the DON JONES INDEX…

 

 

GAINS POSTED in GREEN

LOSSES POSTED in RED

 

  12/11/23...     14,905.85

    12/4/23...     14,889.78

     6/27/13…    15,000.00

 

(THE DOW JONES INDEX: 12/18/23... 36,247.87; 12/4/23... 36,245.58; 6/27/13… 15,000.00)

 

LESSON for DECEMBER ELEVENTH, 2023 – “DUBAI’OUS COPS versus the DARK RABBITS! 

 

Throughout the week, serial rains quenched the Pacific drought and storms migrating east finally brought snow to New York City and the rest of the East Coast after six hundred some days, Don Jones was likely to smile, shiver a little and say “well, that’s just December being December.”

The climatologists and statisticians might have a different view... and the statesmen and stooges of the world sponsored a format for them to have their say... the 28th annual of the Conference of the Parties (COP, thus COP28) being held in Dubai, Union of Arab Emirates.

“What is a conference of the parties?” asked and answered the liberal Guardian, U.K. who kept, are keeping and will continue keeping a running timeline of the gathering and its proceedings over its thirteen day lifespan  far (the conference began on November 30th and ends on Tuesday) – the whole of which is attached as Attachment “A” with a few occasional excerpts yanked out and attached earlier – such as the explanation by Fiona Harvey, Guardian environment editor, setting out what it is all about.  She writes (Attachment One)...

“For almost three decades, world governments have met nearly every year to forge a global response to the climate emergency. Under the 1992 UN framework convention on climate change (UNFCCC), every country is treaty-bound to “avoid dangerous climate change” and find ways to reduce greenhouse gas emissions globally in an equitable way.

         

 

@ warm days, merry knights

Pressure started piling on negotiators at Cop28 after Europe’s climate monitor, the Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S), on Wednesday, the sixth, announced that November had become the sixth record-breaking month in a row for average temperatures.

An “extraordinary” November smashed the previous November heat record, pushing 2023’s global average temperature to 1.46C warmer than pre-industrial levels, C3S said, according to AFP.

Thousands of miles away, thousands of assorted diplomats and journalists and lobbyists, some scientists, too (including more of those climatologists and statisticians), were enjoying high-jinks in a desert that did not flood and fester in mud as Burning Man did back in September, but remained hot and pleasant, sort or, clear skies and temperatures in the triple digits during the meat and the middle of the COP28 climatological conference in Abu Dhabie, United Arab Emirates.  While much of the MidEast has deteriorated into a no-fly, no-go zone as a consequence of the Israeli-Gaza war spilling out over into Lebanon and Syria and now places more distant including Iraq and Yemen, the delegates and their parasites were soaking up the sun and fun as if they were vacationers in Vegas or in Palm Spring.

What was not to like?

 

Maybe the entertainment was a little on the stodgy side and non-Islamic libations hard (but not impossible) to find; the troubles that were engulfing lands to the near-West of Dubai atroubling and the rhetoric without reason quite repetitive - but there were amenities: clean sheets, cooling showers, maybe a mint on the bed.  And there were celebrities aplenty, albeit celebrities of a certain type... England’s King Charles, America’s Al Gore and plenty of videos and zooms and skypes from the likes of Pope Francis and Nelson Mandela’s granddaughter, from Presidents Xi and Joe and assorted humanitarians, nonprofit honchos and globalists,

Speaking to French state-backed news agency AFP before embarking on his flight to attend the conference in Dubai, António Guterres, the UN secretary general, said this year’s Cop climate talks should aim for a complete “phase-out” of fossil fuels, insisting of the 1.5C climate goal: “It is not dead, it’s alive.”  (Attachment Two)

“I think it would be a pity if we would stay in a vague and noncommittal ‘phase-down’ whose real meaning would not be obvious for anybody,”

 

The Shadow of Sunak – and His Shadows

England’s PM Rishi Sunak was a prominent presence at COP28, as was his rival... Keir Starmer, the leader of the UK’s opposition Labour party, joined in Dubai by shadow energy security and net zero secretary, Ed Miliband, and shadow foreign secretary, David Lammy.  Starmer said he would use the climate summit to emphasise his view that the push to net zero is an economic opportunity, and to say Labour is the only UK party with a plan to pragmatically harness the opportunities of the energy transition.

Politics being ever with us.

GUK’s Damian Carrington reported that the arrival of the world’s leaders at today’s conference is adding an extra challenge for delegates.. . and journalists.

Cops are always a marathon for delegates, long days and long walks around the huge sites. But today is an ultra-marathon for the thousands of attendees. (Attachment “A” December 1st) The short walk from the metro to the venue was blocked off, a security mounted for the world leaders arriving today. That meant a trek in the sun to even enter the site. And once in, more barricades have been erected to cordon off the presidents and prime ministers, turning 5 minute trots into 30 minute slogs.

On and on came the counselors, celebrities, creeps and chiefs of state.

Among more “world leaders, royals and possible celebrities” coming to attend the climate conference at Expo City Dubai were Sunak and his Labour-ish shadows, King Charles (of course, but also dozens of powerbrokers, popinjays and potentates (but no Pope), Kamala Harris (in place of President Joe), China’s climate envoy Xie (with an ‘e’) Zhenhua (in place of President Xi – no ‘e’), Mahmoud Abbas, President of the State of Palestine (but not Netanyahu) and... why not!... Bill Gates.  (Zawya/Dubai, Attachment Three, November 28th)  Their full list can be found within this Attachment.

Vladimir Putin was a surprise guest... much to the alarm of Ukrainians present... but he did not speak nor attend private sessions, just wandered around enjoying the sights and the heat.

 

COP28’s thirteen days of climate kicked off a week ago Thursday (see proceedings of the first four days here)... the week after a prosperous and promising American Thanksgiving that soured only a little once the warring foreigners returned to their warring and the great American public returned to shopping on a Black Friday now stretced out for more than a month... dawned on Dubai as more than 80,000 people registered for badges to the event, and more were struggling to get into the venue - pleading to get through security, warning that they were missing events and meetings in the Blue Zone where negotiations are held, with waits expected to last up to two hours at the entrance nearest the metro station.

GUK suggested another way to get into Blue Zone... “enter via the Green Zone entrance - where there are no queues - and then get into the Blue Zone that way.” (Attachment “A”, December 2nd)

Those who survived the security checkpoints were treated to a “call to arms” from Simon Stiell, the executive secretary of the UN climate convention, the international framework as governs The Particulars. Stiell warned against putting “a tick on the box” for establishing a “loss-and-damage” fund for poor nations and thinking it solved the multi-trillion dollar problem of financial aid that’s needed to help cut emissions worldwide.

“We need COP to deliver a bullet train to speed up climate action. We currently have an old caboose chugging over rickety tracks,” Stiell said.

Commitments to the FUND, according to the GUK timeline (Attachment “A”, Thursday 12/9), were:

Loss and damage: $726m

Green climate fund: $3.5bn (increasing second replenishment to $12.8bn)

Adaptation fund: $133.6m

Least developed countries fund: $129.3m

Special climate change fund (SCCF): $31m

Renewable energy: $5bn

Cooling: $25.5m

Clean cooking: $30m

Technology: $568m

Methane: $1.2bn

Climate finance: $30bn from UAE, $200m in special drawing rights, and $32bn from multilateral development banks (MDBs)

Food: $3.1bn

Nature: $2.6bn

Health: $2.7bn

Water: $150m

Gender: $2.8m

Relief, recovery and peace: $1.2bn

 

This year’s climate conference comes as the crisis enters a new phase – and shows its full force, harming billions of people, and costing trillions. Now everyone is on the frontlines. No country is immune.  We have to balance outrage with optimism, said the UN’s former climate chief Christiana Figueres, a veteran negotiator hailed as the architect of the Paris climate agreement (and, no doubt) a FAT (foe against Trump).

Sultan (and oily broker) Al Jaber had officially opened the Cop28 climate talks in Dubai, after receiving the tiny hammer that is the symbol of his presidency.

“Colleagues, let history reflect the fact that this is the Presidency that made a bold choice to proactively engage with oil and gas companies,” Jaber said. “We had many hard discussions. Let me tell you, it wasn’t easy.”

 

Opening ceremonies and statements

 

“This is going to be a festival of distraction, of miracle tech fixes including carbon capture and storage which will be framed as essential. But this is no substitute for the full phase out of fossil fuels which must be fast, full, fair and funded; it’s about these four Fs,” said Romain Ioualalen, global policy campaign manager at Oil Change International, at CAN’s first daily briefing.

“For almost three decades,” according to GUK’s Fiona Harvey, “world governments have met nearly every year to forge a global response to the climate emergency.”  Under the 1992 UN framework convention on climate change (UNFCCC), every country is treaty-bound to “avoid dangerous climate change” and “find ways to reduce greenhouse gas emissions globally in an equitable way.

Unlike the first days of the disorganised Cop27 in Egypt, there was actually food...mostly vegan... a nod to the enormous impact meat has on the climate. An avocado, edamame and hummus sandwich was one offering.

It wasn’t cheap, though. A coffee is $6 (£4.75), more expensive even than most cafes in New York, so delegates without big budgets are coming prepared with packed lunches and thermoses.

Carnivores were catered for, too, and meals were halal – eg a chicken sausage roll. But it’s a clear improvement on the meat feast of Cop24 in Poland, and the beefburger vans of Cop27.

Mariana Paoli, Christian Aid’s global advocacy lead, said: “This time last year, at the start of Cop27 in Egypt, the loss and damage fund was not even on the agenda for that meeting. So it’s a testament to the determination of developing country negotiators that we now already have the fund agreed and established.

 

The mob

 

Even before the summit closed... in fact, even as it just began, Carbon Brief looked at the provisional figures, and found that a mob of 84,101 people were registered to attend, 3,074 of whom are attending virtually.

The figures are provisional as more people will have registered than actually attend, but it is close to certain that this will be the biggest Cop ever in terms of number of participants. The final number or attendees will be released after the conference.

The UNFCCC, which organises the summits, has published the full list of participants in spreadsheet format, making them far easier to analyse.

For comparison, Cop27 in Sharm el-Sheikh last year hosted just under 50,000 delegates, while Cop1 in Berlin in 1995 only hosted 3,969.

Kamala Harris, vice-president of the US who is attending in place of Joe Biden, has told the conference that the country is investing heavily in adaptation, with a particular focus on marginalised communities.

Harris announced a significant $3bn pledge to the Green Climate Fund, but does not mention that this is subject to approval by Congress, which is divided.

“This is a pivotal moment. Our action, or worse, our inaction today … will impact the lives of billions of people for decades to come. So, for as much as we have accomplished … there is more work to do, and continued progress will not be without a fight,” Harris said.

“Around the world, there are those who seek to slow or stop our progress. Leaders who deny climate science, delay climate action, and spread misinformation. Large corporations that greenwash their climate inaction and lobby for billions of dollars in fossil fuel subsidies. It is clear: we must do more.”

The US, which is the world’s richest country and biggest polluter, has been widely criticised for the relative paltriness of its climate finance offerings so far as well for Biden’s truancy.  In his place, Vice President Harris gave a cheerelader’s oration – upholding America’s industry, liberty and virtuousity.

“Around the world,” she fingerpointed (although neither Putin nor Xi nor The Donald were present), “there are those who seek to slow or stop our progress.  Leaders who deny climate science, delay climate action, and spread misinformation.  Corporations that greenwash climate inaction and lobby for billions of dollars in fossil fuel subsidies.

“In the face of their resistance and in the context of this moment, we must do more.”

And... although she chose not to mention it... pay.

Pope Francis disappointed the mob when his doctors ordered him to stay home with a bout of “very acute infectious bronchitis”.

He sent the Vatican’s secretary of state, Cardinal Pietro Parolin, in his place with a missive, which Parolin read out.

“I am with you because now more than ever, the future of us all depends on the present that we now choose,” he said.

“I am with you because the destruction of the environment is an offence against God, a sin that is not only personal but also structural, one that greatly endangers all human beings, especially the most vulnerable in our midst and threatens to unleash a conflict between generations.

“I am with you because climate change is a global social issue and one intimately related to the dignity of human life. I am with you to raise the question which we must answer now: Are we working for a culture of life or a culture of death?

“To all of you I make this heartfelt appeal: Let us choose life. Let us choose the future. May we be attentive to the cry of the earth, may we hear the plea of the poor, may we be sensitive to the hopes of the young and the dreams of children. We have a grave responsibility: to ensure that they not be denied their future.”

The Vatican, accordingly, published a full transcript of the speech (Attachment Ten in last week’s DJI)  or it can be found here. 

In a further disappointment, delegates, onlookers and the press (in particular, the liberal Guardian U.K., more mainstream media like the Independent, Reuters and the BBC, and the hard-right, climate denying and deriding tabloids) were themselves denied the presence of Boris Johnson... who probably would have relished the chance to make an appearance at Cop, but no... “he isn’t going this year, despite registering and hoping to, because of the timings for the Covid inquiry,” the GUK timeline reported.  “He’s due to appear next week and is going over his evidence to prepare for what are likely be some gruelling days of interrogation,” which some believe will land him in Old Bailey before, even, his brother-from-another-hairpiece Trump.

GUKstress Helen Horton opined that Boris would probably much prefer addressing international groups at Cop, “where he is quite well-respected because of his enthusiastic hosting of Cop26, where pledges for international finance and halting deforestation were made, and for his public pronouncements on the climate crisis (which did not always match with his policy). Johnson, who is still said to partly blame Sunak for his downfall, would also probably have enjoyed usurping the prime minister’s appearance,” particularly as Sunak’s standing on climate has arguably diminished even since last year, what with his net zero rollback, frequent use of private jets and descriptions of climate experts as “zealots”.

Amidst war, economic volatility and inequality, it was only fitting that COP28 would come in from its share of animosity based on racial, cultural and gender grievances.  Small island nations at risk for disappearance beneath a rising tide clamoured for attention while indigenous spokespersons lambasted the (mostly) wealthy, white, Western delegates for their centuries of oppression.

Las week, we reported on Brenna TwoBears, lead coordinator for the Indigenous Environmental Network in Oregon, who was among Indigenous environmental experts who kicked off the first day of Cop28. These pledged their support for a Fossil Fuel Non-Proliferation Treaty and warned of the dangers market-based false solutions posed to Indigenous peoples and the global climate.

Rihab Khalid, a climate social scientist at the University of Cambridge and interdisciplinary energy researcher who studies the intersections of gender equity, energy access and spatial justice told the Guardian a week ago Saturday that: “I’m here because I’m passionate about gender equity, and I believe we can only achieve this if we align gender-responsive climate action with women’s sustainable development across all sectors.”

On the other hand, COP public relations hawkers published numerous pictures of attractive female delegates in the indigenos costumes. 

A violent videograme, produced by COP 28 and its cops and security forces infers, on the other hand, violence against women.  (See below in the marching section)

The gameworld violence remained only incipient (and official) in the real world as COP convened.  “We have to keep the outrage really high because we are so darn late,” said Christiana Figueres, a veteran negotiator hailed as the architect of the Paris climate agreement on the opening day of the gathering.  (GUK, November 30th, Attachment @)  We have to balance outrage with optimism, the UN’s former climate chief added.

“We are living through climate collapse in real time,” declared a clearly exasperated Guterres. 

 

WORDY RAPPING HOODS

As the arguments and appeals started, it soon became obvious that... with the exception of a few outright climate change deniers and “drill, baby, drill” entrepreneurs (most of whom were oily)... the lines of demarcation were being drawn on the narrow semiotics of carbon phaseout or carbon elimination... leading to further questions of “when” and “how”.  And also, with the exception of a few outright “back to the caves” climate extremists, what would power the robots and the vehicles of the eight million, keep them warm in winter, cool in summer and provide the means of media distraction.

Twenty-two countries called for a tripling of nuclear energy by 2050 in order to meet net zero goals.  John Kerry, the US’s climate envoy (Attachment @, see link here, see USA in country summary for Kerry), defended the statement.   Bill McKibben’s campaign group, 350.org pushed back.

The “elimination” (protesters) versus “phase-out” (OPEC hoodlums and a few government “moderates”) war of words flared up when U.S. lawmakers and ministers from around the world blasted a letter that emerged Friday night, warning OPEC member states to resist calls at the COP28 climate summit for a fossil fuel phase-out.  (Axios, December 9th, Attachment @)

The letter shook up the climate talks in a critical phase, as nations sparred over whether to include “historic language” in an emerging climate agreement that merely called for a “phase-out” of fossil fuels.

The letter, reportedly sent by the OPEC secretary general to all 13 member nations and 10 members of the larger OPEC+ coalition on Dec. 6, warned of the possibility of a tipping point toward a COP28 outcome containing language calling for (at least) a phase-out of fossil fuels.

The letter has also spurred strong reactions abroad as well. In an interview with Axios, Colombia Environment Minister Susana Muhamad compared the letter to something "out of a science fiction movie."

"Why don't they come and speak up here and tell the truth that they want to prevail, even if the planet goes to, or two-thirds of humanity go to hell," she told Axios.

 

@title

 

Sunday dawned as health day in hot, polluted Abu Dhabi  with various reports and declarations passed on to the Particulars.  Kamala and Kerry conatributed... the right wing  New York reporting that the failed 2004  Presidential candidate also passed a hefty measure of methane to all.

More quietly, tho’ forcefully, the Africa Centres for Disease Control and Prevention... the continent’s main public health body,...said more funding was needed to tackle health crises in what the unwoke still call the Dark Continent.

Jean Kaseya, head of the Africa CDC, said the continent has had 158 disease outbreaks already this year, following on closely from the Covid-19 pandemic, and that the climate crisis is a leading cause of them.

“Each outbreak we miss can become a pandemic – and that is the major concern we have today. We don’t want the next pandemic to come from Africa due to climate change. This is why we are pushing for more funding,” he warned.

Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus, director general of the World Health Organization, compared fossil fuels to tobacco.  “Addressing climate change necessitates addressing the role of fossil fuels, much as we cannot address lung cancer without addressing the impact of tobacco.”

 

Speaking of things marketed, eaten, smoked or otherwise consumed, several GUK takeaways (December 1st, Attachment @) addressed the politics of food overconsumption, ethics, insecurity and downright absence (as witness the starving civilian children of Gaza).

 

“Crop diversity can help us reduce greenhouse gas emissions in agriculture, adapt to drought and promote healthy diets and sustainable livelihoods. There is no food security without it but we’re losing diversity from the fields and too many seed banks are inadequately resourced, ” said Stefan Schmitz, director of the Crop Trust.

Industrial agriculture dominated by monocrops, synthetic fertilisers, deforestation and conglomerates has devastated naturally occurring crop diversity in the past 60 years or so, and the race is now on to breed drought resistant and more weather-flexible crops. In the UAE for example, there are wild dates and olive trees adapted to extreme mountain conditions which could provide a “genetic treasure trove”, according to the World Wildlife Fund, which is trying to locate and conserve the heritage seeds for future generations. “Mankind created and has survived on the basis of crop diversity, it is part of our cultural heritage and nature. But there’s no sustainability climate funding available for protecting diversity, it goes to the food industry and 21st innovations, not traditional solutions,” added Schmitz.

The impact of climate change on food production, distribution and cost was also brought up... representatives of poorer nations contending that the in-again, out-again, in-again $3.5B pledge earmarked from the loss and damage fund would not (even if restored or increased) be sufficient to save lives and mandate a healthy planet without immediate (and probably intrusive)  government regulation of people’s lifestyles and diets.

“Stop ignoring the cow in the room!” protesters shouted as they gathered at the entrance of the Blue Zone to call for the negotiation of a global plant-based treaty as a companion to the Paris agreement and to address breaches to five planetary boundaries.

Hoshimi Sakai from Plant Based Treaty said: “This is the first Cop where food systems have been addressed. It has to be a fair and just plant-based food system that not only takes care of our own health but the planet’s health. This is urgent, everyone must sign the plant-based treaty and Cop29 must be 100% vegan.”

Immediately after the announcement that the loss and damage funding arrangements had been agreed, the United Arab Emirates, which is hosting the talks, pledged $100m to the fund.

 

Marchers, merchers and marbles

During the testimonies, some of the speakers could not help but introduce tangential, sometimes important - sometimes peripheral issues into the gathering.

Foremost among these was, and remains, the MidEast war, with the vast majority of delegates supporting the Palestinians (including Hamas) and blaming Israel for civilian deaths which a few even compared to the Holocaust.

Politico reported that Israeli president Isaac Herzog spent much of the morning in meetings telling fellow leaders about “how Hamas blatantly violates the ceasefire agreements,” according to a post on his X account. “He ended up skipping a speech he was meant to give during Friday’s parade of world leaders” 

Then, shortly after leaders posed for a group photo in the Dubai venue on Friday, the Iranian delegation announced it was walking out. The reason, Iran’s energy minister told his country’s official news agency: The “political, biased and irrelevant presence of the fake Zionist regime” — referring to Israel.

Abdullah II bin Al-Hussein, the king of Jordan linked the climate emergency to the war happening in Gaza. He said:

“As we speak the Palestinian people are facing an immediate threat to their lives and well being. Tens of thousands have been injured or killed in a region already on the frontline of climate change. The massive destruction of water makes the environmental threats of water scarcity and food insecurity more severe.”

He added that people there are living without clean water and with a bare minimum of food supplies and points out that climate change exacerbates the destructive nature of war.

The monarch asked for more aid to be sent to the most vulnerable and pointed out that Jordan does not contribute significantly to climate breakdown but is greatly affected, with water scarcity a real threat.

Politico also reported on the shadow cast over Cop28 by the war in Gaza. Several leaders used their speeches to draw attention to the conflict, and behind the scenes officials are having meetings with their counterparts about Gaza.

Israeli president Isaac Herzog told the Particulars about “how Hamas blatantly violates the ceasefire agreements,” according to a post on his X account. He ended up skipping a speech he was meant to give during Friday’s parade of world leaders.  Mahmoud Abbas, the Palestinian Authority leader, also disappeared from the final speakers’ list after initially being scheduled to talk just a few slots after Herzog and the Iranians walked out to protest the “Zionist” slant of COP28 (see country listings and this link).

Interlopers walked in.  “There can be no climate justice on occupied land,” said Dylan Hamilton, a 19-year-old climate justice and trans rights activist from Scotland. “The youth stand with Palestine.”

The briefing ended with an emotional address from Tariq Luthun, a Palestinian American from Friends of the Earth Palestine, who said denying water to people was a form of collective punishment that has also been used in the US, for example the mass water shutoffs for overdue bills in Detroit and the lead contamination scandal in Flint, Michigan.

“What good is to be found in a green world if the roots are soaked in blood,” said Luthum.

And, the day before yesterday, the Associated Press... reporting on pro-Hamas marches outside the convention hall... also published statements by Joey Shea, of Human Rights Watch, and photographs of protesters holding  images  of jailed activist Mohamed al-Siddiq and Egypt’s jailed leading pro-democracy activist Alaa Abdel-Fattah.  Reporter John Gambrell (Attachment @, December 9th cited the “shocking level of censorship” and controls that “bordered on the absurd” as police redacted the free speech of naïve Westerners who lacked experience in what real dictatorships look and feel like.

British academic Matthew Hedges, who was imprisoned by the United Arab Emirates for seven months after being accused of spying, has warned visitors to Cop28 not to fall into the same trap he did.

He warned attendees to: “take a clean phone, a new phone with limited access. Do not have social media on your phone, or if you do, make sure it is a business account, with two-factor authentication, or something like this, and do the same for the safety, integrity of your emails.”

 

On a matter of less danger and more limited interest... specifically to King Charles and to the Greeks... the new King’s address (while termed more of the same old-same old by the more urgent Particulars in its ossuary of clichés and vapid promises) did, at least, hint that he supported a return to Athens “of the Parthenon (aka Elgin) marbles  in the wake of this week’s row over the antiquities.

A royal observation that may have gone unnoticed but, over in Greece, is causing waves of excitement in the view of GUK’s Helena Smith.  (December first)  The Greek media has noted “with a touch of euphoria” that the British monarch was donning a Greek-motif tie and breast pocket handkerchief – signalling (or so it has been interpreted) his support for the marbles.

 

And there was plenty of merching and vending inside the COP while the marching and venting transpired outside.  One of the strangest tie-ins to the climate conference must be the Cop28 Adventures game, which merch was released by Dubai police before the event began.  Its summary on Google’s Play Store reads:

“Immerse yourself in the urgent world of global climate action in Climate Guardians COP28. As a delegate at the UAE conference, craft policies, solve environmental challenges, and collaborate with players worldwide. Explore stunning UAE locations, make impactful decisions, and compete for the highest cooperation score. Join the movement for a sustainable future today.”

The Guardian will not be downloading the app, and recommends that you do not either.  But if you can’t resist, check out Attachment @

 

International and intra-national politics

The touchy, tetchy president of Cop28, Sultan Al Jaber, drew incoming for his claim that there was “no science” indicating that a phase-out of fossil fuels is needed to restrict global heating to 1.5C, the Guardian and the Centre for Climate Reporting revealed during a live online event on 21 November; his “ill-tempered responses to questions at a She Changes Climate event from Mary Robinson, the chair of the Elders group and a former UN special envoy for climate change,” also included contentions that a phase-out of fossil fuels would not allow sustainable development “unless you want to take the world back into caves”.

The comments were “incredibly concerning” and “verging on climate denial”, assorted scientists (like Prof. Sir David King, chair of the Climate Crisis Advisory Group and a former UK chief scientific adviser, and Dr Friederike Otto of Imperial College London, UK) replied, and GUK said that they were “at odds with the position of the UN secretary general, António Guterres.”  Bill Hare, the chief executive of Climate Analytics, said: “This is an extraordinary, revealing, worrying and belligerent exchange. ‘Sending us back to caves’ is the oldest of fossil fuel industry tropes: it’s verging on climate denial.”

“[There are] massive co-benefits that come with changing to a fossil-free world,” Otto disagreed.

“Once again, this is clearly part of a continued effort to undermine the Cop presidency’s tangible achievements and a misrepresentation of our position and successes to date,” an anonymous “spokesman” disagreed with the disagreement.

Next to Jaber, COP28’s staunchest (and derided... at least by GUK) defender was Britain’s own PM Sunak, who repeatedly defended himself in numerous forums and interviews.  On Friday, he charged that net zero would only be delivered in a way that “benefits the British people”, adding that “we have scrapped plans on heat pumps and energy efficiency that would have cost people thousands of pounds”.

The chief executive of ExxonMobil has made some eyebrow-raising comments in an interview with the Financial Times, claiming the summit focuses too much on renewable energy. It is the first time an Exxon chief has attended a Cop.

The left-ish Guardian went looking for discouraging words, and found plenty of them – including statements by Starmer and by the UN’s former climate chief, who urged people to “balance outrage and optimism” after a “hellish summer” of extreme weather.  “We have to keep the outrage really high because we are so darn late,” said Christiana Figueres, a veteran negotiator hailed as the architect of the Paris climate agreement at the start of the Dubai climate summit

Extinction Rebellion, the climate activist campaign, issued a downbeat assessment of what the earth could expect from Cop28 as it began, saying we have woken up to a world that “is as bad, if not worse than we predicted five years ago”, with 2023 set to be classified the hottest year on record… “we are once again seeing world leaders fly, on their private jets, to the next conference of the parties in the United Arab Emirates, a nation built almost entirely on fossil fuel wealth. Cop28 is led by Dr Sultan Ahmed Al Jaber, founder and chair of Abu Dhabi National Oil Company (Adnoc). which has the largest net-zero busting plans in the world.

“Before it has even begun, it is clear the Cop process has been captured by the fossil fuel economy,” XREX states, but its rather accommodationist conclusion (rather than, for example, bombing the meetings) is that: “Yes, Cop28 is not good enough, but it’s all we’ve got.”

The development charity ActionAid UK also criticised the UK’s progress on climate action, saying domestic policies are threatening progress on the global stage by sending the wrong message to countries elsewhere in the world.  Zahra Hdidou, senior climate and resilience adviser at ActionAid UK, said that, the U.K. “issues licences for over 100 new oil and gas fields, cause immense harm to women and girls disproportionately affected by climate breakdown (see below) and UK banks like HSBC and Barclays are “among the largest funders of climate chaos.”But there were reasons for optimism that could stop people falling into “a dark rabbit hole”, she added. “I do make a conscious choice every morning to say: ‘Yes, I know what all the bad news is’ – that’s easy to get because that just screams at you from whatever news feed you have – but also, what is positive that is going out there? What are the disruptive pieces that are real, strong evidence of the fact that this is changing?

John Beard, a former Exxon engineer who now campaigns against the industry’s impacts on communities along the Gulf of Mexico coast, was there for Kerry’s speech and said: “You can’t talk about decarbonising when you’re recarbonising, it doesn’t make sense. Talk is cheap and sending your big dog officials here isn’t going to do it, it’s action that will do it.”

While Sunak and Starmer rumble in the streets of London (and, now, Abu Dhabi), on the other shore and side of the partisan divide, a gang of Republican lawmakers made the trip from the U.S.A. to Dubai, to push a contrary anti-cop message – that President Biden is waging a war on American energy and that China is being let off too easily in emissions cuts.

They found a sympathetic soul in Giorgia Meloni, Italy’s rightwing prime minister who has long dismissed the need for urgent action on climate change and called out the human (and K-9 and robot) cops to crack down hard on protests by environmental and other activists, supporting or opposing climate change.  She spoke of the need for what she describes as “a technology-neutral approach, free from radicalism”.

Meloni wrapped up her drill baby drill discourse by quoting Warren Buffett: “There is someone sitting in the shade today because someone else planted a tree long ago.”  She was probably not referring to UK Labour leader Starmer’s army of shadow cabineteers... maybe to one of Jaber’s fellow sheikhs now using the summit to finalize and embark on another escapade of climatic imperialism.

Speaking after an EU event on carbon markets alongside Ursula von der Leyen, the Spanish prime minister, Pedro Sánchez, and the heads of the World Trade Organization (WTO), World Bank and International Monetary Fund (IMF), Zambia’s president, Hakainde Hichilema said his country lacked expertise on developing carbon projects and needed international organisations to help.

This year, the rights over vast tracts of African forest have been sold off in a series of huge carbon offsetting deals that cover an area of land larger than the UK to a UAE-based firm called Blue Carbon, with concerns raised about the previous business dealings of the young Dubai royal behind the agreements.

When asked about the secretive Blue Carbon deals on the opening day of Cop 28, Hichilema said they would benefit local people, striking back at suggestions that a wave of carbon offsetting deals in African countries by a UAE sheikh, which include his country, are a new “scramble for Africa”.   (GUK, Attachment @, November 30th).

“It shouldn’t be [a scramble for Africa’s resources]. When someone comes to our country and brings an idea around carbon, we say that we don’t understand how to work through this. That is why we have asked the World Bank, the IMF, the WTO, the African Development Bank to put the technical capacity together, learning from what the countries of the north have done,” he said.

The Guardian, looking into Sheikh Dalmook’s business dealings uncovered numerous shadowy fellows – even an “Italian fugitive!”

 

@ Sunday

 

@COP closes next week

 

@leaders A to Z  (Attachment “B”)

 

But, again, the happiest... tho’ briefest... manifestation of Thanksgiving occurred with the rescue of Little Abi.  And what will the world give Don Jones for Christmas?

 

 

Our Lesson: December 4th through 10th, 2023

 

Monday, December 4, 2023

Dow:  36,204.44

The Israeli-Hamas war escalates outward into all of Gaza, the West Bank, Lebanon, Yemen (where bad drones attack Israeli-linked shipping and “good” drones strike Houthi tribesmen, (by proxy) Iran and even (by domestic or foreign terror), France.  Desperate image spark do-gooders like UNICEF to condemn the war on children; Israel fights back by showing 8/8 rape videos.  International protests include bombings and murders in Paris, which now fears for its 2024 Olympics.  Ukraine asks: “What about us?”

   International protests, but fewer of them attend the COP28 summet in Abu Dhabi, mainly because police round up and lock up even peaceful demonstrators.  Proceedings noted above.  COP28 closes next Tuesday.

   No closure for the Earth... volcanoes erupting in Iceland and Indonesia, plain ol’ earthquakes in the Phillippines.  Falling crude oil prices are a disaster for Russia and Iran, a boon to Americans just back from Thanksgiving travels and ready to venture out again for Christmas and big boxes of Black Friday merch.  Black boxes under stress and strain as reports flow in about drunken air traffic controllers and mentally ill pilots as Alaska airlines buys out Hawaian air and Thanksgiving travelers start booking Christmas flights.

 

Tuesday, December 5, 2023

Dow:  36.124.56

Refugees in South Gaza complain that Israel is shelling and strafing them now, after telling them to move out of the North.  Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) admit that killing all the Hamas terrorists is impossible, so they are focusing on the leadership, still sneaking around in tunnels beneath hospitals, schools and mosques – which are duly bombed, as are ambulances Israel says have been commandeered by Hamas.

   American Republicans continue to hold up aid to Israel, Ukraina and, now, Taiwan over demands for a stronger Mexican border policy.  (Mining?)  Further delighting Russia, China, NoKo, Iran and a few others: Sen Tuberville (R-Al) still holding up military promotions.

   While COP speakers speak, Phoenix heat deaths now top all of those in previous years and the weather seems to be driving drivers crazy... a “prom-posal” prank featuring Hollywood-ish stunts smash motorcycles and pedestrians in the Sunshine State.

   As FBI Director Christopher Wray warns of MidEast partisan rumbles and lone wolves, pro-Israel, pro-Hamas and pro-fessional pro-testers protest across American universities and Congress summons Harvard, Penn and M.I.T. to explain their hands-off First Amendment blather.  Pro-fessor at UNLV goes on a murder spree while, in Wyoming, a “school resource” officer beats up an uppity 8 year old black (in Wyoming!) disabled student, shouting: “No, you don’t win this!  It’s all ME!  I should take you to jail!”

 

Wednesday, December 6, 2023

Dow:  36,054.43

Djonald UnJailed blows off the Alabama debate to mooch money and chews fat with Sean Hannity, who asks him whether, if re-elected, he will rule as a dictator.  “Only on Day One,” Trump replies, citing the border and chanting: “Drill, baby, drill.”  (See COP28 responses above and in Attachment “A”.)  He calls the nine eleven rioters “hostages” – inferring a pardon.

   For their part, three of his four remaining challengers (Doug Burgum and his money drop out) tiptoe ‘round the Trumpster – apparently hoping he’ll invite them to replace Mike Pence as Veep and then, maybe, die.  Nikki calls Saint Ron’s calling her out for her donors “jealousy”; DeSantis derides Chris Christie’s faltering polls; Christie retorts that’s because he’s the only candidate who stands up to Trump and calls Vivek an “obnoxious blowhard”; Ramaswamy infers that Nikki’s daughter’s TIK TOKKing is a Chinese plot and assures America that he “has legs.”   The Chinese as can watch... delighted... the debate, on the CW Channel, ropes in millions of Americans hoping for Garth and Alan and Dolly and Jellyroll and  President Joe says he probably wouldn’t run if Trump were out of the race.

   RIP: Norman Lear, 101... producer of “All in the Family” and numberous other successful sitcoms... the tributes pour in.  Also RIP (retiring in peace), fired Speaker K-Mac who’ll spitefully leave his California seat open for Democrat Newsome to fill.

   MFP (Merch for profits) George Santos finds a post-expulsion job, recording videos for givers to gift to friends or enemies for the holidays – each bearing a personal message from George.

 

Thursday, December 7 2023

Dow:  36,117.38

It’s Pearl Harbor Day.  Also Thankful Thursday... thanksgivings that all of the wars are over there, not over here... not yet.

   Good news on the military front, tho’... Sen. Tuberville (R-Al) abandons his insane scheme to decapitate the American military, sort of, and Congress quickly promotes over four hundred soldiers into officers (Tommy still holds up ten four-star promotions as hostage to... something?... can’t he go join Hamas and there bollix up their Chain of Command to help Israel decapitate their leadership?).

   If it’s abortion, he should be cheering the Texas AyGee who overrides a judge and orders a woman not to have an abortion, even if it kills her. He also proposes life sentences for abortion docs. 

   If it’s the border, the enemies of America should be cheering as aid for allies at war is redacted unless President Joe does something about the migrants – not only Mexicans but Hondurans and Turks and secret agents from Russia and China freezing in tent cities as they ponder their secret missions.

   Israel now has a secret plan to win the war... flood the tunnels under Gaza with seawater and drown them all.  That it will salinate and destroy agriculture from the Mediterranean to the Jordan, that it will also probably drown the hostages... details!  Pshaw!

   Liz Cheney further muddies 2024 and drowns Joe’s re-election by planning to run as an Independent alongside the Green, the Libertarian, Manchin, Marianne and RFK Junior to split the vote into tiny and very disgusting little pieces.  But bipartisanship does score a small victory as Sens. Raphael Warnock (D-Ga) and John Kennedy (R-La... not Bobby’s dead uncle) collude to lower insulin prices.

 

Friday, December 9, 2023

Dow:  36,245.50

It’s National Brownie Day (the dessert, not the little girls).

   It’s also the first full day of Hanukkah, drawing all the neo-Nazis, Palestinian puppets and space-laster paranoids out into the streets... Doug Emhoff (i.e. Mr. Kamalala) gives a speech about anti-Semitism at a synagogue... he’s ag’in it.  Surprise!  Not ag’in it is an Iraqi-American ISISoid who shoots up a synagogue full of children in Albany, NY, is arrested and the authorities are mulling over whether following his mullah into jihad constitute a hate crime... hate is so diluted and commonplace these days.  In Atlanta, a woman tries to burn down the Martin Luther King memorial house.  A black woman!

   Killer haters are in the news and in the courts... school shooter Ethan Crumbley gets life without for icing four in Michigan.  He tells the court: “I am a really bad person,” but, at least, does not blame his parents.  The Vegas school shooter... a professor... carried a hit list but couldn’t stick to it and started killing people at random – disgruntled because UNLV wouldn’t hire him due to his espousal of weird conspiracy theories.  No motive and no suspect yet in the murder of a high school cheerleader in Edna, TX, but the suicide/homicide pilot who tried to crash a jet and kill dozens gets his charges reduced to misdemeanors and gets out on $50,000 bail/

   Hunter Biden hasn’t killed anyone... yet, not counting his father’s chances of re-election... but his dirty dealings in China and Ukraine could net him 17 years for not payin the taxes on his loot.  He spent it all on clothes, hookers, porn sites and drugs – making George Santos look like a charity case.  Could Don Junior and Eric be next?

 

Saturday, December 9, 2023

Dow:  Closed

The United States vetoes a U.N. resolution calling for a humanitarian cease-fire because the fine print is anti-Semitic.  Israel thanks America... and then does institute a short pause to allow civilians in Gaza to run to a few tiny no-fire zones that may be safe, or not.  As reports of hostage deaths ooze in, families point fingers at the IDF attacks while Netanyahu blames Hamas.

   Back in the USA, the Supreme Court of Texas overturns a lower court ruling overturning the demand that a woman who claims her foetus is disabled beyond survivavility and her life is in danger to have it anyway or face a long prison term... maybe the death penalty.  The doctors, too.

   Republicans argue over whether Djoker UnChained’s contention that he will be a dictator “for a day” is just a little ex-Presidential humor or a promise.

 

Sunday, December 10, 2023

Dow: Closed

Twenty two (later, twenty eight) tornadoes strike the Southeast in a line from Beaurgard, Alabama (destroyed by twisters in 2019) to Nashville to Kentucky.  Six are killed, many more injured or missing.  Weatherpersons say the storms will cruise on up the east coast to the BosWash corridor, followed by freezing temperatures.

   All screaming “Pay attention to ME... look at ME!” partisans at Harvard, Penn and M.I.T. rassle over what is or is not anti-Semitism or free speech.  Cpward;u Presidents and Professor apologize for what they say, then apologize for apologizing while the righteous pro-Jew and pro-Hamas students get their pictures taken.  Elon Musk invites Alex Jones back onto “X”/

   On the Sunday talkshows, anti-Trump Republicans Sarah Isgue and Ramesh (Nat. Review) Ponnuru say the four remaining challengers should follow the unelectable Chris Christie in denouncing The Donald.  SecState Tony Blinken talks diplomatically about whether America should invade Yemen and pleads for release of aid to the failing  Ukrainians.  And Liz Cheney floats a third (or twelfth) party Independent/Conservative candidacy which will further split the electorate and ensure a Trump triumph.

 

A drop in the unemployment rate overcame a rise in America’s trade deficit to close out the week up a bit... not quite enough to bring it back to parity with the Don’s debut in 2013, but closer.  The Dow, with inflation finally turning downwards and the Fed planning Christmas parties instead of rate hikes, kept rising, gladdening the rich but the working class also finally enjoyed a week where wage increases topped inflation.

Foreigners, once again, behaved like animals... a slur against animals... but instigated no major political, economic or military terror other than doing what they always do.  The debaters debated... on CW!... but Trump still leads De Santis by 45 points, Haley by 49 and President Joe by 4 despite unpopular positions on dictatorship, abortion and his own character.  Then again, Haley had a double digit lead in the latest Wall Street Journal poll... but will Republican primary voters do the obvious and sane thing in their caucuses, election and convention? 

Nah!

 

 

 

THE DON JONES INDEX

 

CHART of CATEGORIES w/VALUE ADDED to EQUAL BASELINE of 15,000

(REFLECTING… approximately… DOW JONES INDEX of June 27, 2013)

 

Negative/harmful indices in RED.  See a further explanation of categories here

 

ECONOMIC INDICES (60%)

CATEGORY

VALUE

BASE

RESULTS

SCORE

OUR SOURCES and COMMENTS

 

INCOME

(24%)

6/17/13 & 1/1/22

LAST

CHANGE

NEXT

LAST WEEK

THIS WEEK

 

Wages (hrly. Per cap)

9%

1350 points

12/4/23

 -0.34%

12/23

1,471.64

1,471.64

https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/wages   29.19

 

Median Inc. (yearly)

4%

600

12/4/23

+0.022%

12/18/23

612.75

612.86

http://www.usdebtclock.org/   36,131 139

 

Unempl. (BLS – in mi)

4%

600

9/4/23

  -5.41%

1/24

584.93

616.55

http://data.bls.gov/timeseries/LNS14000000   3.9 3.7

 

Official (DC – in mi)

2%

300

12/4/23

 +0.12%

12/18/23

243.80

243.54

http://www.usdebtclock.org/      6,547 554

 

Unofficl. (DC – in mi)

2%

300

12/4/23

  -0.18%

12/18/23

285.89

285.70

http://www.usdebtclock.org/      11,291 271

 

Workforce Particip.

   Number

   Percent

2%

300

12/4/23

 

+0.059%+0.021%

12/18/23

301.64

301.70

In 161,405 501 Out 99,916 917 Total: 262,321 418

http://www.usdebtclock.org/   61..543

 

WP %  (ycharts)*

1%

150

9/4/23

 +0.16%

12/23

151.43

151.67

https://ycharts.com/indicators/labor_force_participation_rate  62.70 .80

 

OUTGO

15%

 

 

Total Inflation

7%

1050

10/9/23

+0.0%

12/23

974.11

974.11

http://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm     +0.0

 

Food

2%

300

10/9/23

+0.3%

12/23

275.17

275.17

http://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm     +0.3

 

Gasoline

2%

300

10/9/23

 -5.0%

12/23

233.06

233.06

http://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm      -5.0

 

Medical Costs

2%

300

10/9/23

+0.4%

12/23

295.78

295.78

http://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm     +0.4

 

Shelter

2%

300

10/9/23

+0.3%

12/23

270.01

270.01

http://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm     +0.3

 

WEALTH

6%

 

 

 

Dow Jones Index

2%

300

12/4/23

+0.007%

12/18/23

297.00

297.02

https://www.wsj.com/market-data/quotes/index/    36,245.50  47.87

 

Home (Sales)

(Valuation)

1%

1%

150

150

12/4/23

 -0.76%

 -3.14%

12/23

123.00

282.74

123.00

282.74

https://www.nar.realtor/research-and-statistics

Sales (M):  3.79 Valuations (K):  391.8

 

Debt (Personal)

2%

300

12/4/23

 +0.04%

12/18/23

270.59

270.49

http://www.usdebtclock.org/    74,843 870

 

NATIONAL

(10%)

 

 

Revenue (trilns.)

2%

300

12/4/23

 -0.07%

12/18/23

374.91

374.65

debtclock.org/       4,410 407

Expenditures (tr.)

2%

300

12/4/23

 -0.03%

12/18/23

333.93

333.82

debtclock.org/       6,163 165

National Debt tr.)

3%

450

12/4/23

 +0.28%

12/18/23

398.32

397.19

http://www.usdebtclock.org/    33,886 902

(The debt ceiling... now kicked forward to next year.. had been 31.4.  Of late, there have been rumblings and mutterings from Congress, that it should be addressed sooner… like now?)

Aggregate Debt (tr.)

3%

450

12/4/23

+0.10%

12/18/23

384.04

384.65

http://www.usdebtclock.org/    103,531 635

 

 

 

 

GLOBAL

(5%)

 

Foreign Debt (tr.)

2%

300

12/4/23

 +0.05%

12/18/23

317.41

317.25

http://www.usdebtclock.org/   7,762 766

Exports (in billions)

1%

150

11/23

  -0.88%

12/23

162.17

160.74

https://www.census.gov/foreign-trade/current/index.html  261.1 258.8

Imports (bl.)

1%

150

11/23

 +0.09%

12/23

169.76

169.60

https://www.census.gov/foreign-trade/current/index.html  322.7 323.0

 

Trade Deficit (bl.)

1%

150

1123

 +4.65% 

12/23

341.74

325.85

https://www.census.gov/foreign-trade/current/index.html    61.5  64.5

 

 

SOCIAL INDICES  (40%)

ACTS of MAN

12%

 

 

1207

World Affairs

3%

450

10/9/23

    nc

12/18/23

458.37

458.37

Europe’s most hazardous nuclear site has worsening leak that could pose risk to public.   Peru’s top court orders former President Alberto Fujimori’s release from prison, defying an international court decision.  Long thought to be extinct in Kenya, giant pangolins are now being helped back from the brink – Chinese gourmets salivating.  French prudes cancel actor Gerard Depardieu for talking and thinking sexy things.

War and terrorism

2%

300

12/4/23

-0.2%

12/18/23

296.05

295.46

FBI director Wray says he sees Blinken red lights as Arab/Israeli partisanship gets louder and angrier at home.  The wars roll on, but apperantly without American aid held up by Congress – thus, Conquest for Hamas, Putin and Xi.  Shee!ites in Iran blamed for attacks on Jewish cargo shipping in the Red Sea, Israel does say it’s killed five more Hamasoids - threatens to flood Gaza tunnels and to Hell with the hostages.  But Maximum Leader Yahya Sinwa apparently escapes.

Politics

3%

450

12/4/23

    nc

12/18/23

481.88

481.88

Former President Trump declares he will not be a dictator (except on Day One) and the liberal media gasp.  He’s rotating between four criminal, one civil and many pending court dates, but rising in the polls and obviously having a very good time.  His four primary opponents make fools of themselves in Alabama, so we must now say “Good night!” to the GOP primary.

Economics

3%

450

12/4/23

+0.7%

12/18/23

433.93

436.97

TV-con-o’mystics predict sub-flat job growth of 169K but the stats show 199K, a drop in the unemployment rate, wage gains topping inflation and the Fed not knowing what to do.  WalMart yanks ads from Elon’s X; Elon dis-yanks Info Warrior Alex Jones.

Crime

1%

150

12/4/23

-0.3%

12/18/23

244.78

244.05

American ambassador to Bolivia accused of being Cuban spy.  Bahamian shark eats woman from Boston.  Hat thief kills security guard at Philadelphia Macy’s.  Week’s other murder roundups include Texas terror (six in Austin, four in Dallas and a cheerleader knifed in Edna.  Another high school girl killed in Facebook Marketplace robbery, Bad Grandma shoots five month old in face,

ACTS of GOD

(6%)

 

 

Environment/Weather

3%

450

12/4/23

-0.3%

12/18/23

395.82

394.63

Important stats and speeches at COP28 (see above).  In the US, a coast to coast storm brings heavy rain in the West, snow to the East (after long snow droghts up and down the BosWash corridor) and, in between, tornadoes.

Disasters

3%

450

12/4/23

+0.1%

12/18/23

419.60

420.02

Christmas trees said to be in short supplies due to wildfires and drought.  Eleven killed in Indonesian volcano.  Hot air balloon crashes in Phoenix yard – but all 9 passengers are saved.

LIFESTYLE/JUSTICE INDEX

(15%)

 

Science, Tech, Educ.

4%

600

12/4/23

-0.2%

12/18/23

636.67

635.40

New robots developed to do the Shipping and Packing that Archie Bunker did, back in the day.  The roboticians say their machines will “supplement” workers, not replace them.  Eh? (Maybe the laidoff can be retrained as air traffic controllers or, if they pass the psych exam, even pilots?)  The U.S. and Europe are trying to regulate artificial intelligence — but the technology is evolving more rapidly than their policies.

Equality (econ/social)

4%

600

12/4/23

   nc

12/18/23

635.55

635.55

High school athletes clamour to be included in NIL (name, image, likeness) merch and get paid.  Atlanta woman arrested for trying to burn down the MLK memorial home.  She’s... uh... black?  Yup!

Health

4%

600

12/4/23

+0.4%

12/18/23

472.93

474.82

Researchers are testing genetic manipulation solutions to cure sickle cell anemia and raise prospect of other miracles.  TV docs say Ozempic cures alcoholism as well as obesity.  Mandatory med?  But not cantaloupes, they’re poison!  They also recommend sucking on sour candy... or something... to fend off panic attacks, not giving small children magnetic metal balls to choke on and coming from China, just for Christmas, new plague variant JM1.  (They’ve given up on Greek letters.)

Freedom and Justice

3%

450

12/4/23

+0.3%

12/18/23

471.51

472.92

Lotsa bad people headed to courts to face justice – Ethan Crumbly (Michigan school shooter... his bad parents later), Alex Murdaugh, Rudy G. and, of course, Donald Trump (giving him an excuse to skip the debate) and Hunter Biden (who confesses he spent millions in dark money from Ukraine and China) on drugs, hookers and porn sites.

MISCELLANEOUS and TRANSIENT INDEX

(7%)

 

 

 

 

Cultural incidents

3%

450

12/4/23

 +0.1%

12/18/23

515.72

516.24

America to go bowling with Michigan/Alabama for the Roses, Washington and Texas for the Sugar.  Georgia and Florida State, excluded, complain.  Army/Navy game moved to Boston for 250th anniversary of the Boston Tea Party – Army wins. Year end end-Time judgments include voters Val and Xochi winning trophies for “Dancing with the Stars”, Lionel Messi named athlete of the year, and the man... er... woman of the year is – Surprise! – Taylor Swift.  Brenda Lee’s 1958 “Rockin’ Around the Christmas Tree” deposes Mariah as Billboard’s Number One.

  RIP: Norman “All in the Family” Lear, musician Denny Laine (Sir Paul’s Wings, Moodies), Fidel Castro’s sister Juanita.

  R(etire)IP: Deposed Speaker K-Mac, K.I.S.S. (after their farewell tour).

Misc. incidents

4%

450

12/4/23

 +0.1%

12/18/23

497.95

498.45

Morality-impelled hackers hack porn sites and the dating app. “23 and Me”, thus perhaps causing not-so-golden bachelors and -ettes to be hooked up with lawyers, pangolins and kangaroos.  McDonald’s debuts CosMc coffee shop in Illinois.  Need a spokesman?  Cosby’s available. 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

The Don Jones Index for the week of December 4th through December 10th, 2023 was UP 16.07 points

 

The Don Jones Index is sponsored by the Coalition for a New Consensus: retired Congressman and Independent Presidential candidate Jack “Catfish” Parnell, Chairman; Brian Doohan, Administrator.  The CNC denies, emphatically, allegations that the organization, as well as any of its officers (including former Congressman Parnell, environmentalist/America-Firster Austin Tillerman and cosmetics CEO Rayna Finch) and references to Parnell’s works, “Entropy and Renaissance” and “The Coming Kill-Off” are fictitious or, at best, mere pawns in the web-serial “Black Helicopters” – and promise swift, effective legal action against parties promulgating this and/or other such slanders.

Comments, complaints, donations (especially SUPERPAC donations) always welcome at feedme@generisis.com or: speak@donjonesindex.com.

 

2 GUTIERRES

3 ZAWYA

4

5

THEN – FIGUERES

KERRY/MC KIBBEN

AXIOS 12/9

GUK FOOD

A[ GAMBRE;; 12/9

 


 

 

ATTACHMENT ONE – From

A1 From GUKUpdated at 03.24 EST

14h ago01.19 EST

So what is a conference of the parties? My colleague

@Attach Fiona Harvey, Guardian environment editor and a veteran of multiple Cops, has written a handy explainer, setting out what it is all about. She writes:

“For almost three decades, world governments have met nearly every year to forge a global response to the climate emergency. Under the 1992 UN framework convention on climate change (UNFCCC), every country is treaty-bound to “avoid dangerous climate change” and find ways to reduce greenhouse gas emissions globally in an equitable way. xTh.4

Cop stands for conference of the parties under the UNFCCC, and the annual meetings have swung between fractious and soporific, interspersed with moments of high drama and the occasional triumph (the Paris agreement in 2015) and disaster (Copenhagen in 2009). This year is the 28th iteration, and promises to be a difficult follow-up to last year, when developing countries celebrated victory on key issues of climate finance.

