win enough support from workers at Tesla's Fremont, California, factory to hold an organizing vote. Tesla's Fremont plant was once a UAW shop when it was jointly owned by GM and Toyota and known as NUMMI.

"Nothing stopping Tesla team at our car plant from voting union. Could do so tmrw if they wanted. But why pay union dues & give up stock options for nothing?" Tesla CEO Elon Musk tweeted in 2018.

The UAW filed a complaint with the National Labor Relations Board over that tweet, and the NLRB ruled the tweet violated laws prohibiting management threats against workers for supporting unionization. A U.S. appeals court this year upheld the NLRB ruling.

WIDENING COST GAPS

The UAW's organizing efforts from 2015 through 2020 were hindered by a federal investigation of corruption in the UAW's top ranks.

Fain won the UAW presidency this year by vowing wide-ranging reform.

Toyota's move earlier this week to raise wages is in line with the strategy the Japanese automaker and other nonunion automakers have used to keep UAW organizers at bay.

Nonunion automakers have kept hourly wages close to the UAW rates at the Detroit Three. But they have lower labor costs overall because they pay less for health and retirement benefits than the unionized automakers. They also use more temporary workers, who are paid less.

The result is that average hourly labor costs in total at foreign automakers are $55 an hour, compared with $64 an hour under the old UAW contract, Ford sources estimated ahead of the new contract agreements. U.S. hourly labor costs at Tesla are estimated at $45 to $50.

The gaps will get wider, assuming UAW workers at the Detroit Three ratify agreements that call for increasing pay for veteran workers by 25%, restoring cost-of-living allowances and boosting pay for temporary workers by as much as 150%.

 

 

ATTACHMENT SIXTEEN – From CNN

 

THE BIG THREE ARE PAYING A BIG PRICE TO END THE UAW STRIKE — BUT THAT WON’T NECESSARILY JACK UP CAR PRICES

Analysis by Elisabeth Buchwald, CNN  Updated 6:06 AM EDT, Tue October 31, 2023

 

The historic United Auto Workers union strike against the nation’s three unionized automakers — Ford, General Motors, and Stellantis, known as the “Big Three” — could finally be over soon.

This news comes after all three automakers reached tentative deals with the union.

Ford was the first to announce it reached a tentative agreement with the UAW on Wednesday. Then came Stellantis over the weekend and GM today.

A brief refresher:

The strike, which began nearly seven weeks ago, has been the longest US auto strike in 25 years. It was the first time in its history that the UAW staged a simultaneous strike against the nation’s three unionized automakers

The strike began at one assembly plant at each company, but the UAW expanded the scope of the strike six times since then in an effort to step up pressure on the companies at the bargaining table.

The production losses have likely cost the automakers billions of dollars. But the damage it’s done to the broader economy carries an even heftier price tag.

The first five weeks of the strike has had an economic impact of $9.3 billion, the Anderson Economic Group estimated.

Their estimate takes into account:

·         Lost wages for striking workers and other workers who were laid off or forced to work fewer hours

·         Lost earnings for the Big Three automakers

·         Supplier losses including delays and cancellations for car parts orders and the wage impact it’s had on workers within the industry

·         Dealer and customer losses as a result of indefinite delays of new vehicles

The final straw

The linchpin in negotiations between the UAW and Ford came on October 11, when the union struck Ford’s largest and most profitable plant, my colleague, Vanessa Yurkevichreported.

Similarly, the UAW’s hardest hits against Stellantis and GM came shortly before both announced tentative deals.

What will this mean for car prices?

Now you’d think people in the market for a new car would pay the price, by way of higher car prices, given all the added costs the Big Three will face if the tentative deals go into effect.

But as my colleague Chris Isidore — CNN’s expert reporter in all things strike-related — tells me, there’s a good chance cars won’t get more expensive because of all this.

Here are a couple of reasons why:

·         Car prices are based on supply and demand. For instance, when demand was high but supply was constrained by a shortage of computer chips needed to build new cars a few years ago, prices went up to record levels. And at the end of the day, it was the auto dealers, which are independent businesses, that benefitted the most from buying cars at wholesale prices from automakers and selling them to consumers earning massive profits.

·         The automakers might cut corners somewhere else to maintain their pre-strike prices (think lower quality or less aesthetically appealing interiors, wheels or tires)

·         The Big Three have to stay competitive with nonunion automakers which keeps their car prices in check

·         The automakers will need to find ways to build cars more efficiently and figure out how to make money selling electric vehicles

TLDR: The biggest loser is probably going to be the automakers who are going to see their profits decline one way or another.

