the DON JONES INDEX…
|
||
|
|
GAINS
POSTED in GREEN LOSSES POSTED in RED 8/21/26... 14,381.39 8/14/26... 14,373.35 8/7/26... 14,377.11 6/27/13...
15,000.00
Original |
|
|
(THE DOW JONES INDEX: 8/21/26... 52,759.21; 8/14/26...53,839.99; 6/27/13…
15,000.00) |
||
LESSON for FRIDAY,
AUGUST 21ST, 2026 – “THE MONGOL HERD!”
“The planet is in crisis,” UNDP warns the United
Nations D P (UNDP - ATTACHMENT ONE) and our response must “rise to the
moment.
“Land is degrading fast. Biodiversity is
declining at an unprecedented rate. The climate is growing more extreme and
unpredictable.
“Our planet is on the brink of irreversible
changes that will reshape the systems that sustain life: from the way we grow
food and manage water, to how communities build livelihoods and prepare for an
uncertain future.
The scale of these challenges demanded a
response of equal ambition. That is why three major environmental conferences,
or Conferences of the Parties
(COPs), were scheduled for 2026 are pivotal moments. They intend to
bring countries together “to advance action on three interconnected
priorities: restoring land, protecting biodiversity and tackling climate change.
Prior to the annual massive UN
Climate Change Conference November 9th through 20th
in Antalya, Turkey. the UN will hold a biodiversity
conference October 19th through 30th in Yerevan,
Armenia and, on Monday, began its 2026 Convention to Combat
Desertification running through August 28th in Ulaanbaatar,
Mongolia.
“These
political negotiations are essential,” the COPS believe, and must be matched by
progress on the ground. We must
urgently move onwards from the times of talk “into the era of action.”
In
Mongolia, governments will discuss ways to combat
drought and “protect herders and their pastures from land degradation in a
warming world,” Climate Change News reported in its August 13th
preview (ATTACHMENT TWO) and accompanying video.
Mongolia,
like much of the EU and USA, has been damaged by drought – which is
currently sweeping much of the Northern hemisphere, “leaving normally green
urban parks looking like dry savannah, causing crops to fail, food prices to
rise and billions to be shaved off economic output.”
CCN asked and answered the following...
WHAT
IS COP17?
It is the conference of parties (COP) to the
United Nations Convention to Combat Desertification (UNCCD) which takes place
every two years. The parties are 196 governments, which include all of the
countries recognised by the UN and was conceived at the Rio Earth Summit in
1992, at the same time as the other two larger "Rio trio" conventions
on climate and biodiversity.
WHAT
IS DESERTIFICATION?
It is the process by which land degrades and
becomes more like a desert, making it harder - and sometimes impossible - to
grow crops or graze livestock there – and...
WHAT
HAS IT GOT TO DO WITH CLIMATE CHANGE?
The planet's climate is heating up, mainly
due to humans burning fossil fuels, and drying out its land. This kills plants
and exposes the soil which can then be blown away by wind and washed away by water.
Without a top layer of soil, plants struggle
to grow again and the land gets closer to being a desert. So combating
desertification is a way of adapting to climate change.
WHAT
WILL BE NEGOTIATED AT COP17?
“The main issue is what form a new initiative
to tackle drought could take. The last COP saw Africa push hard for this to be
a protocol - a kind of binding sub-treaty to the UNCCD.
“But the US, Europe, Argentina and others
argued that would take too long to set up, cost too much and take money away from
what can be spent on the ground. They (preferred) a legally weaker alternative
- a framework instead of a protocol.”
PASTORAL PROTECTION
COP 17 will also ask governments to negotiate
a new policy on protecting rangelands (areas where animals graze as cover
around half the Earth’s land). More
visible in Mongolia than in, for example, most of the settled United States,
Pastoralists are “people who herd animals on these rangelands, often moving
from place to place to find fresh pasture.”
WHAT
ELSE SHOULD WE WATCH OUT FOR?
At the last COP 16, two years ago, host Saudi
Arabia led the creation of an initiative called the Riyadh Global Drought
Resilience Partnership to help 80 of the poorest nations deal with
drought.
“It received $12 billion in pledges, mainly
from Gulf-based development finance institutions. Saudi Arabia is expected to
report back on whether these pledges have been delivered and how the money will
reach those in need now.”
WHO
WILL PRESIDE OVER COP17?
While the last five and the next two climate
COPs have been or will be presided over by men, COP17 will be woman-led with
Mongolia’s foreign minister, Battsetseg Batmunkh, as president.
This will also be the first COP for the
UNCCD’s new executive director Yasmin Fouad. Before being appointed environment
minister in her native Egypt, Fouad was a scientist and lead author of the
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change's special report on desertification.
WHAT
ROLE WILL THE US PLAY?
While the US has left the UN’s climate
convention, as from other environmental venues (see Attachment Thirty, below)
it remains in the UNCCD and is expected to bring a delegation of officials from
its departments of agriculture and state. It is also likely to resist any
renewed push from Africa for a drought protocol.
The need for drought relief...
especially potent this year... has the potential to worsen through winter
2026-7 due to a “historic” El Niño pattern. Forecasters believe there is a “greater than
90% chance” that a “very strong” El Niño pattern could develop in the Northern
Hemisphere (including the presently stormy Great Lakes region, as described by
NBC Chicago (ATTACHMENT THREE). They
also noted a 69% chance of a “historic” event that would “shatter records,
which date back to 1950 according to CPC data.”
As did the Climate Changers (above), NBC’s
meteorological journalists asked and answered some background questions as
might explain the contradictions of stormy skies and deepening droughts.
WHAT IS AN EL NIÑO PATTERN?
An El
Niño weather pattern occurs when the trade winds in the
Pacific Ocean weaken, allowing warmer ocean water to be pushed to
the east, toward the west coast of the Americas
WHY IS CHICAGO AND OTHER
LOCATIONS IN THE MIDWEST BEING HIT BY FLOODING, TORNADOES AND STORMS?
A
so-called “Super El Niño” features even warmer water pushing that jet stream
further to the south, which can allow warm, dry air to flood over large swaths
of the United States, according to the National Weather Service.
The present wet weather will dry out and heat up, according
to researchers at the University of Illinois who are predicting drier and
warmer winter weather than usual, “which could mean above-average temperatures
and lower-than-average snowfall, according to officials.”
South
of Chicago, the Associated Press (via KY3 in Springfield, Missouri) found a
reversal of raininess... as a “late summer heat wave has gripped much of the
United States in a sweaty headlock and forecasters say it won’t let go anytime
soon.” (August 14, ATTACHMENT FOUR)
While
Illinois and Indiana float away, a heat dome effect cloaking the South and
Southeast is really going to bump up the mortality from this heat wave. It’s
going to be deadly because of all these factors,” listed by meteorologist Jeff
Masters of Yale Climate Connections... “(l)ong lasting, intense, and high
humidity.” Outdoor workers interviewed
by the station expressed feelings of exhaustion and oppression necessitating
hydration; the homeless are being directed to indoor cooling stations in the
communities of compassion, rounded up and locked up elsewhere.
“The heat wave is (also) coinciding with the
start of the new school year in much of the country,
forcing discussions about how to keep students comfortable on buses, in
classrooms and even on school playground equipment,” KY3 reported. In some areas, fall sports
are being pushed back or cancelled due to the risks of heatstroke.
“Nationwide, at least 58 players died
from exertional heat stroke between 1992 and
2024, the latest year available, and thousands more are sickened each year,
according to the Korey Stringer Institute at the University of Connecticut.
Most of the deaths involved younger athletes.”
In the West, drought has
caused Lake Powell, the second-largest reservoir in the United States, to
shrink to its lowest level on record, in the latest sign of the alarming crisis unfolding on the
drought-stricken Colorado River.
“The
reservoir's levels dropped to 3,519.91 feet on Saturday, breaking the
record low of 3,519.92 feet set in April 2023, according to data from the US
Bureau of Reclamation published Sunday. It is now just under 30 feet away from the point at
which its dam will no longer be able to generate hydropower.” (CNN, August 17th, ATTACHMENT
FIVE)
CNN’s “most alarming
scenario” would see Lake Powell reaching "deadpool" levels of below 3,370 feet. “At this
point water would no longer be able to flow downstream from the dam at all.”
Neighboring Lake Mead, also sinking to a
record low, has yielded up a strange crop according to CBS: “apparent human
skeletal remains, including a jaw with the teeth still attached.” (August 18th, ATTACHMENT SIX)
"We noticed that it's
very low. The water looks very low compared to where it should be," Vegas
policeman Noel De Leon told KLAS on Monday. "As the water goes down, the
skeletons come up."
In May 2022, boaters spotted a metal barrel that ended up containing human
remains. “The man in the barrel
was found to have been shot and was declared a homicide
victim. The remains were believed to be from the 1980s, police said. The
remains have still not been identified.”
“Human remains found on May
7, 2022, in Callville Bay, just days after the body was found in the barrel, were
later identified as Thomas Erndt, who had drowned in 2002, according to the
medical examiner. The remains of another drowning victim, Donald Smith, who
was believed to have drowned in 1974, were found in October 2022.”
Lakes Mead and Powell, which
are essentially one gigantic reservoir separated by the Grand Canyon, hold just
under 60% of the total water currently
stored in the Colorado River basin. The unprecedented decline of these vast
bodies of water, which have been shrinking for more than 20 years, drives home
the perilous state of the river that feeds them.
While the coroners finger finger, toe and skullbones, a
headshrinker noted in PBS, via an article in “The Conversation” contends that climate change may be making us lonelier
and may even be “weakening the very social
fabric that helps communities thrive.
“As extreme
weather becomes more common and disruptive, the effects can impair
relationships, interrupt routines and communication, and damage gathering
places and the foundations of community traditions.” (August 9, ATTACHMENT SEVEN)
Manly men, on the other hand, dismiss the
prospects of climate change as another obstacle to be overcome with only
faggots worried about it... their reply and a reply to the reply added as
Attachment Twenty Nine below.
Some of the other consequences of climate
change that the weak dread include making travel unsafe, knocking out
phones and power and, in rural communities, causing agricultural crop losses.
“People who
are already socially isolated, including older adults and those living in rural
areas or lacking reliable transportation and internet access, are often most vulnerable. Climate
change and extreme weather can leave them even more isolated.”
The extremist of the extreme
were identified by an AI overview as the 2003 European heatwave is
widely considered the worst and deadliest heatwave in modern human history
(resulting in an estimated 70,000 fatalities) – followed closely by the 2010
Russian scorcher – the severe, prolonged drought and record-high temperatures
triggered massive wildfires and heavy smog, causing approximately 56,000 deaths.
And, ninety years ago, the North American Heatwave (1936) killed
only 5,000 people across the United States and Canada but is blamed for the
creation of the infamous Dust Bowl in the United States and Canada.
An AI Overview of the 2003
Eurofeverdream contends that it brought “the hottest weather recorded in Europe
since at least 1540.
A persistent high-pressure system, combined with hot continental air masses and
warm Atlantic waters, trapped scorching heat over Western Europe for weeks,
peaking in July and August,” topping not only the Russian summer of 2010 but
the 2022 Eurosizzler.
Various authorities listed reasons for the
record death toll – these including lack of preparedness, vulnerable
demographics (the very young and old), lack of nighttime cooling and too many
doctors on vacation.
Italy was the deadliest nation, followed by
France, Spain and Germany.
Russia’s 2010 heatwave
exceeded all of these according to another AI Overview which blamed the
disaster on an "omega block"
or "blocking high" described as a “powerful system of high
pressure became locked over Western Russia, completely stalling the normal eastward
movement of weather systems. This trapped hot air from Africa and the Middle
East over the region for more than 40 consecutive days,” with temperatures in
Moscow reaching 39°C (102° F). Russian Kalmykians
and American Phoenixians might chuckle at their distress, but there were also
“widespread wildfires and smog” raising carbon monoxide levels to
lethality. Other unhealthy factors
included drowning by inexperienced Russians diving into any available water and
a food shortage due to crop destruction.
Yet another
Overview (ATTACHMENT NINE) broke down the 2026 toll (so far) with Germany
taking the lead this time – followed by France, then Spain and Belgium.
In the U.K. the
Telegraph, however, alleges that the drought in the Thames hasn’t been as bad
as an earlier dearth fifty years ago (ATTACHMENT TEN) which imposed regulations
and rationing.
“On paper, 1976 was much more severe
than today,” says Dr Katie Facer-Childs, of the UK Centre for Ecology and
Hydrology.
“But although that was longer,
what we’re finding today is we’re getting to the same levels with worrying
speed.”
Wildfires have destroyed an area of
protected tropical forest twice the size of Wales globally since 2001, according
to a study,
published in the journal Global Change Biology – which was the
first to assess in detail how much protected tropical forest has been lost to
wildfires worldwide, and whether protected status actually reduces the risk of
forests burning.
“They found that wildfire-driven
destruction of protected tropical forests is not only substantial, but
accelerating. The annual area burned inside protected areas has been roughly
nine times higher since 2016 compared to previous years, with nearly a third of
all 24-year losses occurring in 2024 alone.
“The vast majority of the
destruction — around 89 per cent — occurred in the tropical Americas,
particularly in Brazil, which alone accounted for almost two-thirds of global
losses. Bolivia and Indonesia also recorded substantial losses.” (Downtoearth.org, August 16: ATTACHMENT ELEVEN)
Oscar Morton, Research Fellow at
the University of Sheffield, said: “Protected areas have undoubtedly shielded
tropical forests from fire over the past two decades. But they aren’t immune to
the broader climate crisis. To keep saving these ecosystems, we must tackle the
root causes of increasing forest flammability — starting with climate change — and
ensure fire risk is a core part of how we plan future reserves.”
Not only physical sweat and
suffering but economic pain attends the endless summer.
In
Europe, reported CNN (Aug. 14, ATTACHMENT TWELVE), not only the weather but the
wars (Iran, primarily, but also Ukraine and other conflict zones) are “forcing drastic measures in Europe, where successive
heatwaves are straining an economy already under pressure from US tariffs,
Chinese competition and higher energy prices because of the Iran war.
“Romania’s state-owned nuclear
power producer Nuclearelectrica started disconnecting its sole operational
reactor from the power grid Thursday because of record-low water levels in the
Danube, crucial for cooling its equipment, the company confirmed to CNN.” France and Hungary have
also had to curtail nuclear power due to low river levels and high
temperatures. In Paris, extreme heat
prompted the Eiffel Tower and the Louvre to close early on some days.
CNN reported that Europe’s sweltering summer could cost their economies €180
billion ($208 billion) this
year, or 1% of GDP – roughly the entire expected economic growth of the
European Union, according to an estimate by Netherlands-based Triodos Bank.
“Lower labor productivity is likely to have the largest economic impact,
alongside disruptions to agriculture, energy and transport,” the bank said in
a report this month.
The pain is apparently
universal... at least in the Northern Hemisphere. On Monday, the Guardian U.K. reported that
temperatures in Delhi, India reached 54°C (ATTACHMENT THIRTEEN) with profils of
slum dwellers simply trying to stay alive.
Over the last
few years cities across the subcontinent have
begun drawing up heat action plans – agreements formulated by a municipality or
district administration on how to prepare for and respond to extreme heat.
Most data
collated in heat planning is usually just meteorological, such as air
temperatures and heatwave thresholds.
The idea for the heat diaries was to “move beyond just the numbers”,
Nibedita Saha, a Greenpeace India researcher who worked on the project told
GUK. Some of the survival tactics
include hiding out in cooler places, sleeping on roofs and those of legal
inclination are filing lawsuits to compel the government to assist the poorest
with rising medical and electricity costs.
In rural
areas across the world, “pastoralist” from a climactic “Silk Road Caravan” has
been traveling on foot and horseback from Türkiye through landscapes
in the Russian Federation, Uzbekistan, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan and China –
converging in Ulaanbaatar, where the caravan’s final leg coincides with the
opening of COP 17. (GLOBALISSUES.ORG,
Monday, ATTACHMENT FOURTEEN)
“For centuries, caravans
travelling the ancient Silk Road carried goods, ideas and cultures between
distant civilisations. This one has carried stories of communities trying to
keep up their land productive and their livelihoods intact as drought and
degradation spread across drylands from Eurasia to Africa.”
Globalissues estimates the cost
of land degradation and drought at USD 900 billion annually, affecting 40% of
the world’s land and 3.2 billion people.
“Droughts have increased by almost one-third since 2000 and generate at
least USD 300 billion in annual losses, according to UN data.”
Rangelands, which cover 70% of
Mongolia, also cover 54% of the Earth’s land surface, support about 2 billion
people and provide nearly 70% of global livestock feed and one-sixth of the
world’s food. Yet up to half are degraded, particularly in dry regions facing
mounting climate pressures.
THE ECONOMICS OF WAITING
“COP17 organisers are seeking
to frame restoration not just as an environmental obligation but also as an
economic investment.
“The conference estimates that
about USD 355 billion is needed every year to combat land degradation and
drought, compared with the current investment of roughly USD 77 billion. That
leaves an annual financing gap of USD 278 billion.
“The private sector currently
contributes only around six percent of global finance for land restoration and
drought resilience.
“Closing that gap will be
central to the negotiations,” maintains Globalissues – just one among many with
the same problems and intent.
Mongolia’s Prime Minister N.
Uchral has called for a shift “from talk to action, from targets to implementation,
and from commitments to measurable results” in what has been designated by an
International Year of Rangelands and Pastoralists, giving pastoral communities
what Globalissues calls “a prominent place in the global policy calendar.”
EXCHANGE OF KNOWLEDGE
The Silk Road Caravan’s final
journey across Mongolia will take participants from the Gobi Desert to the
country’s central forests and grasslands where they are currently meeting
“nomadic herder families, researchers, local authorities and pastoral cooperatives
and visit restoration projects.”
UNDP.ORG (ATTACHMENT FIFTEEN)
contends that land “is where many of today’s
environmental challenges meet. Healthy soils store carbon, produce food, sustain
biodiversity and support the livelihoods of billions of people.”
But this foundation is under
growing strain. Up to 40 percent of the world's land is degraded, and the
consequences are being felt through food insecurity, water scarcity, migration
and economic instability – crises that will be addressed at COP 17, which
focuses on “the interconnected
challenges of desertification, land degradation and drought, and how
restoring land can build resilience and reduce vulnerability but also enhance economic
stability, national security and development.”
Herders and livestock farmers
will be taking centre stage as the Conference coincides with the UN
International Year of Rangelands and Pastoralists.
Also previewing COP 17, UNCCD
(ATTACHMENT SIXTEEN) collected testimonials from officials spotlighting the needs of
pastoralist communities who depend directly on these ecosystems for their
livelihoods.
“During the two-week conference, participants will engage in a
high-level segment including ministerial dialogues, alongside multistakeholder
forums and thematic discussions on science–policy integration, innovation and
solutions, tools and technologies, and financing. In addition to formal
negotiations, COP17 is expected to catalyze collective action on rangelands,
resilience and water, as well as food systems and soil health... wherein
Mongolian national initiatives linking land restoration with livelihoods and
rural development, including the President-led “Billion
Trees” National Campaign, initiated in 2021 and aiming to plant one billion
trees by 2030.
“Mongolia has also expanded public engagement and youth
participation through national dialogues and outreach activities, including the
“Youth4Land” National Forum. Through the Mongolia Business Council, the COP17
Presidency has been engaging the country’s private sector in support of a
Business4Land Initiative that “aims to accelerate private sector action
for sustainable land management.”
INDICO.UN’s COP preview details
include registration information
and an overview on “multistakeholder forums and thematic
discussions on science–policy integration, innovation and solutions, tools and
technologies, and financing” to catalyze collective action on “rangelands,
resilience and water, as well as food systems and soil health.” (ATTACHMENT SEVENTEEN)
And, last Saturday, the COP17 conference
opened in Ulaanbaatar with media profiles of upcoming key events including
governmental input, Silk Road Caravan pastoralist demands for action, including
a schedule of pre-COP and first week COP convocations. Details and some of the projected speakers
were listed (UNCCD.intl, ATTACHMENT EIGHTEEN)...
including...
·
Marioldy Sanchez Santivañez – Latin America
and the Caribbean
·
Ellen Otaru-Okoedion – Africa
·
Amiya Prapan Chakra Borty – Asia
·
Andy Morris – Western Europe
·
Sopiko Babalashvili – Central and Eastern
Europe
...but, notably, no Americans.
For the coming week, discussion
days listed included...
·
Finance Day – 24 August: Mobilizing public
and private investment for land restoration and drought resilience.
·
Water Day – 25 August: Strengthening drought
resilience and cooperation on the land-water nexus.
·
Land and People Day – 26 August: Highlighting
the role of pastoralists, Indigenous Peoples, local communities, women and
youth in restoring and sustainably managing land.
·
Food Systems and Soil Health Day – 27 August:
Advancing healthy soils and sustainable food systems to strengthen food
security and resilient livelihoods
And they directed media
enquiries and interview requests: UNCCD Press Office: press@unccd.int
Yahoo News (Aug. 19. ATTACHMENT
NINETEEN) focused on desertification; borrowing commentary
from the Guardian U.K., French radio broadcaster RFI, and the U.N.
regional information center's site
to assess the effects of desertification on food production and water
availability as countries around the world are "bracing for food price
rises as a result of damage to harvests from record heat and lack of
water."
The U.N.'s World Food
Programme also predicted that 50 million more people could be pushed into
hunger by the 'super El Niño' weather system currently developing."
On the weekend before
opening, UNRIC expressed hope that the decisions,
partnerships and initiatives launched therein would “strengthen
international cooperation on sustainable land management,
land restoration and drought resilience over the coming years,” at a
time when countries “are facing increasing pressure from land degradation,
water scarcity and climate change.”
Assembled
dignaries, scientists and media previewed the conference and expressed hope
that action would result.
“The greatest change we want to
see from COP17 is a shift from talk to action, from targets to implementation,
and from commitments to measurable results. Mongolia therefore calls for
tangible progress at this conference,” said H.E. N. Uchral, Prime Minister of Mongolia who
listed six proposed directions of the conference. (UNRIC.com ATTACHMENT TWENTY)
H.E. Battsetseg Batmunkh, Minister
for Foreign Affairs of Mongolia and UNCCD COP17 President, said: “For Mongolia, land is inseparable from our
people, our livelihoods and our future. As a country where
pastoralism remains central to our society and where land
degradation, drought and dzud are already placing growing pressure on
communities, we know that the health of our land has direct consequences for people’s
lives.
“Hosting COP17 is both a
responsibility and an opportunity to bring the experience of dryland countries
and pastoral communities to the centre of global discussions.”
Osama Faqeeha, Deputy Minister for
Environment, Ministry of Environment, Water and Agriculture of the Kingdom of
Saudi Arabia, and Advisor to the UNCCD COP16 Presidency, said:
“COP16 in
Riyadh was a historical turning point in the global awareness and drive for
action to address land degradation and drought. The world did not leave Riyadh
with more promises—it left with more partners, more investment, and stronger
momentum for action.
Osama referenced the Riyadh
Action Agenda, which included 35 initiatives when it was launched at COP16 in
Riyadh and has grown to include more than 100 initiatives today.
Opening remarks also addressed
the Rangelands Flagship Initiative, the Saudis’ Riyadh Global Drought
Resilience Partnership, a stronger participation of the private sector through
the Business for Land Initiative and marked the conclusion of the Silk
Road Caravan (above Attachment Fourteen) and expanded upon next week’s themed
days (Attachment Eighteen, above) announcing “major scientific and policy
publications” as follows...
·
24 August: The Economics of Rangelands Restoration
·
25 August: The Drying Planet: Drought in Numbers
2026
·
26 August: Global Land Outlook for Small Island
Developing States and Global
Land Outlook Central Asia Thematic Report
·
27 August: Soil Health: The Business Case for Investing
in Our Foundation
COP17 will conclude on 28 August,
when Parties are expected to adopt decisions that will guide the Convention’s
work over the coming years and shape the next phase of global action on
land restoration and drought resilience.
The Saudi handover of COP to
Mongolia (reported in the Saudi Gazette, August 13 (ATTACHMENT TWENTY ONE)
occurred after the Kingdom chaired the final COP
Bureau meeting. Their Arab News (August
17th, ATTACHMENT TWENTY TWO) commissioned Andrew Hammond is an associate at LSE IDEAS at the London School of
Economics to further explore the financial aspects and aspirations of the
COPsters... the Saudis having committed more than $12 billion to support
land restoration and drought resilience and appealed other member to also pony
up their shekels, Euros, yen, pounds, even... for what it was worth... dollars.
With the global cost of
desertification, land degradation and drought being about $900 billion every
year – with drought alone costing at least $300 billion annually, Hammond
estimates that each American dollar invested in land restoration “can generate
returns of up to $35” with a $10 return for every dollar put into drought
resilience in terms of improved ecosystem services and livelihoods.
Pastoralists are essential in efforts to
combat rangeland degradation and implement the UN Convention to Combat
Desertification (UNCCD) reported the Earth Negotiations Bulletin’s IISD; these
land stewards being front and center as the 17th meeting of the Conference of
the Parties (COP 17) opened in Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia. (ATTACHMENT TWENTY THREE)
“In the morning, pastoralists from 100
countries representing over 500,000 people – whose day-to-day activities
prevent soil erosion, enhance carbon storage, and maintain biodiversity –
paraded to meet with UNCCD Executive Secretary Yasmine Fouad, where they handed
over a Global Pastoralist Declaration highlighting their priorities,” the ENB
report conveyed.
During the opening ceremony, Mongolia’s Prime
Minister Nyam-Osoryn Uchral urged participants to transform the meeting into a
platform for solutions and turn commitments into tangible results/actions;
UNCCD Executive Secretary Fouad urged Parties to make COP 17 about repairing
ecosystems and restoring livelihoods, resilience, and hope in the multilateral
system and then the In the morning, pastoralists from 100 countries
representing over 500,000 people – whose day-to-day activities prevent soil
erosion, enhance carbon storage, and maintain biodiversity – paraded to meet
with UNCCD Executive Secretary Yasmine Fouad, where they handed over a Global
Pastoralist Declaration highlighting their priorities.
During the opening ceremony, Mongolia’s Prime
Minister Nyam-Osoryn Uchral urged participants to transform the meeting into a
platform for solutions and turn commitments into tangible results/actions;
UNCCD Executive Secretary Fouad urged Parties to make COP 17 about repairing
ecosystems and restoring livelihoods, resilience, and hope in the multilateral
system and then the COP elected the Minister of Foreign Affairs of Mongolia,
Batmunkh Battsetseg, as COP 17 President.
But tensions arose from the
traditional COP malcontents once it was time to adopt the agenda. “The Russian
Federation opposed an agenda item on the Intergovernmental Working Group on the
Future Strategic Framework on the grounds that their experts were blocked from
participating in its meetings. The US objected to three agenda items: synergies
with other conventions and international organizations; gender; and civil
society.” President Battsetseg quieted
the dissenters by deferring the four items to some later date.
In the afternoon, according to the ENB, “the
Committee of the Whole (COW) and the Committee for the Review of the
Implementation of the Convention (CRIC) met to begin discussions. In the COW, the Secretariat introduced the
programme and budget for the biennium 2027-2028, including three budget
scenarios, which ranged from zero nominal growth to a nearly 30% increase to
include three additional Secretariat positions,” (said agenda item being sent
to the budget contact group) and CRIC, Executive Secretary Fouad challenged
Parties to use the session “as an opportunity to reflect, accelerate action,
and overcome bottlenecks.” UNCCD (ATTACHMENT
TWENTY FOUR) did impart to observers that “meaningful progress” was made,
“though uneven and backsliding in some quarters.”
India’s Manorama Yearbook
(ATTACHMENT TWENTY FIVE) promised that, during the
two-week conference, “participants will engage in a high-level segment
including ministerial dialogues, alongside multistakeholder forums and thematic
discussions on science – policy integration, innovation and solutions, tools
and technologies, and financing.”
They ambled back into the
past, beginning with the adopton of COP in Paris, 1994 and the first Conference of the Parties (COP 1) held in Rome, Italy in October
1997. Also from India, the “Down to
Earth” grouping boiled down the desertification strategy of COP 17 to a
single demand, “enough declarations, turn land pledges into money and action.” (Aug. 17, ATTACHMENT TWENTY SIX)
But they also contended that, since the world has enough declarations on land degradation, “what it lacks
is finance and the institutional machinery to act on them.”
DROUGHT DEAL RETURNS
The most politically difficult
issue before the conference is the global drought protocol left unresolved at
COP16 in Riyadh, where countries failed to agree on a legally binding deal to
tackle drought. Some parties, including the African Group, pushed for a binding
protocol, Down to Earth recalled, “while others favoured a non-binding drought
framework.
“Negotiations were pushed to
COP17, making Ulaanbaatar the next test of whether governments can bridge the
divisions that stalled the deal in Saudi Arabia.”
Fouad (Attachment Two Above)
urged parties to build consensus on the drought framework – telling the
delegates that “…the role of COP17 presidency is to build consensus and
facilitate discussion till a drought decision would be gavelled,” adding that
the UNCCD secretariat hoped parties would reach an outcome that reflected both
the urgency and scale of the drought crisis.
Fouad said the aim now was not
only to secure a decision but to ensure it could be implemented. Speaking on behalf of the Asia-Pacific Group
in the opening plenary, India said the convention was meeting “at a moment when
the world for which this convention was designed is changing faster than the
systems established to protect it and restore it,” and called on COP17 to agree
on a drought decision that could “secure an ambitious, balanced, practical and
durable outcome that responds to the needs of all regions.”
The figures also highlight the
financing gap confronting the convention. Fouad said the priority at COP17 was
to accelerate implementation of the target to restore 1 billion hectares by
2030, while expanding access to finance through innovative mechanisms.
Outgoing COP16 presidency, Osama
Ibrahim Faqeeha, said drought currently affects about 1.8 billion people,
mostly in low- and lower-middle-income developing countries.
“Today we are 8 billion people
and by 2050 it is expected we will exceed 10 billion people. We have 2 billion
hectares of degraded land or at least between 1.5 to 2 billion; the figures
depend on reporting because 40 per cent of the countries are not reporting
their land degradation.”
“The task is
huge. We cannot continue business as usual,” Faqeeha added.
The numbers also highlighted the
financing gap confronting the convention, Fouad said – opining that the priority
at COP17 must be to accelerate implementation of the target to restore 1
billion hectares by 2030, while expanding access to finance through what she
called “innovative mechanisms”.
Allafrica.com (ATTACHMENT TWENTY SEVEN)
listed seven key issues that Fouad wanted to be addressed by the COP – these
being...
1.
Turning drought management from crisis response to resilience...
2.
Closing the $278 billion annual land-finance gap (her estimate being that $355
billion is required annually to combat land degradation and drought, but
current investment is only around $77 billion)...
3.
Putting rangelands and pastoralists at the centre...
4.
Land restoration and the future of food security...
5.
Linking land, climate and biodiversity action...
6.
Bringing science, technology and local knowledge into implementation and,
finally, asking...
7. Can COP17 deliver implementation rather
than another set of commitments?
From the developed world came
answers... from LeMonde of France (ATTACHMENT TWENTY EIGHT) whose interview with
geographer Jean-Daniel Cesaro on the links between desertification, climate
change and biodiversity loss was blocked by a Paywall which the more
curious and wealthy can access here.
Another aspect of the environmental whole was
raised by the Germans at DW and Americans at MSN who asked: Is caring about the climate unmanly?
Real men, according to Tamsin Walker, (DW, ATTACHMENT TWENTY NINE) view
environmental considerations as an attack upon their hegemony as masters and
providers and Amanda Clayton, a University of California
political scientist found during her research on the topic: "the gender
gap grows as a function of country wealth."
“Men
tend to decrease their concern about climate change as countries become
wealthier," Clayton said. "The growing gender gap is actually men's
growing skepticism."
One reason seems to be a fear of the
perceived costs — financial and cultural — of transitioning to a clean energy future.
Costs that feel especially threatening to men raised with the traditional
expectations of being the provider. Which is where politics comes in, because
she also found that as countries get wealthier, climate change becomes
politicized.
"And
when climate change becomes a political issue on the right, we see political
and industry elites starting to promote climate skeptical beliefs,"
Clayton said.
Linkage between climate change concerns and “perceived
threats to masculinity” can apply to to jobs in the fossil fuel
sector which, the DW/MSN mashup advised, is
more male-dominated. “In short, burning oil, gas and coal can become part of an
identity sometimes referred to as petro-masculinity...” which the merchers of
EVs, for example, are attempting to exploit by making electricity seem
masculine.
In the war between the genders, President Donald Trump is an
unapologetic manly man who promoted a policy of the penis in his Presidency 2.0
by pulling out of 31 UN bodies he considered gay, Communist or just a waste of
time and money as well as the Paris
Climate Agreement – contending that limitations of global warming to "well below" 2 degrees Celsius amounted to an attack
on the United States itself.
Climatechangenews.com (Jan. 8, 2026
– ATTACHMENT THIRTY) reported that among the organizations that POTUS deemed
hostile, unmanly and/or uneconomical included advocacies for endangered
species, solar energy and “green” policies among the unholy thirty one...
SecState Marco Rubio standing tall in his dismissal of “globalist bureaucrats who act against our interests," and
adding that more departures would be coming.
"The Trump Administration
has found these institutions to be redundant in their scope, mismanaged,
unnecessary, wasteful, poorly run, captured by the interests of actors
advancing their own agendas contrary to our own, or a threat to our nation’s
sovereignty, freedoms, and general prosperity," Rubio stated.
As has often been the case,
legal beagles raised questions about Trump's move to exit, through an executive
order, the UNFCCC – ratified by the Senate in 1992. It’ll be just another job for the Supremes.
A chorus of Communists ranging
from wokesta Wopke Hoekstra of the EU Climate Commission to COP30 CEO Ana Toni
to Gina McCarthy (the first White House National Climate Advisor under Sleepy
Joe Biden) to Concerned Scientist Delta Merner brayed their opposition - former
US climate envoy John Kerry soliciting support from Republicans and patriots by
calling Trump's decision "a gift to China.”
Still, the regime either could
not or would not prevent individual Americans from tripping out to Mongolia –
the US still being one of the 197 COP member parties. (AI Overview, ATTACHMENT THIRTY ONE) Perhaps the President was distracted from
clamping down by the drudgery of dealing with July’s heatwave – which averaged
76.9°F – the highest average ever recorded by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA),
going back to 1895 and breaking the previous record (shared by July 1936,
during the Dust Bowl, and July 2012.)
Time (August 11, ATTACHMENT
THIRTY TWO) reported that POTUS had a remedy for that, too... reducing NOAA’s workforce in 2025, and
subsequently proposing more steep cuts to the agency’s funding, “hampering its
ability to monitor weather conditions, analyze patterns, and provide
forecasts.”
That NOAA “must now respond
to increasingly severe weather events—like hurricane season and wildfire season—with reduced resources” was apparently
considering a small price to pay for Presidential prestige and power apparently
disrespected by the July climate report.
“A leaner NOAA that focuses
on core operational needs, eliminates unnecessary layers of bureaucracy,
terminates nonessential grant programs, and ends activities that do not warrant
a Federal role, will provide better value to the American public,” its budget
summary stated.
Trump,
however, could not prevent un-American bad actors like the
United Nations World Meteorological Organization (WMO) and WHO (World Health
Organization) – the former warning that periods of extreme heat “will become
more frequent, intense, and longer-lasting as climate change warms the
planet;” the latter declaring that: “Extended periods of high day and nighttime
temperature conditions create cumulative stress on the human body, increasing
the risk of illness and death from heat exposure.”
Time also cited the Centers
for Disease Control and Prevention’s claim that the heat dome effects are “more
likely to impact people with chronic medical conditions,
children, and adults over 65,” or... as the Regime follows the teaching of an
older, goneaway foe... the “useless eaters”
The budget cuts are even
popping balloons in states like Kansas – three quarters of the yearly flotilla
that collect upper-atmosphere temperature, humidity, pressure, and wind
information to support forecasting of random factors like... oh... tornadoes...
“Kansans deserve
transparency about what’s happening, why it’s happening and what’s being done
to fix it,” Rep. Sharice Davids said in a statement. “Kansans deserve
confidence that the systems meant to keep them safe are fully operational
during tornado season and meteorologists deserve the reliable data they need to
do their jobs.”