 

A2 FROM AFP via GUK Timeline

November 30

Updated at 03.34 EST

14h ago01.37 EST

Guterres calls for complete 'phase-out' of fossil fuels

António Guterres, the UN secretary general, has said this year’s Cop climate talks should aim for a complete “phase-out” of fossil fuels, insisting of the 1.5C climate goal: “It is not dead, it’s alive.”

Speaking to French state-backed news agency AFP before embarking on his flight to attend the conference in Dubai, Guterres said:

Obviously I am strongly in favour of language that includes (a) phaseout, even with a reasonable time framework.

We have the potential, the technologies and the capacity and the money - because the money is available, it’s a question of making sure it goes into the right direction- to do what is necessary, not only to keep the 1.5 degrees alive, but alive and well.

The only thing that is still lacking is political will.

Scientists are increasingly warning the goal of restricting global warming to 1.5C above pre-industrial levels looks ever more unlikely, an outcome that nations have agreed would be disastrous for human civilisation.

Since the goal was agreed at the Paris climate talks in 2015, nations’ actions have fallen far short. Some countries have called for the final statement of Cop28, which requires unanimous agreement, to explicitly call for a reduction in fossil fuel consumption – which would be a historic first.

But Guterres went further, telling AFP a simple promise to reduce fossil fuels would not be enough. “I think it would be a pity if we would stay in a vague and noncommittal ‘phase-down’ whose real meaning would not be obvious for anybody,” he said.

 

 

A3 from Zawya

Among the “world leaders, royals and possible celebrities” coming to attend the climate conference at Expo City Dubai

Bindu Rai, ZAWYA

November 28, 2023

SUSTAINABILITYENVIRONMENTCLIMATE CHANGEUAECOP 28 DUBAI

As the 28th session of the Conference of the Parties (COP28) gets underway at Expo City, Dubai from November 30 until December 12, here’s a look at all the big names confirmed to attend the summit.

CONFIRMED NAMES

King Charles

King Charles will deliver the opening address at the climate summit on December 1, along with take meetings with regional leaders, ahead of COP28.

On November 30, King Charles will attend a reception to launch the inaugural COP28 Business and Philanthropy Climate Forum. The two-day forum, running in parallel with the World Climate Action Summit being held at COP28 on December 1 and 2, is being hosted by the COP28 Presidency in partnership with the Sustainable Markets Initiative (SMI), a private sector-led coalition founded by King Charles in 2020 to accelerate the transition to a more sustainable future.

Rishi Sunak

In September, on the sidelines of the G20 summit in New Delhi, British Prime Minister Rishi Sunak confirmed he would be attending the COP28 summit in Dubai. Sunak told reporters traveling with him at the time that achieving net zero emissions “if done in the right way can be very beneficial for jobs,” according to Reuters.

His party has drawn flak in recent months after the government revised climate targets, which includes moving back the ban on the sale of new petrol and diesel cars by five years, a weakening of targets to phase out gas boilers, and not going ahead with a ban on new oil and gas development in the North Sea.

Narendra Modi

The country’s Prime Minister Narendra Modi will travel to Dubai on November 30 and December 1, attending the World Climate Action Summit (WCAS), which will also see King Charles in attendance. Modi is expected to hold bilateral meetings on the sidelines of COP28.

Bill Gates

The Microsoft co-founder announced back in September in a blog post on the Breakthrough Energy website that he would be attending COP28, writing: “The meeting is an important opportunity to check on the world’s progress toward the goals for reducing greenhouse gas emissions that countries adopted back in 2015.”

The Gates-founded Breakthrough Energy was founded in the same year with the aim to accelerate innovation in sustainable energy and in other technologies to combat climate change.

The Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation is also one of the strategic partners in the Business and Philanthropy Climate Forum being held at COP28, which will be attended by British Monarch, King Charles.

Luiz Inacio Lula da Silv

Popularly known as ‘Lula’ by the masses who call him the ‘voice of the Amazon’, Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Luda da Silv will be attending COP28, where he will unveil a plan to recover degraded pastures in Brazil, according to a Reuters report.

The news agency further reported the country also plans to propose a “huge” fund to pay for the conservation of tropical forests at the summit, citing the country’s top climate negotiator, Andre Correa do Lago.

Ding Xuexiang

While Chinese President Xi Jinping is not expected to attend, the Chinese Foreign Ministry issued a statement on Friday, confirming that Vice Premier Ding Xuexiang will attend the World Climate Summit, from November 30 until December 2. China’s climate envoy, Xie Zhenhua, is also expected.

John Kerry

The US Climate Envoy John Kerry will also be attending the talks, representing one of the world’s biggest emitters of greenhouse gasses, the other being China. According to the South China Morning Post, China and the US will hold a joint summit on methane and non-carbon dioxide (CO2) greenhouse gases during the UN climate change conference.

Vanessa Nakate

The 25-year-old climate activist from Uganda and founder of the Africa-based Rise Up Movement, is also expected to attend COP28.

Spiritual leaders

 Sadhguru, founder and head of the Isha Foundation

Sri Sri Ravi Shankar, founder of The Art of Living foundation

World Evangelical Alliance General-Secretary Archbishop Dr Thomas Schirrmacher

Official delegates

High Commissioner of the United Nations High Commission for Refugees Filippo Grandi

Adil Najam, President, WWF International

United Nations Special Rapporteur on freedom of religion or belief Nazila Ghanea

PROVISIONAL NAMES

According to the UNFCCC Provisional List of speakers, those expected to attend the World Climate Action Summit (WCAS) on December 1 will include:

From the Middle East

Sheikh Mohamed Bin Zayed Bin Sultan Al Nahyan, President of the UAE

Mohammed bin Salman Al Saud, Crown Prince and Prime Minister of Saudi Arabia

Abdel Fattah Al Sisi, President of Egypt

King Abdullah II ibn Al Hussein, King of Jordan

Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al-Thani, Amir of the State of Qatar

Mahmoud Abbas, President of the State of Palestine

Rashad Mohammed Ali Al-Alimi, President of Yemen

Other key leaders

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan, President of Türkiye

Olaf Scholz, Chancellor of Germany

Pedro Sánchez Pérez-Castejón, President of Spain

Mette Frederiksen, Prime Minister of Denmark

Humza Yousaf, Scotland's first minister

Wavel Ramkalawan, President of the Republic of Seychelles

Sultan Haji Hassanal Bolkiah, Sultan of Brunei Darussalam

William K. Ruto, President of Kenya

Emmerson Dambudzo Mnangagwa, President of Zimbabwe

Samia Suluhu Hassan, President of United Republic of Tanzania

Paul Kagame, President of Rwanda

Rumoured to attend…

Kamala Harris

According to Bloomberg, US Vice President Kamala Harris will attend COP28, citing people familiar with the matter. US Secretary of State Antony Blinken is also expected to attend the event that begins on Thursday. Meanwhile, The White House has also said it is sending a climate adviser Ali Zaidi and clean energy adviser John Podesta.

Greta Thunberg

While the famous Swedish climate activist did not participate in COP27 talks at the Red Sea resort town of Sharm el-Sheikh in Egypt last year, it is being speculated that she could make an appearance at next week’s event in Dubai.

Hollywood celebrities

Big Hollywood names that have associated themselves with high-profile climate talks include the Oscar-winning actor Leonardo DiCaprio, along with Matt Damon, Idris Elba, Ellie Goulding, George and Amal Clooney, among others. It remains to be seen who the big names are to be associated at this year’s event.

(Reporting by Bindu Rai, editing by Daniel Luiz)

 

ATTACHMENT ONE – FROM

From 1 to 3 December, the UN News COP28 live updates page featured key players and advocates and enabled audiences to experience the world's largest climate ...

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COP28 UAE (@COP28_UAE) · X

 

ATTACHMENT FOUR – FROM

 

ATTACHMENT FIVE – FROM

 

 

ATTACHMENT SIX – FROM FOX NEWS

COP28 climate conference is not just the Super Bowl of virtue signaling. It's doing real damage

COP28, the annual UN climate conference, is underway. And, once again, the Biden White House is making costly climate promises

By Liz Peek Fox News  Published December 5, 2023 5:00am EST

 

It is tempting to dismiss COP28 as the Super Bowl of virtue signaling. But that would be to ignore the massive damage being done to our country by the unrealistic and costly climate policies of the Biden White House. The administration’s wrong-headed "leadership" on phasing out fossil fuels, which currently provide nearly 80% of U.S. energy, is a highlight of COP28; their policies are making Americans poorer and less secure.   

To wit: since Joe Biden took office, electricity prices have soared 24%; during President Trump’s four years in office, average electricity prices actually declined. 

COP 28, the annual climate talkathon, has had its light moments. Some 80,000 attendees are participating, a large number of whom are traveling by emissions-spewing private jets. Over the weekend, some of those planes were frozen to icy runways in Munich as global warming was trumped by unseasonal cold and blizzards which blanketed much of Europe.   

placeholder

Moreover, the event is being held in Abu Dhabi, a major oil producing nation, and hosted by Sultan Al Jaber, head of the Abu Dhabi National Oil Company (ADNOC). In the lead-up to the meeting, leaked briefing documents revealed Jaber was plotting to use his position as host to negotiate new oil and gas deals with foreign governments, even as a central theme of COP28 was the phase-out fossil fuels. 

US COMMITS TO SHUTTING DOWN ITS COAL PLANTS DURING COP28

Worse, a video from two weeks ago surfaced on Monday in which Jaber questioned the entire premise behind ditching oil, gas and coal.  "There is no science out there, or no scenario out there, that says the phaseout of fossil fuel is what’s going to achieve 1.5," Al Jaber said. He was also critical of the questioner, saying he had anticipated a "sober and mature conversation" not an "alarmist" one. 

The Biden White House embraces extreme climate alarmism, and is sending scores of officials, including Secretary of State Antony BlinkenVice President Kamala Harris, and Climate Czar John Kerry to COP 28. 

They will wave a white flag on behalf of American voters, eager to surrender one of our nation’s great geopolitical advantages – cheap, abundant and reliable fossil fuels – and also tackle, according to the State Department, "issues related to the nexus of climate and…. gender, global health, subnational diplomacy, youth and more."  

@USE A GET RID OF VARNEY

In her opening remarks, VP Harris parroted Biden’s conviction that climate change poses the greatest existential threat to our country and touted what she described as almost $1 trillion in new spending approved by the Biden White House for its climate agenda.  

EMIRATI-DESIGNATED COP28 LEADER FORCEFULLY DENIES REPORT UAE WANTED TO SEEK OIL DEALS IN SUMMIT

Former Secretary of State Kerry, meanwhile, committed to closing all U.S. coal-fired power plants, which today produce 20% of our electricity, and substituting renewables like solar and wind power. 

Kerry’s pledge ignores the collapse of a number of costly wind projects which have been abandoned because they are not financially feasible. Just recently Danish wind-power giant Orsted dumped two wind farms in New Jersey; other projects in Rhode Island, Massachusetts and Connecticut have also been dropped. Wind projects are not just failing in the U.S.; they are also being shelved in the U.K, the Netherlands and Norway.   

That’s not the only promise Kerry made; he also vowed a sharp crackdown on methane emissions produced by U.S. oil and gas producers. The Independent Petroleum Producers of America, which represents small and independent oil companies, said the new White House rule could cause almost half our country’s U.S. low-producing wells to be shut down. Those wells account for some 8% of U.S. oil output and 8% to 10% of natural gas production

Here’s who did not join the dozens of nations pledging to phase out coal or reduce methane leaks: China and India.  

India, the world’s third-largest carbon emitter, is burning a record amount of coal, which provides roughly 75% of their electricity. In recent days, India’s government announced plans to add 17 gigawatts of coal-based generating capacity over the next 16 months, described by Reuters as "its fastest pace in recent years." 

Moreover, the Financial Times reported a week ago that India is looking to triple its underground coal mining output by 2028, even as the woke bankers at COP28 seek to squash financing for coal projects.  

Why would India buck international pressures to expand its coal industry? Because the government of Narenda Modi has put India on a rapid growth trajectory, and it needs power. India is now the world’s most populous country and fastest-growing large economy. It is the second-largest coal producer after China. While making polite noises about climate change, Modi has stressed the need to provide his country with energy security. Recent elections, in which his party swept three of four Indian states, show his priorities remain popular. 

 

Prime Minister Narendra Modi welcomes President Jiden (sic... or a sic joke) for the G-20 summit on Sept. 9, 2023, in New Delhi, India. (Dan Kitwood/Getty Images)  See picture at website.

 

Joining India in resisting international pressure to cut back coal consumption is China, which produces more energy-related greenhouse gas emissions than North America, South America, Central America, Europe and Africa combined. Though Beijing has made ramping up renewable energy a major goal – China is now installing as many solar and wind installations as the rest of the world put together – the country continues to mine and burn coal. As the New York Times reported recently, Chinese officials have defended the coal-fired plants "as needed for energy security," echoing Modi. President Xi is dealing with a struggling economy, and refuses to add more speed bumps.

Enthusiasm for Biden’s climate agenda – for unpopular electric vehicles and irritating mandates on ceiling fans, gas stoves and other everyday items – will plummet as electricity prices continue to rise. 

In 2024, voters may decide that spending a trillion dollars on climate projects that could well boost Americans’ cost of living is a very bad deal and that allowing a more gradual transition to clean energy makes more sense. 

Voters may decide that Biden’s climate diktats are one speed bump too many.

Stuart Varney: COP28 climate conference is descending into farce.

 

@USE A GET RID OF VARNEY

In her opening remarks, VP Harris parroted Biden’s conviction that climate change poses the greatest existential threat to our country and touted what she described as almost $1 trillion in new spending approved by the Biden White House for its climate agenda. 

EMIRATI-DESIGNATED COP28 LEADER FORCEFULLY DENIES REPORT UAE WANTED TO SEEK OIL DEALS IN SUMMIT

EMIRATI-DESIGNATED COP28 LEADER FORCEFULLY DENIES REPORT UAE WANTED TO SEEK OIL DEALS IN SUMMIT

 

Former Secretary of State Kerry, meanwhile, committed to closing all U.S. coal-fired power plants, which today produce 20% of our electricity, and substituting renewables like solar and wind power. 

Kerry’s pledge ignores the collapse of a number of costly wind projects which have been abandoned because they are not financially feasible. Just recently Danish wind-power giant Orsted dumped two wind farms in New Jersey; other projects in Rhode Island, Massachusetts and Connecticut have also been dropped. Wind projects are not just failing in the U.S.; they are also being shelved in the U.K, the Netherlands and Norway.  

That’s not the only promise Kerry made; he also vowed a sharp crackdown on methane emissions produced by U.S. oil and gas producers. The Independent Petroleum Producers of America, which represents small and independent oil companies, said the new White House rule could cause almost half our country’s U.S. low-producing wells to be shut down. Those wells account for some 8% of U.S. oil output and 8% to 10% of natural gas production

Here’s who did not join the dozens of nations pledging to phase out coal or reduce methane leaks: China and India. 

India, the world’s third-largest carbon emitter, is burning a record amount of coal, which provides roughly 75% of their electricity. In recent days, India’s government announced plans to add 17 gigawatts of coal-based generating capacity over the next 16 months, described by Reuters as "its fastest pace in recent years." 

Moreover, the Financial Times reported a week ago that India is looking to triple its underground coal mining output by 2028, even as the woke bankers at COP28 seek to squash financing for coal projects. 

Why would India buck international pressures to expand its coal industry? Because the government of Narenda Modi has put India on a rapid growth trajectory, and it needs power. India is now the world’s most populous country and fastest-growing large economy. It is the second-largest coal producer after China. While making polite noises about climate change, Modi has stressed the need to provide his country with energy security. Recent elections, in which his party swept three of four Indian states, show his priorities remain popular.

 

Prime Minister Narendra Modi welcomes President Jiden (sic... or a sic joke) for the G-20 summit on Sept. 9, 2023, in New Delhi, India. (Dan Kitwood/Getty Images)  See picture at website.

Prime Minister Narendra Modi welcomes President Jiden (sic... or a sic joke) for the G-20 summit on Sept. 9, 2023, in New Delhi, India. (Dan Kitwood/Getty Images)  See picture at website.

 

 

Joining India in resisting international pressure to cut back coal consumption is China, which produces more energy-related greenhouse gas emissions than North America, South America, Central America, Europe and Africa combined. Though Beijing has made ramping up renewable energy a major goal – China is now installing as many solar and wind installations as the rest of the world put together – the country continues to mine and burn coal. As the New York Times reported recently, Chinese officials have defended the coal-fired plants "as needed for energy security," echoing Modi. President Xi is dealing with a struggling economy, and refuses to add more speed bumps.

Enthusiasm for Biden’s climate agenda – for unpopular electric vehicles and irritating mandates on ceiling fans, gas stoves and other everyday items – will plummet as electricity prices continue to rise.

In 2024, voters may decide that spending a trillion dollars on climate projects that could well boost Americans’ cost of living is a very bad deal and that allowing a more gradual transition to clean energy makes more sense.

Voters may decide that Biden’s climate diktats are one speed bump too many.

 

X7 ATTACHMENT 7 – FROM

From GUK


Cop28 is a farce rigged to fail, but there are other ways we can try to save the planet

 

Inaction and self-interest are built into climate summits. Instead, we need a voting system that can’t be subverted by fossil fuel producers

By George Monbiot  Sat 9 Dec 2023 03.00 EST

·          

 

Let’s face it: climate summits are broken. The delegates talk and talk, while Earth systems slide towards deadly tipping points. Since the climate negotiations began in 1992 more carbon dioxide from burning fossil fuels has been released worldwide than in all preceding human history. This year is likely to set a new emissions record. They are talking us to oblivion.

Throughout these Conference of the Parties (Cop) summits, fossil fuel lobbyists have swarmed the corridors and meeting rooms. It’s like allowing weapons manufacturers to dominate a peace conference. This year, the lobbyists outnumber all but one of the national delegations. And they’re not the only ones: Cop28 is also heaving with meat and livestock lobbyists and reps from other planet-trashing industries. What should be the most important summit on Earth is treated like a trade fair.

It’s not surprising that the two decisive measures these negotiations should have delivered at the outset – agreements to leave fossil fuels in the ground and to end most livestock farming – have never featured in the final outcome of any Cop summit. Nor should we be astonished that these agreements favour non-solutions such as carbon capture and storage, whose sole purpose is to provide an excuse for inaction.

The appointment of Sultan Al Jaber as president of Cop28 could be seen as this fiasco’s denouement. His day job is chief executive of the United Arab Emirates’ state oil company, Adnoc. Adnoc is now planning a massive expansion of its oil and gas operations. Before the meetings began, Al Jaber was planning to use them as a lobbying opportunity to sell his company’s products to delegates. In arguing with people calling for more effective action, he recited classic fossil fuel industry tropes, including that old favourite: if we were to phase out fossil fuels, we’d go back to living in caves. Fossil fuels present the real threat to civilisation. There have been some uninspiring presidents of the international climate summits, but none so manifestly unsuited to the role.

Perhaps it’s unsurprising that, of 27 summits completed so far, 25 have been abject failures, while two (1997’s Kyoto protocol and the Paris agreement, in 2015) have been half-successes. If any other process had a 3.7% success rate, it would be abandoned in favour of something better. But the world’s governments carry on doing the same thing in the expectation of different results. You could almost imagine they wanted to fail.

The first and most obvious reform is to shut out the lobbyists. But the fossil fuel lobby, grotesque as it is, is by no means the only problem with the way these jamborees are run. The process itself is terminally crocked.

The only global negotiations that are organised like the climate summits are other environmental summits, such as the UN biodiversity conferences. When states want something to happen – trade agreements, for example – they use different methods. The failure of the Cop meetings is baked in. In 1994, Saudi Arabia, backed by other members of the oil cartel Opec, insisted that all general decisions must be made by consensus. Because this question was never resolved, the UN’s rules on decision-making remain in draft form.

The result is that the oil states got what they wanted, by default. What “consensus” means is that every nation has a veto: 198 delegates can agree to a measure, but it can be blocked by the 199th. The most lethal interests prevail, by design. The only way such impasses can be resolved is by a determined president “gavelling” decisions through: insisting that a consensus has been reached and hoping no one calls their bluff. It’s not easy to picture Al Jaber playing this role.

Since this horrible farce began 31 years ago, plenty of people have proposed reforms. The proposals fall into three categories. One is to improve the way consensus decisions are made. Well-meaning as these are, they’re futile: you can tweak the process, but it will remain dysfunctional.

Another approach is to replace consensus decision-making with voting, an option that remains, in draft form, in the UN rules. The obvious objection is that a majority would impose decisions on other nations. But this reflects a narrow conception of what voting could do. There are plenty of ways of ensuring everyone can be heard, without relying on crude binary choices. One of the most promising is the Borda count, a decision-making method first proposed in 1435.

The modified Borda count developed by the de Borda Institute looks especially useful. First, the delegates agree on what the principal issues are. These are then turned into a list of options, on which everyone is asked to agree (the options could range from the immediate phase-out of fossil fuels to planetary Armageddon). The options are listed on a ballot paper, and each delegate is asked to rank them in order of preference. A scoring system awards points for every ranking. The more options a delegate ranks, the more points each one is worth to them. This enables complex decisions to be made without excluding anyone.

The third approach, which could run alongside the second, is to bypass the Cop process by developing new binding treaties. The professor of environmental politics Anthony Burke suggests an approach modelled on the 2017 treaty on the prohibition of nuclear weapons, the 1997 anti-personnel mine ban convention and the 2008 convention on cluster munitions. In these cases, states and citizens’ groups frustrated with a lack of progress began building treaties without the participation of the powerful nations – the US in particular – that sought to resist them. They developed enough momentum not only to push the treaties through the UN general assembly, but also to establish new diplomatic norms that made defiance of the treaties much harder to justify, even for nations that refuse to ratify them.

Burke proposes treaties on deforestation and the elimination of coal, and a stronger version of the fossil fuel non-proliferation treaty that others have developed. He suggests that if they don’t immediately gain the support of the general assembly, they can begin as regional treaties, establishing, for example, deforestation-free zones. He argues that these treaties should be folded into an overarching greenhouse convention, supported by an International Climate Agency, modelled on the International Atomic Energy Agency.

However we do it, we need to break the power of the Earth-devouring industries before they break us. Otherwise, we will keep watching as yet another year is wasted, yet another of our last chances scorches and shrivels. Soon, there will be no years left.

·         George Monbiot is a Guardian columnist

 

X8 ATTACHMENT – FROM Fox Business

Stuart Varney: COP28 climate conference is descending into a farce

John Kerry is watching his life's work go down the tubes, Varney argues

By FOX Business Staff and Stuart Varney  Published December 5, 2023 12:03pm EST

 

Varney & Co. host Stuart Varney reacts to oil executive Sultan Al Jaber saying there is no science behind phasing out fossil fuels to limit global warming.

During his "My Take," Tuesday, "Varney & Co." host Stuart Varney reacted to COP28 president Sultan Al Jaber's controversial climate remarks that alarmed Al Gore and King Charles III, sending shockwaves throughout the meeting.

STUART VARNEY: COP28, the great climate confab, is descending into a farce, and it's not over yet.

First, we had Sultan Al Jaber, who is hosting the whole thing, saying there is "no science" behind phasing out fossil fuels to limit global warming.

COP28 IS NOT JUST THE SUPER BOWL OF VIRTUE SIGNALING. IT'S DOING REAL DAMAGE

Predictably, that caused an uproar. 

U.N. Secretary-General António Guterres said, "We must have a total phase-out."

Al Gore chimed in, claiming the sultan is engaged in "the most brazen conflict of interest in the history of climate negotiations," because he runs a giant oil company planning a huge expansion of oil and gas production.

King Charles III said fossil fuels threaten the existence of the planet. 

IT'S TIME FOR AN 'AMERICA FIRST' CLIMATE AGENDA. HERE ARE 3 WAYS REPUBLICANS CAN WIN IN 2024

He really shouldn't be putting the monarchy into politics. His mother, Queen Elizabeth, would never have done that. 

Then came the half-brother of Saudi ruler MBS. Asked about a phase-out, he said, "Absolutely not."

Yesterday, Al Jaber returned to the podium and angrily denied ever saying there's 'no science," even though he said it on tape.

White House refuses to reveal taxpayer cost of Bidens American Climate Corps

Americans for Tax Reform President Grover Norquist discusses Biden's American Climate Corps, the administration's tax increases and the IRS targeting ticket resellers.

They are now desperately trying to paper over their differences.  

Will the final communiqué call for an orderly and just phase out of fossil fuels, or accelerating efforts towards phasing out, or not mention fossil fuels at all?

It's meaningless. They are trying to paper over their failure with platitudes.

John Kerry is watching his life's work go down the tubes, but claims victory in the war on coal.

One last point:

If they can't agree on where to hold next year's COP29, by default it goes to Germany, with none other than Sultan Al Jaber as the president in charge of the whole thing. Again.

 

From Wikipedia

Varney the Vampire

 

Varney the Vampire; or, the Feast of Blood is a Victorian-era serialized gothic horror story variously attributed to James Malcolm Rymer and Thomas Peckett Prest.

 


ATTACHMENT  NINE – FROM FOX

 

After a fast start, COP28 climate talks now in murky middle ...

 

DUBAI, United Arab Emirates (AP) — After a first-day blur of rare quick action and agreement, negotiators at a critical United Nations climate summit Wednesday finished up their first week in a more familiar place for them: the murky middle where momentum and roadblocks intertwine.

“Negotiations, as are often the case, are a mixed picture right now. We see big differences between individual states in some areas,” German climate envoy Jennifer Morgan said, “but there is a will to make progress.”

Proponents who are calling for a ground-shifting phase-out of fossil fuels like oil, gas and coal have hope for the first time in years, but also see where it could be torpedoed. Key issues of financial help for poor nations to decarbonize and how to adapt to warming need much more work, officials said.

That is in contrast to the first day when the conference — called COP28 — put into effect a climate compensation fund — called loss-and-damage — and started seeing its coffers grow to more than $720 million.

U.N. Climate Secretary Simon Stiell on Wednesday warned against putting “a tick on the box” for that victory and think it solves the multi-trillion dollar problem of financial aid that’s needed to help cut emissions worldwide.

“We need COP to deliver a bullet train to speed up climate action. We currently have an old caboose chugging over rickety tracks,” Stiell said.

Adnan Amin, the No. 2 official in the COP presidency official and a veteran United Nations diplomat, was a bit more optimistic, saying all negotiations have both an up period and depressing times. This one, he said, is in that time where “there’s still a buzz. There’s still positivity.”

Discussions have been focused on the so-called Global Stocktake — a status of where nations are at with meeting their climate goals to limit warming to 1.5 degrees Celsius (2.7 degrees Fahrenheit) compared to pre-industrial times and how they can get there. On Tuesday, negotiators produced a new draft of the text, but it had so many possibilities in its 24 pages that it didn’t give too much of a hint of what will be agreed upon when the session ends next week.

Negotiators for 197 countries are going over the document word by word to see what they can live with and what they can’t, Amin said: “They have so many demands and needs. But I think it provides a very good basis for moving forward.”

Cedric Schuster, the chair of the Association of Small Island States, said failing on the global stocktake would “make it significantly more difficult to leave this COP saying we can achieve the 1.5 C limit.” He said major emitters and developed countries need to take the lead and ramp up efforts to phase out fossil fuels.

“If we fail, the consequences will be catastrophic,” he said.

While United Nations officials highlight worries about finance and adaptation, many at the Dubai conference are focused on language about what to do about fossil fuels. Burning coal, oil and natural gas are the chief causes of climate change. For the first time in nearly three decades of talks, the idea of getting rid of all of three of them is on the agenda and a serious possibility.

But issues about language, timing and meaning — especially defining terms — are far from settled. Some are using phase-down as less stringent, along with the term “unabated” tossed in front of fossil fuels. When asked to define “unabated,” Stiell said that’s up to negotiators.

“We have seen options about fossil fuel phase-out in the text. And while it’s historic to have them, they’re not enough,” said environmental activist Romain Ioualalen of Oil Change International. He pointed to 106 nations signing a document calling for a phase-out, which was mentioned by many world leaders when they made speeches in the first few days.

“The situation we’re in right now, it was unthinkable just three COPs ago to have these debates on the phase-out of all fossil fuels,” Ioualalen said. “There’s definitely momentum in the conversation. There’s definitely opposition, of course. And that’s that’s to that’s to be expected. But that’s what we need to solve.”

“We’ve never been closer to an agreement for sure,” he said.

Ioualalen said Saudi Arabia, Iraq and Turkey seem clearly against fossil fuel phase-out language.

“If there is some disagreement between ‘phase-out’ and ‘phase-down,’ let’s all agree there should be no disagreement that oil demand in 2050 has to be a fraction of what it is today, if not zero,” said Jason Bordoff, director of the Center on Global Energy Policy at Columbia University. “We are fighting over ‘phase-out’ or ‘phase-down’ while oil demand is rising each year.”

Wednesday’s sessions were to focus on transport, the second-leading sector for the carbon dioxide emissions warming the planet, with panels like building out EV charging infrastructure and decarbonizing urban freight transportation.

Despite rapid growth of electric vehicles in some countries, oil still accounts for nearly 91% of the energy used in the transport sector, according to the International Energy Agency. And it’s a sector that includes hard-to-decarbonize industries like aviation and shipping, where cutting emissions will require big ramp-ups in production of sustainable aviation fuel, for airplanes, and alternative fuels like hydrogen for ships.

Wednesday was a day for negotiators to talk about moving people around the world in transportation systems that produce less carbon emissions, yet when United Nations officials were asked about how much carbon pollution was caused by bringing more than 100,000 people to Dubai, they said they had no figures but that the gathering was worth it.

 

John Kerry pledges to slash emissions from AC units ...

 

Aattachment ten – from Fox Business

@ Get https://www.foxbusiness.com › energy › john-kerry-pl...

 

1 day ago — US Special Envoy for Climate John Kerry made the commitment at COP28, the annual United Nations climate change summit.

 

@GET

John Kerry pledges to slash emissions from AC units, refrigerators to fight climate change

US Special Envoy for Climate John Kerry made the commitment at COP28, the annual United Nations climate change summit

By Michael Dorgan FOXBusiness

John Kerry, U.S. Special Envoy for Climate — having already pledged to close down all United States coal power plants — has committed to slashing the nation’s emissions from cooling-related products in the battle against man-made global warming.  

Kerry made his latest announcement at the annual United Nations climate change summit, known as COP28, where the U.S. allied with more than 60 other nations in joining the Global Cooling Pledge, the world's first collective focus on climate-warming emissions from cooling equipment and appliances. 

The pledge commits countries to reduce their cooling-related emissions by at least 68% by 2050 compared to 2022 levels, along with a suite of other targets including establishing minimum energy performance standards by 2030.

The pledge targets emissions from cooling-related appliances such as air conditioning units and refrigerators.

"We want to lay out a pathway to reduce cooling-related emissions across all sectors but increase access to sustainable cooling," Kerry told COP28.

Emissions from both the refrigerants and the energy used in cooling now account for about 7% of global greenhouse gas emissions and are expected to triple by 2050 as temperatures continue to rise, according to the Clean Cooling Collaborative non-profit group.  

Kerry and others at the conference argue that as the planet warms, air-conditioner usage will ramp up, and therefore, so will emissions. Installed capacity is set to triple by mid-century, driven by climbing temperatures, growing populations and rising incomes, according to research released by the United Nations.

"People will buy a very cheap air conditioner produced somewhere in Asia for 100 bucks and plug it in," said Jürgen Fischer, president of climate solutions at Danish multinational Danfoss which specializes in heating and cooling. 

"That will load the energy system a lot, and there will be a collapse. I don't think it's a good idea to allow these individual plug-ins anymore," he said.

Numerous heat records were broken earlier this year. For instance, July set an all-time heat record for the city of Las Vegas, with more than 17 days reaching at least 110 degrees. 

Kerry’s announcement is the latest in a flurry of promises attendees at the conference made over the last few days as a way of tackling climate change. The consensus emanating from the conference is that drastic and urgent action is required to reduce emissions to keep temperatures from rising above 1.5 degrees Celsius. Skeptics point to natural forces like the sun as being the main driving forces behind climate change.

For instance, last week at COP28, Kerry committed the United States to not building any new coal plants and phasing out existing plants.

Kerry also announced a joint commitment with Romania to triple nuclear energy and reduce methane emissions to achieve Net Zero, which means cutting greenhouse gas emissions to as close to zero as possible.

Meanwhile, in New York City earlier this year, officials proposed outlawing coal and wood-fired ovens to reduce carbon emissions by 75%.

Jason Isaac, founder of the American Energy Institute, said that the Biden administration's green agenda has already driven up prices and increased energy poverty in the U.S.

"Every country that is decreasing its use of coal is increasing its [energy] cost and that’s hurting people," Isaac told Fox Business’ Neil Cavuto.

"Last year in the United States, five million people had their utilities disconnected because their costs are increasing astronomically."

Reuters contributed to this report.

 

 

 

 

ATTACHMENT ELEVEN – FROM JACOBIN

The Biden Administration Is Undermining Global Carbon-Reduction Efforts

BY RISHIKA PARDIKAR

A new leaked report suggests the Biden administration is undermining efforts to set standards for a global carbon market. Coupled with Joe Biden’s absence at the global climate summit this week, patience with the US's lack of action is wearing thin.

The United States and the European Union (EU) are usually close allies at the world’s annual climate negotiations — but according to internal documents obtained by the Lever, tensions have arisen between the two blocs in the run-up to this year’s summit. As world leaders head to Dubai, United Arab Emirates, this week, the United States is undermining efforts to set stringent standards for a new global carbon market that would allow polluters to help fund carbon-reduction efforts to compensate for their emissions.

According to the November 8 background paper, written by an executive working group in the Council of the European Union, the United States is backing a largely unregulated, voluntary system of trading emission offsets, even though such voluntary schemes have been plagued by questionable climate benefits, harms to indigenous communities, and outright corruption. The authors write, “In our view, accepting a standard based on the [voluntary carbon market] may hinder the independence and trust that compliance carbon markets need to contribute towards the achievement of international climate goals.”

Experts say the United States is going this route, rather than backing a more stringent United Nations (UN)–regulated carbon market favored by the EU and other stakeholders, because the Biden administration is hoping private sector climate solutions and corporate responsibility will help gloss over the fact that the country is continuing to break records for fossil fuel production and is the biggest laggard in terms of paying its fair share of finance for the emissions it has wrought on the world.

“The U.S. government has trouble delivering climate finance and now basically sees private investment, including [through] carbon markets, as an opportunity to showcase that they are delivering climate finance,” said Sven Harmeling, international climate policy coordinator for the nonprofit coalition Climate Action Network Europe. “But we know that [money via carbon markets] is not climate finance. Climate finance means public funding.”

For the first time in his presidency, President Joe Biden will not be attending the annual climate summit.

In response to a request for comment, the US delegation to the summit declined to answer questions on the record.

An Emissions Reduction Strategy “That Risks Backfiring”

In 1992, countries around the world signed the UN’s first climate change treaty to coordinate global action to tackle the climate crisis. In 2015, after two decades without meaningful action, 195 participating countries signed the Paris Agreement, further hashing out details of climate action and the necessity to limit global warming to well below 2 degrees Celsius and pursue efforts to limit the temperature increase to 1.5 degrees.

At this year’s annual climate talks from November 30 to December 12 in Dubai, known by the acronym COP28, negotiations are focused on a handful of core themes like the clean energy transition, slashing carbon emissions, climate finance from rich countries to support climate action in poorer countries, and assessing the progress of global climate action efforts so far. Another key task is to establish an international carbon market governed by the UN.

In recent months, the UN’s supervisory body has been setting guidelines to ensure such an international carbon market “benefits the environment, host countries, and buyers alike.” Their recommendations are intended to govern the market and will be discussed at COP28.

Carbon markets allow companies, individuals, and countries to buy credits associated with carbon-reduction efforts to compensate for their emissions. For example, highly polluting companies in the manufacturing sector or the aviation industry can invest in forest conservation and use the credits from this investment — with prices set per ton — to offset their emissions. Countries can do this, too: Switzerland has signed bilateral deals with Ghana and Vanuatu to purchase carbon credits to meet its international emission reduction goals.

There are two types of carbon markets: voluntary markets, in which companies and organizations negotiate deals, and compliance markets that are government mandated. California’s cap-and-trade program, a compliance market framework, sets a limit on industries’ greenhouse gas emissions, but allows them to trade in case they exceed the limit.

Neither market is ideally regulated at present (concerns have been raised, for example, about the efficacy of California’s program). One overarching worry is that carbon credits are often made through compensatory carbon-sink projects like reforestation projects that can rob agency from the people who live there.

But voluntary markets are considered by many to be especially inadequate, since they rely on corporate responsibility to decarbonize their industries.

Existing standards for the voluntary market are currently designed by self-appointed bodies like the Integrity Council for the Voluntary Carbon Market and the Voluntary Carbon Markets Integrity Initiative. These standards are “full of loopholes,” said Avantika Goswami, program manager of climate change projects at India’s Centre for Science and Environment. She explained that the voluntary carbon market needs “regulation, a public and independently managed registry, and high scrutiny of projects to determine integrity and benefit-sharing with communities on the ground.”

recent investigation by the Centre for Science and Environment found that voluntary markets in India failed on two counts: Emission reduction outcomes were either inflated or almost nonexistent and revenue from the sale of carbon credits wasn’t shared with local communities. Researchers also found that many of the carbon-offset projects lacked transparency, and that some community members who were involved in these projects had no clue what carbon credits were.

Two months ago, research from University of California, Berkeley on voluntary markets raised additional concerns about inflated credit values and the potential marginalization of forest-dependent communities. Reporting has found that the voluntary market’s largest firm sold millions of credits for carbon reductions that didn’t exist. Meanwhile, private demand for these voluntary credits has declined, and the credit price has plummeted.

Despite its shortcomings, the unregulated carbon market boomed to a value of $2 billion per year in 2021.

Gilles Dufrasne, policy lead on global carbon markets at Belgium-based nonprofit research organization Carbon Market Watch, said carbon credits could be a way for companies to finance climate action beyond their own production processes, but shouldn’t be a substitute for internal emission reductions.

“Allowing loose rules that will incentivize the purchase of carbon credits at any cost is a strategy that risks backfiring, when companies end up investing a lot of money in credits that do not deliver real emission reductions, while failing to decarbonize their own activities.”

Internal Divisions

The new international carbon market that world leaders are negotiating at COP28 is a compliance framework with legally mandated limits.

The finalization of these rules and their full implementation is “imperative for COP28,” said Trishant Dev, program officer of climate change projects at the Centre for Science and Environment and the lead author of the study that exposed loopholes in the way voluntary carbon markets are currently functioning in India.

But instead of seeking guardrails for a global carbon market, the United States seems to be moving in the opposite direction.

According to the November 8 memo obtained by the Lever, the Council of the European Union, one of the EU’s two main legislative bodies, warned that at COP28, the United States was set to advocate for building on existing voluntary carbon market standards for the international carbon market, as opposed to establishing a new robust framework with stringent standards.

According to the authors, the EU Council had concerns that such weaker carbon market standards could lead to “over-crediting, disadvantaging host countries and deviating from the pathway necessary to reach the Paris Agreement long-term goals.” They added that the United States is promoting the usage of carbon credits without clarifying the accounting rules that could ensure their integrity and transparency, and “pressing hard for a prompt finalization of the guidance, without much concerns for quality/robustness but driving a lot of attention and time to solve their very specific concerns.”

Dufrasne at Carbon Market Watch said the different approaches on a global carbon market reflect how the EU has historically been more active on climate action than the US. According to Dufrasne, the European public is putting more pressure on companies to act, compared to the American public.

The memo hints at another potential reason that the United States is pushing for weaker carbon market regulations: the matter of climate finance, or funding that rich countries pay to poorer countries to help finance climate action, to account for the former’s historically high emissions.

In the last few months, US climate envoy John Kerry, who will be attending the Dubai summit, has said climate action “takes trillions and no government that I know of is ready to put trillions into this on an annual basis.” (Nevermind that billions in US public funding has gone to support foreign military aid in Ukraine alone, or that the effects of climate inaction could cost trillions of dollars per year.) Simultaneously, Kerry has repeatedly emphasized the private sector’s role in the clean energy transition.

A voluntary carbon market could, at least in theory, make it easy to channel money from the American business sector to climate action initiatives by funding projects like forest conservation or development of renewable energy capacity. But as research has demonstrated, the voluntary market suffers from serious integrity and transparency issues.

The voluntary market is “unregulated, fraudulent, and open to ebbs and flows,” said Goswami at the Centre for Science and Environment. “Committing [to] this market as the tool for [an] energy transition, which requires investment in public goods like renewable energy and transmission infrastructure in developing countries, is like leaving the clean-energy future of the Global South to the whims of an unreliable market.”

Goswami added, “The U.S. cannot let the private sector dictate the scrutiny and oversight in these markets — it must be determined by the multilateral process [at climate negotiations like COP28].”

You can subscribe to David Sirota’s investigative journalism project, the Leverhere.

 

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ATTACHMENT @ - FROM the HUFFINGTON POST

Trump Slams John Kerry In Wild Town Hall, Insisting Climate Change Isn't A Problem

 “Our country can be rich again. John Kerry has to be stopped. He's destroying our country,” Trump told Hannity and the crowd at the town hall.

 “The only global warming we should be thinking about or worrying about is nuclear global warming,” the ex-president said as vilified Biden's climate envoy.

 

By Shruti Rajkumar Dec 6, 2023, 12:01 AM EST

 

Former President Donald Trump didn’t shy away from echoing his adamant denial of climate change during a town hall Tuesday in Iowa hosted by Sean Hannity.

During the event in Davenport, Trump slammed John Kerry and the efforts made by the presidential envoy for climate.

 “Our country can be rich again. John Kerry has to be stopped. He’s destroying our country,” Trump told Hannity and the crowd at the town hall.

Kerry, a former senator and secretary of state, announced Tuesday that the U.S. would collaborate with other governments to speed up the process of making nuclear fusion a new source of carbon-free energy, which could be used to power cars and heat and cool homes instead of using fossil fuels, such as coal, oil and natural gas.

“The only global warming we should be thinking about or worrying about is nuclear global warming, not global warming,” Trump said at the town hall, echoing comments he made earlier this year minimizing the climate crisis.

Trump’s digs didn’t end there. He added that when Kerry speaks about climate change around the world, people “treat him with respect,” but then say “what an idiot, what a jerk” when he leaves.

His comments arrive amid the United Nations climate summit (COP28) in Dubai, where the event’s leader, Sultan Al Jaber, came under fire for suggesting that fossil fuels don’t necessarily need to be phased out, claiming that there is “no science” behind calls to do so, The New York Times reported.

Kerry pushed back on his statement and emphasized the need for countries to prioritize efforts to keep global warming from topping 1.5 degrees Celsius (2.7 degrees Fahrenheit).

During the event, Trump took the opportunity to slam the Green New Deal, a framework of proposals to help mitigate climate change, saying that it would “destroy our country,” and he emphasized that the U.S. shouldn’t stray away from using oil as a fuel source, despite climate activists, experts and leaders pointing to the importance of pivoting away from fossil fuels.

“I am an environmentalist, but we’re going to destroy our country with this Green New Deal stuff that doesn’t work just to finish, we have so much wealth and power under our feet. No other country has it,” Trump said, later making additional attacks on the manufacturing of electric vehicles.

 

 

 

ATTACHMENT @ - FROM REUTERS

Russia tries to unfreeze gold reserves for climate funds at COP28

December 9, 20238:51 AM ESTUpdated 6 hours ago

DUBAI, Dec 9 (Reuters) - Russia said on Saturday it was looking into whether its frozen gold reserves, taken after Russia invaded Ukraine, could be used to fund the climate damage fund to help developing countries.

In what looked like an attempt to try to fulfil Moscow's aim of doing "everything possible" to stop the West from seizing its frozen reserves, Russia's climate envoy said at the COP28 summit the move would help to close the gap between developed and developing countries in dealing with climate change.

It is unlikely to be agreed upon. The West froze around half - or more than $300 billion - of Russia's international reserves after Moscow sent its armed forces into Ukraine in February last year.

Kyiv wants the proceeds from Russian frozen assets to be used to help rebuild the country -- something many in the West want to happen but which has been complicated by legal questions and the move's possible future ramifications.

"We are ready to announce that Russia is looking into the voluntary contribution of finance to the loss and damage fund from the frozen national gold reserves held by international organisations," Ruslan Edelgeriev, Russia's climate representative, said on the main stage at COP28 in Dubai.

"It is a step dictated by the need to close the gap between developing and developed countries."

 

ATTACHMENT @  FROM Reuters

COP28 clashes over fossil fuel phase-out after OPEC pushback

By Kate AbnettValerie Volcovici and Yousef Saba  December 9, 20231:09 PM ESTUpdated an hour ago

·         Some members balk at fossil fuel phase-out inclusion

·         Saudi Arabia and Russia push for focus on emissions, not fuels

·         Nations most affected by climate change demand its inclusion

DUBAI, Dec 9 (Reuters) - Countries clashed on Saturday over a possible agreement to phase-out fossil fuels at the COP28 summit in Dubai, jeopardising attempts to deliver a first-ever commitment to eventually end the use of oil and gas in 30 years of global warming talks.

Saudi Arabia and Russia were among several countries insisting that the conference in Dubai focus only on reducing climate pollution - and not on targeting the fossil fuels causing it, according to observers in the negotiations.

On the other side, at least 80 countries including the United States, the European Union and many poor, climate-vulnerable nations are demanding that a COP28 deal call clearly for an eventual end to fossil fuel use.

COP28 President Sultan al-Jaber told nations late on Saturday to speed up their work to find a final deal, saying there were "still more areas of divergence than agreement".

"The window is closing to close the gaps," he told the summit.

OPEC Secretary General Haitham Al Ghais earlier said in comments read out to the summit delegates by an official: "We need realistic approaches to tackle emissions. One that enables economic growth, helps eradicate poverty and increases resilience at the same time."

Earlier this week, the oil producer group sent a letter urging its members and allies to reject any mention of fossil fuels in the final summit deal, warning that "undue and disproportionate pressure against fossil fuels may reach a tipping point".

It was the first time OPEC's Secretariat has intervened in the U.N. climate talks with such a letter, according to Alden Meyer of the E3G climate change think tank. "It indicates a whiff of panic," he said.

EU climate commissioner Wopke Hoekstra criticised the letter as "out of whack" with climate efforts.

"By many, including by me, that has been seen as out of whack, as unhelpful, as not in tune with where the world stands in terms of the very dramatic situation of our climate," he said.

Saudi Arabia is the top producer in OPEC and the de facto leader of the organization and Russia is a member of the so-called OPEC+ group.

By insisting on focusing on emissions rather than fossil fuels, the two countries appeared to be leaning on the promise of expensive carbon capture technology, which the U.N. climate science panel says cannot take the place of reducing fossil fuel use worldwide.

Other countries including India and China have not explicitly endorsed a fossil fuel phase-out at COP28, but have backed a popular call for boosting renewable energy.

China's top climate envoy, Xie Zhenhue, described this year's climate summit as the hardest in his career.

"I have participated in these climate negotiations for 16 years," he told journalists. "The hardest meeting is this year's. There are so many issues to settle."

He said there was little chance the summit would be called a success if nations could not agree to language on the future of fossil fuels.

India's environment minister, Bhupender Yadav, demanded "equity and justice" in any deal, holding that rich countries should be leading global climate action.

Broader diplomatic grievances were also aired at the podium on Saturday, clouding the focus on global warming.

A Russia representative said in a speech that Moscow was looking into whether some of the roughly $300 billion in gold reserves frozen by the West after Russia invaded Ukraine could be used for a climate damage fund for developing countries.

Meanwhile, China complained about what it said was unacceptable talk about Taiwan's participation in the talks. And a Palestinian representative denounced Israel's war in Gaza, saying the conflict made it difficult to focus on climate change efforts.

'CRITICAL STAGE'

With the summit's scheduled to end on Tuesday, government ministers from the nearly 200 countries at the Dubai summit have joined in trying to resolve the fossil fuel impasse.

Climate-vulnerable countries said a rejection of a fossil fuel mention at COP28 would threaten the entire world.

"Nothing puts the prosperity and future of all people on earth, including all of the citizens of OPEC countries, at greater risk than fossil fuels," said Marshall Islands climate envoy Tina Stege in a statement.

The Marshall Islands, which faces inundation from climate-driven sea level rise, currently chairs the High Ambition Coalition group of nations pushing for stronger emissions-cutting targets and policies.

To meet the global goal of holding climate warming to within 1.5 degrees Celsius above preindustrial temperatures, the coalition "is pushing for a phase out of fossil fuels, which are at the root of this crisis," she said. "1.5 is not negotiable, and that means an end to fossil fuels."

The latest version of the negotiating text, released Friday, shows countries were still considering a range of options - from agreeing to a "phase out of fossil fuels in line with best available science", to phasing out "unabated fossil fuels", to including no mention at all.

Germany's climate envoy Jennifer Morgan said counties were "moving into the critical stage of negotiations".

"It is time for all countries to remember what is at stake," she said. "I am concerned that not all are constructively engaging."

Asked about the OPEC letter, COP28 Director General Majid Al Suwaidi avoided the term "fossil fuels" but said the United Arab Emirates, as president of the summit, wanted a deal to get the world on track to limit warming to 1.5 C.

"Our COP president ... clearly wants to see an outcome that is as ambitious as possible, and we believe we are going to deliver it," he told a news conference.

Speaking on behalf of the Alliance of Small Island States, Samoa's environment minister, Cedric Schuster, worried that this year's talks were getting bogged down by disputes.

"We are extremely concerned about the pace of negotiations given the limited time we have left here in Dubai," he told the summit from the main stage on Saturday.

"A target for renewables cannot be a substitute for a stronger commitment to fossil fuel phase-out and an end to fossil fuel subsidies," he said. "COP28 needs to deliver both."

Azerbaijan looks set to host next year's COP29 climate change summit after winning backing from other Eastern European nations, unblocking a geopolitical deadlock over the next global gathering to address climate change.

 

ATTACHMENT @ - From the Associated Press

Protests at UN climate talks, from Israel-Hamas war to detainees, see ‘shocking level of censorship’

Takeaways – captions, see photos here

 

1 of 21 | 

Activist Rahma Zein participates in a demonstration for climate justice and a ceasefire in the Israel-Hamas war at the COP28 U.N. Climate Summit, Saturday, Dec. 9, 2023, in Dubai, United Arab Emirates. (AP Photo/Rafiq Maqbool)

 

2 of 21 | 

Joey Shea, of Human Rights Watch, speaks during a demonstration with images of jailed activist Mohamed al-Siddiq and Egypt’s jailed leading pro-democracy activist Alaa Abdel-Fattah at the COP28 U.N. Climate Summit, Saturday, Dec. 9, 2023, in Dubai, United Arab Emirates. (AP Photo/Rafiq Maqbool)

 

3 of 21 | 

Activists participate in a demonstration with the image of jailed activist Mohamed al-Siddiq at the COP28 U.N. Climate Summit, Saturday, Dec. 9, 2023, in Dubai, United Arab Emirates. (AP Photo/Rafiq Maqbool)

 

4 of 21 | 

An activist holds a sign as they participate in a demonstration with the image of jailed activist Mohamed al-Siddiq at the COP28 U.N. Climate Summit, Saturday, Dec. 9, 2023, in Dubai, United Arab Emirates. (AP Photo/Rafiq Maqbool)

 

5 of 21 | 

Activists are required to cover part of a poster with the image jailed activist Mohamed al-Siddiq during the COP28 U.N. Climate Summit, Saturday, Dec. 9, 2023, in Dubai, United Arab Emirates. (AP Photo/Rafiq Maqbool)

 

6 of 21 | 

Activists hold signs during a demonstration for Egypt’s jailed leading pro-democracy activist Alaa Abdel-Fattah and Mohamed al-Siddiq, jailed activist, at the COP28 U.N. Climate Summit, Saturday, Dec. 9, 2023, in Dubai, United Arab Emirates. (AP Photo/Rafiq Maqbool)

 

7 of 21 | 

Activists hold signs during a demonstration for Egypt’s jailed leading pro-democracy activist Alaa Abdel-Fattah at the COP28 U.N. Climate Summit, Saturday, Dec. 9, 2023, in Dubai, United Arab Emirates. (AP Photo/Rafiq Maqbool)

 

8 of 21 | 

Pro-Palestinian activists wearing keffiyehs stand outside ahead of a session on food security put on by the Heschel Center for Sustainability, an Israeli organization, at the COP28 U.N. Climate Summit, Saturday, Dec. 9, 2023, in Dubai, United Arab Emirates. The session was canceled. (AP Photo/Peter Dejong)

 

9 of 21 | 

An activist shows the Earth cooking during a demonstrate for climate justice and a ceasefire in the Israel-Hamas war at the COP28 U.N. Climate Summit, Saturday, Dec. 9, 2023, in Dubai, United Arab Emirates. (AP Photo/Peter Dejong)

 

10 of 21 | 

Activists demonstrate for climate justice and a ceasefire in the Israel-Hamas war at the COP28 U.N. Climate Summit, Saturday, Dec. 9, 2023, in Dubai, United Arab Emirates. (AP Photo/Rafiq Maqbool)

 

11 of 21 | 

Activists demonstrate for climate justice and a ceasefire in the Israel-Hamas war at the COP28 U.N. Climate Summit, Saturday, Dec. 9, 2023, in Dubai, United Arab Emirates. (AP Photo/Rafiq Maqbool)

 

12 of 21 | 

Activists participate in a die-in against fossil fuels at the COP28 U.N. Climate Summit, Saturday, Dec. 9, 2023, in Dubai, United Arab Emirates. (AP Photo/Peter Dejong)

 

13 of 21 | 

Activists embrace during a demonstrate for climate justice and a ceasefire in the Israel-Hamas war at the COP28 U.N. Climate Summit, Saturday, Dec. 9, 2023, in Dubai, United Arab Emirates. (AP Photo/Rafiq Maqbool)

 

14 of 21 | 

Activists embrace during a demonstrate for climate justice and a ceasefire in the Israel-Hamas war at the COP28 U.N. Climate Summit, Saturday, Dec. 9, 2023, in Dubai, United Arab Emirates. (AP Photo/Rafiq Maqbool)

 

15 of 21 | 

Activists demonstrate for climate justice and a ceasefire in the Israel-Hamas war at the COP28 U.N. Climate Summit, Saturday, Dec. 9, 2023, in Dubai, United Arab Emirates. (AP Photo/Peter Dejong)

 

16 of 21 | 

Activists demonstrate for climate justice and a ceasefire in the Israel-Hamas war at the COP28 U.N. Climate Summit, Saturday, Dec. 9, 2023, in Dubai, United Arab Emirates. (AP Photo/Rafiq Maqbool)

 

17 of 21 | 

An activist demonstrates for climate justice and a ceasefire in the Israel-Hamas war at the COP28 U.N. Climate Summit, Saturday, Dec. 9, 2023, in Dubai, United Arab Emirates. (AP Photo/Rafiq Maqbool)

 

18 of 21 | 

Activists demonstrate for climate justice at the COP28 U.N. Climate Summit, Saturday, Dec. 9, 2023, in Dubai, United Arab Emirates.(AP Photo/Rafiq Maqbool)

 

19 of 21 | 

Activists demonstrate for climate justice and a ceasefire in the Israel-Hamas war at the COP28 U.N. Climate Summit, Saturday, Dec. 9, 2023, in Dubai, United Arab Emirates. (AP Photo/Peter Dejong)

 

20 of 21 | 

Mitzi Jonelle Tan, of the Philippines, center, and activists demonstrate for climate justice and a ceasefire in the Israel-Hamas war at the COP28 U.N. Climate Summit, Saturday, Dec. 9, 2023, in Dubai, United Arab Emirates. (AP Photo/Rafiq Maqbool)

 

21 of 21 | 

Activists demonstrate for climate justice and a ceasefire in the Israel-Hamas war at the COP28 U.N. Climate Summit, Saturday, Dec. 9, 2023, in Dubai, United Arab Emirates. (AP Photo/Rafiq Maqbool)

 

A@ FROM AXIOS

Young people at COP28 call on world to "do better" to address climate change

By Laurin-Whitney Gottbrath

Youth from Fridays for Future organization stage a protest calling to cease fires and end fossil fuels in the conference venue, Blue Zone during the COP28, UN Climate Change Conference

 

DUBAI, United Arab Emirates — Young people at COP28 in Dubai are calling on the world to "do better" to ensure their countries — and the planet — are habitable for generations to come.