One last thing — none of this is a done deal

You may have noticed I use the word “tentative” multiple times. That’s because the historic strike doesn’t officially end until it is ratified by rank-and-file members.

 

ATTACHMENT SEVENTEEN – From CNN

IS THE PENDULUM OF POWER SWINGING TOWARDS US UNIONS?

By Robert Reich  Wed 1 Nov 2023 06.07 EDT

 

The United Auto Workers has scored a major victory. It’s still awaiting a vote by union members, but it’s a big deal – a 25% wage increase over the four and a half years of the contract, cost-of-living increases that will further ratchet up hourly pay, the right to strike over plant closures and a shorter time period for workers to reach top pay.

If the victory ripples across the auto industry and encourages wage increases in other sectors, it will also be a victory for the American middle class.

For 30 years – from 1946 to the late 1970s – the American middle class expanded. That was largely because unions won increases in wages and benefits that roughly tracked gains in overall productivity.

Non-union companies gave their workers similar raises because they knew they’d be targets of union organizing if they didn’t.

It was America’s postwar social contract.

But since the late 1970s, the wages of production workers have been nearly stagnant, adjusted for inflation. Most gains have gone to the top.

What happened?

For one thing, activist investors (called “corporate raiders” in the 1970s and 80s, and “private equity managers” today) got the right to mount hostile takeovers of companies, and then demand fatter profits.

Since payrolls comprise about two-thirds of corporate costs, the raiders forced corporations to keep a lid on wages and benefits.

To do this, corporations had to bust unions – outsourcing jobs abroad, moving to anti-union (AKA “right-to-work”) states and firing workers who tried to organize.

Ronald Reagan legitimized all this when in 1981 he fired more than 11,000 striking air traffic controllers represented by the Professional Air Traffic Controllers Organization, or Patco.

The result was a dramatic decline in the bargaining power of ordinary workers. And with it, a shrinkage of the American middle class.

In the 1950s, over a third of all private-sector workers were unionized. Today, unionized workers comprise just 6% of private-sector workers (10% of all workers belong to a union but many work in the public sector).

From 1946 through the early 1970s, unions staged hundreds of major strikes each year. After 1981, the number of major strikes dropped to a few dozen per year.

Is the pendulum now swinging back?

Confidence in big business is at its lowest point in decades while approval of labor unions is near its highest

So far this year, there have been 22 major strikes, 17 of them at corporations.

Contracts negotiated by the UAW, Hollywood writers, UPS workers, Kaiser Permanente healthcare workers and even university employees, among others, provide significant pay increases and more job security (writers even got some protections against AI).

Most Americans are solidly behind the workers. Polls show that the public supported autoworkers over the companies by large margins.

Confidence in big business is at its lowest point in decades while approval of labor unions is near its highest.

What accounts for this burst of labor activism, remarkable run of labor victories and public support of unions?

Partly, I think, it’s the harsh inequalities exposed by the pandemic.

The pandemic dramatically revealed how much easier it is for rich Americans to survive than everyone else, and how dependent all of us are on average workers simply doing their jobs.

Couple this with the rise in populist politics – starting with Bernie Sanders’ surprisingly strong showing in 2016 while Donald Trump posed as the “voice” of workers – in a system looking increasingly rigged against average people.

In addition, union victories have animated a virtuous cycle – encouraging more workers to join unions and more unions to flex their muscles and demand wage hikes.

And then there’s the tight post-pandemic labor market, in which consumers are spending like gangbusters, the economy is surging, and employers worry about getting and keeping the workers they need.

So, will the pendulum continue to swing toward unions?

I’d love to think so. But I frankly worry about the Fed chair, Jerome Powell, and his colleagues.

They continue to believe – wrongly – that inflation is being pushed by wage increases rather than by corporate profits.

If they succeed in slowing the economy to the point where workers lose whatever bargaining leverage they now have, it’s far from clear that populist politics or more vivid inequalities or a string of labor victories will be enough to put organized labor on the path to where it was four decades ago.

·         Robert Reich, a former US secretary of labor, is professor of public policy at the University of California at Berkeley

·          

ATTACHMENT EIGHTEEN – From the Guardian U.K.