But Time also
suggested that, as NOAA faces an uncertain funding future, such
tools as the Chinese “Fenghe” – an open-source large language model (LLM) for
meteorological services – could become increasingly important to its efforts to
maintain forecasting capacity for an increasingly hot planet.
If we can
trust the Chinese...
Reports from
COP17 will be issued on a daily basis, according to the AI Overview (ATTACHMENT
THIRTY THREE); including, where applicable, objections by members like the
United States (denouncing items like gender
integration, civil society roles, and “cross-convention synergies”)
which, like the Russian resistance, has been can-kicked to next week, the week
after or, perhaps, never..
Monday’s
highlights and images concerned what ENB.IISD.org called “a wide array on enhancing efforts to address desertification, land
degradation and drought.” (August
17th, ATTACHMENT THIRTY FOUR)
In their opening statements, regions stressed: the importance of
enabling greater financial flows for strengthening efforts to address
desertification, land degradation, and drought; the importance of science for
informed decision-making; and the interlinkages between sustainable land
management and building community resilience.
Tensions
rose when it was time to adopt the agenda. The Russian Federation opposed an
agenda item on the Intergovernmental Working Group on the Future Strategic Framework
on the grounds that their experts were blocked from participating in its
meetings. The US objected to three agenda items: synergies with other
conventions and international organizations; gender; and civil society.
In
the COW, the Secretariat introduced the programme and budget for the biennium
2027-2028, including three budget scenarios, which ranged from zero nominal
growth to a nearly 30% increase to include three additional Secretariat
positions.
During the first meeting of the
CRIC, Executive Secretary Fouad emphasized that Parties are facing a decisive
moment for implementation of the 2018-2030 Strategic Framework, and challenged
Parties to use the session as an opportunity to reflect, accelerate action, and
overcome bottlenecks.
On Tuesday,
the
second day of the 17th meeting of the Conference of the Parties (COP 17) to the
United Nations Convention to Combat Desertification (UNCCD) featured a full slate
of formal and informal meetings, side events, and consultations and, as
discussions on drought and the science and technology agenda heated up, an
afternoon thunderstorm did little to mitigate the intensity of the day.
(ATTACHMENT THIRTY FIVE)
The Russian Federation opposed including the
work programme of the Science-Policy Interface (SPI) on the agenda – opposing
the participation of the Ukrainian expert on the SPI.
Following a morning panel discussion, Parties
stressed the importance of capacity-building for the effective implementation
of the Convention. Many called for a
demand-driven approach that takes into account national priorities, and for
adequate and predictable financial and technical resources. The Global
Environment Facility and the Global Mechanism presented reports and engaged in
a panel discussion on resource mobilization in the afternoon.
IN THE RAIN
Around the venue, as participants dodged the
afternoon rain, the hardy were able to experience traditional Mongolian music,
watch Mongolian crafts people at work, marvel at the artwork and sculptures,
and grab a coffee as they walked between meetings and a wide range of side
events.
During
Wednesday’s
sessions the sound of rain on the roofs of the meeting
rooms often drowned out the speakers in both the Committee for the Review of
the Implementation of the Convention (CRIC) and the Committee on Science and Technology
(CST).
After lunch, the Committee of the Whole (COW)
discussed migration, land tenure, and private sector engagement. On migration,
most agreed that desertification, land degradation, and drought is a major
driver of displacement. However, Mongolia and several others pointed out that
traditional migration of pastoralists allows them to sustainably use rangelands
and water resources, noting mobility is an adaptation strategy. (ATTACHMENT THIRTY SIX)
After one more downpour during the evening
contact groups, the skies started to clear and just before sunset a rainbow
appeared over the venue. In many cultures, rainbows are a positive omen that
hard times are ending and better days are coming. Hopefully, this bodes well
for the work underway in the contact groups.
On Thursday,
as the sun returned to Mongolia, panelists nonetheless addressed rangeland
drought with individual and community presentations; Anders
Oskal, Association of World Reindeer Herders, presented the Global Pastoralist and Indigenous Pastoralists’ Call
for Action, COW presented a Global Implementation Initiative for
Sand and Dust Storms, a Sand and Dust Storms Toolbox and a Rangelands Flagship
Initiative with its three components of knowledge, investment, and
institutions.
And today,
the 17th session of the Conference of the Parties (COP 17) to the United
Nations Convention to Combat Desertification (UNCCD) addressed all aspects of
“human mobility” (which refers to all forms of population movement, including
internal displacement, international migration, and nomadic or seasonal
travel).
Elsewhere in the venue, mayors,
governors and other local and regional leaders gathered at the COP 17 Mayors
Forum to adopt the Ulaanbaatar Declaration, committing to advance local action
on sustainable land management and drought resilience, and calling for a
stronger, more permanent role for cities and regions in the UNCCD
process.
A “Geography By Geoff”
video, now available here
depicted some of the reasons why Mongolia is Earth's most extreme country. (ATTACHMENT THIRTY NINE)
“From
brutal winters and vast open steppes to the world's lowest population density and
a centuries-old nomadic culture, Mongolia is one of the planet's most extreme
and fascinating countries.”
The Diplomat (February 28, ATTACHMENT FORTY)
advised that January 27, marked the 39th anniversary of diplomatic relations
between the United States and Mongolia – first established in 1987 amid the
waning years of the Cold War. For nearly four decades, this bilateral bond has
served as the cornerstone of Mongolia’s landmark “Third Neighbor” doctrine – “a
deliberate, sovereignty-centered strategy to diversify its foreign relations
beyond its two immediate (and hungry!) neighbors, Russia and China.”
Today,
against the backdrop of intensifying great power competition, the Mongolia-U.S.
strategic partnership stands at a defining inflection point and, the Diplomat
reports, not all is rosy in Mongolia-U.S. relations. On February 2, the United
States suspended immigrant visas for Mongolian citizens, including it
in a list “high-risk countries” whose nationals are supposedly prone to
“unlawfully utilize welfare in the United States or become a public charge.”
Against the backdrop of what the Diplomat
called “evolving great power dynamics” (and others might call simple bigotry),
China and Russia are deepening their economic engagement with Mongolia,
epitomized by two high-profile diplomatic missions in February 2026. Chinese
Vice Foreign Minister Sun Weidong visited Ulaanbaatar to reaffirm Beijing’s
longstanding policy priorities for Mongolia, while Mongolian Parliament
Speaker Uchral Nyam-Osor undertook a concurrent working visit to Moscow focused
on advancing energy cooperation and expanding bilateral economic ties.
Diplomatter Sumiya Chuluunbaatar conducted an
exclusive interview with Richard L. Buangan,
the U.S. ambassador to Mongolia
since November 2022, who
has described Mongolians as
“warm, hospitable, and direct” – qualities, he says, that
align with the best of American straightforwardness. Beyond this genuine
personal rapport, his insights on Mongolia-U.S. revealed a partnership “with
tangible, meaningful wins in defense, development, and education, yet one that
still faces steep structural hurdles to deliver on its full economic and strategic
potential for both nations.”
How this diplomat hasn’t been sacked is
perhaps something that The Diplomat has not considered.
Buangan framed 2026 as an “extraordinary
year” for both nations, tying the 39th
diplomatic anniversary to two historic national commemorations: the
United States’ 250th independence anniversary, branded “Freedom
250,” and the 820th
anniversary of the founding of
the Mongol Empire.
He also listed “tangible investments”
including the $462 million Millennium
Challenge Corporation (MCC) Water
Compact, scheduled for completion in March 2026. The project, which
includes a $112 million co-investment from the Government of Mongolia, will
increase Ulaanbaatar’s clean water supply by up to 80 percent, directly
addressing a chronic crisis driven by explosive rural-to-urban migration in the
Mongolian capital.
“That’s a physical symbol of America’s
long-term commitment to the U.S.-Mongolia partnership,” Buangan emphasized –
also citing Mongolian contributors to UN peacekeeping operations; an
exchange... unless Trumped... between Mongolian and American students;
cooperation on critical mineral extactions... including copper, lithium and
rare earth elements critical to American AI development.
Until the February icing of
Mongolian/American relations, Buangan had hailed the U.S.-Mongolia partnership
as “a quiet yet profoundly powerful testament to what sovereign nations can
build when they collaborate on the bedrock of shared democratic values,
mutually beneficial economic cooperation, and unflinching respect for one
another’s territorial integrity and strategic autonomy.”
On
Wednesday, The Week, via Yahoo, reported that the main goal of the
Mongolia conference is to "put pledges made two years ago into action
through projects in the developing world," according to the Guardian U.K. (ATTACHMENT FORTY ONE) citing also RFI
(Attachment Nineteen above) and Cesaro in Le Monde (Attachment Twenty Eight
above)
Wednesday’s New York Times
(ATTACHMENT FORTY TWO) speculated that, while President Trump will serve out
his term until Jan. 2029 (health permitting), his agenda might suffer should
the House (let alone the Senate) flip in November.
The big headline from Tuesday’s primary was how Democrats shocked
the establishment by nominating a democratic socialist for Senate,
though it wasn’t just Democrats who defied expectations yesterday. Republican
voters shrugged off some of President
Trump’s preferred candidates in Florida and beyond.
While Trump doesn’t dive into
the asses in their primaries, moderate... aka reasonable... Democrat Alexander
Vindman was defeated in the Florida Senate primary by Angie Nixon (another
Democratic Socialist) who was outspent 15 to 1.
More POTUSful endorsements
shriveled. Representative Cory Mills of Florida had been
investigated by the police in Washington last year, in connection with a report of an assault on a woman.
He wasn’t charged. Another woman got a protective order against
him, also last year.
“That didn’t stop Trump from endorsing Mills in February. Last
night, though, Mills lost to Ryan
Elijah, a former local TV anchor — the latest example of how
Republican voters are backing away from candidates who have courted controversy.
(Another Trump-endorsed candidate, Representative Andy Ogles of Tennessee, lost a primary this
month after drawing criticism for anti-Muslim remarks.)”
Trump also suffered losses in
Wyoming and legacy candidate Darline Graham’s primary is now in doubt after a
dismal debate performance but has remained upbeat – probably because Nixon is
certainly a more beatable challenger to Republican nominee Ashley Moody in
November.
At home in America, the mood was blue and
lunatic asy when highly paid, hardly
working ABC lateniter Jimmy Kimmel designated Rosie O’Donnel as the guest host
of the week.
Rosie, whose anti-Americanism resulted in her
moving to Ireland, closed out her four day stint by gifting President Trump
with a rendition of the classic “Danny Boy” with some of the lyrics... well,
most of them... uh... altered. (Entertainment Weekly: ATTACHMENT FORTY THREE
and the Daily Beast: ATTACHMENT FORTY THREE.A)
The White House had no comment. Nor did the Mongolians who, as the week’s
American primaries and COP conferences ended, presented their National Biodiversity Strategy and Action Plan 2026–2030, aligning with
global commitments under the Kunming-Montreal Global Biodiversity
Framework. (August 19th, Aazinform (Kazakhstan), ATTACHMENT
FORTY FOUR)
“The new
strategy emphasizes turning global pledges into concrete results.” One seemingly environmentally friendly (if
human deadly) factor has turned out to have a strange attraction.
“Crude oil and natural gas supplies
have been disrupted worldwide by the United States-Israel war on Iran,” (Al
Jazeera, Aug. 19: ATTACHMENT FORTY FIVE), but one energy sector appears to be
cashing in – coal.
This week, South Africa’s thermal
coal producer Thungela Resources said it had doubled its half-year profits as
the war has forced more countries to buy the fuel – which is still much cheaper
than oil... and is more readily available.
“Although abundant and relatively
cheap to produce, coal is considered one of the dirtiest fossil fuels,” the
Jazzies contend.
“Mining it causes water
pollution, and burning it releases enormous amounts of carbon into the
atmosphere, which contributes to global warming.”
They also blamed (or credited)
the restoration of the black rocks on the on-again off-again status of the
Strait of Hormuz and Iranian attacks on gas and oil facilities from Qatar to
Iranian ally Oman to the UAE and Saudis.
Since the war began, several
Asian countries have announced plans to increase coal-fired electricity
generation.
“Japan has lifted restrictions on older, high-emission coal plants
to cope with the energy shocks while South Korea has delayed the shutdown of
coal-powered plants it promised to wind down by 2040.
“In Bangladesh, the government at first imposed power cuts, closed
universities and rationed fuel sales for vehicles before announcing it had
ramped up coal-powered electricity generation.
“Thailand, the Philippines and Vietnam have also increased
coal-powered electricity generation to preserve dwindling gas reserves.
“In Pakistan, data from the National Electric Power Regulatory
Authority showed that by July, electricity generated from imported coal had
risen by 90 percent compared with the same period the previous year.”
Analysts noted that upticks in
some places are still being offset by long-term declines in coal use in places
like Europe but thee EU has also coaled up (coked up?) since the war began with
purchases by Germany and Italy from top exporters South Africa, Indonesia,
Australia and Russia.
In 2021, more than 40 countries,
including Indonesia and Vietnam, promised to scale back coal use at the COP26
global climate summit. However, the
Middle East crisis has upset those plans largely because many countries do not
have sufficient renewable energy-generating capacity to fall back on, according
to Nick Hedley, an energy transition analyst at South Africa-based Zero Carbon
Analytics.
So, despite the inconsistencies
of the fossil fuel industry, the overall effects still are making the Earth
hotter and hotter and hotter.
“Cole Porter had it right. It is
too darn hot,” the Economist sweated the summer out (July 16, ATTACHMENT FORTY
SIX). On July 14th the surface
temperature of Earth’s tropical and mid-latitude oceans was higher than on any other
July 14th in modern records. The same was true for every other day in July, and
for almost all of the days in June, too. Europe has gone through three
heatwaves since May, and though the continent is better prepared for such
things than it used to be, tens of thousands will have died as a result.
America’s Fourth of July
celebrations took place under a sweltering “heat dome”. Typhoons have battered
the Chinese coast; two hurricanes visiting Hawaii. “Fires are spreading far and wide,” and the
Economist says “worse is to come” due to El Niño and unexpected reduction in an
obscure but fundamental aspect of Earth: its albedo.
“The albedo is the fraction
of incoming sunlight that a surface or a planet reflects back whence it came.
High albedos, whether they are created by white roofs or ice-covered seas, keep
things cool; by contrast, when albedos are low, the incoming energy stays here
on Earth, raising the planet’s surface temperatures,” the Economist states –
meaning that the oceans are growing hotter
and cooling clouds are being chased away, to paraphrase Chuck (not Sergio)
Mangione.
WHY
CAN’T YOU BEHAVE?
Remedies ranging from
curbing methane emissions to phasing out fluorinated gases in
cooling systems to making air conditioning more efficient, cheap and
widespread (“which saves lives and fits well with other policy goals, like
making clean electricity cheap to produce and consume” but has drawn criticism
for its own energy consumption.
“The more warming quickens, the sooner it may
reach a point where, to quote Cole Porter again, anything goes.”
The Guardian U.K. (Aug. 20, ATTACHMENT FORTY
SEVEN) now calls present day heating and flooding “the age of climate
whiplash.”
And this
is “as good as it’s going to get,” warns Hayley Fowler, a professor at
Newcastle University. “It will only get hotter.”
Predictions for 2050 include
temperatures of 40C in Cambridge; Somerset and Dorset reaching 45C. TV weatherpeople advise staying indoors and
drinking plenty of fluids... “(e)xcept there will not be as
much fluid to drink,” wrote GUK’s Aditya Chakrabortty.
“Britain is world-renowned
for its soft steady drizzle, but over the next couple of decades, our summers
will turn arid while winters are more likely to bring a regular deluge of rain,
breaking our riverbanks and flooding our homes.
“Climate whiplash”,
scientists call this: lurching from bone-dry to soaked to the bone. Pleading
for water half the year, then terrified of its power the other half. This is
not “climate change” as it used to be shown on official graphs, running on
smooth lines pointing upwards; this is breakdown.
Britain’s new PM, Andy Burnham, is strikingly eloquent
on many subjects “but keeps stumm on the climate crisis, apart from his
promises to be “pragmatic” on fossil fuels. Elsewhere, the columnists dust off
their standby paragraphs fulminating about the Englishman’s right to wash his
own SUV, and the public information ads chide us to turn off taps, as if more
mindful toothbrushing is a climate-adaptation strategy. All is business as
usual – even while the business model is broken.”
Dr.
Jonathan Paul, an earth scientist at Royal Holloway University of London
foreseea battles for who gets water between farmers and datacenters. The GUK Labourite officials and their pop
toys in the rest of the media blame, of course, bad ol’ Maggie Thatcher for
enriching the “spivs and cowboys” and promoting surge pricing – “which means
charging you and me more for our water when we most need it. Never let a good
crisis go to waste, after all.”
GUK concluded by contending that this
crisis has been imposed on us from above – by “successive bungling governments
and rapacious companies.” It will not be fixed from above, by either a Labour
government paralysed with fear of the electorate or financiers out to make one
last buck.
Finally, what about the winter
of 2026/7? Will it be sunny and mild, or
will the bouncy bouncy turn back the tide to an equally extreme outcome.
The Old Farmer’s Almanac has been forecasting the seasons since
1818 and, the summer heat and fires notwithstanding, predicts the winter will
bring us all “snow, sleet and surprises” with areas of repeating
storms, raw rain, and heavy, wet snow, alternating with milder stretches interrupted by quick cold
snaps.
Geographically, the Almanac predicts...
A WET
AND STORMY SOUTHERN TIER
“El Niño is
expected to remain an important influence through the heart of the season,
favoring wetter-than-normal conditions across much of the southern United
States.
QUICK
COLD SNAPS ACROSS THE NORTH
“Across much of the West, northern
Plains, Upper Midwest,
and Great Lakes,
temperatures should average near normal overall. However, that does not mean
winter will be mild – the FA predicts sudden snow squalls, blustery winds, and
bursts of bitter cold with frequent swings between thawing and freezing,
creating rapidly changing road and field conditions.
A
TRICKY WINTER FOR THE NORTHEAST
“Coastal
communities could receive more rain or mixed precipitation, while inland areas
may be hit by several rounds of heavy, wet snow—particularly during January and
February.
A
CHANGEABLE SEASON IN THE NORTHWEST
The Pacific
Northwest may experience a more changeable and somewhat less
dependable snow season while the the northern Plains and Upper Midwest could
turn drier at times, especially when the southern storm track becomes dominant.
Even so, brief but intense periods of cold, wind, and snow will remain possible.
The Almanac reports 80-85% accuracy on
regional outlooks. Independent reviews put actual accuracy somewhat lower, but
still meaningfully above chance.
|
IN the NEWS: AUGUST 14TH
to AUGUST 20TH, 2026 |
|
|
|
Friday, August 14, 2026 Dow:
53,732.41 |
A
meteor falls out of the sky and breaks up – raining chunks of debris over
Oregon, Idaho and Washington State where the American wildfires continue
raging and toxic smoke from their even larger, more numerous Canadian cousins
drifts across the Rockies. The
long, hot, and, in other places, wet summer rolls on. Flash flooding in Indiana washes out roads,
bridges, levees and people while, in Hawaii, Hurricane Lala is expected to
pass over erupting Kiluaua volcano.
The result: steam! Climate
proves deadly for a six year old girl in Memphis who dies in a hot day care
van, and left-behind K-9s in hot patrol cars. After numerous sailors on the U.S.S.
aircraft carrier Lincoln complain of bad food, worse filth and over 200 days
without shore leave, President Trump sneers: “it’s not enough!” while WarSec
Hegseck appeals to their manliness.
(Female parents with incontinent infants retort: “No washing
machines!”) So the Lincoln will be
replaced by the Washington... some day... which raises the question of why
there are no more American battleships afloat (to go along with the munitions
shortage that MAGA also denies). Making conditions worse, genocidal Israeli
settlers playing at being Nazis are slaughtering Palestinian civilians in the
West Bank while the U.S. – alternately denouncing and colluding with PM Bibi
– is said to be losing support from allies like South Korea and NATO so, with
too much peace at hand, Presidet Bonespur says what we need is another war – this time with
Oman. “War is Hell!” he tells
disbelievers. |
|
|
Saturday, August 15, 2026 Dow: Closed |
Iran
complicates the food shortage on the Lincoln by bombing supply ships in the
Straits of Hormuz, so Trump has a simple solution: make them an American
territory, like Puerto Rico. Iran says
the Straits will remain Iranian, and closed, and bombs ships bound for the
U.A.E. as the wars in the MidEast continue. Midwesterners
in the US are calling the flash floods the worst since 1913. Indiana has its seventh straight day of
rain and a new problem arises: scammers robbing the afflicted and looters
swooping through their evacuated homes and businesses. While Colombians are still picking up
after their 6.6 EQ in and around the drug district of Cali, an even larger 7.7 shakeroo rocks the Indonesian
island of Flores. Dozens reported
killed, the toll expected to run into the hundreds, even thousands, but the
fear of tsunamis goes unrealized. A long weekend of fun and accolades see
Disney appointing more new Hall of Famers than the NFL and MLB combined;
featuring retired CEO Bob Iger. The
Mouse House in Vegas announces a summer flood of sequels, prequels, spinoffs
and even a few small budget newbies.
Get ready for a Christmas duel between remakes of “Dune” and
“Doomsday”, preceded by Princess Diaries 3, Zootopia 3, Frozen 3; new Indy
Jones, Star Wars, Starfighter, Ghost Rider... cartoons Bluey and Simpsons and
Disney will set sale on its luxury cruise ship “Believe” (which promises an
“immersive experience” – great, but hopefully not Titanic). |
|
|
Sunday, August 16, 2026 Dow:
Closed |
It’s
Talkshow Sunday and CBS takes on the Lincoln logorrhea... as the squishy 60
day cease fire comes to its end.
Retired Admiral Mike Mullen says there are other long deployment
morale problems, advising that “...at war, there are always
adjustments.” He adds that long
deployments affect alertness and Mullen says he has concerns about the
families. Sen. Ruben Gallego (D-Az)
blames Trump and his creatures, saying that “this administration did not plan
for this war,” and opining that the easy victory in Venezuela made us
overconfident and even accusing some of the President’s curiosities making
fun of American soldiers and sailors as “expendable.” The Roundtable tackles the Congressional
generation gap played out as insurgent (and failed Presidential candidate)
Seth Moulton challenges, but trails, elderly Massachusetts Sen. Ed Markey
(supported by old folks Warren and the Bern) for the September 1 primary. Jay O’Brien of ABC News cites the old,
dead and dying (Graham, Mitchy) and says many Dems are coasting on
reputation, not the future while Republicans avoiding the Lincoln issue. Liberal Donna Brazile says that future
(i.e. 2028) calls the change to S. Carolina as first to vote is a bid for the
black vote. On Trump’s strange decoy trip, Dan Lamothe
of the WashPost blames Israel for bad intelligence on the assassination
attempt; old rightist Ramesh Ponneru says Massachusetts is an outlier among
northeast Dems who are trending young. Face
the Nation polls find economy bad 60 – 40% and unfair 73-9%, Ky Gov. Andy Beshear denounces socialism
but wants gumment investment in housing, saying he is a pro-business ass. Porky Dan Bacon (R-Nb) blames Biden for
inflation. 60 Minuts profiles PTSD
veterans going to Mexico to eat mushrooms while The Hill host Chris Stirewalt
says all polls except Marquette’s are sloppy or corrupt. |
|
|
Monday, August 17, 2026, Dow:
53,459.78 |
It’s
National Princess Week and Disney wraps up its convention with more new films
announced. Not on the list for filming – SNAP cuts
that lead to hungry kids and closings of rural grocers. POTUS is moving on to declaring war on Oman
and shifting support from So to NoKo- saying “I understand him (dictator Kim)
and he understands me.” The President
also celebrates a legal ruling greenlighting his crypto as bank-worthy (Sen.
Warren calls it “brazen”). CBS polling
says 69% call the e-con-me negative with a 73 – 9% conviction that America is
unequal. “The safety net is
collapsing,” mediots say. Wholly collapsed is the Iranian cease-fire
that has reached its 60 day expiration deadline with both sides in the war
calling for unconditional surrender.
Iran offers a $30K bounty on dead Americans; Trump replies by
threatening to blow up former ally Oman for trying to negotiate a deal nobody
wants. POTUS simply says he’s “not in a hurry” and says he’ll end
support to South Korea to cut a deal with NoKo (who, in addition to renting
or giving its troops to Russia, claims to have 72 nukes ready to go). “I understand him (Dictator Kim) and he
understands me.” Moscow takes time out from Ukraine to bomb
NATO member Romania – technically an act of war. But Trump lets it slide... |
|
|
Tuesday, August 18, 2026 Dow:
53,343.40 |
As the Mongolian climate summit begins,
Mother Nature declares war on all and everybody with the floods in Illinois and
Indiana sweeping towns, cars and people away while New Orleans endures a
humid 117°. The heat and fires continue in the West and
also in Europe where the Danube... like the Colorado... is drying up and the
U.K. bans barbecues. “This is what
Hell might look like,” reporters say. It’s another primary day in four states –
notably Alaska and Florida (where a Congressional committee is investigating
Gov. DeSantis ally Michael Caruso for sex crimes. Also on the carpet is Rep. Jimmy Gomez
(D-Ca) while a Penn State fraternity is accused of selling cocaine and
drafting pledges to prepare the packaging as part of their initiation. A customer might or might be the
clown-masked teenaged maniac haunting the streets of Philadelphia, attacking
women and asking them: “Are you ready to die?” as “Tomb Raider” graverobbers
arrested for robbing tombs in 8 states and Harvard is fined $55M because its
morgue manager sold body parts. Amidst the SS Lincoln controversy, the USS
Benefield loses power and has to be towed to the Philippines as opposed to
relieving the exhausted sailors, now pinning hopes on the SS Washington to
come to Hormuz and give them relief.
But military spokespeople say 1,200 ships have passed through Hormuz, so
if Iranian attacks continue, he’ll bomb some allies (Oman) and sanction
trading partners (like China?) to kick off an “Economic D-Day). |
|
|
Wednesday, August 19,
2026 Dow: 53,483.05 |
Another
Democratic Socialist, Angela Nixon, wins the Senate primary, defeating
centrist Alex Vindman who spent 20X more money. She’ll will face Trumply Ashley Moody in
deep red Florida where temperatures reach 122° in Tampa
and support for Israel is at issue.
Nixon (no relation to Him) spocks on, calling for health and
prosperity as supporters chant: “Chomp the Oligarchy.” Election conspiracy theorists votes
absentee and then does a TACO on proposed 50% Canadian tariffs. What weatherpeople call a “summer on
steroids” has too much water flooding Ohio and Indiana; too little makes for
rationing in the Colorado basin.
Phoenix is “only” 111° but heat
deaths exceed 80 for the year so far with as many as 587 suspected while
Southern drought raises fear of a new “Dust Bowl”.
Other disasters are human and economic – U.S. hiker killed by lightning
on Mt. Etna, Italy; over 100 killed in African gold mine collapse, racketeer
sued in freak badminton death of elderly baller, two die in midair crash
between small plane and police chopper in Hershey, PA; two more at Toledo recycling plant (terror ruled out);
Investigators say sudden death of actress Hayden Panetierre at 36
being considered suspicious in that she was a known alcohol and opioid abuser
whose ex boyfriend with her was previously jailed for domestic abuse. |
|
|
Thursday, August 20, 2026 Dow:
52,759.21 |
US
National Debt tops $40T sending stocks down over 700. Some of the effects will include higher
borrowing costs, higher inflation and discretionary cutbacks to government
services (ie SNAP to starve the poor children and medical care to finish the
job). Also, and alarming to
conservative Republicans and patriotic lobbies, delays or outright
cancellations of funds for more munitions – as even supporters do not believe
the President’s denials. The wars, of course, go on despite claims
that 1,200 ships have passed through the Straits of Hormuz despite Iranian
threats of destruction and Trump’s counter threats of “economic D-Day”
(despite failure to take out a few million easy targets at Khameini Sr.
memorial gathering). There’s Ukraine
and Russia (with mercenaries from N. Korea – who claim to have 72 nukes and
Trump praises Kim and kills funding for SoKo – which joins Oman and Canada
and Greenland as targets of Donniely affection as POTUS brushes aside old
allies and pimps his crypto business, golden ballroom, triumphal arch and
renamed Kennedy Center. Mother Nature ends the week as she began –
flooding and tornadoes around Illinois and Indiana, wildfires in the West
potentiated by brutal heat now stretching east to Florida and further on to
Europe while the delegates to Cop 17 (above) issue warnings that the economic
and political overclasses ignore.
Seven states fined for being too lenient to the SNAPsters, angry
right-wing MAGAnauts shrug: “let them die.”
|
|
|
While
stocks slumped over the war and the numbers, the Don posted a slight gain –
largely based on a favorable balance of trade both affected and afflicted by
tariff policies. With the new 50%
bouncy levy on Canada, who knows what will happen next??? |
|
|
ECONOMIC INDICES (60%) THE
WEEK’S CLOSING STATS... |
|
|
|
|
|
CATEGORY |
VALUE |
BASE |
LAST |
CHANGE |
NEXT |
VALUE (ORIG.)** |
CHANGE (to JAN – JUNE
2026) from 100% |
JULY 17 Reconfigured |
AUG. 7 |
LAST WEEK |
THIS WEEK |
OUR SOURCES
and COMMENTS |
|||||||||||||||||||||
|
INCOME |
(24%) |
6/17/13* |
% UP –
DOWN |
|
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Wages (hrly. Per cap) |
9% |
1350 |
8/14/26 |
-0.053% |
8/26 |
1,909.78 |
70.89% |
1,353.92 |
1,353.92 |
1,353.20 |
1,353.20 |
1,353.20 |
https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/average-hourly-earnings
37.62 |
||||||||||||||||||||
|
Median Inc. (yearly) |
4% |
600 |
8/14/26 |
+0.007% |
8/28/26 |
1,474.31 |
40.75% |
600.80 |
601.46 |
602.17 |
602.45 |
602.49 |
http://www.usdebtclock.org/ 68,129 161 199 204 |
||||||||||||||||||||
|
Unempl. (BLS – in mi) |
4% |
600 |
8/14/26 |
+2.44% |
8/26 |
555.52 |
|
614.28 |
614.28 |
629.26 |
629.26 |
629.26 |
http://data.bls.gov/timeseries/LNS14000000/ 4.1 |
||||||||||||||||||||
|
Official (DC – in mi) |
2% |
300 |
8/14/26 |
-2.96% |
8/28/26 |
216.73 |
|
299.92 |
309.27 |
309.23 |
309.19 |
318.34 |
http://www.usdebtclock.org/ 7,098 099 6,895 |
||||||||||||||||||||
|
Unofficl. (DC – in mi) |
2% |
300 |
8/14/26 |
+1.000% |
8/28/26 |
259.80 |
|
299.62 |
284.26 |
284.22 |
284.18 |
283.90 |
http://www.usdebtclock.org/ 13,895 897 14,038 |
||||||||||||||||||||
|
Workforce Participation
Number
Percent |
2% |
300 |
8/14/26 |
-0.0086% -0.0894% |
8/28/26 |
295.81 |
|
299.98 |
298.74 |
298.59 |
298.26 |
297.99 |
http://www.usdebtclock.org/ In
162,151 137 2,120 Out 106,084 127 357
Total: 268,235 264 477 60.451 439 385 |
||||||||||||||||||||
|
WP % (ycharts)* |
1% |
150 |
8/14/26 |
-0.485% |
8/26 |
149.25 |
|
149.27 |
149.27 |
149.27 |
149.27 |
149.27 |
https://ycharts.com/indicators/labor_force_participation_rate 61.50 nc |
||||||||||||||||||||
|
OUTGO |
(15%) |
|
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Total Inflation |
7% |
1050 |
8/14/26 |
+0.1% |
8/26 |
901.77 |
|
1050 |
1052.10 |
1052.10 |
1051.05 |
1051.05 |
http://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm
-0.4 +.1 |
||||||||||||||||||||
|
Food |
2% |
300 |
8/14/26 |
+0.1% |
8/26 |
257.37 |
|
300 |
299.40 |
299.40 |
299.19 |
299.19 |
http://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm +0.2 +.1 |
||||||||||||||||||||
|
Gasoline |
2% |
300 |
8/14/26 |
-2.9% |
8/26 |
181.96 |
|
300 |
320.10 |
320.10 |
329.38 |
329.38 |
http://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm -9.7 -2.9 |
||||||||||||||||||||
|
Medical Costs |
2% |
300 |
8/14/26 |
+0.6% |
8/26 |
267.14 |
|
300 |
300.30 |
300.30 |
298.50 |
298.50 |
http://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm -0.1 +0.6 |
||||||||||||||||||||
|
Shelter |
2% |
300 |
8/14/26 |
+0.1% |
8/26 |
238.38 |
|
300 |
299.70 |
299.70 |
299.40 |
299.40 |
http://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm
+0.1 +0.1 |
||||||||||||||||||||
|
WEALTH |
(6%) |
|
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Dow Jones Index |
2% |
300 |
8/14/26 |
-2.007% |
8/28/26 |
400.18 |
|
299.80 |
295.37 |
307.79 |
306.83 |
300.67 |
https://www.wsj.com/market-data/quotes/index/ 53,885.10
53,839.99 52,759.21 |
||||||||||||||||||||
|
Home (Sales) (Valuation) |
1% 1% |
150 150 |
8/14/26 |
-0.73% -2.09% |
8/28/26 |
137.08 |
|
155.60 154.17 |
152.61 158.23 |
152.61 158.23 |
151.49 154.93 |
150.38 151.69 |
https://www.nar.realtor/research-and-statistics Sales (M):
4.09 06 Valuations
(K): 440.6
431.4 |
||||||||||||||||||||
|
Millionaires
(New Cat,) |
1% |
150 |
8/14/26 |
+0.049% |
8/28/26 |
137.72 |
|
150.15 |
150.32 |
159.50 |
159.58 |
159.66 |
http://www.usdebtclock.org/ 24,385 397 411 |
||||||||||||||||||||
|
Paupers (New Category) |
1% |
150 |
8/14/26 |
+0.028% |
8/28/26 |
134.69 |
|
149.92 |
149.82 |
149.71 |
149.67 |
149.63 |
http://www.usdebtclock.org/ 36,014 024 035 |
||||||||||||||||||||
|
GOVERNMENT |
(10%) |
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Revenue (trilns.) |
2% |
300 |
8/14/26 |
+0.108% |
8/28/26 |
485.69 |
|
300.85 |
301.77 |
302.04 |
302.37 |
302.70 |
http://www.usdebtclock.org/ 5,573 579 587 |
||||||||||||||||||||
|
Expenditures (tr.) |
2% |
300 |
8/14/26 |
+0.069% |
8/28/26 |
287.16 |
|
299.59 |
298.86 |
298.40 |
298.19 |
297.98 |
http://www.usdebtclock.org/
7,253 258 263 |
||||||||||||||||||||
|
National Debt (tr.) |
3% |
450 |
8/14/26 |
+0.188% |
8/28/26 |
344.44 |
|
448.90 |
446.23 |
442.59 |
441.68 |
440.85 |
http://www.usdebtclock.org/ 39,832 907 40.053 |
||||||||||||||||||||
|
Aggregate Debt (tr.) |
3% |
450 |
8/14/26 |
+0.181% |
8/28/26 |
352.67 |
|
448.15 |
445.20 |
443.20 |
442.40 |
441.60 |
http://www.usdebtclock.org/ 113,877 4.083 4,356 |
||||||||||||||||||||
|
TRADE |
(5%) |
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Foreign Debt (tr.) |
2% |
300 |
8/14/26 |
-0.063% |
8/28/26 |
252.18 |
|
295.57 |
293.90 |
293.83 |
293.65 |
293.46 |
http://www.usdebtclock.org/
9,564 570 595 |
||||||||||||||||||||
|
Exports (in billions) |
1% |
150 |
8/14/26 |
-0.94% |
8/26 |
197.73 |
|
145.70 |
145.70 |
142.32 |
142.32 |
140.98 |
https://www.census.gov/foreign-trade/current/index.html 314.7 |
||||||||||||||||||||
|
Imports (in billions)) |
1% |
150 |
8/14/26 |
-1.88% |
8/26 |
130.49 |
|
145.32 |
145.32 |
148.05 |
148.05 |
150.83 |
https://www.census.gov/foreign-trade/current/index.html 388.0 |
||||||||||||||||||||
|
Trade Surplus/Deficit (blns.) |
1% |
150 |
8/14/26 |
-5.87% |
8/26 |
182.61 |
|
108.06 |
108.06 |
114.40 |
114.40 |
121.12 |
https://www.census.gov/foreign-trade/current/index.html 73.3 |
||||||||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
SOCIAL INDICES
|
(40%) |
|
Events of the Week |
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
ACTS of MAN |
(15%) |
|
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
World Affairs |
3% |
450 |
8/14/26 |
-0.3% |
8/28/26 |
466.24 |
|
448.20 |
448.65 |
446.86 |
445.51 |
444.17 |
Harry
and Meghan announce they are moving back to London and she will seek acting
jobs. Royal partisans debate pro and
con. “Tons” of nuclear materiel
discovered in Syria. Kenyan air crash kills
six Americans and Ecuadorian spy chief while there, on the ground, over a
hundred die in gold mine cave-in. |
|
||||||||||||||||||||
|
War and terrorism |
2% |
300 |
8/14/26 |
-0.1% |
8/28/26 |
280.07 |
|
298.80 |
298.22 |
297.03 |
296.73 |
296.44 |
US
backtracks on Israeli support after genocidal settlers run wild against West
Bank Palestinians. ISIS convert foiled
in plot to bomb NY state capitol, but anti-Semite in Gotham attacks synagogue,
In the MidEast, the 60 day ceasefire with Iran ends as sick and tired sailors
on the SS. Lincoln finally going home after over 200 days without shore leave
(fightin’ President Trump denounces them as faggots; threatens to bomb Oman
but TACO’s on war with Canada)... Ukraine and Russia continue missile and
drone drops. |
|
||||||||||||||||||||
|
Politics |
3% |
450 |
8/14/26 |
-0.1% |
8/28/26 |
450.15 |
|
448.20 |
447.75 |
447.30 |
446.85 |
446.40 |
President
Trump, still angry over his name drop, orders the JFK Center shut for two
years and pivots from support of “ungrateful” SoKo to “Understandable”
NoKo. 2024 Green candidate Jill Stein
arrested for assault in St. Louis making law and order week tripartisan. Democrats, according to ABC roundtabler
Donna Brazile, are moving first 2028 primary to South Caroline to recapture
their sliding black support; Congress
debates “Sunshine Protection Act” for year round Daylight Savings Time
but goes on vacation without
resolution. |
|
||||||||||||||||||||
|
Economics |
3% |
450 |
8/14/26 |
nc |
8/28/26 |
426.64 |
|
450.00 |
449.55 |
447.31 |
447.31 |
447.31 |
USA
national debt tops the $40T ceiling, meaning higher interest rates, cuts to gumment
services (like SNAP) to military preparedness. “The longer you ignore it the rougher it
gets,” say cheapskates. President
Trump hosts crypto czars and promotes a Clarity Act that bars public
officials (but not their families) from profiteering. Bankruptcies include Rebel Creamery, |
|
||||||||||||||||||||
|
Crime |
1% |
150 |
8/14/26 |
-0.1% |
8/28/26 |
201.34 |
|
149.55 |
149.40 |
149.40 |
149.55 |
149.70 |
Debate
intensifies over Flock surveillance cameras bringing up the old “freedom versus
safety” arguments. “Nowhere is safe!”