 

The big picture: COP28 kicked off its second week with youth day, injecting energy in what will undoubtedly be the toughest days so far as negotiators work to hammer out some of the thorniest issues for the final text of the key Global Stocktake document.

That includes whether it will include specific language on the "phase out," phase down," or some alternative, of fossil fuels.

From small — but loud — protests to panel discussions to sideline conversations, one outcome for many young people at COP is clear: Negotiators must come to an agreement on ending the use of fossil fuels to have a better chance of limiting global warming to 1.5 degrees compared to preindustrial levels.

"We don't have enough time for discussions. We have to act now," said Grace Malie, a 24-year-old youth delegate from the Pacific island nation of Tuvalu.

Driving the news: Those discussions in recent years have increasingly included young voices who bring creative ideas and give a full picture of what is happening on the ground, those who spoke to Axios said.

"The actions [we want to see done] are being implemented by young people, not the leaders, not the men and women in suits," said 25-year-old Nyombi Morris, a climate and environmental activist from Uganda.

It was a sentiment echoed by 26-year-old Tamala Pita from Tuvalu. But Pita, who is attending COP for the second time, said she also believes the climate summit gives young people the chance to keep the issues affecting their peers back home part of the conversations.

"Once you're out of the conversation, no one thinks about it. So that's why we are here," she said.

Ahmed Abdi Osman, a 25-year-old representative of Somalia's Ministry of Environment and Climate Change, agreed.

"As a youth leader, we are here to share our knowledge, to share our experience to share our insights from other youth leaders," Osman told Axios after engaging with other youth leaders on a panel about the role of young people in climate action.

Osman, who is attending his first COP, said collaboration among leaders — especially young people — is key. Other youth leaders can share their own experiences, which can help Somalia see "how [it] can adapt" and "how [it] can mitigate climate change issues" back home," he said.

The young people Axios spoke to in Dubai expressed cautious optimism that this year's COP got off to a good start, with the adoption of a "loss and damage" fund to help some of the world's most vulnerable nations respond to the devastation caused by climate change.

But they say it's not enough. "There needs to be better efforts being put in by countries who are emitting the most while we're at home feeling the most of the effects of climate change. People need to do better," Pita said.

The effects of climate change are felt acutely in Tuvalu, the fourth-smallest nation in the world. Most — if not all — of the country could be submerged underwater by the end of the century under certain sea level rise scenarios.                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 

"When we're talking about loss and damage, the central thought of losing our land, it's not something where we can just get up, pack our things and go," Pita told Axios.

"There's the historical, the traditional ties that we have to the land. Our culture is very much intertwined into the land," she added.

Limiting global warming to 1.5 degrees preindustrial levels is "not a goal for us, it's a limit. Because once we exceed that, our lands become uninhabitable ... And then, when we're forced to move, where can we go, where we can practice the same traditions and culture?"

                                                                                                                                                                          

a@ from WashPost

Azerbaijan poised to host next year’s global climate talks

A standstill over the next host shows signs of ending after warring neighbors Azerbaijan and Armenia struck a deal

By Maxine Joselow  December 8, 2023 at 10:30 a.m. EST

 

DUBAI — Azerbaijan appears poised to host next year’s global climate summit after longtime adversary Armenia on Friday agreed to stop blocking its bid.

The development means another oil-producing country could host the world’s most important gathering on global warming, a problem caused in large part by fossil fuels. The United Arab Emirates, the world’s seventh-largest producer, is currently hosting the U.N. Climate Change Conference, known as COP28, in Dubai.

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As of Thursday, countries were still locked in an unprecedented standstill over the host of the next summit, which will be known as COP29. While it is an Eastern European country’s turn to host, Russia had threatened to veto any European Union country’s bid. The E.U. has imposed massive sanctions against Moscow over its war in Ukraine.

At the same time, warring neighbors Azerbaijan and Armenia had threatened to veto each other’s bids to host. Every Eastern European country needs to approve the next host by consensus, meaning any single nation can sink an agreement.

But on Friday, the standstill showed signs of ending. Ilham Aliyev, the president of Azerbaijan, and Nikol Pashinyan, the prime minister of Armenia, released a joint statement saying they had struck a deal to allow Azerbaijan to preside over COP29.

“As a sign of good gesture, the Republic of Armenia supports the bid of the Republic of Azerbaijan to host the 29th Session of the Conference of Parties (COP29) to the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change, by withdrawing its own candidacy,” the statement said. “The Republic of Armenia and the Republic of Azerbaijan do hope that the other countries within the Eastern European Group will also support Azerbaijan’s bid to host.”

Azerbaijan’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs spokesperson Aykhan Hajizada said on Friday that “Russia has also supported our bid,” according to Reuters.

Armenia agreed to back Azerbaijan’s COP hosting bid in exchange for membership in the eastern European group’s COP bureau.

In addition, Azerbaijan said it would release 32 Armenian soldiers, while Armenia said it would release two Azerbaijani detainees. The two countries have been in conflict for decades, particularly over the disputed region of Nagorno-Karabakh, which is internationally recognized as part of Azerbaijan but inhabited mostly by ethnic Armenians.

“I find it positive that there is a joint statement between two countries with very tense relations, to say the least,” Wopke Hoekstra, the European commissioner for climate action, said at a Friday news conference at COP28. “So at the very least, as a confidence-building measure, I think this is very good news. We think, as the European Union, we’ve engaged a lot with these countries in the recent past. There is a historic chance to bring peace closer than it is today.”

More from COP28

Rich countries promised poor nations billions for climate change. They aren...

If Azerbaijan is officially named the host of COP29, the country will face steep challenges in corralling nearly 200 nations to forge a deal on slowing Earth’s dangerous warming. COP28 President Sultan Al Jaber, who also heads the UAE’s state-owned oil company, has had to navigate deep divisions over whether to phase out fossil fuels, among other things.

Climate scientists agree that reducing fossil fuel production and use will be necessary to meet the goal of the Paris agreement: limiting global warming to 1.5 degrees Celsius (2.7 degrees Fahrenheit) since preindustrial times. But negotiators from Saudi Arabia and other oil-rich nations have sought to block language on a fossil fuel phaseout in any final agreement.

Still, Al Jaber said Friday that he was “quite positive, hopeful and optimistic” that the summit could bring a “paradigm shift centered around and based on the science.”

 

 

X  FROM the WASHINGTON POST

 

 

X@  FROM A.P. NEWS

BY JON GAMBRELL  Updated 9:04 AM EST, December 9, 2023

DUBAI, United Arab Emirates (AP) — Activists designated Saturday a day of protest at the COP28 summit in Dubai. But the rules of the game in the tightly controlled United Arab Emirates meant sharp restrictions on what demonstrators could say, where they could walk and what their signs could portray.

At times, the controls bordered on the absurd.

A small group of demonstrators protesting the detention of activists — one from Egypt and two from the UAE — were not allowed to hold up signs bearing their names. A late afternoon demonstration of around 500 people, the largest seen at the climate conference, couldn’t go beyond the United Nations-governed Blue Zone in this autocratic nation. And their calls for a cease-fire in the Israel-Hamas war in the Gaza Strip couldn’t actually name the country involved.

“It is a shocking level of censorship in a space that had been guaranteed to have basic freedoms protected like freedom of expression, assembly and association,” Joey Shea, a researcher at Human Rights Watch focused on the Emirates, told The Associated Press after their restricted demonstration.

Pro-Palestinian protesters said they were told demonstrators could not say “from the river to the sea,” a slogan previously prohibited by the U.N. over the days of COP28.

In the aftermath of a brutal Hamas attack on Israel in October and subsequent bombing and ground offensive in the Gaza Strip, that phrase has been used by pro-Palestinian rallies to call for single state on the land between the Jordan River and the Mediterranean. Some Jews hear a clear demand for Israel’s destruction in the call.

Still, protestor Dylan Hamilton of Scotland said it remained important for demonstrators to cry out their grievances, even if they sounded like a cacophony of concerns ranging from climate change, the war or Indigenous rights.

“It’s essential to remind negotiators what they are negotiating about,” Hamilton said. “It’s trying to remind people to care about people you’ll never meet.”

Just before the demonstration about the activists, organized by Amnesty International and Human Rights Watch, protesters had to fold over signs bearing the names of the detainees — even after they already had crossed out messages about them. The order came roughly 10 minutes before the protest was due to start from the U.N., which said it could not guarantee the security of the demonstration, Shea said.

While speaking during the protest, Shea also had to avoid naming the Emirates and Egypt as part of the U.N.'s rules.

“The absurdity of what happened at this action today speaks volumes,” she said.

The Emirati government, in response to questions from the AP about the detainees protest, said it “does not comment on individual cases following judicial sentences.”

“In the spirit of inclusivity, peaceful assemblies in designated areas have been and continue to be welcomed,” the statement said. “We remain dedicated to fostering dialogue and understanding as we work together at COP28 to deliver impactful solutions for accelerating climate action.”

Demonstrators carried signs bearing the image of Emirati activist Ahmed Mansoor and Egyptian pro-democracy activist Alaa Abdel-Fattah.

Mansoor, the recipient of the prestigious Martin Ennals Award for Human Rights Defenders in 2015, repeatedly drew the ire of authorities in the United Arab Emirates, calling for a free press and democratic freedoms in this autocratic federation of seven sheikhdoms. He had been targeted with Israeli spyware on his iPhone in 2016 likely deployed by the Emirati government ahead of his 2017 arrest and sentencing to 10 years in prison over his activism.

Abdel-Fattah, who rose to prominence during the 2011 pro-democracy Arab Spring uprisings, became a central focus of demonstrators during last year’s COP27 in Sharm el-Sheikh, Egypt, as he had stopped eating and drinking water to protest his detention. He has spent most of the past decade in prison because of his criticism of Egypt’s rulers.

Since 2013, President Abdel-Fattah el-Sissi’s government has cracked down on dissidents and critics, jailing thousands, virtually banning protests and monitoring social media. El-Sissi has not released Abdel-Fattah despite him receiving British citizenship while imprisoned and interventions on his behalf from world leaders including U.S. President Joe Biden.

Demonstrators also held up the image of Mohamed al-Siddiq, another Emirati detained as part of the crackdown. Emiratis in white thobes walked or rode past the protest in carts, looking on in curiosity. The protests had been scheduled to take place days earlier, but negotiations with U.N. officials dragged on — likely due to the sensitivity of even mentioning the detainees’ names in the country.

Meanwhile Saturday, protesters briefly staged a sit-in at OPEC’s stand over a leaked letter reportedly calling on cartel member states to reject any attempt to include a phase-down of fossil fuels in any text at the summit.

“It’s like having, you know, a convention on fighting the tobacco industry and having the tobacco industry present in a negotiation. That is not okay,” campaigner Nicholas Haeringer said. “It’s like having a fox in the henhouse. And to be honest with you guys, I think at some point we will run out of analogies before these guys run out of oil.”

 

a@ FROM AXIOS

 

Exclusive: Dem senators, ministers bash OPEC letter rattling COP28 summit

 

By Andrew Freedman

DUBAI, United Arab Emirates — U.S. lawmakers and ministers from around the world blasted a letter that emerged Friday night, warning OPEC member states to resist calls at the COP28 climate summit for a fossil fuel phase-out.

Why it matters: The letter has shaken up the climate talks in a critical phase, as nations spar over whether to include historic language in an emerging climate agreement that calls for a phase-out of fossil fuels.

In an exclusive interview with Axios, Democratic senators pushed back against the power of the fossil fuel industry. "OPEC's letter is outrageous. OPEC wants to talk about emissions, but not the source of the emissions," said Sen. Ed Markey (D-MA), who is visiting COP28 as part of a congressional delegation.

        "It would be like the tobacco industry saying you can talk about lung cancer, but you can't talk about cigarettes. It's outrageous, it's preposterous," he told Axios.

        "The extent to which they had the nerve to write such a preposterous letter, just shows you how much in denial they still are."

The big picture: The letter, reportedly sent by the OPEC secretary general to all 13 member nations and 10 members of the larger OPEC+ coalition on Dec. 6, warned of the possibility of a tipping point toward a COP28 outcome containing language calling for a phase-out of fossil fuels.

        Studies show the burning of fossil fuels has already heated the climate to a dangerous degree, with devastating consequences including extreme weather events and sea level rise.

        "We live in an environment in the United States Senate in which the fossil fuel industry essentially has a veto on what public elected officials do with regards to pollution," said Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse (D-R.I.), about the fossil fuel industry overall.

        "So it should come as no surprise that want to exercise some form of a veto here," he said. "They've got that kind of habit of feeling that they own that kind of clout and democratic policies and outcomes don't apply to them."

What they're saying: The letter has spurred strong reactions abroad as well. In an interview with Axios, Colombia Environment Minister Susana Muhamad compared the letter to something "out of a science fiction movie."

        "Why don't they come and speak up here and tell the truth that they want to prevail, even if the planet goes to, or two-thirds of humanity go to hell," she told Axios.

        Ministers from the Marshall Islands and other countries also criticized the OPEC move.

        OPEC did not immediately respond to a request for comment.

What's next: Negotiators are expected to go through the night Saturday local time to debate the text of portions of a draft Dubai agreement.

 

 

X@ FROM the New York Post

Loud fart sound erupts during John Kerry’s speech at climate panel

By Joe Tacopino  Published Dec. 4, 2023, 11:51 p.m. ET

        MORE ON:JOHN KERRY

·         Windbag John Kerry’s flatulence was the perfect ‘keynote’ for UN climate confab

·         Biden admin commits to shutting down coal plants in push for green agenda

·         SEC abets latest climate cheat by Dems: The Green New Deal is a shuck!

·         As Trump’s troubles grow, so does impersonator’s bookings: ‘People miss him’

John Kerry might need to cut back on his own emissions.

The Biden administration’s climate envoy was discussing US policy on coal power plants at the Climate Change Conference in Dubai on Sunday when Kerry may have unleashed a burst of wind energy.

The former secretary of state was speaking next to Becky Anderson, managing editor of CNN Abu Dhabi, and Fatih Birol, executive director of the International Energy Agency, when a Bronx cheer suddenly erupted midsentence.

“There shouldn’t be any more coal-fired power plants permitted anywhere in the world,” Kerry began before launching into an anti-coal diatribe.

“I find myself getting more and more militant because I do not understand how adults who are in a position of responsibility can be avoiding responsibility for taking away those things that are killing people on a daily basis…”

Before Kerry can complete his thought, the crude sound of passing gas can be heard over the microphone. The crowd breaks into applause, apparently oblivious to the crude theatrics.

CNN’s Anderson — sitting to Kerry’s right and within striking distance of a potential bodily function — quickly jerks her head aside and inconspicuously places her hand to her mouth, possibly in the event of any stench permeating the climate panel.

Birol, the energy executive, simply nods his head in rapt contemplation.

“And the reality is that the climate crisis and the health crisis are one and the same,” Kerry continues, unabated.

The former secretary of state was speaking next to Becky Anderson, managing editor of CNN Abu Dhabi, and Fatih Birol, executive director of the International Energy Agency, when a Bronx cheer suddenly erupted midsentence.

Larry O’Connor of Townhall Media said Kerry’s alleged flatulence was an embarrassment to the US.

“The biggest problem is, during this entire exchange, representing us, the United States of America, he ripped a fart out,” O’Connor said. “He let loose with flatulence on an international stage.”

1017

What do you think? Post a comment.

The pundit said the evidence was overwhelming and Kerry must answer for his actions.

“He should lose his job immediately,” he said. “John Kerry farted.”

 

ATTACHMENT @  FROM TIME

COP28 Is a Business Bonanza. Should It Be?

BY JUSTIN WORLAND / DUBAI

DECEMBER 8, 2023 4:11 PM EST

The question from Jesper Brodin—CEO of the Ingka Group, IKEA's parent company—for Germany’s deputy climate envoy was fairly simple: “How can we support you?” Speaking in a discussion at COP28 I moderated in the first days of this year’s climate talks in Dubai, Brodin wanted to know how businesses could aid the negotiators pushing for an agreement to phase out fossil fuels.

The answer from Norbert Gorissen, Germany’s deputy special envoy for climate action, tells us a lot about the role of the private sector at COP28, and the role of business in the climate movement more broadly. Policymakers hear a range of private sector views, he said, creating a “competition of various voices” to be considered the true representative of the corporate world. “We need a better-consolidated, strong voice from the private sector on a global level,” he said. In other words, the business voice is fragmented by different viewpoints; speaking in unison would yield greater results. 

The COP28 presidency has placed the private sector at its center unlike the organizers of any previous U.N. climate talks. In doing so, it is forcing COP participants to grapple with the thorny question of just how corporations can or should fit into the annual conference. 

For some longtime COP observers, this is a well-timed innovation. To meet our emissions targets, they say, the climate talks need to move beyond negotiation halls to catalyze the real economy. And indeed, some companies come to COP having earned true green credentials, not only by decarbonizing their businesses but also by supporting government policy to push others to do the same. 

For others, the business presence—including some of the biggest emitters—represents a cheapening of the process. There are certainly some companies that come with little to show—and no intention of pushing for helpful government policy. This is a distraction from the main task at hand, some observers argue, namely brokering an agreement to wind down fossil fuels.

Keeping track of all of this remains a difficult task. And, no matter what happens in the final days of COP28, additional work remains to be done to figure out the best way to incorporate the private sector into U.N.-led climate conversations.

Read more: The COP28 Outcomes Business Leaders Are Watching For

From their beginnings nearly 30 years ago, U.N. climate conferences were meant to center around countries. It is the United Nations, after all. And, while some business representation has existed from early on, corporate officials were largely meant to stay on the margins. But the presence of companies at the conferences has grown rapidly in the eight years since the adoption of the Paris Agreement. The landmark deal set a voluntary framework by which governments are meant to create increasingly ambitious climate policy, but in many large economies success depends to a significant degree on activating the private sector. And so the officials running the last several climate negotiations have increasingly incorporated businesses into the run-of-show—and big companies have eagerly embraced the invitation.

It should come as no surprise that organizers of this year’s conference in Dubai doubled down. The city has become a global business and financial hub by catering to the private sector. Sheikh Rashid bin Saeed Al Maktoum, the Emirati founding father credited with launching Dubai on its breakneck development trajectory, summed up his philosophy with a quippy ode to business: “What’s good for the merchants is good for Dubai.” Meanwhile, the COP presidency held by oil CEO Sultan Al Jaber has described his approach as a “business mindset” from the time he was appointed.

The result has been a slew of initiatives, partnerships, and deals launched during the conference. The U.A.E., for example, launched a $30 billion climate fund with top financial services companies to invest in clean technology, with a commitment to set aside some of that funding to flow to the Global South. And an alliance of oil and gas firms committed to end routine flaring and come close to eliminating methane emissions by the end of the decade.

And then there are the behind-the-scenes discussions: having private sector players at COP alongside government and civil society allows for the stakeholders to sort through challenges that would be difficult in a virtual context. “We’ve been seeing for a while now more and more businesses involved at COP,” says Nat Keohane, president of the Center for Climate and Energy Solutions, an environmental policy think tank. “What I’ve seen here is that those conversations are really oriented toward implementing solutions.”

Supporters of Al Jaber’s approach say he has used his convening power and long-running stature among companies and financiers to create the necessary climate for these deals and tough conversations. Opponents say that both voluntary commitments and dealmaking, however necessary, don’t need to be done on the ground at COP—that it’s a distraction from the urgent need to get the policies right. “The time has long since passed when the world can be satisfied with voluntary pledges that are self monitored, with bright shiny objects designed to distract the world from the main task at hand,” Al Gore told me on Dec. 5.

Some companies are keen to engage in the policy conversation. The We Mean Business Coalition organized a letter calling for the phaseout of fossil fuels ahead of the conference with more than 200 signatories, including large companies like IKEA and AstraZenca. At the same time, there are more than 2,400 delegates at the conference affiliated with the fossil fuel industry. As Gorissen said, it can be hard to discern who really represents the broader business community.

Ultimately, most executives here say they have little stake in the result of the negotiations that come out of the conference. This is perhaps unsurprising. The language is for the most part non-binding and directed at countries. And most companies, even those working hard to decarbonize their own operations, generally stay away from climate policy debates unless they have an immediate effect on their bottom line. A study published last month looking at 300 large companies by the watchdog group Influence Map found that 58% of those studied are at risk of “net zero greenwash” because they don’t lobby in alignment with the net zero target that they say they are pursuing. 

The primary focus, executives say, is to meet counterparts, do deals, and show their commitment to the climate issue. That last point has drawn particular criticism from many here who say that using COP to prove green credentials is an opportunity that should only be open to companies who have proven their climate chops, perhaps by meeting criteria set out last year by a U.N. working group convened to study the topic. 

This debate is tricky. How do you demand seriousness without requiring perfection? And is COP even the best place to engage in those conversations? The debate won’t be settled in the next few days. Indeed, we should only expect it to grow as climate change becomes increasingly relevant for companies.

 

a@ From France24

‘Stunned’: OPEC urges members to block action on fossil fuels at COP28

French Energy Minister Agnès Pannier-Runacher said Saturday she was "stunned" after the oil cartel OPEC urged its members to thwart any deal targeting fossil fuels at the COP28 conference.

Issued on: 09/12/2023 - 10:37Modified: 09/12/2023 - 15:52

By:FRANCE 24

 

"I am stunned by these statements from OPEC,” declared French Energy Minister Agnès Pannier-Runacher. And I am angry," she said from the UN climate conference in Dubai, adding that "OPEC+'s position endangers the most vulnerable countries and the poorest populations who are the first victims of this situation".

Pannier-Runacher said she was "counting on the presidency of the COP not to be influenced by these declarations, and to reach an agreement which affirms a clear objective of phasing out fossil fuels".

OPEC Secretary General Haitham Al Ghais sent a letter to the group's 13 members and 10 Russian-led allies this week after negotiators at talks in Dubai released a draft deal that included calls for a phase-out of fossil fuels.

In the letter sent Wednesday, Ghais urged the group to "proactively reject any text or formula that targets energy i.e. fossil fuels rather than emissions".

The letter urged OPEC+ members and allies to reject any mention of fossil fuels in the final summit deal, warning that "undue and disproportionate pressure against fossil fuels may reach a tipping point".

‘First’ OPEC intervention in UN climate talks

The letter has drawn anger from activists and the High Ambition Coalition, a broad group of nations ranging from Barbados to France, Kenya and Pacific island states.

Spain's Ecology Transition Minister Teresa Ribera called the move "disgusting".

It was the first time OPEC's secretariat has intervened in the UN climate talks with such a letter, Alden Meyer, an analyst at the E3G think-tank, told Reuters. "It indicates a whiff of panic," he said.

Saudi Arabia is the top producer in OPEC and the de facto leader of the organisation, and Russia is a member of the OPEC+ group.

By insisting on focusing on emissions rather than fossil fuels, the two countries appeared to be leaning on the promise of expensive carbon capture technology, which the UN climate science panel says cannot take the place of reducing fossil fuel use worldwide.

‘So many issues to settle’

Other countries including India and China have not explicitly endorsed a fossil fuel phase-out at COP28, but have backed a popular call for boosting renewable energy.

China's top climate envoy, Xie Zhenhue, described this year's climate summit as the hardest in his career.

"I have participated in these climate negotiations for 16 years," he told journalists. "The hardest meeting is this year's. There are so many issues to settle."

He said there was little chance the summit would be called a success if nations could not agree to language on the future of fossil fuels.

India's environment minister, Bhupender Yadav, demanded "equity and justice" in any deal, holding that rich countries should be leading global climate action.

Broader diplomatic grievances were also aired at the podium on Saturday, clouding the focus on global warming.

A Russian representative said in a speech that Moscow was looking into whether some of the roughly $300 billion in gold reserves frozen by the West after Russia invaded Ukraine could be used for a climate damage fund for developing countries.

Meanwhile, China complained about what it said was unacceptable talk about Taiwan's participation in the talks. And a Palestinian representative denounced Israel's war in Gaza, saying the conflict made it difficult to focus on climate change efforts.

(FRANCE 24 with AFP and REUTERS)

 

@a From NPR

GOATS AND SODA

'I dare not be quiet': What climate activist Ndelika Mandela learned from her granddad

DECEMBER 8, 202311:44 AM ET

Ndileka Mandela, the eldest of Nelson Mandela's grandchildren, during her Zoom interview with NPR. A climate activist, she had spoken at COP28 earlier in the week, the climate summit, and returned home to Johannesburg to mark the 10th anniversary of her grandfather's passing.

Screenshot by NPR

This week marks the tenth anniversary of the passing of Nelson Mandela. His activism against apartheid sent him to prison for 27 years. After that system of racial segregation came to an end and Mandela was released, he went on to become president of South Africa.

Today, he is survived by 17 grandchildren. The eldest is 58-year-old Ndileka Mandela, a former ICU nurse leads the Thembekile Mandela Foundation, which focuses on health, education and youth development in South Africa's rural villages.

This week, she traveled to Dubai for the U.N. climate conference COP28 to participate in a panel entitled "Strategies in Climate Financing; Empowering Sustainable Development in Africa." She called for an end to "climate apartheid" — a term she's using to jar people into action to help countries in the Global South who she says are unfairly burdened with the impacts of a changing planet. But she says it's also a phrase that implies there's a way out of the morass — just as apartheid was overcome in South Africa.

The following interview was edited for length and clarity.

Say more about climate apartheid. What does it mean?

During apartheid, the South African government used their power and privilege so that the economy benefited a minority group, the white people, at the expense of the majority — the people of color.

Today, the richest countries are the biggest polluters of our climate. They benefit financially. About half the world's population lives on less than $7 per day. Most of these four billion people live in the Global South and they're the ones who are most impacted by climate change. The Global North discriminates against the Global South, and we bear the consequences.

For instance, in Africa, we've had floods in Tanzania. Six people have died at the last count. We had hundreds of people die last year when we had floods in South Africa.

So you're describing a situation where the Global North has created most of the greenhouse gasses contributing to climate change. But it's the Global South that's feeling its impacts disproportionately, despite having contributed relatively little to causing climate change.

Yes, that is correct.

Of course, countries in the Global North are also experiencing climate impacts with flooding and droughts and sea level rise.

Certainly they will be impacted. This is a global crisis. You can't run away from the catastrophic effects of climate change. However, the Global North has more financial capacity to mitigate some of those things where the Global South doesn't.

 

But instead of criticizing or pointing fingers at each other, let us find solutions to mitigate climate change globally.

I mean, climate change is upon us. It's not waiting on who's to blame. It doesn't care who caused it.

 

But the term "climate apartheid" does seem to point the finger at the Global North. So in the spirit of coming up with solutions, why use this label?

It jars people to act.

Similarly, at the height of gender-based violence in South Africa, a phrase was used among those involved with the #MeToo movement — "men are trash."

It did not mean that all men are trash. But it jarred people. Terminology like this can draw sharp attention to a topic that is a crisis.

The phrase "climate apartheid" is not about blame. I believe it will help us sit around the table and come up with solutions.

What sorts of solutions do you envision?

For instance, at COP28, they've pledged a loss and damage fund of hundreds of billions of dollars. This money is a step in the right direction. It's still not enough, but it's a start.

In addition to the financing, the Global South needs expertise, advice and a road map to develop and use renewable energy. We want to become less reliant on the things that cause climate change like coal and oil.

What qualities did you learn from your parents, and how have you leveraged them in your battle against climate apartheid?

From my mother, I learned how to be content with what I have, how to stay in my lane and mind my own business.

My dad died when I was four. But my grandfather took on the role of my father in every way. With him, we were not his grandchildren.

From him, I learned that you need to be cognizant of the suffering of other people. You can't be an island. That's why climate change bothers me so much. I've somehow managed to stay insulated from the worst effects of climate change, but my fellow neighbors in other cities and other rural areas are suffering.

That's why I dare not keep quiet. If my grandfather had kept quiet about the injustices committed against our people, we wouldn't be where we are today. He and his comrades catapulted us into a democratic South Africa.

 

Are you surprised that there is "climate apartheid," or is this just the way the world works, unfortunately?

I'm not surprised. The rich always suppress the not so fortunate. It's sad to watch it happen.

But we have got to change it because it doesn't serve humanity when the haves suppress the have-nots.

When there's enough wealth to go around, there's no need for the developing world and the Global South to have abject poverty and unemployment.

As intractable and oppressive as apartheid was, ultimately, it went away. A new system replaced it. When you use the words "climate apartheid," perhaps you're also invoking this idea that we don't have to live like this, that there could be a different way, and that it too may one day go away.

Absolutely. There's absolutely a different way.

At some point, we didn't think that we would win the war against apartheid, but we did. It was almost a century-old regime that we were able to dismantle.

There was the Berlin Wall. I'm sure the people of Germany at some point didn't believe that the wall would fall. But it did fall because of the concerted effort of people not giving up.

So we need to have that same spirit now. We will win against climate apartheid as well.

Why are you confident that we will win?

I believe that with concerted effort and a lot of hope and positive energy, we can achieve a lot.

Just take my grandfather. This is a man that was incarcerated for life on Robben Island. And yet, the hope that he and his comrades had that they would be released one day was inside them from the moment they were imprisoned.

 

When my father died in 1969, seven years into my grandfather's incarceration, he wrote letters to various people. The letters that really resonated with me were those he wrote to his other children, telling them that he looks forward to the day that he will be released and be able to hug them.

They never lost hope. They never lost that positivity.

What we forget as humanity is that the words that we use have energy and power. If you state things in a positive manner, the universe will always conspire to assist.

Alternatively, we will be dead in the water if we don't have hope. We'll all be decimated.

So I believe that we need to have that hope that our forebears had to dismantle the shackle of climate apartheid.

What do you think your grandfather would have said about climate injustice?

In the Eastern Cape, there used to be trees and birds. And Granddad used to lament how he misses those days when the bees were plentiful, when they would go and get honey, which is organic, instead of just sugar.

So I know that he would have put his shoulder on the spoke to talk about what needs to be done to turn the tide on climate change. He would have met with people of influence and those with expertise.

I have no doubt that he would have been fighting right beside me.

Is there anything from your upbringing that gives you strength?

In the African context, especially in my Xhosa culture, we have the basic principle of "ubuntu" — that is, "I am because we are." It means that I am who I am not only because of my individual efforts, but because of a collective effort. It stresses the importance of sharing what we have as a community with groups who are less fortunate.

 

However, we now live in a world that is completely selfish. It's me, me, me... not the greater good of other people.

If we can go back to the basics of ubuntu, I think we can turn the tide against what we see today. No person is independent. We inherently need other people.

Is your last name a blessing or a curse?

It's a double-edged sword.

Oftentimes, my family and I get measured against my grandfather. For some people, my grandfather was a sellout because he should have done this or that, forgetting that all leaders lead within a certain context.

And at times, it's a blessing because of the credibility and legacy that he built. That's one reason why we're having this interview. When I speak, people listen. When I sit in front of certain leaders asking for assistance for my foundation, they assist me, whereas another person would battle to get that traction.

Are you doing anything to commemorate the 10 year anniversary of your grandfather's passing?

My grandfather used to host Christmas parties where he had Christmas gifts. And there would be a big feast. When he started doing that, most of the children in the neighboring village had never had Christmas presents before.

But at some point, people from all over the country wanted to come. And when they opened the gate, people rushed forward and there was a stampede. It became uncontrollable. They had to stop having the parties.

So yesterday [Tuesday, Dec. 5, the day of Mandela's death anniversary] we revived that practice where we chose children from the villages that had an impact on his life. There were rides, a jumping castle, quad bikes and also gifts and cakes for Christmas.

That's how I commemorated him.

 

 

X@ From CNN

India’s urban population is exploding. That could have huge consequences for the planet

Analysis by Diksha Madhok, CNN  Updated 1:07 PM EST, Thu December 7, 2023

New DelhiCNN — 

Over half a century ago, India’s then Prime Minister Indira Gandhi talked about the staggering challenge for developing nations: to industrialize without harming the environment.

“On the one hand the rich look askance at our continuing poverty — on the other, they warn us against their own methods,” she told a United Nations event in Stockholm in 1972, the first global conference to make the environment a major issue.

“We do not wish to impoverish the environment any further and yet we cannot for a moment forget the grim poverty of large numbers of people,” she added.

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Her words have never been more relevant. The tension between economic growth and environmental protection is at the heart of global discussions about how to tackle the ever accelerating climate crisis.

Addressing the opening session of the COP28 climate talks in Dubai on Friday, India’s current prime minister, Narendra Modi, said all developing countries must be given “a fair share in the global carbon budget” — the amount of planet-warming carbon pollution the world can emit and still avoid climate catastrophe.

Even though Earth is now heating up to dangerous levels, many governments around the world persist with viewing coal, oil and gas as sources of economic development, energy security and geopolitical power, the UN said this year.

As a result, the world’s fossil fuel production in 2030 is set to be more than twice the amount needed to limit the global temperature rise to 1.5 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels, the goal of the Paris climate agreement, a recent UN Environment Programme report found.

One of the major contributors to that disastrous overshoot will be India, which is burning ever greater amounts of coal and oil as it tries to meet the needs of its 1.4 billion people. It plans to double domestic coal production by 2030.

But even as the world’s most populous nation clings to coal with one hand, there are some signs that it is attempting to chart a more sustainable course with the other.

01:20 - Source: CNN

India has made “significant investments and set ambitious targets for renewable energy,” the UNEP report said, noting that the world’s fastest growing major economy has earmarked over $4 billion toward energy transition in this year’s national budget.

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Bottom of Form

Other global agencies have also noted India’s growing ambitions in the pursuit of green energy. The Paris-based International Energy Agency said in a report in October that the country was “moving into a dynamic new phase in its energy development marked by a long-term net zero emissions ambition.”

In 2021, Modi pledged India would achieve net zero emissions by 2070, which is still a couple of decades later than developed economies.

Transforming India’s energy sector, like most things in the country, is going to be chaotic and muddled, but it will have far-reaching implications for the global energy market and the race to limit global warming.

“India’s net zero by 2070 target, if met in full and on time along with all respective national targets, will take the world to 1.7 degree Celsius global average surface temperature rise by 2100,” said Siddharth Singh, energy investment analyst at the IEA.

Getting there need not come at the cost of growth. Already there are “early signs of a gradually loosening link between economic development and carbon emissions,” said Singh.

If the country is able to meet its pledges, its carbon emissions will fall by over 40% by 2050, even as its GDP quadruples over this period, IEA said in its report.

Modern India is yet to be built

India is the world’s third-largest energy consuming country, although its energy use and emissions per person are less than half the world average, IEA data shows.

That could change rapidly. Thanks to rising incomes, energy demand has doubled since 2000, with 80% of demand still being met by coal, oil and solid biomass. Over the next three decades, the South Asian nation will see the largest energy demand growth of any country in the world, the IEA said.

That superlative isn’t surprising as the country is expected to achieve some impressive economic milestones. The world’s fifth largest economy is comfortably placed to grow at an annual rate of at least 6% in the coming few years, analysts say, and may become only the third country with annual GDP of $10 trillion by 2035.

And as it develops and modernizes, its urban population is going to shoot up, leading to a massive rise in the construction of homes, offices, shops and other buildings.

“India adds the equivalent of a London to its urban population every year for the next 30 years,” said Singh.

The Modi government is also trying to boost domestic manufacturing and that has unleashed a building boom, with everything from roads and bridges to ports and railways springing up around the country.

This infrastructure bonanza will lead to a surge in demand for coal and steel, which are huge sources of carbon emissions.

Electricity demand is also expected to skyrocket in the coming years because of factors ranging from improved standards of living to climate change. The latter has been fueling deadly heatwaves across India, and as a result, air conditioner ownership is set to see a sharp spike in the coming years.

By 2050, India’s total electricity demand from residential air conditioners is set to exceed the total energy consumption in the whole of Africa today, the IEA said this year.

Coal accounts for almost 70% of the country’s electricity generation and is not likely to change in the near future.

The future role of fossil fuels is one of the most controversial issues nations are grappling with at COP28. While some are pushing for a “phase-out,” others are calling for the weaker language of a “phase-down.”

India has said that the former option is not feasible at the moment. “We cannot phase out fossil fuels unless we have nuclear or until [energy] storage becomes viable,” India’s power minister R.K. Singh said last week, just days after he had said that the country won’t be rushed into reducing its use of coal.

“We are not going to do this … we are not going to compromise on availability of power for our growth, even if it requires that we add coal-based capacity,” the minister said in November.

Giant green goals

Still, the fact that India is developing at this point in history gives it a unique opportunity not to repeat the climate sins of wealthier nations.

The country was a reluctant signatory to the Paris climate accord in 2015, when more than 190 countries pledged to limit the precipitous rise in global temperatures to well below 2 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels, with a preferred goal of 1.5 degrees.

Those pledges haven’t yet been delivered. The world is careening toward nearly 3 degrees of global warming, even if current climate policies are met, the United Nations has warned.

The Modi government has set ambitious goals.

It has promised that renewable energy will fulfil 50% of India’s energy requirements by the end of this decade. The government also set a target of 500 GW of non-fossil fuel electricity generating capacity by that period — up from about 173 GW last year.

India has launched an incentive program to boost domestic manufacturing in critical sectors including solar modules and advanced chemistry cell batteries. If the program works, it could see India establish itself as a “reliable exporter” of solar modules, the IEA said in its 2023 report.

“The country already has the world’s fourth largest combined capacity for wind and solar PV electricity generation, and will be the third largest by next year,” Singh said. “In the context of its development journey, India’s clean energy targets are indeed impressive.”

If Asia’s third largest economy is able to meet its pledges, it would also offer a new roadmap to growth, one that allows developing countries to get rich and go green at the same time.

Green billionaires

Major conglomerates are keen to seize the green opportunity.

India’s richest men, including Mukesh Ambani and Gautam Adani, are investing billions into clean energy, even though they made their empire on the backs of fossil fuels.

“There has probably never been a better time than now for India to grow more sustainably,” said Tim Buckley director of Sydney-based think tank Climate Energy Finance.

That’s because of two main reasons: the world is seeing unprecedented levels of investment in clean technologies following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and solar energy is getting significantly cheaper, he explained.

But there is still a big funding gap. The IEA has said that energy investments need to nearly triple by the end of this decade for India to be on a trajectory to meet its zero emission targets. The Modi government wants rich nations to do more when it comes to climate financing.

The developed world agreed more than a decade ago to transfer at least $100 billion a year to developing countries to help both with their green transitions and efforts to adapt to the climate crisis. That pledge was reaffirmed in the 2015 Paris Agreement, but the target has never been met.

In his speech to COP on Friday, Modi warned that “thinking only about one’s self interest will only lead the world into darkness.”

Hopefully, that message will be heard by India’s vast bureaucracy as well.

“We just need more departmental action and urgency filtering down with respect to the excellent renewables ambition of Modi,” said Buckley. “India needs to make sure there’s an alignment of the implementation so that those really ambitious targets are going to be met”

 

ATTACHMENT @ – FROM the BBC

GOOD NEWS on CLIMATE CHANGE

By Matt McGrath Environment correspondent at COP28 in Dubai   7th December 2023, 09:18 EST

 

It's easy to feel overwhelmed by bad news about climate change. Even for those of us used to covering it every day as journalists, it can sometimes seem relentless.

Of course we are right to worry. This year will be the warmest twelve months in 125,000 years, scientists say, as its impacts hit home in every corner of the Earth.

But as delegates try to reach a deal at the COP28 climate summit in Dubai, there are some real reasons to be optimistic too. Here's a look at some of them:

1 - The secret solar revolution

On streets and in estates all over the UK, there's a silent solar insurgency going on.

Every month this year around 17,000 houses added solar panels right across Britain.

 

Even in parts of the UK not known for their sunny days, homeowners are sticking the silicon to their roofs; about 8% of homes on the Isle of Angelsey in north Wales are now powered by solar, in Aberdeenshire, it's close to 6%.

Driving this boom is cost - solar is not just the cheapest form of electricity now, according to some it is the cheapest in history.

It's not just people putting up panels in an orderly way, according to Jenny Chase, a solar expert from Bloomberg NEF, we're seeing a growing amount of "balcony solar" as well.

On this street in Walthamstow, around 15 homes have added solar in the past year

"You literally just put your solar module somewhere maybe on your balcony, maybe in your garden, and that can cover your house's instantaneous demand when it's sunny," she told BBC News.

 

"It doesn't go into the grid, it doesn't store it, you don't need to register it. It's just shaving a little bit off your power use."

The world is following suit. China has installed more solar this year than the US has in the past three decades.

There's now real hope that power from the Sun will be the key to a safer Planet Earth.

          More on the COP28 climate summit

·         What is COP28 and why is it so important?

·         Sultan al-Jaber: a quick guide to the COP president

·         Four ways climate change worsens extreme weather

·         Really simple guide to climate change

2 - The EV that pays for itself

The right time to buy an electric car must rank as one of the most popular dinner conversations across the UK.

Sales are generally booming, with some 18% of new vehicles sold around the world in 2023 powered by batteries.

EVs may soon be able to push energy to the national grid and your home when needed

But high costs and worries about the range of an electric vehicle are real deterrents at present.

However new technology is in the process of changing that perception and possibly making EVs more cost effective.

The idea is called Vehicle2Grid, or V2G and it's essentially the kit needed to send and receive power from your car to your house and on to the national grid.

The idea is that if you can charge the car when energy is cheap, you can sell it back to the grid when it's more expensive and turn a profit.

With cars spending 95% of their time parked up, they are perfectly suited to the role of buying and selling energy, like little four wheeled market traders.

This is critically important for the national grid which is in the process of adding more and more renewables like wind and solar, and needs somewhere to send that power when it's too windy or sunny.

And imagine if you were charging your car with energy from your own solar panels - you could sell this free energy to the grid for a decent margin, trials have shown.

3 - Betting on big batteries

All across the UK, large scale battery farms are springing up at amazing speed - this one I visited in Buckinghamshire was completed in just 10 months.

It can power 300,000 homes for up to two hours and is one of the biggest in Europe.

Prices for storage on this scale continue to tumble, and experts estimate that by the end of this decade there will be enough batteries in place to power 18 million homes across the UK. That's an astonishing rate of growth.

According to experts, batteries are the key link in the chain that will makes net zero achievable for electricity production.

·         What is net zero?

"If you didn't have storage, you could only have a certain amount of renewable energy," Peter Kavanagh, chief executive of Harmony Energy, told BBC News. His company is installing large scale batteries across the UK and Europe.

"When you add storage into the mix, it makes it a lot easier to get to a majority   of renewable energy. So we can go much further to reach net zero and it makes a 100% renewables grid technically possible."

4 - Here comes the judge

Clarity from the courts is another reason to be cheerful about climate change.

A number of major climate cases go before the judges in the next 12 months.

Judges at the International Court of Justice will decide on a critical case brought by Pacific nation Vanuatu on climate change

Whatever way they rule, it will spell out exactly where the law stands on what's legal and who's responsible for rising temperatures.

One of the biggest climate suits in history is taking place in the US, where Oregon's Multnomah County is making a $52bn damages claim against a range of oil and gas producers for causing a massive heatwave back in 2021.

If they win this case, it will have huge legal and financial implications, potentially leading to dozens more lawsuits against fossil fuel producers, similar to the court struggles that big tobacco endured in the past.

One of the lawyers in the case is Jeffrey Simon, who's well known for winning a big money opioid civil suit in Texas.

He says that the courts are emerging as the most powerful lever for climate action, by hitting fossil fuel producers in their pockets.

"Getting the defendants to reduce their emissions is not within the reach of the civil justice system in the US, but holding them accountable for the harm they've caused, and the misrepresentations they've made, which has slowed adaptation to those problems, is definitely within their power," he told BBC News.

5 - "When hope and history rhyme…"

My fifth reason to be cheerful about climate is history.

Looking at this challenge from a historical perspective really shows how much progress has been made in an incredibly short period of time.

Just eight years ago, when the Paris climate agreement was signed, this remarkable document didn't contain any mention of coal, oil and gas, which are the biggest sources of planet warming gases.

Now as negotiators from all over the world meet in Dubai for COP28, there's a real hope that the parties will agree to finally end the use of these fuels in some shape or form this century.

This would consign to history the root cause of climate change and give the world a fighting chance of defeating our biggest collective threat.

 

ATTACHMENT @ - From Bloomberg

Dubai’s Gilded COP28 Summit Changes Climate Talks Forever

· Monster UAE meeting is ‘peak COP’ with over 100,000 attendees

· Lavish hospitality stokes fears of distracting negotiationsBy John Ainger

December 6, 2023 at 9:00 PM EST

Dubai, home of the world’s tallest building, the Burj Khalifa, has applied the same logic of size and opulence to its hosting of the United Nations climate summit — an event with one key goal: to put the world back on track to keeping global warming below 1.5C.

Over 100,000 country negotiators, lobbyists and activists have descended on the conference’s Blue Zone in Dubai’s Expo City, the hub where the meat of climate talks are taking place. It’s an expanse that covers an area roughly the size of New York’s Central Park. An open-air dome in the center of the venue could hold the Leaning Tower of Pisa.

There’s nearly three times as many attendees as during COP26 in Glasgow, which forged a landmark deal to phase down unabated coal, and around four times more than the 2015 summit that birthed the Paris Agreement, which set the goal of trying to keep global warming below 2C, and ideally 1.5C. Around 400,000 people, mostly local residents, are taking part in activities around the conference.

Read More: What Is COP28 and Why Is It Important?

The summit’s gold-gilded enormity has given rise to fears that a successful outcome for the climate could prove a desert mirage. Negotiators say that impromptu bilateral meetings with other countries in corridors — often the location where key deals are really struck — are impossible due to the size of the venue. Golf buggies are provided to ferry high-level delegates to important meetings.

“The growth is getting a bit unmanageable,” said Kate Levick, associate director, sustainable finance at E3G, who attended her first COP in 2005 with oil giant BP Plc. “Catching someone in a corridor and speaking to face-to-face, there’s really no alternative to that.”

Far from a staid business conference, this summit at times has an almost five-star holiday vibe. Hospitality includes the serving of dates during plenary meetings, and an extensive array of refreshments provided around the clock. The Al-Waha theater invites participants to a 360-degree, Las Vegas-esque immersive screening of whales and endangered dugongs (of which the UAE is home to the second largest wild population globally) in-between sessions.

Read More: A Flawed Green City of the Future Holds a Secret to Taming Heat

Country delegates have received lavish treatment. Ministers are offered car envoys to speed past Dubai’s notoriously dense traffic. Where food and water were sometimes in short supply late in the day at other COPs, there’s been no such issue here.

The COP28 organizers have tried to provide an environment and atmosphere that is conducive to providing a result, according to Majid Al-Suwaidi, a former climate negotiator for the United Arab Emirates and director general of COP28. “But there’s a responsibility on negotiators to deliver an outcome.”

“The stakes are that much higher,” he said in an interview. “That is reflecting this large scale of a COP.”

The conference has seen a record number of fossil fuel participants, over 2,000 — equivalent to being the third biggest country delegation — a move seen as welcome by some in order to bring the heaviest emitters on board with climate action, but slammed by activists as one of the most overt attempts of the phenomenon known as greenwashing. Climate protests have been confined to the UN-administered Blue Zone, as it’s banned on the streets of the UAE.

Environmental activists demonstrate at the venue on Dec. 5.Photographer: Karim Sahib/AFP/Getty Images

Still, the number of people in attendance shows how much climate has risen up the agenda, even against a backdrop of wars in Gaza and Ukraine, and surging inflation. Concerns over the emissions impact of hosting a summit of this size — with businessmen flying in on private jets — are overblown given they still make up a small fraction of transport’s 25% contribution to global emissions, according to Maruxa Cardama, secretary general of the SLOCAT low carbon transport non-profit.

“We need to look at what it is that we gain from having these kind of gatherings,” she said. “What it allows us as NGOs is putting a bit of pressure and accountability on these processes.”

The growth of participation and money involved in hosting it are leading some to herald the summit as “peak COP” — simply through the fact that a dwindling number of countries will be able to host a summit of this scale. Last year’s conference in the Egyptian coastal resort of Sharm El-Sheikh, which was less than half the size, saw its infrastructure creek under the sheer mass of people.

Read More: Russian Billionaire Uses COP to Push Revival of Woolly Mammoths

The Green Zone — a free-to-enter space for countries and companies to tout their climate credentials is vast. Saudi Arabia and China hawk their wares here, with a giant inflatable panda looming over an outdoor food court. Strangers squeeze next to each other on the back of yellow golf buggies transporting weary conference-goers between hubs, which otherwise would be a half-hour walk apart. Employees of Masdar, a renewables firm whose chair is COP28 President Sultan Al Jaber, have buggies reserved specifically for them.

COP29 — which still hasn’t found a host due to disagreements with the EU and Russia — could by default be held in the German city of Bonn, the home of the UNFCCC, but they have politely declined to host due to its immense size, according to people familiar with the matter. There are also concerns over the impact COP30 will have when it’s located in the Brazilian city of Belem, in the country’s Amazon rainforest.

“We wouldn’t be able to host an event with 100,000 people in Canada,” said Steven Guilbeault, Canada’s climate minister, who’s delegation is holding a step count competition. “There’s no venue where we can do that.”

As talks move into their final few days, the $57 billion of financial pledges — more than half of which are from the UAE — and success over the agenda and a loss and damage fund are now in the rear view mirror. The nitty-gritty of negotiations now begin and a key decision over whether countries will commit to phasing out fossil fuels will be the main barometer by which COP28 will be judged. That will prove whether the bombast of this year’s summit facilitated a deal, or proved a mere distraction.

The UAE is “an incredible host,” said Jacob Werksman, the European Union’s chief climate negotiator. But “the eyes of the world are on this country and the fact that it has built its wealth and all this generosity on the basis of oil and gas fossil fuel production.”

(Michael R. Bloomberg, the founder of Bloomberg LP, the parent of Bloomberg News, is also UN Special Envoy on Climate Ambition and Solutions. His foundation Bloomberg Philanthropies provides support to the UNFCCC, the agency that oversees COP.)

— With assistance from Natasha White, Jennifer A Dlouhy, Malaika Kanaaneh Tapper, and Ewa Krukowska

 

 

TO a2 ABOVE @

a@ FROM WHITEHOUSE.GOV

DECEMBER 02, 2023

Remarks by Vice President Harris Delivering the U.S. Statement at COP28

Dubai, United Arab Emirates

THE VICE PRESIDENT:  Good afternoon.  It is my honor to be with the distinguished leaders who are here today.

Two years ago, President Joe Biden stood onstage at COP26 and made a declaration of ambition: The United States of America will once again be a global leader in the fight against the climate crisis.