UN BLASTS AMAZON, WALMART, DOORDASH FOR ‘SHAMEFUL’ WAGES AND UNION-BUSTING

Human rights expert says US companies trap workers in poverty, forcing them to rely on food stamps and Medicaid

By Michael Sainato Thu 2 Nov 2023 07.00 EDT

 

The UN special rapporteur on extreme poverty and human rights has called on the CEOs of Amazon, Walmart and DoorDash and the US government to address allegations that top US corporations pay such low wages that they trap workers in poverty, forcing them to rely on government-assistance programs to survive.

Olivier De Schutter has written to the three major US corporations and the US government, requesting responses to numerous allegations. They include a 2020 US Government Accountability Office report that found Amazon and Walmart were listed among the top 25 employers with workers relying on the supplemental nutrition assistance rogram (Snap), formerly known as food stamps, or Medicaid in nine states studied, with Walmart ranked first and Amazon ranked sixth.

Is the pendulum of power swinging towards US unions?

The letters and requests were made public on 31 October.

“The concerns apply to many workers in the US, which relates to how the minimum wage is set in legislation, whether at federal or state level, wage theft by employers, unpredictable yet inflexible working schedules, the sake of undocumented workers, violation of union rights, and automation, these are the most important issues that apply across the workforce in the US,” the letter said.

De Schutter said that his major concerns were the US minimum wage, wage theft by employers, unpredictable yet inflexible working schedules, the plight of undocumented workers, the violation of union rights and automation.

“What these companies do for the most part is not illegal. What they do is use the loopholes in the system – for example, misclassifying workers as independent contractors rather than employees. There are many loopholes in the system that the US government is still responsible for and I’m still expecting an answer from the Department of Labor,” said De Schutter.

Based on the US Bureau of Labor Statistics’ definition of working poor, individuals making $14,850 or less annually – comprising 6.3 million people and 4.1% of US workers – are classified as working poor in the US.

The trio of corporations and the government were asked to reply within 60 days of receiving the letters, with only Amazon providing a reply, though De Schutter argued that Amazon’s response did not address several concerns noted in the letter. DoorDash responded after the letters were made public, disputing the allegations and claiming they will provide a response in the coming weeks.

In the letter to Amazon, De Schutter noted the Department of Labor’s current investigation into the company over high injury rates and the company’s record of anti-union practice at its US facilities.

DoorDash is one of the leading gig platforms to have faced scrutiny over its classification of workers as independent contractors, and how it determines pay based on active time as opposed to when workers are on call. It has opposed wage increase ordinances for workers amid complaints over low pay linked to its gig worker model.

Walmart, the largest employer in the US, has long faced scrutiny over low wages in contrast with the company’s immense profits and the estimated net worth – more than $240bn – of the company’s majority owners, the Waltons, the wealthiest family in the world. The company also has a long record of aggressive union busting against worker-organizing efforts.

Amazon was the only employer to respond within 60 days, providing a letter from the vice-president of public policy, Brian Huseman, who leads Amazon’s federal lobbying work.

In the letter, Amazon dismissed claims of low wages and didn’t dispute workers relying on federal assistance programs. But it claimed that the company’s wages either make workers ineligible for federal assistance programs such as Snap; workers received federal assistance prior to employment at Amazon while they were unemployed; or they receive assistance based on other circumstances, such as household size or the qualifying disability of a household member.

Amazon also disputed complaints of violating union rights of workers, but reaffirmed its opposition to the win of workers who voted to unionize at the Amazon warehouse in Staten Island, New York, in 2022.

As of 1 October, there were 222 open or settled unfair labor practice charges against Amazon with the National Labor Relations Board, according to the NLRB.

Amazon reportedly spent more than $14.2m on anti-union consultants in 2022.

“The rates of unionization have been declining very significantly over the past 40 years in the US, much more than in other OECD countries. The problem of course weakens the bargaining position of workers,” said De Schutter. “On the question of respect for union rights, that is, I think, very shameful.”

He said the rate of workers covered by collective bargaining agreements in the US is far below the rates of other wealthy countries, with Italy and France covering 100% and 98% of workers respectively compared with 11.7% of workers in the US, based on 2018 OECD data.

De Schutter noted the stagnant federal minimum wage of $7.25, which has remained unchanged since 2009, with 20 states whose minimum wages are no higher, and stark inequalities facing women in the US workforce.

“The wages in the US have really not been keeping up with the increased cost of living. In many countries, wages are systematically aligned with increases in the cost of living. This is not true in the US,” said De Schutter. “I was very surprised to see that workers with a high school diploma today make 2.7% less in real terms than they did in 1979, almost 50 years, which is really amazing and this is of course during a period where the productivity of workers has doubled.