Americans declaim after thirteen shot at the U. of Kentucky, five shot by
unknown suspects at Virginia State University and nine mass shootings overall
include Chicago and Hartford, CT. Penn
State frat initiates pledges by having them process cocaine. Library book thieves arrested in Mesa, Az,
tomb raiders in 8 states &
bodysnatching Harvard morgue manager.
Online mastermind of 764 gang Kyle Spitz gets 77 years for promoting
child sex abuse. |
|
||||||||||||||||||||
|
ACTS of GOD |
6% |
|
|
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Environment/Weather |
3% |
450 |
8/14/26 |
-0.1% |
8/28/26 |
275.85 |
|
447.30 |
446.85 |
445.05 |
444.60 |
444.16 |
The
long, hot, wet (in some places, wettest since 1913) and fiery (in other
places like Reno, Nevada) summer continues.
Steamy meeting betweek Kilouea volcano and Hurricane Lala. Climate change COP begins as 6 year old
girl in Memphis dies in hot daycare van (above); |
|
||||||||||||||||||||
|
Disasters |
3% |
450 |
8/14/26 |
-0.1% |
8/28/26 |
463.08 |
|
450.00 |
449.55 |
450.00 |
449.55 |
449.10 |
Colombian
6.6 EQ toll tops 280 larger 7.7 Indonesian quake kills only 30 but both tolls
expected to rise. Stingy stingrays
join sharks in hunting California surfers.
Vietnam Airlines (!) plane in near miss at Minnesota airport but
deadly crashes between small plane and military in Hershey, PA, angry birds
attack Irish plane where passenger is sucked out broken window (vengeful
bird-hating mailman responds by attacking a wild peacock in Pasadena - maybe
as a protest against NBC programming?).
69 year old dies in badminton accident; family sues racketeers. |
|
||||||||||||||||||||
|
LIFESTYLE/JUSTICE
INDEX |
15% |
|
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Science, Tech, Education |
4% |
600 |
8/14/26 |
-0.1% |
8/28/26 |
617.97 |
|
600.00 |
600.00 |
599.40 |
598.80 |
598.20 |
Space
X launches two rockets 28 minutes apart, but space telescope falling back to
earth. Family of Robin Williams
protests exploitation by AI merchers. |
|
||||||||||||||||||||
|
Equality (econ/social) |
4% |
600 |
8/14/26 |
-0.1% |
8/28/26 |
675.06 |
|
603.00 |
603.00 |
603.61 |
603.01 |
602.41 |
Critics
condemn brutality at ICE detention centers.
Nolan Wells conspiracy attorneys Crump and Sharpton call on Kash Patel
to take over investigation from racist Mississippi. WNBA nominates eight to its Hall of Fame as
angry right-wing MAGAnauts celebrate cutting off SNAP and starving unwanted
children. |
|
||||||||||||||||||||
|
Health |
4% |
600 |
8/14/26 |
nc |
8/28/26 |
440.46 |
|
595.06 |
595.06 |
593.25 |
593.25 |
593.25 |
“60
Minutes” profiles PTSD vets going to Mexico to eat mushrooms, Researchers working on blood tests for
heart disease by lowering the Basic Metabolic Panel (BMP) and developing new
vaxxes to cure melanoma (positing chaos for the vaxxing denialists., Child measles vaxxing keeps falling from
95% to 92%. Recalls include killer
infant car seats, salmonellic dog food and other blindness-causing
comestibles. FDA does, however,
greenlight robodocs whose blood draws called 95% safe. |
|
||||||||||||||||||||
|
Freedom and Justice |
3% |
450 |
8/14/26 |
-0.1% |
8/28/26 |
477.76 |
|
449.55 |
449.55 |
448.20 |
448.65 |
448.20 |
In
the courts, Sebastian Mangione says he had no contact with United Healthcare but
other insurance denials meant “the parasites had it coming.” Sex crimes prosecutions for priests and
politicians (for example, LaGrange GA councilman Clay Boddie for public
indecency upon other bodies), multiple trillion-plus META lawsuits for
addicting children. Mobs rally to
support Lindsey Clancy for killing children – blame mental illness as she
insists her kids are still alive. |
|
||||||||||||||||||||
|
CULTURAL and MISCELLANEOUS INCIDENTS |
7% |
|
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Diversive incidents*** Cultural Sporting Transitional |
4% |
600 |
8/14/26 |
+0.1% |
8/28/26 |
595.85 |
|
450.45 |
450.45 |
452.25 |
452.70 |
453.15 |
Football
season begins at NFL, NCAA and local high schools. NCAA poll ranks Ohio State as preseason
favorite. MLB Milwaukee Brewers sink
Seattle Mariners by record 22-0. Hollywood rolling out more sequels,
prequels and remakes with a few new celebrity flicks like Tom Cruise in
“Digger” (opening Oct. 2) and Reagan/Gorbachev tribute “The Brink of War”. There’s a new “Star Wars”, “Starfighter”
and “Indiana Jones”; “Romy and
Michelle”, Lilo/Stich and “Coco” sequels, three-peats for “Princess Diaries”,
“Frozen” (Anna gets married, fans enjoy theatre air conditioning as much as
the movie), “Incredibles” and “Zootopia”, upgrades from TV for “Father Knows
Best”, “Bluey” and “Simpsons”.
Disney’s latest theme park attraction: “Villains Land”. Subbing for Trump-hating Jimmy Kimmel, really Trump-hating Rosie O’D starts
the week explaining why she moved to Ireland – ends it by singing a “Donny
Boy” parody (see below). Eagles’
“Greatest Hits’ tops chart as band starts Vegas staycation with Glenn Frey’s
son sitting in for deceased father; Jonas Bros. lock down MSG and Dolly
Parton, still fighting health problems, proposes “virtual” AI generated
concerts, RIP: actress Hayden Panatierre, fiddlin’
109 year old grandma Violet Hensley, MLB pitcher Tommy John, ESPN founder
Bill Rasmussen, beardless Z. Z. Top drummer Frank Beard. R(etire) IP: Apple’s Tim Cook who says he
wants to be remembered as “a good and decent man.” |
|
||||||||||||||||||||
|
Miscellaneous incidents |
3% |
450 |
8/14/26 |
+0.2% |
8/28/26 |
555.05 |
|
450.90 |
450.90 |
452.25 |
453.15 |
454.06 |
Lucky
landlord finds left-behind Picasso after eviction. Birds blamed (but not arrested) for strike
causing Ryan Air passenger to be sucked out window but bird hater does exact
revenge against a peacock in Pasadena.
In other animaltronic news: 2000 beagles released from medical testing
cages, World’s Ugliest Dog trophy 2026 goes to Jinny Lu the pug in pearls
while Vogue dedicates a parody Dogue issue to the K-9s; Rossi, the lost wrong
way tortoise who swam to Wales, returned to Texas gulf. |
|
||||||||||||||||||||
ATTACHMENT
ONE – FROM
UNDP
THE PLANET IS IN CRISIS.
Our response must rise to the moment.
Across the world, the signs
of environmental crises are becoming harder to ignore.
Land is degrading fast. Biodiversity is
declining at an unprecedented rate. The climate is growing more extreme and
unpredictable.
Our planet is on the brink of irreversible
changes that will reshape the systems that sustain life: from the way we grow
food and manage water, to how communities build livelihoods and prepare for an
uncertain future.
The scale of these challenges demands a
response of equal ambition. That is why the three major environmental
conferences, or Conferences of the
Parties (COPs), taking place in 2026 are pivotal moments. They bring
countries together to advance action on three interconnected priorities: restoring land, protecting biodiversity and tackling climate change.
These political negotiations are essential
and must be matched by progress on the ground. We must urgently move into the era of action. Here’s a closer look
at how these meetings can help us rise to the moment.
UN Convention to
Combat Desertification
ATTACHMENT
TWO – FROM
CLIMATE CHANGE NEWS
WILL THE WORLD’S DRYING LANDS GET RELIEF FROM COP17 IN
MONGOLIA?
Governments will discuss ways to combat
drought and protect herders and their pastures from land degradation in a
warming world
Aug 13, 2026
Contents
·
What has it got to do with climate change?
·
What will be negotiated at COP17?
·
What else should we watch out for?
·
Who will preside over COP17?
·
What are the negotiating dynamics?
Starting on Monday, about 10,000 government
negotiators, scientists, journalists and campaigners will gather at a
purpose-built venue in a national park in Mongolia’s capital Ulaanbaatar to discuss
how to stop land turning into desert as the world warms.
Drought is currently sweeping much of the
Northern hemisphere, leaving normally green urban parks looking like dry
savannah, causing crops to fail, food prices to rise and billions to be shaved
off economic output.
On Wednesday, Britain's prime minister
chaired an emergency meeting of the government's Cobra committee. These are
usually reserved for wars, terrorist attacks, riots and pandemics - but this
one was on the extreme heat and drought the UK has been suffering since
May.
With many countries facing far worse with
fewer resources than the UK, the issues to be discussed at the UN's COP17
summit in Mongolia - often overlooked - should be nearer the top of
policy-makers minds.
But what is COP17? What will be decided
and announced there over the next two weeks? How does it relate to climate
change and how will it help restore the lands on which we all rely for our
food, water and other essential resources? Climate Home News explains all below.
What
is COP17?
It is the conference of parties (COP) to the
United Nations Convention to Combat Desertification (UNCCD). The parties are
196 governments, which includes all of the countries recognised by the UN.
The convention was conceived at the Rio Earth
Summit in 1992, at the same time as the other two larger "Rio trio"
conventions on climate and biodiversity.
While the climate convention's COP takes
place every year, the UNCCD COP happens only once every two years. COP17 will
be its seventeenth gathering.
Negotiators at COP16 in Riyadh (Photo:
IISD/ENB | Anastasia Rodopoulou)
What
is desertification?
It is the process by which land degrades and
becomes more like a desert, making it harder - and sometimes impossible - to
grow crops or graze livestock there.
Climate change and other human activities -
like excessive irrigation which depletes ground water - are making this process
worse, causing poverty, hunger, health problems, forced migration and loss of
species.
It's a widespread problem. The UN estimates that
half a billion people live within areas that have experienced desertification since
the 1980s and that two-fifths of the world's land is degraded.
What
has it got to do with climate change?
The planet's climate is heating up, mainly
due to humans burning fossil fuels, and drying out its land. This kills plants
and exposes the soil which can then be blown away by wind and washed away by
water.
Without a top layer of soil, plants struggle
to grow again and the land gets closer to being a desert. So combating
desertification is a way of adapting to climate change.
It is also a way of lessening the pace of
climate change, as land degradation releases carbon dioxide previously stored
in healthy soils and plants.
WHAT
WILL BE NEGOTIATED AT COP17?
The main issue is what form a new initiative
to tackle drought could take. The last COP saw Africa push hard for this to be
a protocol - a kind of binding sub-treaty to the UNCCD.
But the US, Europe, Argentina and others argued
that would take too long to set up, cost too much and take money away from what
can be spent on the ground. They prefer a legally weaker alternative - a
framework instead of a protocol.
Negotiations went late into the last night of
talks in Riyadh, with the Saudis hosting informal consultations, but eventually
governments had to agree to disagree and pick up talks again in
Ulaanbaatar.
As Earth
dries out, countries fail to reach drought agreement
Governments will also negotiate a new policy
on protecting rangelands and pastoralists from degradation. Rangelands are
areas where animals graze. They cover around half the Earth’s land and include
almost everything other than forest, deserts, farms, glaciers and cities.
Pastoralists are people who herd animals on these rangelands, often moving from
place to place to find fresh pasture.
COP17 host country Mongolia has a lot of both
- and pushed successfully for the UN to declare 2026 the International Year of
Rangelands and Pastoralists. It is keen to agree a decision at COP17 bringing
those issues more to the forefront of the UNCCD.
Negotiators will also debate the UNCCD's post-2030
strategic framework, which they hope to adopt at COP18 in 2028. Campaign groups
like the World Wildlife Fund want a stronger focus on biodiversity and
nature-positive food systems.
WHAT
WILL HAPPEN WHEN?
The COP will formally open with a ceremony on
Monday August 17, followed by opening statements by governments and the
adoption of the agenda.
Negotiations will begin, mostly behind closed
doors for two weeks until the closing plenaries on Friday August 28.
While talks rumble on in the background, the
second week will see senior government representatives including ministers get
involved, with a “high-level segment” running from August 24-26.
They will discuss issues like drought resilience,
finance and pastoralist communities. This is likely to be when any
announcements - of new funding, for instance - are made.
On Monday August 24, there will also be an
open dialogue between government officials and civil society members. Here, local
practitioners are likely to share stories of how they are helping their
communities reverse land degradation. UNCCD prides itself on being a bottom-up
convention.
Unlike climate COPs, which often end a day or
two over time, UNCCD COPs usually finish on the evening of their last day and -
while they have gone late into the night - have never run into the next day.
WHAT
ELSE SHOULD WE WATCH OUT FOR?
At the last COP two years ago, host Saudi Arabia
led the creation of an initiative called the Riyadh Global Drought Resilience
Partnership to help 80 of the poorest nations deal with drought.
It received $12 billion in pledges, mainly
from Gulf-based development finance institutions. Saudi Arabia is expected to
report back on whether these pledges have been delivered and how the money will
reach those in need now.
There are also hopes that governments will
announce financial support for Mongolia's Rangelands Flagship Initiative, which
aims to mobilise investment in projects to fight land degradation.
WHO
WILL PRESIDE OVER COP17?
While the last five and the next two climate
COPs have been or will be presided over by men, COP17 will be woman-led with
Mongolia’s foreign minister, Battsetseg Batmunkh, as president.
This will also be the first COP for the
UNCCD’s new executive director Yasmin Fouad. Before being appointed environment
minister in her native Egypt, Fouad was a scientist and lead author of the
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change's special report on desertification.
She played a key role at the COP27 climate summit in Egypt in 2022.
Although Saudi Arabia's UNCCD COP presidency
is ending, the Gulf power house will likely continue to be influential. It has
supported the COP financially as part of the Riyadh-Ulaanbaatar action agenda
and will be following up on initiatives announced two years ago.
While Saudi Arabia is often blamed for
obstructing progress at climate talks, as a desert nation it is generally
thought to have played a constructive role at UNCCD COPs.
WHAT
ARE THE NEGOTIATING DYNAMICS?
The UNCCD has six main negotiating groups:
Africa, Asia, Latin America and the Caribbean, the Northern Mediterranean,
Central and Eastern Europe, and developed donor countries. Governments can also
speak in their own capacities.
While divisions between the Global North and
Global South do exist at UNCCD COPs, they are not as stark as at climate COPs.
The Global South’s umbrella group - the G77 and China - usually only speaks on
finance issues, on which developing countries tend to be united.
Civil society groups are present but not as
vocal or as confrontational as at climate COPs. There are generally no protests
and campaigners tend to try to hold governments accountable more quietly. There
are likely to be far fewer journalists than at climate COPs too.
WHAT
ROLE WILL THE US PLAY?
While the US has left the UN’s climate
convention, it remains in the UNCCD and is expected to bring a delegation of
officials from its departments of agriculture and state. It is likely to resist
any renewed push from Africa for a drought protocol.
ATTACHMENT
THREE – FROM
NBC CHICAGO
‘HISTORIC' EL NIÑO
COULD BE UNFOLDING, EXPERTS SAY, AS PATTERN STRENGTHENS
Chances are continuing to grow for a historic El Niño pattern this
fall and winter, officials say
By NBC Chicago Staff • Published August 13, 2026 • Updated on August 13, 2026 at 4:50 pm
There’s
now a 96% chance of an El Niño developing through winter 2026-27, according to
the latest report released by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric
Administration.
Weather
forecasters are growing more confident that a “historic” El Niño could unfold
in coming months, which could have big impacts on the Chicago area’s weather.
According to the latest updates from the
Climate Prediction Center, forecasters now believe there is a
“greater than 90% chance” that a “very strong” El Niño pattern could develop in
the Northern Hemisphere, and that it could persist through the coming fall and
winter.
What’s
more, forecasters now believe there is a 69% chance of a “historic” event that
would shatter records, which date back to 1950 according to CPC data. Some
experts have begun calling this year’s event a potential “Super El Niño,” and
it could have massive impacts on weather across the entire hemisphere.
What
could such a pattern mean for the Chicago area, and what exactly is going on in
the Pacific Ocean? Here’s what you need to know.
What is an El Niño pattern?
An El Niño weather pattern occurs when the
trade winds in the Pacific Ocean weaken, allowing warmer ocean water
to be pushed to the east, toward the west coast of the Americas.
Those
warmer waters can push the Pacific jet stream further south, which ultimately
can have big impacts on North America, including the Chicago area.
Why are the same suburbs being hit by
tornadoes and storms? Meteorologist explains
A
so-called “Super El Niño” features even warmer water pushing that jet stream
further to the south, which can allow warm, dry air to flood over large swaths
of the United States, according to the National Weather Service.
What is causing the stronger-than-normal event?
Climate
change and warming oceans are likely at least partially to blame for the
strength of this year’s developing pattern, and while there’s no guarantee that
pattern will persist, confidence is growing that it will indeed have impacts on
weather patterns in the United States.
What impacts could a “Super El Niño” have on the Chicago area?
Even
the strongest of El Niño patterns isn’t guaranteed to impact weather in all
parts of the United States, according to experts.
That
caveat aside, strong El Niño events do have a chance to have significant
impacts on the Chicago area’s weather, especially during the fall and winter
months, according to researchers at the University of Illinois.
During
those events, the Chicago area typically sees drier and warmer weather than
usual, which could mean above-average temperatures and lower-than-average
snowfall, according to officials.
ATTACHMENT
FOUR – FROM
AP VIA KY3, SPRINGFIELD MO.
OPPRESSIVE HEAT, HIGH HUMIDITY GRIP MUCH OF THE US AS
STUDENTS START A NEW SCHOOL YEAR
Published: Aug. 14, 2026 at 12:27 PM EDT
LITTLE ROCK, Ark. (AP) — A late summer heat
wave has gripped much of the United States in a sweaty headlock and forecasters
say it won’t let go anytime soon.
Roughly 97 million people from the central
Plains to the Southeast face heat advisories. Dangerous temperatures are
expected in more than a dozen states in the Southern Plains and lower
Mississippi Valley through Wednesday, the National Weather Service said.
Some places could hit 100 degrees Fahrenheit
(37.8 Celsius), forecasters said. But the combination of soaring temperatures
and high humidity could make it feel as hot as 115 F (46 C) in portions of the
Southeast.
That heat dome effect is created by
high-pressure systems sitting above a region, trapping heat and humidity closer
to the ground.
And there will be little nighttime relief,
with overnight lows predicted to remain in the 70s in many places, forecasters
said.
“The nighttime lows are not going to get
below about 80 Fahrenheit for a lot of urban areas,” said meteorologist Jeff
Masters of Yale Climate Connections. “So that’s really going to bump up the
mortality from this heat wave. It’s going to be deadly because of all these
factors: Long lasting, intense, and high humidity.”
People were urged to stay indoors when possible and keep hydrated.
Early days of the heat wave force workers to
cope with risks
In Little Rock, Madi Ramos wore a large straw
hat as she shoveled an irrigation ditch outside the state Capitol building on Thursday
morning when temperatures had already reached 90 F (32 C).
“This heat is stronger than last year’s,”
said Ramos, 21, who works with her stepfather at a landscaping company.
The forecast comes after July became the hottest month on record in the
contiguous United States. Extreme heat events are increased and exacerbated
by climate
change, which comes from the burning of fuels like gasoline, oil and
coal.
During a July heat wave, Ramos said she felt
nauseous and had to pause for a break. One of her colleagues took three days
off after falling ill from heat.
Ramos said she usually drinks seven to eight
bottles of water that she sometimes mixes with electrolyte packets during her
12-hour outdoor shifts. She’s preparing for this week’s heat wave by wearing
breathable clothing.
But sometimes the heat can be too much and,
Ramos said, the company encourages her to take breaks.
“When I feel I can’t take it anymore, I take
a break and then I come back,” Ramos said in Spanish.
COMMUNITIES OFFER RESIDENTS PLACES TO COOL
OFF OR STAY HYDRATED
When the heat gets oppressive, communities
across the country typically offer public libraries, community centers and
senior centers as air-conditioned places to cool down. Other places try to make
sure residents are hydrated.
Donna Schillinger expected dozens of visitors
to WayStation, a resource center in Rogers, Arkansas, as the heat wave lingers.
The center had already provided bags filled with food and bottled water to
nearly two dozen people by Thursday afternoon. Schillinger, the executive
director of nonprofit Micah 6:8, said the center typically sees six people per
day for to-go bags.
“Everybody is commenting about how hot it is
outside,” Schillinger said. “I mean it’s just crazy hot.”
HEAT ARRIVES WITH A NEW SCHOOL YEAR AND
SPORTS ACTIVITIES IN FULL SWING
The heat wave is coinciding with the start of
the new school year in much of the country,
forcing discussions about how to keep students comfortable on buses, in
classrooms and even on school playground equipment.
In some school districts, parents are urged
to send bottled water to school with their students. One Central Arkansas
district implemented a policy this year mandating that students remain indoors,
including during recess, when the heat index reaches 95 F (35 C).
Young athletes and professionals preparing
for a new football season also are having to take precautions against overheating.
In South Carolina, where an extreme heat
warning was in place, two school districts canceled a series of football
scrimmages involving more than a dozen high schools Friday evening due to the
forecast.
Nationwide, at least 58 players died from exertional heat stroke between 1992 and
2024, the latest year available, and thousands more are sickened each year,
according to the Korey Stringer Institute at the University of Connecticut.
Most of the deaths involved younger athletes.
The institute is named after the Minnesota Vikings player who died of heat
stroke in 2001, prompting changes in safety protocols.
SWELTERING HEAT IS ONGOING IN EUROPE
Hot weather is taking its toll abroad as
well.
The United
Kingdom recorded its hottest day of the year Thursday, coming
during an excessively dry stretch that saw multiple fires break out as an intense stretch of sizzling weather continued
to grip Europe.
ATTACHMENT
FIVE – FROM
CNN
‘UNCHARTED TERRITORY’: SECOND-LARGEST
RESERVOIR IN US PLUNGES TO A RECORD LOW
By Laura Paddison, CNN
Mon, August 17, 2026 at 4:59
PM EDT
Lake Powell, the
second-largest reservoir in the United States, provides
water and electricity to millions in the West. It has now has shrunk to its
lowest level on record, in the latest sign of the alarming crisis unfolding on the
drought-stricken Colorado River.
The
reservoir's levels dropped to 3,519.91 feet on Saturday, breaking the
record low of 3,519.92 feet set in April 2023, according to data from the US
Bureau of Reclamation published Sunday. It is now just under 30 feet away from the point at
which its dam will no longer be able to generate hydropower.
The record comes nine days after downstream Lake Mead,
the US's biggest reservoir, dropped to its lowest level since it was first
filled nine decades ago. "We are in uncharted territory," said Jack
Schmidt, director of the Center for Colorado River Studies at Utah State
University.
Lakes Mead and Powell,
which are essentially one gigantic reservoir separated by the Grand Canyon,
hold just under 60% of the total water currently
stored in the Colorado River basin. The unprecedented decline of these vast bodies
of water, which have been shrinking for more than 20 years, drives home the
perilous state of the river that feeds them.
Known as the lifeblood of
the Southwest, the Colorado River starts in
the Rocky Mountains, fed by melting snowpack, and ends in the Gulf of
California in Mexico. It provides water to roughly 40 million people and irrigates more than 5
million acres of farmland across seven states: California, Arizona, Nevada, New
Mexico, Wyoming, Colorado and Utah.
Climate change-fueled
drought and increases in temperature, combined with years of heavy water use,
have caused the crucial waterway to shrink by roughly 20% since 2000. And Mead
and Powell have been heavily affected.
Spanning parts of Arizona
and Utah, Lake Powell formed behind the Glen Canyon Dam, which was constructed
in the 1950s. The vast reservoir started filling in 1963 and took 17 years to
reach its full pool level of 3,700 feet above sea level.
It's often referred to as a
water "bank account" that can be used in dry years to send supplies
downstream to cities, farms and businesses.
The reservoir's level has
always fluctuated. Every year, between May and July, it's boosted by runoff
from melting snow. It then decreases over the rest of the year, leaving
distinctive "bathtub ring" formations along its rocky shoreline.
However, this year, as with
many recent years, Powell has suffered from a dearth of snow — last winter
was one of the driest and warmest on record for the western
US.
A major concern is the
impact on energy generation. The force of the Colorado River turns the Glen
Canyon Dam's eight huge turbines, producing enough electricity each year to
power nearly 500,000 households. It's relied on by Colorado,
Utah, Wyoming, New Mexico, Arizona, Nevada and Nebraska.
The reservoir could now be
barreling toward "minimum power pool" — at 3,490 feet — when water
levels will be too low to spin the turbines and generate electricity.
This "scary
threshold" will be reached this year unless "extraordinary
measures" are taken, said Brad Udall, a senior water and climate research
scientist at Colorado State University. These include reductions in water
releases from Lake Powell and upstream, he added.
The most alarming scenario
would see Lake Powell reaching "deadpool" levels of below 3,370 feet. At this
point water would no longer be able to flow downstream from the dam at all.
It's very hard to imagine
this, Utah State's Schmidt said. "I would expect draconian steps to decrease
water use to prevent this from occurring. But who knows?"
A spokesperson for the
Bureau of Reclamation said it and the Department of the Interior remained "committed to
reducing the collective risk of both Lake Powell and Lake Mead falling below critical
elevations to protect critical infrastructure to continue to meet the water and
hydropower needs of the basin."
Experts don't currently
believe there is a risk of people's taps running dry; the Colorado River is a
slow-moving crisis and many water managers have taken steps to prepare.
Cities like Phoenix and
Tucson "are extremely aware that they are first in line for cuts,"
and have taken steps to ensure they have the back-up supplies to meet demand,
said Sarah Porter, director of the Kyl Center for Water Policy at Arizona State
University. But while cities can pay for alternative water supplies, this might
be less feasible for Tribes and smaller communities along the Colorado River,
she added.
Powell's record low comes
as the seven states that share the Colorado River's water wait to find out what
cuts will be imposed. After years of fraught negotiations between the states
failed to yield a deal, federal authorities have stepped in and are expected to publish a plan in the
coming days specifying the exact reductions required of states through 2028.
There is some hope that the
El Niño climate pattern, which tends to bring more frequent rain and snow to
the Southwest, could help. But experts are clear it will take more than one
very wet winter to pull the Colorado River out of crisis.
"Even record snowpack
this winter will not be enough to get us out of the danger zone," Porter
said.
ATTACHMENT
SIX – FROM
CBS
HUMAN REMAINS FOUND IN LAKE MEAD AS WATER
LEVELS REACH RECORD LOW
By Mark Osborne
Tue, August 18, 2026 at
12:08 PM EDT
Apparent human skeletal remains,
including a jaw with the teeth still attached, were found at Lake Mead on
Sunday, officials said, as water levels sink to new lows amid a drought and
scorching heat in the West.
"On Aug. 16, the Lake
Mead Interagency Communications Center received a report of potential human
remains at Boulder Beach," the National Park Service said in a statement.
"National Park Service rangers and the Las Vegas Metropolitan Police
Department responded to the scene. The incident remains under investigation,
and no additional information is available at this time."
The bones were discovered
by a woman and her friend and his daughter on the shoreline of Boulder Beach,
which is located on the western side of the lake within Nevada state lines.
"We just went to the
lake to, you know, have fun for a little bit. My friend was playing with the
rocks in the lake, and then he grabbed the jaw," Dianelis Molina Cruz
told Las Vegas CBS affiliate KLAS. "And when he looked, he saw
the teeth and everything."
The Las Vegas Metropolitan
Police Department told KLAS it responded to the location alongside the Clark
County Coroner's Office, but they were not investigating the incident.
The reason the remains were
found now can quite likely be chalked up to the concerning drop in water levels
at the lake.
"We noticed that it's
very low. The water looks very low compared to where it should be," Noel
De Leon told KLAS on Monday. "As the water goes down, the skeletons come
up."
Water levels have reached
historic lows at Lake Mead, which is the largest reservoir in the United
States. On Monday, the water level dipped to 1,039.77 feet above sea level,
according to the U.S. Bureau of Reclamation, well below the previous record
low set in July 2022.
At the time the water
levels dipped in the summer of 2022, several discoveries of human remains
garnered national media attention. In May 2022, boaters spotted a metal barrel that ended up containing human
remains. A shirt and belt were still visible on the remains, according to the
couple who found it.
The body was found near
Hemenway Harbor, which is just a couple of miles south of Boulder Beach.
The man in the barrel
was found to have been shot and was declared a homicide
victim. The remains were believed to be from the 1980s, police said. The remains
have still not been identified, though police released a composite image of what he may have looked
like in November 2023.
The barrel was just one of
a number of discoveries of remains in Lake Mead that year. On three dates in
July and August 2022, human remains were found in the Boulder Beach area. Those
were later identified as the same person, Claude Russell Pensinger, who
disappeared in July 1998, according to the Clark County medical examiner. His cause of death was not
determined.
Human remains found on May
7, 2022, in Callville Bay, just days after the body was found in the barrel, were later
identified as Thomas Erndt, who had drowned in 2002, according to the medical
examiner. The remains of another drowning victim, Donald Smith, who was believed to have drowned in 1974, were found in October 2022.
ATTACHMENT
SEVEN – FROM
PBS
CLIMATE
CHANGE MAY BE MAKING US LONELIER. HOW HEAT WAVES AND EXTREME WEATHER DISRUPT
SOCIAL CONNECTIONS
Health Aug 9, 2026 2:23 PM EDT
This article originally
appeared on The Conversation.
Severe
storms, heat waves and wildfires can shut down the social life of a
community, flooding out festivals, canceling community
events and keeping people indoors.
They're also
evidence of how climate change isn't just changing the environments we all live
in, but also impeding our ability to connect with one another.
READ MORE: Poll shows how extreme heat is
changing Americans' lives
Around the
world, social connection is increasingly recognized as essential to individual and
collective well-being. It keeps our brains active and can lower stress
levels. During emergencies, social ties can also save lives.
Relationships are conduits for timely information sharing, mutual aid and
collective action. When temperatures soar, friends and neighbors
share heat warnings, check on older adults or other community
members who may need help, and coordinate community cooling
shelters when formal systems are overwhelmed.
Yet, the effects
of climate change may be weakening the very social
fabric that helps communities thrive.
As extreme
weather becomes more common and disruptive, the effects can impair
relationships, interrupt routines and communication, and damage gathering
places and the foundations of community traditions.
As an assistant professor of social work at
the University of Tennessee, I study converging social and
environmental crises, including social disconnection and extreme weather. I've
found that one of climate change's most overlooked impacts may be its ability
to worsen the continuing loneliness
epidemic.
Studies show
the amount of time Americans spent interacting with friends and family in
person was declining even before the
COVID-19 pandemic shut down a lot of social interaction
starting in 2020. My team's recent research in rural Appalachia has
found several ways that extreme weather is further hindering social activities.
EXTREME WEATHER KEEPS PEOPLE APART
Extreme heat
has dominated global
headlines this summer. When outdoor temperatures become
dangerous, people retreat indoors to
stay in air conditioning or near electric fans. This can come with a social
cost.
"I don't
remember it being this hot growing up," one 28-year-old social worker told
my research team. "People don't want to leave their house if it's that
hot. People don't want to go to community events and be out in the
community."
Severe storms
and flooding can make travel unsafe or impossible,
preventing people from leaving their homes, reaching family or attending social
gatherings. These disruptions can erode the everyday interactions that help
people feel connected.
Power outages sever communication
Extreme
weather can also cut off the communication channels that help people stay
connected. Severe storms, flooding, winter weather and extreme heat are all
associated with power outages, which can leave residents without electricity,
sometimes for weeks.
Electricity
failures are often coupled with internet and cellular service interruptions,
hindering communication via text messaging, phone calls, social media and email
at precisely the time it's needed most.
As one
74-year-old rural resident explained to my team: "We're so isolated. We do
not have any cellphone service other than through Wi-Fi. So when the power's
out, we have no cellphone service … without your phone, you really lose all
your connections."
THE LOSS OF SHARED PLACES AND TRADITIONS
Another way
climate change can weaken social connection is by altering places and
traditions that hold cultural and community significance.
I witnessed
this firsthand when Hurricane Irene and Tropical Storm Lee hit my
hometown of Cherry Valley, New York, in 2011. After floodwaters
broke the dike, a treasured community place known as "the reservoir"
– a small lake where families swam and picnicked – was emptied,
leaving our rural community without one of its few gathering spaces.
READ MORE: How to stay cool and safe
in a heat wave, even without air conditioning
In my team's
Appalachian study, residents described how an extreme drought paired with
prolonged heat affected places where people gather, share traditions and
maintain connections across
generations.
Water levels
in lakes and rivers dropped too low for recreation, wildfires swept through the
Wayne National Forest, and crop losses meant fewer of the region's beloved pawpaw
fruit when the annual Ohio Pawpaw Festival arrived.
A 68-year-old
resident told us: "I look around and it's just absolutely horrible. Our
streams have gone dry. I had a friend drop off some pawpaws the other night and
pitiful … nothing like what normally drops. It's really bad and I suspect this
is going to continue. We've got to figure something out."