Since then, the United States has turned ambition into action.  President Biden and I made the largest climate investment in the history of our country and, some have said, the world: roughly a trillion dollars over the next 10 years.

As a result, today, across the United States, we are building and expanding hundreds of solar panel, wind turbine, electric vehicle, and battery manufacturing plants; we are laying thousands of miles of high-voltage transmission lines to deliver clean energy to every corner of our nation; and we are lowering emissions not only in energy and transportation but in industry, agriculture, buildings, and construction.

We are also investing in resilience and adaptation to restore our coastlines, wetlands, and forests and to make communities more resilient to climate-driven extreme weather.

We have also placed equity at the center of all of our work, investing in marginalized communities, which are often hardest hit by extreme weather and bear a disproportionate burden from fossil fuel pollution.

Globally, the United States is a leader in the effort to expand international climate finance.  This year alone, we have increased our contributions to over $9.5 billion, which puts us on track to reach President Biden’s ambitious $11 billion goal by 2024.

Today, I am also proud to announce a new $3 billion pledge to the Green Climate Fund, which helps developing countries invest in resilience, clean energy, and nature-based solutions. 

Today, we are demonstrating through action how the world can and must meet this crisis. 

This is a pivotal moment.  Our action collectively or, worse, our inaction will impact billions of people for decades to come.

For as much as we have accomplished, there is still so much more work to do.  And continued progress will not be possible without a fight.

Around the world, there are those who seek to slow or stop our progress.  Leaders who deny climate science, delay climate action, and spread misinformation.  Corporations that greenwash climate inaction and lobby for billions of dollars in fossil fuel subsidies.

In the face of their resistance and in the context of this moment, we must do more.

In order to keep our critical 1.5 degree-Celsius goal within reach, we must have the ambition to meet this moment, to accelerate our ongoing work, increase our investments, and lead with courage and conviction.

Even given the challenges we face, I am optimistic.  With ambition and bold action, I know we will build a cleaner, healthier, and more prosperous world for this generation and for generations to come.

Thank you.  (Applause.)

   

a@ FROM Google Play Store and the Dubai Police, via the Guardian U.K.

 

    a@ FROM the Google Play Store, and Dubai Police via GUK

One of the strangest tie-ins to the climate conference must be the Cop28 Adventures game, which was released by Dubai police before the event began.

Its summary on Google’s Play Store reads:

Immerse yourself in the urgent world of global climate action in Climate Guardians COP28. As a delegate at the UAE conference, craft policies, solve environmental challenges, and collaborate with players worldwide. Explore stunning UAE locations, make impactful decisions, and compete for the highest cooperation score. Join the movement for a sustainable future today

The Guardian will not be downloading the app, and recommends that you do not either. Matthew Hedges, a British academic who was detained in the UAE in 2018, warned on Thursday, “Don’t be naive like I was” when it comes to digital security and the UAE.

For this reason we cannot provide a review of the game, but see the GUK and Play Store websites for some screenshots provided on the app page:

The game is credited to Dubai police, whose previous Play Store game offerings include:

·         My Rights and Duties (“learn about your rights in a fun and simple way”)

·         My Child My Friend (“aims to enhance communication and friendship between parents and their offspring”)

·         Stay Safe (“educating the public in all its categories of positive behaviours that must be adhered to and some negative behaviours that must be avoided”)

The new Cop28 game lets users “explore stunning UAE locations, make impactful decisions, and compete for the highest cooperation score.”

It also appears to have drone racing. It is not for the Guardian to speculate whether the whole Cop process could be made more productive with the addition of drone racing, but it does not appear to have been explored by the organisers and may be worth a shot.

 

 

a@  FROM THE GUARDIAN, U.K

People must balance outrage and optimism after a “hellish summer” of extreme weather, the UN’s former climate chief has urged

By Ajit Narinjan, the Guardian’s Europe environment correspondent, November 30th

 

“We have to keep the outrage really high because we are so darn late,” said Christiana Figueres, a veteran negotiator hailed as the architect of the Paris climate agreement.

She pointed to the weak policies that governments have set in order to cut planet-heating pollution and the $7tn with which they directly and indirectly subsidise fossil fuels.

But there were reasons for optimism that could stop people falling into “a dark rabbit hole”, she added. “I do make a conscious choice every morning to say: ‘Yes, I know what all the bad news is’ – that’s easy to get because that just screams at you from whatever news feed you have – but also, what is positive that is going out there? What are the disruptive pieces that are real, strong evidence of the fact that this is changing?”

Speaking to a small group of reporters on Monday, Figueres highlighted the plummeting cost of renewable energy and the growth of electric cars as two areas where positive changes were happening faster and faster.

xTh.3We have to balance outrage with optimism, says UN’s former climate chief

 

a@  FROM THE GUARDIAN, U.K        

22 countries call for tripling of nuclear by 2050

December 2m 2023

 

Twenty-two countries have called for a tripling of nuclear energy by 2050 in order to meet net zero goals.

John Kerry, the US’s climate envoy, defended the statement. “We are not making the argument to anybody that this is absolutely going to be a sweeping alternative to every other energy source,” he said.

“But we know because the science and the reality of facts and evidence tell us that you can’t get to net zero 2050 without some nuclear. These are just scientific realities. No politics involved in this, no ideology involved in this.”

Bill McKibben’s campaign group 350.org were less enthusiastic. Masayoshi Iyoda, a Japan campaigner at the group, said: “There is no space for dangerous nuclear power to accelerate the decarbonization needed to achieve the Paris climate goal … it is nothing more than a dangerous distraction.

“The attempt of a ‘nuclear renaissance’ led by nuclear industries’ lobbyists since the 2000s has never been successful - it is simply too costly, too risky, too undemocratic, and too time-consuming. We already have cheaper, safer, democratic, and faster solutions to the climate crisis, and they are renewable energy and energy efficiency.”

Twenty-two countries have called for a tripling of nuclear energy by 2050 in order to meet net zero goals.  John Kerry, the US’s climate envoy, defended the statement. The signatories to the declaration were: Bulgaria, Canada, Czech Republic, Finland, France, Ghana, Hungary, Japan, Moldova, Mongolia, Morocco, Netherlands, Poland, Romania, Slovakia, Slovenia, South Korea, Sweden, Ukraine, United Arab Emirates, the United Kingdom and the United States.

 

 

ATTACHMENT @ (FOOD, BAD COP)

04.53 EST

 

A new declaration on transforming food systems has been agreed, the first Cop resolution which directly tackles the relationship between what we eat and the changing climate.

 

Some reaction to the new declaration on food that my colleague Nina Lakhani reported on earlier.

 

Tom Mitchell, executive director of the International Institute for Environment and Development, said:

 

“This agreement is a tentative first step in addressing one of the thorniest problems of the climate crisis – our broken food systems. They are responsible for so many greenhouse gas emissions, from cutting down forests and clearing land for animal feed, to the emissions of cattle themselves. It’s staggering there has been no obligation to include this sector in emissions reductions plans for so long.

 

“Government subsidies have long supported the polluting effects of large scale agriculture, acting as a hidden brake on climate action. These payments should be redirected in a way that means people and nature can thrive.”  @burger taxes?  Cannibalism?

 

Patty Fong, from the Global Alliance for the Future of Food, said:

 

“The declaration doesn’t set out how governments will tackle food emissions, and makes no reference to fossil fuels, despite food systems accounting for at least 15% of fossil fuels burned each year –equivalent to the emissions of all EU countries and Russia combined. This is a glaring omission.

 

“However, the commitment to integrate food and farming into domestic climate action plans is welcome and long overdue. Over 70% of countries’ nationally determined contributions lack adequate action on food systems – updating them is where there is real potential to tackle emissions and unlock climate finance.

 

“Our more than two dozen philanthropic members and other partners around the world are working to catalyse much-needed food system transformation that can help to phase out dependency on polluting fossil fuels in the sector while improving health, community wellbeing, and biodiversity.”

 

More from Nina Lakhani on the new food declaration

 

While far from perfect, the groundbreaking declaration was widely welcomed by small-scale and Indigenous farmers – who produce a third of the world’s food – as well as right to food campaigners, consumer associations and small business groups.

 

“The destruction of nature and climate change threatens food security, rural livelihoods and nutrition, but our food systems also cause a third of global emissions and are a primary driver of wildlife loss. It’s about time the Cops put them on the main menu,” said Hilal Elver, a former UN special rapporteur on the right to food. “Food and agriculture must be at the heart of new climate plans and funding if we are to meet the Paris agreement and have enough nutritious food for everyone.”

 

Esther Penunia, secretary-general of the Asian Farmers’ Association for Sustainable Development, a regional alliance representing 13 million family farmers, said: “The declaration is a major milestone on the road towards a more resilient and sustainable food system. Governments need to work with family farmers networks to ensure these promises are translated into the concrete policies and funding needed to support small-scale producers and promote a shift to more diverse and nature friendly farming, which the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change says is needed to safeguard food security.”

 

Other commitments include a pledge to accelerate and scale science and evidence-based innovations – including local and Indigenous knowledge – which increase sustainable agriculture, promote ecosystem resilience and improve livelihoods, including for rural communities, smallholders, family farmers and other producers.

 

It’s been a long time coming but finally, world leaders seem to be catching on to the fact that achieving the long-term goals of the Paris agreement will be impossible without transforming agriculture and food systems. Progress on this is a key area to watch, especially given the power and influence of the meat, dairy and industrialized farming conglomerates.

 

Updated at 05.22 EST

12h ago

04.50 EST

Nina Lakhani

World leaders have signed a declaration on transforming food systems – the first ever Cop resolution which directly tackles the symbiotic relationship between what we eat and the changing climate. The resolution recognises that “unprecedented adverse climate impacts are increasingly threatening the resilience of agriculture and food systems as well as the ability of many, especially the most vulnerable, to produce and access food in the face of mounting hunger, malnutrition, and economic stresses … [we recognise] the profound potential of agriculture and food systems to drive powerful and innovative responses to climate change and to unlock shared prosperity for all.”

 

The 100+ countries to sign the declaration on sustainable agriculture, resilient food systems and climate action have committed to including food and land use in their nationally determined contributions (NDCs) and national adaptation plans by Cop30 in 2025.

 

Globally, food systems account for about one-third of all greenhouse gas emissions, with the vast majority coming from industrialised farming, particularly livestock and fertilisers. The climate crisis is already impacting agriculture and food security, as extreme weather events like floods, droughts, heatwaves and wildfires – and slow-onset impacts like sea level rise and desertification – fuel high prices and food shortages in countries across the world.  @bad cop, no donuts

 

 

@a

Updated at 09.57 EST

9h ago06.51 EST

 

By Patrick Greenfield

The role that carbon markets will play in helping countries meet their Paris commitments is up for discussion at Cop28, and a series of forest deals made by a little-known member of Dubai’s ruling royal family is causing controversy.

Rights to an area of land larger than the size of the UK have been sold off to UAE-based firm Blue Carbon, which is chaired by Sheikh Ahmed Dalmook al-Maktoum. So far, the exploratory deals cover a fifth of Zimbabwe, 10% of Liberia, 10% of Zambia and 8% of Tanzania, amounting to a total area the size of the UK.

In October, Blue Carbon signed its latest deal for “millions” of hectares of forest in Kenya. The company said it was also working on an agreement with Pakistan. More deals are expected in the coming months. Critics have called them a new “scramble for Africa”.  But, when asked about the secretive Blue Carbon deals, Zambia’s president, Hakainde Hichilema said they would “benefit local people.”

Blue Carbon is not alone. Today, Tanzania National Parks - which cares for famous parks like the Serengeti and Kilimanjaro - announced it has signed a deal to turn six protected areas into a 1.8m hectare carbon project, which would make it one of the largest in the world.

The Guardian has looked into the Sheikh’s business dealings, with concerns raised about his involvement selling Russian’s Sputnik V vaccine, acting as a dealmaker with Ghana, Guyana, Lebanon and Pakistan at lucrative premiums in 2021. One of the listed Blue Carbon advisors is an Italian fugitive.

 

@ more for Sunday

 

 

ATTACHMENT “A” – FROM the GUARDIAN U.K.

TIMELINES... DECEMBER 4TH through DECEMBER 10TH

 

SUNDAY  DECEMBER 10TH  @X

 

SUNDAY

‘Come with solutions’: Cop28 president calls for compromise in final meetings

Sultan Al Jaber urges nations to be flexible as talks reach impasse over whether to phase out or phase down fossil fuels

Fiona HarveyNina Lakhani and Patrick Greenfield in Dubai

Sun 10 Dec 2023 10.01 EST

Ministers and negotiators must come to the vital final meetings of Cop28 without prepared statements, without rigid red lines, and be prepared to compromise, the president of the UN climate summit has said.

Sultan Al Jaber, whose position is now pivotal to the talks as they enter their final days, on Sunday convened a majlis of all countries, a meeting in the traditional form of an elders’ conference in the United Arab Emirates.

The climate talks have reached an impasse over whether to phase out or phase down fossil fuels, with just a day and a half of official negotiating time left before the fortnight-long summit is scheduled to conclude on Tuesday morning.

“I want everyone to come prepared with solutions,” said Al Jaber, who has faced criticism over his other role as head of the UAE national oil company, Adnoc. “I want everyone to come ready to be flexible and to accept compromise. I told everyone not to come with any prepared statements, and no prescribed positions. I really want everyone to rise above self-interests and to start thinking of the common good.”

But there is some optimism coming from the discussions. Catherine Abreu, the executive director of Destination Zero, said: “In eight years of attending climate talks, I have never felt more that we were talking about what really matters. Hearing ministers from all around the world talk straight about the realities of phasing out fossil fuels is something I could not have imagined happening in this process even two years ago.

“What’s clear after this Majlis dialogue at Cop28 is that there is overwhelming consensus that phasing out fossil fuels and scaling up renewable energy is absolutely necessary to hold to the promise of the Paris Agreement and keep the hope of 1.5 alive. It is also clear that the task ahead is enormous, and will require courage and conviction. Rich countries need to provide the financial and technological support to make it happen, and equity demands that those with greater responsibility move first.”

The question of the future of fossil fuels is the main sticking point, but not the only one. Developing countries are also angry that their calls for help with adapting to the effects of the climate crisis have not been answered by rich countries at the talks. Adaptation finance refers to the funds needed to improve the infrastructure of poor countries, for instance to set up early warning systems of storms or other extreme weather events, or stronger bridges that do not wash away in floods, or help to grow mangrove swamps to protect coastlines.

Any “balanced package” coming out of the talks will need to contain far greater reassurances on adaptation funding – poor countries have long sought a doubling of the finance available – than has currently been tabled.

Harjeet Singh, head of global political strategy at the Climate Action Network, a coalition of almost 2,000 climate groups, expressed concerns at the draft text on adaptation, arguing that although “the finance gap is highlighted, and developed countries are urged to double finance from 2019 levels by 2025 … the text doesn’t reflect the urgency or mention the latest UN adaptation gap report which said finance for adaptation needed to reach $194-366bn (£155-290bn) a year”. He said he was also worried there could be more delay to setting specific measurable targets for global adaptation, which is key if the summit is to be meaningful.

Al Jaber reassured developing countries that their voices were being heard. “We will not neglect any issue, we will not neglect or undermine or underestimate any of the views or the national circumstances of any region or any country,” he said.

The Guardian understands that Al Jaber held meetings on Sunday with all the major groups of developing countries, including the Alliance of Small Island States, who are pushing hard for an unequivocal phase-out of fossil fuels, the Basic countries, the least developed countries and others.

On fossil fuels, the possibility of agreeing a full phase-out of fossil fuels is still on the table, but is under fierce attack from Saudi Arabia and some other oil-producing countries. However, China appears to have shifted position from blocking such a commitment to seeking a compromise.

Before the talks began, Al Jaber said he was cooperating closely with Saudi Arabia, a neighbour and close regional ally of UAE, to try to get a deal. He reported then that the country was engaging “constructively, with positivity”.

In the final days, countries are relying on Al Jaber to broker a “balanced package” that addresses fossil fuels, keeps the vital goal of limiting global heating to 1.5C above pre-industrial levels within reach, and meets the financial needs of the developing world.

He called on all countries to step up. “We have a unique opportunity, it is our opportunity to deliver an outcome that is based on the science lead by the science and equipped by the science that keeps 1.5C within reach. And that will help transform economies for generations to come,” he said.

He added: “Failure, or lack of progress, or watering down my ambition is not an option. What we’re after is the common good.”

Diego Pacheco, chief spokesperson for the Like-Minded Group of Developing Countries that includes China and India alongside oil producers such as Saudi Arabia, Bolivia and Syria, said that for any agreement to be reached on a fossil fuel phase-out or phase-down, developed countries would need to take the lead in providing financial assistance to the poor.

Mary Robinson, chair of campaign group The Elders and former president of Ireland, asked for all countries to show true leadership, as Cop28 reached its critical final days. “Those at the negotiating table at Cop28 are steering the course of our shared future [but] the science tells us we are in grave danger of bequeathing our children a completely unliveable world,” said Robinson.

“The nations thwarting progress are those with the greatest stakes in fossil fuels but also the most plentiful resources to act. Saudi Arabia and allies are holding talks hostage. However it is not the only country hindering progress: the USA, China, the EU and India have been happy to hide in the shadows cast.”

 

 

 

 

SATURDAY  DECEMBER 9TH  @X

 


Cop28: China ‘would like to see agreement to substitute renewables for fossil fuels’

But country’s climate envoy, Xie Zhenhua, would not say whether it would support phase-out wording in climate deal

·         Cop28 live – latest updates

Fiona Harvey in Dubai

Sat 9 Dec 2023 12.23 EST

·          

·          

·          

China would like to see nations agree to substitute renewable energy for fossil fuels, the country’s chief climate official has said, as nations wrangled over the weekend on the wording of a deal on the climate crisis.

Xie Zhenhua, China’s climate envoy, would not be explicit on whether China supported or opposed a phase-out of fossil fuels, which more than 100 governments are pushing for at crucial climate talks, the Cop28 UN summit.

But he did indicate that he and his delegation were engaging positively to try to find a compromise on the contentious issue, which has become the focal point of the fortnight-long negotiations, now reaching their final stages in Dubai and scheduled to end on Tuesday.

Azerbaijan chosen to host Cop29 after fraught negotiations

Read more

 

He gave an indication of what China sees as a possible compromise, by referring to a joint statement made with John Kerry, the US climate envoy, at a meeting in Sunnylands, California, in November. “We had this language which said that both China and the US will massively promote renewable energy deployment and use it to gradually and orderly substitute oil, gas and coal power generation, so that we can reduce greenhouse gas emissions,” Xie said through an interpreter at a small press conference attended by the Guardian on Saturday evening.

He added: “I’ve also heard another option for the language [in a Cop28 agreement] that is to gradually reduce the   of fossil energy in the global energy mix.”

But he said: “Of course, there are also some other options. I will not list them all, and we will not prejudge the final outcome. But I think we will all work together to try to find a language that accommodates the needs of all parties and also reflect the big trends of transition and innovation. I think this is also in line with the requirements of the Paris agreement.”

China is the world’s biggest emitter and the second biggest economy, and is highly dependent on coal. Other delegations have told the Guardian that China has been blocking discussions of a phase-out of fossil fuels.

Xie also said oil-producing countries could face particular issues. “I’ve already talked with the minister of one oil-producing country. And he said to me 80% to 90% of his country’s income depends on oil production. So if we phase out all the fossil energy, including oil, how will their country survive or develop?” he asked.

“This process of transition. It is a process. We have to understand each other, support each other and cooperate with each other to jointly find a best solution that resolves the issue and is acceptable to all. I think that is the best way out,” he said.

Xie’s words may signal a softening in China’s position or a willingness to seek compromise, though there is no guarantee that the country would agree to any form of wording on fossil fuels in the final text. At the Cop26 summit in Glasgow in 2021, the final agreement included a commitment to phase out coal until the very last moments, when China and India decided to raise an objection leading to a watering-down of the language to a “phase-down” instead.

Xie said China was reducing its dependence on coal. He said: “China has already announced that during the 14th five-year plan period, that is from 2021 to 2025, China will strictly control the increase of coal production. And also then during the 15th five-year plan period, that is after 2025, China will gradually reduce coal production.

“We have also been developing renewable energy very robustly and, as I said, the installed capacity of renewable energy has already surpassed that of coal power in China. So, this is very fast development of renewables.”

But he added that further development was needed. “The actual power generated by renewables is not growing as fast as the installed capacity because we still face technical bottlenecks, difficulties like large-scale energy storage, smart grids and virtual power plants. So I believe if we get all these technical difficulties reserved, China’s renewable energy will develop even faster and better in the future.”

Xie, a long-serving official who is one of the key figures at the annual conference of the parties to the UN framework convention on climate change, parent treaty to the Paris agreement, enjoys a warm relationship with Kerry. At Cop28, the back of the US offices is situated strategically close to the entrance to China’s offices, facilitating occasional “impromptu” meetings between the two.

Two developed country negotiators told the Guardian that Xie’s words confirmed that China was actively engaging on fossil fuels. “It would be nice to see Opec countries also engaging in this manner,” said one.

 

Cop28: China ‘would like to see agreement to substitute renewables for fossil fuels’

But country’s climate envoy, Xie Zhenhua, would not say whether it would support phase-out wording in climate deal

Published:12:23 PM

Cop28: China ‘would like to see agreement to substitute renewables for fossil fuels’

·          

Cop28: petrostate Azerbaijan to host next UN climate summit in 2024 – as it happened

Published:10:33 AM

Cop28: petrostate Azerbaijan to host next UN climate summit in 2024 – as it happened

·          

Azerbaijan chosen to host Cop29 after fraught negotiations

Published:10:01 AM

Azerbaijan chosen to host Cop29 after fraught negotiations

 

 

COP28 - GUK TIMELINE business agenda

We really could triple renewables by 2030, but it won’t be a breeze

Published:8:00 AM

o    Cop28 failing on climate adaptation finance so far, African group warns

Published:6:50 AM

o    Failure to agree fossil fuel phase-out at Cop28 ‘will push world into climate breakdown’

Published:6:15 AM

o     

The age of extinction

Middle-class fear of green policies fuels rise of far right, Colombia’s Petro warns

Published:4:00 AM

o     Cop28 is a farce rigged to fail, but there are other ways we can try to save the planet

George Monbiot

Published:3:00 AM

Why is the phase-out of fossil fuels the biggest flashpoint at Cop28?

Published:12:00 AM

 

 

FRIDAY  DECEMBER 8TH  @X

 

 

 

 

@From GUK

Big meat and dairy lobbyists turn out in record numbers at Cop28

Published:11:00 PM

Chris Bowen backs ‘a big step forward’ on phasing out fossil fuels at Cop28

Published:9:24 PM

The Guardian view on Cop28: a phase-out of fossil fuels is the only decision that makes sense

Published:1:30 PM95

Opec rails against fossil fuel phase-out at Cop28 in leaked letters

Published:12:52 PM

o    Cop28: president says summit ‘has already made history’ as negotiations enter final days – as it happened

Published:11:24 AM

Cop28: president says summit ‘has already made history’ as negotiations enter final days – as it happened

o    ‘This may be our last chance’: Cop28 talks enter final phase

Published:8:26 AM

‘This may be our last chance’: Cop28 talks enter final phase

Seascape: the state of our oceans

‘A tough neighbourhood’: how Gulf scientists are reaching across political divides to help coral reefs

Published:8:00 AM

‘A tough neighbourhood’: how Gulf scientists are reaching across political divides to help coral reefs

o    At least 475 carbon-capture lobbyists attending Cop28

Published:7:33 AM

At least 475 carbon-capture lobbyists attending Cop28

 

What happens if the 1.5C target for global heating is missed?

Published:6:00 AM

 

Cop28 diary: video games, solar-powered yachts and colossal fossils

Published:4:19 AM

 

 

THURSDAY  DECEMBER 7TH  @X

 

@From GUK

Canada’s fossil fuel firms will need to cut emissions by at least 35% by 2030

Justin Trudeau’s government plans to limit emissions through a national cap-and-trade system, a policy first proposed in 2021

Published:3:24 PM

Canada’s fossil fuel firms will need to cut emissions by at least 35% by 2030

Seascape: the state of our oceans

‘Unprecedented mass coral bleaching’ expected in 2024, says expert

Published:2:00 PM

‘Unprecedented mass coral bleaching’ expected in 2024, says expert

Mining billionaire Andrew Forrest in scathing attack on oil and gas industry

Published:10:15 AM

Mining billionaire Andrew Forrest in scathing attack on oil and gas industry

·          

o    Cop28: highlights and lowlights so far

Published:9:55 AM

Cop28: highlights and lowlights so far

o    Cop28 protests – in pictures

Gallery

Published:9:33 AM

Cop28 protests – in pictures

o    Australia commits $150m to climate finance for vulnerable Pacific countries

Published:9:00 AM

Australia commits $150m to climate finance for vulnerable Pacific countries

o    We need power to prescribe climate policy, IPCC scientists say

Published:8:00 AM

We need power to prescribe climate policy, IPCC scientists say

o    Visualised: how all of G20 is missing climate goals — but some nations are closer than others

Published:3:43 AM

Visualised: how all of G20 is missing climate goals — but some nations are closer than others

o     

Science Weekly

All the drama from the first week of Cop28 – podcast

Podcast

Published:2:31 AM

All the drama from the first week of Cop28 – podcast

·          

·         Carbon pricing would raise trillions needed to tackle climate crisis, says IMF

 

 

·          

Cop28: petrostate Azerbaijan to host next UN climate summit in 2024 – as it happened

3h ago

·          

Azerbaijan chosen to host Cop29 after fraught negotiations

4h ago

·          

Cop28 failing on climate adaptation finance so far, African group warns

7h ago

·          

Failure to agree fossil fuel phase-out at Cop28 ‘will push world into climate breakdown’

7h ago

·          

Cop28 is a farce rigged to fail, but there are other ways we can try to save the planet

11h ago

382

 

·          

Big meat and dairy lobbyists turn out in record numbers at Cop28

15h ago

·          

Opec rails against fossil fuel phase-out at Cop28 in leaked letters

1d ago

·          

At least 475 carbon-capture lobbyists attending Cop28

1d ago

·          

What happens if the 1.5C target for global heating is missed?

1d ago

 

 

WEDNESDAY  DECEMBER 6TH  @X

 

From 13h ago

10.35 EST

Summary

That’s it for the Cop28 live blog for today, and tomorrow we are having a break from blogging as there’s a rest day for negotiations. See you Friday – but of course keep checking the Guardian website in the meantime as we still have lots of great stories coming.

7h ago

Here’s a roundup of what happened today.

 

 

The Russian president, Vladimir Putin, arrived in the UAE, to the alarm of the Ukrainian delegation.

Countries negotiating at Cop28 must not fall into the trap of point-scoring and “lowest common denominator politics”, Simon Stiell, the UN’s climate chief, said.

Leading climate scientists insisted “the link between climate science and fossil fuel phase-out is unequivocal”, in response to Sultan Al Jaber’s claim there is “no science” indicating that a phase-out of coal, oil and gas is needed to restrict global heating to 1.5C.

The UK delegation was accused of avoiding press scrutiny after holding no press conferences in a highly unusual move.

Europe’s climate monitor, the Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S), announced that November had become the sixth record-breaking month in a row for average temperatures.

Updated at 10.38 EST

 

10.13 EST

Ukranians alarmed by Putin's arrival in UAE

Oliver Milman

Ukraine, much last at last year’s Cop in Egypt, has used this occasion to try to rally support for its cause and to highlight some of the ecological damage caused by Russia’s invasion. John Kerry, the US climate envoy, toured the Ukraine pavilion to see examples of this damage himself this morning.

 

The Ukrainians feel a little forgotten, however, amid global attention that has switched to the war in Gaza and they are extremely alarmed by the arrival of Vladimir Putin’s arrival in the United Arab Emirates during Cop28.

 

Russian president, Vladimir Putin, and UAE president, Sheikh Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan, attend a welcoming ceremony ahead of their talks in Abu Dhabi.

Putin arrived in nearby Abu Dhabi earlier today and was enthusiastically greeted by Sheikh Abdullah bin Zayed Al Nahyan, the UAE’s foreign minister, and a flypast of jets that trailed the colours of Russia’s flag in smoke behind them.

 

Ukrainian scientists at Cop28 said there would have to be some sort of protest in the unlikely event Putin made an appearance at the climate summit itself. The Russian president is able to visit the UAE in a stress-free manner because the country does not recognise the international criminal court, which has an arrest warrant out for Putin.

 

Updated at 10.38 EST

8h ago

09.59 EST

Fiona Harvey

A word on the mitigation work programme. This is, like many pieces of Cop jargon, confusing and misleading for people in the real world.

 

The first thing to remember is that in climate Cops and climate parlance, mitigation always always refers to greenhouse gas emissions. It means reducing emissions, or curbing their future growth. They use the term mitigation to describe this because some countries take on pledges to actually reduce their emissions, and some (poorer developing countries) only to stop them going up by as much as they could. Mitigation covers both.

 

Mitigation in a Cop or climate context never ever means mitigating the impacts of the climate crisis, such as building shelters against extreme weather. Anything to do with the impacts of the climate crisis is covered by the term adaptation.

 

Unfortunately many people get confused by this and use mitigation when they mean adaptation.

 

So – back to the mitigation work programme. It refers to attempts by countries to reduce or curb the future growth of their emissions. And some people have raised concerns that the negotiations on this important aspect of the Paris agreement is not progressing fast enough.

 

However, several countries I spoke to do not   these concerns. They point out that the Global Stocktake (GST) is also largely concerned with the future direction of emissions, and ways to reduce them. Some decisions within the mitigation work programme are therefore effectively dependent on what is agreed in the global stocktake, and so are unlikely to be completed before the GST – which is, now that loss and damage is settled, the key focus of these talks.

 

Adaptation, meanwhile, has its own issues. Discussions on a global goal on adaptation are also under way, and developing countries want at least a doubling of the finance that is devoted to adaptation. They point out that poor countries already spend a large slice of their budgets – that could be better spent on health or education – having to fix the problems caused by extreme weather, and this is unsustainable and setting their development back by years. Those discussions are a vital concern to the developing world, which is hoping for faster progress on this strand in the coming days.

 

04.48 EST

Cop28: UN climate chief warns nations not to ‘fall into the trap of point-scoring’ – as it happened

Simon Stiell says’ ‘we need highest ambition, not point scoring or lowest common denominator politics’. This live blog is closed

 

Don't fall into the trap of point-scoring, says UN climate chief

Countries negotiating at Cop28 must not fall into the trap of point-scoring and “lowest common denominator politics”, Simon Stiell, the UN’s climate chief, has said.

 

Stiell, who is executive secretary of the UN framework convention on climate change, the structure under the auspices of which the climate summit is held, spoke at a press conference in Dubai as Cop28 reached its midpoint. He said:

 

All governments must give their negotiators clear marching orders. We need highest ambition, not point scoring or lowest common denominator politics.

 

We have a starting text on the table … but it’s a grab bag of wishlists and heavy on posturing. The key now is to sort the wheat from the chaff.

 

There are many options that are on the table right now which speak to the phasing out of fossil fuels. It is for parties to unpick that, but come up with a very clear statement that signals the terminal decline of the fossil fuel era as we know it.

 

Updated at 09.42 EST

 

 

 Updated 7h ago

7h ago

Summary

7h ago

Ukranians alarmed by Putin's arrival in UAE

10h ago

Urban design in the spotlight

13h ago

Don't fall into the trap of point-scoring, says UN climate chief

14h ago

Is the UK avoiding press scrutiny at Cop28?

15h ago

2023 will be the hottest year on record, says European climate monitor

16h ago

Fossil fuel phase-out, politics and ‘pie-in-the sky thinking’

 

Ugandan climate activist Vanessa Nakate participates in a demonstration against fossil fuels.

Helena Horton and Damien Gayle

Wed 6 Dec 2023 10.38 EST

7h ago

 

Updated at 10.06 EST

 

8h ago

09.49 EST

Nina Lakhani

Licypriya Kangujam, a 12-year-old Indian climate justice activist and special envoy of Timor-Leste here at Cop28, is unimpressed at the UAE Cop president’s oil and gas links.

 

I am pretty disappointed that Cop is hosted by a fossil fuel leader. We are here representing the voices of millions of vulnerable people and children, but now that it has become a fossil fuel summit now we can do nothing about it. But we will keep raising our voices, because we need a just phase out of all fossil fuels, oil, coal and gas, to renewable and clean energies as soon as possible if we want to save our planet.

 

 

Updated at 10.00 EST

8h ago

09.31 EST

I’ve just been sent some figures by the Cop presidency, breaking down all the funding pledges made so far at the summit.

 

Breakdown of financial pledges and contributions so far:

@ update next listing

Loss and damage: $726m

Green climate fund: $3.5bn (increasing second replenishment to $12.8bn)

Adaptation fund: $133.6m

Least developed countries fund: $129.3m

Special climate change fund (SCCF): $31m

Renewable energy: $5bn

Cooling: $25.5m

Clean cooking: $30m

Technology: $568m

Methane: $1.2bn

Climate finance: $30bn from UAE, $200m in special drawing rights, and $32bn from multilateral development banks (MDBs)

Food: $3.1bn

Nature: $2.6bn

Health: $2.7bn

Water: $150m

Gender: $2.8m

Relief, recovery and peace: $1.2bn

Updated at 09.41 EST

8h ago

09.13 EST

 

8h ago

09.13 EST

“Stop ignoring the cow in the room!” protesters have shouted as they gathered at the entrance of the Blue Zone to call for the negotiation of a global plant-based treaty as a companion to the Paris agreement and to address breaches to five planetary boundaries.

 

Hoshimi Sakai from Plant Based Treaty said: “This is the first Cop where food systems have been addressed. It has to be a fair and just plant-based food system that not only takes care of our own health but the planet’s health. This is urgent, everyone must sign the plant-based treaty and CopP29 must be 100% vegan.”

 

 

Updated at 09.27 EST

9h ago

09.00 EST

Oliver Milman

It is now “crunch time” in these climate talks, according to John Kerry, who has urged other countries to raise their ambition in Dubai. “Come on, it’s time to get serious,” the US climate envoy said in a press conference, after reeling off a litany of recent climate disasters. “It’s time for adults to behave like adults and get the job done.”

 

Kerry said the US has had a “pretty damn good week” at Cop28 so far, highlighting its actions to curb methane pollution, its pledge to build no new coal plants and to triple renewable energy. But he conceded the second week will be trickier, admitting to some differences with China, such as over its ongoing coal consumption.

 

The general tone from Kerry about the Dubai gathering was upbeat, however. “I feel a different energy here, I feel a different sense of mission and urgency,” he said.

 

Not even another Donald Trump presidency would derail the transition to green energy, he said. Of course, even without Trump in charge the US is setting records in oil and gas production this year, something Kerry didn’t mention.

 

“People will measure who steps up and who doesn’t,” Kerry said of the negotiations. “We will get to a global low-carbon, no carbon economy, we will get there. The only question is will we get there in time to avoid the worst consequences of this crisis as we were warned by the 2018 IPCC report.”

 

9h ago

08.47 EST

Vladimir Putin has arrived in the United Arab Emirates and they have certainly received him in style.

 

The Russian president aims to discuss Gaza and Ukraine, as well as oil production, with the UAE president. This is a rare international visit for Putin, who rarely leaves Russia after the international criminal court (ICC) issued him an arrest warrant. Neither the UAE nor Saudi Arabia recognise this ruling.

 

 

Updated at 08.59 EST

9h ago

08.21 EST

Greenpeace Nordic just held a press conference at Cop28 along with climate legal advocates to discuss their court case against the state of Norway.

 

The organisations argued that the recent approvals of three oilfields violate the country’s constitution and international human rights commitments because of a ruling by Norway’s supreme court that the Norwegian state must assess the global climate effects of new oil- and gasfields before their approval.

 

Klimentina Radkova, a climate and energy adviser and legal campaigner at Greenpeace Nordic, said: “It is quite frustrating to sit in a courtroom and listen to the Norwegian state justify new oil and gas expansion once again, while reiterating how ‘dark’ the presented climate science is in the next breath. It’s high time to put actions behind words. The decision is now in the judge’s hands and we are very optimistic about the results.”

The Norwegian government in turn did not contest the effects of the climate crisis but argued that Norwegian oil and gas would have a positive net effect on the climate. This is a position many oil-producing governments have made including UK ministers who wrongly claim north sea oil and gas is greener than other fossil fuels on the market.

 

Nikki Reisch, the climate and energy programme director at the US-based Center for International Environmental Law (Cile), said: “This case in Norway is part of a rising tide of litigation around the world challenging decisions to expand fossil fuels amidst mounting climate chaos. Oil and gas producers and financiers should take heed: wherever they seek to open up new fields, legal challenges are sure to follow. Whether countries agree to a full, fast, fair and funded phaseout of all fossil fuels at Cop28 or not, they will continue to face what science requires and justice demands in court.”

 

Updated at 08.37 EST

9h ago

08.08 EST

Nina Lakhani

I want to submit our youngest contender so far for the fashion blog, 13-year-old fashion guru and future climate leader Lova Renée from Madagascar. So inspiring and she was so unbelievably excited to meet her climate hero Vanessa Nakate at the Unicef event this morning.

 

10h ago

07.49 EST

We have a new exclusive story which may be yet another reason Sunak beat a swift exit from Cop and UK ministers have been avoiding journalists. Bad climate news for the UK government just keeps coming out.

 

Ministers have been accused of “misleading the public” after documents obtained by Ends Report and the Guardian revealed they ignored their officials’ advice when scrapping key air quality regulations.

 

On 31 December, two key air quality regulations will drop off the statute book under the Retained EU Law (REUL) Act.

 

The rules being revoked are regulations 9 and 10 of the National Emission Ceiling (NEC) regulations, which set legally binding emission reduction commitments for five key air pollutants.

 

Regulation 9 requires the secretary of state to prepare a national air pollution control programme (NAPCP) to limit pollutants in accordance with national emission reduction commitments. Regulation 10 requires that before preparing or significantly revising the NAPCP, the secretary of state must consult the public.

 

In July 2023, the then environment secretary, Thérèse Coffey, reassured the OEP that in revoking the regulations “there [will be] no reduction in the level of environmental protection”, and emphasised that the government “uses expert advice when making provisions that relate to the environment”.

 

However, it can be revealed that ministers knew this was not the case. Read below to find out more.

 

UK ministers ‘misled public’ when scrapping air quality regulations

Read more

10h ago

07.37 EST

Meanwhile, my colleague Patrick Greenfield is enjoying one of the performances on show at the conference.

 

 

10h ago

07.27 EST

Urban design in the spotlight

I just got a press release from the Cop28 leadership about a “ministerial meeting on urbanisation and climate change”, where “government ministers, regional leaders, financial institutions and non-government stakeholders were urged to support the ‘Joint Outcome Statement on Urbanization and Climate Change’.”

 

It focuses on how cities should be designed in a climate-friendly way, and which shields residents from the worsening impacts of climate breakdown – such as droughts, heatwaves and floods.

 

The statement, supported by 40 housing and development ministers, sets out a 10-point plan to “boost the inclusion of cities in the decision-making process on climate change, drive multilevel climate action and accelerate the deployment of urban climate finance so that cities are prepared and supported to respond to the climate crisis”.

 

The Cop28 presidency said that as many as 90% of cities are threatened by rising sea levels and storms, and that they tend to be hotter than rural areas – their residents face temperatures on average 10C higher .

 

“Cop28 is a paradigm shift to action. We are empowering and supporting cities on the frontlines of climate change to seize the initiative,” said Dr Sultan Al Jaber, the Cop28 president.

 

“We have brought over 450 mayors and governors to Cop28 and their hyperlocal knowledge is crucial in informing our global solutions. When we talk about inclusivity this is what we mean, we need all voices at the table. I thank and commend those involved for their leadership,” added Jaber. “Each city has individual needs and solutions but fundamentally this is a global problem, which this statement shows. I thank and commend those involved for their leadership.”

 

Dubai (UAE) is one such city which is facing skyrocketing temperatures. While its wealthier inhabitants can enjoy cool air conditioning and even an indoor ski slope to shield from the dizzying heat, its poorer workers are not so lucky.

 

A recent investigation found migrant workers in Dubai were working in dangerously hot temperatures to get conference facilities ready for world leaders at Cop.

 

“Of course, I get headaches and feel dizzy. Everyone in this heat does. This weather isn’t for humans, I think,” one worker said.

 

Another added: “Last week, I thought I would die every second we were outside … but we have to get paid.”

 

Migrant workers toil in perilous heat to prepare for Cop28 climate talks in UAE

Read more

Updated at 07.49 EST

 

10h ago

07.13 EST

New polling could give an answer to Fiona Harvey’s question about why the UK government is avoiding press scrutiny at Cop (08.24).

 

The polling conducted by WeThink found 47% of people saying the UK government was doing poorly [on climate] and only 17% saying it was doing well; 28% said neither and 8% didn’t know.

 

Rishi Sunak’s much-criticised performance at Cop is unlikely to have improved the government’s standing on this issue.

 

Sunak accused of retreating from global climate leadership at Cop28

Read more

11h ago

06.55 EST

Vladimir Putin, as my colleague Damien pointed out earlier today, is due to visit Cop28.

 

He’s not likely to get a warm reception. Some Polish activists have already got together to protest against his attendance. Dominika Lasota, a climate activis, said: “Fuck you. Your power is coming to an end. Fossil fuel dictators out.”

 

 

Updated at 07.22 EST

11h ago

06.37 EST

Lots of reports are coming out to focus minds during Cop28, and it is clear from today’s findings from the UK’s National Audit Office that we are very unprepared for the costs of climate breakdown.

 

The report, out today, found the country is not adequately prepared for climate disasters including severe droughts and floods.

 

Climate campaigners said the UK government was “like a boiling frog” and “oblivious” to extreme weather.

 

Four extreme weather events including droughts, surface water flooding, storms and high temperatures (including heatwaves) were assessed by the independent public spending watchdog to determine how prepared the country is.

 

Storms, floods and heatwaves can cause deaths, while droughts can have devastating effects on agriculture and there are concerns that supplies of running water in certain areas of the country could run out for periods in the future.

 

Read more below.

 

UK government is not prepared for climate disasters, says spending watchdog

Read more

Updated at 07.24 EST

 

11h ago

06.24 EST

Fiona Harvey

Wopke Hoekstra, the EU climate commissioner and former oil man, who replaced the Cop titan Frans Timmermans just weeks before Cop28, came out strongly on the attack against his former sector in this first press conference on Wednesday afternoon.

 

He was uncompromising on his demand for a full phase-out of fossil fuels with urgency. He was leaving no room for doubt.

 “Let me be very explicit,” the former Shell employee told journalists. “We need to phase out all fossil fuels. It is that simple. And not because I say so – because scientists tell us that that is the goal that that we should live up to.”

 

He did, however, then make one caveat, for hard-to-abate sectors (he didn’t single any out but it usually means steel, cement, chemicals and perhaps aviation).

 

He continued: “Having said that, we do have acknowledged that where we are now in the era now today. There are some sectors that are very hard to abate.”

 

Carbon capture and storage was not the panacea, he added. “It does not mean that companies or countries can get away with CCS-ing themselves out of the problem. There is no magic solution. There is no alternative for phasing out fossil fuels. As fast as we can and as broadly as we get.”

 

Updated at 07.25 EST

11h ago

06.06 EST

Hello! Helena Horton here, I’m an environment reporter for the Guardian and will be blogging Cop28 for the rest of the day.

 

I really enjoyed this Q&A from Carbon Brief about all the wording being quibbled over in the draft text. If you aren’t sure why it matters whether we phase down or phase out fossil fuels, or the more complex matter of abated versus unabated, it’s a great refresher.

 

It’s interesting, to me at least, that there is no real definition for “unabated”, so it could be arguable for a fossil fuel plant to capture a small percentage of its emissions and claim that this counts as “abated” emissions.

 

Dr Alaa Al Khourdajie, a research fellow at Imperial College London, says these disagreements highlighted the need to be “transparent and crystal clear about what abated fossil fuels means”.

 

He told Carbon Brief:

 

“In the absence of such a clear set of criteria, any capture rate – for example, 50-60% – of carbon emissions could be casually considered abated. This cannot be left ambiguous. Looking at the findings of the technical assessment of the first ‘global stocktake’ discussions, the term unabated is used very heavily in the findings.

 

“But there is a lack of clarity about what counts as unabated and what counts as abated, largely due to the absence of such agreed definitions in the underlying literature at the time of those negotiations.”

 

 

12h ago

05.53 EST

The conflict in Gaza has loomed large over this year’s Cop28 climate talks in Dubai. While delegates have discussed plans to tackle climate change, on the sidelines activists have tried to draw attention to the slaughter of people in the territory.

 

But while many climate justice groups have quickly pivoted to campaign around Gaza, in some countries the issue is far more contested, and prominent figures in climate activism, in particular Greta Thunberg, have been criticised for espousing the Palestinian cause.

 

A team of reporters from the Guardian’s environment desk (including me) put together this story on the emerging controversy.

 

When Greta Thunberg posted a photo of herself holding a “stand with Gaza” sign on Instagram in October, the backlash in Israel and Germany came hard and fast.

 

An Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) spokesperson initially told Politico that “whoever identifies with Greta in any way in the future, in my view, is a terror supporter”, although later retracted his comments. The official X account of Israel said: “Hamas doesn’t use sustainable materials for their rockets” and told Thunberg to speak up for its victims. The Israeli education ministry said it would strike any reference to the Swedish climate activist from its curriculum.

 

In Germany, politicians and pundits across the political spectrum demanded that the national branch of Fridays for Future, the student protest movement that Thunberg started in 2018, distance itself from her views. The group put out a statement underlining its support for Israel’s right to exist and, in the weeks that followed, explicitly distanced itself from social media posts made by the international group. Germany’s leading news magazine Der Spiegel ran a lengthy article with personal comments on Thunberg’s childhood character and appearance under the headline: “Has Greta Thunberg betrayed the climate movement?”

 

The violence in Israel and Gaza since 7 October has become an unexpected flashpoint for climate activists in rich countries. As world leaders meet for the Cop28 summit in Dubai, the loose collection of movements, many of which have built their support around inclusivity and global justice, are divided on whether or how to take a stand on the conflict.

 

‘No climate justice without peace’: Gaza becomes flashpoint for climate activists

Read more

Updated at 06.10 EST

12h ago

05.32 EST

Medical students have staged a protest outside the main meeting rooms at Cop28.

 

Holding banners reading “protect health, end fossil fuels” and “climate crisis = health crisis”, they mimed giving cardiopulmonary resuscitation to the Earth.

 

The protest was organised by members of the International Federation of Medical Students Associations.

 

Members of the International Federation of Medical Students Associations give the globe cardiac massage.

Members of the International Federation of Medical Students Associations give the globe cardiac massage. Photograph: Thaier Al-Sudani/Reuters

 

13h ago04.48 EST

 

 

 

13h ago04.17 EST

Leading climate scientists have insisted “the link between climate science and fossil fuel phase-out is unequivocal”, in response to Sultan Al Jaber’s claim there is “no science” indicating that a phase-out of coal, oil and gas is needed to restrict global heating to 1.5C.

The Guardian on Sunday revealed the comments by the Cop28 president, which have overshadowed the climate talks as delegates negotiated the future of the planet and the fossil fuel economy. They have led to widespread condemnation.

An open letter published by the Club of Rome on Wednesday and signed by about 75 scientists said:

For all intents and purposes, moving towards the phase-out of fossil fuel combustion is necessary to keep the 1.5C goal of the Paris Agreement within reach.

The letter is an unambiguous statement by some of the world’s leading climate scientists. They say that carbon dioxide removal technologies will also be necessary to reach net zero emissions by 2050.

Scenarios consistent with this goal require a complete phase-out of coal by 2050 and rapid phase-down of oil and gas (halved every decade). After 2050 the world needs to rapidly move into net negative emissions, particularly after a number of decades of 1.5C overshoot.

·          

·          

Updated at 04.18 EST

14h ago03.31 EST

Good times! The guitarist Nile Rodgers has made an appearance with activists at Cop28.

Rodgers is co-founder of the We Are Family Foundation, which staged a joint #Education4Earth event with Earth Day at Cop28’s Blue Zone.

 

·          

Updated at 03.39 EST

14h ago03.24 EST

Is the UK avoiding press scrutiny at Cop28?

 

Fiona Harvey

It’s hard to avoid the impression that the UK government is hiding from scrutiny at Cop28. Several ministers have been in attendance, but we have passed the halfway point and not one has held a press conference or any form of press meeting, with UK press or with international media.

Graham Stuart, climate minister; Andrew Mitchell, minister for overseas development; Richard Benyon, a minister with both FCDO and Defra; David Cameron, foreign secretary – journalists tried in vain to get any of them to hold any form of press briefing at which they could be questioned.

The prime minister, Rishi Sunak, held a small Q&A with only lobby journalists, most of whom have no experience of Cops, during his blink-and-you’ll-miss-it appearance at Cop, when he spent less time here than he did on the plane.

Ministers are clearly taking their avoidant lead from Sunak, and doubtless they will claim their diaries are full with meeting international counterparts.

But don’t let anyone pretend that this kind of hiding away is normal. Every other democracy here with ministers attending is briefing their press extensively, and often international media too, some on a daily or almost daily basis, and likely to grow more frequent.

This is 17th Cop I’ve attended as a journalist and I can state categorically that this failure to engage with the press by the UK government is not only unusual, it is unprecedented.

Even last year, under the same prime minister, with his equal unconcern for climate issues and the UK’s standing at Cops, ministers met the press – Grant Shapps, Graham Stuart, Thérèse Coffey and ministers from Treasury and transport all held extensive press meetings with ample opportunities to ask questions.

This Cop is being held in a country that lacks what we would regard as a free press, and is attended by scores of countries that lack a functioning democracy or where the press is gagged. One of the key themes of this conference is accountability – that’s at the heart of the global stocktake.

As a democracy – arguably one of the world’s oldest – the UK should be leading by example, standing up for the accountability and transparency of governments. Why won’t our ministers do what other democracies regard as basic? What are they afraid of?

This is a government that appears to have nothing to say in public about the climate crisis and the UK’s role in tackling it, and to want to evade scrutiny for the UK’s actions.

·          

·          

15h ago02.41 EST

As negotiators wrangle over whether to agree a “phase-out” or a “phase-down” of fossil fuels, Vanessa Nakate, the Ugandan climate activist, this morning made a strident call for the ending of the extraction and burning of coal, oil and gas.

Until new fossil fuel projects are eliminated, and the burning of fossil fuels is ended, promises to help deal with the loss and damage caused by the climate crisis “will sadly mean little”, Nakate said.

She said:

If we want to be real about helping people who are living in vulnerable communities we need to address not just the symptoms of the climate crisis but also the root cause, and that is the burning of fossil fuels.

The first thing we should do to reduce loss and damage is to stop digging up and burning new coal, oil and gas. All of the flashy announcements about promised funding and scaling renewables and tree planting will sadly mean little if countries continue to expand fossil fuel development.

The success of Cop28 will not depend on speeches on big stages. The success of Cop28 will not depend upon piling new fancy promises on top of old broken promises. The success of Cop28 will depend upon whether or not leaders have the courage to call for for a just and equitable phase out of all fossil fuels, without excuses and exceptions.

Then and only then will our leaders have a chance to take care of the people on the front lines.

·          

·          

15h ago02.12 EST

2023 will be the hottest year on record, says European climate monitor.

 

Pressure is piling on negotiators at Cop28 after Europe’s climate monitor, the Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S), on Wednesday announced that November had become the sixth record-breaking month in a row for average temperatures.

An “extraordinary” November smashed the previous November heat record, pushing 2023’s global average temperature to 1.46C warmer than pre-industrial levels, C3S said, according to AFP.

The announcement confirms that 2023 will be the hottest year on record, taking the title from 2016.

November also contained two days that were 2C warmer than pre-industrial levels. Not one such day had ever before been recorded.

Samantha Burgess, deputy head of C3S, said 2023 has “now had six record-breaking months and two record-breaking seasons”.

“The extraordinary global November temperatures, including two days warmer than 2C above pre-industrial (levels), mean that 2023 is the warmest year in recorded history,” she said.

Scientists say data from ice cores, tree rings and other sources suggest this year could be the warmest in more than 100,000 years.

·          

·          

Updated at 02.17 EST

16h ago01.46 EST

Vladimir Putin will visit the United Arab Emirates on Tuesday, but seems unlikely to visit the Dubai Expo City site of the Cop28 climate talks.

The Russian president, who is subject to an arrest warrant from the international criminal court over his country’s invasion of Ukraine, is expected to meet the Emirati leader, Sheikh Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan, in Abu Dhabi.

He is then expected to travel on to Saudi Arabia for a meeting with the country’s ruler, Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman.

Putin is also scheduled to meet the Iranian president, Ebrahim Raisi, on Thursday for what his aide, Yury Ushakov, has described as “a rather lengthy conversation”, according to Tass, the Russian state-run news agency.

Neither Saudi Arabia nor the UAE has signed the ICC founding treaty, meaning they don’t face any obligation to detain Putin. The ICC’s warrant accuses him of the abductions of children from Ukraine.

The Associated Press, the US-based news agency, said Putin’s discussions were likely to focus on oil production.