 

 ATTACHMENT NINETEEN – From the Washington Post

  THE AUTOWORKERS’ BIG WIN EXPOSES THE ABSURDITY OF TRUMP’S POPULISM

Opinion by Greg Sargent   November 1, 2023 at 6:45 a.m. EDT

In September, Donald Trump’s advisers leaked word that he would travel to Detroit to show support for striking members of the United Auto Workers. In reality, he ended up addressing workers at a nonunion shop, bashing the strike as useless given that electric vehicles will inevitably destroy their jobs — unless they elect him president in 2024, of course.

Now that UAW has reached tentative deals with Ford, General Motors and Stellantis (formerly Chrysler) after six weeks of picketing, that Trumpian episode takes on a glaring new meaning. On multiple levels, this whole affair captures the vacuity of the right-wing populism espoused by Trump and other Republicans eager to give the GOP a “working class” makeover.

Though UAW members must ratify the agreements, the provisions would constitute their largest gains in decades. Among other things, they include a 25 percent raise in base wages over the next 4½ years, lifting the top pay to more than $40 per hour.

Again and again, UAW’s president, Shawn Fain, has stressed that this strike is not just about his workers’ bottom lines, but about the country’s class structure. He regularly lambastes the dramatic upward redistribution of wealth of the past few decades, blaming top-down assaults on workers’ bargaining power and the systematic erosion in wages they have wrought.

“The billionaire class,” Fain said recently, has “spent decades” convincing workers that “we are weak,” that “it’s futile to fight” and that workers “should be grateful for the scraps that they decide to give us.” Fain relentlessly argues that this strike is about defeating an idea, that what’s good for the wealthy is synonymous with what’s good for our country because it showers benefits on everyone else.

“The labor movement has been most successful when it embodies the larger aspirations and values of working people throughout society,” Damon Silvers, the former political director for the AFL-CIO, told me. He said Fain made the strike about “inequality, wage stagnation, the rich getting everything — the fundamental problem that has been growing in the U.S. economy for 50 years.”

President Biden told a similar story when he visited strikers in late September. But this is not the story that Trump and other right-wing populists tell. Speaking in Detroit, Trump attacked the Big Three, but mainly criticized their investments in electric vehicles, insisting Biden’s policies — which incentivize the transition to decarbonized vehicles — will destroy the auto industry entirely.

Similarly, Sen. J.D. Vance (R-Ohio) has acknowledged that autoworkers deserve better wages. But he, too, says their main enemy is Biden’s “premature” transition to electric vehicles.

Unfortunately for Trump and Vance, the striking workers are showing otherwise. True, in some ways this transition does threaten autoworkers. Assembling electric vehicles requires fewer workers than making gas-powered cars. And the big automakers manufacture electric vehicle batteries domestically in partnership with foreign companies, keeping these plants outside UAW contracts, thus resulting in lower wages.

But this is exactly what the striking workers have been trying to address — and they appear to be having some success. The New York Times reports that Ford and GM workers at battery plants will be covered by the new UAW contracts, which suggests that some EV-related gigs will be union jobs with benefits.

Gene Sperling, a senior economics adviser to Biden and the White House’s point person on the negotiations, says the agreement “refutes virtually every conservative critique of a new auto future made in America.”

“The UAW even made serious gains on ensuring that future EV battery jobs are strong, middle class union jobs,” Sperling told me.

The truth is that no one knows exactly what the long term transition holds for workers. But Fain and Biden recognize that change is inevitable, so they work on designing policy — while supporting striking workers — to ensure they have a meaningful place in its future.

That’s why Fain says the UAW does not oppose the green transition but merely wants a “just transition” for workers. By contrast, in the Trump faction’s worldview, the green transition can only be understood as a threat to them.

What’s more, you rarely, if ever, hear Trump or Vance say this strike should succeed specifically to revitalize unions and boost worker bargaining power. While some right-wing populist thinkers do favor stronger unions, this is almost never foregrounded by GOP lawmakers, as Sohrab Ahmari lamented to Vox’s Sean Illing.

Yet, this is the core of what those on strike aspire to. As historian Erik Baker details, Fain’s vision is ultimately about recapturing a sense that class-based organizing can make lasting change. That spirit will be essential as UAW thinks about how to organize the nonunion Tesla, a goal that’s critical to ensuring that EV-manufacturing can supply good jobs long into the future.

Trump and Vance can do all the pro-worker posturing they want. But in the end, the future envisioned by UAW strikers is just not a future either of them seems to want.