This kind of
degradation of cherished places and traditions can threaten shared experiences
that help communities stay connected.
THESE DISASTERS OFTEN OVERLAP
These
fractures of social connection often overlap as communities face
increasingly frequent co-occurring weather events. A severe storm,
for instance, may trigger flooding and power outages during a heat wave,
disrupting transportation and communication during dangerously hot
temperatures.
Over time,
frequent and consecutive weather hazards can weaken relationships by limiting
mobility and social engagement.
People who
are already socially isolated, including older adults and those living in rural
areas or lacking reliable transportation and internet access, are often most vulnerable.
Climate change and extreme weather can leave them even more isolated.
KEEPING SOCIAL CONNECTION AMID DISASTERS
As global
temperatures rise, driven in large part by the burning of fossil fuels, climate change increasingly affects daily life. Social connection
is crucial, both for responding to extreme weather and for working together to
help the entire community adapt to a changing climate.
READ MORE: What is El Niño and how could
it affect weather this year?
One promising way forward is
for cities and counties to invest in community hubs, such as public libraries,
or create new gathering spaces across communities.
These spaces
can bolster social connection year-round by hosting inclusive lifelong learning activities while
also serving as cooling shelters and climate
resilience hubs, providing resources to help residents prepare for
disasters, phone-charging stations
when power goes out elsewhere, and an internet connection.
In an era of
accelerating climate disruption, social connection may be a community's
greatest asset, and yet one of its most fragile resources to protect.
ATTACHMENT
EIGHT – FROM
AI OVERVIEW
WHAT WAS THE
WORST HEATWAVE IN HUMAN HISTORY?
The 2003 European heatwave is
widely considered the worst and deadliest heatwave in modern human history.
Exceptionally high temperatures-surpassing 40 °C (104 °F) in many
areas-engulfed the continent during July and August 2003, resulting in an
estimated 70,000 fatalities, with France suffering the highest death
toll.
Other Historically Devastating Heatwaves
·
Russian Heatwave (2010):
A severe, prolonged drought and record-high temperatures
triggered massive wildfires and heavy smog, causing approximately 56,000 deaths.
·
European Drought and Heat (1540): Historical
reconstructions suggest an extraordinary 11-month megadrought and heatwave across
central Europe that may have claimed hundreds of thousands of lives, though
exact ancient death tolls remain difficult to verify.
Sky HISTORY TV channel +1
·
North American Heatwave (1936): Part of
the Dust Bowl era, this brutal summer killed roughly 5,000 people across the
United States and Canada amid widespread crop failure.
Wikipedia +1
·
Chinese Heatwave (1743): Contemporary
accounts report temperatures reaching 44.4 °C (111.9 °F) in Beijing, leading to
an estimated 11,000 deaths.
The 2003
European heat wave is widely considered the deadliest heat wave in human
history, resulting in an estimated 72,000
fatalities across the continent. While the World Health Organization also highlights other
catastrophic events—such as the 2010 Russian heat wave that claimed 56,000
lives—the 2003 European crisis remains the benchmark for extreme heat disasters
due to its massive scale and profound societal impact. [1,
2,
3]
THE
2003 EUROPEAN HEAT WAVE: A CLOSER LOOK
The summer of 2003 brought the hottest
weather recorded in Europe since at least 1540. A persistent high-pressure
system, combined with hot continental air masses and warm Atlantic waters,
trapped scorching heat over Western Europe for weeks, peaking in July and
August. [1]
[ Deadliest Heat Waves in Modern History ]
┌─────────────────────────────────┬──────────────────┐
│
Event │
Estimated Deaths │
├─────────────────────────────────┼──────────────────┤
│
2003 European Heat Wave │
~72,000 │
│
2022 European Summer Heat │
~61,600 │
│
2010 Russian Heat Wave │
~56,000 │
│
1901 Eastern U.S. Heat Wave │
~9,500 │
└─────────────────────────────────┴──────────────────┘
Why
Was It So Deadly?
·
Lack
of Preparedness: Unlike regions accustomed to tropical
weather, Western Europe historically enjoyed a temperate maritime climate. Air
conditioning was rare in homes, hospitals, and retirement facilities. [, 2,
3]
·
Vulnerable
Demographics: The vast majority of victims were elderly
citizens, the chronically ill, or socially isolated individuals. [1,
2]
·
The
"Nighttime Effect": Temperatures remained exceptionally high
during the nights, preventing human bodies from cooling down and recovering
from daytime stress. [1,
2,
3,
4,
5]
·
Institutional
Lag: The disaster struck in August, a traditional holiday month in
Europe when many doctors were on vacation and family members were away, leaving
elderly relatives unattended. [1,
2,
3,
4,
5]
Country-by-Country
Impact
·
Italy:
Suffered the highest overall toll, with approximately 20,000 deaths.
·
France:
Sustained around 15,000 to 19,000
fatalities. Paris was the epicenter of the French crisis; hospital
emergency rooms overflowed, and temporary refrigerated tents had to be used as
mortuaries because city facilities ran out of space.
·
Spain
& Germany: Experienced 13,000 and 9,500 deaths respectively.
·
Portugal:
Recorded an all-time peak temperature of 47.3°C (117.1°F). [1,
2,
3,
4,
5]
Environmental
and Economic Toll
Beyond the human cost, the heat wave
triggered severe environmental damage. Alpine glaciers shrank by roughly 10%.
Unprecedented droughts and wildfires scorched forests across Portugal and
Spain, while widespread crop failures cost the European agricultural sector an
estimated 13.1 billion euros.
Furthermore, low river levels and high water temperatures forced France to shut
down several nuclear power plants because they could no longer safely cool
their reactors. [1,
2,
3]
The
Legacy of 2003
The 2003 disaster served as a massive wake-up
call for global public health. It prompted European governments to build robust
heat health action plans,
including early warning networks, mandatory cooling centers in municipal
buildings, and active tracking systems for vulnerable citizens during summer
spikes. [1,
2,
3]
If you would like to explore this topic
further, please tell me if you want to know about how scientists attribute heat waves to climate change, or if you
want to compare 2003 to more recent
record-breaking European summers. [1,
2,
3]
AI Mode Conversation:
What was the worst heatwave in human history? Describe the 2010 Russian heat
wave
What was the worst heatwave in human history?
Describe the 2010 Russian heat wave
The 2003
European heatwave and the 2010
Russian heatwave share the record for the worst heatwaves in human
history based on mortality, with the Guinness World Records officially recognizing the 2010
Russian event as the deadliest single heatwave ever recorded. Both events
resulted in catastrophic loss of life, with the 2003 European heatwave claiming
roughly 70,000 lives across the
continent and the 2010 Russian heatwave causing approximately 55,000 to 56,000 excess deaths
nationwide. [1,
2,
3,
4]
The
2010 Russian Heatwave
From late June through mid-August 2010,
Western Russia experienced the most intense, prolonged, and destructive
heatwave in its recorded history. Temperatures in regions accustomed to mild
summers soared 8°C to 12°C (14°F to 22°F) above normal seasonal averages. [1,
2,
3]
1. Meteorological
Cause
The disaster was triggered by a massive
atmospheric phenomenon known as an "omega
block" or "blocking high". A powerful system of high
pressure became locked over Western Russia, completely stalling the normal eastward
movement of weather systems. This trapped hot air from Africa and the Middle
East over the region for more than 40 consecutive days, preventing cooler air
masses or rain from entering. [1,
2,
3,
4]
2.
Temperature Extremes
·
Moscow: The
capital city repeatedly smashed records, peaking at an all-time high of 39°C (102°F).
·
National
Record: The highest temperature ever reliably
recorded in Russia occurred during this event on July 11, 2010, when the
mercury hit 44.0°C (111.2°F) in
the southern Republic of Kalmykia. [1,
2]
3.
Widespread Wildfires and Smog [1]
The extreme heat combined with a severe
drought to transform forests and dried peat bogs into tinderboxes. Hundreds of
wildfires broke out across Western Russia, enveloping Moscow and surrounding
provinces in a thick, toxic blanket of yellow smog. Carbon monoxide levels in
major cities rose to six times the
maximum permissible limit, drastically reducing visibility and making
the air highly hazardous to breathe. [1,
2,
3,
4]
4.
The Human and Health Toll
The compounding factors of persistent extreme
daytime heat, a lack of overnight cooling, and suffocating air pollution
created a severe public health crisis. [1]
·
Excess
Mortality: The majority of the 55,000–56,000 fatalities
occurred due to heatstroke, acute respiratory failure, and cardiovascular
complications aggravated by the smog. In Moscow alone, the daily death rate
temporarily doubled from its baseline. [1,
3]
·
Spike
in Drownings: Desperate to cool down, thousands of
citizens flocked to local rivers and lakes. A combination of unsupervised
swimming and heavy alcohol consumption unfortunately led to more than 1,200 drowning deaths in June alone. [1,
2]
5.
Economic and Agricultural Impact
The heatwave triggered Russia's worst drought
in roughly 40 years. It destroyed over 9
million hectares (22 million acres) of crops, which constituted about
20% of the country’s total wheat harvest. The devastating agricultural failure
forced the Russian government to issue an immediate ban on grain exports, which
temporarily disrupted global food prices. Total economic damage from the
disaster was estimated at $15 billion
USD, translating to a loss of roughly 1% to 1.4% of Russia's GDP. [1,
2,
3,
4,
5]
ATTACHMENT
NINE – FROM AI OVERVIEW
HOW MANY
PEOPLE DIED IN HEATWAVE 2026?
Tens of thousands of people
have died from heat-related and excess mortality causes during the
record-breaking 2026 European heatwaves.
Early summer estimates cite nearly 12,000 heat-related deaths in Germany alone,
over 5,700 in France, and thousands more across the UK, Spain, Italy, and
Belgium.
Country Breakdown (Estimates and Excess Deaths)
·
Germany: Nearly 12,000 heat deaths
reported by health institutes mid-summer.
·
France: Over 5,700 fatalities
estimated during early summer heat spikes.
·
Spain: Approximately 3,000 deaths
tied to extreme temperatures.
·
Belgium & Netherlands: Around
1,700 to 2,000 excess deaths recorded locally.
·
United Kingdom
Thousands of excess deaths and
record A&E strain during persistent heat peaks.
ATTACHMENT
TEN – FROM TELEGRAPH U.K.
THIS SUMMER ISN’T AS BAD AS THE DROUGHT OF 1976
|
The River Thames was exceptionally low during the 1976 drought |
|
By Matt Oliver, Theo Horch and Jonathan Leake |
After the driest July on record
and an August that has so far scarcely been better, the drought gripping more than
70 per cent of England is inviting comparisons
to 1976.
That year, months of persistent hot weather and sparse rainfall left rivers,
groundwater and reservoir resources dangerously parched. In response, some
local water boards switched off household supplies and forced people to fill
buckets at street standpipes.
Catherine Fish was only five at the time but remembers “lots of ladybirds”, as
well as signs her school handed out to take home and put in the lavatory: “If
it’s yellow, let it mellow. If it’s brown, flush it down.”
Things are thankfully not that bad now – partly thanks to resilience measures
the Government introduced following the drought that year.
It’s how quickly these events
occur that is worrying scientists.
“On paper, 1976 was much more severe than today,” says Dr Katie Facer-Childs,
of the UK Centre for Ecology and Hydrology.
“But although that was longer, what we’re finding today is we’re getting to the
same levels with worrying speed.”
ATTACHMENT
ELEVEN – FROM
DOWNTOEARTH.ORG
WILDFIRES
HAVE DESTROYED AN AREA OF PROTECTED TROPICAL FOREST TWICE THE SIZE OF WALES
GLOBALLY SINCE 2001, STUDY REVEALS
The vast majority of the
destruction — around 89 per cent — occurred in the tropical Americas,
particularly in Brazil
Published on: 16 Aug 2026,
7:12 am
· More than four million hectares
of protected tropical forest — an area twice the size of Wales — has been
destroyed by wildfires since 2001, according to the most detailed global
assessment of its kind
· The rate of destruction inside
protected areas is around nine times higher since 2016
· Protected status does reduce
the chances of wildfires in most of the regions studied, but does not shield
forests from the worldwide trend of worsening wildfire activity
· Researchers from the University
of Sheffield say protected area planning must now factor in future wildfire
risk if these measures are to remain effective as the impact of climate change
intensifies
Over four million hectares of protected
tropical forest — an area double the size of Wales — have been lost to
wildfires since 2001.
Accelerating at an alarming rate,
this destruction threatens sanctuaries once thought safe, according to a new
University of Sheffield study.
The study,
published in the journal Global Change Biology, is the first to
assess in detail how much protected tropical forest has been lost to wildfires
worldwide, and whether protected status actually reduces the risk of forests
burning.
Researchers combined satellite
wildfire data with maps of more than 9,700 protected areas across the tropics,
tracking forest losses between 2001 and 2024.
They found that wildfire-driven
destruction of protected tropical forests is not only substantial, but
accelerating. The annual area burned inside protected areas has been roughly
nine times higher since 2016 compared to previous years, with nearly a third of
all 24-year losses occurring in 2024 alone.
The vast majority of the
destruction — around 89 per cent — occurred in the tropical Americas,
particularly in Brazil, which alone accounted for almost two-thirds of global
losses. Bolivia and Indonesia also recorded substantial losses.
To test whether protection
actually makes a difference, the researchers compared protected forest plots
with very similar unprotected plots nearby, matched for factors known to
influence wildfire risk, such as temperature, rainfall, how many people live in
the area, and how much forest surrounds it. This allowed them to isolate the
effect of protection itself, rather than other factors that might explain why
some forests burn and others don’t.
The results were mixed but
broadly encouraging: protected areas were less likely to burn than comparable
unprotected forest in around half of all plots studied in the Americas, rising
to around seven in ten plots in Africa. However, when the researchers looked at
how wildfire activity has changed over time, they found protected and
unprotected forests were following almost identical trends, meaning that as
wildfire activity worsens across a region, protected areas are being swept up
in that increase just as much as unprotected land.
Christopher Bousfield, Research
Fellow at the University of Sheffield, said: “Protected areas help reduce
wildfire risk, but they offer no guarantee of safety as climate change
intensifies. Because most tropical fires are human-caused, safeguarding these
forests requires active collaboration with local communities and landowners to
prevent both deliberate land-clearing fires and accidental escapes into
protected regions.”
The researchers emphasise that
protected areas are still one of our best tools for saving tropical forests,
wildlife, and stored carbon. However, rather than treating wildfires as a
separate issue, park planners must now build fire prevention directly into
their conservation plans — especially as climate change and extreme weather
events like El Niño make fires more frequent and intense.
Oscar Morton, Research Fellow at
the University of Sheffield, said: “Protected areas have undoubtedly shielded
tropical forests from fire over the past two decades. But they aren’t immune to
the broader climate crisis. To keep saving these ecosystems, we must tackle the
root causes of increasing forest flammability — starting with climate change —
and ensure fire risk is a core part of how we plan future reserves.”
The study draws on
high-resolution satellite data capable of detecting forest loss at a 30-metre
resolution, allowing researchers to distinguish stand destroying from smaller,
lower-intensity fires that can damage and degrade but do not necessarily
destroy forest. Because of this, the researchers say their figures are likely
to be a conservative estimate of the true scale of fire damage in protected
tropical forest
ATTACHMENT
TWELVE – FROM
CNN
EUROPE’S ECONOMY FACES A ONE-TWO PUNCH FROM EXTREME WEATHER AND WAR
By Hanna Ziady, Anna Cooban Aug
14, 2026
London —
Nuclear power plants idled.
Crops harvested at 3 a.m. Iconic tourist attractions shuttered early.
Soaring temperatures are
forcing drastic measures in Europe, where successive heatwaves are straining an
economy already under pressure from US tariffs, Chinese competition and higher
energy prices because of the Iran war.
Romania’s state-owned nuclear
power producer Nuclearelectrica started disconnecting its sole operational
reactor from the power grid Thursday because of record-low water levels in the
Danube, crucial for cooling its equipment, the company confirmed to CNN. The
country has declared a state of energy emergency throughout August and asked
businesses and households to voluntarily reduce consumption, Reuters reported.
Elsewhere, France and Hungary have
had to curtail nuclear power due to low river levels and high temperatures.
Drought conditions are also fueling devastating, costly wildfires and reducing crop yields, threatening to push up food prices.
Europe’s sweltering summer
could cost the economy €180 billion ($208
billion) this year, or 1% of GDP – roughly the entire expected economic growth
of the European Union, according to an estimate by Netherlands-based Triodos
Bank. “Lower labor productivity is likely to have the largest economic impact,
alongside disruptions to agriculture, energy and transport,” the bank said in
a report this month.
Swaths of Europe are enduring
their fifth heatwave of the year this week, with parts of Britain, France, Spain
and Italy under extreme heat warnings. The latest scorcher comes after Western Europe recorded
its hottest June and July on record, according to Copernicus, the European
Union’s climate monitor. In Paris, extreme heat prompted the Eiffel Tower and
the Louvre to close early on some days.
While some analysts doubt the
heat will have a sizeable impact on economic growth this year, pointing
to improved business confidence in July and increased GDP in
the first half, hot weather is not the only economic threat.
Europeans also face the
prospect of hikes to their energy bills this winter, as natural gas prices
climb. The price of benchmark natural gas futures traded near their highest
levels since the start of the Iran war this week, and almost twice as high as
the same time last year.
The war in the Middle East has
made cargoes more scarce and, in turn, more expensive, raising the prospects of
another energy crunch. Blistering heat has also raised demand for air
conditioning, driving up natural gas consumption at a time when stores need to
be refilled ahead of winter.
“The EU natural gas market is
vulnerable looking ahead to peak winter demand,” Kieran Tompkins, senior
climate and commodities economist at Capital Economics wrote in a note earlier this
month. “Storage levels are the lowest for this point in the year for over a
decade.”
DRY RIVERS, OVERNIGHT FARMING
The Danube is not the only
critical European waterway drying out as a result of a prolonged drought.
In Germany, Europe’s biggest
economy, record-low water levels in the Rhine – an important transport route
for industrial goods such as steel and chemicals – could shave 0.3 percentage
points off the country’s GDP growth this year, according to economists at
pan-European bank ING. That would be a heavy blow for an economy growing at
less than 1% a year.
BASF, the German chemicals
giant, said it may be unable to fulfil orders of some chemical compounds
because the Rhine’s low water levels have restricted the supply of certain key
raw materials.
“We are… shifting volumes to
alternative modes of transport such as trucks and rail,” the company told CNN,
noting that it was also using a greater number of vessels specifically designed
to navigate shallow waters. A number of German states have temporarily
suspended Sunday driving bans for trucks in an emergency effort to mitigate
supply chain disruption.
The European Commission said earlier this year that EU member states should be
investing about €70 billion ($81 billion) per year to 2050 in climate
adaptation — spending that could boost economies but will also pile pressure on
strained government budgets.
Some companies have already
started adapting in innovative ways. In England, a notoriously
rainy part of the world, family-owned Rookery Farm is
harvesting its crop at 3 a.m. to ensure it has sufficient moisture content.
“Harvest is no longer just
about dodging the rain – we’re now adapting to crops that can become too dry,
meaning more night-time harvesting to meet the quality standards our customers
require,” farmer Eleanor Gilbert said in a video posted to Instagram.
HIGH ENERGY PRICES AHEAD
As Europe grapples with
successive heatwaves, it also faces the prospects of a winter energy crunch.
Gas storage levels across the EU were 59% full on Tuesday, according to data
from Gas Infrastructure Europe — well below the average for this time of year
and on par with levels seen during summer 2021, when Russia had begun
restricting exports to the continent.
“I’m really concerned,”
Anne-Sophie Corbeau, a researcher at Columbia University’s Center on Global
Energy Policy, said of the EU’s ability to replenish diminished stocks.
“There have been very few cargoes…
exiting the Strait of Hormuz. All of them are going to Asia,” she told CNN.
Summer is primetime in Europe
for stocking up on gas before the colder winter months, when prices are often
considerably higher. Yet the Strait of Hormuz is still effectively shut,
choking off one fifth of the world’s supply of liquefied natural gas — a liquid
form of the fuel carried by tankers.
Remaining cargoes, such as
those from the United States, are also more likely to head for Asia than
Europe, say analysts, because demand there is particularly strong and buyers
are stumping up more.
But this is “not a ’22 crisis,”
said Christoph Halser, senior analyst of gas and LNG research at Rystad Energy,
referring to that year’s historic price spikes in Europe following Russia’s full-scale
invasion of Ukraine.
Since then, the continent has
greatly reduced its imports of Moscow’s gas — the bulk of which arrived via
pipelines — as well as reduced its overall consumption.
“Gas demand in Europe today is
roughly 20% lower than, let’s say, in 2021,” Halser told CNN.
Massimo Di Odoardo, vice
president of gas and LNG research at Wood Mackenzie, is also confident that
Europe will avoid a dire scenario of energy shortages and blackouts.
The risk of shortages are
“overstated” he said, adding that the region has the means to “buy itself out”
of any such predicament.
Still, prices are unnervingly
elevated.
The price of Europe’s benchmark
natural gas contract settled at €61
($70) per megawatt hour on Wednesday, well above the €32 ($37) logged on the
same day in 2025, according to Intercontinental Exchange data.
During the winter, “Europe
should be really worried about a situation where the Strait of Hormuz doesn’t
open because this could certainly result in prices being extremely
high,” Di Odoardo said.
Elina Baudier Kim contributed reporting from
Paris.
ATTACHMENT
THIRTEEN – FROM
GUK
COPING WITH 54C HEAT: DELHI SLUM DIARIES
DETAIL LIVING IN EXTREME TEMPERATURES
With heatwaves now
recognised as disasters, personal testimonies are key to a new project that
looks to protect those living in the most cramped districts of India’s capital
Mon 17 Aug 2026 00.00 EDT
Every summer
evening, Gulshan follows the same routine. She washes the floor of her one-room
home several times so it cools a little for her four children to sleep on. Last
summer, the family saved enough to buy a desert cooler, which uses evaporation
as a cheaper alternative to air conditioning.
The family
uses the appliance cautiously to save on energy costs. But even when it is on,
Gulshan, who does not use a surname, has to dampen everyone’s clothes before
sleeping. The 39-year-old and her children now have rashes and one has a skin
infection from the wet cloth against their skin.
This summer,
Gulshan started jotting down these coping strategies in a garmi khata, or heat registry. “I feel relieved
that at least somebody might read my family’s experiences,” she says.
They are one
of 40 households in Sunder Nagri, a slum in north-east Delhi, documenting their
experiences of surviving the city’s increasingly longer and more frequent
heatwaves.
Over the last
few years, cities across India have
begun drawing up heat action plans – agreements formulated by a municipality or
district administration on how to prepare for and respond to extreme heat.
While some
incorporate data such as satellite-derived land surface temperatures to
identify heat hotspots, there are still significant gaps in information on
people, making it difficult to understand how heat is experienced differently
across communities.
Aravind Unni,
an urban planner and researcher in Delhi, says: “Experiences of heat are vastly
different depending on geography, income, occupation, gender, caste, class.
“While we
have some meteorological data on heat, what’s absolutely missing is people,
community – what they feel, what they experience.”
Most data
collated in heat planning is usually just meteorological, such as air
temperatures and heatwave thresholds.. The idea for the heat diaries was to
“move beyond just the numbers”, says Nibedita Saha, a Greenpeace India
researcher who worked on the project.
Aakiz Farooq,
a senior campaigner at the group, says the team contemplated how best to
encapsulate experiences and thought: “What if they become their own
storytellers, they write their own evidence, they write their own testimonies?”
Arshi, 19,
who lives in one room with five other family members, is a distance-learning
student at Delhi University. She also works at home making decorative tassels
for trucks.
She makes
about 150 rupees (£1.17) working with her mother and sister for a day.
“Sometimes I go to the college library just to sit in the air-conditioned space
for a while. But I have to come back home so I can help my sister and mother,”
she says. These experiences are part of Arshi’s diary.
The diaries,
which ask about daily routines, work, home, mood and families, are intended to
serve as comprehensive journals of residents’ daily lives.
Arshi’s small
brick house is extremely humid, and while the temperatures are lower after
rain, the combination of heat and humidity means everyone is sweating
profusely.
The ambient
air temperature insideis 29.3C (85F), but with relative humidity at 84.6%, the
“feels-like” temperature is 36.3C (97F).
Raja, a
21-year-old street vendor, experiences temperatures as high as 45C during peak
summer months as he sells vegetables from his pushcart. The fresh produce
spoils quickly, leading to losses, and he has noticed a drastic drop in numbers
of people on the street, which also reduces his income.
Every night,
he returns to a home with limited ventilation and no cooling source beyond a ceiling
fan. As the gap between day and night temperatures narrows year after year in
Delhi, people in homes such as Raja’s get no respite, even after the sun sets.
“I started sleeping out on the roof in May so I could feel some air,” he says.
Workers such
as Raja, Unni says, could be better protected by public policy if the state
knew of their experiences at a micro-level and establish systems to provide
compensation.
When Sunder
Nagri’s residents set out to map heat indices within their neighbourhood, they
found that some streets, including where Raja sells vegetables, reflected
temperatures on the ground of more than 54C (129F). The residents are
attempting to find pragmatic solutions, such as shade, water sources or
increased greenery.
This summer,
satellite analysis found striking differences across Delhi. For instance,
an analysis by
the news magazine India Today found an average land-surface temperature of
nearly 44C in the south-west district of Mahipalpur, by the airport, compared
with about 37C just 2 miles (3km) away in the leafy, upmarket suburb of Vasant
Kunj.
Unni feels
the diaries and community heat mapping can help form urban resilience policy,
but says a big stumbling block is that “Indian cities do not have the
administrative capacity or infrastructure to have decentralised action”.
The diaries
have now been submitted to India’s National Human Rights Commission, urging it
to recognise extreme heat as a human rights issue and recommend measures to
protect people.
Farooq says
the team also plans to share the testimonies with ministries, policymakers and
MPs to push for more targeted measures to protect people from extreme heat.
He says they
are also working to develop the testimonies into evidence of impacts and
injuries that could be used for lawsuits to increase accountability, given
the supreme court’s 2024
ruling that protection from the most adverse impacts of the
climate crisis forms part of the right to life.
On 4 August,
India’s government added heatwaves to
the list of nationally notified disasters, allowing states to access emergency
relief funds.
Unni and
Farooq say it “would be ideal” if the decision meant funds could support local
action guided by community participation.
Arshi also
feels more hopeful after the new guidelines. “Even if the government sees something
as small as our rising medical and electricity costs and tries to help with
that, it would feel like a win for me. At least they would have seen what we
are going through,” she says.
ATTACHMENT
FOURTEEN – FROM
GLOBALISSUES.ORG
AS MONGOLIA HOSTS COP17,
PASTORALISTS DEMAND SPACE TO MOVE, SURVIVE AND RESTORE
by Kizito
Makoye (dar es salaam, tanzania)
Monday,
August 17, 2026
DAR ES SALAAM, Tanzania, August 17 (IPS) -
After moving more than 6,000 km across Eurasia, the Silk Road Caravan has
reached Mongolia with stories from pastoralists whose livelihoods are
increasingly threatened by drought, degraded land and shrinking access to
grazing areas.
Since leaving Türkiye in May, the thud of
horse hooves has echoed through landscapes in the Russian Federation,
Uzbekistan, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan and China. Along the way, its riders met
pastoralists adapting to a harsher climate and deteriorating rangelands. Now
their experiences have converged in Ulaanbaatar, where the caravan’s final leg
coincides with the opening of COP17 of the United Nations Convention to Combat
Desertification. Governments, scientists, financial institutions,
businesses and civil society have gathered there to address the pressures on
the world’s drylands.
The journey has brought an old
question into the spotlight: can global efforts to restore rangelands succeed
without the knowledge of the people who have managed them for generations?
For centuries, caravans
travelling the ancient Silk Road carried goods, ideas and cultures between
distant civilisations. This one has carried stories of communities trying to
keep up their land productive and their livelihoods intact as drought and
degradation spread across drylands from Eurasia to Africa.
Its arrival on the eve of COP17
highlights the conference’s challenge of turning commitments to land
restoration into action on the ground.
LAND DEGRADATION
Land degradation and drought
cost the global economy USD 900 billion annually and affect 40% of the world’s
land and 3.2 billion people. Droughts have increased by almost one-third since
2000 and generate at least USD 300 billion in annual losses, according to UN
data.
For Tanzania’s pastoralist
communities, Neema Seki, an Indigenous women and youth advocate connected to
the Pastoralist Women’s Council, urged world leaders in Ulaanbaatar to
guarantee land security for pastoral communities.
“The most rapidly changing
aspect is access to land. This by implication affects everything else in
pastoral livelihoods. Without land tenure security, livestock health is
impacted, mobility is affected, and family food security is affected,” she told
IPS.
Her warning is central to the
COP17 debate as land degradation increasingly threatens pastoralist women’s
rights, livelihoods and mobility.
“In a pastoralist setting,
women play a significant role that is oftentimes not stated. If livestock
health deteriorates, women are mostly responsible for feeding them, bringing
water from far distances to water the ailing or weak livestock,” Seki said.
She added that restrictions on
pastoral livelihoods can also create a gendered burden that national climate
and conservation policies rarely capture.
“Another aspect is a reality
that when the pastoral livelihoods are dismantled by restrictions on access to
resources, women oftentimes remain in the land to suffer while men are able to
go into cities to look for work while women remain with children at home.”
That experience is echoed
thousands of kilometres away in Niger, where Abarchi Harouna, a pastoralist
leader with the association Nodde Nooto and co-chair of the International Year
of Rangelands and Pastoralists for West and Central Africa, argues that
mobility itself is an environmental management tool.
“Mobility is essential to
pastoralism because it allows livestock keepers to search for water, pasture
and salt wherever they are available,” Harouna told IPS.
For nomadic pastoralists such
as Tanzania’s Maasai, restricting traditional migration corridors directly
affects livelihoods.
“When governments restrict
access to traditional routes and water points, nomadic pastoralists are
deprived of pasture, water and salt,” he said.
“This can lead to a pastoral
crisis, with significant livestock deaths and even conflicts between farmers
and herders.”
RELEVANCE IN MONGOLIA
Similar pressures are evident
in Mongolia, where pastoralism is key to the economy, yet nearly 77 percent of
the country’s land suffers from degradation. Rangelands cover about 70 percent
of its territory and support the livelihoods of roughly one-third of the
population, leaving pastoral communities exposed to climate shocks.
Rangelands cover 54% of the
Earth’s land surface, support about 2 billion people and provide nearly 70% of
global livestock feed and one-sixth of the world’s food. Yet up to half are
degraded, particularly in dry regions facing mounting climate pressures.
Harouna challenges a persistent
narrative that pastoralism itself is responsible for land degradation.
“Livestock keepers are never
responsible for land degradation. This narrative is incorrect. Livestock
mobility ensures the health of pastures.”
He points instead to the
ecological functions performed by mobile herds.
“Animals carry the seeds of
grasses and woody plants from one place to another, thereby enriching
biological diversity.”
Manure, he said, fertilises
soils, while trampling can loosen compacted ground.
“The knowledge of livestock
keepers helps governments and all stakeholders restore degraded land and
improve resilience to climate change.
For Seki, a similar knowledge
system exists in Tanzania but is increasingly undermined by government
policies.
“One of the greatest traditional
knowledge practices by pastoralists which is being wrongly discouraged by
government policies is pastoral mobility,” she said.
The implications extend to a
younger generation that, despite the pressures, has not necessarily abandoned
pastoralism.
“Young pastoralists still see
pastoralism as the best livelihood system. They are, however, daily confronting
the ugliness caused by state-restrictive policies and the climate crisis,” Seki
said.
THE ECONOMICS OF WAITING
COP17 organisers are seeking to
frame restoration not just as an environmental obligation but also as an
economic investment.
The conference estimates that
about USD 355 billion is needed every year to combat land degradation and
drought, compared with the current investment of roughly USD 77 billion. That
leaves an annual financing gap of USD 278 billion.
The private sector currently
contributes only around six percent of global finance for land restoration and
drought resilience.
Closing that gap will be
central to the negotiations.
The conference will explore
ways of reducing investment risks and encouraging businesses, financial
institutions and governments to finance regenerative landscapes. An initiative
linked to the COP has recorded commitments of more than USD 9 billion across more
than 210 million hectares.
The argument for investment is
strengthened by the potential returns: every dollar invested in drought
resilience can generate returns of up to USD 10, while some nature-based
solutions can generate benefits many times their cost.
UNCCD Executive Secretary
Yasmine Fouad has described the challenge bluntly: “The world does not lack
solutions; the challenge is taking them to scale.”
FROM COMMITMENTS TO MEASURABLE RESULTS
Mongolia’s Prime Minister N.
Uchral has called for a shift “from talk to action, from targets to
implementation, and from commitments to measurable results”.
The conference comes at a time
when multilateral cooperation faces pressure and the world’s environmental
crises grow increasingly interconnected. Land degradation affects food
production. Drought intensifies water insecurity. Loss of vegetation
contributes to biodiversity decline. Livelihood losses can drive migration and
deepen competition over scarce resources.
As the first of the three Rio Convention
COPs being held in 2026, COP17 offers an opportunity to connect land policy
with negotiations on biodiversity and climate change later in the year.
It is also taking place during
the International Year of Rangelands and Pastoralists, giving pastoral
communities a prominent place in the global policy calendar.
Seki argues that women and
young people should be recognised as custodians of knowledge and resources.
“Women and young people play a
great role in the pastoral system. This role extends to forest stewardship and
resource management.”
Yet, she said, traditional
knowledge often gets sidelined.
“Both women and young people
are discouraged by state policies and conservation policies from using
traditional knowledge for ecology and nature sustainability.”
COP17’s agenda includes a
proposed policy framework on rangelands and pastoralists and the launch of a
Rangelands Flagship Initiative aimed at attracting long-term investment into
sustainable rangeland management and pastoral livelihoods.
For Harouna, restrictions on
livestock mobility potentially affect agriculture, pastoral production and the
environment. He warns that declining soil fertility could trigger dismal crop
yields, while degraded grazing areas could foster invasive pests, consequently
affecting livestock and reducing milk and meat supplies.
EXCHANGE OF KNOWLEDGE
The Silk Road Caravan’s final
journey across Mongolia will take participants from the Gobi Desert to the
country’s central forests and grasslands. They are expected to meet nomadic
herder families, researchers, local authorities and pastoral cooperatives and
visit restoration projects.
The challenge for delegates is
to ensure the caravan’s lessons continue beyond the conference.
For dryland communities in
Tanzania, Niger and Mongolia, restoration can determine whether livestock
survive, families remain on their land, food production continues and
ecosystems endure.
As the conference opens under
the theme “Restoring Land. Restoring Hope”, its success may depend on whether
the afflicted communities living on vulnerable landscapes receive the space,
resources and recognition they need to restore and manage them.
IPS UN Bureau Report
ATTACHMENT
FIFTEEN – FROM
UNDP.ORG
RESTORING
LAND
Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia
17–28 August
Land is where many of today’s
environmental challenges meet. Healthy soils store carbon, produce food,
sustain biodiversity and support the livelihoods of billions of people.
Yet this foundation is under
growing strain. Up to 40 percent of the world's land is degraded, and the
consequences are being felt through food insecurity, water scarcity, migration
and economic instability.
Addressing land degradation is
not only about restoring ecosystems. It is about protecting livelihoods and
ensuring that communities facing increasing environmental pressures have the
tools and resources they need to steward the land sustainably.
That challenge is at the centre
of discussions from 17 to 28 August, when governments, scientists, Indigenous
Peoples, civil society, youth and the private sector gather in Ulaanbaatar,
Mongolia, for COP17 of
the UN Convention to Combat Desertification (UNCCD). The Conference focuses on the interconnected challenges of
desertification, land degradation and drought, and how restoring land
can build resilience and reduce vulnerability but also enhance economic
stability, national security and development.
Mongolia’s own experience
reflects the growing strain on the world’s natural ecosystems: nearly 77 percent of the country's territory has been
affected by degradation. But just
as striking as the scale of the challenge is the opportunity it presents. Restoring
150 million hectares of degraded land (an area roughly the size of Canada)
could generate up to US$40 billion additional annual income for smallholder
farmers while helping feed 200 million people.
Unlocking this kind of potential
will require investment. As host of COP17, Mongolia is advancing the Steppe
Action Agenda, a global initiative to mobilize more than $1 billion to
support integrated action across landscapes. But turning restoration ambitions
into reality will depend on closing a significant financing gap and ensuring
that resources reach the communities and landscapes most in need.