·          

·          

Updated at 01.48 EST

16h ago01.35 EST

Fossil fuel phase-out, politics and ‘pie-in-the sky thinking’

 

Damian Carrington

The biggest argument at Cop28 is the competing claims that a “phase-out” of fossil fuels is necessary to keep global heating within 1.5C (2.7F) above pre-industrial levels, or that a “phase-down” is acceptable, a debate amplified by the Guardian’s revelation of Sultan Al Jaber’s recorded comment that there was “no science” behind the former.

As Leo Roberts at E3G told me, the competing claims can result from the “translation of science into politics”.

This post from Ben Caldecott, the director of Oxford University’s Sustainable Finance Group, is insightful and scathing, and takes a swipe at Oxford’s Prof Myles Allen, an eminent climate scientist but the only one I know to have backed Al Jaber in the “no science” furore. Allen said Al Jaber’s comment was “perfectly accurate”.

Caldecott said: “If we can scrub from the atmosphere all the carbon emitted by future fossil fuel consumption, plus all the carbon emitted after we almost certainly overshoot a 1.5C degree carbon budget, then yes, [Sultan Al Jaber] and my very distinguished Oxford colleague Prof Allen are right: no fossil fuel phase-out is needed to achieve the aims of the Paris Agreement.”

“But mere analysts of economic, financial and political systems (like me) tend to think that this is pie-in-the sky thinking and nowhere near possible. Further, it is being used to justify continued avoidable fossil fuel use.

“The fossil fuel lobby often making these arguments have no actual plan to scrub carbon at such scales so quickly. It would be almost impossible to do so and would cost vast sums even if it were possible – much more than decarbonisation and without the co-benefits of cleaner, safer and more productive societies.”

“And yes, we obviously do need to scale safe and permanent carbon disposal (part and parcel of net zero), but that is never going to happen at the scale needed to offset like-for-like currently avoidable fossil fuel emissions. The finite techno-economic capacity we have to develop the means to scrub carbon needs to be focused on hard-to-abate emissions and then bringing us back to safe levels after we (probably) overshoot 1.5C, not sustaining existing fossil fuel interests.”

The Energy and Climate Intelligence Unit’s Cop28 newsletter, also addressed the issue:

“Some climate scientists have explained in tortuous detail how his comments could, technically, be right, whilst others have pointed to the IPCC’s clarity around the principal driver of 80% of the problem of climate change: the burning of fossil fuels.

“So unless we have $1tn a year to spare to pay to ramp up carbon capture and storage (CCS) from its 45m tonnes a year capacity now, to 32bn tonnes a year, it appears the obvious focus for Cop (sorry Darren from Exxon) may need to be phase-out of fossil fuels and ramp up of the renewables alternatives.”

The $1tn a year figure comes from new research, also from Oxford: “A high CCS pathway to net zero emissions in 2050 is expected to cost at least $30tn more than a low CCS pathway – roughly $1tn per year.”

As co-author Richard Black puts it: “That is at least $120 per year for every man, woman and child on the planet that we would be spending unnecessarily.”

·          

·          

Updated at 04.57 EST

16h ago01.28 EST

 

Ajit Niranjan

As day six begins of talks in Dubai’s Expo City, more sobering scientific news should focus minds there on achieving a result.

A new report warns the Earth is on the verge of crossing five catastrophic climate tipping points as a result of carbon pollutions in the atmosphere, with three more in sight in the 2030s if the world heats more than 1.5C (2.7F) above pre-industrial levels, reports Ajit Niranjan, the Guardian’s European environment correspondent.

“Tipping points in the Earth system pose threats of a magnitude never faced by humanity,” said Tim Lenton, from the University of Exeter’s Global Systems Institute. “They can trigger devastating domino effects, including the loss of whole ecosystems and capacity to grow staple crops, with societal impacts including mass displacement, political instability and financial collapse.”

The tipping points at risk include the collapse of big ice sheets in Greenland and the West Antarctic, the widespread thawing of permafrost, the death of coral reefs in warm waters, and the collapse of atmospheric circulation in the North Atlantic.

Unlike other changes to the climate such as hotter heatwaves and heavier rainfall, these systems do not slowly shift in line with greenhouse gas emissions but can instead flip from one state to an entirely different one. When a climatic system tips – sometimes with a sudden shock – it may permanently alter the way the planet works.

Earth on verge of five catastrophic climate tipping points, scientists warn

 

 

The theme for today is multilevel action, urbanisation and built environment, and transport.

Meanwhile yesterday the main talking points at the conference included:

·         Widespread outrage at the news that a record number of fossil fuel lobbyists have been given access to Cop28

·         The news that agriculture and food systems had been left off the latest draft of the negotiating text on the global stocktake

·         Mary Robinson making her first comment since the row over the Cop28 president’s controversial response to her questions on the need for a fossil fuel phase-out, revealed by the Guardian.

$700m pledged to loss and damage fund at Cop28 covers less than 0.2% needed

Published:11:00 AM

$700m pledged to loss and damage fund at Cop28 covers less than 0.2% needed

·          

Cop28: UN climate chief warns nations not to ‘fall into the trap of point-scoring’ – as it happened

Published:10:38 AM

Cop28: UN climate chief warns nations not to ‘fall into the trap of point-scoring’ – as it happened

·          

Mary Robinson reiterates call for rapid phase-out of fossil fuels

Published:10:03 AM

Mary Robinson reiterates call for rapid phase-out of fossil fuels

·          After Cop28, know this: Sunak and his rightwing allies around the world have no interest in saving our planet

Diyora Shadijanova

After Cop28, know this: Sunak and his rightwing allies around the world have no interest in saving our planet

·          

o    Young people’s plea to Cop28: ‘World leaders owe it to future generations’

Published:8:00 AM

Young people’s plea to Cop28: ‘World leaders owe it to future generations’

o    Climate funding must be faster and easier, says deputy PM of flood-hit Somalia

Published:7:20 AM

Climate funding must be faster and easier, says deputy PM of flood-hit Somalia

o     

Inside Guardian Weekly

Cop28’s pipe dream: inside the 8 December Guardian Weekly

Published:4:00 AM

Cop28’s pipe dream: inside the 8 December Guardian Weekly

5 December 2023

·          

Earth on verge of five catastrophic climate tipping points, scientists warn

Published:7:10 PM

Earth on verge of five catastrophic climate tipping points, scientists warn

·          

------------eas – now focus turns to local subsidies

Published:6:09 PM

Australia ends finance for fossil fuel expansion overseas – now focus turns to local subsidies

·          

UK likely to miss Paris climate targets by wide margin, analysis shows

Published:11:00 AM

UK likely to miss Paris climate targets by wide margin, analysis shows

·          

Cop28: anger after record number of fossil fuel lobbyists given access to summit – as it happened

Published:10:32 AM

Cop28: anger after record number of fossil fuel lobbyists given access to summit – as it happened

·          

o    Jim Chalmers open to clean energy investment reforms pushed by super funds

Published:3:00 AM

Jim Chalmers open to clean energy investment reforms pushed by super funds

o    Record number of fossil fuel lobbyists get access to Cop28 climate talks

Published:12:00 AM

Record number of fossil fuel lobbyists get access to Cop28 climate talks

o    Global carbon emissions from fossil fuels to hit record high

Published:12:00 AM

Global carbon emissions from fossil fuels to hit record high

o        ‘A matter of survival’: India’s unstoppable need for air conditioners

Published:12:00 AM

 

 

 

TUESDAY  DECEMBER 5TH  @X  @BEGIN

 

TUESDAY 12/5
Climate crisis

Cop 28

 

 

Al Jaber says comments claiming there is ‘no science’ behind demands for phase-out of fossil fuels were ‘misinterpreted’ – Cop28 as it happened

Cop28 president and oil chief says phase-down and phase-out of fossil fuels is essential and says his comments were misrepresented

 

Cop28 president says there is ‘no science’ behind demands for phase-out of fossil fuels

 Updated 2d ago

2d ago

Summary

2d ago

Scientists urge public to take collective action to stop climate breakdown

2d ago

Keir Starmer: Sunak has broken UK political consensus on climate change

2d ago

Al Jaber says that science has guided his strategy as Cop28 president

2d ago

Summary so far

2d ago

Al Jaber says comments claiming there is ‘no science’ behind demands for phase-out of fossil fuels were 'misinterpreted'

3d ago

Al Jaber tries to reset his image after Guardian scoop

3d ago

Cop28 head put on spot over Al Jaber comments

3d ago

Small island states say they will hold Al Jaber to account on phase-out

3d ago

Most of the world does not have fossil fuel phase out plan - report

3d ago

Al Gore: phase out would be one of ‘most significant events in history of humanity'

3d ago

Mia Mottley: 'extreme weather records are tumbling, and our finance systems cannot cope'

3d ago

Health agreement reached - but no mention of fossil fuels

3d ago

Opening summary

 

Cop28 president Sultan Al Jaber.

00:02:30

Cop28 president says 'no science' to phasing out fossil fuels remarks 'misrepresented' – video

Sandra Laville (now) Helena Horton (earlier)

Mon 4 Dec 2023 10.40 EST

From 2d ago

05.39 EST

Al Jaber says comments claiming there is ‘no science’ behind demands for phase-out of fossil fuels were 'misinterpreted'

The Cop28 president and oil chief gave an extraordinary response to a question from a reporter from the Sydney Morning Herald who directly addressed the Guardian report. He claimed he had been misrepresented and gave an impassioned defence of his background and belief in the science.

 

Al Jaber said he had “incredible respect for Mary Robinson” after he was accused of being arrogant towards the former Irish president when he said there was no scientific need to phase out fossil fuels, adding: “I was very honoured to receive her invitation to speak in a discussion around climate and gender.”

 

Then he came on to the media reports of his comments (which are in this blog on camera at 08.57):

 

“Let’s just clarify where I stand on the science … I honestly think there is some confusion out there and misrepresentation. Let me first introduce myself to you. I’m an engineer by background. It’s the science and my respect for the science and my conviction for the science and the passion for the science that have allowed me to progress in my career.”

 

Said he has supplemented this with “business and economic skills” to progress in his career.

 

He added:“The phase-down and the phase-out of fossil fuels … is essential. It needs to be orderly, fair, just and responsible.”

 

Al Jaber accused those who reported his comments on phasing out fossil fuels of “undermining” his message: “Allow me to say that I am quite surprised at the constant attempt to undermine this message.”

 

Updated at 05.46 EST

2d ago

10.39 EST

Summary

Wrapping up another day of Cop28 in Dubai, the main event was Sultan Al Jaber, the summit president, calling a surprise press conference.

 

He called the presser after the Guardian reported he had said a phase-out of fossil fuels would not allow sustainable development “unless you want to take the world back into caves”.

 

Al Jaber gave a fierce defence of himself, claiming his comments had been “misinterpreted”. He defended his record, and said he believes in the science and that Cop28 has been very successful so far.

 

All eyes will now be on Al Jaber over the coming days to see if he can fulfil his pledge that an “unprecedented outcome” to keep alive hopes of limiting global temperature rises to 1.5C, is within reach.

 

In other developments: 

 

Water Aid called for rich countries to do more to meet this year’s target of $300m for the climate adaptation fund.

More than 1000 climate scientists called for mass collective action to avert climate breakdown.

Representatives of small island states said they would continue to demand a phaseout of fossil fuels – and hold Sultan Al Jaber to account for this.

Updated at 10.51 EST

2d ago

10.01 EST

Scientists urge public to take collective action to stop climate breakdown

Damien Gayle

Damien Gayle

Nearly 1500 scientists, who include authors of Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change reports on the climate crisis, have signed an open letter calling on the public to take collective action to avert climate breakdown.

 

“We are terrified,” they warn. “We need you.”

 

“Wherever you are, become a climate advocate or activist,” the letter, published on Monday by Scientist Rebellion says.

 

They published the letter as delegates of world leaders at COP28 in Dubai have yet to come to any agreement on the idea that fossil fuels should be either “phased out” or “phased down” as the UN climate conference continues. Remarkably no COP has ever managed to produce a global agreement on either a phase out or down of fossil fuels.

 

Fossil fuel lobbyists are in force at the conference, and the chair Sultan Al Jaber, who is also head of the UAE national oil company, Adnoc, is under fire over comments revealed in The Guardian claiming there is no science behind demands for a phase out of fossil fuels.

 

In frustration at the lack of action by Governments, the scientists are calling for a large-scale mobilisation of society to tackle the entrenched power of the fossil fuel industry, its lobbyists and politicians.

 

2d ago

09.47 EST

Nina Lakhani

Our dedicated fashion followers may have noticed some colour coordination among the civil society participants, particularly the veteran climate justice advocates. Sunday was white for human rights and solidarity with Palestine, today yellow for climate finance, which might explain why this morning’s protest features special guest Pickachu. This was no last minute wardrobe planning – turns out the climate justice movement has a daily colour code, an idea borrowed from the feminist movement.

 

“The colours are underlining the boldness but also joy of our feminists’ demands for a just and livable future that was joined this year by civil society and Indigenous peoples in solidarity. It goes back to 2015 when feminists in the UN space for SDGs came up with it for the first time”, said Pat Bohland, from the Women and Gender Constituency Facilitative Committee.

 

Tuesday is orange for phase out fossil fuels and Wednesday is blue for loss and damage.

 

Updated at 09.55 EST

2d ago

09.01 EST

Water Aid has condemned the failure of richer countries to meet pledges of money for the climate adaptation fund. Only $155m has been raised for the climate adaptation fund this year, a huge shortfall from the target the fund set itself for this year of $300m.

 

Claire Seaward, global campaigns director for WaterAid said: “We’re hugely disappointed that by the end of the finance day, we’ve not seen rich countries respond with the urgent adaptation financing required.

 

“Rich governments must double the public adaptation commitments … Until we see significantly more funding flowing down to vulnerable communities, we will keep demanding more urgent action.”

 

Updated at 09.23 EST

2d ago

07.54 EST

Keir Starmer: Sunak has broken UK political consensus on climate change

Fiona Harvey

Fiona Harvey

The UK will come back strongly to the world stage to “lead from the front” in tackling the climate crisis under a Labour government, UK opposition leader Keir Starmer has pledged, after meeting world leaders at the Cop28 summit in Dubai.

 

“There’s an overwhelming feeling here among world leaders that they want to see the UK back playing a leading role,” he told the Guardian at the UN climate talks. “That’s why our statement of intent that under a Labour government we will be back playing a leading role has been really well received.

 

“And when we say leading on this, we mean leading by the power of example.”

 

He also accused prime minister Rishi Sunak of breaking the UK’s longstanding cross-party consensus on the climate crisis. “We want to restore that cross-party consensus, but the way we will do it is by leading from the front,” said Starmer. “Those that want to be with us on this journey are very welcome. And I know there are leading lights in other political parties who would welcome an incoming Labour government leading from the front.”  @whatever happened to Jeremy corbin?

 

Read more below.

 

UK would be a climate leader again under Labour, vows Starmer

Read more

 

2d ago

07.43 EST

Coventry University’s vice-chancellor has spoken on how young people can make a real difference at Cop28.

 

Professor John Latham CBE spoke at an event designed to promote actions and solutions through education. It was attended by students and higher education representatives from across the world.

 

Prof Latham said: “Cop28 is a remarkable milestone and I believe that the climate conversation is not only for politicians, academics or policy specialists; it is for everyone because it concerns everyone.”

 

Updated at 07.47 EST

2d ago

07.33 EST

Patrick Greenfield

Patrick Greenfield

Fatou Ndoye is a Senegalese climate expert who coordinates mangrove (not mango) restoration in the west African country. She oversees a network of more than 30,000 fisherwomen in Senegal that are worth 900m euros to the economy and vital to the nation’s food supply.

 

Ndoye was the 2016 winner of the Gender Just Climate solutions awards. Previous winners are invited to Cops to provide input on negotiations and

 

Ndoye is a strong entry in our best-dressed series for Cop28.

 

2d ago

07.22 EST

Al Jaber says that science has guided his strategy as Cop28 president

Damian Carrington

The president of Cop28 has been forced into a fierce defence of his respect for climate science, following the Guardian’s revelation of his comment that there was “no science out there, or no scenario out there, that says that the phase-out of fossil fuel is what’s going to achieve 1.5C”.

 

At a hastily arranged press conference at the summit in Dubai, Sultan Al Jaber, who is also CEO of the UAE’s state oil company, Adnoc, said: “I respect the science in everything I do. I have repeatedly said that it is the science that has guided the principles or strategy as Cop28 president.”

 

“We have always built everything, every step of the way, on the science, on the facts,” he said.

 

Al Jaber made the controversial comments in ill-tempered responses to former UN climate envoy Mary Robinson during an online event on 21 November. During the exchange, he also said: “Show me the roadmap for a phase-out of fossil fuel that will allow for sustainable socioeconomic development, unless you want to take the world back into caves.”

 

Updated at 11.13 EST

2d ago

06.35 EST

Despite being at war with Russia, Ukraine has signed a deal at Cop28 with Danish renewable energy company Vestas to supply turbines to build in the country.

 

They agreed to build 64 wind turbines (of 6 MW each) with a total capacity of 384 MW. The first stage of the windfarm with a capacity of 114 MW was commissioned in the spring of 2023. Combined, the first and second phases of DTEK Tyligulska windfarm will have a capacity of around 500 MW (83 wind turbines).

 

900,000 households worth of electricity will be generated annually by the plant, and estimates suggest the project will save 1.7m tons of Co2.

 

The country has found onshore wind turbines to be a resilient form of energy during the war and is attempting to expand its capacity so the country can be reliably powered during the conflict.

 

Meanwhile, only two onshore wind turbines were built in England last year and no new projects have been planned.

 

2d ago

06.15 EST

Nina Lakhani

As Al Jaber defends his position on the main stage at Cop, my colleague Nina Lakhani finds that away from the headlines there are lively discussions on other ideas.

 

We do try and make time for folks off the beaten Cop path, and today’s side event on crop diversity – an issue close to my heart – was a good reminder on why traditional knowledge and solutions need to be given more attention and resources.

 

“Crop diversity can help us reduce greenhouse gas emissions in agriculture, adapt to drought and promote healthy diets and sustainable livelihoods. There is no food security without it but we’re losing diversity from the fields and too many seed banks are inadequately resourced, ” said Stefan Schmitz, director of the Crop Trust.

 

Industrial agriculture dominated by monocrops, synthetic fertilisers, deforestation and conglomerates has devastated naturally occurring crop diversity in the past 60 years or so, and the race is now on to breed drought resistant and more weather-flexible crops. In the UAE for example, there are wild dates and olive trees adapted to extreme mountain conditions which could provide a “genetic treasure trove”, according to the World Wildlife Fund, which is trying to locate and conserve the heritage seeds for future generations. “Mankind created and has survived on the basis of crop diversity, it is part of our cultural heritage and nature. But there’s no sustainability climate funding available for protecting diversity, it goes to the food industry and 21st innovations, not traditional solutions,” added Schmitz.

 

Updated at 06.38 EST

2d ago

05.55 EST

Summary so far

What a busy day so far at Cop28. Obviously the main story was the surprise press conference held by Sultan Al Jaber, who was giving a response to Damian Carrington’s scoop on his comments questioning the science between fossil fuel phase-out.

 

I am handing over to my colleague Sandra Laville but before I do so, I’ll run you through the highlights. Stay tuned as this story continues to unfold – it will likely remain an explosive day at the summit.

 

Sultan Al Jaber, the Cop28 president, called a shock press conference after the Guardian reported he said a phase-out of fossil fuels would not allow sustainable development “unless you want to take the world back into caves”. In the conference he claimed this comments were “misinterpreted” and defended his record, said he believes in the science and that Cop28 has been very successful so far. He seemed genuinely rattled and kept repeating that he believes in the science. Damian, who broke the story, had a front row seat.

Cop director general, the ambassador Majid Al Suwaidi, also had to defend Al Jaber’s remarks, and implied that those who reported them were “undermining” the conference.

Representatives of small island states said they will continue to demand for a phaseout of fossil fuels – and hold Sultan Al Jaber to account for this.

Barbados’s prime minister, Mia Mottley, gave a press conference regarding international financial systems, where she said: “We are living in the age of superlatives. Temperature and extreme weather records are tumbling, and our finance systems cannot cope”.

In an exclusive interview with the Guardian, former US vice-president Al Gore said an agreement by countries to phase out fossil fuels would be “one of the most significant events in the history of humanity”. He added that it is “absurd” to put a fossil fuel company CEO in charge of Cop28.

A new report by CARE International UK found that women’s rights organisations are being shut out of climate finance.

Updated at 06.00 EST

2d ago

05.39 EST

Al Jaber says comments claiming there is ‘no science’ behind demands for phase-out of fossil fuels were 'misinterpreted'

The Cop28 president and oil chief gave an extraordinary response to a question from a reporter from the Sydney Morning Herald who directly addressed the Guardian report. He claimed he had been misrepresented and gave an impassioned defence of his background and belief in the science.

 

Al Jaber said he had “incredible respect for Mary Robinson” after he was accused of being arrogant towards the former Irish president when he said there was no scientific need to phase out fossil fuels, adding: “I was very honoured to receive her invitation to speak in a discussion around climate and gender.”

 

Then he came on to the media reports of his comments (which are in this blog on camera at 08.57):

 

“Let’s just clarify where I stand on the science … I honestly think there is some confusion out there and misrepresentation. Let me first introduce myself to you. I’m an engineer by background. It’s the science and my respect for the science and my conviction for the science and the passion for the science that have allowed me to progress in my career.”

 

Said he has supplemented this with “business and economic skills” to progress in his career.

 

He added:“The phase-down and the phase-out of fossil fuels … is essential. It needs to be orderly, fair, just and responsible.”

 

Al Jaber accused those who reported his comments on phasing out fossil fuels of “undermining” his message: “Allow me to say that I am quite surprised at the constant attempt to undermine this message.”

 

Updated at 05.46 EST

3d ago

05.31 EST

Al Jaber is continuing his press conference, defending his record as Cop28 president after it was called into question following his questioning of the science behind phasing out fossil fuels.

 

He said his Cop had so far been very successful, pointing out the “breakthrough agreement on loss and damage” he said he has been “repeatedly saying” that he “made a promise” to make it happen and start filling an “empty bank account”. Of the loss and damage agreement he said:

 

“Again, that’s the first time in any Cop, on day one, that such a decision gets appointed. This is historic, these are success stories, no one can deny those.”

 

He also said that the conference has “tackled methane” for the first time and he has made it one of his “top priorities”.

 

The Cop28 president has also drawn attention to the tens of billions pledged by countries in the first four days of the summit.

 

Al Jaber said he has a “genuine and sincere intent to take that responsibility and attempt to translate all this great progress into real actions”.

 

Updated at 05.44 EST

3d ago

05.23 EST

Al Jaber tries to reset his image after Guardian scoop

Sultan Al Jaber is holding a surprise press conference right now following Damian Carrington’s scoop on his comments which have rocked the summit.

 

Sultan al-Jaber

Sultan al-Jaber Photograph: Kamran Jebreili/AP

He has insisted that he respects the science after he said that a phaseout of fossil fuels was not scientifically necessary to to reach a cut of 1.5C.

 

“Let’s remember why we are all here. We are all here because we made a very clear call to action and we’ve been very upfront about it and we said clearly and repeatedly that the UAE takes this task with humility, responsibility and we fully understand the urgency behind this matter.

 

“We are here because we very much believe and respect the science. 43% of global emissions must be reduced by 2030.”

 

He added that “everything has been focused around and centred around the science”, repeating he has been “crystal clear on that”.

 

 

 

3d ago

05.07 EST

There’s a row in France brewing over nuclear energy. The country has managed to vastly decarbonise its energy system due to 70% of it coming from nuclear power stations. France has in recent decades, after the 1973 oil crisis, had a strong focus on energy security, mostly based around its nuclear capacity.

 

President Emmanuel Macron at Cop28 has hailed the signing of a declaration to triple nuclear energy by 2050 and recognise “the key role of nuclear energy in achieving global net-zero greenhouse gas emissions/carbon neutrality by or around mid-century”.

 

“Nuclear energy is back,” he said as he celebrated the decision by 22 countries to sign the pledge, including the United States, the United Kingdom, South Korea, Hungary, and the Netherlands.

 

Emmanuel Macron addresses Cop28

Emmanuel Macron addresses Cop28 Photograph: Radek Pietruszka/EPA

He added that “we need the World Bank, international financial institutions [and] multilateral development banks to include nuclear energy into their energy-lending policies”.

 

However, left-wing politician Jean-Luc Mélenchon said: “notwithstanding the specific dangers of nuclear power, the idea [of an international declaration] is ridiculous […] and worthy of someone more concerned with the future of the nuclear industry than with saving humanity”.

 

Greenpeace France has also complained, and said Macron has a “pro-nuclear obsession” which “masks his lack of seriousness when it comes to climate action”.

 

Updated at 05.22 EST

3d ago

04.48 EST

Nina Lakhani

There’s a palpable uptick in anger among civil society delegates today, amid growing impatience at the fossil fuel industry’s influence over the climate talks. “We are tired of explaining again and again why the fossil fuel industry should not be here, of why these talks continue to fail to deliver from frontline communities. We are over it,” said Rachel Rose Jackson, from Kick Big Polluters Out, the global campaign group which is busy analysing the oil and gas lobbyists at Cop28. We’ll be reporting more on that tomorrow.

 

Climate activists at Cop28

Climate activists at Cop28 Photograph: Thaier Al-Sudani/Reuters

At the Climate Action Network’s daily briefing, Dr David Boyd, UN special rapporteur for human rights and the environment, laid out the obligations countries face under international law to take climate action. “Let’s be crystal clear, the climate crisis is a human rights crisis, and it’s having a profound impact on the right to life, health, water, the right to a clean, healthy sustainable environment and the rights of the child - for billions of people across the world. Wealthy high emitting countries have an obligation to phase out fossil fuels and provide sufficient finance for mitigation, adaptation and loss and damage. And while it would be nice to have human rights in the [Cop] text, these legal obligations exist whether or not they are retired in these documents.”

 

Boyd supports a carbon tax, which at $30 a ton would raise a tidy sum of a trillion or so annually.

 

And lastly, as the negotiations get serious now that the leaders have gone, Lili Fuhr, director of the legal groups CIEL’s fossil economy program, warned that the global stocktake (GST) risks becoming “bloated and meaningless”. “The US, the very worst climate wrecker, has plans for massive oil and gas expansion and wants to talk about unabated emissions, which is part of the festival of false solutions the fossil fuel industry is promoting here. A GST decision without clear guidance on fossil fuel phase out will be a massive distraction and wasted opportunity. Time is running out.”

 

3d ago

04.29 EST

ActionAid UK has sent in a comment from their senior climate and resilience advisor Zahra Hdidou. She said the loss and damage funding comments so far at the summit failed to take into account the vital role women play in mitigating the effect of climate breakdown in their communities.

 

“Every day we see the trauma and destruction climate changes wreaks on women and girls. In nearly every country where we work, we hear stories of girls pushed to drop out of school or forced to marry early to help families manage the financial stress.

 

“But this is not the only story we hear. Whether in drought-stricken East Africa or in the aftermath of cyclones in South Asia, women are defying the victim narrative and keeping their communities safe through community responses to climate disasters.

 

“At Cop there is always a complete disconnect between lofty rhetoric and the crucial role that women play in protecting, helping to recover, and rebuild from climate shocks. Yet it was disappointing to see so many male leaders take to the stage to pledge loss and damage funding that failed to recognise the vital role women play in helping their communities stay resilient against climate shocks.

 

“We are urging the international community to recognise the transformative power of women’s responses to climate disaster and rapidly scale up funding now.”

 

 

3d ago

04.11 EST

After the comments by Sultan Al Jaber, the president of Cop28, which seemed to undermine those who are pushing for a phase out of fossil fuels, many people seem to have lost faith in the process.

 

But progress is still taking place at the summit, the Grantham Institute’s Bob Ward has said, and people should not lose heart, as depressing as the remarks may have been.

 

 

 

3d ago

03.57 EST

Here is a video of the discussion in which Al Jaber made the controversial comments regarding phasing out oil and gas.

 

Cop28 president refuses to commit to phasing out fossil fuels – video

00:07:39

Cop28 president refuses to commit to phasing out fossil fuels – video

3d ago

03.49 EST

Cop28 head put on spot over Al Jaber comments

Damian Carrington

Damian Carrington

At the Cop28 presidency press conference this morning, ambassador Majid Al Suwaidi, who is director general of the summit, did not initially want to answer questions about Cop28 president Sultan Al Jaber’s comments that “there is no science out there, or no scenario out there, that says that the phase-out of fossil fuel is what’s going to achieve 1.5C”. The comments, revealed by the Guardian, have caused uproar among many in Dubai.

 

But reporters crowded around him as he left, and he said:

 

“There are those out there who are consistently trying to undermine our presidency from day one. The Cop presidency has been very clear that 1.5C is the North Star. [Al Jaber] has also been very clear about how fossil fuels are on the agenda.

 

“What he was talking about was, of course, net zero 2050. It’s very clear in all of the scientific reports that fossil fuels are going to be part of that mix. And he’s spoken very clearly that he thinks the phase down of fossil fuels is inevitable. He is the CEO [of UAE state oil company Adnoc], he’s the person who understands the science, he understands the industry. In that conversation, what he was asking simply was, how do we do this?”

 

“There are many things that are happening here at Cop that you are not reporting about, and you’re focused on this one thing. But Cops are about everything, it’s about the whole package and we’ve said from the very beginning that energy is the number one pillar, so we’re not hiding away from it. I think that our Cop president is doing a great job.”

 

 

More than 100 countries have called for a phase out, not phase down, of fossil fuels. Many scientists have also rejected Al Jaber’s claims, pointing to IPCC and IEA scenarios. They have also rejected his claim that a phase-out of fossil fuels would not allow “sustainable socio-economic development, unless you want to take the world back into caves”. Adnoc has the world’s biggest net-zero busting plans for increasing oil and gas production, according to independent analysis.

 

Updated at 04.01 EST

3d ago

03.40 EST

Young people have been protesting against Sultan Al Jaber’s comments, proclaiming that contrary to what the Cop28 president said, the science is clear that oil and gas needs to be phased out to meet the 1.5 degree goal.

 

 

Updated at 04.01 EST

3d ago

03.25 EST

Small island states say they will hold Al Jaber to account on phase-out

Oliver Milman

Representatives of small island states here at Cop28 have said they will continue to demand for a phaseout of fossil fuels – and hold Sultan Al Jaber to account for this.

 

At a press conference for the Alliance of Small Island States (Aosis) this morning, the representatives repeatedly made clear that fossil fuels must be ditched in order to remain within 1.5C of global heating – a particularly vital goal for low-lying, developing island countries.

 

Tina Stege, climate envoy of the Marshall Islands, pointed out that Al Jaber, the president of Cop28 who has come under fire for his comments that there is “no science” to a fossil fuel phase-out in keeping to this temperature limit, has called 1.5C the “north star” of the negotiations.

 

 “We will hold him to that,” said Stege. “If 1.5C is the north star, in practice what that means is a phase out of fossil fuels, that is what the science has said. It’s where we start and where we end. From my perspective, we will be looking to the presidency for his leadership to deliver on what he has said.”

 

“Across the board there is an understanding that 1.5C is what is needed for all of us to stay alive,” Stege added. “What that means is we need to address the root cause of the problem, which is the burning of fossil fuels. Unless we do so we will blow past 1.5C...We can’t pretend there are other pathways to achieve 1.5C when so many lives are at stake.”

 

Asked by the Guardian whether the small island nations still have confidence in Al Jaber’s leadership of the Cop process, Toeolesulusulu Cedric Schuster, Samoa’s environment minister and chair of Aosis, pointed to the pragmatic realities of the ongoing diplomacy.

 

“We still have a week left,” Schuster said. “We would like to continue our work. We have our goals. We will prefer to continue to stand up for what we believe in.”

 

 

 

Updated at 03.37 EST

3d ago

03.11 EST

A timely new report is out today. While the CEO of ExxonMobil was complaining this weekend that Cop28 does not focus enough on carbon capture and storage, research shows that a high Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS) pathway to net zero emissions in 2050 is expected to cost at least $30 trillion more than a low CCS pathway - roughly $1 trillion per year.

 

Oil and gas companies hope that CCS can keep their operations going for longer and at a larger scale, but the scientific community has cast doubts on whether it can be used at scale, beyond the heavy industries it is very difficult to decarbonise.

 

CCS is set to feature prominently at the summit this week, with major oil and gas producing countries expected to unveil  d carbon storage goals.

 

The analysis from the Smith School at the University of Oxford has found rolling out CCS throughout the economy, rather than just in a handful of essential sectors, makes little sense from a financial perspective.

 

“Relying on mass deployment of CCS to facilitate high ongoing use of fossil fuels would cost society around a trillion dollars extra each year – it would be highly economically damaging,” says Dr Rupert Way, Honorary Research Associate at the Oxford Smith School.

 

3d ago

02.58 EST

Nina Lakhani

The United Arab Emirates’ vast fossil fuel production is contributing to dangerously high air pollution levels, creating health risks for its people and migrant workers in addition to heating the planet, according to a report by Human Rights Watch.

 

HRW analysis of data from 30 government ground monitoring stations in September 2023 found that average levels of PM2.5 (very small toxic particles that can penetrate deep into the lungs and easily enter the bloodstream) were almost three times the daily recommended levels under the World Health Organization’s air quality guidelines.

 

@Tu.1

An estimated 1,872 people a year die from outdoor air pollution in the UAE, where migrants account for 88% of the population and virtually all outdoor workers, who face the highest risks. The sky has been hazy with pollution on most days since thousands of delegates descended on Dubai for Cop28, with daily air quality readings up to five times above the WHO’s air quality recommendations.

 

Read more below.

 

3d ago

02.46 EST

John Kerry, the US special envoy for climate was just asked on the BBC Radio 4 Today programme in the UK what he thinks of Damian Carrington’s scoop that Sultan Al Jaber said there was ‘no science’ behind demands for phase-out of fossil fuels.

 

He was very diplomatic in his response and appeared to give the oil chief and Cop28 president the benefit of the doubt.

 

“Well I think what he was saying … is the science itself does not prescribe a particular approach, it doesn’t say you have to do this or you have to do that,” Kerry explained.

 

“What you have to do is clearly reduce the emissions. They have made it clear we need a 43% minimum reduction in emissions by 2030, and we need net zero 2050 in order to meet the goal of keeping 1.5. We’ve got all kinds of ways of getting there. Renewables are the one technology we really know we can deploy today and it has the impact we need.”

 

He then spent some time talking about the US climate goals and that they are signed up to phase out fossil fuels.

 

“We are not only signed up to that, president Biden on behalf of the US voted to join the g7 where we said we must phase out unabated fossil fuel. We have to do that yes otherwise you cannot reach net zero by 2050. What we are trying to figure out is how we can capture those emissions, or reduce those emissions, or not make those emissions in the first place.

 

“I think the only question here is not whether or not you are going to reduce emissions, it’s what means are you going to use to go at this to provide the energy you want for your country but also keeping faith with the reduction of the emissions that are creating the climate crisis.”

 

Updated at 02.58 EST

 

3d ago

02.36 EST

Women’s rights organisations are being shut out of climate finance, a new report by CARE International UK has found.

 

Launched to coincide with Finance and Gender Day, the study shows that women’s rights organisations received less than 0.2% of UK bilateral climate finance in 2022. Even though the impacts of climate breakdown are linked to gender inequality, less than 1% of UK bilateral climate finance targeted gender equality specifically last year.

 

Perhaps it is no coincidence that only 38% of registered delegates at Cop28 are women, an increase of 1% compared to Cop27 - historically negotiations have been very male-dominated, allowing gender inequality to be sidelined. Of the 133 world leaders attending COP28, just 15 were women.

 

Stephanie Akrumah, a climate activist and Director of the Centre for Green Growth, a Ghana based NGO, said:

 

“Women and girls should be at the centre of tackling the climate crisis but instead, our voices are silenced and we are ignored when funding is distributed. Conscious and unconscious barriers holding women back must be demolished. We are losing our lives and livelihoods due to climate change caused by rich countries and corporations. It is time for Rishi Sunak and other world leaders to listen and support women and girls.”

 

Here is some further reading on gender and climate.

 

The eco gender gap: why is saving the planet seen as women’s work?

Gender equality goals under threat in climate crisis-hit countries, says UN

Climate breakdown ‘is increasing violence against women’

3d ago

02.23 EST

@Tu.3

Our leader column today calls for a “green Marshall plan” to phase out fossil fuels for good.

 

It says that it is “crazy” that governments plan to produce more than double the amount of fossil fuels in 2030 that is consistent with a “safe” global temperature rise of 1.5C.

 

Indeed, the 2015 Paris agreement does not mention fossil fuels as responsible for global heating, so countries can both sign up to meet 1.5C while rolling out new oil and gas exploration contracts.

 

It points out that although Colombia’s economy is dependent on fossil fuels, which account for about half of its exports, its president has committed to stop the expansion of coal, oil and gas exploitation. If they can do it, why can’t we?

 

The Guardian view on a non-proliferation treaty: fossil fuels are weapons of mass destruction

 

3d ago

02.08 EST

New Zealand has won an award at Cop28. Unfortunately it is not one to be proud of. Each day, the Climate Action Network is branding one country the “fossil of the day” – an award for the most bone-headed and regressive climate action.

 

Yesterday, it was given to New Zealand because of the newly-formed government’s choice to overturn the existing world-leading ban on new oil and gas exploration. Christopher Luxon, the new prime minister, has vowed to open the country’s vast ocean to more oil and gas exploration, rowing back on his predecessor Jacinda Ardern’s 2018 ban.

 

Climate Action Network says:

 

“Does climate change minister Simon Watts not hear the climate alarm bells ringing? He may underestimate the devastating climate consequences of this decision but we, and their Pacific island neighbours in Palau, who slammed his intentions as ‘TRAGIC’, certainly do not.

 

“Minister Watts may be new to his role but we remember the decade-long campaign led by Indigenous Māori communities who succeeded in achieving a ban on oil and gas exploration in New Zealand’s oceans. Not only does Watts and the rest of the New Zealand government want to remove the country’s legacy of climate leadership but they also seek to redefine legislative interpretation of the country’s founding treaty with Māori communities, to reassess Treaty-based policies, and to roll back official use of Māori language – undoing the progress made between Māori and government relationships.”

 

Updated at 02.10 EST

 

3d ago

02.02 EST

Most of the world does not have fossil fuel phase out plan - report

A new report has found that global net zero targets are at risk because the majority of countries have not set proper targets to stop using fossil fuels.

 

@Tu.4

Net Zero Tracker has today released the stark data showing the chasm between global net zero targets and the action needed to make them happen. It has found that net zero targets cover 88% of global GHG emissions, but only 7% of those emissions are covered by any kind of national commitment to phase-out exploration, production or use of coal, oil or gas. In total, 13% have pledged a full phase-out of any fossil fuel.

 

The report says that 94% of oil-producing countries have not set an oil exploration phase-out pledge, with a similar number (95%) failing to commit to phase-out gas exploration.

 

The lack of plans is encouraging the expansion of fossil fuels, the study finds.

 

Natasha Lutz, co-data lead, net zero tracker (University of Oxford), said:

 

“Phasing-out fossil fuels is a key element of realising credible pathways to net-zero. A lack of commitment at the country level leaves the door open for fossil fuel expansion and is inconsistent with achieving the temperature goals set out by the Paris Agreement.

 

“This proliferation of net-zero ambition without the commitment towards fossil-fuel phase-out highlights the need for entities to determine how these targets will be achieved. A pledge without a plan for implementation is at risk of becoming a bumper-sticker; broadcasted but never taken seriously.”

 

Updated at 02.08 EST

3d ago

01.48 EST

Al Gore: phase out would be one of ‘most significant events in history of humanity'

Oliver Milman

 

In an exclusive interview with the Guardian, former US vice-president Al Gore has said an agreement by countries to phase out fossil fuels would be “one of the most significant events in the history of humanity”. He added that it is “absurd” to put a fossil fuel company CEO in charge of Cop28.

 

It would be a “welcome surprise” if world leaders agreed at the climate talks to call for an end to fossil fuels, but such a declaration would have “enormous impact” upon the world, Gore said at the gathering in the United Arab Emirates.

 

“If there were a decision here to surprise the world to say ‘OK we get it now, we’ve made enough money, we will get on with what needs to be done to give young people a sense of hope again and stop as much as suffering as possible and start the phase-out of fossil fuels’, it would be one of the most significant events in the history of humanity,” the former US vice-president said.

 

Agreement to phase out fossil fuels would be huge for humanity, says Gore

 

Updated at 02.03 EST

 

3d ago

01.39 EST

Sultan Al Jaber may not think a phase out of fossil fuels is necessary, but Pikachu certainly disagrees. My colleague Damian Carrington sends in this snap of an eye-catching protest for the ‘finance day’ of the summit.

 

Pikachu at Cop28 conference in Dubai Photograph: Damian Carrington/The Guardian

 

3d ago

01.38 EST

Mia Mottley: 'extreme weather records are tumbling, and our finance systems cannot cope'

The Prime Minister of Barbados and one of the world’s foremost negotiators on loss and damage, Mia Mottley, has kicked off finance day at Cop with a press conference.

 

She said: “We are living in the age of superlatives. Temperature and extreme weather records are tumbling, and our finance systems cannot cope”.  (dupe)

 

It may have surprised some that Mottley was so gracious and polite to Sultan Al Jaber after his comments yesterday, thanking him for his work on the summit. But she is a diplomat, and that is her role.

 

She said:

 

Adaptation, mitigation, loss and damage. Those have been the three areas that we have been focused on for the last few years. This has probably been the most progress we’ve seen in the last twelve months on finance but we’re not where we need to be at, so first of all I want to give thanks and I really do want to give thanks to Dr Sultan for his leadership and determination that we should leave Dubai with progress even if we are not at the final destination.

 

 

Mottley also said that the oil and gas sector has to be at the table when it comes to negotiating on decarbonisation, as do banks and the finance sector.

 

 

Updated at 02.02 EST

3d ago

01.30 EST

Health agreement reached - but no mention of fossil fuels

Nina Lakhani

Tu.5

Yesterday, 123 countries signed the first ever Declaration on Climate and Health which included galvanising finance for climate and health solutions, and a commitment to incorporate health targets in their national climate plans.

 

The UAE announced an “aggregated” funding commitment of $1 billion towards the implementation of health-focused climate activities, money which comes from agencies including the Green Climate Fund, the Asian Development Bank and the Rockefeller Foundation. But, and it’s a big but, it’s unclear how much of this money is new money, and it’s also unclear whether it will take the form of grants or yet more debt for vulnerable nations.

 

And while the declaration acknowledged that reducing climate health impacts will require emission reductions, there is not a single mention of fossil fuels – which is a bit like having an alcoholism prevention plan without mentioning alcohol.

 

Updated at 02.02 EST

3d ago

01.25 EST

@Tu.6

Opening summary

Good morning! This is Helena Horton, bringing you coverage from the fifth day of the UN’s Cop28 climate summit.

 

It’s likely to be an interesting day as the fallout from my colleague Damian Carrington’s scoop continues. Many experts viewed it as a ‘mask-off’ moment when Cop28 president Sultan Al Jaber told a meeting that there was “no science” behind demands for a phase-out of fossil fuels. Scientists have reacted strongly to the news, calling it “astonishing” and “farcical”.

 

Today’s official themes are finance, trade, gender equality and accountability, so expect reports and news focused on those themes, as well as on the wider negotiations.

 

In the meantime, here are some of yesterday’s key events:

 

Sultan Al Jaber, the UAE president of the Cop28 climate talks, told a meeting that there was no science showing a phase-out of fossil fuels was necessary to limit global heating to 1.5C (2.7F) above preindustrial levels. The Guardian and the Centre for Climate Reporting revealed Al Jaber’s comments.

 

Protesters at the conference called for a ceasefire in Gaza.

 

Indigenous groups condemned the murder of an activist in Peru.

 

The UK prime minister, Rishi Sunak, faced criticism over his climate policies and fleeting visit as leader of the opposition Keir Starmer stayed in Dubai to meet world leaders.

 

 

 

·         A view of dried reed plants on the parched soil of Lake Titicaca on Cojata Island, in Huarina, Bolivia, on 01 December 2023.

Cop28

$700m pledged to loss and damage fund at Cop28 covers less than 0.2% needed

6h ago

·         Ugandan climate activist Vanessa Nakate at Cop28 in Dubai

Cop28

Cop28: UN climate chief warns nations not to ‘fall into the trap of point-scoring’ – as it happened

Simon Stiell says’ ‘we need highest ambition, not point scoring or lowest common denominator politics’

7h ago

·         Mary Robinson, former president of Ireland

Cop28

Mary Robinson reiterates call for rapid phase-out of fossil fuels

Former Ireland leader issues firm response in row over comments made to her by Cop28 president

7h ago

·         Global development

Climate funding must be faster and easier, says deputy PM of flood-hit Somalia

10h ago

·         Germany

German heat pump rollout at risk as government suspends climate subsidies

·         Environment

Earth on verge of five catastrophic climate tipping points, scientists warn

·         Cop28

Australia ends finance for fossil fuel expansion overseas – now focus turns to local subsidies

·         Green politics

UK likely to miss Paris climate targets by wide margin, analysis shows

·         Cop28

Cop28: anger after record number of fossil fuel lobbyists given access to summit – as it happened

·         Environmental activism

‘No climate justice without peace’: Gaza becomes flashpoint for climate activists

 

Cop28 Peanut Gallery

 

Hide

 

After Cop28, know this: Sunak and his rightwing allies around the world have no interest in saving our planet

Diyora Shadijanova

8h ago

309

 

·         Mary Robinson, former president of Ireland

Fossil fuels

Mary Robinson reiterates call for rapid phase-out

7h ago

·         From left, Francisco Vera, Emmanuel Jidisa, Lova Renee and Revan Ahmad

Young people’s plea to Cop28

'World leaders owe it to future generations’

9h ago

·         Rishi Sunak speaking at a press conference at the Cop28 summit

Exclusive

UK likely to miss Paris climate targets by wide margin, analysis shows

 

 

 

Opinion

 

Hide

 

Martin Rowson on the Cop28 summit – cartoon

381

 

 

The Cop28 president told a shocking lie about fossil fuels – and he’s wrong about climate economics too

Geoffrey Lean

228

 

 

Warning: the UK government’s hydrogen plan isn’t green at all, it’s another oil industry swindle

Kevin Anderson and Simon Oldridge

364

 

 

The Roman forts near Hadrian’s Wall are full of historical riches – and the climate crisis is destroying them

Richard Hobbs

o     

My generation can’t wait any longer for climate action – and Europe could hold the key

Alexander Hurst

2

 

Young people’s plea to Cop28: ‘World leaders owe it to future generations’

Children at the UN climate summit urge governments to commit to policies that put their needs first

Nina Lakhani in Dubai

@ninalakhani

Wed 6 Dec 2023 08.00 EST

·          

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·          

Children from some of the countries most affected by the climate crisis have made an impassioned call for political leaders to stop gambling with their futures, and commit to finances and policies that put the world’s 2.2 billion children first.

“Last year I went to Cop27 to talk about what could happen with climate change, this year I’m here to talk about climate collapse,” said Revan Ahmed, 13, from Tripoli in Libya, where thousands of people were killed and displaced after Storm Daniel caused unprecedented flooding in September.

“We dream of a future with clean water, a future where food security is a reality and we get to go to school without worrying about floods or high heats. The world leaders owe it to future generations,” said Ahmed, at a press conference organised by Unicef.

Revan Ahmed

Revan Ahmed: ‘This year I’m here to talk about climate collapse.’ Photograph: Nina Lakhani

Extreme weather internally displaced at least 43 million children in the past six years, the equivalent of 20,000 children being forced to abandon their homes and school every day. This is probably a major undercount, and a billion children are at “extremely high risk” of the effects of the climate crisis, according to Unicef.

“Every year of my life there has been a Cop, and every year world leaders have failed to acknowledge the special needs and vulnerabilities of children in the climate crisis,” said Vanessa Nakate, the 27-year-old Ugandan climate justice advocate and Unicef goodwill ambassador who opened the event.

There has never been an official Cop decision focused on climate and children, and less than 3% of international climate finance since 2006 has been spent on supporting children.

Francisco Vera, 14, from Colombia, called out the hypocrisy of rich countries failing to fund climate action. “All the money being invested on the war on Gaza but they say there isn’t money to fight climate change. What is happening to our humanity? If we want climate justice, we have to end war,” said Vera.

Lova Renee, 13, from Madagascar

Lova Renee: ‘We are paying the price for something we didn’t do.’ Photograph: Nina Lakhani

report by the UN Child Rights Committee published in August said children have the right to a clean, healthy and sustainable environment, and governments must take urgent action including the phase-out of fossil fuels and transition to renewables to guarantee this.

“The climate has changed and we are paying the price for something we didn’t do, and that is not fair,” said Lova Renee, 13, from Madagascar. “We’re here to call on world leaders to make decisions at Cop that have a real impact on children’s lives.”

 

 

MONDAY  DECEMBER 4TH  @X

 

From the Guardian U.K.
Agreement to phase out fossil fuels would be huge for humanity, says Gore

Exclusive: former US vice-president and climate activist says phase-out can be only measure of success for Cop28  @Dupe

Oliver Milman in Dubai

@olliemilman

Mon 4 Dec 2023 00.00 EST

·          

·          

·          

An agreement by countries to phase out fossil fuels would be “one of the most significant events in the history of humanity”, according to Al Gore, amid wrangling by governments at Cop28.

It would be a “welcome surprise” if world leaders agreed at the climate talks to call for an end to fossil fuels, but such a declaration would have “enormous impact” upon the world, Gore told the Guardian at the gathering in the United Arab Emirates.

“If there were a decision here to surprise the world to say ‘OK we get it now, we’ve made enough money, we will get on with what needs to be done to give young people a sense of hope again and stop as much as suffering as possible and start the phase-out of fossil fuels’, it would be one of the most significant events in the history of humanity,” the former US vice-president said.

Gore, now a prominent advocate for action on the climate crisis, welcomed the establishment of a loss and damage fund for developing countries worst hit by heatwaves, droughts, floods and other disasters but added the amount of money committed to it by rich countries is a “pittance” and that the crucial element at the Dubai gathering would be an agreement to wind down fossil fuels.

“There is only one measure of success for Cop28: will it include a commitment to phase out fossil fuels or not,” he said. “If it does include such a commitment it will be a smashing success; if it does not it will be a failure.”

More than half of the 200 countries that are represented at Cop28 have signalled they would support agreement language that mentions a phase-out of fossil fuels. John Kerry, the US climate envoy, has said it is “hard for anybody to understand” why the primary cause of the climate crisis would be allowed to continue, while António Guterres, secretary-general of the UN, urged leaders on Friday to unambiguously back the end of oil, coal and gas. “Not reduce. Not abate. Phase out,” Guterres said.

However, the consensus format of these UN summits means that countries have to all assent to the text of an agreement and it is understood that countries such as Russia, China and Saudi Arabia are uncomfortable with a compact that would call time on fossil fuels.

Oil companies, many posting record profits, are planning large expansions in drilling, including Adnoc, the national oil company of the UAE which is headed by Sultan Al Jaber, who is also president of Cop28. Al Jaber has strenuously denied allegations that he is using the climate summit as a way to further oil and gas deals for Adnoc.

Gore, however, said that Adnoc is “one of the dirtiest companies, it’s one of the least responsible companies” and that the appointment of Al Jaber to head Cop28 has been damaging.

“They made a mistake, let’s be honest, in angling to put a fossil fuel company CEO in charge of this Cop28,” he said. “I mean it’s absurd. It’s totally ridiculous.”

 

·          

Cop28 president forced into defence of fossil fuel phase-out claims

7h ago

·          

Al Jaber says comments claiming there is ‘no science’ behind demands for phase-out of fossil fuels were ‘misinterpreted’ – Cop28 as it happened

6h ago

·          

Cop28 president says there is ‘no science’ behind demands for phase-out of fossil fuels

1d ago

·          

Cop28! No prizes for guessing how it is turning out

16h ago

272

 

·          

The Guardian view on a non-proliferation treaty: fossil fuels are weapons of mass destruction

1d ago

247

 

·        

Rishi Sunak accused of hypocrisy after backing phase-out of fossil fuels at Cop28

2d ago

·          

Cop28 officials fail to clarify if protesters are safe to protest in Dubai

1d ago

·          

Greenhouse gas emissions soar – with China, US and India most at fault

2d ago

·          

A knife-edge quest: Lord of the Rings resonates at Cop28 climate summit

 

 

@OLDER @BEGIN (REVERSE DATES?)

 

TIMELINE from dji.231204

 

X31 THURSDAY

FROM guardian

X31FROM GUK

 

THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 30TH  @Q

 


Cop28: key funding deal to help poorer nations cope with impact of climate crisis agreed – as it happened

This live blog is now closed, you can read more on this story here

 Updated 3h ago

·          

4h ago

Loss and damage fund agreed on first day of Cop28

 

·          

8h ago

UAE pledges $100m to loss and damage fund

 

·          

8h ago

Loss and damage funding arrangement agreed

 

·          

10h ago

Sultan Al Jaber officially opens the Cop28 climate summit

 

·          

11h ago

India's foreign minister insists coal 'would remain' its main source of energy

 

·          

12h ago

Delegates hope for early win on loss and damage fund

 

·          

12h ago

UK schools union says it is 'deeply concerned' at impact of climate crisis on pupils and education workers

 

·          

13h ago

ActionAid UK criticises UK's climate action progress, saying it is sending wrong message to other countries

 

·          

14h ago

Guterres calls for complete 'phase-out' of fossil fuels

Damien Gayle and Alan Evans

Thu 30 Nov 2023 11.20 EST

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664

 

Show key events only

4h ago11.20 EST

Loss and damage fund agreed on first day of Cop28

It was an action-packed opening day in Dubai as the Cop28 conference kicked off, and the world leaders don’t even arrive until tomorrow.

·         The big news of the day was that countries reached agreement on setting up a loss and damage fund to help countries deal with the impacts of climate breakdown, something that had long been a sticking point in negotiations

·         The UAE immediately pledged $100m to the fund, and was followed by contributions from the EU, led by Germany, the UK, the US and Japan, though the US in particular were criticised for their relatively modest pledge

·         The World Meteorological Organization said that 2023 would be the hottest year ever recorded. UN secretary-general António Guterres responded to the news by saying “We are living through climate collapse in real time”

·         A representative of Indian prime minister Narendra Modi said coal is, and will continue to be, an important part of India’s energy needs

We’ll be back again tomorrow for day two, when the focus will be on world leaders’ speeches and the official opening of the conference, led by the UK’s King Charles III.

·          

·          

Updated at 11.58 EST

4h ago11.11 EST

The Guardian will be hosting a livestreamed event on Tuesday discussing the extent to which fossil fuel companies are able and willing to transition into renewables.

It will feature the Guardian’s environment editor, Damian Carrington, who will chair a panel including Tessa Khan, founder and executive director of Uplift; Christiana Figueres, the former UNFCCC chief; and Mike Coffin of Carbon Tracker.

More details can be found here:

Cop28: Can fossil fuel companies transition to clean energy?

Read more

 

 

5h ago11.03 EST

Jim Skea, the new chair of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, has given an interview to the Financial Times (£€$) about carbon capture and storage.

Skea is optimistic about the technological side of things, saying that the key elements have all been technically proven but that the main barriers to its widespread use lie in the economics and business models.

It’s one of these large-scale technologies which probably will not happen unless you really get the right kind of policy framing to enable it to come forward. It won’t happen just because the private sector chooses to do it. And also because, if you put carbon dioxide in the ground, it frankly is of no value to any human on earth, sitting under the ground. So somebody has to pay to put it there.

Carbon capture and storage is expected to be a key point of debate during the conference, with major fossil fuel producers insistent that any agreement to phase out fossil fuels includes the word “unabated” – ie, the burning of them without the capture of the resultant emissions.

Skea says he is moderately optimistic due to the pace of progress:

There are things happening today – if you had told me 10, 20 years ago what would happen with renewable energy, I would have fallen off my chair. We have made enormous progress in some areas. But it’s worthwhile saying that we still have the difficult bit to do.

·          

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5h ago10.48 EST

new paper from the Climate Social Science Network examines the role of Saudi Arabia in obstructing progress at climate talks over the past few decades.

The key quote the authors highlight is:

​​What sets Saudi Arabia apart from most other countries is that it sees its national interest as best served by obstructing intergovernmental efforts to tackle climate change

The report finds that the fossil resource rich country has spent years undermining climate science, and that its intransigence has provided a useful shield for other countries to hide behind.

The authors warn that the latest tactics used by the Saudis focus on the promotion of carbon capture and storage, as well as atmospheric carbon removal. These technologies are still in their infancy and scientists believe it will be a while until they are viable at scale, and some say they may not ever play a significant part in climate mitigation.

The report finds that although Saudi Arabia has set a target of net zero emissions by 2060,

the country’s teams have opposed mentions of ‘net zero’, ‘strong emission reductions’, ‘strong, rapid, and sustained reductions of CO2 and non-CO2 emissions’ and ‘deep reduction’

The authors suggest one process that could be adopted to prevent Saudi Arabia blocking progress would be to move away from the need for consensus in the talks, and instead require a supermajority of 7/8ths of parties. They say this “would capture overwhelming support across the globe, while sidelining a tiny minority of obstructers. Unanimity is not required, nor is it compatible with climate action at the level required.”

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5h ago10.38 EST

Former UN secretary-general Ban Ki-moon and Mozambican politician Graça Machel, both members of the Elders group of former statespeople, have written in the Guardian today urging world leaders not to squander the opportunities of Cop28.

The Glasgow pact agreed at Cop26 called for a doubling of finance to support developing countries in adapting to the impacts of climate change and building resilience. Developed countries must fulfil this commitment. Countries must also adopt an ambitious framework for the Global Goal on Adaptation to guide action and investment on adaptation. We urge leaders to seize the moment and send an unequivocal message that we need urgent, meaningful investments in order to fortify people, economies and ecosystems against the escalating threats of the climate crisis.

Crucially, the framework must include robust, quantifiable targets so that we can all track progress over time, and must include means of implementation – finance, capacity building and technology transfer – to support the delivery of the framework, so that it doesn’t become become another hollow promise that is never kept.

Read the full piece here:

To the world leaders at Cop28 we say: do not squander this chance to get back on track

Ban Ki-moon

 

Read more

 

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5h ago10.24 EST

The pope, who had been expected to attend the conference and speak on Saturday, cancelled his visit due to illness but sent the conference a message from his sickbed.

“May participants in Cop28 be strategists who focus on the common good and the future of their children, rather than the vested interests of certain countries or businesses,” he posted on X (formerly Twitter).

“May they demonstrate the nobility of politics and not its shame.”

The Vatican said the pope still hoped to participate in the conference in some form, but did not say how.

·          

·          

Updated at 10.32 EST

5h ago10.21 EST

Fifi Peters of CNBC Africa asks how the levels of donations to the loss and damage fund were determined, pointing out the low level of commitment by the US, and the absence of any pledges from other major emitters such as China and India.

Stiell says the response to the calls for funding has been unprecedented, and says pledging will continue over the next two days during the leaders’ summit, as he expects many countries will want to save their announcements for their moment in the spotlight on stage.

He says he is encouraged by the pledges so far and that he thinks it bodes well for the next steps of the process.

·          

·          

Updated at 10.43 EST

5h ago10.16 EST

Sophie Mokoena of the South African Broadcasting Corporation asks what hurdles they foresee coming up in negotiations concerning the global stocktake – the annual reckoning of how much progress each country is making towards its climate targets.

Stiell concedes there is a “massive gap” between where we are and where we need to be.

“There are differing views on how prescriptive or non-prescriptive the global stocktake should be, so that will be one area of debate.”

Stiell says there will also be debate over how forward-looking or backward-looking the stocktake should be. This is a reference to the debate over how much historical responsibility for emissions should be considered as part of pledges versus current and future emissions.

·          

·          

Updated at 10.42 EST

5h ago10.11 EST

Time for questions from the press. Ivan Couronne of AFP asks how much movement Al Jaber had seen from parties on what they were willing to offer.

Al Jaber responds by saying he told stakeholders a month ago that he wants an unprecedented outcome for this conference. He says their ambition is for “the maximum, highest ambition possible” and that they would leave no stone unturned.

“Compromise is going to be essential. It is going to be a catalyst and an enabler.”

He vows that we will see “full transparency and full inclusion” from the UAE.

·          

·          

Updated at 10.43 EST

5h ago10.08 EST

He passes on to Hana Alhashimi, the UAE’s chief climate negotiator. She says the UAE’s negotiating team is two-thirds female, and two-thirds youth, from a range of diverse backgrounds.

She says that there were more than 160 items on the agenda, and expresses gratitude to everyone involved for getting that approved in order that they could begin negotiations in a timely fashion. There had been fears that a lack of agreement on the agenda could hinder and delay negotiations.

·          

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Updated at 10.43 EST

6h ago10.03 EST

Next is Majid al-Suwaidi, the Cop28 director-general, who lays out the programme for the next couple of days, during which world leaders and their representatives will descend on the conference.

He also talks up the UAE’s hosting plans, vowing that it will be “completely inclusive”.

“We have no time for polarisation and argument; it is time for partnerships, solidarity and action.”

·          

·          

Updated at 10.08 EST

6h ago09.57 EST

Al Jaber continues, saying the loss and damage fund has had $420m pledged to it in the first few hours.

He singles out Germany, the UK, the EU, the US and Japan for their pledges.

He thanks the delegates for their attendance, and vows to work “hand in hand with everyone” to deliver “real action and results”.

·          

·          

6h ago09.55 EST

It is now the turn of the Cop28 president, Sultan Al Jaber, who welcomes the delegates.

“I’m sure that most of you feel what I actually feel. I came into this task with a full understanding of what it takes to manage this process. I took this task with humility and with a deeep sense of responsibility and a great sense of urgency. That’s why we have approached this task in a completely different and unconventional way.

“The extraordinary effort that has been put into this task, it is paying off. Why so, and how so? The fact that we have been able to achieve such a significant milestone on the first day of this Cop is unprecedented. This is historic. The fact that we were able to get the agenda voted and agreed on without any delay, for those that have been involved in previous Cops, this is just unprecedented.

“The fact we have been able to deliver what was promised in Sharm el-Sheikh. The fact that we have been able to operationalise and pass the threshold that had been associated with the establishment of this fund [ie the creation of a loss and damage funding facility] is a historic, unprecedented achievement.

“I feel excited, determined, and I’m sure most of you feel the positivity, the optimistic environment and ambience that we are all experiencing here at this very place. I have been to 12 Cops before. Each one had its own unique proposition. I must say though, never ever did I feel this level of excitement, and this level of enthusiasm among all sincere and genuine parties involved in this discussion.

“Now the real work begins. I am determined to demonstrate that this Cop is a different Cop, and this president is a different presidency. We are laser-focused on keeping [the Paris agreement target of limiting emissions to] 1.5C [above preindustrial levels] within reach.”

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·          

Updated at 10.07 EST

1 of 5NextOldest

@Th1.old

6h ago09.49 EST

The conference has finally begun, an hour and 45 minutes late. Moderator Alexander Saier apologises for the delay and introduces the panel, which includes the Cop28 president, Sultan Al Jaber, and the UNFCCC chief, Simon Stiell, who praises the loss and damage funding deal agreed earlier and thanks the Cop27 hosts Egypt for their work over the past year.

“This is 30 years’ worth of discussion which concluded in Sharm el-Sheikh last year, which concluded with the agreement to establish this funding arrangement.”

But, Stiell explains, over the past year countries have had to work out how to actually set up the fund.

“Today’s news gives the Cop28 climate conference a running start … we must keep our eyes on the prize and every second counts.”  Lord of the Cliches!

“We still have a lot of work ahead of us. Loss and damage is just one of the negotiating tracks, but the spirit in which parties have engaged as we ended the pre-sessional week, where negotiators were engaging and engaging constructively … what is consistent is that willingness to start these negotiations with a constructive and engaged outlook. So we need to work and build on what we have seen today as we work through the 12 or 13 days that are ahead of us.”

·          

·          

Updated at 10.07 EST

6h ago09.32 EST

We’re still waiting, so here’s another of the best dressed conference attendees.

An early frontrunner in this year’s fashion stakes is Briseida Iglesias, a Guna indigenous leader from Panama, sage of the songs and other spiritual practices of the Gunadule people.

She is the founder of Bundorgan Women’s Network, a front line organisation for the revitalisation of ancestral farming and medicine practices. She is also an expert on the traditional textiles worn by Guna women as symbol of protection, cultural resistance and connection with mother Earth.

6h ago09.23 EST

The conference is still being delayed – 80 minutes overdue now – but we are assured “they are on their way and will be here very soon”.

When asked what “very soon” meant, the Cop28 spokesman replied “10 to 15 minutes” – the same response he gave an hour ago – which was met with laughter in the hall.

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6h ago09.18 EST

@Th2.old

 

British academic Matthew Hedges, who was imprisoned by the United Arab Emirates for seven months after being accused of spying, has warned visitors to Cop28 not to fall into the same trap he did.

He warned attendees to: “take a clean phone, a new phone with limited access. Do not have social media on your phone, or if you do, make sure it is a business account, with two-factor authentication, or something like this, and do the same for the safety, integrity of your emails.”

He also said attendees should be particularly careful not to inadvertently put their contacts at risk:

“It isn’t just you, it’s anyone you are connecting with, because there are laws which restrict and criminalise working with international organisations that could be perceived to be critical of the government.”

Dan Sabbagh has the full story here:

‘Don’t be naive like I was’: UK academic advises Cop28 attenders to stay safe

Read more

 

7h ago09.08 EST

Nina Lakhani

It’s all about fossil fuels. That was the key message from the Climate Action Network, the world’s largest coalition of climate NGOs, who used their first daily briefing to echo calls from António Guterres demanding an agreement on phasing out oil, gas and coal.

“This is going to be a festival of distraction, of miracle tech fixes including carbon capture and storage which will be framed as essential. But this is no substitute for the full phase out of fossil fuels which must be fast, full, fair and funded; it’s about these four Fs,” said Romain Ioualalen, global policy campaign manager at Oil Change International, at CAN’s first daily briefing.

It’s hard to stay optimistic that Cop28 can achieve the decisive action needed to tackle the climate emergency, given the host’s intimate relationship with oil and gas, but giving up will play into the fossil fuel industry’s hands, warned Teresa Anderson, ActionAid International’s global climate justice lead. “We cannot stop believing, we cannot give up. We have to get an outcome on fossil fuel phaseout.”

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7h ago08.58 EST

Long queues have been reported by attendees at the conference. Bob Ward of the Grantham Research Institute tweeted that he had been waiting an hour for registration.

It is still far less chaotic than the scenes in Glasgow two years ago, where thousands of people were kept outside for hours, and the notoriously queue-plagued Cop15 in Copenhagen in 2009. Those in the queues will also be glad that Dubai is significantly warmer than those venues.

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7h ago08.47 EST

Nina Lakhani

While we wait for the press conference to start – now 45 minutes overdue – here’s another entry to the best dressed competition in the form of Grace Louis, 23, from the Toposa tribe in South Sudan, where drought and floods are severely affeecting communities.

Grace is a Cop first timer and is in Dubai representing the Pan African Climate Justice Alliance.

 

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7h ago08.39 EST

The US – which is both the world’s wealthiest country and its biggest polluter – is coming in for some criticism for its relatively paltry contribution to the loss and damage fund.

Mohamed Adow, director of Power Shift Africa, said: “The initial funding pledges are clearly inadequate and will be a drop in the ocean compared to the scale of the need they are to address. In particular, the amount announced by the US is embarrassing for president Biden and John Kerry. It just shows how this must be just the start.

“Although rules have been agreed regarding how the fund will operate there are no hard deadlines, no targets and countries are not obligated to pay into it, despite the whole point being for rich, high polluting nations to support vulnerable communities who have suffered from climate impacts.

“The US and other rich countries wanted the fund to be hosted by the World Bank. This has been agreed, but on an interim basis, and only as long as it operates in a transparent and easy to access way, something the World Bank is not known for. If it proves unfit for the task, we will need to set up a separate entity to do the job.

“The most pressing issue now is to get money flowing into the fund and to the people that need it. The pledged funds must not just be repackaged commitments. We need new money, in the form of grants, not loans, otherwise it will just pile more debt onto some of the poorest countries in the world, defeating the point of a fund designed to improve lives.”

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Updated at 09.58 EST

7h ago08.29 EST

Nina Lakhani

@Th3.old

Some key points on the loss and damage funding agreement:

·         The World Bank will be the interim host for a period of four years, and the fund will have an independent secretariat with developed and developing countries represented

·         It’s been agreed that the fund will have “at least’ $100bn a year by 2030, with developing countries saying that actual needs are already closer to $400bn annually. Loss and damage for climate breakdown cost about $1.5tn in 2022, according to one recent study.

·         Payments into the fund will be voluntary, with developed countries “invited”, not obliged, to contribute

·         All developing countries will be eligible to directly access resources from the fund, with a minimum percentage allocation to the least developed countries and small island developing states.

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7h ago08.23 EST

The press conference scheduled for 5pm local time (1pm GMT) has still not begun, and attendees have been told it is likely to be another 10 to 15 minutes. Restless delegates can be seen pacing the floors of the conference centre.

The conference – when it does begin – can be watched here on the official UNFCCC feed:


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7h ago08.15 EST

The term “loss and damage” has been debated and fought over fiercely since it was first used by the UN in the Bali Action Plan of 2007. If you’re wondering what exactly it refers to, my colleague Nina Lakhani has written a handy guide to what it is and why the entire Cop process hinges on it here:

Why loss and damage funds are key to climate justice for developing countries at Cop28

Read more

 

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8h ago08.09 EST

More reactions are coming in to the the agreement on the operationalisation of the loss and damage fund.

Ghiwa Nakat, executive director of Greenpeace MENA, said: “For communities suffering from climate-related loss and damage every contribution matters. This is the kind of leadership we expect from the host country and we urge other countries to follow suit. Rich developed countries must step up with major contributions to the new fund, and polluting industries must also be made to pay. If the Cop presidency can build on this with a consensus agreement on a just phasing out of fossil fuelsCop28 will indeed be an historic event.”

Mariana Paoli, Christian Aid’s global advocacy lead, said: “This time last year, at the start of Cop27 in Egypt, the loss and damage fund was not even on the agenda for that meeting. So it’s a testament to the determination of developing country negotiators that we now already have the fund agreed and established.

“The fact that the World Bank is to be the interim host of the fund is a worry for developing countries. It needs to be closely scrutinised to ensure vulnerable communities are able to get easy and direct access to funds and the whole operation is run with far more transparency than the World Bank normally operates on. These were the conditions agreed by countries and if they are not kept to, a separate arrangement will be needed.

“It’s now vital we see the fund filled. People who have contributed the least to the climate crisis are already suffering climate losses and damages. The longer they are forced to wait for financial support to cover these costs, the greater the injustice. At Cop28 we need to see significant new and additional pledges of money to the loss and damage fund, and not just repackaged climate finance that has already been committed.”

Fanny Petitbon, head of advocacy for Care France, said: “Today is a landmark day for climate justice, but clearly not the end of the fight. We hope the agreement will result in rapid delivery of support for communities on the frontlines of the climate crisis. However, it has many shortcomings. It enables historical emitters to evade their responsibility. It also fails to establish the scale of finance needed and ensure that the fund is anchored in human rights principles.

“The loss and damage fund must not remain an empty promise. We urgently call on all governments who are most responsible for the climate emergency and have the capacity to contribute to announce significant pledges in the form of grants. Historical emitters must lead the way. Financial commitments must not be about robbing Peter to pay Paul: funding must be new and additional.”

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8h ago07.57 EST

The US has announced $17.5m for the loss and damage fund, $4.5m for the Pacific Resilience Facility which is focused on the island nations in that ocean, and $2.5m for the Santiago Network, which provides technical support for countries affected by climate breakdown.

Japan has also pledged $10m for the main loss and damage fund.

These significant pledges, which already amount to about $300m, will increase the pressure on other wealthy nations to contribute to the fund.

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8h ago07.47 EST

The funding is starting to roll in. Germany has also announced it will put $100m towards the loss and damage fund, and the UK has announced £60m ($75m), made up of £40 for the fund and £20m for funding arrangements.

Kate Hampton of the Children’s Investment Fund Foundation welcomed the UAE’s pledge: “Dr Sultan has managed what no previous Cop president has and got a big decision agreed on day one. Their $100m is a bold move of south-south solidarity. This is exciting leadership.”

8h ago07.44 EST

UAE pledges $100m to loss and damage fund

Immediately after the announcement that the loss and damage funding arrangements had been agreed, the United Arab Emirates, which is hosting the talks, pledged $100m to the fund.

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8h ago07.38 EST

Loss and damage funding arrangement agreed

Countries have just agreed on the operationalisation of the loss and damage fund to help poorer countries deal with the impacts of climate breakdown.

The news drew a standing ovation from delegates.

The creation of the fund has long been a stumbling block at climate talks, and the agreement on the first day of the conference has been tentatively welcomed by many delegates, although it will not be officially rubberstamped until the close of the conference.

Some early reaction:

“The loss and damage fund will be a lifeline to people in their darkest hour, enabling families to rebuild their homes after disaster strikes, support farmers when their crops are wiped out and relocate those that become permanently displaced by rising seas. This outcome was hard-fought but is a clear step forward.

“The success of this fund will depend on the speed and scale at which funds start flowing to people in need. We call on world leaders to announce substantial contributions at Cop28 – not only to cover start-up costs but also to fill the fund itself. People in vulnerable countries will face up to $580bn in climate-related damages in 2030 v. handouts of millions and this number will only continue to grow.”

– Ani Dasgupta, President & CEO, World Resources Institute

“Amid the historic decision to operationalise the Loss and Damage Fund within a year of its establishment, addressing underlying concerns becomes critical. On one hand, rich countries have pushed for the World Bank to host this fund under the guise of ensuring a speedy response. Conversely, they have attempted to dilute their financial obligations and resisted defining a clear finance mobilisation scale.

“The responsibility now lies with affluent nations to meet their financial obligations in a manner proportionate to their role in the climate crisis, which has been primarily driven by decades of unrestrained fossil fuel consumption and a lack of adequate climate finance delivered to the global south.”

- Harjeet Singh, head of global political strategy at Climate Action Network International

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9h ago07.06 EST

Nina Lakhani

Climate justice advocates have condemned the atrocities in Gaza and called for a permanent ceasefire, in the first Palestinian solidarity event of Cop28.

“As human beings, we cannot ignore the absolutely horrendous situation in Gaza. But it is also not a coincidence that the same countries allowing and supporting Israel are the same ones blocking progress on climate action,” said Lidy Nacpil, director of the Asian Peoples Movement on Debt and Development and convener of the Cop28 Coalition. “As the whole world gathers here, it is our responsibility to talk about what is happening in Palestine.”

The UNFCCC cut off the livestream as Asad Rehman, director of the UK-based organisation War on Want, called for a permanent ceasefire and accountability.

“The Palestinian struggle is woven into every struggle for justice including climate justice,” he said. “We want an end to ethnic cleansing, an end to the genocide, an end to war crimes. We want a free Palestine.”

The livestream was resumed after the organisers and attendees made a lot of noise.

More than 15,000 Palestinians and 1,400 Israelis have died since 7 October. Israel’s bombardment of the Gaza strip since Hamas’s cross-border attack has led to widespread food and water shortages, as well as the destruction of agricultural land and water infrastructure. More than 95% of the water in Gaza is unfit for consumption, while water salinisation and treatment plants have been shut down due to fuel shortages imposed by Israel, and in some cases partially destroyed by the bombardment.

@Th.old.5 “As Indigenous people of the world, we are heartbroken to see the genocide and ecoside in Palestine,” said Mesiah Burciaga-Hameed, who read out a statement on behalf of the Indigenous people’s caucus. “There is no climate justice without human rights.”

“There can be no climate justice on occupied land,” said Dylan Hamilton, a 19-year-old climate justice and trans rights activist from Scotland. “The youth stand with Palestine.”

The briefing ended with an emotional address from Tariq Luthun, a Palestinian American from Friends of the Earth Palestine, who said denying water to people was a form of collective punishment that has also been used in the US, for example the mass water shutoffs for overdue bills in Detroit and the lead contamination scandal in Flint, Michigan.

“What good is to be found in a green world if the roots are soaked in blood,” said Luthum. “I reject the notion that some people have to suffer so that others can prosper.”

The event ended with calls of “Viva viva Palestina”.

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Updated at 09.57 EST

9h ago06.51 EST

 

By Patrick Greenfield

The role that carbon markets will play in helping countries meet their Paris commitments is up for discussion at Cop28, and a series of forest deals made by a little-known member of Dubai’s ruling royal family is causing controversy.

Rights to an area of land larger than the size of the UK have been sold off to UAE-based firm Blue Carbon, which is chaired by Sheikh Ahmed Dalmook al-Maktoum. So far, the exploratory deals cover a fifth of Zimbabwe, 10% of Liberia, 10% of Zambia and 8% of Tanzania, amounting to a total area the size of the UK.

In October, Blue Carbon signed its latest deal for “millions” of hectares of forest in Kenya. The company said it was also working on an agreement with Pakistan. More deals are expected in the coming months. Critics have called them a new “scramble for Africa”.

Blue Carbon is not alone. Today, Tanzania National Parks - which cares for famous parks like the Serengeti and Kilimanjaro - announced it has signed a deal to turn six protected areas into a 1.8m hectare carbon project, which would make it one of the largest in the world.

The Guardian has looked into the Sheikh’s business dealings, with concerns raised about his involvement selling Russian’s Sputnik V vaccine, acting as a dealmaker with Ghana, Guyana, Lebanon and Pakistan at lucrative premiums in 2021. One of the listed Blue Carbon advisors is an Italian fugitive.

Read more here:

Who is the UAE sheikh behind deals to manage vast areas of African forest?

Read more

 

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9h ago06.41 EST

This is Alan Evans now taking over from Damien Gayle for the rest of the day. You can reach me at alan.evans@theguardian.com, or on X (formerly Twitter) at @itsalanevans.

Our reporters Damian Carrington and Nina Lakhani have sent updates on the food situation on the ground:

If climate summits march, like armies, on their stomachs then Cop28 looks in good shape.

Unlike the first days of the disorganised Cop27 in Egypt, there is actually food. It’s mostly vegan too, a nod to the enormous impact meat has on the climate. An avocado, edamame and hummus sandwich was one offering.

It’s not all cheap, though. A coffee is $6 (£4.75), more expensive even than most cafes in New York, so delegates without big budgets are coming prepared with packed lunches and thermoses.

Carnivores are catered for though, and it’s halal – eg a chicken sausage roll. But it’s a clear improvement on the meat feast of Cop24 in Poland, and the beefburger vans of Cop27.

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Updated at 09.57 EST

9h ago06.29 EST

Nina Lakhani

Fossil fuels have turned Indigenous communities into sacrifice zones, endangering their land, water and air and fuelling displacement, one of Cop28’s first briefings has been told.

Brenna TwoBears, lead coordinator for the Indigenous Environmental Network in Oregon, was among Indigenous environmental experts who kicked off the first day of Cop28. They pledged their support for a Fossil Fuel Non-Proliferation Treaty and warned of the dangers market-based false solutions posed to Indigenous peoples and the global climate.

TwoBears said:

Indigenous people support the equitable phase out of coal, oil and gas without loopholes used to justify delays and false solutions and tech fixes that allow the fossil fuel regime to continue and grow, and which do not address the climate crisis… this must be accompanied by the fast track adoption of clean energy, a just transition in which no community or country is left behind.

Momentum has been building behind the proposal for the Fossil Fuel Non-Proliferation Treaty, with support from Indigenous organisations and communities facing some of the gravest threats from extreme weather events and slow-onset climate impacts, such as sea level rise and melting glaciers.

Eight nations – Vanuatu, Tuvalu, Tonga, Fiji, the Solomon Islands, Niue, Antigua and Barbuda, and Timor-Leste – have also thrown their weight behind the idea.

Eriel Deranger, executive director of Indigenous Climate Action who is from the Athabasca Chipewyan First Nation, an Arctic community where Canada exploits tar sands, said:

Carbon trading depends on the continued growth of emissions that will create more sacrifice zones. We cannot achieve a just transition without centring climate solutions on Indigenous and human rights.

 

 

Aletha Adu

Keir Starmer, the leader of the UK’s opposition Labour party, will have a series of meetings over two days with heads of states, business leaders and being hosted for an international investors roundtable on Friday at the Cop28 climate summit.

Starmer will be joined in Dubai by shadow energy security and net zero secretary, Ed Miliband, and shadow foreign secretary, David Lammy.

He will use the climate summit to emphasise his view that the push to net zero is an economic opportunity, and to say Labour is the only UK party with a plan to pragmatically harness the opportunities of the energy transition.

Starmer aims to draw a dividing line with the Conservative government, noting that prime minister Rishi Sunak was shamed into going to Cop27 and has used the year since to double down on his failures, turning off businesses and investors, failing to cut energy bills and make the UK energy secure. He will aim to get across that the Tories are more interested in sowing political division than facing the biggest challenges of the world.

During his visit to the summit, Starmer will set out some of the planks of an international climate strategy under a Labour government. Earlier this year, Starmer pledged to “throw everything” at net zero and the overhaul of the UK’s energy system and industries, promising new jobs in “the race of our lifetime” to a low-carbon future.

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Updated at 07.25 EST

10h ago05.43 EST

 

Damian Carrington

“We are living through climate collapse in real time,” UN secretary-general António Guterres has told Cop28 delegates in Dubai, writes Guardian environment editor Damian Carrington.

He spoke at the launch of the World Meteorological Organization’s stark State of the Climate report, which said 2023 will be the hottest year ever recorded.

“This year has seen communities around the world pounded by fires, floods, and searing temperature – and the impact is devastating,” Guterres said. “Record global heating should send shivers down the spines of world leaders. And it should trigger them to act.”

The WMO report, timed to inform the negotiations at Cop28, said climate records had been shattered in 2023, leaving “a trail of devastation and despair”.

Data up to the end of October showed 2023 was about 1.4C (2.5F) above pre-industrial levels, driven by the continued rise in carbon emissions from fossil fuel burning and by the return of the El Niño climate pattern. The latter is likely to make 2024 another record year, and bring the internationally agreed limit of 1.5C (2.7F) ever nearer.

‘Climate collapse in real time’: UN head António Guterres urges Cop28 to act

Read more

 

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10h ago05.35 EST

@Th.old.1Sultan Al Jaber officially opens the Cop28 climate summit

Sultan Al Jaber has officially opened the Cop28 climate talks in Dubai, after receiving the tiny hammer that is the symbol of his presidency.

Reuters has filed the first report of his opening remarks to delegates, based on a text circulated to journalists. The news agency quotes Al Jaber as saying there were “strong views about the idea of including language on fossil fuels and renewables in the negotiated text ... I ask you to work together.”

“Colleagues, let history reflect the fact that this is the Presidency that made a bold choice to proactively engage with oil and gas companies,” Jaber said. “We had many hard discussions. Let me tell you, it wasn’t easy.”

 

Al Jaber noted that many national oil companies had adopted net-zero targets for 2050. “I am grateful that they have stepped up to join this game-changing journey,” Jaber said. “But, I must say, it is not enough, and I know that they can do more.”

While Sultan Al Jaber says some oil companies have set net zero targets for 2050, those only cover the emissions from producing the oil and gas.

No companies have committed to cutting production of the polluting fuels themselves, which is what scientists are clear is needed.

Indeed, the fossil fuel industry plans to produce double the amount of oil, gas and coal than could be burned while keeping under internationally agreed limits for global heating. And the company with the biggest net-zero busting plans is Adnoc, the UAE’s state oil giant, whose CEO is Al Jaber himself.

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10h ago05.22 EST

The tiny hammer has been presented to Sultan Al Jaber, officially transferring to him the presidency of the Cop process.

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Updated at 05.38 EST

11h ago05.06 EST

India's foreign minister insists coal 'would remain' its main source of energy

Even as the Narendra Modi, India’s prime minister, prepares to travel to the Cop28 summit, a top official in his government insisted coal will remain India’s main source of energy for years to come.

“Coal is, and would, remain an important part of India’s energy needs,” Vinay Mohan Kwatra, India’s foreign secretary, told reporters ahead of Modi’s trip to Dubai.

India currently depends on coal for almost three-quarters of its electricity generation and is adding 17 gigawatts of coal-based power generation capacity at its fastest pace in recent years to meet a record increase in power demand.

There is hope this year’s climate talks will include efforts to secure a global agreement on the phase-out of fossil fuels, of which coal is the dirtiest and most carbon intensive. India and China have been opposing attempts to block construction of new coal-fired power stations, according to Reuters.

Kwatra said India expects a clear roadmap on climate financing at Cop28 and has always been upfront about its support for a “loss-and-damage” fund aimed at helping countries recover from environmental degradation caused by industrial development.

“Loss and damage fund will be of great benefit to developing countries,” Reuters quoted him as saying.

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Updated at 05.38 EST

11h ago04.24 EST

Nina Lakhani

Delegates are just beginning to find their way around the Cop28 climate talks venue this morning. My environment desk colleague Nina Lakhani is there and sent this dispatch on what it looks like around Expo City in Abu Dhabi.

It’s day one and the sprawling Expo venue is beginning to fill up with delegates, diplomats and activists from more than 180 countries, and among them are serious fashionistas bringing some style to the tense and formal negotiations.

Forget fashion week, the climate summit is both the place to see international clothing trends – and get to know the traditional dress of countries, communities and Indigenous territories that you’ve never visited.

From beaded hijabs, silk saris and brilliant white dishdashas to Mayan huipiles, Amazonian headdresses, and west African Ankara wax fabrics, getting to hang out with people from every corner of the planet is one of the highlights of Cop.

Worst dressed group? The media, without doubt, though some of our colleagues from Africa, Latin America and Asia make a lot more effort than us comfort seekers.

English may be the main negotiating language, wait in line for coffee or the bathroom, and you’ll hear a glorious array of languages and dialects. It’s outside the formal negotiations that the power of collaboration and grassroots community building comes into its own. There’s a lot not to like about Cop but the diversity and relationship building is a beautiful thing.

Updated at 04.33 EST

12h ago03.53 EST

Greenpeace has a message for African leaders heading to Cop28 today: “Stop False Solutions”.

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12h ago03.48 EST

Delegates hope for early win on loss and damage fund

Delegates at Cop28 are hoping to achieve an early victory on a disaster fund on Thursday before the summit turns its attention to more contentious areas, such as the future of fossil fuels, Reuters is reporting.

The news agency says diplomats are hoping a draft deal on a loss and damage fund can be approved quickly at the start of the climate talks. The United Arab Emirates’ Cop28 presidency has already published a proposal for such a fund.

Once an agreement is reached, rich countries can begin pledging money. Nations including Germany, Denmark and the Netherlands are expected to announce contributions over the next few days, European diplomats told Reuters.

“Everyone with the ability to pay should contribute,” said the EU climate commissioner, Wopke Hoekstra, who said he wanted to “broaden the donor base beyond the usual suspects, simply because that reflects the reality of 2023.”

With governments preparing for long, tough negotiations on whether to agree to phase out coal, oil and gas, the main sources of carbon emissions, it is hoped an early win on loss and damage will pave the way for further compromises later on.

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Updated at 04.13 EST

12h ago03.38 EST

 

@Th.old.2 Extinction Rebellion, the climate activist campaign, has issued a downbeat assessment of what we can expect from Cop28.

Some five years after they began their campaign for action on climate breakdown with their “declaration of rebellion” outside the UK parliament, XR says we have woken up to a world that “is as bad, if not worse than we predicted five years ago”, with 2023 set to be classified the hottest year on record.

In this context … we are once again seeing world leaders fly, on their private jets, to the next conference of the parties (Cop) on climate, Cop28. The conference will take place in Dubai in the United Arab Emirates, a nation built almost entirely on fossil fuel wealth. Cop28 is led by Dr Sultan Ahmed Al Jaber, founder and chair of Abu Dhabi National Oil Company (Adnoc). which has the largest net-zero busting plans in the world.

Before it has even begun, it is clear the Cop process has been captured by the fossil fuel economy. We are unlikely to see the rapid, just and equitable phaseout of all fossil fuels coming out of this process.

And yet XR says it will not simply ignore the talks at Cop, and it has issued calls for a number of outcomes it wants to see, including the honouring of climate finance grants, the urgent establishment of a loss and damage fund, debt cancellation and a fast, fair process.

To ignore Cop is to display our minority world arrogance and play into the hands of the system we are trying to fix. Those in power have designed Cop to their advantage — of course they want us to ignore it. Many majority world countries have no choice but to work with the United Nations (UN) because it is the only space that comes close to global democracy in which their voices have a presence.

The G77 will be there, and in Brazil, President Lula is calling for an Amazon Cop in 2030; many movements come to Cop trying to push for justice.

So XRUK’s position is: Yes, Cop28 is not good enough, but it’s all we’ve got.

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Updated at 03.49 EST

12h ago03.30 EST

UK schools union says it is 'deeply concerned' at impact of climate crisis on pupils and education workers

The trade union representing the leaders of schools in the England, Wales and Northern Ireland has said it is “deeply concerned” at climate crisis and the impact it is having on pupils, education workers and communities across the world.

As part of a submission to the Cop28 climate talks by UK trade unions, the National Association of Head Teachers (NAHT) called for governments “to prioritise their actions before it is too late”, pointing out that extreme climate events are disrupting the education of nearly 40 million children a year worldwide.

Helena Macormac, the NAHT’s international secretary, said:

It is vital that decisive and substantial collective international actions are taken as a matter of urgency – the future of our children and young people is at stake.

The UK government has said that tackling climate change and biodiversity loss is its number one international priority, yet the lack of investment and sustained joined up policy on this area would lead us to believe that this is not the case. Climate change is already having detrimental effect to education working conditions in the UK, with decades of state neglect of school buildings and classrooms not fit for purpose in extreme weather events. We are also already seeing an increase in ‘climate refugees’ and displaced pupils impacting on school communities.

It is vital that the pupil voice is heard within the climate crisis debate, and that they are able to access climate education – it is they that will pioneer the necessary solutions to the climate crisis. Governments must realise the integral role that pupils, school leaders and education providers play in tackling climate change, and work to deliver a ‘just transition’ for the future.

 

 

13h ago02.40 EST

ActionAid UK criticises UK's climate action progress, saying it is sending wrong message to other countries

Rishi Sunak, the UK prime minister, will be flying in to Dubai for the start of the Cop28 summit as he tries to burnish his credentials as an international statesman.

But over the past few months, the UK government has issued more than 100 new licences for oil and gas exploitation in the North Sea. The development charity ActionAid UK has criticised the UK’s progress on climate action, saying domestic policies are threatening progress on the global stage by sending the wrong message to countries elsewhere in the world.

In a statement send to the Guardian, Zahra Hdidou, senior climate and resilience adviser at ActionAid UK, said:

As Rishi Sunak lands in Dubai, we are deeply concerned by the message the UK government is sending to countries in the global south affected by its alarming inaction on climate change. Ahead of the Cop summit this week, the UK claims that it is more ambitious on climate than any other major economy, but this couldn’t be further from the truth.

As it issues licences for over 100 new oil and gas fields and fails to provide a proper roadmap on how it will deliver £11.6bn in loss and damage finance to climate-stricken countries, the UK’s decisions today will continue to cause environmental catastrophe well into the future and cause immense harm to women and girls disproportionately affected by climate breakdown.

Attention should also be paid to the role that the UK’s finance sector, one of the world’s most important, plays in financing fossil fuel projects, Hiddou said:

The UK is also the heart of the global financial sector, which our recent research found has poured hundreds of billions of pounds into fossil fuels and agribusinesses since the Paris agreement. With UK banks like HSBC and Barclays among the largest funders of climate chaos, it also has a responsibility to regulate the sector, ensuring that money stops flowing towards climate-wrecking industries.

Instead of accelerating investments into fossil fuels and continuing its harmful, polluting legacy, it should show strong leadership in Dubai and commit to phasing out fossil fuels entirely.

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Updated at 03.45 EST

13h ago02.30 EST

The UN Development Programme has published a video explainer on the issues at play at this year’s Cop climate summit. Take a look if you need a quick and easily absorbed rundown of what delegates will be discussing over the next fortnight.

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13h ago02.18 EST

The United Arab Emirates, one of the world’s foremost fossil fuel producing nations, was always going to be an interesting choice for the Cop28 climate talks. Highlighting the apparent contradiction is a tweet from one attendee showing this incongruous sight from her hotel room window.

 

14h ago02.08 EST

By Ajit Niranjan

 

People must balance outrage and optimism after a “hellish summer” of extreme weather, the UN’s former climate chief has urged at the start of the Cop28 climate summit, writes Ajit Narinjan, the Guardian’s Europe environment correspondent.

“We have to keep the outrage really high because we are so darn late,” said Christiana Figueres, a veteran negotiator hailed as the architect of the Paris climate agreement.

She pointed to the weak policies that governments have set in order to cut planet-heating pollution and the $7tn with which they directly and indirectly subsidise fossil fuels.

But there were reasons for optimism that could stop people falling into “a dark rabbit hole”, she added. “I do make a conscious choice every morning to say: ‘Yes, I know what all the bad news is’ – that’s easy to get because that just screams at you from whatever news feed you have – but also, what is positive that is going out there? What are the disruptive pieces that are real, strong evidence of the fact that this is changing?”

Speaking to a small group of reporters on Monday, Figueres highlighted the plummeting cost of renewable energy and the growth of electric cars as two areas where positive changes were happening faster and faster.

xTh.3We have to balance outrage with optimism, says UN’s former climate chief

Read more

 

·          

·          

Updated at 03.44 EST

14h ago01.58 EST

Dawn has broken over the Cop28 climate talks in Dubai. Here are the first few pictures appearing on the news wires of the scene there this morning as the conference gets under way.

Updated at 03.35 EST

14h ago01.49 EST

 

Damian Carrington  @whole address as attachent

 

 

Simon Stiell, the executive secretary of the UN climate convention, the international framework which governs Cop28, has given a call to arms to all nations as the summit begins:

This year’s climate conference comes as the crisis enters a new phase – and shows its full force, harming billions of people, and costing trillions. Now everyone is on the frontlines. No country is immune. xTh.3

Yet most governments are still taking baby steps, when bold strides are urgently needed. So, the problem is clear: business-as-usual is breaking our planet. At the Cop28 climate conference, leaders must get to work fixing it.

It’s great that over 160 world leaders are coming, but Cop28 cannot be just a photo-op. Leaders must deliver in Dubai – the message is clear.

They must agree to triple renewable energy this decade, and double energy efficiency. And Cop28 must show a clear agreement to leave fossil fuel dependency behind. Only renewable energy offers safe, affordable, secure energy, as well as far more jobs, stronger economic growth, less pollution and better health for people in every country.

Developing nations – who did least to cause the crisis – have been starved of climate justice and resilience for too long. Last year’s Cop in Egypt delivered an historic loss & damage fund. This year’s cop in the UAE must put meat on the bone of this fund. That means putting real money on the table. Table scraps won’t cut it.

In a fractured world, climate action is a chance to unite around a common cause: survival, justice, prosperity. In short – Divisions will destroy us. But solutions can save us. It’s time for us all to get to work.

·          

·          

Updated at 03.34 EST

14h ago01.37 EST

Guterres calls for complete 'phase-out' of fossil fuels

António Guterres, the UN secretary general, has said this year’s Cop climate talks should aim for a complete “phase-out” of fossil fuels, insisting of the 1.5C climate goal: “It is not dead, it’s alive.”

Speaking to French state-backed news agency AFP before embarking on his flight to attend the conference in Dubai, Guterres said:

Obviously I am strongly in favour of language that includes (a) phaseout, even with a reasonable time framework.

We have the potential, the technologies and the capacity and the money - because the money is available, it’s a question of making sure it goes into the right direction- to do what is necessary, not only to keep the 1.5 degrees alive, but alive and well.

The only thing that is still lacking is political will.

Scientists are increasingly warning the goal of restricting global warming to 1.5C above pre-industrial levels looks ever more unlikely, an outcome that nations have agreed would be disastrous for human civilisation.

Since the goal was agreed at the Paris climate talks in 2015, nations’ actions have fallen far short. Some countries have called for the final statement of Cop28, which requires unanimous agreement, to explicitly call for a reduction in fossil fuel consumption – which would be a historic first.

But Guterres went further, telling AFP a simple promise to reduce fossil fuels would not be enough. “I think it would be a pity if we would stay in a vague and noncommittal ‘phase-down’ whose real meaning would not be obvious for anybody,” he said.

·         @end attachment

·          

Updated at 03.26 EST

14h ago01.19 EST

So what is a conference of the parties? My colleague

@Attach Fiona Harvey, Guardian environment editor and a veteran of multiple Cops, has written a handy explainer, setting out what it is all about. She writes:

“For almost three decades, world governments have met nearly every year to forge a global response to the climate emergency. Under the 1992 UN framework convention on climate change (UNFCCC), every country is treaty-bound to “avoid dangerous climate change” and find ways to reduce greenhouse gas emissions globally in an equitable way. xTh.4

Cop stands for conference of the parties under the UNFCCC, and the annual meetings have swung between fractious and soporific, interspersed with moments of high drama and the occasional triumph (the Paris agreement in 2015) and disaster (Copenhagen in 2009). This year is the 28th iteration, and promises to be a difficult follow-up to last year, when developing countries celebrated victory on key issues of climate finance.

For more answers to your Cop28-related questions, including “Why do we need a Cop anyway?”, read more by clicking the link below.

What is Cop28 and why does it matter? Open and insert@

 

 

 

·          

·          

Updated at 03.24 EST

14h ago01.19 EST

Good morning! This is Damien Gayle, on the very first day of the 28th conference of parties climate change summit, or Cop28.

The Guardian will be live-blogging the negotiations throughout, as always, and we look forward to your contributions: please email me on damien.gayle@theguardian.com with thoughts and suggestions. Alan Evans (alan.evans@theguardian.com) will be taking over the blog later on.

Today, the first day of the conference, will be focused around the opening ceremony. Joe Biden and Xi Jinping will not be attending but other world leaders will be arriving today, including Rishi Sunak.

Negotiators are hoping to make strong progress this Cop, and Sultan Al Jaber, the president-designate of the summit, has told my colleague Fiona Harvey that an “unprecedented outcome” that would keep alive hopes of limiting global temperature rises to 1.5C is within reach.

But it is all still to play for. The US’s veteran climate negotiator, John Kerryspeaking to journalists in Dubai yesterday, said: “I feel confident that we will make progress [at Cop28]. The question is: how much progress?”

 

X@FRIDAY, DECEMBER 1ST  @q

@

Cop28

Cop28: Rishi Sunak says ‘climate politics is close to breaking point’ – as it happened

 

 Updated 6h ago

6h ago

End-of-day summary

7h ago

Starmer accuses Sunak of ‘retreating’ from climate leadership at Cop28

8h ago

Rishi Sunak: 'climate politics is close to breaking point'

9h ago

‘Planetary emergency’: droughts, the deadliest of disasters

9h ago

Brazil's Lula: 'it is not possible to face climate change without combating inequality'

10h ago

Ursula von der Leyen calls for world to follow EU with carbon pricing

10h ago

Leaders speeches begin with pleas on Palestine and Pacific islands

10h ago

Summary

13h ago

King's climate warnings 'meaningless' unless UK government acts, say climate action groups

13h ago

King Charles tells Cop28 summit 'our own survivability will be imperilled' unless we 'restore nature's economy'

15h ago

Rishi Sunak, King Charles and other world leaders fly in to Cop28

 

King Charles III and Rishi Sunak

Fri 1 Dec 2023 10.08 EST

From 8h ago

08.44 EST

Rishi Sunak: 'climate politics is close to breaking point'

Sunak has declared to Cop that he has watered down UK climate policies, potentially embarrassing the country on the world stage.

 

As other world leaders ask for more action to be taken on the climate emergency, the prime minister continued his environment rhetoric – which has been condemned as damaging by environment charities.  It will pt them out of business, like sf rent

 

“Climate politics is close to breaking point”, he said, adding that “the costs of inaction are intolerable but we have choices in how we act”.

 

Sunak said that net zero would only be delivered in a way that “benefits the British people”, adding that “we have scrapped plans on heat pumps and energy efficiency that would have cost people thousands of pounds”.

 

He also highlighted his new nature plan, which has been panned by critics.

 

Despite this, he did tell other countries that “the mounting science and evidence of climate related disasters prove we are not moving fast enough”, and added that “everyone can do more”.

 

He called on major emitters to cut faster and said “the UK is leading the charge”.

 

Updated at 09.58 EST

6h ago

10.08 EST

End-of-day summary

We are wrapping up the blog. Here is a refresh of a very busy day at the summit:

 

Keir Starmer, the UK opposition leader, has accused Rishi Sunak of “shrinking and retreating” from showcasing leadership on the global stage at Cop28 and over the climate crisis. Starmer added he he’d had a “lot of engagement” and many requests for bilateral meetings, “more requests than we can possible handle”. He added: “The prime minister said this morning we will be judged by our grandchildren not on what we said but what we did and what we didn’t do. And therefore, for the prime minister to reduce this down in the way that he does, the smallness of his politics is becoming a feature of his politics. We saw it with the Greek prime minister. We saw it with some of the lines that he was putting out about ‘eco zealots’ as he got on the plane to come here. This is not something to shrink from, not something to retreat from.”

Sunak declared to attenders of the summit that he had watered down climate policy in the UK, drawing anger from politicians and climate experts who said he had “misread the room”.

World leaders, particularly those from developing countries at the forefront of the climate crisis, called on large economies and emitters to take urgent action to reduce emissions and fund loss and damage.

A UN report found that droughts were a global emergency causing widespread famine, and that they were a silent, often ignored, killer.

Brazil’s president, Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, said it was not possible to tackle the climate crisis without also tackling inequality. He spoke of climate suffering in the Amazon, which was experiencing one of the “most tragic droughts in its history”, while cyclones in the south of Brazil had left a trail of “destruction and death”.

Greek people were excited that King Charles wore a Greek-motif tie and pocket square during his address to the conference – signalling – or so it has been interpreted – his support for the return to Athens of the Parthenon marbles after a row over the antiquities this week.

Speaking of the monarch, his speech was certainly more well-received than Sunak’s. Charles said alarming tipping points were being reached and that it was greatly worrying that the world was so far off track in tackling the climate crisis. “Unless we rapidly repair and restore nature’s economy based on harmony and balance, which is our ultimate sustainer, our own economy and survivability will be imperilled,” he added.

Updated at 10.28 EST

 

7h ago

09.59 EST

The leaders’ speeches are over and I am pretty certain Rishi Sunak is the only one to have used it as an opportunity to boast about domestic climate policy rollback. A less tone-deaf leader may have focused on the positive actions Britain has taken, and urge other countries to follow suit, rather than doubling down on our regressions. In my personal view, it is quite embarrassing and sets a bad example for other countries to follow. Why should poorer countries, which are bearing the brunt of our emissions that are causing extreme weather events, invest in decarbonising when the British prime minister will address Cop of all places to trumpet a retreat from net zero policies? It is a dangerous move to talk about the so-called costs of decarbonisation at a summit where each country is being asked to do its utmost to prevent climate catastrophe.

 

Below is a summary I wrote in September about Sunak’s net zero rollback to remind you of the policies we are referring to.

 

UK net zero policies: what has Sunak scrapped and what do changes mean?

Read more

Updated at 10.32 EST

7h ago

09.42 EST

Starmer accuses Sunak of ‘retreating’ from climate leadership at Cop28

Aletha Adu

Keir Starmer has accused Rishi Sunak of “shrinking and retreating” from showcasing leadership on the global stage at Cop28 and over the climate crisis.

 

This comes after Sunak’s tetchy press conference during which he boasted about UK plans to water down climate action.

 

Starmer made his comments on the first day of the Cop28 summit, which he attended with the shadow foreign secretary, David Lammy, and the shadow net zero secretary, Ed Miliband.

 

Starmer said he has had a “lot of engagement” and many requests for bilateral meetings, “more requests than we can possible handle.”

 

He added: “The prime minister said this morning we will be judged by our grandchildren not on what we said, but what we did and what we didn’t do.

 

“And therefore, for the prime minister to reduce this down in the way that he does, the smallness of his politics is becoming a feature of his politics. We saw it with the Greek prime minister. We saw it with some of the lines that he was putting out about ‘eco zealots’ as he got on the plane to come here. This is not something to shrink from, not something to retreat from.”

 

Starmer accuses Sunak of ‘retreating’ from climate leadership at Cop28

Read more

Updated at 09.51 EST

7h ago

09.34 EST

Ed Miliband, Labour’s shadow energy secretary, was not very impressed by Sunak’s remarks to the media in which he reiterated his plans to water down the UK’s domestic climate commitments.

 

He described Sunak’s stance on the crisis as a “failure”, explaining: “That was a complacent performance from a prime minister in denial about the energy bills crisis at home, and the weakening of the United Kingdom’s standing abroad in his time in office.

 

“Working people are paying the price for Rishi Sunak’s climate failure, in the form of higher bills, and in the awful costs this leaves our children and grandchildren. His approach, criticised today by a former Tory prime minister, is undermining Britain’s energy security.

 

“Only Labour can deliver the climate leadership that Britain needs, to cut energy bills for families, make the UK energy independent, and protect the planet.”

 

 

Updated at 10.36 EST

 

7h ago

09.30 EST

UK prime minister Rishi Sunak is on stage at the world leader’s speeches. He said “climate science shows we are off track” and that credibility is being undermined by “climate politics”. This phrase appears to mean, judging by his press conference earlier, criticising him for his net zero rollback.

Sunak criticised the divide between “lofty rhetoric on stages like this” and what happened on the ground. He pointed out that the UK had “decarbonised faster than any other major economy”.

 

The prime minister again boasted on the world stage that he was “taking a new approach” to net zero and watering down commitments.

 

He outlined the £1.6bn fund announced today, which will include loss and damage funding as well as support for forests, and said the UK was a leading green finance centre.

 

Sunak added: “I believe we can deliver here in Dubai but we’ve got to work together.”

 

The UK PM will not be around to work on the climate negotiations, however, as he is soon due to board his private jet and return to the UK after spending only eight hours in Dubai.

 

He also said “the debate is too divided”, which may surprise the climate experts he has repeatedly labelled as “zealots” in recent days.

 

Updated at 10.36 EST

7h ago

09.23 EST

Bibi van der Zee

Here are some further extracts from the leaders’ speeches:

 

The prime minister of Japan, Fumio Kishida, welcomed the summit’s plans to conclude the first ever global stocktake but the world is not yet on pathway to 1.5C. He outlined the country’s financial and energy transition plans, including a goal to make renewable energy its main source of power – Japan is apparently the world’s third largest market for solar power.