Over the past decade, countries
have committed to restoring 1 billion hectares of degraded land by 2030,
and more than 70 countries have developed or are
developing national drought plans. COP17 is a key moment to reach even higher and move quickly from planning to
action, with finance for land restoration and drought resilience among the
issues shaping the agenda.
Beyond drought resilience and
land restoration, COP17 shines a spotlight on communities that most depend on
healthy land. Herders and livestock farmers are taking centre stage as the
Conference coincides with the UN
International Year of Rangelands and Pastoralists. Rangelands
sustain more than 500 million people and cover around half of
the Earth’s land surface. Roughly half are already degraded or
at risk.
As part of its mandate, the
Convention addresses the links between land degradation and social challenges, including
gender equality, youth engagement and migration. COP17 advances this commitment
to a more inclusive approach to land governance, becoming the first UNCCD
Conference to include both an Indigenous Peoples Caucus and a Local Communities
Caucus.
Looking beyond the current
decade, one of the key goals of COP17 is to shape the Convention’s future strategic framework, the roadmap that will
define how global efforts to address desertification, land degradation and
drought continue after 2030.
ATTACHMENT
SIXTEEN – FROM
UNCCD
The 17th session of the Conference of the
Parties (COP17) to the United Nations Convention to Combat Desertification
(UNCCD) will be hosted by Mongolia in its capital city, Ulaanbaatar, from 17 to
28 August 2026 under the theme Restoring Land. Restoring Hope.
COP17 is expected to bring together delegates from UNCCD’s 197
Parties, alongside leaders from government, business and civil society, as well
as scientists, youth, Indigenous Peoples, pastoralists and smallholder farmers.
They will convene to forge solutions to the interconnected challenges of
desertification, land degradation and drought, recognizing that restoring
land is also essential to reducing instability, preventing displacement and
strengthening human and national security in vulnerable regions.
“Land is our most vital infrastructure — underpinning food
security, water, livelihoods and stability. When land fails, insecurity rises —
through lost livelihoods, forced displacement and increased competition over
scarce resources. With UNCCD COP17, Mongolia is offering the world a powerful
message: Restoring Land, Restoring Hope is not only an environmental agenda,
but a development and resilience priority. As drought intensifies and land
degradation accelerates, the conference must drive practical, investable
solutions — from restoring degraded land and soils to strengthening the
land–water nexus — so that communities can thrive,” said UNCCD Executive
Secretary Yasmine Fouad.
Land degradation is already affecting up to 40 per cent of the
world’s land, with far-reaching impacts on food production, water availability,
livelihoods and economic stability. COP17 offers a pivotal moment for countries
and partners to strengthen implementation and mobilize greater investment in
drought resilience and sustainable land management.
With a vast territory of 1.56 million square kilometers, Mongolia
is among the countries most affected by desertification and land degradation,
with nearly 77 per cent of its land already degraded. Hosting UNCCD COP17 in
Ulaanbaatar will place international focus on land restoration priorities,
including approaches that safeguard livelihoods, food security and ecosystems
in dryland regions.
COP17 is taking place during the United Nations
International Year of Rangelands and Pastoralists (IYRP 2026(, declared by
the United Nations General Assembly and championed by Mongolia. This
presents a major opportunity to accelerate action on the sustainable
management, restoration and conservation of rangelands, while spotlighting the
needs of pastoralist communities who depend directly on these ecosystems for
their livelihoods.
Rangelands cover more than half of the Earth’s land surface,
support the direct livelihoods of around 500 million people and provide
one-sixth of the world’s nutrition needs, yet remain among the planet’s most
overlooked and increasingly degraded ecosystems.
During the two-week conference, participants will engage in a
high-level segment including ministerial dialogues, alongside multistakeholder
forums and thematic discussions on science–policy integration, innovation and
solutions, tools and technologies, and financing. In addition to formal negotiations,
COP17 is expected to catalyze collective action on rangelands, resilience and
water, as well as food systems and soil health.
In preparation for COP17, Mongolia has launched national
initiatives linking land restoration with livelihoods and rural development,
including the President-led “Billion
Trees” National Campaign, initiated in 2021 and aiming to plant one billion
trees by 2030. Mongolia has also expanded public engagement and youth
participation through national dialogues and outreach activities, including the
“Youth4Land” National Forum. Through the Mongolia Business Council, the COP17
Presidency has been engaging the country’s private sector in support of UNCCD’s Business4Land
Initiative that aims to accelerate private sector action for
sustainable land management.
ATTACHMENT
SEVENTEEN – FROM
INDICO.UN
17–28 Aug 2026
National Garden Park
Asia/Ulaanbaatar timezone
The participation to the sessions of the
UNCCD COP17 is by invitation only. Registration is now open!
Event menu
·
Overview
o Visa
information for holders of Official and Diplomatic passports
Contact
The 17th session of the Convention’s
Conference of the Parties (COP17) of the United Nations Convention to
Combat Desertification (UNCCD) will be hosted by Mongolia in its
capital city, Ulaanbaatar, from 17 to 28 August 2026 under the
theme Restoring Land. Restoring Hope.
COP17 is expected to bring together delegates
from UNCCD’s 197 Parties, alongside leaders from government, business and civil
society, as well as scientists, youth, Indigenous Peoples, pastoralists and
smallholder farmers. They will convene to forge solutions to the interconnected
challenges of desertification, land degradation and drought, recognizing that
restoring land is also essential to reducing instability, preventing
displacement and strengthening human and national security in vulnerable
regions.
During the two-week conference, participants
will engage in a high-level segment including ministerial dialogues, alongside
multistakeholder forums and thematic discussions on science–policy integration,
innovation and solutions, tools and technologies, and financing. In addition to
formal negotiations, COP17 is expected to catalyze collective action on
rangelands, resilience and water, as well as food systems and soil health.
|
VISA |
|
|
National Passport |
Diplomatic and Official Passport |
|
Contacts |
|
|
NOTICE: Please
be informed that the Mongolian e-visa can only be issued to the following
travel documents:
Kindly note that Mongolia is currently not a State
Party to the 1951 Convention Relating to the of Refugees and the 1967
Protocol. Therefore, Mongolian e-visa cannot be issued to
holders of a Refugee Travel Document. |
|
|
ACCOMMODATION |
|
|
|
|
Conference information
Date/Time
Starts 17 Aug 2026, 08:00
Ends 28 Aug 2026, 18:00
All times are in
Asia/UlaanbaatarAsia/Ulaanbaatar
In-Person
National Garden Park, Ulan
Bator(Ulaanbaatar), Mongolia
Address: Khoroo 26, Bayanzurkh District,
City: Ulaanbaatar Zip code: 13313
ATTACHMENT
EIGHTEEN – FROM
UNCCD.INTL
UNCCD
COP17 OPENS IN ULAANBAATAR: LAND RESTORATION AND DROUGHT RESILIENCE TAKE CENTRE
STAGE
·
16
August 2026
·
Media
advisory
·
Media representatives are invited to cover
the opening day of UNCCD COP17, taking place from 17–28 August 2026 in
Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia. The conference brings together representatives of 197 Parties,
international organizations, financial institutions, businesses, scientists and
civil society to accelerate action on land restoration and drought
resilience.
Over the next two weeks, governments will
negotiate key decisions on drought resilience, rangelands and pastoralists,
sustainable agriculture and soils, resource mobilization and private-sector
engagement, while working to mobilize greater investment and strengthen
implementation on the ground.
KEY
EVENTS FOR MEDIA
·
IYRP
and Silk Road Caravan Bring Pastoralist Declaration to COP17
When: 08:00—08:30
Where: Blue Zone
Entrance
Pastoralists and herders from the
International Year of Rangelands and Pastoralists (IYRP 2026) and the Silk Road
Caravan campaign to walk on the boulevard carrying the pastoralist declarations
(global, women and youth) to the COP17 Plenary Hall. Accompanying them are the
Prime Minister, UNCCD Executive Secretary, and the ministers of Environment and
Climate Change (MECC), Ministry of Food, Agriculture, and Light Industry
(MoFALI) and Culture, Sports, Tourism, and Youth (CSTY).
·
COP17
Opening Ceremony
When: 09:00–09:40
Where: Plenary Hall
The official opening ceremony will mark the
start of UNCCD COP17 in Ulaanbaatar.
Photo and video: Accredited photographers and
camera crews will be permitted access to designated areas. Movement inside the
Plenary Hall will be regulated, and media are requested to follow instructions
from UNCCD media staff.
·
Opening
Plenary – First Meeting of COP17
When:
09:40–13:00
Where: Plenary Hall
The first meeting of COP17 will include the
formal opening of the session, election of the COP17 President, statements by
the incoming COP17 President and UNCCD Executive Secretary Yasmine Fouad, as
well as statements by regional and interest groups and civil society.
Photo
and video: Access will be facilitated in
designated areas. Movement within the Plenary Hall will be regulated.
Photographers
and Videographers (with professional cameras) – Opening Ceremony
Photographers and videographers using
professional cameras are requested to meet the Communications team in the press
conference room no later than
08:35.
They will then be escorted to a designated
cordoned-off area, where they will wait until the media team guides them to the
stage to capture photographs and footage of key moments during the Opening
Ceremony.
For safety and to ensure the smooth running
of the ceremony, media representatives are requested to follow the instructions of the media and
security teams at all times. Access to the Plenary Hall may be revoked if these instructions are not
followed.
Broadcast
and Recorded Footage
The opening ceremony can be viewed and
recorded from the media rooms.
Media outlets may also obtain a recorded copy
of the ceremony from the Master Control Room. Please bring your own hard drive
and contact:
Munkh-erdene
Yadamsuren
Email: munkh@iscm.mn
Phone: +976 8811 9391
·
Opening
Press Conference
When: 13:15–14:00
Where: Press Conference
Room
Speakers:
·
H.E. Sandag-Ochir Tsend, Minister of
Environment and Climate Change of Mongolia and Chair of the National Organizing
Committee of COP17
·
Dr. Yasmine Fouad, Executive Secretary of the
United Nations Convention to Combat Desertification
·
H.E. Battsetseg Batmunkh, Minister for
Foreign Affairs of Mongolia and President Designate of UNCCD COP17
·
Dr. Osama Faqeeha, Deputy Minister for
Environment of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia and Advisor to the UNCCD COP16
Presidency
The press conference will outline the
priorities and expectations for COP17, including Mongolia’s vision for the
conference, the transition from the COP16 Presidency to COP17, and the key
issues governments will address over the coming two weeks.
·
Civil
Society Key Messages and Priorities for COP17
When: 14:30-15:00
Where: Press Conference
Room
UNCCD civil society representatives from five
regions will present civil society priorities and key messages for COP17.
Speakers:
·
Marioldy Sanchez Santivañez – Latin America
and the Caribbean
·
Ellen Otaru-Okoedion – Africa
·
Amiya Prapan Chakra Borty – Asia
·
Andy Morris – Western Europe
·
Sopiko Babalashvili – Central and Eastern
Europe
The discussion will highlight civil society
perspectives and priorities as negotiations begin at COP17.
LOOKING
AHEAD: COP17 THEMATIC DAYS
Four thematic days during the conference’s
second week will connect negotiations with high-level dialogue and practical
action:
·
Finance Day – 24 August: Mobilizing public
and private investment for land restoration and drought resilience.
·
Water Day – 25 August: Strengthening drought
resilience and cooperation on the land-water nexus.
·
Land and People Day – 26 August: Highlighting
the role of pastoralists, Indigenous Peoples, local communities, women and
youth in restoring and sustainably managing land.
·
Food Systems and Soil Health Day – 27 August:
Advancing healthy soils and sustainable food systems to strengthen food
security and resilient livelihoods.
UPCOMING
REPORT LAUNCHES
·
24 August: The Economics of Rangelands
Restoration
·
25 August: The Drying Planet: Drought
in Numbers 2026
·
26 August: Global Land Outlook for
Small Island Developing States
·
26 August: Global Land Outlook
Central Asia Thematic Report
·
27 August: Soil Health: The Business
Case for Investing in Our Foundation
MEDIA
ACCREDITATION AND ACCESS
Accredited journalists may access open COP17
sessions and media events with a valid conference badge.
Photographers and camera crews will be able to
cover designated official events, including the opening ceremony and plenary.
For security and operational reasons, access and movement within meeting rooms
will be regulated. Media representatives are requested to remain in designated
areas and follow instructions from UNCCD media staff and conference
security.
The registration desk will be open on Monday,
17 August, from 07:00 to 18:30.
Media registration: https://indico.un.org/event/1022232/
Additional meetings and side events will take
place throughout the day. Journalists are encouraged to consult the official
COP17 programme for the complete schedule.
MEDIA
RESOURCES
·
UN WebTV – Live broadcast of
key plenary sessions with live interpretation in all six UN languages
·
UNCCD COP17 Visual Assets and Branding Resources
·
Earth Negotiations Bulletin – daily coverage, photographs and analysis
For media enquiries and interview requests:
UNCCD Press Office: press@unccd.int
ATTACHMENT
NINETEEN – FROM
YAHOO
HOW
IS COP17 TAKING ON THE DESERTIFICATION FIGHT?
By
Justin Klawans, The Week US
Wed,
August 19, 2026 at 1:22 PM EDT
·
The United Nations Conference of the Parties
in Mongolia is focusing on desertification and plans to allocate over $12
billion to vulnerable countries to combat drought and land degradation.
The United Nations' 17th Conference of the
Parties in Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia, has once again brought together an array of
countries to battle climate change. But this COP edition is focused on a unique
element of the shifting environment: desertification. As more fertile land
degrades into dry, barren desert, the meeting is workshopping climate solutions
using its key anti-desertification treaty, the United Nations Convention to
Combat Desertification (UNCCD).
What did the commentators
say?
While the U.N. is working on a cohesive plan
to fight desertification, the main goal of the Mongolia
conference is to "put pledges made two years ago into action through
projects in the developing world," said The Guardian. A plan like this will involve "allocating
more than $12 billion to vulnerable countries to help them deal with drought
and land degradation," specifically in countries that don't have many
resources to fight climate change.
The "biannual talks on desertification
have taken on far greater importance in the wake of recent heatwaves and
wildfires in the Northern Hemisphere, Europe and Asia," said French radio
broadcaster RFI. The $12 billion pledge is also "small compared to
the needs — about $2.6 trillion by 2030," which would be required to
"repair degraded land, halt desertification, protect against drought and
restore soils." There's also a push to focus more on the UNCCD, which has
been "garnering the least attention" of three environmental treaties
signed in the 1990s, said The Guardian.
The need for additional funding appears dire,
as "up to 40% of the world's land is currently degraded," said
the U.N. regional information center's site. Beyond
desertification causing environmental damage, it can also "reduce food production and water
availability, undermine livelihoods and increase economic and social
vulnerability." The "choice of Mongolia as host for COP17 brings
particular significance to this year's conference," as the U.N. estimates
that at least 77% of the country's land is degraded, making "sustainable
management a pressing national concern."
Solutions are being worked on in Mongolia as
countries around the world are "bracing for food price rises as a result
of damage to harvests from record heat and lack of water," said The
Guardian. The U.N.'s World Food Programme also "predicts that 50 million
more people could be pushed into hunger by the 'super El Niño' weather system
currently developing." Better implementation of anti-desertification
funds will be needed, as "initiatives to restore land and
prevent drought have up to now been poorly funded and badly managed."
What next?
Many are hoping that the conference will
help propel the UNCCD more into the foreground. It is
currently the only one of three U.N. environmental treaties from the 1990s in
which the U.S. "remains a full party" and is "one of the last
multilateral arenas for environmental diplomacy," said Jean-Daniel Cesaro,
a member of the French Scientific Committee on Desertification, to Le Monde. It is "crucial to keep it alive and maintain
dialogue and reflection on these issues, which are essential to our
future."
COP17 is slated to run until Aug. 28. Major
funding announcements are "generally made at climate COPs, even when they
are closely linked to land management," said Cesaro. The rest of the
conference should be used to "remind everyone that science remains, above
all, a space for dialogue in a world that more than ever needs healthy land and
living ecosystems to face climate change."
ATTACHMENT
TWENTY – FROM
UNRIC.COM
UN LAND CONFERENCE OPENS IN MONGOLIA TO
ACCELERATE GLOBAL ACTION ON RESTORATION AND RESILIENCE
Over the next two weeks,
governments, financial institutions, businesses, scientists and civil society will
work to advance practical solutions, forge new partnerships and mobilize
investment for land restoration and drought resilience, while Parties negotiate
decisions on drought, rangelands, agricultural lands and soils, resource
mobilization, private-sector engagement and the Convention’s future strategic
direction.
The decisions, partnerships and
initiatives launched at UNCCD COP17 are expected to strengthen
international cooperation on sustainable land management,
land restoration and drought resilience over the coming years, at a
time when countries are facing increasing pressure from land degradation,
water scarcity and climate change.
Land degradation and drought
are estimated to cost the global economy nearly USD 900 billion every year and
already affect up to 40 per cent of the world’s land and 3.2 billion people.
Droughts have increased by almost one-third since 2000 and now generate at
least USD 300 billion in annual losses.
As the first of the three Rio
Convention COPs taking place in 2026, ahead of the biodiversity and climate
conferences, COP17 provides an opportunity to strengthen cooperation
across the Rio Conventions and accelerate practical action on land degradation,
biodiversity loss, climate change, food and water security and
water resilience.
H.E. N. Uchral, Prime Minister of Mongolia, said: “The greatest change we want to see from COP17 is a
shift from talk to action, from targets to implementation, and from commitments
to measurable results. Mongolia therefore calls for tangible progress at this
conference.
First, let us address land,
climate and biodiversity not as separate issues, but as interconnected
challenges. Second, let us increase investment in land restoration and take
cooperation between governments, international financial institutions and the
private sector to a new level.
Third, let us make drought
resilience not only an environmental policy issue, but a core part of
development policy. Fourth, let us place the knowledge and participation of
rangeland users, herders and local communities at the centre of global land
management policy.
Fifth, let us turn science,
technology and innovation into practical solutions and real investment. Sixth,
let us work together to create the enabling conditions to turn commitments into
measurable results.”
UNCCD Executive Secretary Yasmine Fouad said: “Land
degradation and drought are no longer distant environmental concerns. They are
already affecting the food we produce, the water we depend on, the resilience
of our economies and the ability of communities to build secure
futures. Healthy land is the foundation of healthy food systems,
resilient economies and stable societies.
“COP17 must therefore
be a COP of implementation. The world does not lack solutions;
the challenge is taking them to scale. Ulaanbaatar must mobilize the political
leadership, investment and partnerships needed to move from commitments to
measurable results on the ground. Restoring land is not simply an environmental
obligation—it is an investment in people, stability and resilience.
“At a time when multilateralism
is being tested, COP17 is also an opportunity to show that countries can work
together to deliver practical solutions that improve people’s lives. Our
measure of success will not simply be the decisions we adopt, but the change
those decisions unlock for communities, economies and landscapes around the
world and ability to mainstream land in new development sectors to prevent
its future degradation.”
H.E. Battsetseg Batmunkh, Minister
for Foreign Affairs of Mongolia and UNCCD COP17 President, said: “For
Mongolia, land is inseparable from our people, our livelihoods and
our future. As a country where pastoralism remains central to our
society and where land degradation, drought and dzud are already
placing growing pressure on communities, we know that the health of our land
has direct consequences for people’s lives.
“Hosting COP17 is both a
responsibility and an opportunity to bring the experience of dryland countries
and pastoral communities to the centre of global discussions.
Mongolia will work with all Parties to make Ulaanbaatar a place where countries
come together around practical solutions for healthier land, more resilient
rangelands and a more secure future for the people who depend on them.”
H.E. Sandag-Ochir Tsend, Minister of Environment and Climate Change of Mongolia and
Chair of the National Committee for the Organization of UNCCD COP17, said:
“Mongolia has completed its
preparations to host UNCCD COP17 and stands ready to welcome delegates and
guests from around the world.
Desertification,
land degradation and climate change
are interconnected global challenges with far-reaching impacts not
only on the environment, but also on food security,
economic stability and livelihoods. COP17 will therefore provide a
vital platform for strengthening international cooperation and advancing
practical solutions.
As the host country, Mongolia
will promote constructive, consensus-based dialogue and work to ensure the
inclusive participation of all Parties and stakeholders.
The outcomes of COP17 must go
beyond negotiated decisions and translate into concrete action,
greater investment and stronger partnerships to halt and reverse land
degradation, safeguard rangelands and soils, restore degraded land and combat
desertification. Achieving this will require the active engagement of
governments, the private sector, international organizations and
financial institutions.
I am confident that COP17 will
mark an important step towards stronger international cooperation and
accelerated global action to address desertification,
land degradation and drought.”
For host country Mongolia,
these issues are part of everyday life. Nearly 77 per cent of the
country’s land is degraded, while pastoralism supports the livelihoods of one
in three Mongolians. In 2023 and 2024, severe summer drought followed by
devastating dzud winters resulted in the loss of more than seven
million livestock, highlighting the growing vulnerability of dryland
communities and the urgent need to strengthen resilience.
STRENGTHENING DROUGHT RESILIENCE
Building on the progress made
at COP16 in Riyadh, governments at COP17 will continue discussions on a global
policy framework on drought while strengthening the practical
tools, partnerships and financing mechanisms needed to help
countries turn drought plans into action. Parties will discuss measures to
strengthen preparedness, early warning systems,
vulnerability assessments and international cooperation.
More than 70 countries have now
developed national drought plans, compared with only three in 2013, reflecting
growing recognition that drought must be managed proactively rather than only
once it becomes a humanitarian and economic crisis.
Every dollar invested in
drought resilience can generate returns of up to USD 10, while some
nature-based solutions deliver benefits of up to 27 times their cost.
COP17 will also feature new
tools and partnerships to help countries strengthen drought preparedness and
resilience, including announcements related to the Riyadh Global Drought
Resilience Partnership, the Drought Resilience Investment Facility and the
International Drought Resilience Observatory as well as other
related programmes and projects.
CLOSING THE MULTIBILLION FINANCE GAP
Mobilizing greater public and
private investment for land restoration and drought resilience will be one of
the defining priorities of COP17.
An estimated USD 355 billion is
needed every year to combat land degradation and drought, yet current
investment stands at only around USD 77 billion, leaving an annual financing
gap of USD 278 billion.
Despite depending heavily on
healthy land and reliable water supplies, the private sector currently provides
only around six per cent of global land restoration and drought
resilience finance. Public resources alone are unlikely to close the gap,
highlighting the need to strengthen collaboration between governments,
development banks, businesses and investors.
COP17 will explore how to
unlock new sources of finance, strengthen incentives for sustainable land
management, reduce investment risks and better align public and
private investment with land restoration and drought resilience
goals through discussions and examining new tools to leverage the existing
pledges at the regional and national levels. The conference
will illustrate progress on initiatives such as Business4Land,
which aims to strengthen private sector engagement and partnerships
for land restoration and drought resilience.
The Business
for Land Forum on 24 August will bring together
governments, businesses and investors to
accelerate private-sector action and investment in regenerative
landscapes. Participating organizations in the Action Agenda on Regenerative
Landscapes have already committed more than USD 9 billion across over 210
million hectares, while new policy recommendations aimed at unlocking further
investment will be presented at COP17.
RANGELANDS TAKE CENTRE STAGE
Held during the International
Year of Rangelands and Pastoralists, COP17 will place one of the world’s
largest yet most overlooked ecosystems at the centre of international
discussions.
Rangelands cover 54 per cent of
the Earth’s land surface and support the livelihoods of around two billion
people, including approximately 500 million pastoralists who have
stewarded them for millennia. Rangelands produce one-sixth of the
world’s food and provide around 70 per cent of livestock feed. Far more
than grazing lands, they are strategic ecosystems that underpin food security,
biodiversity, climate resilience and livelihoods across the world’s
drylands. Yet up to half of the world’s rangelands are already degraded or
at risk, with 78 per cent locatedin drylands where increasing drought,
climate change and unsustainable land use are placing growing pressure on
ecosystems and communities.
Governments are expected to
consider a new policy framework on rangelands and pastoralists and launch
the Rangelands Flagship Initiative, a global partnership
designed to increase long-term investment in sustainable rangeland management
and strengthen pastoral livelihoods.
The opening of COP17 also marks
the conclusion of the UNCCD Silk Road Caravan, a multi-country journey across
Eurasia that brought together governments, scientists, pastoralists, local
communities and young people to exchange knowledge and showcase practical
approaches to land restoration, sustainable rangeland management and drought
resilience. Travelling along the historic Silk Road, the Caravan visited
restoration projects and pastoral communities, highlighting practical solutions
and the experiences of people restoring degraded land. Its arrival in Mongolia
ahead of COP17 symbolically connects local action with the global
negotiations beginning in Ulaanbaatar and marks one of the flagship initiatives
of the International Year of Rangelands and Pastoralists.
FROM RIYADH TO ULAANBAATAR
COP17 builds on the outcomes of
COP16 in Riyadh and the work undertaken since then to strengthen international
cooperation on drought resilience, sustainable land management, financing and
private-sector engagement.
Osama Faqeeha, Deputy Minister for
Environment, Ministry of Environment, Water and Agriculture of the Kingdom of
Saudi Arabia, and Advisor to the UNCCD COP16 Presidency, said:
“COP16 in Riyadh was a
historical turning point in the global awareness and drive for action to
address land degradation and drought. The world did not leave Riyadh with more
promises—it left with more partners, more investment, and stronger momentum for
action.
We saw the Riyadh Action Agenda,
which included 35 initiatives when it was launched at COP16 in Riyadh, has
grown to include more than 100 initiatives currently.
We witnessed stronger commitment to proactively face drought through
the Riyadh Global Drought Resilience Partnership, and a stronger participation
of the private sector through the Business for Land Initiative.
Through these partnerships, we
have built a global coalition that is mobilizing governments, financial
institutions, civil society, and the private sector to turn ambition into
implementation. As we pass the Presidency to Mongolia, we will continue to work
with COP17 Presidency and all other partners to maintain and amplify
the global momentum that was achieved in COP16 to create a better future.”
Beyond the drought and
rangelands agenda, governments will also consider the Convention’s future
strategic framework, scientific guidance on agricultural lands and soils,
greater participation by Indigenous Peoples, local communities, youth and civil
society, stronger cooperation with the biodiversity and climate conventions,
and ways to accelerate action under the Convention
FROM NEGOTIATIONS TO ACTION
Alongside the formal
negotiations, the COP17 Action Agenda will bring together
governments, international partners, financial institutions,
businesses, scientists, civil society organizations, Indigenous Peoples,
pastoralists, local communities, women and youth to showcase practical
solutions, launch new initiatives and forge partnerships that can help scale up
action on the ground.
Four thematic days during the
conference’s second week will connect negotiations with high-level dialogue and
practical action:
·
Finance Day (24 August): Mobilizing
public and private investment for land restoration and drought resilience.
·
Water Day (25 August): Strengthening
drought resilience and cooperation on the land-water nexus.
·
Land and People Day (26
August): Highlighting the role of pastoralists, Indigenous Peoples, local
communities, women and youth in restoring and sustainably managing
land.
·
Food Systems and Soil Health Day (27
August): Advancing healthy soils and sustainable food systems to
strengthen food security and resilient livelihoods.
The conference’s high-level
segment will feature ministerial dialogues and special events on
drought resilience, sustainable rangelands, financing for land restoration,
food systems and soil health, migration and security, sand and dust
storms, and private-sector engagement.
COP17 will also host the first
formal convenings of the UNCCD Indigenous Peoples Caucus and
the Local Communities Caucus, alongside the Business4Land
Forum, Youth Forum and Gender Caucus, creating new
opportunities for dialogue and partnership across governments and
stakeholders. A Parliamentarians Forum and Mayors
Forum will also convene on the sidelines of COP17.
Several major scientific and
policy publications will also be launched during the conference, including:
·
24 August: The Economics of Rangelands Restoration
·
25 August: The Drying Planet: Drought in Numbers
2026
·
26 August: Global Land Outlook for Small Island
Developing States
·
26 August: Global Land Outlook Central Asia Thematic
Report
·
27 August: Soil Health: The Business Case for Investing
in Our Foundation
COP17 will conclude on 28
August, when Parties are expected to adopt decisions that will guide the
Convention’s work over the coming years and shape the next phase of global
action on land restoration and drought resilience.
ATTACHMENT
TWENTY ONE – FROM
SAUDI GAZETTE
SAUDI
ARABIA TO HAND OVER COP PRESIDENCY TO MONGOLIA AT COP17
August 13, 2026 | 03:47 PM
RIYADH — Saudi Arabia will hand over
the COP presidency to Mongolia at COP17 on Monday, concluding a term marked by
the launch and implementation of several international initiatives and
partnerships following COP16 in Riyadh.
During the conference, held from
August 17 to 28, Saudi Arabia will highlight progress made during its
presidency, including the Riyadh Global Drought Resilience Partnership (RGDRP)
and the Riyadh Action Agenda, which expanded from 35 to more than 100
initiatives.
It will also showcase the
International Initiative for Early Warning for Sand and Dust Storms and the
Business4Land initiative.
The Kingdom hosted COP16 in
Riyadh in December 2024, the largest session in the convention’s history, with
197 parties — 196 countries and the European Union.
The conference adopted 39
decisions and mobilized more than $12 billion to support land restoration and
drought resilience.
At COP17, Saudi Arabia will
operate a national pavilion in the Blue Zone featuring more than 40 side
events, as well as a dedicated Middle East Green Initiative pavilion.
The Kingdom will also chair the
final COP Bureau meeting before handing over the presidency to Mongolia and
hold meetings related to the Riyadh Global Drought Resilience Partnership.
Saudi Arabia said it looks
forward to continuing cooperation with all parties to advance the convention’s
objectives, strengthen global land restoration efforts, and build resilience to
drought.
ATTACHMENT
TWENTY TWO – FROM
ARAB NEWS (SAUDI)
SAUDI ARABIA HANDS LAND DEGRADATION BATON
TO MONGOLIA
by
Andrew Hammond August 17, 2026 17:31
The UN Conference of the Parties
sustainability-related agendas tend to be dominated by the big climate summits
each November. However, other interconnected major COP events include those
related to desertification and biodiversity processes, which are also
agenda-setting internationally.
That core fact is being confirmed
this month as Mongolia holds COP17 from Aug. 17 to 28 under the theme of
“Restoring Land, Restoring Hope.” Attendees include not only government,
business and civil society leaders but also scientists, indigenous peoples,
pastoralists and farmers seeking to bring the issues of desertification, land
degradation and drought higher up the global agenda amid soaring temperatures
across much of the world, including Europe.
The message is that the scale of
the challenge is increasingly clear — and so is the cost of continuing
inaction.
The event in Ulaanbaatar is
co-hosted with the UN Convention to Combat Desertification. The tagline of
“Restoring Land, Restoring Hope” highlights the importance of land in
supporting food security, water supply, livelihoods and stability as part of
wider sustainable land management and ecosystem restoration.
The message is that the scale of the challenge is increasingly
clear — and so is the cost of continuing inaction.
Andrew Hammond
This is, by definition, a
long-term agenda and the big event builds from the Saudi-hosted COP16, the
largest such session in the UN Convention to Combat Desertification’s history,
held with the EU and 196 other countries. In Mongolia, Saudi Arabia will
highlight the key achievements of its presidency, including the Riyadh Global
Drought Resilience Partnership and the Riyadh Action Agenda, which expanded to
more than 100 initiatives. Overall, Saudi-led events mobilized more than $12
billion to support land restoration and drought resilience.
Important as these initiatives
are, the challenge facing the world is huge and growing. It is estimated that
up to 40 percent of the world’s landmass is subject to degradation. In many key
vulnerable areas, this is exacerbating competition over resources, driving
population displacement and heightening political and social instability.
Ultimately, these are issues of both human and national security, not least
given that, by mid-century, at least 50 percent more food will need to be
produced to meet the challenge of growing populations, with millions of people
already facing hunger today.
Part of the reason why Mongolia
has been chosen to host the event is that it is one of the countries most
impacted by desertification. Nearly 80 percent of the country’s land is
affected, about double the global average. Moreover, the annual number of days
with sand and dust storms has more than tripled since the 1960s.
The case for action to combat
this is not only moral but also economic. The global cost of desertification,
land degradation and drought is about $900 billion every year, with drought
alone costing at least $300 billion annually.
At the same time, it is estimated
that each dollar invested in land restoration can generate returns of up to
$35. The figure is $10 for every dollar put into drought resilience in terms of
improved ecosystem services and livelihoods.
Yet, problematic as this picture
is for Mongolia, the country is on the cutting edge of innovation to tackle the
problems with tech, ecosystem restoration and community-led resilience. For
instance, Mongolia will announce a “Green AI Infrastructure Initiative,”
highlighting the importance of digital innovation and artificial intelligence
infrastructure. Developments in these and other areas, including satellite
monitoring, geospatial mapping and predictive analytics, are already
effectively enabling the agendas around land health, drought risks, improved
water management and the targeting of restoration investments.
Wider initiatives that the nation
will be championing this month include the UN’s International Year of
Rangelands and Pastoralists, highlighting the importance of pastoralist
livelihoods and sustainable rangeland management. Today, rangelands account for
more than half of the Earth’s land surface, supporting about 2 billion people,
but up to half of them are degraded or at risk. The importance of this agenda
is highlighted by the fact that restoring degraded lands the size of Mongolia
could increase food security for 200 million people.
There is a growing need to translate commitments into actionable
solutions that deliver for vulnerable communities.
Andrew Hammond
Mongolia is also this month leading
a major program to boost climate-resilient solutions. This will see groundwater
put at the center of integrated initiatives, particularly in drylands. The
importance of this is highlighted by the fact that, with droughts having
increased by nearly a third since the turn of the millennium, it is forecast
that freshwater demand might exceed supply by up to 40 percent by 2030.
Other COP17 initiatives include
the Billion Trees National Campaign, which seeks to plant 1 billion trees by
2030 to restore degraded land; the Youth4Land Forum, which is engaging youth in
sustainable development; and the Steppe Action Agenda, which seeks to scale
land restoration and drought resilience globally.
Taken together, COP17 represents
a major moment for advancing the agendas on land restoration to address
desertification and global sustainable development. There is a growing need to
translate international commitments into actionable solutions that deliver for
the vulnerable communities that need them most.
·
Andrew Hammond is an associate at
LSE IDEAS at the London School of Economics.
Disclaimer: Views expressed by
writers in this section are their own and do not necessarily reflect Arab News'
point of view
ATTACHMENT
TWENTY THREE – FROM
IISD (EARTH NEGOTIATIONS BULLETIN)
COVERAGE OF 17TH SESSION OF THE CONFERENCE OF
THE PARTIES TO THE UNCCD (COP17)
Negotiators at UNCCD COP 17 will consider a
wide array of decisions on enhancing efforts to address desertification, land
degradation and drought.
See other coverage from 17th Session of the
Conference of the Parties to the UNCCD (COP17):
Pastoralists are essential in efforts to
combat rangeland degradation and implement the UN Convention to Combat
Desertification (UNCCD). These land stewards were front and center as the 17th
meeting of the Conference of the Parties (COP 17) opened in Ulaanbaatar,
Mongolia.
In the morning, pastoralists from 100
countries representing over 500,000 people – whose day-to-day activities
prevent soil erosion, enhance carbon storage, and maintain biodiversity –
paraded to meet with UNCCD Executive Secretary Yasmine Fouad, where they handed
over a Global Pastoralist Declaration highlighting their priorities.
During the opening ceremony, Mongolia’s Prime
Minister Nyam-Osoryn Uchral urged participants to transform the meeting into a
platform for solutions and turn commitments into tangible results/actions.
UNCCD Executive Secretary Fouad urged Parties to make COP 17 about repairing
ecosystems and restoring livelihoods, resilience, and hope in the multilateral
system.
The COP In the morning, pastoralists from 100
countries representing over 500,000 people – whose day-to-day activities
prevent soil erosion, enhance carbon storage, and maintain biodiversity –
paraded to meet with UNCCD Executive Secretary Yasmine Fouad, where they handed
over a Global Pastoralist Declaration highlighting their priorities.
During the opening ceremony, Mongolia’s Prime
Minister Nyam-Osoryn Uchral urged participants to transform the meeting into a
platform for solutions and turn commitments into tangible results/actions.
UNCCD Executive Secretary Fouad urged Parties to make COP 17 about repairing
ecosystems and restoring livelihoods, resilience, and hope in the multilateral
system.
The COP elected the Minister of Foreign
Affairs of Mongolia, Batmunkh Battsetseg, as COP 17 President. In their opening
statements, regions stressed: the importance of enabling greater financial
flows for strengthening efforts to address desertification, land degradation,
and drought; the importance of science for informed decision-making; and the
interlinkages between sustainable land management and building community
resilience.
Tensions rose when it was time to adopt the
agenda. The Russian Federation opposed an agenda item on the Intergovernmental
Working Group on the Future Strategic Framework on the grounds that their
experts were blocked from participating in its meetings. The US objected to
three agenda items: synergies with other conventions and international
organizations; gender; and civil society. In order to move forward, COP 17
President Battsetseg proposed – without objection – to provisionally adopt the
agenda and defer adoption of the four agenda items, which require further
consultations.
In the afternoon, the Committee of the Whole
(COW) and the Committee for the Review of the Implementation of the Convention
(CRIC) met to begin discussions.
In the COW, the Secretariat introduced the
programme and budget for the biennium 2027-2028, including three budget
scenarios, which ranged from zero nominal growth to a nearly 30% increase to
include three additional Secretariat positions. In ensuing discussions, Parties
expressed a broad range of preferences. The agenda item was sent to the budget
contact group. Next, delegates discussed drought, where views still differed on
whether Parties should commit to negotiating a legally-binding protocol or a
framework.
During the first meeting of the CRIC,
Executive Secretary Fouad emphasized that Parties are facing a decisive moment
for implementation of the 2018-2030 Strategic Framework, and challenged Parties
to use the session as an opportunity to reflect, accelerate action, and
overcome bottlenecks. Parties then proceeded to:
adopt the agenda and organization of work;
review the report of the CRIC on its 23rd
session;
assess the performance of Convention
institutions and subsidiary bodies; and
discuss the programme and budget for the
biennium 2027-2028.
In the evening, the COW contact groups on
budget and all other matters convened for their first meetings.
ATTACHMENT
TWENTY FOUR – FROM
17TH SESSION OF THE CONFERENCE OF THE
PARTIES TO THE UNCCD (COP17)
NEGOTIATORS AT UNCCD COP 17 WILL CONSIDER A
WIDE ARRAY OF DECISIONS ON ENHANCING EFFORTS TO ADDRESS DESERTIFICATION, LAND
DEGRADATION AND DROUGHT.
Conference of the Parties (COP)
17 August 2026 - 28 August 2026
United Nations Convention to Combat
Desertification
Land degradation is not just an environmental
problem. Land degradation increases risks to human health and the spread of new
diseases. It drives forced migration and enflames conflicts over scarce
resources. It is a leading contributor to climate change, biodiversity loss,
poverty, and food insecurity. In other words, land degradation is a core
challenge of sustainable development.
High-Level Political Forum on Sustainable
Development (HLPF 2026)
Committing to make the final years of the
2030 Agenda count, participants at the HLPF showed the Agenda and its
Sustainable Development Goals have delivered meaningful progress—though uneven
and backsliding in some quarters.
Event
7 July 2026 - 15 July 2026
Eighth GEF Assembly and 71st Meeting of the
GEF Council
The successful end of 18 months of
negotiations for the ninth replenishment of the GEF Trust Fund “represents a
renewed vote of confidence in multilateralism, in the GEF partnership, and in
the importance of the global environment.” Many also urged prioritizing the
private sector’s involvement and participants pointed to the vast finance gap
all MEAs face.
Event
31 May 2026 - 5 June 2026
ATTACHMENT
TWENTY FIVE – FROM
MANORAMA YEARBOOK (INDIA)
UNCCD COP17 OPENS IN ULAANBAATAR, MONGOLIA
• The 17th session of the Conference
of the Parties (COP17) to the United Nations Convention to Combat
Desertification (UNCCD) began in Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia on August 17.
• The theme of the event is
‘Restoring Land. Restoring Hope’.
• This the first of the three major
environmental COPs of 2026.
• The UNCCD COP17 in
Ulaanbaatar will be followed by CBD COP17 in Yerevan, Armenia, and conclude
with UNFCCC COP31 in Antalya, Turkey.
Significance of COP17
• Land and drought resilience,
alongside water and food security as drivers of peace and prosperity, anchors
development in the pressing global priorities today.
• Over the past decade,
countries have committed to restoring one billion hectares of degraded land by
2030, and more than 70 now have national drought plans.
• Land degradation is already
affecting up to 40 per cent of the world’s land, with far-reaching impacts on
food production, water availability, livelihoods and economic stability.
• Failure to accelerate land
restoration and drought resilience would deepen poverty, displacement,
fragility and ecosystem collapse, while undermining progress across climate and
biodiversity goals.
• The outcomes of COP17 will
have major implications for global food security, resilience and sustainable
development, particularly for vulnerable dryland countries and
communities.
Focus on Mongolia
• Due to its geographical
location and extreme continental climate, Mongolia is one of the 10 countries
most affected by global warming and climate change.
• With a vast territory of 1.56
million square kilometers, Mongolia is among the countries most affected by
desertification and land degradation, with nearly 77 per cent of its land
already degraded.
• Hosting UNCCD COP17 in
Ulaanbaatar will place international focus on land restoration priorities,
including approaches that safeguard livelihoods, food security and ecosystems
in dryland regions.
• COP17 is taking place during
the United Nations International Year of Rangelands and Pastoralists (IYRP
2026), declared by the United Nations General Assembly and championed by
Mongolia.
• This presents a major
opportunity to accelerate action on the sustainable management, restoration and
conservation of rangelands, while spotlighting the needs of pastoralist
communities who depend directly on these ecosystems for their livelihoods.
• Mountain rangelands provide
natural forage, support biodiversity, regulate water flows and store carbon,
while pastoral systems support food security, livelihoods and cultural
heritage.
• Pastoral practices –
including mobility and transhumance – can help restore degraded lands and
strengthen climate adaptation, biodiversity conservation and disaster risk
reduction.
WHAT TO EXPECT AT COP17?
• COP17 is expected to bring
together delegates from UNCCD’s 197 Parties, alongside leaders from government,
business and civil society, as well as scientists, youth, Indigenous Peoples,
pastoralists and smallholder farmers.
• They will convene to forge
solutions to the interconnected challenges of desertification, land degradation
and drought, recognising that restoring land is also essential to reducing
instability, preventing displacement and strengthening human and national
security in vulnerable regions.
• During the two-week
conference, participants will engage in a high-level segment including
ministerial dialogues, alongside multistakeholder forums and thematic
discussions on science – policy integration, innovation and solutions, tools
and technologies, and financing.
• In addition to formal
negotiations, COP17 is expected to catalyze collective action on rangelands,
resilience and water, as well as food systems and soil health.
THE UNITED NATIONS CONVENTION TO COMBAT
DESERTIFICATION
• The United Nations Convention
to Combat Desertification (UNCCD) is the sole legally binding international
agreement linking environment and development to sustainable land
management.
• The Convention addresses
specifically the arid, semi-arid and dry sub-humid areas, known as the
drylands, where some of the most vulnerable ecosystems and peoples can be
found.
• The Convention was adopted in
Paris on June 17, 1994 and entered into force on December 26, 1996 after the
50th ratification was received.
• It is the only legally binding
framework set up to address desertification and the effects of drought.
• There are 197 Parties to the
Convention, including 196 country Parties and the European Union.
• The Convention’s 197 Parties
work together to improve the living conditions for people in drylands, to
maintain and restore land and soil productivity, and to mitigate the effects of
drought.
• Parties to the Convention
meet in Conferences of the Parties (COP) every two years, as well as in
technical meetings throughout the year, to advance the aims and ambitions of
the Convention and achieve progress in its implementation.
• It unites governments,
scientists, policymakers, private sector and communities around a shared vision
and global action to restore and manage the world’s land for the sustainability
of humanity and the planet.
• The UNCCD is particularly
committed to a bottom-up approach, encouraging the participation of local
people in combating desertification and land degradation.
• The UNCCD Secretariat
facilitates cooperation between developed and developing countries,
particularly around knowledge and technology transfer for sustainable land
management.
• The permanent secretariat of
the UNCCD was established during the first Conference of the Parties (COP 1)
held in Rome, Italy in October 1997. The secretariat subsequently moved to
Bonn, Germany, in 1999.
ATTACHMENT
TWENTY SIX – FROM
DOWN TO EARTH (INDIA)
COMBAT
DESERTIFICATION COP17: UNCCD SUMMIT OPENS IN ULAANBAATAR WITH A SINGLE DEMAND,
ENOUGH DECLARATIONS, TURN LAND PLEDGES INTO MONEY AND ACTION
UN land and drought talks
return to the unresolved question of a global drought framework as countries
confront a degradation crisis affecting up to 2 billion hectares
Published on: 17 Aug 2026,
8:15 am
Summary
·
COP17 of the UN Convention to
Combat Desertification opened in Ulaanbaatar with calls to turn land
restoration pledges into finance and action.
·
The talks return to the
unresolved question of a global drought framework, after countries failed to
agree on a legally binding drought deal at COP16 in Riyadh.
·
Countries have pledged to restore
about 1 billion hectares of degraded land, while the global degradation problem
is estimated at 1.5 billion to 2 billion hectares.
·
Mongolia, the host country, says
77% of its land is affected by desertification and land degradation.
The 17th Conference of the
Parties (COP17) to the United Nations Convention to Combat Desertification
(UNCCD) opened in Mongolia on August 17, 2026 with one clear message from the
host country, the convention’s secretariat and Saudi Arabia, the outgoing COP16
presidency: the world has enough declarations on land degradation. What it
lacks is finance and the institutional machinery to act on them.
Hosted by Mongolia in Ulaanbaatar
from August 17 to 28, 2026 under the theme Restoring Land, Restoring
Hope, COP17 comes as droughts, wildfires and land degradation increasingly
threaten food and water security, livelihoods and economic stability. The conference
is being held in a year marked by a strong El Niño, with many regions facing
worsening heat and dry conditions.
DROUGHT DEAL RETURNS
The most politically difficult
issue before the conference is the global drought protocol left unresolved at
COP16 in Riyadh, where countries failed to agree on a legally binding deal to
tackle drought. Some parties, including the African Group, pushed for a binding
protocol, while others favoured a non-binding drought framework.
Negotiations were pushed to
COP17, making Ulaanbaatar the next test of whether governments can bridge the
divisions that stalled the deal in Saudi Arabia.
Speaking at a press conference
after the COP17 opening plenary on August 17, Yasmine Fouad, United Nations Under-Secretary-General
and Executive Secretary of the UNCCD, described COP17 as the “COP of
implementation” and urged parties to build consensus on the drought framework.
“…the role of COP17 presidency is
to build consensus and facilitate discussion till a drought decision would be
gavelled,” Fouad said, adding that the UNCCD secretariat hoped parties would
reach an outcome that reflected both the urgency and scale of the drought
crisis.
Fouad said the aim now was not
only to secure a decision but to ensure it could be implemented, pointing to
the Riyadh Global Drought Resilience Partnership, launched at COP16, as one
mechanism through which countries could move from commitments to action.
The mechanism had received over
$12 billion in pledges by the end of COP16.
The partnership is intended to
help countries move from responding to drought after it strikes to building
resilience before it hits, including through drought preparedness,
early-warning systems and access to finance. But the challenge at COP17 will be
to ensure that the pledges translate into projects and support reaching
communities most vulnerable to drought.
That push for consensus found an
echo among the regional blocs. Speaking on behalf of the Asia-Pacific Group in
the opening plenary, India said the convention was meeting “at a moment when
the world for which this convention was designed is changing faster than the
systems established to protect it and restore it,” and called on COP17 to agree
on a drought decision that could “secure an ambitious, balanced, practical and
durable outcome that responds to the needs of all regions.”
A WIDENING DEGRADATION GAP
The scale of the gap is stark.
Countries have so far committed to restoring roughly 1 billion hectares of
degraded land, against a global degradation problem now estimated at between
1.5 and 2 billion hectares. The range that itself reflects a data gap, since
roughly 40 per cent of countries do not report their land degradation
figures.
Saudi Arabia’s Deputy Minister
for Environment and adviser to the outgoing COP16 presidency, Osama Ibrahim
Faqeeha, said drought currently affects about 1.8 billion people, mostly in
low- and lower-middle-income developing countries.In these countries, he said,
drought impacts can quickly lead to food and water insecurity and disruption of
livelihoods.
If the current rate of
degradation continues, the area of degraded land could double by 2050, he
warned.
“Today we are 8 billion people
and by 2050 it is expected we will exceed 10 billion people. We have 2 billion
hectares of degraded land or at least between 1.5 to 2 billion; the figures
depend on reporting because 40 per cent of the countries are not reporting
their land degradation.”
“The task is huge. We cannot
continue business as usual,” Faqeeha said, calling for a shift towards
sustainable land management and accelerated restoration.
FINANCE KEY TO IMPLEMENTATION
The figures also highlight the
financing gap confronting the convention. Fouad said the priority at COP17 was
to accelerate implementation of the target to restore 1 billion hectares by
2030, while expanding access to finance through innovative mechanisms.
Mongolian Prime Minister
Nyam-Osoryn Uchral used the opening plenary to press on parties to make
implementation the central test of the conference. “…COP17 should not be a
conference where we repeat previous decisions and declarations but rather
accelerate implementation,” he said, arguing that the international community
has never lacked goals and commitments, but now urgently needs resources,
financing, technology and institutional environment needed to deliver them.
The UNCCD is therefore seeking to
broaden the pool of actors involved in implementation, including private-sector
investors, local communities, Indigenous peoples and civil society, while
encouraging new financing mechanisms for land restoration and drought
resilience.
The emphasis on finance was also
reflected in the opening plenary, where the European Union said that
redirecting existing finance can be as important as increasing it. The bloc
called for work on future financing of the convention and the phasing out or
repurposing of environmentally harmful subsidies contributing to drought,
desertification and land degradation.
MONGOLIA PRESSES FOR ACTION OVER DECLARATIONS
For Mongolia, the host country,
the implementation challenge is particularly stark. Prime Minister Uchral said
77 per cent of Mongolia’s land is affected by desertification and land
degradation, with encroaching sands increasingly affecting the country’s vast territory.
Meanwhile, the opening plenary
also adopted the conference’s agenda, though not in full. Delegates approved
the bulk of it, covering the convention’s strategic framework, the high-level
segment, the budget for the next biennium and private-sector participation,
while setting aside a handful of items — including the policy discussions that
cover gender, migration, drought and rangelands, and the item on civil society
participation — for further consultation among the parties concerned.
Those items are expected to come
back before the plenary for adoption once consultations are complete
ATTACHMENT
TWENTY SEVEN – FROM
ALLAFRICA.COM
SEVEN KEY ISSUES TO SHAPE CONVERSATIONS AS COP17 KICKS
OFF IN MONGOLIA
Story by Abdulkareem
Mojeed, Premium Times, Abuja
![]()
Delegates from 196 countries and the European
Union have gathered in Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia, for UNCCD COP17, with drought resilience,
land restoration, rangeland protection and the multibillion-dollar financing
gap expected to dominate negotiations.
Today, delegates from 196 countries and the
European Union have convened in Mongolia for the opening of the 17th Conference
of the Parties to the United Nations Convention to Combat
Desertification (UNCCD COP17), with governments and
other stakeholders expected to confront some of the world's most pressing land,
drought and food security challenges.
The two-week conference, billed for 17 to 28
August in Ulaanbaatar, comes at a time when land degradation, water scarcity
and drought are imposing growing economic and social costs globally.
About 60 delegates from Nigeria will be participating
in this year's conference and negotiations. Nigeria, alongside other African
countries, seeks to advance a legally binding instrument on drought management.
Nigerian authorities and the African bloc believe the proposed instrument would
essentially establish a protocol for managing drought. Other areas include
finance. Nigerian delegates anticipate pushing for more financial support to
meet the country's national needs and fund the National Adaptation Plan.
Land degradation and drought are estimated to
cost the global economy nearly $900 billion annually and affect up to 40 per
cent of the world's land and 3.2 billion people.
Droughts have increased by almost one-third
since 2000 and now cause at least $300 billion in annual losses, according to
the UNCCD.
Against this backdrop, negotiations at COP17
will focus on drought, rangelands, agricultural lands and soils, resource
mobilisation, private-sector engagement and the future strategic direction of
the Convention.
The conference is also the first of the three
Rio Convention COPs taking place in 2026, ahead of the biodiversity and climate
conferences, creating an opportunity for countries to strengthen cooperation on
land degradation, biodiversity loss, climate change, food security and water resilience.
In her opening remarks monitored by PREMIUM
TIMES on Monday, UNCCD Executive Secretary Yasmine Fouad explained that land
degradation and drought are no longer distant environmental concerns but are
already affecting food production, water sources, the resilience of economies,
and the ability of communities to build secure futures.
"Healthy land is the foundation of
healthy food systems, resilient economies and stable societies," she said.
She added that: "COP17 must therefore be
a COP of implementation. The world does not lack solutions; the challenge is
taking them to scale. Ulaanbaatar must mobilise the political leadership,
investment, and partnerships needed to translate commitments into measurable
results on the ground. Restoring land is not simply an environmental
obligation--it is an investment in people, stability and resilience," she
said.
Following remarks at the opening session of
COP17 in Mongolia, here are seven major issues expected to shape conversations
over the next two weeks.
1. Turning drought management from crisis
response to resilience
According to the organisers, drought
resilience is expected to be one of the most consequential issues at the
conference.
Building on discussions at COP16 in Riyadh,
the UNCCD said governments will continue negotiations on a global policy
framework for drought while examining practical measures to improve
preparedness, early warning systems, vulnerability assessments and
international cooperation.
More than 70 countries have developed
national drought plans, compared with only three in 2013, UNCCD said.
The increase reflects growing recognition
that drought needs to be anticipated and managed before it develops into a
humanitarian and economic crisis.
The economic case for investment is also
significant. The UNCCD noted that every dollar invested in drought resilience
can generate returns of up to $10, while some nature-based solutions can
deliver benefits of up to 27 times their cost.
COP17 is expected to feature new tools and
partnerships linked to the Riyadh Global Drought Resilience Partnership, the
Drought Resilience Investment Facility and the International Drought Resilience
Observatory.
The central question will be whether
countries can move beyond adopting drought plans to securing the finance and
institutions needed to implement them.
2. Closing the $278 billion annual
land-finance gap
Finance will be another major fault line at
the conference.
An estimated $355 billion is required
annually to combat land degradation and drought, but current investment is only
around $77 billion, leaving a financing gap of approximately $278 billion.
The private sector currently accounts for
only about six per cent of global financing for land restoration and drought
resilience, despite businesses' dependence on healthy land, water and
functioning ecosystems.
COP17 will therefore explore ways to attract
more private capital, reduce investment risks and create incentives for
sustainable land management.
The conference will also examine how
governments, development banks, businesses and investors can work together to
leverage existing commitments.
One initiative expected to receive attention
is Business4Land, which seeks to increase private-sector participation in land
restoration and drought resilience.
At the Business for Land Forum scheduled for
24 August, governments, businesses and investors will discuss ways to
accelerate investment in regenerative landscapes.
Organisations participating in the Action Agenda
on Regenerative Landscapes have already committed more than $9 billion across
more than 210 million hectares, according to the UNCCD.
3. Putting rangelands and pastoralists at the
centre
Rangelands are expected to receive
unprecedented attention at COP17, which is being held during the International
Year of Rangelands and Pastoralists.
Rangelands cover about 54 per cent of the
Earth's land surface and support the livelihoods of approximately two billion
people, including about 500 million pastoralists.
They produce around one-sixth of the world's
food and provide about 70 per cent of livestock feed.
Yet up to half of the world's rangelands are
already degraded or at risk, with 78 per cent located in drylands where
drought, climate change and unsustainable land use are increasing pressure on
ecosystems and communities.
Governments are expected to consider a new
policy framework on rangelands and pastoralists, alongside the proposed
Rangelands Flagship Initiative, which seeks to increase long-term investment in
sustainable rangeland management and strengthen pastoral livelihoods.
For countries such as Nigeria, where
rangeland degradation, changing weather patterns and competition over natural
resources are increasingly linked to farmers-herder tensions and food
insecurity, the discussions could have important implications.
4. Land restoration and the future of food
security
Agricultural land and soils will also feature
prominently in the negotiations.
With as much as 40 per cent of the world's
land already degraded, restoring productive land is increasingly viewed not
only as an environmental priority but also as a food security and economic
imperative.
The UNCCD argues that healthy land is
fundamental to food systems, economies and community resilience.
This, the UNCCD said, will place pressure on
governments to demonstrate how land restoration can be integrated into
agricultural and development policies rather than treated as a stand-alone
environmental programme.
The broader challenge is how countries can
increase food production while preventing further degradation of soils and
ecosystems.
The outcome of these discussions could
influence policies on sustainable agriculture, soil health, regenerative
practices and investment in degraded agricultural landscapes.
5. Linking land, climate and biodiversity
action
Another major conversation will be how to
break down the silos separating the three Rio Conventions.
As the first of the three Rio Convention COPs
in 2026, UNCCD COP17 provides an opportunity to strengthen coordination among
efforts to tackle desertification, biodiversity loss and climate change.
Mongolian Prime Minister N. Uchral urged
countries to treat land, climate and biodiversity as interconnected challenges
rather than separate policy issues.
The push is significant because land
degradation can worsen biodiversity loss and climate vulnerability, while
climate change can intensify drought and accelerate land degradation.
A stronger, more integrated approach could
therefore help governments make better use of climate, biodiversity, and
development finance while avoiding overlapping or contradictory interventions.
The test for COP17 will be whether this
political message can translate into practical cooperation and investment
across the three agendas.
6. Bringing science, technology and local
knowledge into implementation
COP17 is also expected to examine how
scientific knowledge, technology and local experience can be translated into
practical solutions.
Mongolia's leaders have repeatedly stressed
the importance of placing herders, rangeland users and local communities at the
centre of land-management policies.
This emphasis is particularly relevant in
dryland regions where pastoralists and local communities have accumulated
generations of knowledge about managing variable rainfall, grazing systems and
fragile ecosystems.
The UNCCD Silk Road Caravan, which concluded
ahead of COP17, brought together governments, scientists, pastoralists, local
communities and young people across Eurasia to exchange knowledge and showcase
land-restoration and drought-resilience approaches.
The arrival of the caravan in Mongolia has
provided a symbolic link between community-level action and the global
negotiations beginning in Ulaanbaatar.
The challenge now is ensuring that local
knowledge and scientific innovation influence policy, financing and
implementation rather than remaining largely within conference discussions.
7. Can COP17 deliver implementation rather
than another set of commitments?
Ultimately, the biggest question hanging over
COP17 is whether the conference can move the global land agenda from
commitments to measurable results.
UNCCD Executive Secretary Yasmine Fouad said
the world does not lack solutions, but faces the challenge of taking those
solutions to scale.
She said the success of COP17 should be
measured not only by the decisions adopted but by the changes those decisions
unlock for communities, economies and landscapes.
That ambition is particularly significant for
Mongolia, where land degradation is already an immediate national challenge.
Nearly 77 per cent of Mongolia's land is
estimated to be degraded, while pastoralism supports the livelihoods of about
one in three Mongolians.
In 2023 and 2024, severe summer drought
followed by devastating dzud winters resulted in the loss of more than seven
million livestock, exposing the vulnerability of dryland communities to
increasingly extreme conditions.
Mongolia's Foreign Minister and COP17
President, Battsetseg Batmunkh, said the country's experience demonstrated why
land health could not be separated from livelihoods and the future of
communities.
For Mongolia, she said, hosting COP17 is an
opportunity to bring the experiences of dryland countries and pastoral
communities to the centre of global discussions.
ATTACHMENT
TWENTY EIGHT – FROM
LE MONDE (FR)
COP17 TO COMBAT
DESERTIFICATION: GEOGRAPHER JEAN-DANIEL CESARO ON WHY PASTORALISM MATTERS
The UN conference on desertification opens on
Monday, August 17, in Mongolia, as 40% of the world's land surface, including a
quarter of arable land, is now degraded. In an interview with Le Monde, the
researcher argues that France should expand its international exchanges to
deepen its expertise.
Interview by Stéphane Foucart
Published yesterday (8/16) at 7:01 am
(Paris), updated yesterday at 10:21 am
Sometimes referred to as the "land
convention," the United Nations Convention to Combat Desertification
(UNCCD) is one of three major international environmental treaties signed at
the 1992 Earth Summit in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. Less well-known than the
United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change or the Convention on
Biological Diversity, its goal is to fight land degradation in arid, semi-arid
and dry sub-humid zones. Its 17th Conference of the Parties (COP17)
opens Monday, August 17, in Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia, for two weeks. Jean-Daniel
Cesaro, a member of the French Scientific Committee on Desertification and a
researcher at the French Agricultural Research Center for International
Development (CIRAD), explains the stakes of this meeting, which this year
will focus largely on pastoralism as a way of using land and a lever for
preserving it. According to United Nations figures, about 40% of the world's
land surface – including one quarter of arable land – is currently degraded.
The fight against desertification is closely linked to climate
change and biodiversity loss. What is the point of seeking to protect land from
drying out when global efforts to combat
PAYWALL – the wealthy can access the rest of
the interview here.
ATTACHMENT
TWENTY NINE – FROM
DW
IS CARING ABOUT THE CLIMATE UNMANLY?
Story by Tamsin
Walker
The answer is complex — and
says a lot about how masculinity works in the modern world.
Mike Smith had been a US fighter
pilot for more than a decade when he took what he describes as a 'hard turn'
out of the navy.
He decided to trade a life
of deployment, fighter jets and cruise missile operations for one of planting
trees and sustainability.
Though he didn't realize it
at the time, the seeds for that change of pace and path were sown when he was
just nine and watching a mega-fire burn through forest near his home in central
Idaho.
The Lowman fire wasn't
enormous by today's standards, but to a boy raised in the outdoors it felt
apocalyptic. The blaze burned so fiercely it formed what looked like a nuclear
mushroom cloud.
"It felt like the
whole state was on fire at the time. It was just very, very memorable to
me," Smith said.
The fire didn't only scar
his memory, but the land it tore through. More than 20 years later, when Mike
returned to Idaho with his wife to show her where he grew up, what he saw stopped
him cold.
"You know, when you go
back to the place you grew up, you see all the things that have changed. And so
what became jarring was seeing the thing that hadn't changed. It was just
black, still black dirt, 22 years later."
He started a company
focused on post-fire reforestation for carbon offset
production. He got involved in planting a couple of
million trees and founded a climate tech company that helps businesses cut
emissions.
Along the way, he became
aware of more women in the climate space than men.
DO
MEN AND WOMEN RELATE TO THE CLIMATE CRISIS DIFFERENTLY?
What Smith was seeing was
not unique to his experience but is in fact a widely recorded phenomenon known
as the green gender gap. In short, the idea that women are more concerned about
the climate than men.
And as Amanda Clayton, a
University of California political scientist found during her research on the
topic, "the gender gap grows as a function of country wealth."
As countries get richer, it
is more likely that women will be the ones expressing greater concern about
climate change. But not because they are suddenly more concerned.
"It's actually that
men tend to decrease their concern about climate change as countries become
wealthier," Clayton said. "The growing gender gap is actually men's
growing skepticism."
One reason seems to be a
fear of the perceived costs — financial and cultural — of transitioning
to a clean energy future.
Costs that feel especially threatening to men raised with the traditional
expectations of being the provider. Which is where politics comes in, because
she also found that as countries get wealthier, climate change becomes
politicized.
"And when climate
change becomes a political issue on the right, we see political and industry
elites starting to promote climate skeptical beliefs," Clayton said.
This might involve
narratives that target men more than women. Messaging around being forced to
give up gas-powered vehicles; or
the threat to jobs in the fossil fuel
sector which is more male-dominated. In short,
burning oil, gas and coal can become part of an identity sometimes referred to
as petro-masculinity.
And as other recent
research revealed, there is a direct link between climate change concerns and
perceived threats to masculinity.
DIFFERENT
WAYS OF TALKING CLIMATE TO MEN
Psychologist Vidar
Vetterfalk is working to get underneath this thinking. In his role with MÄN, a
Swedish organization that engages men and boys to challenge stereotypical
masculinities, he asks groups of males to express what they like about
the natural world and
their worries for its future.
"That creates a connection,"
he said, rather than assigning guilt and blame for the climate crisis.
Connection, he says is
exactly what is missing in masculinity norms, and although the experience is
hard for many participants, it is also appreciated.
"A lot of men share already
after the first round that they've never spoken with other men in this way
before or listened together with other men in this way before."
MAKING
CLIMATE ACTION A MISSION
While the kind of men who
show up to such workshops are likely to be those who are already kind of
interested in climate, reaching those who have never engaged can be more
difficult.
Mike Smith believes
down-to-earth, blame-free conversations can go a long way to engaging men
on why caring about the
planet matters. And he has found his own background useful
here.
"One thing, ex-fighter pilot, nobody
ever gets to take my man card away," Smith said. "That gives me a little
bit of room to maneuver when I'm talking about things that may be a little bit
more traditionally coded as feminine."
He also believes men are
more likely to get interested in climate action if they see how it can improve
their own lives — by installing solar or
driving electric vehicles to save on fuel costs, for
example. Seeing 'manly' men going green can also help to change thinking and
behavior.
This is something car
companies have also begun tapping into. Some are now marketing EVs as major man
machines that can charge drills or become generators if a storm cuts off power.
"They're just trying
to make electricity seem masculine rather than gas and oil seeming
masculine," Clayton said. "And I'm here for it, if that's what you
need in order to convince groups that have a cultural attachment to fossil
fuels."
But ultimately Smith says
it's all about creating the same kind of motivation that made him join the navy
as a young man.
"Most people, what
they really need is a sense of purpose and drive and mission," he said.
"I think that's maybe the key to where we can go with masculinity and
climate."
Edited by: Sarah Steffen
This article was adapted from a DW Living Planet podcast. To listen to the full
episode, click here.
ATTACHMENT
THIRTY – FROM
CLIMATECHANGENEWS.COM
TRUMP
TO PULL US OUT OF UN CLIMATE CONVENTION AND CLIMATE SCIENCE BODY
The decision will make the
US the only country to leave the UNFCCC, with the UN climate chief calling it a
“colossal own goal” that will harm the US economy
BY Sebastian
Rodriguez Jan 8, 2026 | Last Update: Jan 9, 2026
Under the Trump administration, the US - the world's
second-largest emitter - will become the first country to withdraw from the UN
climate convention, a key bedrock for international climate diplomacy, in a
move the UN climate chief said would leave Americans poorer and less secure.
President Donald Trump's White
House said the
US would quit 31 UN bodies, among them the UN Framework Convention on Climate
Change (UNFCCC). It will also leave 35 other international organisations - many
of them environmental - including the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
(IPCC), the most authoritative global voice on climate science, and the Green
Climate Fund (GCF), the world's largest climate fund.
While the Trump administration
already gave notice
nearly a year ago that the US would quit the Paris Agreement, under
which countries agreed to limit global warming to "well below" 2
degrees Celsius, it did not at that time attempt to leave the UNFCCC. The
climate convention, adopted in 1992, is the cornerstone of global efforts to
curb climate change and tackle its impacts.
The US has already ceased funding
to the UNFCCC, and would be the only nation to formally exit the convention.
After officially notifying the UN, the withdrawal will take effect after a
year.
UNFCCC Executive Secretary
Simon Stiell called the step "a colossal own goal which will leave the US less secure and less
prosperous", but added that the US could re-enter the
convention in the future.
"While all other nations
are stepping forward together, this latest step back from global leadership,
climate cooperation and science can only harm the US economy, jobs and living
standards, as wildfires, floods, mega-storms and droughts get rapidly
worse," Stiell said in a statement.
NEWS
What’s on the climate calendar for 2026?
What would Trump’s Venezuela oil plans mean for climate change? Jan 2, 2026
POLITICS
(GLOBAL)
India, Vietnam and Argentina fail to submit climate plans in 2025 Jan 2, 2026
The Trump administration has
also decided to exit key organisations for nature conservation, including the
International Union for the Conservation of Nature (IUCN), which publishes a
"red list" of endangered species, and the Intergovernmental
Science-Policy Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services (IPBES), the
scientific advisory body to the UN biodiversity convention.
In addition, the US will leave
the International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA), the International Solar
Alliance (ISA) and REN21, all of which promote renewable energy.
"We will stop subsidizing
globalist bureaucrats who act against our interests," said US Secretary of
State Marco Rubio, adding membership of other international organisations was
also under review.
"The Trump Administration
has found these institutions to be redundant in their scope, mismanaged,
unnecessary, wasteful, poorly run, captured by the interests of actors
advancing their own agendas contrary to our own, or a threat to our nation’s
sovereignty, freedoms, and general prosperity," Rubio added in a statement.
The US Department of the
Treasury confirmed it
has notified the GCF that the country is withdrawing from the fund and stepping
down from its board seat "effective immediately".
IRENA and REN21, a global
network of governments, businesses and academics, said they regretted the US
withdrawal but remained open to re-engaging with Washington.
"Renewables are essential
in today’s uncertain environment to ensure energy security and strengthen
geopolitical position," IRENA Director-General Francesco La Camera said.
REJOINING POSSIBLE
The US Senate ratified the
UNFCCC in 1992, which experts said raised questions about the legality of
Trump's move to exit through an executive order.
But legal scholars indicated
that the Senate would not need to ratify the UN climate convention again if the
country wanted to rejoin.
Jake Schmidt, senior strategic
director for international climate at the Natural Resources Defense Council
(NRDC) wrote that, based on the Senate's
original "advice and consent", the US could once again
become a party to the UNFCCC 90 days after such a decision were
formalised.
Indian law enforcement targets climate activists accused of opposing
fossil fuels
Sue Biniaz, the US State
Department's former principal deputy special envoy for climate until January
2025, said she hoped the federal retreat would be "a temporary one".
"There are multiple future
pathways to rejoining the key climate agreements," she said.
FORFEITING INFLUENCE
Policy experts said global climate
action would forge onwards despite the US move, but some cautioned that it
could complicate international negotiations.
EU Climate Commissioner Wopke
Hoekstra called the decision "regrettable and unfortunate", adding that the
European Commission will continue to support international climate research,
work on multilateral climate cooperation and pursue "our agenda of climate
action, competitiveness and independence".
COP30 CEO Ana Toni said the
world's low carbon transition is "irreversible" and that the COP
presidency will continue engaging with American subnational actors, the private
sector, and civil society. She said she hopes the US government will rejoin the
UNFCCC "in a near future".
Gina McCarthy, the first White
House National Climate Advisor under Joe Biden who now chairs “America Is All
In", a coalition of US cities, states and businesses and institutions
working on climate action, called it "a shortsighted, embarrassing, and
foolish decision".
As a result, she said the US
would forfeit influence over "trillions of dollars in investments,
policies, and decisions that would have advanced our economy and protected us
from costly disasters wreaking havoc on our country".
The NRDC's Schmidt said,
however, that the US absence would "complicate the climate negotiations,
as a major economy pulling in the wrong direction always makes forging global
progress more difficult".
Former US climate envoy John
Kerry said Trump's decision was "a gift to China and a
get-out-of-jail-free card to countries and polluters who want to avoid
responsibility". He added that "the price is always paid by kids, in
lost health, squandered jobs, rising costs, uninsurable infrastructure, and
worse consequences."
Comment: COP presidencies should focus less on climate policy, more on
global politics
Delta Merner, associate
accountability campaign director for the Climate and Energy Program at the
Union of Concerned Scientists, said Trump was "deliberately cutting our
nation’s formal participation off from the world’s most trusted source of
climate science".
While individual US scientists
can still contribute, the country will "no longer be able to help guide
the scientific assessments that governments around the world rely on”, she
added in a statement.
This article was updated after
publication with additional comments from the UN climate chief Simon Stiell,
the European climate commissioner, COP30 CEO Ana Toni, IRENA and REN21.
ATTACHMENT
THIRTY ONE – FROM AI Overview
WHAT
ROLE DID THE UNITED STATES PLAY in COP 17?