Abiy Ahmed, president of Ethiopia, said his country had planted 32.5bn seedlings and was turning a desert into a biodiverse paradise. He said his country is planting climate resilient plants, and produced 6m hectares of wheat in one year. He said “this has relieved us from decades of import dependency” and that they had for the first time become a wheat exporter.

 

Pedro Sánchez, president of Spain, said we need to have a “polluter pays” principle, where polluters pay for the destruction they cause.

 

It was pretty difficult for the Dutch prime minister, Mark Rutte, to commit to anything very significant as he has already stepped down as prime minister and his appearance follows a divisive and angry election in the tiny but wealthy country. He contented himself with an exhortation to action, particularly on behalf of the young people around the world, and an acknowledgment that the decarbonisation in the Netherlands has been tricky. “It is a painstaking process but it can be done.” It remains to be seen what the government that succeeds him – still taking shape after the far-right politician Geert Wilders won an unprecedented percentage of the vote – will want to do on this topic.

 

Updated at 09.54 EST

 

7h ago

09.13 EST

Unsurprisingly, climate experts are not impressed by Sunak’s decision to use Cop as an excuse to boast about the UK’s back sliding on climate goals.

 

Tessa Khan, executive director at Uplift, an organisation campaigning for a fossil fuel free UK said: “The prime minister has completely misread the room. While the head of the UN implores countries to urgently phase out fossil fuels, the UK is one of just a handful of wealthy nations that is continuing to greenlight major new oilfields.

 

“Rishi Sunak’s disinterest in tackling the climate crisis plays badly with voters at home, but to play dumb at Cop and ignore the UK’s role in literally adding fuel to the fire, for example by approving the massive Rosebank oilfield, is diplomatically embarrassing.”

 

Updated at 09.54 EST

8h ago

09.02 EST

Bibi van der Zee

Here are some more updates from the world leaders.

 

Nikos Christodoulides, president of Cyprus, told the summit that his country was experiencing the effects of climate change – wildfires, floods, and extreme heatwaves which have destroyed large parts of their forests and had a devastating effect on livelihoods. The eastern Mediterranean and Middle East climate change initiative was working on a coordinated response across the region. “Let us come together to build resilient and green businesses and communities of the future.”

 

Vahagn Khachaturyan, president of Armenia, said it was clear we cannot continue down the route of using predominantly hydrocarbons for energy. He said we need to “phase down” fossil fuels – he didn’t say he wanted to phase them out.

 

Emmanuel Macron, president of France, went well over his allotted time, delivering a long and comprehensive analysis of the many changes that need to be made to international structures so that action on climate change can be optimised. His speech focused on routes to decarbonisation around the world and pointed out the dysfunction of the investment systems that run them. He called for a complete U-turn on the subject of coal, with the G7 countries must set the example and commit to putting an end to coal. “France will close all plants by 2027,” he promised and the richest countries must help developing countries to phase out coal.  @India?

 

He said the world must also stop subsidising new coal power plants and must change rules when it comes to private financing: “The private sector has no disincentive, and our investment systems are dysfunctional.”

 

He wanted to see the World Trade Organization redraw its trade rules to allow countries to subsidise green industries and place a tariff on coal.

 

Updated at 09.56 EST

 

8h ago

08.52 EST

Asked by the Telegraph about the leaders of the world’s two largest emitters, China and US not attending the Cop, UK prime minister, Rishi Sunak, focused on the UK’s emissions.

 

“The UK accounts for less than 1% of global emissions. We have to acknowledge in reality that what we do isn’t going to be the difference in terms of our emissions.”  @excuse

 

However, many argue that the UK needs to lead by example as a wealthy, developed country which has historically been one of the world’s largest emitters.

 

Sunak reiterated net zero needs to be “pragmatic and proportionate” because “we only account for less than 1% of emissions”.

 

Asked about his meeting with Tony Blair, Sunak said “it was nice to see Tony Blair”.

 

Asked by Politico why he is spending more time on a private jet than at Cop, which he is only going to be at for a matter of hours, he said it is not about the amount of time spent but the impact made.

 

He said he had very useful meetings with people about a “very significant reform of the global financial system that needs to happen”.

 

Sunak said: “I feel very good that it’s been a very productive day.”

 

Updated at 09.57 EST

8h ago

08.48 EST

Now some questions to Sunak from journalists. He was asked by the BBC if he was saying the UK has “already done its bit” and the onus was on other more emitting countries.

 

He replied that the UK has more ambitious targets than other countries, adding: “We are on track to deliver all these targets, we have carbon budgets that we have met and we are on track to meet the next one as well. With all the announcements I made earlier, we are still on track to meet these carbon targets.”

Sky asked him whether other world leaders had raised concerns about the net zero rollback. Sunak says: “Hand on heart, 100% no. Not a single leader I have spoken to today has, because our targets are more ambitious than theirs.”

 

He added that other countries are “hugely appreciative” of his work and the UK.

 

Defending himself, he added: “I shift a date to be in line with almost every other country and it’s treated like it’s a rather extreme measure.”

 

Updated at 09.57 EST

 

8h ago

08.44 EST

Rishi Sunak: 'climate politics is close to breaking point'

Sunak has declared to Cop that he has watered down UK climate policies, potentially embarrassing the country on the world stage.

 

As other world leaders ask for more action to be taken on the climate emergency, the prime minister continued his environment rhetoric – which has been condemned as damaging by environment charities.

 

“Climate politics is close to breaking point”, he said, adding that “the costs of inaction are intolerable but we have choices in how we act”.

 

Sunak said that net zero would only be delivered in a way that “benefits the British people”, adding that “we have scrapped plans on heat pumps and energy efficiency that would have cost people thousands of pounds”.

 

He also highlighted his new nature plan, which has been panned by critics.

 

Despite this, he did tell other countries that “the mounting science and evidence of climate related disasters prove we are not moving fast enough”, and added that “everyone can do more”.

 

He called on major emitters to cut faster and said “the UK is leading the charge”.

 

8h ago

08.11 EST

Here are some more highlights from the leaders’ speeches, by Bibi van der Zee and I.

 

Wavel John Charles Ramkalawan, president of the Seychelles, said he was disheartened that so many financial commitments on climate change were yet to be fulfilled despite the urgency of the crisis.

 

“Small island developing states are on the frontline of climate change,” he told the summit. They urgently need money to deal with the coastal erosion they are seeing. “We made history by operationalising the loss and damage fund on the first day of this Cop … It is vital that this fund is equitable and genuinely helpful.” The Seychelles is an environmental champion which already protects 32% of its marine land, but it is categorised as a high-income country, and Ramkalawan is extremely concerned that this will affect their ability to access LAD funding.

Turkey’s Recep Tayyip Erdoğan was another leader who made comparisons between the war in Gaza and the climate crisis. He said: “Turkey has stood by peace during all these crises and works towards finding solutions on the basis of equity. We approach the issue of climate change from the same perspective.” He pointed out that Turkey is the second in Europe and ninth in the world for hydro energy. He said despite the devastating earthquake in February they are managing to keep on track for their goals and are “healing the wounds” of the disaster while building “climate and environment friendly” structures.

 

Zuzana Čaputová, president of Slovakia, asked the summit: “How much more do we want to harm future generations?” Her country’s emissions have peaked already, and are 55% lower than they were in 1980. They plan to use 5% of GDP from public sources to decarbonise their country and by the end of this year will stop using coal to generate electricity.

 

Updated at 08.27 EST

@ began compiling leaders by country in copleaders

9h ago

07.55 EST

Patrick Greenfield

Steven Guilbeault, Canada’s environment minister, has said the loss and damage fund should help rebuild trust between the global north and south after years of tense negotiations.

 

Earlier today, Canada committed US$11.8m to the new fund, which will be housed within the World Bank. Guilbeault also said his country was happy to support language on reducing fossil fuels that was consistent with Canada’s 2050 carbon neutrality target.

 

“It is significant. For 30 years, we made absolutely no progress on loss and damage. We went from nothing about a year ago to a fund and countries pledging money today. I think for the global south, this is a very significant issue. Between that and the $100bn dollar goal, I think these are very important elements that will help restore trust. Trust is the fuel of this process. I think it bodes well for the next two weeks,” he said.

 

 “It’s not a recognition that we are willing to take on liability from the results of climate change. But as large emitters, we have a role to play. We have a greater role to play in supporting the global south.”

 

When asked whether Canada supports language to phase out all fossil fuels, a key point of contention at the Cop28 summit, Guilbeault said his country was open to different forms of language in the final text and underscored that fossil fuel production would have to drop.

 

“We support language that’s aligned with our commitment to be carbon neutral by 2050. Whether you want to call it phasing out unabated fossil fuels or say it in a different way. Some people would like us to say we want to phase out all fossil fuels but even the IPCC and the IEA still say in a 2050 carbon neutral world that we will still be using fossil fuels,” he said.

 

“I don’t know how realistic it is to say we will phase them all out but what’s important is that we radically reduce our dependence on fossil fuels. And for those that we are using, we need to capture and sequester the emissions. We don’t have a choice. But we need to see significant emission reduction from the oil and gas centre. We can’t do that through abatement technology. There is going to be a reduction in production,” he said.

 

Updated at 08.59 EST

9h ago

07.50 EST

Veteran climate reporter Roger Harrabin, who used to work for the BBC and is now freelance – sometimes writing for the Guardian – points out that only political journalists, not environmental specialists, have been allowed into an event with Rishi Sunak. Harrabin says he was “kicked out”.

 

 

We have a brilliant reporter in there and will bring you the news from his press conference, but it is true that this government often hides from scrutiny and one of the ways it does that is by barring specialist (critical@) reporters from its briefings.

 

Our environment editor, Fiona Harvey, has also reported troubles in accessing press conferences at the summit.

 

 

Updated at 08.32 EST

 

9h ago

07.45 EST

The leader’s speeches continue. Here are some updates from myself and one of my editors, Bibi van der Zee, who is also listening in.

 

Santiago Peña, president of Paraguay, said: “In my country of Paraguay all energy is clean and renewable. Yes you heard that, it is all clean and renewable.”

 

He’s right – the Itaipu Dam, located on the Paraná River, is one of the largest hydroelectric power plants in the world and generates about 95% of Paraguay’s electricity, all of which comes from renewable sources.

 

He also pointed out that 44% of their land surface is forest, and asked China to allow Taiwan to be included in the Cop process – the small country is currently barred at the instruction of the Chinese government.

 

Kassym-Jomart Tokayev, the president of Kazakhstan, has pledged to join the global methane pledge. He says there is extraordinary potential for wind and solar in his country – a key oil exporter - and also points out that Kazakhstan is poised to become a major source of rare earth minerals. Tokayev is planning to convene a regional climate summit in 2024 under UN auspices.

 

President of Serbia, Aleksandar Vučić, said that temperatures in his country have increased by 1.8C already. Serbians experienced uncomfortable “tropical nights” over 20C degrees celcius for the first time this October, which he said was “unprecedented for the region”.

 

Abdul Latif Rashid, president of Iraq, drew on the history of the region, pointing out that his predecessors in Mesopotamia, 4,500 years ago, drew up the first agreement for sharing water resources, and warned the summit that the famous rivers of Iraq were now under threat from drought linked to climate change. “The drought in the south of Iraq, the record level temperatures, desertification, and sand storms have led to economic challenges that resulted in a larger level of poverty and internal displacement.” He urged the gulf countries to act as a unified bloc, and condemned the aggressive attack on Gaza.

 

Updated at 08.43 EST

9h ago

07.36 EST

‘Planetary emergency’: droughts, the deadliest of disasters

Damian Carrington

Droughts supercharged by global heating are “an unprecedented emergency on a planetary scale”, according to a UN report released on Friday at Cop28, leading to food shortages and famine.

 

While other climate impacts such as heatwaves, wildfires and floods often hit the headlines, droughts are often silent disasters, the report said, and “the massive impacts of human-induced droughts are only starting to unfold”.

 

The report is from the UN Convention to Combat Desertification (UNCCD), which is an international agreement on good land stewardship. It says “few if any hazards claim more lives, causes more economic loss and affects more sectors of societies than drought”.

 

Ibrahim Thiaw, UNCCD executive secretary, said: “Unlike other disasters, droughts happen silently, often going unnoticed and failing to provoke an immediate public and political response. This silent devastation perpetuates a cycle of neglect, leaving affected populations to bear the burden in isolation.”

 

“With the frequency and severity of drought events increasing, as reservoir levels dwindle and crop yields decline, as we continue to lose biological diversity and famines spread, transformational change is needed,” he said.

 

Extreme droughts that have wrecked the lives of millions of people in Syria, Iraq and Iran since 2020 would not have happened without human-caused global heating, a recent study found. The climate crisis also made the record drought across the northern hemisphere in summer 2022 at least 20 times more likely, scientists have calculated. Without human-caused global heating, the event would have been expected only once every four centuries.

 

“Several countries already experience climate-change-induced famine,” said the UNCD report. “Forced migration surges globally; violent water conflicts are on the rise; the ecological base that enables all life on Earth is eroding more quickly than at any time in known human history.”

 

The report cited a string of scientific findings:

 

120 million people are people expected to experience extreme drought even if global temperatures are restricted to 1.5C. Current policies are on track for 3C of heating, meaning extreme drought for 170 million people

In China, 15-20% of the population face more frequent moderate-to-severe droughts this century

1.2 million people in the Central American dry corridor are in need of food aid after five years of drought, heatwaves and unpredictable rainfall the drought in the La Plata basin of Brazil and Argentina in 2022 was the worst in 78 years, reducing crop production and affecting global markets

The report notes that those who have done the least to cause the climate crisis are most exposed: 85% of those affected by droughts live in low- or middle-income countries.

 

The report said better farming techniques, such as drought-resistant crops, efficient irrigation methods, no-till farming, can reduce the impact of drought on farmers’ crops and incomes. The International Drought Resilience Alliance, which was launched at Cop27, by the leaders of Spain and Senegal at Cop27, is creating political momentum and mobilising money and technology for a drought-resilient future and now has 34 member nations.

 

Updated at 08.47 EST

 

9h ago

07.27 EST

Brazil's Lula: 'it is not possible to face climate change without combating inequality'

Jonathan Watts

The President of Brazil, Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, said his country was leading by example: “We have adjusted our climate goals, which are now more ambitious than those of many developed countries. We have drastically reduced deforestation in the Amazon and will bring it to zero by 2030,” he said.

 

Lula, as he is best known, called for developed countries to invest more to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and to support developing nations who are suffering from climate impacts.

 

“The planet is fed up with unfulfilled climate agreements. Governments cannot escape their responsibilities. No country will solve its problems alone. We are all obliged to act together beyond our borders”, he argued.

 

He told delegates that the trillions of dollars spent on weapons should be used against hunger, inequality and climate change: “The world has naturalised unacceptable disparities in income, gender and race and that it is not possible to face climate change without combating inequality.”

 

He spoke of climate suffering in the Amazon, which is experiencing one of the “most tragic droughts in its history” while cyclones in the south of Brazil have left a trail “of destruction and death”.

 

Although his energy minister announced yesterday that Brazil will align more closely with the world’s biggest oil syndicate, Opec, Lula said it was necessary to “work for an economy less dependent on fossil fuels.”

 

As an aside, we have reported on this inequality in our series The Great Carbon Divide.

 

Updated at 08.51 EST

9h ago

07.10 EST

Helena Smith

Helena Smith

A royal observation that may have gone unnoticed but over in Greece is causing waves of excitement.

 

King Charles’s address has been well received in Athens and not only for his dramatic call for climate action to save the planet for future generations. The Greek media has noted with a touch of euphoria that the British monarch was donning a Greek-motif tie and breast pocket handkerchief – signalling (or so it has been interpreted) his support for the return to Athens of the Parthenon marbles in the wake of this week’s row over the antiquities.

 

King Charles III makes his opening address at the World Climate Action Summit at Cop28 in Dubai

Charles, who regularly holidays in Greece, the country of his father’s birth, has frequently spoken of his great love and passion for all things Hellenic. The king cannot publicly take a stance in the centuries-long row over whether the 2,500-year-old sculptures are better exhibited in the Duveen gallery of the British Museum or the Parthenon gallery of the Acropolis Museum beneath the fifth-century BC temple but in this instance his sartorial choice, say Greeks, appears a little more than symbolic.

 

Updated at 08.49 EST

 

9h ago

07.06 EST

World leaders are using their Cop speeches to push other political points.

 

Gitanas Nausėda, president of Lithuania, said the Russian president, Vladimir Putin, has committed “ecocide” in his war against Ukraine and should not be about to get away with it.

 

Emmerson Mnangagwa, the president of Zimbabwe, said “economic sanctions placed on our country are hindering climate action”. He demanded the lifting of what he described as the “heinous sanctions”. These sanctions were put in place by the US, UK and EU in 2022 because of human rights violations such as murdering protesters, and not respecting democracy and the rule of law.

 

Updated at 08.50 EST

10h ago

06.54 EST

Ursula von der Leyen calls for world to follow EU with carbon pricing

Ursula von der Leyen, president of the European Commission, had a focus on “loss and damage” in her speech. She said:

 

At this Cop we will set a decisive step forward to protect the most vulnerable citizens worldwide. They suffer loss and damage and we will stand by their side.

 

She added: “Global emissions must peak by 2025, we must phase out fossil fuels and we must reduce methane emissions”

 

Von der Leyen said the EU would contribute to the new loss and damage fund, and that they’ve pledged more than £270m so far. “We must get the fund up and running and we must do it fast,” she added.

 

In terms of private finance, she said: “We need to reform the international financial system, we need more carbon pricing.”

 

Updated at 06.58 EST

10h ago

06.49 EST

William Ruto, the president of Kenya, said that his region was already facing the horrific effects of climate breakdown.

 

“In eastern Africa, catastrophic flooding has followed the most severe drought the region has seen in over 40 years,” he said, adding that studies indicated droughts were now more than 100 times more likely in parts of Africa than in the pre-industrial era.

 

The extreme weather this year has “seized lives and destroyed communities” as well as destroying infrastructure and supply chains.

 

He added that the world needs to invest in green energy and other infrastructure in Africa. “A tendency to ignore Africa’s developmental and industrial needs … is no longer a tenable position. Turning Africa into a green powerhouse is not just essential for the continent, it is also vital for global industrialisation, decarbonisation.”

 

10h ago

06.37 EST

David Cameron, the recently appointed UK foreign secretary (and former prime minister) seems to be enjoying himself at Cop, shaking hands and beaming his way around the conference centre. Our environment editor, Fiona Harvey, is, as we write, sitting just behind him at a press conference and we will find out from her what he has to say very soon. For now, enjoy these pictures of a very happy Cameron. He seems delighted to be out of his shed and back on the world stage.

 

 

 

Updated at 07.04 EST

 

10h ago

06.32 EST

Nina Lakhani

It’s now been confirmed that more than 130 prime ministers and presidents today signed the Cop28 UAE Declaration on Sustainable Agriculture, Resilient Food Systems, and Climate Action – the first of its kind commitment to adapt and “transform” food systems as part of broader climate action. But, the International Panel of Experts on Sustainable Food Systems (Ipes-Food), an independent, expert panel on sustainable food systems, points out that the declaration contains no legally binding commitments. And there are no targets or clear steps to tackle key climate-related issues such as the crazy amount of food waste in some countries, the overconsumption of industrially produced meat and processed foods, and the food industry’s huge fossil fuel footprint.

 

Lim Li Ching, co-chair of Ipes-Food and senior researcher for Third World Network said: “It’s encouraging to see that food systems are finally taking their place at the heart of climate negotiations and at the highest levels of government. We cannot meet our global climate goals without urgent action to transform the industrial food system, which is responsible for one-third of greenhouse gas emissions and 15% of fossil fuel use. But while this is an essential first step, the language remains very vague – and specific actions and measurable targets are conspicuously missing.”

 

Updated at 07.10 EST

10h ago

06.21 EST

Patrick Greenfield

Zambia’s president, Hakainde Hichilema, has hit back at suggestions that a wave of carbon offsetting deals in African countries by a UAE sheikh, which include his country, are a new “scramble for Africa”.

 

Speaking after an EU event on carbon markets alongside Ursula von der Leyen, the Spanish prime minister, Pedro Sánchez, and the heads of the World Trade Organization (WTO), World Bank and International Monetary Fund (IMF), Hichilema said his country lacked expertise on developing carbon projects and needed international organisations to help.

 

This year, the rights over vast tracts of African forest have been sold off in a series of huge carbon offsetting deals that cover an area of land larger than the UK to a UAE-based firm called Blue Carbon, with concerns raised about the previous business dealings of the young Dubai royal behind the agreements.

 

When asked about the secretive Blue Carbon deals, Hichilema said they would benefit local people.

 

“It shouldn’t be [a scramble for Africa’s resources]. When someone comes to our country and brings an idea around carbon, we say that we don’t understand how to work through this. That is why we have asked the World Bank, the IMF, the WTO, the African Development Bank to put the technical capacity together, learning from what the countries of the north have done,” he said.

 

 

In a speech that lacked specifics, Ursula von der Leyen has said carbon markets and taxation were important for global decarbonisation, including voluntary carbon markets which have been beset by accusations of poor quality by scientific research and journalistic investigations.

 

The new World Bank president, Ajay Banga, said his organisations would soon be presenting high-quality forestry projects in three countries that, he hoped, would help assuage concerns about lack of environmental integrity in forest carbon projects.

 

Updated at 07.21 EST

 

10h ago

06.14 EST

Leaders speeches begin with pleas on Palestine and Pacific islands  @F.1

Hello, Helena Horton here, an environment reporter here at the Guardian and I’ll be blogging throughout the rest of the day. The leaders have started speaking. Here are a few highlights.

 

We are starting with some monarchs – the UK’s King Charles spoke earlier.

 

Abdullah II bin Al-Hussein, the king of Jordan linked the climate emergency to the war happening in Gaza. He said:

 

“As we speak the Palestinian people are facing an immediate threat to their lives and well being. Tens of thousands have been injured or killed in a region already on the frontline of climate change. The massive destruction of water makes the environmental threats of water scarcity and food insecurity more severe.”

 

He added that people there are living without clean water and with a bare minimum of food supplies and points out that climate change exacerbates the destructive nature of war.

 

The monarch asked for more aid to be sent to the most vulnerable and pointed out that Jordan does not contribute significantly to climate breakdown but is greatly affected, with water scarcity a real threat.

 

Tupou VI, the King of Tonga said it was “painful” for small developing island states to see that Cop28 “may not be the milestone moment we were all hoping for” and that progress on the Paris agreement had been far too slow.

 

Every year, we hear anguished pleas from those representing small island states who are literally sinking under the water due to climate breakdown. Unsurprisingly they have felt ignored as large, wealthy countries continue to belch out fossil fuels. Tupou said that over 50,000 Pacific island people were displaced every year as their homes are lost as a result of climate breakdown. He told the conference: “We are ocean people, the ocean is our lifeblood, it feeds us, is our mode of transportation and is a deep part of our culture.”

 

Updated at 06.24 EST

11h ago

06.03 EST

Summary

It has been a busy morning with big name politicians from around the globe arriving for day two of Cop28.

 

 King Charles addressed delegates telling them “I pray with all my heart that Cop28 will be [a] critical turning point towards genuine transformational action.”

 

 The UK prime minister, Rishi Sunak, arrived for a flying visit but his decision to push ahead with new oil and gas drilling in the North Sea and rowing back on key climate measures has not got down well.

 

 A new declaration on transforming food systems has been agreed, the first Cop resolution which directly tackles the relationship between what we eat and the changing climate.  (see below)

 

 Kamala Harris, the US vice-president, was due to arrive with a cadre of administration officials, including Tony Blinken, the US secretary of state, and Michael Regan, administrator of the EPA.

 

My colleague Helena Horton is taking over the blog now as leaders begin their addresses to conference

 

Updated at 06.27 EST

11h ago

05.50 EST  attachment – merge with 2 below

A new declaration on transforming food systems has been agreed, the first Cop resolution which directly tackles the relationship between what we eat and the changing climate.

 

 

 

Some reaction to the new declaration on food that my colleague Nina Lakhani reported on earlier.

 

Tom Mitchell, executive director of the International Institute for Environment and Development, said:

 

“This agreement is a tentative first step in addressing one of the thorniest problems of the climate crisis – our broken food systems. They are responsible for so many greenhouse gas emissions, from cutting down forests and clearing land for animal feed, to the emissions of cattle themselves. It’s staggering there has been no obligation to include this sector in emissions reductions plans for so long.

 

“Government subsidies have long supported the polluting effects of large scale agriculture, acting as a hidden brake on climate action. These payments should be redirected in a way that means people and nature can thrive.”  @burger taxes?  Cannibalism?

 

Patty Fong, from the Global Alliance for the Future of Food, said:

 

“The declaration doesn’t set out how governments will tackle food emissions, and makes no reference to fossil fuels, despite food systems accounting for at least 15% of fossil fuels burned each year –equivalent to the emissions of all EU countries and Russia combined. This is a glaring omission.

 

“However, the commitment to integrate food and farming into domestic climate action plans is welcome and long overdue. Over 70% of countries’ nationally determined contributions lack adequate action on food systems – updating them is where there is real potential to tackle emissions and unlock climate finance.

 

“Our more than two dozen philanthropic members and other partners around the world are working to catalyse much-needed food system transformation that can help to phase out dependency on polluting fossil fuels in the sector while improving health, community wellbeing, and biodiversity.”

 

Updated at 06.28 EST

 

 

12h ago

05.04 EST @gender

A quick analysis shows that while women and girls bear the brunt of the climate crisis, only 15 out of the 133 world leaders participating in this year’s Cop28 are women.

 

Last year, seven out of the 110 world leaders attending Cop27 were women. So although there has been a welcome increase since last year, at 11%, women are still significantly underrepresented.

 

Helen Pankhurst, senior adviser on gender equality at Care International UK said: “Yet again, the red carpet is being rolled out for male leaders at Cop and men dominate among the senior negotiators. How are we going to achieve a fair outcome in climate negotiations with such inequity at the top? Women and girls are the most affected by climate change, yet they are silenced. Invisible. This must change.”

 

Updated at 05.19 EST

12h ago  ATTACHMENT @ (FOOD, BAD COP)

04.53 EST

More from Nina Lakhani on the new food declaration

 

While far from perfect, the groundbreaking declaration was widely welcomed by small-scale and Indigenous farmers – who produce a third of the world’s food – as well as right to food campaigners, consumer associations and small business groups.

 

“The destruction of nature and climate change threatens food security, rural livelihoods and nutrition, but our food systems also cause a third of global emissions and are a primary driver of wildlife loss. It’s about time the Cops put them on the main menu,” said Hilal Elver, a former UN special rapporteur on the right to food. “Food and agriculture must be at the heart of new climate plans and funding if we are to meet the Paris agreement and have enough nutritious food for everyone.”

 

Esther Penunia, secretary-general of the Asian Farmers’ Association for Sustainable Development, a regional alliance representing 13 million family farmers, said: “The declaration is a major milestone on the road towards a more resilient and sustainable food system. Governments need to work with family farmers networks to ensure these promises are translated into the concrete policies and funding needed to support small-scale producers and promote a shift to more diverse and nature friendly farming, which the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change says is needed to safeguard food security.”

 

Other commitments include a pledge to accelerate and scale science and evidence-based innovations – including local and Indigenous knowledge – which increase sustainable agriculture, promote ecosystem resilience and improve livelihoods, including for rural communities, smallholders, family farmers and other producers.

 

It’s been a long time coming but finally, world leaders seem to be catching on to the fact that achieving the long-term goals of the Paris agreement will be impossible without transforming agriculture and food systems. Progress on this is a key area to watch, especially given the power and influence of the meat, dairy and industrialized farming conglomerates.

 

Updated at 05.22 EST

12h ago

04.50 EST

Nina Lakhani

World leaders have signed a declaration on transforming food systems – the first ever Cop resolution which directly tackles the symbiotic relationship between what we eat and the changing climate. The resolution recognises that “unprecedented adverse climate impacts are increasingly threatening the resilience of agriculture and food systems as well as the ability of many, especially the most vulnerable, to produce and access food in the face of mounting hunger, malnutrition, and economic stresses … [we recognise] the profound potential of agriculture and food systems to drive powerful and innovative responses to climate change and to unlock  d prosperity for all.”

 

The 100+ countries to sign the declaration on sustainable agriculture, resilient food systems and climate action have committed to including food and land use in their nationally determined contributions (NDCs) and national adaptation plans by Cop30 in 2025.

 

Globally, food systems account for about one-third of all greenhouse gas emissions, with the vast majority coming from industrialised farming, particularly livestock and fertilisers. The climate crisis is already impacting agriculture and food security, as extreme weather events like floods, droughts, heatwaves and wildfires – and slow-onset impacts like sea level rise and desertification – fuel high prices and food shortages in countries across the world.  @bad cop, no donuts

 

 

12h ago

04.43 EST

As the Cop28 conference continues, a new study underlines the growing severity of the fossil fuel driven climate emergency.

 

Research by the short-term climate prediction team at the Institute of Atmospheric Physics from the Chinese Academy of Sciences, finds that after the warmest summer on record we could be heading for a similarly abnormal winter.

 

Published in the journal Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, the study predicts the “imminent maturity of a moderate to strong eastern Pacific El Niño” during the northern hemisphere winter, creating more record-breaking temperatures in the coming months. It notes that large parts of Asia and most parts of the Americas are likely to experience an exceptionally warm winter – and gives a 95% chance that the global average surface temperature for the 2023-24 winter will set a new historical record.

 

Updated at 05.27 EST

 

12h ago

04.33 EST

Oliver Milman

Oliver Milman

Kamala Harris, the US vice-president, arrives in Dubai today with a cadre of administration officials, including Tony Blinken, the US secretary of state, and Michael Regan, administrator of the EPA.

 

Harris will “highlight the administration’s historic achievements” in combating the climate crisis when she addresses Cop28 tomorrow, according to a US state department official. A new US rule limiting methane emissions is expected to be unveiled tomorrow, to chime with the visit.

 

Other developments have been less flattering for the Americans, however. Joe Biden himself is skipping Cop28 (he took part in the essential business of lighting the White House Christmas tree yesterday) and his administration is auctioning off large tracts of public land for oil and gas drilling during the summit.

 

At Cop, the pledge made by the US, the world’s leading economy, to the loss and damage fund was just $17.5m (£13.8m), a figure described as “embarrassing” by climate campaigners. A group of Republican lawmakers are making the trip to Dubai, meanwhile, where they will push a contrary message – that Biden is waging a war on American energy and that China is being let off too easily in emissions cuts.

 

Updated at 05.28 EST

12h ago

04.11 EST

Helena Horton

Helena Horton

One may think former prime minister Boris Johnson would have relished the chance to make an appearance at Cop. Last year he was widely credited with forcing Rishi Sunak, who had just become prime minister, into going by announcing his appearance. You’ll remember Sunak banned the king from going and planned on skipping it himself, before U-turning.

 

However, friends of Johnson tell us he isn’t going this year, despite registering and hoping to, because of the timings for the Covid inquiry. He’s due to appear next week and is going over his evidence to prepare for what are likely be some gruelling days of interrogation.

 

He would probably much prefer addressing international groups at Cop, where he is quite well-respected because of his enthusiastic hosting of Cop26, where pledges for international finance and halting deforestation were made, and for his public pronouncements on the climate crisis (which did not always match with his policy). Johnson, who is still said to partly blame Sunak for his downfall, would also probably have enjoyed usurping the prime minister’s appearance, particularly as Sunak’s standing on climate has arguably diminished even since last year, what with his net zero rollback, frequent use of private jets and descriptions of climate experts as “zealots”.

 

12h ago

04.08 EST

My colleague Damian Carrington is picking up more frustration with the UK’s stance on climate action under Sunak.

 

A British veteran of UN climate talks has told me: “It doesn’t matter what Sunak says today.” He said the delegates at Cop28 told him they have seen what the prime minister has done at home: pushed new oil and gas licences and delayed measures on electric cars and home heating. “We used to be a climate leader. Now we are going backwards.”

 

13h ago

04.05 EST  to attach?@

Nina Lakhani

It’s a big day for food and agriculture at Cop28, with the first ever major statement by world leaders on food and climate expected this afternoon, with more than a hundred countries expected to commit to transforming their food and agricultural systems. The fact that it’s taken so long for a Cop commitment on food is remarkable given that industrialized agriculture and food systems are both a cause and casualty of global heating – and could also play a major role in mitigation.

 

Like everything at Cop, the expected commitment seems to have been watered down a fair bit, but overall small scale farmers, Indigenous groups and right to food campaigners seem quite positive about what’s to come. Stay tuned for more details.

 

Updated at 04.25 EST

 

13h ago

04.03 EST

Downing Street has also been forced to defend the decision for Sunak, King Charles and the foreign secretary, David Cameron, to all fly to the climate conference on three separate private jets.

 

A No 10 spokesperson said: “It is in line with the government’s position that we are not anti-flying. We do not seek to restrict the public from doing so and it’s important the UK has strong attendance at Cop28 given we continue to be a world leader in tackling climate change.”

 

Updated at 04.26 EST

13h ago

03.55 EST

King's climate warnings 'meaningless' unless UK government acts, say climate action groups

Reaction to King Charles’s speech is already coming in and it is mainly taking aim at Rishi Sunak’s record on climate.

 

Izzie McIntosh, from Global Justice Now said: “King Charles’s dire warnings are meaningless unless the UK government backs them up with actions. Instead, Rishi Sunak has been rolling back net zero plans, expanding North Sea oil and gas, and is now fiddling the figures on climate finance. Rich polluting countries saying the right thing while doing the wrong thing has become all too familiar over 30 years of climate summits – the only difference this time is that in Charles and Rishi it’s a deceitful double act.”

 

Zahra Hdidou, from ActionAid UK said:

 

“We welcome King Charles’s keynote speech at Cop and his continued dedication towards climate action … The irony should not be lost that the king is flanked at the summit by two men who remain committed to climate wrecking policies. On one side we have a prime minister who has gone on record as saying he wants to “max out” North Sea oil and gas – and stands accused by former colleagues as being ‘uninterested’ in environmental policies. And on the other side, the king is joined by a foreign secretary who swiftly abandoned his own promise to lead the greenest government on record just three years after being elected in 2010.”

 

Updated at 05.21 EST

13h ago

03.44 EST  attach @text?

King Charles said the world was facing a dark choice and asks how dangerous are we prepared to make it for future generations.

 

He said humans were carrying out a vast, frightening experiment, changing every ecological condition, all at once, at a pace that far outstrips nature’s ability to cope.

 

The conference was an unmissable opportunity to keep common hope alive, he said. “I can only urge you to meet it with ambition, imagination, and a true sense of the emergency we face.”

 

He said delegates should remember what the indigenous world view taught us “that we are all connected. Not only as human beings, but with all living things and all that sustains life … The earth does not belong to us, we belong to the Earth.”

 

Updated at 03.54 EST

 

13h ago

03.35 EST

King Charles tells Cop28 summit 'our own survivability will be imperilled' unless we 'restore nature's economy'

King Charles is addressing the conference now. He says he was touched to be asked to speak at the opening of COP21 in Paris, which culminated in the landmark Paris Agreement, and adds “I pray with all my heart that COP28 will be another critical turning point towards genuine transformational action at a time when, already, as scientists have been warning for so long, we are seeing alarming tipping points being

reached.”

 

He says we are seeing alarming tipping points being reached and that is greatly worried that we are so far off track in efforts to address the climate crisis.

 

“Unless we rapidly repair and restore nature’s economy, based on harmony and balance, which is our ultimate sustainer, our own economy and survivability will be imperilled.”

 

Updated at 03.43 EST

13h ago

03.32 EST

Damian Carrington

Damian Carrington

The prominent climate scientist, Dr Friederike Otto, at Imperial College London, has a simple message for Cop28.

 

“Climate change is already destroying lives, livelihoods, and ecosystems around the world. Until we radically cut carbon emissions, extreme weather events will become more frequent and intense. That means there is a human rights imperative to phasing out fossil fuels.

 

“Despite their carefully crafted, green-washed talking points, fossil fuel companies will not save the world. Since 2021, we’ve known that no new gas and oilfields could be developed if the world is to keep warming to 1.5C. But fossil fuel companies continue to expand their operations, ignoring the suffering of millions of people around the world, so they can make more money.”

 

“Climate negotiations need to be highly sceptical of the influence and involvement of big oil.”

 

Cop28 is being run Sultan Al Jaber, the CEO of an oil company planning a huge expansion in production. He says his background is an advantage in bringing everyone to the climate table.

 


Newest

Previous5 of 5

13h ago03.15 EST

My colleague Nina Lakhani has more on yesterday’s loss and damage agreement.

As the second day gets under way, the president of the G77 plus China group – the bloc of 135 developing countries which played a key role in yesterday’s historic resolution on operationalising the loss and damage fund – said the decision sent a clear political message.

“It was a milestone in terms of creating a positive mood for the very, very complex process on the GST [global stock take] that we had ahead of us now. But the fund needs to be filled up. The pledges announced were a welcome sign, but they were just pledges and must materialise as soon as possible. And we expect much, much more because of the impact of loss and damage in developing countries,” said ambassador Pedro Pedroso of Cuba.

Yesterday’s pledges by UAE, Germany, the UK and Japan amounted to almost $439m for the start-up loss and damage fund – not nothing but a drop in the ocean compared with the $400bn a year of climate related irreversible losses being incurred.

Further pledges are likely as world leaders take to the stage today and tomorrow, but some countries have an inglorious track record on repacking existing funding commitments into new pledges – and a move towards providing loans rather than grants. “We have seen a lot of recycling of money by developed countries like the UK outrageously changing its methodology on climate finance. We’re not naive and we’ll keep a check on that.”

Future loss and damage will depend on the success of climate mitigation and climate adaptation measures, which all depend on the global stocktake and climate finance negotiations under way.

“Mitigation, adaptation, supporting technology and capacity building are all interconnected with each other – and loss and damage. In the context of the GST, there has to be the recognition that the means of implementation is the single most important cross-cutting factor that will enable developing countries to transition justly to another development model. So we will be watching the negotiations on the GST very closely,” said Pedroso.

·          

·          

Updated at 03.31 EST

14h ago02.45 EST

From my colleague Damian Carrington.

Bad news for Rishi Sunak as he arrives in Dubai today: the UK’s own North Sea regulator has concluded the new annual oil and gas licensing rounds Sunak is forcing are unnecessary. The North Sea Transition Authority, which is charged with maximising oil and gas extraction, said a mandatory annual process was not needed and undermined its independence. This was the “unanimous view” of the NSTA board, as the Financial Times reported.

Tessa Khan, at campaign group Uplift, said the NSTA minutes showed the government “pressed ahead with a policy that will do significant damage to the UK’s reputation and efforts to tackle climate change globally, despite being told by the body in charge of licensing that it is completely unnecessary”. The Labour leader, Keir Starmer, who, like Sunak, is attending Cop28, has ruled out new licences if elected, and called Sunak’s move a “gimmick”.

Sunak’s announcement was widely criticised and runs counter to the International Energy Agency’s statements that all new fossil fuel projects are incompatible with net zero goals, and the consensus of scientists that most oil and gas reserves must stay in the ground to restrict global heating to 1.5C.

My colleague Patrick Greenfield reports that the loss and damage commitments – money being pledged to poorer countries to help them deal with the costs of the climate crisis – are continuing today after yesterday’s landmark agreement. Canada has committed $60m to the fund, environment minister Steven Guilbeault announced outside his country’s pavilion.

That brings the initial size of the fund to US$489m. €225m ($245m) has already been committed by the EU, including US$100m from Germany. There is also £60m ($75m) from the UK, $24.5m from the US and $10m from Japan.

·          

·          

15h ago02.05 EST

A little more from my colleague Aletha Adu on what Sunak said when he landed in UAE this morning.

Asked who he meant when he said he was “not in hock to ideological zealots” over climate change, the UK prime minister told broadcasters in Dubai: “Perhaps the people protesting outside my house recently. “But there are people who think we should get to net zero without any regard to the cost on ordinary families. I don’t think that’s right. “I think we’ve got to be cognisant of the impact of this on ordinary families up and down the country.”

Sunak declined to single out China when asked which countries need to do more to tackle climate change, and heaped praise on Cop28 host the United Arab Emirates.

Pressed on whether Beijing should do more, the prime minister told reporters in Dubai: “Everyone collectively needs to do more to make sure that we do reduce emissions sufficiently.”

Quizzed on scepticism over a major oil producer hosting the summit, he said: “I actually commend the UAE for their leadership. “They’ve been particularly strong on the issue of climate finance.”

The UK has “a great story to tell” at the Cop28 climate conference in Dubai, Sunak has said. Challenged over whether his rollback of climate ambition at home makes it harder to push other countries to do more, the prime minister told broadcasters: “We have got an incredible track record in decarbonising in the UK, faster than any other major economy. We should be really proud of that. “And I’ll be proud of that record at my meetings later today.”

He said other countries were “deeply appreciative” of the support that they were receiving from the UK to help them with the transition.

·          

·          

Updated at 02.44 EST

15h ago02.01 EST

Sultan Al Jaber, the UAE president of Cop28, is addressing the conference now urging delegates to be flexible and to work together during the negotiations. He says it is essential global south countries do not have to chose between development and climate action. “let this be the Cop when we deliver on our promises [of financial support to the those in the global south]” he told delegates.

He says the next two weeks will not be easy, adding everyone understands the gravity of the situation now they need to accelerate progress and push a “positive can do attitude.”

Let’s delivery some good news to the world.”

·          

·          

15h ago01.39 EST

While we are waiting for day 2 of Cop28 to get going this is good read on what it is all about and why it matters from my colleague Fiona Harvey

What is Cop28 and why does it matter?

Read more

 

·          

My colleague Damian Carrington reports that the arrival of the world’s leaders at today’s conference is adding an extra challenge for delegates.. . and journalists.

Cops are always a marathon for delegates, long days and long walks around the huge sites. But today is an ultra-marathon for the thousands of attendees. The short walk from the metro to the venue was blocked off, a security mounted for the world leaders arriving today. That meant a trek in the sun to even enter the site. And once in, more barricades have been erected to cordon off the presidents and prime ministers, turning 5 minute trots into 30 minute slogs.

·          

Updated at 01.48 EST

15h ago01.19 EST

Rishi Sunak, King Charles and other world leaders fly in to Cop28

World leaders and assorted dignitaries are due to fly in to Cop28 today including UK prime minister Rishi Sunak and King Charles. My colleague Alehta Adu is with the prime minister and says he has just touched down.

King Charles, a long time campaigner on climate issues, is due to give a “call to arms” in his opening statement to the conference. Sunak on the other hand will have his work cut out defending a series of policy moves – including a decision to push ahead with new oil and gas licences in the north sea – that have been widely condemned by climate experts and campaigners.

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Updated at 02.28 EST

15h ago01.15 EST

Good morning. This is Matthew Taylor, on the second day of the Conference of Parties 28th climate change summit, or Cop28.

Today will see the formal opening ceremony, where the world’s leaders will be addressing the conference. Prime Minister Rishi Sunak is flying in from the UK, as is the leader of the opposition Sir Keir Starmer.

Yesterday saw significant developments at the conference as a deal on a fund for loss and damage was finally done after many years of discussion; we lost count of the number of people who called it historic.

A quick summary of yesterday’s events with the loss and damage fund to help countries deal with the impacts of climate breakdown the big news of the day;

·         The UAE immediately pledged $100m to the fund, and was followed by contributions from the EU, led by Germany, the UK, the US and Japan, though the US in particular were criticised for their relatively modest pledge

·         The World Meteorological Organization said that 2023 would be the hottest year ever recorded. UN secretary-general António Guterres responded to the news by saying “We are living through climate collapse in real time”

·         A representative of Indian prime minister Narendra Modi said coal is, and will continue to be, an important part of India’s energy needs

Let’s see what today brings.

 

SATURDAY, DECEMBER 2ND  @q

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Day 3: a push for more renewable energy and nuclear power, and some movement away from fossil fuels

 

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1d ago

US announces crackdown on 'super pollutant' methane

 

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1d ago

UN's top doctor compares burning fossil fuels to smoking cigarettes

 

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2d ago

US powers past coal, Australia relies on ‘drug dealer’ defence

 

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2d ago

Colombia joins fossil fuel non-proliferation treaty

 

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2d ago

Pope: are we working for a culture of life or a culture of death?

 

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2d ago

Biggest Cop ever

 

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2d ago

Mia Mottley: "Turn down the methane"

 

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2d ago

22 countries call for tripling of nuclear by 2050

 

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2d ago

Welcome to day three of Cop28

 

Alan Evans and Ajit Niranjan

Sat 2 Dec 2023 10.32 EST

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09.15 EST

US announces crackdown on 'super pollutant' methane

Carbon dioxide is the big climate villain but its lesser-known cousin methane is also a powerful planet-heating pollutant.

The US has announced a major crackdown on methane emissions as part of a new effort to curb a “super pollutant” that is turbocharging the climate crisis, my colleagues Oliver Milman, Damian Carrington and Fiona Harvey report from Dubai.

The new rules are the centrepiece of global announcements to cut methane emissions at Cop28. The US estimates they will cut methane emissions from its vast oil and gas industry by 80% from levels that would be expected without the rule – a total of 58m tonnes by 2038.

US outlines measures to cut methane emissions by 80% in next 15 years

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Updated at 09.35 EST

1d ago10.24 EST

Day 3: a push for more renewable energy and nuclear power, and some movement away from fossil fuels

That’s all for today – tune back in tomorrow for a health-themed day. Here are the key takeaways from the third day of Cop28:

·         At least 117 governments have agreed to triple the world’s capacity of renewable energy by 2030 and double the rate of energy efficiency improvements.

·         The US was one of several countries to join an alliance to phase out power plants that burn coal and has announced rules to cut its methane emissions.

·         Fifty oil and gas companies have signed a “decarbonisation charter” that analysts have criticised for ignoring the emissions spewed when customers burn the fuels.

·         Twenty-two countries have pledged to triple nuclear capacity by 2050.

·         Colombia, a major fossil fuel producer, has formally joined an alliance of nations calling for a fossil fuel non-proliferation treaty to prevent the “omnicide of planet Earth”.

 

ATTACHMENT “A” @

Far from the suits and jargon of the climate summit – but still tightly linked – the fight for environmental justice continues in a very different form.

The authorities in Honduras have issued an arrest warrant for the alleged mastermind in the case of Berta Cáceres, the murdered Indigenous environmental leader, writes my colleague Nina Lakhani.

Cáceres was shot in her home by hired hitmen in March 2016 in retaliation for leading a grassroots campaign to stop construction of an internationally financed hydroelectric dam on a river considered sacred by the Lenca people. Cáceres was assassinated less than a year after being awarded the prestigious Goldman prize for environmental defenders.

Latin America is the most dangerous region in the world for those defending rivers, land and other natural resources against corporate greed, pollution, and extractive industries like mining and energy projects. Honduras, Mexico, Brazil and Colombia are among the most deadly countries in Latin America, and Indigenous people in particular are on the frontlines of fighting environmental destruction and the climate crisis.

Earlier this week, Quinto Inuma Alvarado, an environmental defender and Indigenous leader, was shot dead by hooded men in response to his work defending his land from illegal logging and drug trafficking in the San Martín region of Peru. He had spent years working to achieve collective titling for his community, which would allow them to effectively protect their land and forests of the Peruvian Amazon.

Indigenous environmental defenders like Caceres and Quinto risk their lives to protect the environment and address the climate crisis, yet they lack “adequate protection and are excluded from decision making”, according to a Global Witness report from 2022.

Indigenous delegates at Cop often struggle to get a seat at the negotiating table, and have long complained that their traditional knowledge and sustainable solutions are not taken seriously.

Read more on the Cáceres case here:

Honduras: arrest warrant issued over murder of activist Berta Cáceres

 

Updated at 10.24 EST

1d ago09.25 EST

The climate campaigner Mohamed Adow has called for a focus on the negotiations at Cop28 rather than the announcements that surround it.

The flurry of announcements was largely to be welcomed, said Adow, who runs the climate thinktank Power Shift Africa, but that “the talks are why we are here.”

Journalists are not allowed in the negotiating rooms where diplomats hash out agreements under the eye of the UN. Much of the media coverage instead centres around commitments that governments and companies make outside of the formal negotiating process.

“Getting an agreed fossil fuel phase-out date remains the biggest step countries need to take here in Dubai over the remaining days of the summit,” said Adow. “We need a fair, fast, full and funded fossil phase-out.”

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Updated at 09.37 EST

1d ago09.15 EST

US announces crackdown on 'super pollutant' methane

Carbon dioxide is the big climate villain but its lesser-known cousin methane is also a powerful planet-heating pollutant.

The US has announced a major crackdown on methane emissions as part of a new effort to curb a “super pollutant” that is turbocharging the climate crisis, my colleagues Oliver Milman, Damian Carrington and Fiona Harvey report from Dubai.

The new rules are the centrepiece of global announcements to cut methane emissions at Cop28. The US estimates they will cut methane emissions from its vast oil and gas industry by 80% from levels that would be expected without the rule – a total of 58m tonnes by 2038.

US outlines measures to cut methane emissions by 80% in next 15 years

Read more

 

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Updated at 09.35 EST

1d ago09.00 EST

Analysts have praised a “crucial” commitment from 118 governments to triple the world’s renewable energy capacity and double the rate of energy efficiency improvements by the end of the decade.

According to the clean energy thinktank Ember, the two actions alone can deliver 85% of the fossil fuel reductions needed by 2030 to keep the planet from heating 1.5C above pre-industrial temperatures – if governments deliver on them.

Dave Jones, an analyst at Ember, said: “Together, these would unlock deep economy-wide fossil fuel reductions and ensure that oil, coal and gas demand not only peak this decade but see a meaningful fall. This statement is not a substitute for a global agreement, but it does pave the way for a historic opportunity to include this in the final text.”

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Updated at 09.35 EST

1d ago08.53 EST

 

Helena Horton

The chief executive of ExxonMobil has made some eyebrow-raising comments in an interview with the Financial Times, claiming the summit focuses too much on renewable energy. It is the first time an Exxon chief has attended a Cop.

Darren Woods has complained that talks at Cop28 have not prioritised hydrogen, biofuels and carbon capture. These are technologies favoured by the oil and gas industry as they allow for fossil fuels and their associated infrastructure to be used for longer during the green transition.

He told the newspaper: “The transition is not limited to just wind, solar and EVs. Carbon capture is going to play a role. We’re good at that. We know how to do it, we can contribute. Hydrogen will play a role. Biofuels will play a role.”

The oil and gas industry is hoping that governments will invest in carbon capture and storage to nullify emissions from fossil fuel plants. However, the technology’s effectiveness is disputed and scientists are sceptical of its role outside of heavy industries that have few alternatives.

Some have also criticised the presence of oil and gas industry executives at the conference, arguing the point of their attendance is to delay action and greenwash their operations.

Woods also told the FT that the talks “put way too much emphasis on getting rid of fossil fuels, oil and gas, and not...on dealing with the emissions associated with them”, adding there would be “continued demand” for oil and gas.

The Guardian this year revealed the oil company privately “predicted global warming correctly and skilfully” only to then spend decades publicly rubbishing such science in order to protect its core business.

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Updated at 09.34 EST

1d ago08.17 EST

 

Sunday @q

Tomorrow will be health day at Cop28, with various reports and declarations expected. Among them, the Africa Centres for Disease Control and Prevention, the continent’s main public health body, said more funding was needed to tackle health crises in Africa.

Jean Kaseya, head of the Africa CDC, said the continent has had 158 disease outbreaks already this year, following on closely from the Covid-19 pandemic, and that the climate crisis is a leading cause of them.

“Each outbreak we miss can become a pandemic – and that is the major concern we have today. We don’t want the next pandemic to come from Africa due to climate change. This is why we are pushing for more funding,” he said.

“When we had Covid, we discovered that Africa was abandoned. We saw we were not independent. Africa begged the world to get even masks and gloves.”

Isabel Choat has the full story:

We need resources to fight health impacts of climate crisis, Africans tell Cop28

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UK prime minister Rishi Sunak jetted home from Dubai last night after spending just eight hours in Dubai, but his energy secretary, Claire Coutinho, remains at the summit and today will announce plans to protect global rainforests and cut methane emissions.

She will tell the summit that the UK is to commit more than £85 million in funding for climate initiatives and will sign new clean energy agreements with international partners, including Brazil, the US and countries across Europe.

Part of the funding includes up to £35 million to protect the Amazon rainforest through Brazil’s dedicated Amazon fund, agreed on Friday, on top of £80m announced by Sunak earlier this year.

Coutinho said: “The UK is a world leader in the drive to net zero, so it is vital we support our international allies like Brazil in meeting their climate ambitions.

“That’s why we have pledged up to £35 million to help stop deforestation in the Amazon, making the UK one of the largest contributors to the Amazon fund.

“We will also partner with Brazil at Cop28 and draw on our combined strengths to develop alternative fuels like hydrogen, advance green technologies and drive global action to cut emissions.”

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Updated at 07.51 EST

1d ago07.23 EST

 

By Jonathan Watts

The Brazilian president, Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, has roared into Cop28 with a mega-delegation of more than 2,000 people and grand ambitions to address inequality and protect the world’s tropical forests.

Lula, as he is known, said his country was leading by example: “We have adjusted our climate goals, which are now more ambitious than those of many developed countries. We have drastically reduced deforestation in the Amazon and will bring it to zero by 2030,” he said.