The United
States
is one of the 197 member parties to the United
Nations Convention to Combat Desertification
(UNCCD) holding its COP17
summit in Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia
from August 17 to 28, 2026. As a party to the
convention, the U.S. is eligible to participate alongside international
delegates, though specific high-level principal or ministerial attendance
rosters are managed through official UNCCD channels. [1, 2, 3,
4,
5]
ATTACHMENT
THIRTY TWO – FROM
TIME
JULY’S HEAT MADE HISTORY. TRUMP’S CUTS COULD LEAVE US
LESS PREPARED FOR WHAT COMES NEXT
By Rebecca Schneid Aug 11, 2026 3:47 PM ET
July was the hottest month
on record in the contiguous United States, with an average temperature of
76.9°F—the highest average ever recorded by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA),
going back to 1895. The previous record was shared by July 1936, during the
Dust Bowl, and July 2012. Every state was at least 1 degree above its
20th-century average.
This type of observation
can help communities prepare for and respond to extreme heat events. They can
then take informed steps to prevent serious health issues that the World Health Organization (WHO) links to high
temperatures, like heat stroke and cardiovascular disease, or even death.
But NOAA relies on federal
funding in order to keep historic records, observe weather patterns, and
produce informed forecasts.
The Trump
Administration reduced NOAA’s workforce in 2025, and subsequently
proposed steep cuts to the agency’s funding, hampering its ability to monitor
weather conditions, analyze patterns, and provide forecasts.
The National Weather
Service (NWS), which operates under NOAA, lost roughly 600 employees—about 15%
of its workforce—through layoffs, buyouts and retirements. It must now respond
to increasingly severe weather events—like hurricane season and wildfire season—with reduced resources. As a result,
it announced last year that it was scaling back the
tools used to track weather patterns, such as weather balloons.
The administration later
proposed cutting NOAA’s overall budget by $1.6 billion, or roughly 26%,
compared with fiscal year 2025.
“A leaner NOAA that focuses
on core operational needs, eliminates unnecessary layers of bureaucracy,
terminates nonessential grant programs, and ends activities that do not warrant
a Federal role, will provide better value to the American public,” its budget
summary stated.
The United States will
likely continue struggling to reconcile diminishing resources with increasing
extreme temperatures, as the United Nations World Meteorological Organization
(WMO) warned Tuesday that periods of extreme heat will
become more frequent, intense, and longer-lasting as climate change
warms the planet.
How
we know when heat is becoming dangerous
The NWS tracks weather in
multiple ways—including the installation of surface stations at
over 900 airports that provide 24/7 real-time surface weather observations, as
well as weather balloons, marine buoys, and satellites.
Those observations feed forecast
models that help meteorologists understand developing weather patterns and
anticipate dangerous conditions.
“Extended periods of high
day and nighttime temperature conditions create cumulative stress on the human
body, increasing the risk of illness and death from heat exposure,” according
to the WHO. In the United States, the NWS considers heat
the leading weather-related killer. Globally, studies
estimate that heat was associated with roughly 489,000 deaths annually between
2000 and 2019.
The health effects of heat waves
were felt acutely this summer. Maryland’s Department of Health said that 2026 was its deadliest heat season on
record, with a total of 50 heat-related fatalities since May. The state also
recorded over 1,300 heat-related illnesses in that period. At the national
level, the Washington Post reported that there were at least 70 deaths related to heat domes in July.
And in Europe, officials said that there were more than 10,000 excess deaths
during the continent’s record-breaking heat wave in June.
The NWS communicates the
danger that high temperatures pose using a Heat Index that describes the “feels like”
temperature to the human body based on a combination of heat and humidity. For
consistency, it uses what’s called “apparent temperature,” referring to the
temperature that the body “feels” in shady locations. Exposure to direct
sunlight can increase values by up to 15°F.
With information from the
NWS, local governments are better able to prepare infrastructure and warn
vulnerable communities. At the same time, the agencies are better equipped to
create and distribute useful resources, such as guidance on how to stay cool during heat waves.
But less accurate data, and
less data collected overall, can prevent experts from accurately anticipating
future events. Agencies might be less prepared to inform vulnerable communities
or cooperate with local and state governments to ensure outreach and
preparedness. According to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, this
is more likely to impact people with chronic medical conditions,
children, and adults over 65.
What
happens when weather agencies have fewer resources?
Cuts at NOAA and the
Federal Emergency Management Agency have left the U.S. more vulnerable to the
effects of extreme weather.
In May, for instance,
lawmakers expressed concerns over the NWS’s failure to
launch 75% of the weather balloons typically sent aloft in Kansas to help
measure atmospheric conditions. These balloons carry a device called a
radiosonde that is used to collect upper-atmosphere temperature, humidity,
pressure, and wind information to support forecasting. NWS blamed staffing shortages, but Kansas Rep. Sharice Davids
pointed out that those disruptions were occurring during tornado season.
“Kansans deserve
transparency about what’s happening, why it’s happening and what’s being done
to fix it,” Davids said in a statement. “Kansans deserve confidence that the
systems meant to keep them safe are fully operational during tornado season and
meteorologists deserve the reliable data they need to do their jobs.”
In order to preserve its
work with fewer resources, NOAA has continued to evolve its use of technology.
It has long used artificial intelligence and machine
learning for “weather forecasting, climate modeling, and environmental
monitoring.” And it announced a partnership with Google Cloud in July, explaining
how the move is expected to “result in a modeling system that is more flexible
and easy to update.”
That same month, China
debuted Fenghe, an open-source large language model (LLM) for meteorological
services. The government announced that the LLM “is trained on 50 million
tokens of meteorological service data and integrated with authoritative weather
datasets to support weather forecasting, risk assessment, and meteorological
services.”
As NOAA faces an uncertain
funding future, such tools could become increasingly important to its efforts
to maintain forecasting capacity for an increasingly hot planet.
ATTACHMENT
THIRTY THREE – FROM
AI OVERVIEW
The UNCCD COP17 conference
opened in Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia on August 17, 2026, featuring early procedural
friction as the United States objected to specific agenda items regarding
gender, civil society, and international organizational synergies. [1,
2]
COP17 Context and U.S. Positions
·
The Event: Running from August 17 to 28,
2026, this UN Convention to Combat Desertification summit focuses on land
degradation, drought resilience, and rangelands. [1]
·
U.S. Objections: During
the opening procedural agenda adoption, the U.S. raised objections to items
concerning gender integration, civil society roles, and cross-convention
synergies. [1]
·
Resolution: To prevent a standstill,
COP17 President and Mongolian Foreign Minister Battsetseg Batmunkh deferred the
contentious items for further diplomatic consultations while provisionally
adopting the main agenda. [1,
2]
DAILY UPDATES…
https://enb.iisd.org/convention-combat-desertification-unccd-cop17-17Aug2026
ATTACHMENT
THIRTY FOUR
HIGHLIGHTS AND IMAGES
FOR 17 AUGUST 2026
Ulaanbaatar,
Mongolia
Coverage of
17th Session of the
Conference of the Parties to the UNCCD (COP 17)
Negotiators
at UNCCD COP 17 are considering a wide array of decisions on enhancing efforts
to address desertification, land degradation and drought.
See other coverage from 17th Session of the
Conference of the Parties to the UNCCD (COP 17):
Pastoralists
are essential in efforts to combat rangeland degradation and implement the UN
Convention to Combat Desertification (UNCCD). These land stewards were front
and center as the 17th meeting of the Conference of the Parties (COP 17) opened
in Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia.
In
the morning, pastoralists from 100 countries representing over 500,000 people –
whose day-to-day activities prevent soil erosion, enhance carbon storage, and
maintain biodiversity – paraded to meet with UNCCD Executive Secretary Yasmine
Fouad, where they handed over a Global Pastoralist
Declaration highlighting their priorities.
During
the opening ceremony, Mongolia’s Prime Minister Nyam-Osoryn Uchral urged participants
to transform the meeting into a platform for solutions and turn commitments
into tangible results/actions. UNCCD Executive Secretary Fouad urged Parties to
make COP 17 about repairing ecosystems and restoring livelihoods, resilience,
and hope in the multilateral system.
The
COP elected the Minister of Foreign Affairs of Mongolia, Batmunkh Battsetseg,
as COP 17 President. In their opening statements, regions stressed: the
importance of enabling greater financial flows for strengthening efforts to
address desertification, land degradation, and drought; the importance of
science for informed decision-making; and the interlinkages between sustainable
land management and building community resilience.
Tensions
rose when it was time to adopt the agenda. The Russian Federation opposed an
agenda item on the Intergovernmental Working Group on the Future Strategic
Framework on the grounds that their experts were blocked from participating in
its meetings. The US objected to three agenda items: synergies with other
conventions and international organizations; gender; and civil society. In
order to move forward, COP 17 President Battsetseg proposed – without objection
– to provisionally adopt the agenda and defer adoption of the four agenda
items, which require further consultations.
In
the afternoon, the Committee of the Whole (COW) and the Committee for the
Review of the Implementation of the Convention (CRIC) met to begin discussions.
In
the COW, the Secretariat introduced the programme and budget for the biennium
2027-2028, including three budget scenarios, which ranged from zero nominal
growth to a nearly 30% increase to include three additional Secretariat
positions. In ensuing discussions, Parties expressed a broad range of
preferences. The agenda item was sent to the budget contact group. Next,
delegates discussed drought, where views still differed on whether Parties
should commit to negotiating a legally-binding protocol or a framework.
During
the first meeting of the CRIC, Executive Secretary Fouad emphasized that
Parties are facing a decisive moment for implementation of the 2018-2030
Strategic Framework, and challenged Parties to use the session as an
opportunity to reflect, accelerate action, and overcome bottlenecks. Parties
then proceeded to:
·
adopt the agenda and
organization of work;
·
review the report of the CRIC
on its 23rd session;
·
assess the performance of
Convention institutions and subsidiary bodies; and
·
discuss the programme and
budget for the biennium 2027-2028.
In
the evening, the COW contact groups on budget and all other matters convened
for their first meetings.
ATTACHMENT
THIRTY FIVE
https://enb.iisd.org/convention-combat-desertification-unccd-cop17-18Aug2026
As discussions on drought and the science and
technology agenda heated up on Tuesday, an afternoon thunderstorm did little to
mitigate the intensity of the day. The second day of the 17th meeting of the
Conference of the Parties (COP 17) to the United Nations Convention to Combat
Desertification (UNCCD) featured a full slate of formal and informal meetings,
side events, and consultations.
The Committee on Science and Technology (CST)
held its first plenary session in the morning, continuing through the
afternoon.
The Russian Federation opposed including the
work programme of the Science-Policy Interface (SPI) on the agenda, reiterating
that “certain Parties” had “blocked” their experts from participating in the
work of the Intergovernmental Working Group on the Future Strategic Framework,
and opposed the participation of the Ukrainian expert on the SPI.
Parties adopted the CST agenda except for the
SPI work programme, pending further consultations. Discussions commenced on the
agenda items on interfacing science, policy, and sharing knowledge, and the
future functioning of the SPI.
Meanwhile, next door in the Committee for the
Review of the Implementation of the Convention (CRIC), delegates discussed
capacity-building in the morning and mobilizing financial resources in the
afternoon.
Following a morning panel discussion, Parties
stressed the importance of capacity-building for the effective implementation
of the Convention. Many called for a
demand-driven approach that takes into account national priorities, and for
adequate and predictable financial and technical resources. The Global
Environment Facility and the Global Mechanism presented reports and engaged in
a panel discussion on resource mobilization in the afternoon.
Negotiations on drought continued in two
contact group meetings, as delegations tried to move forward on a possible
decision. The CST and CRIC contact groups held their first meetings in the evening.
The budget contact group met throughout the day.
Informally, delegates, the COP Bureau, and
members of the Gender, Youth, Indigenous Peoples, and Local Communities
caucuses considered their options and the way forward for adopting the rest of
the COP 17 agenda, after the Russian Federation and the US objected on Monday
to agenda items on the post-2030 Strategic Framework, gender, civil society,
and synergies.
IN THE RAIN
Around the venue, as participants dodged the
afternoon rain, the hardy were able to experience traditional Mongolian music,
watch Mongolian crafts people at work, marvel at the artwork and sculptures,
and grab a coffee as they walked between meetings and a wide range of side
events.
ATTACHMENT
THIRTY SIX – FROM
https://enb.iisd.org/convention-combat-desertification-unccd-cop17-19Aug2026
In the drylands, where evaporation far exceeds
precipitation, rain is a rare and powerful event that dictates survival. It
revives dormant ecosystems, refills groundwater aquifers, triggers plant
growth, and sustains pastoral and farming communities.
Many participants at the 17th Meeting of the
Conference of the Parties (COP 17) to the United Nations Convention to Combat
Desertification (UNCCD) celebrate each drop of rain in the arid, semi-arid and
dry sub-humid areas where they live. However, the wet weather is not as welcome
at a COP where participants must jump over massive puddles and dodge downpours
as they move from meeting to meeting.
Delegates CRIC
On Wednesday morning, the sound of rain on
the roofs of the meeting rooms often drowned out the speakers in both the
Committee for the Review of the Implementation of the Convention (CRIC) and the
Committee on Science and Technology (CST).
The CRIC finished discussions on finance,
with many developing countries calling for simplified access to adequate and
predictable finance, which is essential to translate national commitments into
concrete actions on the ground.
In the CST, Parties were introduced to new
guidance on avoiding, reducing, and reversing land and soil degradation of
agricultural lands, and its digital companion. Afterwards, they finished
initial discussions on the draft work programmes of the Science-Policy
Interface and the 18th session of the CST.
After lunch, the Committee of the Whole (COW)
discussed migration, land tenure, and private sector engagement. On migration,
most agreed that desertification, land degradation, and drought is a major
driver of displacement. However, Mongolia and several others pointed out that
traditional migration of pastoralists allows them to sustainably use rangelands
and water resources, noting mobility is an adaptation strategy.
Delegates welcomed the development of the
Land Tenure Toolbox and largely supported integrating land tenure into the work
of the UNCCD. Similarly, delegates supported greater private sector
participation. However, some stressed that private-sector engagement should
come with strong environmental and social safeguards and transparency.
In a joint CRIC/CST session, delegates heard
from representatives of the regional Support Hubs that provided technical
support to countries during the 2026 UNCCD reporting process. In comments from
the floor, many underscored the significance of capacity-building to ensure
quality reporting.
After one more downpour during the evening
contact groups, the skies started to clear and just before sunset a rainbow
appeared over the venue. In many cultures, rainbows are a positive omen that
hard times are ending and better days are coming. Hopefully, this bodes well
for the work underway in the contact groups.
ATTACHMENT
THIRTY SEVEN
https://enb.iisd.org/convention-combat-desertification-unccd-cop17-20Aug2026
Coverage
of
17th Session of the
Conference of the Parties to the UNCCD (COP 17)
Negotiators at UNCCD COP 17
are considering a wide array of decisions on enhancing efforts to address
desertification, land degradation and drought.
See
other coverage from 17th Session of the Conference of the Parties to the UNCCD
(COP 17):
In
the world’s rangelands and pasturelands, rain is greeted with welcome relief. After
the rain, pastoralist communities experience a dramatic shift from day-to-day
survival amid scarcity to renewal, as parched rangelands turn green, water
sources refill, and herds can graze in fresh pastures. But climate change is
transforming the life-saving rains, which have become patchy and more intense
and, therefore, less effective due to runoff.
As
the sun returned to the 17th Meeting of the Conference of the Parties (COP 17)
to the United Nations Convention to Combat Desertification (UNCCD) on Thursday,
one of the topics on the agenda was the work programme on rangelands and
pastoralists. Parties discussed how to prioritize policies and investments for
the sustainable management of rangelands. Delegates also recognized their
essential role in addressing key challenges related to food insecurity,
desertification, land degradation and drought, biodiversity loss, and climate
change.
Rangelands
also featured extensively in the morning open dialogue session with civil
society, where panelists shared perspectives on what is needed to ensure that
pastoralists get the support they need to continue their sustainable land
management practices, as well as bring their perspectives into the work of the
Convention.
Challenges
expressed ranged from barriers to accessing funds to pressures from mining. The
solutions proposed included bridging funding and market mechanisms with
pastoralists’ diverse local economies, and integrating land degradation
neutrality targets with pastoralist-designed and community-led initiatives.
During the session, Anders Oskal, Association of World Reindeer Herders, also
presented the Global Pastoralist and Indigenous Pastoralists’ Call for Action.
In
the afternoon, the Committee of the Whole (COW) began discussions on the
implementation of the Convention’s Strategic Framework, sand and dust storms,
and rangelands and pastoralists. Delegates largely welcomed the development of
a Global Implementation Initiative for Sand and Dust Storms and a Sand and Dust
Storms Toolbox. Participants also welcomed the Rangelands Flagship Initiative
and its three components of knowledge, investment, and institutions.
Contact
groups met throughout the day to discuss, among others, the budget, migration,
private sector engagement, drought, capacity-building, knowledge sharing, and
the future work programme of the Science-Policy Interface (SPI).
https://enb.iisd.org/convention-combat-desertification-unccd-cop17-21Aug2026
ATTACHMENT
THIRTY EIGHT
Coverage
of
17th Session of the
Conference of the Parties to the UNCCD (COP 17)
Negotiators at UNCCD COP 17
are considering a wide array of decisions on enhancing efforts to address
desertification, land degradation and drought.
See
other coverage from 17th Session of the Conference of the Parties to the UNCCD
(COP 17):
Human
mobility refers to all forms of population movement, including internal
displacement, international migration, and nomadic or seasonal travel.
Pastoralists have been relocating for thousands of years, following water and
weather cycles. Voluntary relocation and livestock mobility are typical methods
of sustainable rangeland management, contributing to carbon sequestration and
combating desertification.
However,
desertification, land degradation, and drought (DLDD), which means the loss of
healthy land, soils, water, and critical ecosystem services, can force people
to leave their homelands in search of a means to survive. In this sense, the
restoration of degraded land and building drought resilience can help stabilize
rural livelihoods and reduce the economic pressure that causes forced displacement.
On
Friday, the 17th session of the Conference of the Parties (COP 17) to the
United Nations Convention to Combat Desertification (UNCCD) addressed all
aspects of human mobility. Following Thursday’s discussions on pastoralists and
their mobility in the Committee of the Whole (COW), delegates discussed a draft
decision on DLDD as a driver that causes migration and displacement in the COW
contact group on other matters. Whether there will be progress during this COP
remains to be seen, after one Party reserved its position on the entire draft
decision, pending further instructions from capital.
In
the morning, the COW swiftly went through its remaining agenda items on the
review of progress in the implementation of the UNCCD communication plan and
the programme of work for COP 18. Here, some Parties used the opportunity to
lament the continued ”blocking” of certain items from the agenda at COP
17.
Throughout
the day, contact groups met to continue text-based negotiations on a range of
agenda items, including migration, private sector engagement, communication,
and capacity-building, as well as procedures and technical support for the
future functioning of the Science-Policy Interface. Contact group negotiations
are expected to continue into the evening and throughout the day on Saturday.
Elsewhere
in the venue, mayors, governors and other local and regional leaders gathered
at the COP 17 Mayors Forum to adopt the Ulaanbaatar Declaration, committing to
advance local action on sustainable land management and drought resilience, and
calling for a stronger, more permanent role for cities and regions in the UNCCD
process.
ATTACHMENT
THIRTY NINE
Geography By Geoff
video see here
WHY MONGOLIA IS EARTH'S MOST EXTREME COUNTRY
From brutal winters and
vast open steppes to the world's lowest population density and a centuries-old
nomadic culture, Mongolia is one of the planet's most extreme and fascinating countries.
Discover what makes it unlike anywhere else on Earth. #Mongolia #Geography
#WorldFacts
ATTACHMENT
FORTY – FROM
THE DIPLOMAT
BEYOND THE THIRD NEIGHBOR: MONGOLIA-US TIES IN AN ERA
OF GREAT POWER COMPETITION
U.S. Ambassador Richard L. Buangan talks to
The Diplomat about the future of the partnership.
By Sumiya Chuluunbaatar February 28, 2026
On January 27, the United States and Mongolia
marked the 39th anniversary of diplomatic relations, which were first
established in 1987 amid the waning years of the Cold War. For nearly four
decades, this bilateral bond has served as the cornerstone of Mongolia’s
landmark “Third Neighbor” doctrine – a deliberate, sovereignty-centered
strategy to diversify its foreign relations beyond its two immediate neighbors,
Russia and China.
Today, against the backdrop of intensifying
great power competition, Washington’s ongoing reorientation of its Indo-Pacific
strategy, and the second Trump administration’s “America First” foreign policy
(enshrined in the December 2025 National Security Strategy, and centered on
focused, results-oriented diplomacy), the Mongolia-U.S. strategic partnership
stands at a defining inflection point.
This inflection point was sharply defined by
a landmark diplomatic move just days before the anniversary. On January 22,
Mongolia’s Prime Minister Gombojavyn Zandanshatar signed the Charter of the Board of Peace in
Davos, Switzerland, formalizing Mongolia’s status as a founding member of the Trump-led
international body. The move marks the most significant update to Mongolia’s
“Third Neighbor” playbook in years. It comes as the United Nations Mission in
South Sudan (UNMISS) – a core pillar of Mongolia’s global peacekeeping
engagement – is set to wind down in April 2026. The Board of Peace
could see a role for Mongolian peacekeepers in Gaza.
But not all is rosy in Mongolia-U.S.
relations. On February 2, the United States suspended immigrant visas for Mongolian citizens, including it
in a list “high-risk countries” whose nationals are supposedly prone to
“unlawfully utilize welfare in the United States or become a public charge.”
The move strained bilateral ties.
Seven years after Mongolia and the United
States upgraded their bilateral relations to a formal Strategic Partnership in
2019, pivotal questions persist regarding the depth and tangible impact of this
collaboration. Has it moved beyond diplomatic pronouncements, symbolic aid, and
cultural exchanges to emerge as a resilient, mutually beneficial framework that
meaningfully addresses Mongolia’s core national challenges – among them energy
insecurity, economic diversification away from extractive industries, and key
governance imperatives?
Against the backdrop of evolving great power
dynamics, China and Russia are deepening their economic engagement with
Mongolia, epitomized by two high-profile diplomatic missions in February 2026.
Chinese Vice Foreign Minister Sun Weidong visited Ulaanbaatar to reaffirm Beijing’s
longstanding policy priorities for Mongolia, while Mongolian Parliament
Speaker Uchral Nyam-Osor undertook a concurrent working visit to Moscow focused
on advancing energy cooperation and expanding bilateral economic ties.
To unpack these developments and the
implications for the future of the Mongolia-U.S. bilateral relationship, I
conducted an exclusive interview with Richard L. Buangan, the U.S. ambassador to Mongolia since November 2022.
A career Senior Foreign Service officer with
deep, on-the-ground East Asian expertise, Buangan’s nearly three-year tenure
spanned the final chapter of the Biden presidency, marked by then-Secretary of
State Antony Blinken’s historic August 2024 visit to Mongolia (the
first by a U.S. secretary of state in a decade), and the opening months of
Trump’s second term, which saw Ulaanbaatar join the Board of Peace as a
founding member.
Buangan has centered grassroots,
community-focused diplomacy throughout his time in Mongolia: he has studied
traditional Mongolian script, participated in iconic cultural festivals
including Naadam and Tsagaan Sar wearing the traditional Mongolian deel,
and traveled extensively across the country’s rural aimags to engage directly
with local communities. He has described
Mongolians as “warm, hospitable, and direct” – qualities, he
says, that align with the best of American straightforwardness. Beyond this
genuine personal rapport, his insights on Mongolia-U.S. reveal a partnership
with tangible, meaningful wins in defense, development, and education, yet one
that still faces steep structural hurdles to deliver on its full economic and
strategic potential for both nations.
ANNIVERSARY MILESTONES
Buangan opened our discussion by framing 2026
as an “extraordinary year” for both nations, tying the 39th diplomatic anniversary to two historic national
commemorations: the United States’ 250th independence anniversary, branded
“Freedom 250,” and the 820th
anniversary of the founding of the Mongol Empire. “These are two
monumental milestones, and we have a lot planned,” he said. “I look forward to
collaborating with our Mongolian partners to honor these two significant
anniversaries and highlight the enduring partnership between our two nations.”
While symbolic anniversaries set the stage
for deeper collaboration, Buangan centered the tangible investments that have
defined the bilateral relationship in recent years. The crown jewel of this
cooperation is the $462 million Millennium Challenge Corporation (MCC) Water Compact,
scheduled for completion in March 2026. The project, which includes a $112
million co-investment from the Government of Mongolia, will increase
Ulaanbaatar’s clean water supply by up to 80 percent, directly addressing a
chronic crisis driven by explosive rural-to-urban migration in the Mongolian
capital.
“That’s a physical symbol of America’s
long-term commitment to the U.S.-Mongolia partnership,” Buangan emphasized,
noting that the compact embodies the Trump administration’s focus on fostering
recipient country self-reliance through durable, sustainable development.
This landmark project is complemented by
forward-looking initiatives to expand Mongolia’s global economic connectivity. In
February 2026, the U.S. Trade and Development Agency (USTDA) signed an
agreement with Mongolia’s Civil Aviation Authority to fund technical assistance
supporting Mongolia’s pursuit of a U.S. Federal Aviation Administration
Category 1 (CAT 1) safety rating. In its press release, the USTDA highlighted this as a game-changing initiative:
“Achieving CAT 1 status will not only enable direct, secure air links between
our two countries, it will also facilitate the export of Mongolia’s rare earth
oxides and critical minerals, opening new global markets for Mongolian goods
while strengthening supply chain resilience for both our nations.”
THE STRATEGIC PARTNERSHIP AT SEVEN
Seven years into the Mongolia-U.S. Strategic
Partnership, Buangan offered a clear-eyed assessment of its achievements,
rooted in the United States’ identity as Mongolia’s most consistent “Third
Neighbor.” “Despite the geographical distance between our countries, the United
States is proud to be Mongolia’s ‘’Third Neighbor,’ and it’s a commitment we
take seriously,” he said. Buangan described three core pillars of measurable
progress that have strengthened the partnership amid shifting global dynamics.
First, defense and security cooperation has
emerged as a bedrock of the relationship, aligned with both Mongolia’s
constitutionally enshrined neutral foreign policy and U.S. Indo-Pacific
security priorities. Buangan highlighted the annual Khaan Quest multilateral
peacekeeping exercises, co-hosted with U.S. Army Pacific, which brought
together 24 nations in 2025 to strengthen multinational interoperability and
humanitarian response capabilities.
“We’ve maintained close defense cooperation,
helping to modernize and professionalize the Mongolian Armed Forces, and the
results speak for themselves,” Buangan said.
Mongolia is now one of the top per capita
contributors to U.N. peacekeeping operations globally, with more than
23,000 troops deployed to missions in South Sudan, the Central African
Republic, Afghanistan, Iraq and other global hotspots – a track record Buangan
called a testament to Mongolia’s role as a responsible global stakeholder and
trusted U.S. security partner.
Second, educational and people-to-people ties
have created an enduring foundation for the Mongolia-U.S. partnership, one that
transcends political cycles and geopolitical shifts. On this topic, Buangan’s
enthusiasm shone brightest, framing these bonds as the unshakable core of the
bilateral relationship. “This is one of my favorite topics because I genuinely
believe that people-to-people ties are the foundation of everything else we
do,” he said. “You can have all the government agreements in the world, but if
people don’t know each other, don’t understand each other, don’t have
relationships with each other, those agreements are just paper.”
Citing IIE Open Doors data, he noted that roughly 1,500 Mongolian students
study in the United States each year, compared with around 100 Americans in
Mongolia, while approximately 10,000 travelers move in each direction annually.
The U.S. Peace Corps program embodies this grassroots connection: nearly 1,500
volunteers have served across Mongolia since 1991, with 50 currently deployed
working alongside local communities.
Over 39 years, more than 8,000 Mongolians
have participated in U.S. government-sponsored exchange programs, creating a
cross-generational network of bilateral ties. Last year saw the launch of
the Center of Excellence for English Language Teaching at the National
University of Mongolia, building on an initiative announced by
Blinken in 2024.
Still, structural imbalances persist. The new
visa constraints under the Trump administration could complicate two-way
mobility, even as U.S. development assistance increasingly emphasizes
sustainability and recipient self-reliance, which may place natural limits on
the scale of broader people-to-people programming.
Third, the two nations have deepened
cooperation on economic diversification and critical minerals, a priority
aligned with both the 2025 U.S. NSS and Mongolia’s core domestic development
goals. Buangan noted that Mongolia’s vast reserves of critical minerals –
including copper, lithium, and rare earth elements, all featured on the U.S. Geological Survey’s 2025 expanded list of 60 critical minerals –
present enormous potential for mutually beneficial investment.
He pointed to two recent developments as
evidence of deepening strategic alignment: Mongolia’s participation in the
February 2026 U.S.-hosted Critical Minerals Ministerial, where Foreign Minister
Battsetseg Batmunkh joined 53 other nations to advance collaborative supply
chain action, and Mongolia’s decision to join the Board of Peace.
Buangan was unequivocal in welcoming Mongolia’s participation in
the latter, which he called a “historic initiative”: “Congratulations to Prime
Minister Zandanshatar, and we express our gratitude to Mongolia for becoming a
founding member of the Board of Peace.”
Mongolia’s official government
resolution framed its membership in the Board of Peace as fully
consistent with its “peace-centered, open, independent, and multipillar foreign
policy,” emphasizing that the body is not a military alliance, but a voluntary
cooperation platform centered on respect for national sovereignty. Mongolia
also stressed that its three-year initial membership term carries no mandatory
financial obligations; the $1 billion threshold referenced in the charter
applies only to membership renewal, not initial participation.
Buangan echoed this framing, noting that the
initiative offers Mongolia a new avenue to amplify its voice on the global
stage as a mid-sized, neutral nation, while deepening its “Third Neighbor”
partnership with the United States.
“AMERICA FIRST,” SOVEREIGNTY, AND REFORM
COLLABORATION
A central focus of our conversation was
the 2025 U.S. National Security Strategy, and what its core
“America First” framework means for the future of Mongolia-U.S. relations –
especially given Mongolia’s landmark decision to join the Board of Peace as a
founding member.
Buangan rejected narratives that the policy
signals disengagement or transactionalism at the expense of long-standing
partners. “Let me be very clear: ‘America First’ does not mean ‘America Alone’
or ‘America Only,’” he said. “What it means is that we’re going to be more
focused, more strategic, and more results-oriented in our foreign
policy.”
Invoking Trump’s framing of a foreign policy
that is “pragmatic without being ‘pragmatist,’ realistic without being
‘realist,’ principled without being ‘idealistic,’” he emphasized that the
United States will prioritize partnerships that deliver “real, tangible
benefits for the American people and for our partners, including Mongolia.”
For Mongolia, he explained, this means a U.S.
partnership that respects its sovereign multi-vector foreign policy, rather
than demanding it choose sides in great power competition. Buangan made clear
that the U.S. respects Mongolia’s long-standing commitment to neutrality, and
that bilateral cooperation is rooted in mutual respect for national sovereignty
and territorial integrity – core principles enshrined in the 2019 Strategic Partnership declaration.
Buangan reaffirmed the United States’
steadfast commitment to supporting Mongolia’s domestic reform agenda. He cited
the December 2025 launch of Phase II of
the Mongolian Institutional Integrity and Transparency (MINT) Project,
which delivers targeted technical assistance to strengthen Mongolia’s
anti-corruption and law enforcement capacity. However, he was forthright about
the persistent structural bottlenecks constraining bilateral trade and investment: Mongolia ranks 121st on Transparency International’s Corruption
Perceptions Index, with pervasive regulatory opacity consistently
cited as a core deterrent to inbound foreign direct investment. Official U.S.
Census Bureau data shows bilateral trade between the United States and Mongolia remained modest at
just $234 million in 2025, lagging far behind China’s long-dominant
position in Mongolia’s overall trade landscape.
When asked about the possibility of a U.S.
presidential visit to Mongolia – 21 years on from the only official trip to the
country by a sitting U.S. president, made by George W. Bush in 2005 – Buangan declined to confirm any
specific travel plans, but emphasized the administration’s steadfast commitment
to Indo-Pacific and bilateral engagement.
“President Trump is deeply engaged in the Indo-Pacific region, as
demonstrated by his active, high-profile participation at the 2025 APEC
summit,” he noted. “Secretary of State Marco Rubio’s recent hosting of
Mongolian Foreign Minister Battsetseg Batmunkh at the Critical
Minerals Ministerial in Washington is another clear marker of our sustained
high-level bilateral engagement. Regardless of any specific travel plans, our
commitment to Mongolia remains unwavering.”
CLOSING REFLECTIONS
As our conversation drew to a close,
Buangan’s grounded yet unreserved optimism about the trajectory of
Mongolia-U.S. relations was palpable. Thirty-nine years of formal diplomatic
ties, seven years of elevated Strategic Partnership, and decades of deep,
grassroots collaboration have forged a bond that is equal parts resilient,
values-driven, and rooted in bedrock mutual respect.
For Mongolia, the United States remains an
indispensable Third Neighbor, standing with it to safeguard national
sovereignty, advance democratic governance, and drive economic diversification
amid intensifying great power competition. For the United States, Mongolia is a
trusted, like-minded democratic partner in the Indo-Pacific, a responsible
global stakeholder, and a critical contributor to building more secure,
resilient critical mineral supply chains.
Throughout our discussion, Buangan returned
time and again to people-to-people ties as the enduring, beating heart of the
bilateral partnership. It is precisely these deeply rooted bonds, forged
between exchange students, Peace Corps volunteers, peacekeeping personnel, and
private sector leaders, that will carry the Mongolia-U.S. partnership beyond
hollow diplomatic rhetoric, through its landmark 40th anniversary of diplomatic
relations in 2027, and forward for generations to come.
In an era defined by geopolitical volatility
and intensifying great power rivalry, the U.S.-Mongolia partnership stands as a
quiet yet profoundly powerful testament to what sovereign nations can build
when they collaborate on the bedrock of shared democratic values, mutually
beneficial economic cooperation, and unflinching respect for one another’s
territorial integrity and strategic autonomy.
ATTACHMENT
FORTY ONE – FROM
FROM ENTERTAINMENT
WEEKLY
‘NASTY’ ROSIE O’DONNELL SLAMS DONALD
TRUMP WITH SCATHING SONG URGING HIM TO RESIGN: ‘YOU’LL NEVER BE OBAMA’
O’Donnell
guest-hosted “Jimmy Kimmel Live” this week, and said goodbye to the gig with a
song in which she told Trump his “wig’s a mess” and “polls are falling.”
By Joey Nolfi August 21, 2026 9:31 a.m. ET
·
Rosie
O’Donnell closed out her four-night guest-hosting gig on Jimmy Kimmel
Live with a musical number dedicated to Donald Trump.
·
O’Donnell invoked Trump calling her “nasty” in the past at
the top of the episode, and later called him “orange Voldemort.”
·
“Since we all know you’ll never be Obama, why not resign and
make this country great again?” O’Donnell sang.
Rosie
O’Donnell brought an Irish song (and a few verbal slams) dedicated to her longtime
foe Donald Trump on her final night guest-hosting Jimmy
Kimmel Live.
O’Donnell
kicked off Thursday’s show — the final installment of her four-night return to
the talk show format — by introducing herself as “nasty Rosie O’Donnell,”
wasting no time referencing a title Trump has given her (and many other women)
in the past.
She
went on to make another joke about Trump reportedly watching her temporarily
take over for Kimmel on the air, telling the audience that the president has
“spent more nights with me this week than Melania,” before calling him “orange
Voldemort” in her passionate defense of the “right to free speech in this
country.”
The
64-year-old closed out her final monologue with a dedication to Trump, as she
sang a “traditional Irish song dedicated to a very special boy” to the tune of
“Danny Boy.”
“Oh
Donny boy, it’s Rosie, Rosie calling. From Hollywood, the Jimmy Kimmel show.
Drop that Big Mac that we all know you’re holding, because, my dear, I worry
for you so,” O’Donnell began, as the audience laughed.
She
continued, “Poor Donny boy, your polls, your polls are falling. Your reflecting
pool is green as Mountain Dew. Your wig’s a mess, your ballroom is appalling,
and with Iran you bit off more than you can chew.”
She
also got a few digs in at Robert F. Kennedy Jr., as she sang, “Measles are
back, inflation is a’swelling,” before setting her sights back on Trump: “You
post all night, you’re sleeping while you work. And what’s with all this
useless crap you’re selling? Hey, sweetie pie, you’re driving us all berserk.”
O’Donnell
closed the song by urging Trump to leave office, and interpolated his political
movement’s “make America great again” slogan for her own tune.
“But
there’s a way to end this drama. It’s time to use that stable genius brain,”
she sang. “Since we all know you’ll never be Obama, why not resign and
make this country great again? Yes, we all know you’ll never be Obama. Come on,
resign and make this country great again!”
Entertainment
Weekly has
reached out to the White House for comment on O’Donnell’s song.
Trump and O’Donnell have long
sparred in public, dating as far back as the comedian and actress’ time as
moderator on The View from 2006-2007 and again from 2014-2015,
with the president even speaking out against O’Donnell during his initial run
for office in 2016.
O’Donnell’s stint on Jimmy
Kimmel Live came amid rumors that she’s eyeing a permanent TV comeback
after moving to Ireland to avoid Trump’s second term in office in America.
While the former Rosie O’Donnell Show host publicly denied
speculation that she’s mounting a secret takeover of Kimmel’s show, she
detailed in a recent
episode of the Tangle podcast that
her team is currently charting potential paths for another full-time television
gig for her.
“It would look a lot like my
old show, to tell you the truth. I think America wants nostalgia. I think what
they don’t want is celebrity culture. I think celebrity culture is dead in
America,” she said in July on the podcast.
Watch O’Donnell’s song for
Trump on the Beastly website below.
ATTACHMENT
FORTY TWO – FROM
NEW
YORK TIMES
|
August 19, 2026 |
Good afternoon! The dust is settling after a
surprising primary night that took us from Florida to Alaska — and showed some
of President Trump’s preferred candidates falling short. Here’s what we
learned.
A weird night for Trump
|
By Jess Bidgood |
|
Florida has become a Republican stronghold,
and fallen completely off the presidential battleground map. But that doesn’t
mean it has lost its main-character energy by becoming — gasp — predictable.
The big headline from last night is
that Democrats shocked the
establishment by nominating a democratic socialist for Senate,
though it wasn’t just Democrats who defied expectations yesterday. Republican
voters shrugged off some of President
Trump’s preferred candidates in Florida and beyond.
There is little the president loves more than
playing kingmaker. With primary season drawing to a close and the midterms
approaching, those defeats are the latest to leave Trump’s record of picking
winners looking a little wobbly.
This summer, Trump-endorsed candidates
faltered in governor’s races in Iowa and Georgia. His initial pick for governor
lost in South Carolina, too. Then, last week, the election denier Mike Lindell fell short in his
Trump-backed bid to be the Republican nominee for governor in Minnesota.
Lots of Trump’s preferred candidates notched
wins last night, too, including the top Republicans running for governor and
Senate in Florida. But here’s where the cracks showed.
An embattled ally lost his House seat.
Once Trump bestows an endorsement, he hates
to take it away. That might have backfired last night.
Representative Cory Mills of Florida was investigated by the police in
Washington last year, in connection with a report of an assault on a woman.
He wasn’t charged. Another woman got a protective order
against him, also last year.
That didn’t stop Trump from endorsing Mills
in February. Last night, though, Mills lost to Ryan
Elijah, a former local TV anchor — the latest example of how
Republican voters are backing away from candidates who have courted
controversy. (Another Trump-endorsed candidate, Representative Andy Ogles of Tennessee, lost a primary this
month after drawing criticism for anti-Muslim remarks.)
Writing on Truth Social on Wednesday, Trump
said that he had privately urged Mills to drop out of the race, but that Mills
would not listen.
Mills wasn’t the only Trump pick for Congress
who lost last night. In the crowded primary for the 19th District — where
a bevy of Florida transplants were
competing to represent their new state — Trump had endorsed Catalina Lauf, a candidate aligned
with the Make America Healthy Again movement who unsuccessfully ran twice for Congress
in Illinois before she moved to Florida. But it was Jim Schwartzel, a local media
mogul, who prevailed there.
Did Byron Donalds underperform?
Representative Byron Donalds has gone all in for
Trump, and the president returned the favor, enthusiastically backing his bid
for governor as the term-limited Gov. Ron DeSantis steps aside.
Donalds won his party’s nomination last
night, and he is widely seen as the front-runner in the contest against the
Republican turned Democrat David
Jolly in November. A win would make Donalds Florida’s first
Black governor. But he failed to capture more than 50 percent of the primary
vote, after trailing Lt. Gov. Jay
Collins in some largely white, rural counties in the northern part
of the state. That raises questions about how enthusiastic Republicans in those
areas will be for his campaign in the fall.
It’s not the first time this summer that some
white Republicans have shown reluctance to support Trump-endorsed candidates of
color. In Central Michigan, Amir
Hassan, a Navy veteran who is Black, lost a bid for
the House to a little-known white candidate who had suspended his campaign.
Trump suffered a loss in Wyoming.
Let’s head to Wyoming, where, in the
governor’s race, a rancher and veterinarian who promised to lower the
temperature of the state’s internecine Republican brawls beat a Trump-backed
candidate who vowed to stock state government with “bulldogs.”
The victory of Eric Barlow, a rancher, over Megan Degenfelder, Trump’s choice, suggests that even the
president’s imprimatur wasn’t enough in a rural state where voters make up
their minds by chatting with candidates at rodeos and barbecues, my colleague Jack Healy wrote.
(A memorable video Barlow cut, in which he put on a long glove to remove yak
dung from a mailbox, might have helped a little, too.)
Darline Graham had a rough debate.
The next test of Trump’s endorsement will
come in South Carolina, where Senator Darline Graham — who was appointed by Gov. Henry McMaster to temporarily
fill the vacancy left open by the death of her brother, Senator Lindsey Graham — is running for a
full term.
Impressed by her poise in the wake of her
brother’s death, Trump endorsed Graham. But
things got a little awkward during a debate last night.
A disability rights advocate, she stumbled
over a foreign policy question, showcasing her inexperience as she tries to
assure voters who know little about her that she’s ready for six years in the
Senate.
When she was asked whether Taiwan and the
South China Sea were of national security interest to the United States, she
said she didn’t know.
“I’m just going to be honest here,” she said.
“I’m not that informed on national security.”
The Times reporter Emily Davies was there,
and heard gasps and boos in the
audience.
Trump is heading to Myrtle Beach to campaign
for Graham on Friday.
|
Angie Nixon Saul Martinez for The New York Times |
NUMBER OF THE DAY
Over
$15 million
That’s how much more Alexander Vindman, a
Democratic candidate for Senate in Florida, raised than Angie Nixon, a state lawmaker
and a democratic socialist — only for Nixon to handily beat him in a shocking
primary upset. She’ll face Senator Ashley Moody, a Republican, in
November.
Got a tip?
The Times offers several ways to send important information
confidentially.
QUOTE OF THE DAY
|
Dan Sullivan (not the
senator) in front of his house in Alaska. Christopher Miller for The New York Times |
“I’ve
been Dan Sullivan longer than you’ve been Dan Sullivan.”
That’s Daniel J. Sullivan, a retired
schoolteacher from tiny Petersburg, Alaska, who is running for Senate as a
Republican.
He’s got the same name as the state’s
incumbent Republican senator, which has raised suspicions that he is a
Democratic plant. My colleague Kellen Browning traveled to Alaska for an extensive interview with the
lesser known Sullivan, who denies that he is trying to siphon votes
away from the sitting senator.
The top Democratic candidate in Alaska, Mary
Peltola, showed strength in an incomplete
primary vote count, leading Senator Dan S. Sullivan — a sign that
the race could be close in November. In Alaska, the top four vote-getters will
advance to the general election, and Sullivan (the retired teacher, that is) is
currently in third place.
|
Jamie
Kelter Davis for The New York Times |
ONE LAST THING
Is it
a real poll, or a ‘social experiment’?
The accuracy of polls is facing new scrutiny after
recent misfires in Democratic primaries.
Which is why it’s especially remarkable that
a group just revealed that it had fabricated two surveys, saying they were part
of a “short-term social experiment.”
My colleagues Ruth Igielnik and Caroline
Soler have more.
ATTACHMENT FORTY THREE – FROM the DAILY BEAST
ANOTHER WEIRD NIGHT for TRUMP... ‘NASTY’ ROSIE O’DONNELL SLAMS DONALD
TRUMP WITH SCATHING SONG URGING HIM TO RESIGN: ‘YOU’LL NEVER BE OBAMA’
Rosie O’Donnell Hits Trump Where It Hurts in Final Kimmel Monologue
Rosie O’Donnell signed off her week as Jimmy Kimmel’s guest host with a
brutal performance.
By
Meera Navlakha Updated Aug. 21
2026 11:07AM EDT Published Aug. 21 2026 10:10AM EDT
Rosie O’Donnell closed out her week as Jimmy Kimmel’s guest host with a
scathing song “dedicated to a very special boy.”
Singing to the tune of “Danny Boy,” O’Donnell eviscerated her longtime
nemesis, Donald Trump.
As one of Kimmel’s rotating summer hosts, hand-picked by the ABC anchor
as a “special treat” for the president, O’Donnell surprisingly spent little
time on him. She didn’t utter Trump’s name once, instead using creative
nicknames for the president, and decided only to open her monologues with brief
quips about him.
But the song became a perfect sendoff and conclusion to her stint on
the late-night show.
Rosie O'Donnell delivered a special performance dedicated to
Trump.YouTube/Jimmy Kimmel Live
“Oh, Donnie boy, it’s Rosie, Rosie calling from Hollywood, the Jimmy Kimmel
show. Drop that Big Mac that we all know you’re holding, because, my dear, I
worry for you so,” she sang, with an image of the president gobbling his
beloved McDonald’s looming in the background.
She continued, “Poor Donnie boy, your polls, your polls are falling /
Your Reflecting Pool is green as Mountain Dew / Your wig’s a mess. Your
ballroom is appalling / And with Iran, you bit off more than you can chew.”
“Measles are back / Inflation is a swelling. You post all night /
You’re sleeping while you work. And what’s with all this useless c--- you’re
selling? / Hey, sweetie pie, you’re driving us all berserk.”
The comedian and former talk-show host concluded her song with a plea
for the president to put an end to the country’s misery.
“But there’s a way to end this drama / It’s time to use that stable
genius brain / Since we all know you’ll never be Obama, why not resign and make
this country great again?” she belted. “Yes, we all know you’ll never be Obama
/ Come on, resign and make this country great again!”
The former host of The View thanked Kimmel’s audience
and the “hungry, hungry hypocrite in the White House” for watching her episodes
throughout the week.
She also gave a shout-out to Kimmel, saying, “I’d like to thank Jimmy
Kimmel for inviting me to do this and for reminding everyone that we have the
right to free speech in this country, whether Orange Voldemort likes it or
not.”
O’Donnell was careful with how much space she gave to Trump, suggesting
that this
move alone would drive the 80-year-old president crazy.
That didn’t stop MAGA from melting down over her temporary hosting gig.
Fox News host Sean Hannity said O’Donnell should “stay
in Ireland,” after her jokes about the president hit a nerve.
Conservative commentator Tomi Lahren jumped in on the criticism, saying, “She
supposedly left because Trump was elected, and last time I checked he’s still
here. So why’s she here?”
O’Donnell notably left the U.S. once Trump was re-elected, moving to
Ireland in 2025 and prompting the president to threaten to revoke her American
citizenship.
White House spokesperson David Ingle similarly slammed O’Donnell’s joke
about Trump’s
35-year-old executive assistant Natalie Harp, telling People in
response, “Rosie O’Donnell is a nasty woman and a total slob whose brain has
been completely destroyed by Trump Derangement Syndrome.”
O’Donnell has declared that she lives
“rent free” in Trump’s head, with a feud that dates back to 2006.
PEANUT
GALLERY
·
dmartens93
2 days ago
Rosie was great and she looks fabulous!
Reply
18
Share
·
johnmichaellison
2 days ago
Never been one of her fans but this is hilarious! Well Done Ms.
O'Donnell
Reply
15
Share
·
swamp girl redux
2 days ago
AN OPEN LETTER TO ROSIE:
A friend of mine upstairs from me loved your work for years and years; from
your own show, to The View, and everywhere (including Ireland) since. She was
diagnosed with cancer several months ago, and in recent days was receiving
morphine at home. Miraculously, I got to t...
See more
Reply
4
Share
2 replies
·
Resist1957
2 days ago
She hit it out of the park all week!
Reply
9
Share
1 reply
·
saber203
2 days ago
You know Trump absolutely flipped out watching that.
ATTACHMENT
FORTY FOUR – FROM
QAZINFORM (KAZAKHSTAN)
KAZINFORM: MONGOLIA
UNVEILS 2026–2030 NATIONAL BIODIVERSITY STRATEGY
09:14, 19 August 2026
At the 17th Conference
of the Parties to the UN Convention to Combat Desertification (UNCCD COP17),
Mongolia officially presented its National Biodiversity Strategy and Action
Plan 2026–2030, aligning with global commitments under the Kunming-Montreal
Global Biodiversity Framework.
Sandag-Ochir
Tsend, Environment and Climate Change Minister and Chair of the National
Committee for COP17 introduced it.
Mongolia
joined the Convention on Biological Diversity in 1993, committing to
conservation of biodiversity, sustainable use of natural resources, fair
sharing of genetic resources.
The new
strategy emphasizes turning global pledges into concrete results.
The
Kunming-Montreal Framework (2022) set worldwide biodiversity targets through
2030.
Mongolia’s
plan, enacted by Government Resolution on June 10, 2026, is fully aligned with
these targets.
2026–2030
strategic goals are to strengthen policy synergy across Rio Conventions,
enhance ecosystem resilience against desertification and climate change, expand
protected areas and improve management and promote community-based conservation
and sustainable livelihoods.
Reports
noted, Mongolia, UNCCD Secretariat joined efforts to promote country ahead of COP17.
ATTACHMENT
FORTY FIVE – FROM AL
JAZEERA
SOUTH AFRICA TO
AUSTRALIA: WHY COAL PROFITS ARE SURGING DURING IRAN WAR
Coal companies are reporting a huge
rise in profits, but analysts say a global clean energy transition is still on
track.
By Shola Lawal
Published On 19 Aug 202619 Aug
2026
Crude oil and natural gas
supplies have been disrupted worldwide by the United States-Israel war on Iran,
but one energy sector appears to be cashing in – coal.
This week, South Africa’s thermal
coal producer Thungela Resources said it had doubled its half-year profits as
the war has forced more countries to buy the fuel.
Recommended Stories
list of 4 items
· list 1 of 4‘Limited
options’ for many Iranians as war with US chokes economy
· list 2 of 4Large fire
breaks out at fuel depot near Iraq’s Sulaimaniyah
· list 3 of 4Can China’s new
Arctic sea route to Europe replace Middle East chokepoints?
· list 4 of 4Brazil’s
president says Amazon oil is ‘passport to the future’
Although abundant and relatively
cheap to produce, coal is considered one of the dirtiest fossil fuels.
Mining it causes water pollution,
and burning it releases enormous amounts of carbon into the atmosphere, which
contributes to global warming.
In recent months, several
countries, especially in Asia, have reversed or delayed promises to scale back
on coal production.
Global coal consumption was
already rising in 2025 with the Eurasia region and the US using the fuel to
power artificial intelligence data centres, according to the World Bank.
Here’s what we know:
WHY IS MORE COAL BEING USED?
The US-Israel war on Iran has
triggered a global energy crisis. Soon after strikes on Tehran began on February
28, Iran closed the Strait of Hormuz, through which about one-fifth of the
world’s oil and liquefied natural gas (LNG) supplies were shipped during
peacetime.
NEGOTIATIONS TO REOPEN THE STRAIT
ARE ONGOING.
Its closure has reduced oil and
gas supplies and caused oil prices to soar, prompting many countries to fall
back on the most readily available alternative to keep the power on – coal.
While coal prices have also
risen, the fuel is still much cheaper than oil – and is more readily available.
No region has been more impacted
than Asia, which largely depends on the Gulf for its energy needs. About 82
percent of oil and gas shipments through the Strait of Hormuz went to Asia in
2022, according to the US Energy Information Administration. China, India,
Japan and South Korea were the top destinations.
Besides being unable to ship
exports through the strait, Gulf countries caught up in the conflict have also
been badly impacted by Iranian strikes. Qatar, for example, was forced to
declare force majeure on its delivery contracts in March when Iranian drones
hit its Ras Laffan oil facility – the world’s largest LNG complex – forcing it
offline. Iran’s attacks had knocked out 17 percent of Qatar’s LNG exports by
March, state officials said.
Similarly, the United Arab
Emirates’s Das Island LNG terminal, Fujairah oil terminal, Ruwais Refinery
Complex and other energy sites have been attacked during the conflict.
Facilities in Saudi Arabia and Oman have also been hit.
Where has coal use increased?
According to an analysis by the
energy data company Ember, coal output will rise globally by 1.8 percent by the
end of 2026 compared with 2025 in a “worst-case” scenario.
This represents a notable uptick
considering that countries are meant to be transitioning away from coal,
experts said.
Since the war began, several
Asian countries have announced plans to increase coal-fired electricity
generation.
Japan has lifted restrictions on
older, high-emission coal plants to cope with the energy shocks while South
Korea has delayed the shutdown of coal-powered plants it promised to wind down
by 2040.
In Bangladesh, the government at
first imposed power cuts, closed universities and rationed fuel sales for
vehicles before announcing it had ramped up coal-powered electricity generation.
Thailand, the Philippines and
Vietnam have also increased coal-powered electricity generation to preserve
dwindling gas reserves.
In Pakistan, data from the
National Electric Power Regulatory Authority showed that by July, electricity
generated from imported coal had risen by 90 percent compared with the same
period the previous year.
China and India already consume
70 percent of the world’s coal and are also major producers. In India, where
electricity demand is increasing partly due to more intense heatwaves, the
government plans to launch several new coal-mining projects that will see
global supplies increase by 2.5 billion tonnes a year, according to the Global
Energy Monitor.
Germany also said it won’t
jeopardise electricity generation because of earlier climate promises it made
while Italy has pushed back its coal phase-out plans from late 2025 to 2038.
Who is making a profit from coal?
Indonesia is the top coal
exporter by a wide margin, followed by Australia and Russia.
In March, Jakarta reversed
previous plans to curb coal production and reduce oversupply in a bid to
benefit from the rising prices. Prices were set at $131.85 per tonne in July,
compared with $102.20 in the previous year.
South Africa’s Thungela,
meanwhile, reported doubled profits from January to June, compared with the
same period of 2025, driven largely by higher production from its Ensham mines
in Queensland as well as higher demand and higher prices at both Ensham and its
South Africa operations.
Production at Ensham rose by 38
percent in the first half of the year – during the peak of the conflict – to
2.2 tonnes, compared with 1.6 tonnes in the previous period.
The company reported 4.80 South
African rand ($0.30) in headline earnings per share – or HEPS, a primary metric
of profitability used in South Africa. That’s up from 1.92 rand ($0.12) in June
last year.
In a statement, Thungela said
prices will likely remain high as European and Asian markets prepare for
winter.
What does this mean for the drive
for clean energy?
In 2021, more than 40 countries,
including Indonesia and Vietnam, promised to scale back coal use at the COP26
global climate summit. India and China did not sign up, however. Last year,
South Korea joined the Powering Past Coal Alliance, which helps coal-dependent
economies transition away from the fuel.
However, the Middle East crisis
has upset those plans largely because many countries do not have sufficient
renewable energy-generating capacity to fall back on, said Nick Hedley, an
energy transition analyst at South Africa-based Zero Carbon Analytics.
“For the likes of Bangladesh,
it’s easy to lift coal use when global gas supplies are disrupted because the
country invested heavily in coal infrastructure in recent decades, and much of
that capacity has been sitting idle,” he said.
“Coal becomes cheaper than
imported gas when gas prices surge. Importantly, coal still cannot compete with
renewables on cost,” Hedley added.
It’s not all doom, however.
Analysts noted that upticks in some places are being offset by long-term
declines in coal use in places like Europe.
China’s domestic coal production
also fell this year as the government tightened oversight following a deadly
explosion in May at the Liushenyu coal mine, where 82 people died. Beijing has
also made large investments in renewables.
In addition, the breakdown of
global fossil energy supply chains could make clean alternatives more
competitive and force more countries to invest in them, Hedley pointed out.
“The lesson here is that Asian countries
need to speed up their shift to clean energy and electrification to safeguard
themselves against future global crises,” he concluded.
ATTACHMENT FORTY SIX – FROM
THE ECONOMIST
IT’S TOO DARN HOT. BLAME GLOBAL DIMMING
Earth is absorbing a lot
more sunshine
Jul 16th 2026
Cole Porter had
it right. It is too darn hot. On July 14th the surface temperature of Earth’s
tropical and mid-latitude oceans was higher than on any other July 14th in
modern records. The same was true for every other day in July, and for almost
all of the days in June, too. Europe has gone through three heatwaves since
May, and though the continent is better prepared for such things than it used
to be, tens of thousands will have died as a result.
America’s Fourth of July celebrations took place under a
sweltering “heat dome”. Supertyphoon Bavi, which saw well over a million people
evacuated from the Chinese coast, owed much of its power to the rate at which
it was able to suck up energy from the overheated sea. Fires are spreading far
and wide. Worse is to come. The chances of this year being the hottest on
record are growing; the El Niño getting under way in the Pacific all but
guarantees next year will be.
Read the rest of our cover package
·
The rate at which Earth is absorbing energy is
alarming climate scientists
Climate change is feeding on itself. The warming effects of
greenhouse gases are driving processes that heat up the planet yet further. The
one which is exciting—and alarming—scientists most is an unexpected reduction
in an obscure but fundamental aspect of Earth: its albedo.
The albedo is the fraction of incoming sunlight that a surface or
a planet reflects back whence it came. High albedos, whether they are created
by white roofs or ice-covered seas, keep things cool; by contrast, when albedos
are low, the incoming energy stays here on Earth, raising the planet’s surface
temperatures. Robust satellite measurements of Earth’s albedo have now been
taken for over two decades. They show it falling with surprising speed.
The oceans,
which are responsible for most of the sunshine’s absorption, have been
accumulating much more heat as a result.
This is partly because of a scarcity of cooling clouds over the
seas, a widely predicted effect of greenhouse warming. It is also owing to
something else entirely. In 2006—in fact, 20 years ago this month—the late Paul
Crutzen, a world-renowned atmospheric chemist, wrote an article pointing out
the “policy dilemma” embedded in efforts to control emissions of sulphur
dioxide. Sulphur dioxide, which comes from the burning of some fossil fuels,
creates little particles in the atmosphere after it is emitted. They wreak
havoc with human health. They also reflect sunlight back into space, thereby
reducing the amount of energy that reaches Earth’s surface. Health agencies, Crutzen
said, thought controlling the particles could save 500,000 lives a year; at the
same time, by diminishing the sulphur’s cooling effect, the controls might
increase global warming by perhaps 1°C (1.8°F).
Both albedo-reducing trends look set to continue, adding yet more
to the heat. The industrial cities of the developing world are hardly likely to
sacrifice the health of their smog-choked inhabitants in order to slow warming
for the world at large, so sulphur emissions will continue to fall. The climate
feedbacks which reduce cloud cover will not stop while carbon-dioxide levels
continue to rise. And even when the transition to renewable energy eats into
the use of fossil fuels, as it is starting to do, what matters most is the
cumulative level of greenhouse gases.
Around a decade ago the need to stabilise that cumulative level
led lots of countries to embrace “net zero” goals. The idea’s proponents see
putting no more greenhouse gases into the atmosphere than you are taking out as
good planetary housekeeping. They are right. But it is an unavoidably slow
process. What’s more, its critics are also correct when they say that only for
the largest economies does a single country’s progress towards net-zero goals
have any discernible effect on the world’s overall trajectory. The idea was
conceived when America was a believer in international agreements and the level
of idealism needed to imagine countries spurring each other on to better things
was merely high—not, as it is now, delusional.
WHY CAN’T YOU BEHAVE?
There are still places where climate change is understood to be
important and where action can be co-ordinated. Being committed to net zero
should buy a country a certain standing when it is negotiating other, more
near-term options for limiting climate change, such as curbing methane
emissions and the production of fluorinated gases used in cooling systems, both
of which bring benefits faster than cutting carbon dioxide.
No form of emissions reduction, though, can quickly bend the current
trajectory. Endurance is what remains. Making air conditioning more efficient,
cheap and widespread saves lives and fits well with other policy goals, like
making clean electricity cheap to produce and consume. Ten years ago a
commitment to phase out the fluorinated gases in cooling systems was reached in
Kigali, the capital of Rwanda. There is scope for extra international efforts
to improve the machinery that uses them. This could double the cooling benefit
of phasing out the gases.
The most radical response is to make Earth a bit more reflective
again. Crutzen’s provocative suggestion for how to resolve his policy dilemma
over sulphur emissions was to replace harmful aerosols with benign ones. The
brightening of cooling clouds has been tried over the Great Barrier Reef, but
the technology needed to do it at scale remains elusive. An Israeli-American
company, Stardust Solutions, has raised money to develop “safe” aerosols that
it thinks a country or set of countries could use to cool the planet from the
stratosphere.
Some oppose such geoengineering fiercely; hardly anyone endorses
it as a welcome path forward. But if nations can act in concert to warm the
planet—as those of the International Maritime Organisation did when they
enforced new restrictions on ships’ sulphur emissions in 2020—they ought to be
able to discuss the conditions under which they might cool it. Keeping silent
about geoengineering does not stop someone from trying it. The more warming
quickens, the sooner it may reach a point where, to quote Cole Porter again,
anything goes. ■
ATTACHMENT FORTY SEVEN – FROM
GUK
FROM BONE-DRY TO SOAKED TO THE BONE, WELCOME TO THE
AGE OF CLIMATE WHIPLASH
This punishingly hot and dry summer will probably
be followed by another wet winter. But it’s nothing compared with what Britain
will endure in years to come
By Aditya Chakrabortty Thu 20 Aug 2026 01.00 EDT
This summer could be the hottest, driest and deadliest in English history. Successive heatwaves
have so far claimed almost 3,000 lives. Nearly three-quarters of England and all of Wales is in drought, while
key reservoirs are parched. Across this brown and stickily unpleasant land,
from Grimsby down to St Ives, hosepipe bans are in force,
while music festivals are staged not on green fields but in giant dust bowls.
Just how bad is it? I asked a leading climate
scientist.
“This is as good as it’s going to get,” said
Hayley Fowler, a professor at Newcastle University. “It will only get hotter.”
A little while back, the Met Office filmed
a mock weather forecast for 2050,
with an authoritative yet smiley man wielding a clicker in front of a map. So
far, so soothingly familiar – only the UK had gone from its usual green and
jaunty yellow to a deep, bloody red. Cambridge was stamped with 40C, while
Somerset and Dorset were up at 45C. This is the near-future that awaits you and
me, our children and grandchildren. Just two decades away, the weather
forecaster urged us to block out the sun and stay indoors. “Drink plenty of
fluids,” he added.
Except there will not be as much fluid to
drink. Britain is world-renowned for its soft steady drizzle, but over the next
couple of decades, our summers will turn arid while winters are more likely to
bring a regular deluge of rain, breaking our riverbanks and flooding our homes.
Indeed, El Niño means this winter is likely to be
especially bad – up there with Storm Desmond, believed Prof Fowler, the cyclone
that in December 2015 shut down railway lines and plunged more than 60,000
homes in the north of England into darkness with no power.
“Climate whiplash”, scientists call this:
lurching from bone-dry to soaked to the bone. Pleading for water half the year,
then terrified of its power the other half. This is not “climate change” as it
used to be shown on official graphs, running on smooth lines pointing upwards;
this is breakdown.
Not that you’d know it from our
politicians. This week, Nigel Farage’s useful idiot, Richard Tice, urged us
to stop moaning and down some English
sparkling. Our new prime minister, Andy Burnham, is strikingly eloquent on many
subjects, but keeps stumm on the climate crisis, apart from his promises to be
“pragmatic” on fossil fuels. Elsewhere, the columnists dust off their standby
paragraphs fulminating about the Englishman’s right to wash his own SUV, and
the public information ads chide us to turn off taps, as if more mindful
toothbrushing is a climate-adaptation strategy. All is business as usual – even
while the business model is broken.
“We are used to taking water for granted,
thinking of it as infinitely available,” Dr Jonathan Paul, an earth scientist
at Royal Holloway University of London, told me. “Very soon, we will be
treating it as a precious resource.” He can foresee battles for who gets water
between farmers and datacentres.
At the start of this year, I
wrote about the temporary drought faced by households in
Kent and Sussex, thousands of whom faced no running water for days on end. In
Tunbridge Wells, people told me how quickly social norms broke down. Washing
from buckets, they spent their days feeling grubby and smelly. Supermarkets
were stripped bare of water.
Readers wrote to me about how those everyday
scenes struck them as frightening, but they are what lies ahead for many more
of us, if we leave a looming water crisis to be solved by our busted water
system. Britain’s water supply is entrusted to a string of local private
monopolies, overseen by underfunded, demoralised and largely toothless
watchdogs. Since Margaret Thatcher sold off our water, this essential
infrastructure has fallen into the hands of a transnational network of spivs
and cowboys who have stripped it of almost every penny. For the sake of elite enrichment
and lower household bills, the water system has relied on the public investment
made by postwar social-democratic governments.
Within living memory, says Paul, Britain was
a world leader at the design and building of reservoirs. Its water engineering
and research was studied from Iran to Israel to the US. That expertise has
vanished and the last big reservoir in England was built in 1992, planned and
designed before privatisation.
These financiers and their husk companies
cannot cope with the scenarios laid out by scientists. This summer the water
companies have urged us to take shorter showers while lobbying ministers to
allow surge pricing – which means charging you and me more for our water when
we most need it. Never let a good crisis go to waste, after all. Late in the
day, the government has demanded the industry plan for climate breakdown, but
its plans are little more than patching up leaks and cutting down on waste. As
is argued in a recent book on the industry, Murky Water: Challenging an Unsustainable System, by
the Foundational Economy collective, this is a “fantasy plan”, in which Thames
Water and the rest suddenly fix more burst pipes than they have ever managed
before.
This crisis has been in part imposed on us
from above – by successive bungling governments and rapacious companies. It
will not be fixed from above, by either a Labour government paralysed with fear
of the electorate or financiers out to make one last buck. Even if the water
industry is taken back into public hands, we will need to find a way of
investing vastly more into the system. As is argued in Murky Water, the
fairest way of doing that is by changing our billing system so that we pay
according to our means.
But for now consider today’s Britain. A country famous for its rain struggling
with a dwindling water supply. A country in the North Sea now importing its
energy. A democracy that just 10 years ago voted to take back control is now on
the verge of losing control over its water and energy. What a state of affairs.
·
Aditya Chakrabortty is a Guardian columnist
ATTACHMENT
FORTY EIGHT – FROM
Farmers’ Almanac 2026 / 2027 Winter Weather Forecast
Winter
2026–2027 is shaping up to be a season of sharp contrasts, with an active southern
storm track, quick bursts of snow and bitter cold across the North, and a
tricky mix of rain, sleet, ice, and heavy wet snow in the Northeast. Keep the
shovel, rain boots, and ice scraper close—this winter may bring plenty of
surprises.
CNN (Attachment Eleven, above) reported that, as Europe grapples with successive heatwaves, it also faces the
prospects of a winter energy crunch. “Gas storage levels across the EU were 59%
full on Tuesday, according to data from Gas Infrastructure Europe — well below
the average for this time of year and on par with levels seen during summer
2021, when Russia had begun restricting exports to the continent.
“I’m really concerned,”
Anne-Sophie Corbeau, a researcher at Columbia University’s Center on Global
Energy Policy, told CNN regarding the EU’s ability to replenish diminished
stocks.
by Caleb Weatherbee Updated: August
13, 2026
2026
WINTER WEATHER OUTLOOK: SNOW, SLEET, AND SURPRISES
The winter of 2026–2027 may deliver sharp
contrasts across the country. Some regions could face repeated storms, raw
rain, and heavy, wet snow, while others experience milder stretches interrupted
by quick cold snaps.
In other words, prepare for a winter of snow, sleet, and surprises. For the complete long-range prediction—and a
full year of calendars, gardening advice, folklore, recipes, astronomy,
practical tips, and seasonal wisdom—pick up the 210th edition of the Farmers’ Almanac, available in print later
this month.
Our 2026–2027 winter outlook was prepared
by Caleb Weatherbee using the same core, proprietary weather formula the
Farmers’ Almanac has relied upon since its founding in 1818. First developed by
founding editor David Young and passed down from one Almanac forecaster to the
next, the time-tested method considers recurring natural cycles, solar
activity, lunar influences, and historical weather patterns. Today, those
traditional calculations are enhanced—not replaced—by modern forecasting tools,
including satellite observations, computer modeling, current meteorological
data, historical analogs, and analysis of large-scale ocean and atmospheric
patterns. Together, these old and new methods help Caleb develop a broad,
long-range regional outlook intended to help readers plan ahead—while
remembering that nature always has the final word.
A Wet
and Stormy Southern Tier
El Niño is
expected to remain an important influence through the heart of the season,
favoring wetter-than-normal conditions across much of the southern United
States.
An active storm track may extend from
Southern California and the Desert Southwest through Texas, the Gulf Coast, and
the Southeast.
These areas should watch for frequent storm systems, muddy fields, and
occasional surges of cold air.
When that colder air meets abundant moisture,
some storms could produce sleet, freezing rain, or heavy, wet snow. The
southern Rockies may fare especially well for mountain snowfall.
QUICK
COLD SNAPS ACROSS THE NORTH
Across much of the West, northern
Plains, Upper Midwest,
and Great Lakes,
temperatures should average near normal overall. However, that does not mean
winter will be mild.
Fast-moving clippers, sudden cold snaps, and
brief snowy periods are likely, although milder breaks may frequently interrupt
the wintry weather. Farther north, the Plains, Midwest, and Great Lakes could
experience sudden snow squalls, blustery winds, and bursts of bitter cold.
The middle of the country may also see
frequent swings between thawing and freezing, creating rapidly changing road
and field conditions.
A
TRICKY WINTER FOR THE NORTHEAST
The Northeast may
face one of the season’s most complicated winter patterns.
Coastal communities could receive more rain
or mixed precipitation, while inland areas may be hit by several rounds of
heavy, wet snow—particularly during January and February.
Small shifts in storm tracks and temperatures
could make the difference between rain, sleet, freezing rain, and accumulating
snow. Residents should be prepared for forecasts to change quickly as storms
approach.
A
CHANGEABLE SEASON IN THE NORTHWEST
The Pacific
Northwest may experience a more changeable and somewhat less
dependable snow season.
Meanwhile, the northern Plains and Upper
Midwest could turn drier at times, especially when the southern storm track
becomes dominant. Even so, brief but intense periods of cold, wind, and snow
will remain possible.
WHERE
WILL THE MOST PRECIPITATION FALL?
A very active southern storm track is
expected to bring heavier-than-normal precipitation from California and the
Southwest eastward through Texas, the Gulf Coast, and the Southeast.
A second storm path may guide weather systems
along the Eastern Seaboard, bringing additional opportunities for rain, wintry
mixes, and snow from the mid-Atlantic into New England.
Because temperatures may frequently hover
near freezing, precipitation type will be especially difficult to predict. A
slight change in temperature or storm direction could turn a cold rain into an
icy mix—or transform a slushy snowfall into a significant winter storm.
THE
BOTTOM LINE
Winter 2026–2027 may be defined by contrasts:
an active and wet southern storm track, quick bursts of snow and cold across
the North, and a particularly unpredictable mix of precipitation in the
Northeast.
Keep the snow shovel, rain boots, and ice
scraper close at hand. This winter, you may need all three.
FREQUENTLY
ASKED QUESTIONS
How long has the Almanac forecast winter
weather?
Since 1818, the same year of the Almanac’s
founding. That makes it the longest-running long-range weather forecast in
North America.
WHAT IS THE FORMULA?
A combination of sunspot cycles, lunar
position, tidal pull, and historical pattern weighting. The exact details are
not publicly published.
HOW ACCURATE IS THE FORECAST?
The Almanac reports 80-85% accuracy on
regional outlooks. Independent reviews put actual accuracy somewhat lower, but still
meaningfully above chance.
WHERE CAN I SEE THE CURRENT WINTER FORECAST?
On the Almanac’s long-range weather forecast
page. The print edition is published each August.