But any pretensions he might have had to broader climate leadership on cutting fossil fuels were weakened on Thursday when his energy minister, Alexandre Silveira, chose the opening of the planet’s biggest environmental conference as the moment to announce that Brazil plans to align itself more closely with the world’s biggest oil cartel, Opec.

Brazilian climate campaigners said the timing and symbolism were horrendous and a sign of the divisions within a country that has made huge strides to reduce deforestation of the Amazon, even as it has ploughed ahead with oil exploration in ecologically sensitive areas.

“This statement is a scandal. Celebrating entry into the oil club in the middle of a climate conference is as if the minister of mines and energy were disavowing President Lula’s own environmental speech,” said Marcio Astrini, the executive secretary of the Brazilian Climate Observatory. “With ministers like this, the president doesn’t need enemies.”

Lula’s bid to style himself climate leader at Cop28 undermined by Opec move

Read more

 

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1d ago07.11 EST

Climate campaigners have praised the Czech Republic’s decision to join the Powering Past Coal Alliance, which leaves only a handful of European countries including Poland and Bulgaria outside the group.

Alexandru Musta
ță, campaigner at Beyond Fossil Fuels, said: “The Czech Republic stood alongside Germany and Poland as one of the three big coal laggards in the EU. Today’s announcement shows that like most European nations, it is looking to a future beyond coal that is more secure, more economic, and above all: more sustainable.”

The country has committed to quit coal by 2033 but has been slower to invest in renewable energy than many of its neighbours. To keep the planet heating 1.5C, the International Energy Agency has called on rich countries to stop burning coal to make electricity by 2030, and for the rest of the world to follow suit by 2040.

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1d ago06.58 EST

UN's top doctor compares burning fossil fuels to smoking cigarettes

 

Patrick Greenfield

Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus, director general of the World Health Organization, has compared fossil fuels to tobacco while speaking at an event in support of a fossil fuel non-proliferation treaty.

“During my visit to Tuvalu in 2019, I had the privilege of meeting a remarkable young boy named Falu,” he said. “He  d with me the conversations he had with his friends about the potential sinking of Tuvalu and the uncertain future. Some of his friends contemplated leaving in case it sinks. They were specific: seeking refuge in Fiji. While others express their willingness to stay, these are 10 or 11 year old children saying this.

“Falu’s words deeply affected me, serving as a poignant reminder of the challenges children face in the Pacific. They worry about the survival of their island home due to the emissions produced by distant nations. This reality hangs on their shoulders.

“Addressing climate change necessitates addressing the role of fossil fuels, much as we cannot address lung cancer without addressing the impact of tobacco.

“Without addressing 75% of emissions, achieving [the target of remaining with 1.5C (2.7F) of preindustrial levels] doesn’t happen. It will not happen. Debating the same issue – which is obvious – and fighting this issue over and over means we just stay in the same place. This has to stop. The science is there, the evidence is clear. We know the problem and we know the solution. The solution is also clear.

“In full support for a fossil fuel non-proliferation treaty, the WHO stands with you. I will continue to champion you.

“The objectives outlined in the proposed treaty are clear, evidence based and equitable. We had a duty to address the homes of children like Falu. Please, let’s allow them to be children.”

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Updated at 07.02 EST

1d ago06.44 EST

 

By Patrick Greenfield

Kausea Natano, prime minister of Tuvalu, has been speaking at an event calling for the creation of a fossil fuels non-proliferation treaty. Tuvalu was among a group of Pacific island states who launched the initiative earlier this year. The treaty is akin to similar initiatives on reducing nuclear arsenals and landmines.

He told the event: “Every year, our countries travel for days to travel for Cop. We spent the majority of the year preparing for these negotiations.

“Climate change is the single greatest threat to humanity. Yet, every year, we find ourselves debating the same issues and fighting the same battles. The science is clear: In order to keep 1.5C alive, we must take urgent action to reduce fossil fuel consumption. The pacific sits in the front line of climate change with worsening climate damage.

“Today, on behalf of the people of Tuvalu, I come to deliver a simple message to save our people from the devastating impacts of climate change. This Cop28 must produce a decision that addresses the root cause of emission. It must include clear language of phasing out fossil fuels. We no longer have time to sit by while our islands sink, while our forests burn and while our people suffer.

“The Paris agreement establishes the regime of nationally determined contributions, allowing countries to chart their own path forward. We cannot lower emissions if keep growing the problem. At present, the phase out of fossil fuels is largely unmanaged. We must take steps to ensure a just and credible transition.

“Many think this is to be an impossible task. That it is either too ambitious or too late but let me remind you of the achievement we have already accomplished. The choice of either being ambitious or realistic is a false choice; we must choose to be both.”

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Updated at 06.50 EST

1d ago06.28 EST

Hello, this is Ajit Niranjan taking over from Alan Evans for the day. You can reach me at ajit.niranjan@theguardian.com, or on X (formerly Twitter) at @NiranjanAjit. Whether you’re on the ground or following from afar, please get in touch!

Activists have called on rich countries to put 5% of their military budgets into climate finance, my colleague 
Dharna Noor writes.

By diverting just 5% of global military budgets, the world could raise $110.4bn for climate finance – more than enough to meet a repeatedly broken annual climate finance target of $100bn, according to the Transnational Institute, an international research and advocacy group.

“Money is being spent on militarisation rather than on climate action,” said 
Nick Buxton, a researcher with the Transnational Institute, “though the climate crisis is the biggest [common] security threat that we face today.”

The world’s militaries produce at least 5.5% of greenhouse gas emissions – more than the total footprint of Japan – according to one 2022 estimate. But no country is required to provide data on military emissions thanks to successful lobbying by the US at the Kyoto conference in 1997. Leaders removed the exemption in 2015 but made reporting military emissions optional.

Tomorrow there will be a special-themed day on “relief, recovery, and peace” SUNDAY at the conference, the first time climate-fuelled conflict has ever been on an international climate conference agenda.

Read more here:

Divert military spending to fund climate aid, activists urge Cop28

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Updated at 06.48 EST

1d ago05.54 EST

Turkmenistan joined the Global Methane Pledge today, an important move for the world’s fourth largest methane emitter. The pledge requires a leak reduction of 30% by 2030. The potent greenhouse gas is responsible for a third of the global heating driving the climate crisis today.

The Guardian revealed Turkmenistan’s “mind boggling” methane emissions in May, a development sources said was instrumental in pushing the country to act. The country’s super-emitting leaks are seen as some of the easiest to fix by repairing ageing gas infrastructure.

 

1d ago05.52 EST

The world leaders’ speeches have finally concluded 45 minutes late after many speakers significantly overran their three-minute allowance, resulting in increasingly insistent beeping noises until they depart the stage. Nobody had to be hauled off stage by Sultan Al Jaber with a shepherd’s hook, but it may be a method worth considering for future Cop hosts.

Another very strong candidate for Cop28’s best-dressed is an indigenous woman from South America. Sonia Astuhuaman Pardave is from the Coordinadora Andina de Organizaciones Indígenas.

She is a Yachak Warmi, an Andean Medicine woman who cares for and protects the Pachamama: Mother Earth.

1d ago05.37 EST

Sitiveni Ligamamada Rabuka, prime minister of Fiji, has given a powerful speech talking about the large number of natural disasters that have befallen the island nation in the past few years.

“It is clear that we are at a breaking point not only for the Pacific, but for humanity … we need a just transition that ensures global emissions peak before 2025.”

He has welcomed the new loss and damage fund, but said it should be more focused on small island states in the Pacific.

He ended with a plea to his fellow delegates: “Please cooperate for our survival, for our identity.”

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Updated at 05.46 EST

1d ago05.29 EST

Kamala Harris, vice-president of the US who is attending in place of Joe Biden, has told the conference that the country is investing heavily in adaptation, with a particular focus on marginalised communities.

Harris announced a significant $3bn pledge to the Green Climate Fund, but does not mention that this is subject to approval by Congress, which is divided.

“This is a pivotal moment. Our action, or worse, our inaction today … will impact the lives of billions of people for decades to come. So, for as much as we have accomplished … there is more work to do, and continued progress will not be without a fight,” Harris said.

“Around the world, there are those who seek to slow or stop our progress. Leaders who deny climate science, delay climate action, and spread misinformation. Large corporations that greenwash their climate inaction and lobby for billions of dollars in fossil fuel subsidies. It is clear: we must do more.”

The US, which is the world’s richest country and biggest polluter, has been widely criticised for the relative paltriness of its climate finance offerings so far.

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Updated at 05.40 EST

2d ago05.07 EST

US powers past coal, Australia relies on ‘drug dealer’ defence

 

By Damian Carrington

The US joined the Powering Past Coal Alliance today by committing to close all its coal-fired power plants, in a move hailed at Cop28 as “huge news” that puts pressure on the world’s biggest burner of coal, China.

Coal is the dirtiest fossil fuel – about 40% of fossil fuel emissions – and its phase-out is essential to fighting the climate crisis. The US has the world’s third biggest fleet of coal-burning power stations. The deadline set by the US for ending coal appears to be 2035, five years after the 2030 date seen as compatible with keeping global heating below 1.5C.

The Czech Republic and Kosovo, both heavily reliant on coal, also joined the PPCA today. The alliance now has more than 50 nations as members, including 35 out of the 43 countries in the OECD, a club of rich countries.

Leo Roberts, at the E3G thinktank, said: “The US is a huge coal consumer. So this is hugely symbolic, not just in terms of emissions, but also in terms of the US stepping up on the international stage.”

“This puts a huge amount of pressure on the other OECD countries to make Paris-aligned coal exit commitments, particularly Japan, Australia and South Korea,” he said: “This is also putting direct pressure on China, which has over half of the world’s coal and nearly 75% of the world’s new coal project pipeline. I think that’s an intentional tactic by the countries who have stood up.”

Bill Hare, at Climate Analytics, said: “Australia still is a very coal-intensive country and still is approving new mines to export coal. It is essentially using the drug-dealer defence, saying that other countries are demanding the coal.”

“Expanding coal production runs completely counter to what the global scientific community and the International Energy Agency is saying,” he said. “So I’m still very concerned about the Australian position.”

Evan Gach, from the Kiko Network, an NGO in Japan, said: “It’s disappointing to not see Japan on the PPCA list, but maybe not a surprise. Japan has over 170 existing coal units, and there’s no plan or roadmap to phase these out. Japan is committed to extending the life of fossil fuels for as long as they can profit from it.”

Solar and wind energy is the cheapest electricity in the world today, and often even cheaper than simply continuing to buy the fuel for coal-fired power stations. Vivian Sunwoo Lee, from the Solutions for our Climate group in Korea, said: “If Korea doesn’t want to fall behind the major economies, it will also need to phase out coal.”

A new diplomatic initiative, led by France and called the Coal Transition Accelerator, was also announced today. It will focus on ending private finance for coal, supporting communities that have previously relied upon the fuel and accelerating the development of clean energy in those regions.

Roberts said: “Most coal projects are in the global south and none of them make any sense on economic grounds. They’re also a terrible idea for development and for the climate. So ending private finance for those will be extremely important.”

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Updated at 05.36 EST

2d ago04.47 EST

Colombia joins fossil fuel non-proliferation treaty

A significant development today as Colombia has announced it is to join the fossil fuel non-proliferation treaty.

It is the 10th country to join the group, but only the second member that is a fossil fuel producer, following Timor-Leste, which joined earlier this year. Colombia has significant reserves of coal, gas and oil.

“While it is the use of fossil fuels that causes emissions, there is no direct mention of fossil fuels in the Paris agreement or subsequent agreements. What is frightening is that governments plan to increase the frontier of fossil fuel exploitation. Colombia believes we need a plan to phase out fossil fuels,” said Susana Muhamad, the country’s environment minister.

My colleague Patrick Greenfield has the full story here:

Colombia joins international alliance calling for treaty to end use of fossil fuels

Read more

 

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2d ago04.38 EST

Nina Lakhani

Another well-dressed delegate spotted in Dubai. Rihab Khalid is a climate social scientist and current research fellow at Lucy Cavendish College, Cambridge, and a Cop first-timer.

She is an interdisciplinary energy researcher who studies the intersections of gender equity, energy access and spatial justice.

“I’m here because I’m passionate about gender equity, and I believe we can only achieve this if we align gender-responsive climate action with women’s sustainable development across all sectors,” she told the Guardian.

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Updated at 04.47 EST

2d ago04.20 EST

One of the strangest tie-ins to the climate conference must be the Cop28 Adventures game, which was released by Dubai police before the event began.

Its summary on Google’s Play Store reads:

Immerse yourself in the urgent world of global climate action in Climate Guardians COP28. As a delegate at the UAE conference, craft policies, solve environmental challenges, and collaborate with players worldwide. Explore stunning UAE locations, make impactful decisions, and compete for the highest cooperation score. Join the movement for a sustainable future today

The Guardian will not be downloading the app, and recommends that you do not either. Matthew Hedges, a British academic who was detained in the UAE in 2018, warned on Thursday, “Don’t be naive like I was” when it comes to digital security and the UAE.

For this reason we cannot provide a review of the game, but here are some screenshots provided on the app page:

The game is credited to Dubai police, whose previous Play Store game offerings include:

·         My Rights and Duties (“learn about your rights in a fun and simple way”)

·         My Child My Friend (“aims to enhance communication and friendship between parents and their offspring”)

·         Stay Safe (“educating the public in all its categories of positive behaviours that must be adhered to and some negative behaviours that must be avoided”)

The new Cop28 game lets users “explore stunning UAE locations, make impactful decisions, and compete for the highest cooperation score.”

 

It also appears to have drone racing. It is not for the Guardian to speculate whether the whole Cop process could be made more productive with the addition of drone racing, but it does not appear to have been explored by the organisers and may be worth a shot.

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Updated at 04.45 EST

2d ago03.53 EST

Pope: are we working for a culture of life or a culture of death?

Pope Francis had been lined up to open today’s speeches, but was forced to stay home with a bout of “very acute infectious bronchitis”.

He sent the Vatican’s secretary of state, Cardinal Pietro Parolin, in his place with a missive, which Parolin read out.

“I am with you because now more than ever, the future of us all depends on the present that we now choose,” he said.

“I am with you because the destruction of the environment is an offence against God, a sin that is not only personal but also structural, one that greatly endangers all human beings, especially the most vulnerable in our midst and threatens to unleash a conflict between generations.

“I am with you because climate change is a global social issue and one intimately related to the dignity of human life. I am with you to raise the question which we must answer now: Are we working for a culture of life or a culture of death?

“To all of you I make this heartfelt appeal: Let us choose life. Let us choose the future. May we be attentive to the cry of the earth, may we hear the plea of the poor, may we be sensitive to the hopes of the young and the dreams of children. We have a grave responsibility: to ensure that they not be denied their future.”

The Vatican has published a full transcript of the speech which can be found here.

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Updated at 04.03 EST

2d ago03.38 EST

Giorgia Meloni, Italy’s rightwing prime minister, speaks of the need for what she describes as “a technology-neutral approach, free from radicalism”.

Meloni has long dismissed the need for urgent action on climate change and has cracked down hard on protests by environmental and other activists, which this statement seems to be a reference to.

Italy has, however, pledged €100m to the new loss and damage fund, one of the largest offerings yet. Meloni also pledged to invest money in Africa, but “not as charity”, saying it would be in partnerships “among equals”.

“We’re all aware that many of the efforts we make today will likely have visible results long after we have left positions of power … we are doing it anyway, not for us but those who come after us,” she says.

Meloni wraps up by quoting Warren Buffett: “There is someone sitting in the shade today because someone else planted a tree long ago.”

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Biggest Cop ever

For the first time at a Cop the UNFCCC, which organises the summits, has published the full list of participants in spreadsheet format, making them far easier to analyse.

Carbon Brief have looked at the provisional figures, and found that 84,101 people are registered to attend, 3,074 of whom are attending virtually.

The figures are provisional as more people will have registered than actually attend, but it is close to certain that this will be the biggest Cop ever in terms of number of participants. The final number or attendees will be released after the conference.

For comparison, Cop27 in Sharm el-Sheikh last year hosted just under 50,000 delegates, while Cop1 in Berlin in 1995 only hosted 3,969.

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2d ago03.06 EST

 

Oliver Milman

John Kerry was up early to help open the US pavilion at Cop28 this morning. The US’s climate envoy led a small group of Biden administration officials in an upbeat assessment of the White House’s efforts in tackling climate change.

“I feel optimistic, I really do,” Kerry said. “I am in Dubai with a sense that something different is really happening.” Kerry pointed to the rapid progress at this Cop of the loss and damage fund, and said that the US had taken the lead in spurring the world to increase ambition on emissions cuts, crack down on deforestation and curb methane, a potent greenhouse gas.

 

A similar message is expected from Kamala Harris, the US vice-president, when she speaks here later on Saturday. Announcements from the US on coal and methane are also expected.

Activists who gathered outside the US pavillion were a bit more sceptical, however. Overt protests aren’t really allowed here but a group of climate campaigners led a chant about phasing out fossil fuels and posed for pictures with slogan stickers stuck to them.

The US is expected to break production records for oil and gas this year and is building out a vast network of infrastructure for new gas exports, something that Kerry and his colleagues did not address.

“You can’t talk about reductions when you are talking about more exploration and leasing and drilling,” said John Beard, who was there for Kerry’s speech.

Beard, a former Exxon engineer who now campaigns against the industry’s impacts on communities along the Gulf of Mexico coast, added: “You can’t talk about decarbonising when you’re recarbonising, it doesn’t make sense. Talk is cheap and sending your big dog officials here isn’t going to do it, it’s action that will do it.”

·          

Updated at 03.31 EST

2d ago02.52 EST

Nina Lakhani

Harjeet Singh, unofficial winner of best dressed at Cop27, never lowers his standards. As well as being a fashion icon and lovely human being, Harjeet is a climate justice warrior and sharp policy analyst.

He is the head of global political strategy for the Climate Action Network and global engagement director of the fossil fuel non-proliferation treaty initiative, which is gearing up for a major announcement at 1.30pm GST (9.30am GMT) today

·          

Updated at 03.27 EST

2d ago02.41 EST

The Greek prime minister, Kyriakos Mitsotakis, is speaking. He says the evidence of the climate crisis has never been clearer, and that the benefits of transitioning to a low-carbon economy had never been clearer.

He speaks of the fires and floods that have devastated Greece in recent years, and says the country has cut coal use by 80% while growing the economy faster than other countries in the eurozone.

He says the decarbonisation of shipping – in which Greece is a world power – must be done on an even playing field. Shipping is one of the world’s most polluting industries, and has been notoriously resistant to change.

He refers to “protecting ancient monuments from the wrath of climate change” and to “learning from our ancestors”, but does not explicitly mention this week’s row over whether the UK should return the Parthenon marbles to Greece.

Some believed the tie featuring Greek flags worn by King Charles III for his speech on Friday was a subtle signal of support for returning the marbles.

My colleagues Caroline Davies and Helena Smith covered that story here:

‘An obvious message’: King Charles’s Greek flag tie rekindles marbles row

Read more

 

·          

·          

Our correspondents in Dubai are always on the lookout for the best-dressed delegates to highlight in the blog.

Fanny Chen is from Brazil, and is at Cop28 promoting vegan eating.

“Livestock is the root cause of both Nature’s collapse and the climate crisis,” according to the leaflet she is handing out.

·          

·          

2d ago02.15 EST

Mia Mottley: "Turn down the methane"

Mia Mottley, the prime minister of Barbados and a major figure in climate diplomacy, is speaking at the leaders’ statements section of the conference.

She thanks people for their work so far, but says that the creation of a loss and damage fund is only part of the equation. For every dollar spent on preventing climate-induced disasters, seven dollars is saved, she says.

She says non-state actors – ie. fossil fuel companies – need to come to the table with money.

“The reality is that unless we change course … we are going to see far more lives lost and far more damage done,” she says.

She singles out action on methane as essential, as it is so much more damaging in the short term than carbon dioxide, and says the world needs strong regulation of oil and gas companies to swiftly reduce methane releases.

“To turn down the heat, you simply have to turn down the methane,” she says.

It is interesting that Mottley spent the majority of her speech, which ran significantly over her allotted three minutes, focusing on methane rather than climate finance, the subject with which she is most associated. More announcements on methane are expected later on Saturday.

·          

·          

Updated at 03.34 EST

2d ago01.56 EST

 

Patrick Greenfield

There are huge queues to get into Cop28 this morning at what will surely be the largest climate summit by some distance. More than 80,000 people have registered for badges to the event, and many are struggling to get into the venue in Dubai.

Delegates could be heard pleading to get through security this morning, warning that they were missing events and meetings in the Blue Zone where negotiations are held, with waits expected to last up to two hours at the entrance nearest the metro station.

For those reading this post still in the queue, the good news is that there is another way into Blue Zone. Delegates need to enter via the Green Zone entrance - where there are no queues - and then get into the Blue Zone that way.

·          

·          

2d ago01.33 EST

22 countries call for tripling of nuclear by 2050

Twenty-two countries have called for a tripling of nuclear energy by 2050 in order to meet net zero goals.

John Kerry, the US’s climate envoy, defended the statement. “We are not making the argument to anybody that this is absolutely going to be a sweeping alternative to every other energy source,” he said.

“But we know because the science and the reality of facts and evidence tell us that you can’t get to net zero 2050 without some nuclear. These are just scientific realities. No politics involved in this, no ideology involved in this.”

Bill McKibben’s campaign group 350.org were less enthusiastic. Masayoshi Iyoda, a Japan campaigner at the group, said: “There is no space for dangerous nuclear power to accelerate the decarbonization needed to achieve the Paris climate goal … it is nothing more than a dangerous distraction.

“The attempt of a ‘nuclear renaissance’ led by nuclear industries’ lobbyists since the 2000s has never been successful - it is simply too costly, too risky, too undemocratic, and too time-consuming. We already have cheaper, safer, democratic, and faster solutions to the climate crisis, and they are renewable energy and energy efficiency.”

Twenty-two countries have called for a tripling of nuclear energy by 2050 in order to meet net zero goals.  John Kerry, the US’s climate envoy, defended the statement. The signatories to the declaration were: Bulgaria, Canada, Czech Republic, Finland, France, Ghana, Hungary, Japan, Moldova, Mongolia, Morocco, Netherlands, Poland, Romania, Slovakia, Slovenia, South Korea, Sweden, Ukraine, United Arab Emirates, the United Kingdom and the United States.

·          

·          

Updated at 03.35 EST

2d ago01.19 EST

Politico has reported on the shadow cast over Cop28 by the war in Gaza. Several leaders used their speeches to draw attention to the conflict, and behind the scenes officials are having meetings with their counterparts about Gaza.

Here’s a sample of Politico’s report:

Israeli president Isaac Herzog spent much of the morning in meetings telling fellow leaders about “how Hamas blatantly violates the ceasefire agreements,” according to a post on his X account. He ended up skipping a speech he was meant to give during Friday’s parade of world leaders. 

There were other conspicuous no-shows. Saudi Arabian Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman was absent, despite being listed as an early speaker. And Mahmoud Abbas, the Palestinian Authority leader, also disappeared from the final speakers’ list after initially being scheduled to talk just a few slots after Herzog.

Then, shortly after leaders posed for a group photo in the Dubai venue on Friday, the Iranian delegation announced it was walking out. The reason, Iran’s energy minister told his country’s official news agency: The “political, biased and irrelevant presence of the fake Zionist regime” — referring to Israel.

Read the full piece here.

·          

·          

2d ago01.00 EST

Welcome to day three of Cop28

Today will see more world leaders take to the stage to give speeches. The hosts will hope some of them will use them to make pledges to the newly-agreed loss and damage fund, the creation of which has been the main talking point of the conference so far.

And here’s a summary of the main events yesterday:

·         World leaders, particularly those from developing countries at the forefront of the climate crises, begged large economies and emitters to take urgent action both to reduce emissions and fund loss and damage

·         UK prime minister Rishi Sunak declared to the conference that he had watered down climate policy in the UK, drawing anger from politicians and climate experts who said he had “misread the room”

·         UK opposition leader Keir Starmer accused Sunak of “shrinking and retreating” from showcasing leadership on the global stage at Cop28 and over the climate crisis

·         A new UN report found that droughts are a planetary emergency causing widespread famine, and that they are a silent, often ignored, killer

·         Brazil’s president, Lula, outlined that it is not possible to tackle the climate crisis without also tackling inequality. He spoke of climate suffering in the Amazon, which is experiencing one of the “most tragic droughts in its history” while cyclones in the south of Brazil have left a trail “of destruction and death”.

·         The UK’s King Charles III opened the conference, and warned in his speech that “unless we rapidly repair and restore nature’s economy, based on harmony and balance, which is our ultimate sustainer, our own economy and survivability will be imperilled.”

You can also read our daily news wrap from yesterday here:

Cop28: King Charles warns of ‘vast, frightening experiment’ on natural world

 

@q

SUNDAY, DECEMBER 3RD      DAY TWO

Cop28 president says there is ‘no science’ behind demands for phase-out of fossil fuels

Exclusive: UAE’s Sultan Al Jaber says phase-out of coal, oil and gas would take world ‘back into caves’

·         Cop28 live – latest updates

Damian Carrington and Ben Stockton

Sun 3 Dec 2023 05.33 EST

·          

·          

·          

The president of Cop28, Sultan Al Jaber, has claimed there is “no science” indicating that a phase-out of fossil fuels is needed to restrict global heating to 1.5C, the Guardian and the Centre for Climate Reporting can reveal.

Al Jaber also said a phase-out of fossil fuels would not allow sustainable development “unless you want to take the world back into caves”.

The comments were “incredibly concerning” and “verging on climate denial”, scientists said, and they were at odds with the position of the UN secretary general, António Guterres.

Al Jaber made the comments in ill-tempered responses to questions from Mary Robinson, the chair of the Elders group and a former UN special envoy for climate change, during a live online event on 21 November. As well as running Cop28 in Dubai, Al Jaber is also the chief executive of the United Arab Emirates’ state oil company, Adnoc, which many observers see as a serious conflict of interest.

More than 100 countries already support a phase-out of fossil fuels and whether the final Cop28 agreement calls for this or uses weaker language such as “phase-down” is one of the most fiercely fought issues at the summit and may be the key determinant of its success. Deep and rapid cuts are needed to bring fossil fuel emissions to zero and limit fast-worsening climate impacts.

Al Jaber spoke with Robinson at a She Changes Climate event. Robinson said: “We’re in an absolute crisis that is hurting women and children more than anyone … and it’s because we have not yet committed to phasing out fossil fuel. That is the one decision that Cop28 can take and in many ways, because you’re head of Adnoc, you could actually take it with more credibility.”

Al Jaber said: “I accepted to come to this meeting to have a sober and mature conversation. I’m not in any way signing up to any discussion that is alarmist. There is no science out there, or no scenario out there, that says that the phase-out of fossil fuel is what’s going to achieve 1.5C.”

Robinson challenged him further, saying: “I read that your company is investing in a lot more fossil fuel in the future.” Al Jaber responded: “You’re reading your own media, which is biased and wrong. I am telling you I am the man in charge.”

Al Jaber then said: “Please help me, show me the roadmap for a phase-out of fossil fuel that will allow for sustainable socioeconomic development, unless you want to take the world back into caves.”

“I don’t think [you] will be able to help solve the climate problem by pointing fingers or contributing to the polarisation and the divide that is already happening in the world. Show me the solutions. Stop the pointing of fingers. Stop it,” Al Jaber said.

Guterres told Cop28 delegates on Friday: “The science is clear: The 1.5C limit is only possible if we ultimately stop burning all fossil fuels. Not reduce, not abate. Phase out, with a clear timeframe.”

Bill Hare, the chief executive of Climate Analytics, said: “This is an extraordinary, revealing, worrying and belligerent exchange. ‘Sending us back to caves’ is the oldest of fossil fuel industry tropes: it’s verging on climate denial.”

“Al Jaber is asking for a 1.5C roadmap – anyone who cares can find that in the International Energy Agency’s latest net zero emissions scenario, which says there cannot be any new fossil fuel development. The science is absolutely clear [and] that absolutely means a phase-out by mid-century, which will enhance the lives of all of humanity.”

Prof Sir David King, the chair of the Climate Crisis Advisory Group and a former UK chief scientific adviser, said: “It is incredibly concerning and surprising to hear the Cop28 president defend the use of fossil fuels. It is undeniable that to limit global warming to 1.5C we must all rapidly reduce carbon emissions and phase-out the use of fossil fuels by 2035 at the latest. The alternative is an unmanageable future for humanity.”

Dr Friederike Otto, of Imperial College London, UK, said: “The science of climate change has been clear for decades: we need to stop burning fossil fuels. A failure to phase out fossil fuels at Cop28 will put several millions more vulnerable people in the firing line of climate change. This would be a terrible legacy for Cop28.”

Otto also rejected the claim that fossil fuels were necessary for development in poorer countries, saying that the latest report from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change “shows that the UN’s sustainable development goals are not achievable by continuing the current fossil-driven high emission economies. [There are] massive co-benefits that come with changing to a fossil-free world”.

 

A spokesperson for Cop28 said: “The IEA and IPCC 1.5C scenarios clearly state that fossil fuels will have to play a role in the future energy system, albeit a smaller one. The Cop president was quoting the science, and leading climate experts.

“He has clearly said that the oil and gas industry must tackle scope 1 and 2 emissions [from their operations], must invest in clean energy and clean technologies to address scope 3 emissions [from burning fuels], and that all industry must align around keeping the north star of 1.5C within reach.

“Once again, this is clearly part of a continued effort to undermine the Cop presidency’s tangible achievements and a misrepresentation of our position and successes to date.”

The spokesperson said the presidency had operationalised the loss and damage fund with more than $700m, launched a $30bn private market climate vehicle, and brought 51 oil companies to agree decarbonisation targets and 119 countries to sign a pledge to triple renewable energy. “This is just the beginning,” the spokesperson said.

Al Jaber is also head of Masdar, the UAE’s renewable energy company, but his appointment as Cop28 president has been controversial. Shortly before the summit, leaked documents showed that the UAE had planned to use climate meetings with governments to promote oil and gas deals. Al Jaber denied having seen or used the talking points in the documents. Adnoc also has the largest net-zero-busting expansion plans for oil and gas, according to independent analysis.

The issue of a phase-out or phase-down is complicated by the terms not having agreed definitions and by the highly uncertain role of technologies to “abate” emissions, such as carbon capture and storage. “Keeping the Paris agreement targets alive will require a full fossil fuel phase-out, not a vague phase-down relying on unproven technologies,” said Otto.

More than 100 African, European, Pacific and Caribbean countries back a phase-out of unabated fossil fuels. The US, the world’s biggest oil and gas producer, also backs a phase-out. Others, such as Russia, Saudi Arabia and China, reject the call. Both options are on the table at Cop28, as well as proposals to only mention coal, or to not say anything at all about fossil fuels.

Cop26 in Glasgow in 2021 agreed for the first time to “phase down” coal use, but this had been watered down from “phase out” at the last minute, bringing the Cop26 president, Alok Sharma, to tears.

In his conversation with Robinson, Al Jaber also said: “A phase-down and a phase-out of fossil fuel in my view is inevitable. That is essential. But we need to be real serious and pragmatic about it.”

“Hold on. Let me just explain,” he said. “The world will continue to need energy sources. We [UAE] are the only ones in the world today that have been decarbonising the oil and gas resources. We have the lowest carbon intensity.”

This refers to the emissions from the energy used to extract fossil fuels, not the far larger emissions from burning the fuels. “There is no such thing as ‘low carbon’ or ‘lower carbon’ oil and gas,” said Otto.

Numerous commentators have said that negative or embarrassing revelations about Al Jaber and Adnoc increase the pressure on him to deliver a strong Cop28 deal. The Guardian reported recently that state-run UAE oil and gas fields had been flaring gas almost daily despite having committed 20 years ago to a policy of zero routine flaring.

The Guardian previously reported that Adnoc had been able to read emails to and from the Cop28 office until the Guardian raised the issue in June and that the UAE had also failed to report its oil industry’s emissions of the powerful greenhouse gas methane.

Harjeet Singh, at Climate Action Network, said: “Cop28 must deliver a decision on phasing out fossil fuels in a just and equitable manner, without any loopholes or escape routes for the industry to continue expanding and exacerbating the climate crisis.”

 Cop28: Can fossil fuel companies transition to clean energy?
On Tuesday 5 December, 8pm-9.15pm GMT, join Damian Carrington, Christiana Figueres, Tessa Khan and Mike Coffin for a livestreamed discussion on whether fossil fuel companies can transition to clean energy. Book tickets here or at theguardian.live

 

 

ATTACHMENT “B”

DIRECTORY of WORLD LEADERS and their REMARKS

From Various (mostly the Guardian U.K.

News from COP National Leaders by Country

 

 

A

Vahagn Khachaturyan, president of Armenia, said it was clear we cannot continue using predominantly hydrocarbons for energy and need to “phase down” fossil fuels – he didn’t say he wanted to phase them out.

On Saturday, Bill Hare, at Climate Analytics, said: “Australia still is a very coal-intensive country and still is approving new mines to export coal. It is essentially using the drug-dealer defence, saying that other countries are demanding the coal.”  But by Wednesday, Australia reportedly ended finance for fossil fuel expansion overseas – now focus turns to local subsidies.

In another gratuity to the oil producers, GOP 29 will be hosted by Azerbaijan.

 

B

Barbados prime minister Mia demanded money and denounced methane, saying the world needs strong regulation of oil and gas companies to swiftly reduce methane releases.  “To turn down the heat, you simply have to turn down the methane,” she says.  GUK, which called hera major figure in climate diplomacy” found it “interesting” that she focused on methane, not climate finance, “the subject with which she is most associated.”

This changed on Tuesday, when Mottley gave a press conference regarding international financial systems, where she said: “We are living in the age of superlatives. Temperature and extreme weather records are tumbling, and our finance systems cannot cope”.

Brazil’s president, Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, said it was not possible to tackle the climate crisis without also tackling inequality. He spoke of climate suffering in the Amazon, which was experiencing one of the “most tragic droughts in its history”, while cyclones in the south of Brazil had left a trail of “destruction and death”.

Da Silva, had “roared into” Cop28 with a mega-delegation of more than 2,000 people and grand ambitions to address inequality and protect the world’s tropical forests, gaining a £35 million promise from the UK to protect the Amazon rainforest through Brazil’s dedicated Amazon fund.  But “any pretensions he might have had to broader climate leadership on cutting fossil fuels were weakened on Thursday,” GUK noted, when his energy minister, Alexandre Silveira, announced that Brazil plans to align itself more closely with the world’s biggest oil cartel, Opec.  Brazilian climate campaigners said the timing and symbolism were “horrendous” and Marcio Astrini, the executive secretary of the Brazilian Climate Observatory called the statement a scandal.

 

(Best-dressed delegates Fanny Chen from Brazil, and is promoting vegan eating.  “Livestock is the root cause of both Nature’s collapse and the climate crisis,” according to the leaflet she is handing out.)

 

C

Steven Guilbeault, Canada’s environment minister, has said the loss and damage fund should help rebuild trust between the global north and south after years of tense negotiations.  Earlier today, Canada committed US$11.8m to the new fund

China: U.K. PM Sunak declined to single out China when asked which countries need to do more to tackle climate change, and heaped praise on Cop28 host the United Arab Emirates.

Pressed on whether Beijing should do more, the prime minister told reporters in Dubai: “Everyone collectively needs to do more to make sure that we do reduce emissions sufficiently.”

China’s Institute of Atmospheric Physics from the Academy of Science’s short-term climate prediction team finds that, after the warmest summer on record we could be heading for a similarly abnormal winter. the “imminent maturity of a moderate to strong eastern Pacific El Niño” augurs   an exceptionally warm winter – “and gives a 95% chance that the global average surface temperature for the 2023-24 winter will set a new historical record.”

Although Colombia’s economy is dependent on fossil fuels, which account for about half of its exports, its president has committed to stop the expansion of coal, oil and gas exploitation. If they can do it, why can’t we?

Nikos Christodoulides, president of Cyprus, told the summit that his country was experiencing the effects of climate change – wildfires, floods, extreme heatwaves which have destroyed large parts of their forests and said that the Eeastern Mediterranean and Middle East climate change initiative was working on a coordinated response across the region.

“(The Loss and Damage Fund) was a milestone in terms of creating a positive mood for the very, very complex process on the GST [global stock take] that we had ahead of us now. But the fund needs to be filled up. The pledges announced were a welcome sign, but they were just pledges and must materialise as soon as possible,” said ambassador Pedro Pedroso of Cuba.

The Czech Republic’s decision to join the Powering Past Coal Alliance leaves only a handful of European countries including Poland and Bulgaria outside the group.  Alexandru Mustață, campaigner at Beyond Fossil Fuels, said: “The Czech Republic stood alongside Germany and Poland as one of the three big coal laggards in the EU. Today’s announcement shows that like most European nations, it is looking to a future beyond coal.”

D

Despite being at war with Russia, Ukraine has signed a deal at Cop28 with Danish renewable energy company Vestas to supply turbines to build in the country.  They agreed to build 64 wind turbines

E

Abiy Ahmed, president of Ethiopia, said his country had planted 32.5bn seedlings and was turning a desert into a biodiverse paradise, producing 6m hectares of wheat in one year and has, for the first time become a wheat exporter.

 

Ursula von der Leyen, president of the European Commission: Global emissions must peak by 2025, we must phase out fossil fuels and we must reduce methane emissions”  In terms of private finance, she said: “We need to reform the international financial system, we need more carbon pricing.

Upon the loss and damage handouts, “Everyone with the ability to pay should contribute,” said the EU climate commissioner, Wopke Hoekstra, who said he wanted to “broaden the donor base beyond the usual suspects, simply because that reflects the reality of 2023.”

F

Sitiveni Ligamamada Rabuka, prime minister of Fiji, has given a powerful speech talking about the large number of natural disasters that have befallen the island nation in the past few years.

“It is clear that we are at a breaking point not only for the Pacific, but for humanity … we need a just transition that ensures global emissions peak before 2025.”

A garrulous Emmanuel Macron, president of France, called for a complete U-turn on the subject of coal on Friday, December first, with the G7 countries must set the example and commit to putting an end to coal, with the World Trade Organization placing a tariff on the black stuff.

Last Tuesday, Macron also hailed the signing of a declaration to triple nuclear energy by 2050 and recognise “the key role of nuclear energy in achieving global net-zero greenhouse gas emissions/carbon neutrality by or around mid-century”.  Nuclear energy “is back,” he said.  Twenty-two countries have pledged to triple nuclear capacity by 2050

A new diplomatic initiative, led by France and called the Coal Transition Accelerator, was also announced today. It will focus on ending private finance for coal, supporting communities that have previously relied upon the fuel and accelerating the development of clean energy in those regions.  Leo Roberts, at the E3G thinktank (see USA below) said: “Most coal projects are in the global south and none of them make any sense on economic grounds. They’re also a terrible idea for development and for the climate. So ending private finance for those will be extremely important.”

G

Germany has also announced it will put $100m towards the loss and damage fund,

In Germany, politicians and pundits across the political spectrum demanded that the national branch of Fridays for Future, the student protest movement that Thunberg started in 2018, distance itself from her views.

German heat pump rollout at risk as government suspends climate subsidies

Stephanie Akrumah, a climate activist and Director of the Centre for Green Growth, a Ghana based NGO, said: “Women and girls should be at the centre of tackling the climate crisis but instead, our voices are silenced and we are ignored when funding is distributed. Conscious and unconscious barriers holding women back must be demolished.

Greek prime minister, Kyriakos Mitsotakis spoke of the fires and floods that have devastated Greece in recent years, and that Greeks have cut coal use by 80% while growing the economy faster than other countries in the Eurozone.  He said decarbonisation of shipping – in which Greece is a world power – must be done on an even playing field. Shipping is one of the world’s most polluting industries, and has been notoriously resistant to change

(While the PM did not specifically mention the Elgin Marbles, Greeks were excited that King Charles wore a Greek-motif tie and pocket square during his address to the conference – signalling (?) – his support for their return to Athens.)

H

The authorities in Honduras have issued an arrest warrant for the alleged mastermind in the case of Berta Cáceres, the murdered Indigenous environmental leader, writes my colleague Nina Lakhani.

Cáceres was shot in her home by hired hitmen in March 2016 in retaliation for leading a grassroots campaign to stop construction of an internationally financed hydroelectric dam on a river considered sacred by the Lenca people.

I

Even as the Narendra Modi, India’s prime minister, prepares to travel to the Cop28 summit, a top official in his government insisted coal will remain India’s main source of energy for years to come.  “Coal is, and will continue to be an important part of India’s energy needs,” Vinay Mohan Kwatra, India’s foreign secretary, told reporters ahead of Modi’s trip to Dubai.

On Friday, the Iranian delegation announced it was walking out. The reason, Iran’s energy minister told his country’s official news agency: The “political, biased and irrelevant presence of the fake Zionist regime” — referring to Israel.

Abdul Latif Rashid, president of Iraq, drew on the history of the region, pointing out that his predecessors in Mesopotamia, 4,500 years ago, drew up the first agreement for sharing water resources, and warned the summit that the famous rivers of Iraq were now under threat from drought linked to climate change.

Putin is also scheduled to meet the Iranian president, Ebrahim Raisi, on Thursday for what his aide, Yury Ushakov, has described as “a rather lengthy conversation”, according to Tass, the Russian state-run news agency.

Neither Saudi Arabia nor the UAE has signed the ICC founding treaty, meaning they don’t face any obligation to detain Putin.

Al Jaber said he had “incredible respect for Mary Robinson” after he was accused of being arrogant towards the former Irish president when he said there was no scientific need to phase out fossil fuels, adding: “I was very honoured to receive her invitation to speak in a discussion around climate and gender.”

J

The prime minister of Japan, Fumio Kishida, welcomed the summit’s plans to conclude the first ever global stocktake.  He outlined the country’s financial and energy transition plans, including a goal to make renewable energy its main source of power – Japan is apparently the world’s third largest market for solar power.

But Evan Gach, from the Kiko Network, an NGO in Japan, said: “It’s disappointing to not see Japan on the PPCA list, but maybe not a surprise. Japan has over 170 existing coal units, and there’s no plan or roadmap to phase these out. Japan is committed to extending the life of fossil fuels for as long as they can profit from it.”

 

 

Abdullah II bin Al-Hussein, the king of Jordan linked the climate emergency to the war happening in Gaza, adds: Jordan does not contribute significantly to climate breakdown but is greatly affected, with water scarcity a real threat.

 

K

Kassym-Jomart Tokayev, the president of Kazakhstan, has pledged to join the global methane pledge. He says there is extraordinary potential for wind and solar in his country – a key oil exporter

William Ruto, the president of Kenya, the world needs to invest in green energy and other infrastructure in Africa. “A tendency to ignore Africa’s developmental and industrial needs … is no longer a tenable position. Turning Africa into a green powerhouse is not just essential for the continent, it is also vital for global industrialisation, decarbonisation.”

 

L

Gitanas Nausėda, president of Lithuania, said the Russian president, Vladimir Putin, has committed “ecocide” in his war against Ukraine and should not be about to get away with it.

 

M

Tina Stege, climate envoy of the Marshall Islands, pointed out that Al Jaber, the president of Cop28 who has come under fire for his comments that there is “no science”

N

Dutch prime minister, Mark Rutte has stepped down as prime minister after a divisive and angry election – merely acknowledging that the decarbonisation in the Netherlands is “tricky.” It remains to be seen what far-right politician Geert Wilders will want to do on this topic.

New Zealand has won an award at Cop28. Unfortunately it is not one to be proud of. Each day, the Climate Action Network is branding one country the “fossil of the day” – an award for the most bone-headed and regressive climate action because of the newly-formed government’s choice to overturn the existing world-leading ban on new oil and gas exploration. Christopher Luxon, the new prime minister, has vowed to open the country’s vast ocean to more oil and gas exploration, rowing back on his predecessor Jacinda Ardern’s 2018 ban.

Greenpeace Nordic just held a press conference at Cop28 along with climate legal advocates to discuss their court case against the state of Norway.

 

O

 

P

Tariq Luthun, a Palestinian American from Friends of the Earth Palestine, who said denying water to people was a form of collective punishment that has also been used in the US, for example the mass water shutoffs for overdue bills in Detroit and the lead contamination scandal in Flint, Michigan.

“What good is to be found in a green world if the roots are soaked in blood,” said Luthum. “I reject the notion that some people have to suffer so that others can prosper.”

An early frontrunner in this year’s fashion stakes is Briseida Iglesias, a Guna indigenous leader from Panama, sage of the songs and other spiritual practices of the Gunadule people.

Santiago Peña, president of Paraguay, said: “In my country of Paraguay all energy is clean and renewable. Yes you heard that, it is all clean and renewable.”  He’s right – the Itaipu Dam, located on the Paraná River, is one of the largest hydroelectric power plants in the world and generates about 95% of Paraguay’s electricity, all of which comes from renewable sources.

Polish activists have already got together to protest against his attendance. Dominika Lasota, a climate activis, said: “Fuck you. Your power is coming to an end. Fossil fuel dictators out.”  When Greta Thunberg posted a photo of herself holding a “stand with Gaza” sign on Instagram in October, the backlash in Israel and Germany came hard and fast.

 

 

Q

 

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Russian president, Vladimir Putin, arrived in the UAE, to the alarm of the Ukrainian delegation.  Putin is also scheduled to meet the Iranian president, Ebrahim Raisi, on Thursday for what his aide, Yury Ushakov, has described as “a rather lengthy conversation”, according to Tass, the Russian state-run news agency.

Neither Saudi Arabia nor the UAE has signed the ICC founding treaty, meaning they don’t face any obligation to detain Putin.

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Toeolesulusulu Cedric Schuster, Samoa’s environment minister and chair of Aosis, pointed to the pragmatic realities of the ongoing diplomacy.“We still have a week left,” Schuster said. “We would like to continue our work. We have our goals. We will prefer to continue to stand up for what we believe in.”

new paper from the Climate Social Science Network examines the role of Saudi Arabia in obstructing progress at climate talks over the past few decades. The key quote the authors highlight is:

​​What sets Saudi Arabia apart from most other countries is that it sees its national interest as best served by obstructing intergovernmental efforts to tackle climate change

Fatou Ndoye is a Senegalese climate expert who coordinates mangrove restoration.  Ndoye is a strong entry in our best-dressed series for Cop28.

President of Serbia, Aleksandar Vučić, said that temperatures in his country have increased by 1.8C already. Serbians experienced uncomfortable “tropical nights” over 20C degrees celcius for the first time this October,

Wavel John Charles Ramkalawan, president of the Seychelles, said he was disheartened that so many financial commitments on climate change were yet to be fulfilled despite the urgency of the crisis.  Small island developing states urgently need money to deal with the coastal erosion they are seeing.

Zuzana Čaputová, president of Slovakia, asked the summit: “How much more do we want to harm future generations?” Her country’s emissions are 55% lower than they were in 1980 and, by the end of this year will stop using coal to generate electricity.

Climate funding must be faster and easier, says deputy PM of flood-hit Somalia.

Vivian Sunwoo Lee, from the Solutions for our Climate group in Korea, said: “If (South) Korea doesn’t want to fall behind the major economies, it will also need to phase out coal.”  Solar and wind energy is the cheapest electricity in the world today, and often even cheaper than simply continuing to buy the fuel for coal-fired power stations.

Pedro Sánchez, president of Spain, said we need to have a “polluter pays” principle, where polluters pay for the destruction they cause.

 

 

 

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Licypriya Kangujam, a 12-year-old Indian climate justice activist and special envoy of Timor-Leste here at Cop28, was unimpressed at the UAE Cop president’s oil and gas links.

Tupou VI, the King of Tonga said it was “painful” for small developing island states to see that Cop28 “may not be the milestone moment we were all hoping for”: over 50,000 Pacific island people were displaced every year as their homes are lost as a result of climate breakdown.

Turkey’s Recep Tayyip Erdoğan made comparisons between the war in Gaza and the climate crisis. He said: “Turkey has stood by peace during all these crises and works towards finding solutions on the basis of equity. He pointed out that Turkey is the second in Europe and ninth in the world for hydro energy and despite the devastating earthquake in February they are managing to keep on track for their goals and are “healing the wounds” of the disaster.

Turkmenistan joined the Global Methane Pledge today, an important move for the world’s fourth largest methane emitter. In May, the Guardian revealed Turkmenistan’s “mind boggling” methane emissions in May, a development sources said was instrumental in pushing the country to act. The country’s super-emitting leaks are seen as some of the easiest to fix by repairing ageing gas infrastructure.

 

Kausea Natano, prime minister of Tuvalu, called for the creation of a fossil fuels non-proliferation treaty.  “I come to deliver a simple message to save our people from the devastating impacts of climate change,” he said.  “This Cop28 must produce a decision that addresses the root cause of emission. It must include clear language of phasing out fossil fuels. We no longer have time to sit by while our islands sink, while our forests burn and while our people suffer.”

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UN climate chief warns nations not to ‘fall into the trap of point-scoring’;

 

UNITED ARAB EMIRATES

On 31 December, two key air quality regulations will drop off the statute book under the Retained EU Law (REUL) Act. (UAE)

   Opening: Hana Alhashimi, the UAE’s chief climate negotiator. She says the UAE’s negotiating team is two-thirds female, and two-thirds youth, from a range of diverse backgrounds.  Majid al-Suwaidi, the Cop28 director-general, says “We have no time for polarisation and argument; it is time for partnerships, solidarity and action.”

   The United Arab Emirates’ vast fossil fuel production is contributing to dangerously high air pollution levels, creating health risks for its people and migrant workers

   The race is now on to breed drought resistant and more weather-flexible crops. In the UAE for example, there are wild dates and olive trees adapted to extreme mountain conditions which could provide a “genetic treasure trove”, according to the World Wildlife Fund,

Ukranians alarmed by Putin's arrival in UAE.  Russian president, Vladimir Putin, arrived in the UAE, to the alarm of the Ukrainian delegation.

Ugandan climate activist Vanessa Nakate participates in a demonstration against fossil fuels

 

UNITED KINGDOM

“We want to restore that cross-party consensus, but the way we will do it is by leading from the front,” said (Labor Party’s Keith) Starmer. “Those that want to be with us on this journey are very welcome. And I know there are leading lights in other political parties who would welcome an incoming Labour government leading from the front.”

Lili Fuhr, director of the legal groups CIEL’s fossil economy program, warned that the global stocktake (GST) risks becoming “bloated and meaningless”. “The US, the very worst climate wrecker, has plans for massive oil and gas expansion and wants to talk about unabated emissions, which is part of the festival of false solutions the fossil fuel industry is promoting here.

 

United States

It is now “crunch time” in these climate talks, according to John Kerry, who has urged other countries to raise their ambition in Dubai. “Come on, it’s time to get serious,” the US climate envoy said.

The US joined the Powering Past Coal Alliance on Saturday by committing to close all its coal-fired power plants, in a move hailed at Cop28 as “huge news” that puts pressure on the world’s biggest burner of coal, China.  Coal, maintains GUK is “the dirtiest fossil fuel” – about 40% of fossil fuel emissions – and its phase-out is essential to fighting the climate crisis. The US has the world’s third biggest fleet of coal-burning power stations. The deadline set by the US for ending coal appears to be 2035, five years after the 2030 date seen as compatible with keeping global heating below 1.5C.  The Czech Republic and Kosovo, both heavily reliant on coal, also joined the PPCA today.

Al Gore said an agreement by countries to phase out fossil fuels would be “one of the most significant events in the history of humanity”. He added that it had been “absurd” to put a fossil fuel company CEO in charge of Cop28.

 “If there were a decision here to surprise the world to say ‘OK we get it now, we’ve made enough money, we will get on with what needs to be done to give young people a sense of hope again and stop as much as suffering as possible... it would be one of the most significant events in the history of humanity,”  “There is only one measure of success for Cop28: will it include a commitment to phase out fossil fuels or not,” he said. “If it does include such a commitment it will be a smashing success; if it does not it will be a failure.”

Kerry was up early to help open the US pavilion at Cop28 this morning. The US’s climate envoy led a small group of Biden administration officials in an upbeat assessment of the White House’s efforts in tackling climate change.  “I feel optimistic, I really do,” Kerry said. “I am in Dubai with a sense that something different is really happening.”  But he refused to denounce the twenty two nations calling for a tripling of nuclear energy, adding that: “...the reality of facts and evidence tell us that you can’t get to net zero 2050 without some nuclear. These are just scientific realities. No politics involved in this, no ideology involved in this.”  (Protesters disagreed... 350.org’s  Masayoshi Iyoda contending that: “The attempt of a ‘nuclear renaissance’ led by nuclear industries’ lobbyists since the 2000s has never been successful - it is simply too costly, too risky, too undemocratic, and too time-consuming.)

By Tuesday, when Jaber’s ‘no science’ behind demands for phase-out of fossil fuels had gone viral, he opined:  “Well I think what he was saying … is the science itself does not prescribe a particular approach, it doesn’t say you have to do this or you have to do that,” Kerry explained. 

Kamala Harris, the US vice-president, @when she speaks here later on Saturday. Announcements from the US on coal and methane are also expected.

 

 

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Zambia’s president, Hakainde Hichilema, has hit back at suggestions that a wave of carbon offsetting deals in African countries by a UAE sheikh, which include his country, are a new “scramble for Africa”.  This year, the rights over vast tracts of African forest have been sold off in a series of huge carbon offsetting deals that cover an area of land larger than the UK to a UAE-based firm called Blue Carbon

Emmerson Mnangagwa, the president of Zimbabwe, said “economic sanctions placed on our country are hindering climate action”.